This Thesis Has Been Submitted in Fulfilment of the Requirements for a Postgraduate Degree (E.G

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This Thesis Has Been Submitted in Fulfilment of the Requirements for a Postgraduate Degree (E.G This thesis has been submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for a postgraduate degree (e.g. PhD, MPhil, DClinPsychol) at the University of Edinburgh. Please note the following terms and conditions of use: • This work is protected by copyright and other intellectual property rights, which are retained by the thesis author, unless otherwise stated. • A copy can be downloaded for personal non-commercial research or study, without prior permission or charge. • This thesis cannot be reproduced or quoted extensively from without first obtaining permission in writing from the author. • The content must not be changed in any way or sold commercially in any format or medium without the formal permission of the author. • When referring to this work, full bibliographic details including the author, title, awarding institution and date of the thesis must be given. Satellite investigations of ice dynamics and supraglacial lake development in Greenland Kate H. Briggs PhD University of Edinburgh School of Geosciences College of Science and Engineering 2011 Declaration This thesis embodies 4.5 years of my life. It was composed by myself and the work contained herein is my own, and where chapters have been prepared for submission to journals the authorship and contributions are noted appropriately. This thesis has not been submitted for any other degree or professional qualification. Kate H. Briggs Acknowledgements I have rather a lot of people to thank for the guidance, support and kindness they have shown me throughout the past four (and the rest) years of my PhD. First of all, I am thankful to my supervisors, Andy Shepherd and Pete Nienow, for both their academic guidance and for giving me patience and understanding when I really needed it. Beyond the guidance of my supervisors I have had many useful discussions with, and advice from, the members of the glaciology group in Edinburgh (and now Leeds) past and present - Malcolm McMillan, Steve Palmer, Eero Rinne, Aud Sundal, Ian Bartholomew, Tom Cowton, Stew Jamieson, Vicki Parry, Andy Hein, Mehmet Karatay, Andy Sole, Andy Wright, Neil Ross, Santiago de la Pena and Noel Gourmelen. I want to extend special thanks to Steve Palmer, Eero Rinne and Malcolm McMillan for all the help they have given me. I am grateful to IT help at Edinburgh, in particular Chris Place and Steve Dowers, for resolving my computing woes. As important as the academic support received during my PhD has been the support provided by friends and family. To my office mates Lynsey Callaghan, Michaela Newton, Ian Bartholomew, Matthew Brolly, Martin Hurst, Steve Palmer, Richard Streeter, Eero Rinne, Tom Cowton, Ed Mitchard, Mal McMillan and Katharine Fitzpatrick, who I shared the PhD experience with, for general advice, the occasional rant and a lot of the all important banter- thank you! Thanks to my good friends, Katharine Fitzpatrick, Elizabeth Richardson, Carolyn Anderson, Anna Jagan, Mal McMillan, Rik Higham, Eero Rinne, Tom Russon, Steve Palmer, Innes Keighren, Richard Phillips, Steve Binnie, Addy Pope, Raph Bleakley, Mehmet Karatay, Hannah Mathers and Jennifer Wyllie with whom I have shared many good chats, tasty meals, ESSENTIAL tea and cake breaks, cinema trips, great runs, climbs and walks, and lovely holidays throughout my PhD, all of which have kept me smiling! Thanks to my family; Mum, Adam, Lynda, Pam, Vicky, Daisy, Grandma and Aunty Joan, for being generally wonderful and making me feel so secure. And last, but not least, to my Dad, who in my opinion IS the best Dad in the world – your love and support made this possible for me- thank you! Contents Contents Contents ………………………………………………………………………... i List of figures …………………………………………………………………... iii List of tables ……………………………………………………………………. iv Abstract …………………………………………………………….................... 1 Chapter 1 Introduction …………………………………………………. 3 1.1 Aim ……………………………………………….……….......... 3 1.2 Motivation ……………………………………………………… 3 1.2 Thesis structure…………………………………………………. 8 Chapter 2 Greenland Ice Sheet flow dynamics ………………………… 9 2.1 Introduction …………………………………………………….. 9 2.2 Dynamic changes at marine margins due to ice-ocean interactions ……………………………………………………... 10 2.2.1 Ocean induced acceleration of marine-terminating glaciers ... 11 2.2.2 Atmosphere induced acceleration of marine-terminating glaciers ……………………………………………………… 15 2.2.3 Deceleration and stabilisation of marine-terminating glaciers 16 2.3 Surface meltwater forcing of inland and land-terminating ice dynamic changes………………………………………………... 17 2.3.1 Daily to seasonal velocity variations of inland and land- terminating ice ………………………………………………. 18 2.3.2 Interannual velocity variations of inland and land- terminating ice ………………………………………………. 