Today's Bleak Prospects for Israeli-Palestinian
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Negotiating in Times of Conflict
cover Negotiating in Times of Conflict Gilead Sher and Anat Kurz, Editors Institute for National Security Studies The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), incorporating the Jaffee Center for Strategic Studies, was founded in 2006. The purpose of the Institute for National Security Studies is first, to conduct basic research that meets the highest academic standards on matters related to Israel’s national security as well as Middle East regional and international security affairs. Second, the Institute aims to contribute to the public debate and governmental deliberation of issues that are – or should be – at the top of Israel’s national security agenda. INSS seeks to address Israeli decision makers and policymakers, the defense establishment, public opinion makers, the academic community in Israel and abroad, and the general public. INSS publishes research that it deems worthy of public attention, while it maintains a strict policy of non-partisanship. The opinions expressed in this publication are the authors’ alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Institute, its trustees, boards, research staff, or the organizations and individuals that support its research. Negotiating in Times of Conflict Gilead Sher and Anat Kurz, Editors משא ומתן בעת סכסוך גלעד שר וענת קורץ, עורכים Graphic design: Michal Semo-Kovetz and Yael Bieber Cover design: Tali Niv-Dolinsky Printing: Elinir Institute for National Security Studies (a public benefit company) 40 Haim Levanon Street POB 39950 Ramat Aviv Tel Aviv 6997556 Israel Tel. +972-3-640-0400 Fax. +972-3-744-7590 E-mail: [email protected] http:// www.inss.org.il © 2015 All rights reserved. -
Miriam Elman CV
MIRIAM F. ELMAN, Ph.D. Associate Professor of Political Science Inaugural Robert D. McClure Professor of Teaching Excellence Maxwell School of Citizenship & Public Affairs Syracuse University SYRACUSE UNIVERSITY POSITIONS: ■ Research Director: Program for the Advancement of Research on Conflict and Collaboration (PARCC) ■ Member of the Advisory Board and Steering Committee: Jewish Studies Program (JSP) | Middle Eastern Studies Program (MESP) ■ Faculty Affiliate: Institute for National Security and Counterterrorism (INSCT) PREVIOUS POSITIONS: Associate & Assistant Professor Department of Political Science, Arizona State University (1996-2008) Faculty Affiliate Jewish Studies Program, Arizona State University (1996-2008) Instructor Department of Political Science, Arizona State University (1995-1996) Research Fellow Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University (1995-1996 and 1998-2000) Sergeant, Air Force, Israel Defense Forces (1983-1985) CONTACT INFORMATION: 400G Eggers Hall Syracuse, New York, 13244-1020 Tel: 315-443-7404 Fax: 315-443-9082 Email: [email protected] SOCIAL MEDIA: Webpage Twitter Facebook Columns at Legal Insurrection 2 EDUCATION 1996 Ph.D. Columbia University Political Science 1993 M.Phil. Columbia University Political Science 1990 M.A. Degree Studies Hebrew University International Relations of Jerusalem, Israel 1989 Secondary School Hebrew University Teaching Certificate of Jerusalem, Israel 1988 B.A. (cum laude) Hebrew University International Relations -
Strategic Assessment, Vol 16, No 1
Volume 16 | No. 1 | April 2013 Leading from Behind: The “Obama Doctrine” and US Policy in the Middle East | Sanford Lakoff Eleven Years to the Arab Peace Initiative: Time for an Israeli Regional Strategy | Ilai Alon and Gilead Sher The Emergence of the Sunni Axis in the Middle East | Yoel Guzansky and Gallia Lindenstrauss Islam and Democracy: Can the Two Walk Together? | Yoav Rosenberg The US and Israel on Iran: Whither the (Dis)Agreement? | Ephraim Kam Walking a Fine Line: Israel, India, and Iran | Yiftah S. Shapir Response Essays Civilian Casualties of a Military Strike in Iran | Ephraim Asculai If it Comes to Force: A Credible Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Military Option against Iran | Amos Yadlin, Emily B. Landau, and Avner Golov המכון למחקרי ביטחון לאומי THE INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURcITY STUDIES INCORPORATING THE JAFFEE bd CENTER FOR STRATEGIC STUDIES Strategic ASSESSMENT Volume 16 | No. 1 | April 2013 CONTENTS Abstracts | 3 Leading from Behind: The “Obama Doctrine” and US Policy in the Middle East | 7 Sanford Lakoff Eleven Years to the Arab Peace Initiative: Time for an Israeli Regional Strategy | 21 Ilai Alon and Gilead Sher The Emergence of the Sunni Axis in the Middle East | 37 Yoel Guzansky and Gallia Lindenstrauss Islam and Democracy: Can the Two Walk Together? | 49 Yoav Rosenberg The US and Israel on Iran: Whither the (Dis)Agreement? | 61 Ephraim Kam Walking a Fine Line: Israel, India, and Iran | 75 Yiftah S. Shapir Response Essays Civilian Casualties of a Military Strike in Iran | 87 Ephraim Asculai If it Comes to Force: A Credible Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Military Option against Iran | 95 Amos Yadlin, Emily B. -