22 2.4 Summary ……………………………………………………….. 24 2.5 Thesis objectives ……………………………………………….. 26 Chapter 3 Review of methods ………………………………………….. 28 3.1 Ice velocity retrieval methods ………………………………….. 28 3.1.1 Interferometric SAR (InSAR) ………………………………. 29 3.1.2 Feature tracking with optical images ……………………….. 33 3.1.3 Offset tracking with SAR images …………………………… 35 3.2 Digital elevation models ………………………………………... 37 3.2.1 Ground based DEM acquisition …………………………….. 37 3.2.2 Airborne DEM acquisition ………………………………….. 38 3.2.3 Spaceborne DEM acquisition ……………………………….. 41 3.3 Supraglacial lake analysis ……………………………………… 50 3.3.1 Data …………………………………………………………. 51 3.3.2 Classification of lake areas ………………………………….. 53 3.4 Summary ……………………………………………………….. 57 Chapter 4 Seasonal flow variability of outlet glaciers in Northeast Greenland …………………………………………………… 59 4.1 Abstract ………………………………………………………… 60 4.2 Introduction …………………………………………………….. 60 4.3 Data and methods ………………………………………………. 64 4.4 Results …………………………………………………………. 66 4.4.1 Along glacier velocity profiles ……………………………… 66 i Contents 4.4.2 Time series observations ……………………………………. 68 4.5 Discussion ……………………………………………………… 73 4.5.1 Spatial flow patterns ………………………………………… 73 4.5.2 Seasonal flow patterns ………………………………………. 75 4.6 Conclusions …………………………………………………….. 78 4.7 Limitations ……………………………………………………... 79 4.8 Appendix ……………………………………………………...... 82 Chapter 5 Coincidence of supraglacial lakes and topographic depressions in Northeast Greenland ………………………… 84 5.1 Abstract ………………………………………………………… 85 5.2 Introduction …………………………………………………….. 86 5.3 Methods ………………………………………………………... 88 5.3.1 InSAR DEM ………………………………………………… 88 5.3.2 Sinks in the InSAR DEM …………………………………… 92 5.3.3 Supraglacial lakes in optical imagery ……………………….. 92 5.3.4 Sink and lake area comparisons …………………………….. 93 5.4 Results ………………………………………………………….. 94 5.5 Discussion ……………………………………………………… 98 5.6 Conclusions …………………………………………………….. 100 5.7 Limitations ……………………………………………………... 101 5.8 Appendix ……………………………………………………...... 102 Chapter 6 Investigating and predicting supraglacial lake drainage on the Greenland Ice Sheet ……………………………………... 103 6.1 Abstract ………………………………………………………… 105 6.2 Introduction …………………………………………………….. 106 6.3 Methods ………………………………………………………... 108 6.3.1 MODIS image processing …………………………………... 109 6.3.2 DEM generation …………………………………………….. 110 6.3.3 Temperature data ……………………………………………. 110 6.3.4 Slope profiles ………………………………………………... 111 6.4 Results ………………………………………………………….. 111 6.5 Discussion …………………………………………………….... 120 6.5.1 Distribution of lakes ………………………………………… 120 6.5.2 Lake drainage ……………………………………………….. 121 6.5.3 Timing of lake drainage events relative to PDD temperatures 122 6.5.4 Projecting lake formation and drainage to higher elevations .. 123 6.6 Conclusions …………………………………………………….. 124 6.7 Limitations ……………………………………………………... 125 Chapter 7 Synthesis and conclusions …………………………………... 127 7.1 Introduction …………………………………………………….. 127 7.2 Summary of the principal conclusions …………………………. 128 7.2.1 Seasonal velocity variability in the northeast of Greenland … 128 7.2.2 Comparison of sink and lake locations in the northeast of Greenland …………………………………………………… 129 7.2.3 Spatial and temporal trends in lake formation and drainage in the west of Greenland ……………………………………….. 131 7.2.4 Synthesis …………………………………………………….. 133 7.3 Wider implications ……………………………………………... 134 ii Contents 7.3.1 Seasonal velocity variability ………………………………... 134 7.3.2 Complex tidewater glacier behaviour ………………………. 138 7.3.3 Predicting the future formation and drainage of lakes ……… 139 7.4 Further work …………………………………………………… 141 7.4.1 Future work on velocity variability at the northeast margin of the GrIS ……………………………………………………... 141 7.4.2 Future work on the use of DEMs to map and predict supraglacial lake coverage ………………………………….. 143 7.4.3 Future work on understanding and predicting supraglacial lake drainage events ………………………………………… 144 7.6 Concluding remarks ……………………………………………. 145 References ……………………………………………………………………… 146 List of figures Figure 1.1: Past and future global mean sea level ……………………………… 4 Figure 1.2: The extent of the GrIS today and during the last interglacial ……… 5 Figure 1.3: Modelled future evolution of the GrIS …………………………….. 6 Figure 1.4: Remote sensing estimates of GrIS mass balance ………………….. 7 Figure 2.1: West Greenland ocean temperatures 1991-2006 …………………... 13 Figure 2.2: Circulation in a West Greenland fjord ……………………………... 14 Figure 2.3: Supraglacial lakes …………………………………………………. 22 Figure 3.1: SAR phase shift ……………………………………………………. 30 Figure 3.2: Differential interferometry ………………………………………… 32 Figure 3.3: Ice surface feature displacement …………………………………… 34 Figure 3.4: Coherence tracking image …………………………………………. 36 Figure 3.5: Terrestrial photogrammetry DEM …………………………………. 38 Figure 3.6: NASA ATM flightlines in 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