Israel: Growing Pains at 60
Viewpoints Special Edition Israel: Growing Pains at 60 The Middle East Institute Washington, DC Middle East Institute The mission of the Middle East Institute is to promote knowledge of the Middle East in Amer- ica and strengthen understanding of the United States by the people and governments of the region. For more than 60 years, MEI has dealt with the momentous events in the Middle East — from the birth of the state of Israel to the invasion of Iraq. Today, MEI is a foremost authority on contemporary Middle East issues. It pro- vides a vital forum for honest and open debate that attracts politicians, scholars, government officials, and policy experts from the US, Asia, Europe, and the Middle East. MEI enjoys wide access to political and business leaders in countries throughout the region. Along with information exchanges, facilities for research, objective analysis, and thoughtful commentary, MEI’s programs and publications help counter simplistic notions about the Middle East and America. We are at the forefront of private sector public diplomacy. Viewpoints are another MEI service to audiences interested in learning more about the complexities of issues affecting the Middle East and US rela- tions with the region. To learn more about the Middle East Institute, visit our website at http://www.mideasti.org The maps on pages 96-103 are copyright The Foundation for Middle East Peace. Our thanks to the Foundation for graciously allowing the inclusion of the maps in this publication. Cover photo in the top row, middle is © Tom Spender/IRIN, as is the photo in the bottom row, extreme left. -
Iran and Israel's National Security in the Aftermath of 2003 Regime Change in Iraq
Durham E-Theses IRAN AND ISRAEL'S NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE AFTERMATH OF 2003 REGIME CHANGE IN IRAQ ALOTHAIMIN, IBRAHIM,ABDULRAHMAN,I How to cite: ALOTHAIMIN, IBRAHIM,ABDULRAHMAN,I (2012) IRAN AND ISRAEL'S NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE AFTERMATH OF 2003 REGIME CHANGE IN IRAQ , Durham theses, Durham University. Available at Durham E-Theses Online: http://etheses.dur.ac.uk/4445/ Use policy The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that: • a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in Durham E-Theses • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders. Please consult the full Durham E-Theses policy for further details. Academic Support Oce, Durham University, University Oce, Old Elvet, Durham DH1 3HP e-mail: [email protected] Tel: +44 0191 334 6107 http://etheses.dur.ac.uk 2 . IRAN AND ISRAEL’S NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE AFTERMATH OF 2003 REGIME CHANGE IN IRAQ BY: IBRAHIM A. ALOTHAIMIN A thesis submitted to Durham University in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy DURHAM UNIVERSITY GOVERNMENT AND INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS March 2012 1 2 Abstract Following the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, Iran has continued to pose a serious security threat to Israel. -
Peace Between Israel and the Palestinians Appears to Be As Elusive As Ever. Following the Most Recent Collapse of American-Broke
38 REVIVING THE ISRAELI-PALESTINIAN PEACE PROCESS: HISTORICAL LES- SONS FOR THE MARCH 2015 ISRAELI ELECTIONS Elijah Jatovsky Lessons derived from the successes that led to the signing of the 1993 Declaration of Principles between Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization highlight modern criteria by which a debilitated Israeli-Palestinian peace process can be revitalized. Writ- ten in the run-up to the March 2015 Israeli elections, this article examines a scenario for the emergence of a security-credentialed leadership of the Israeli Center-Left. Such leadership did not in fact emerge in this election cycle. However, should this occur in the future, this paper proposes a Plan A, whereby Israel submits a generous two-state deal to the Palestinians based roughly on that of Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s offer in 2008. Should Palestinians find this offer unacceptable whether due to reservations on borders, Jerusalem or refugees, this paper proposes a Plan B by which Israel would conduct a staged, unilateral withdrawal from large areas of the West Bank to preserve the viability of a two-state solution. INTRODUCTION Peace between Israel and the Palestinians appears to be as elusive as ever. Following the most recent collapse of American-brokered negotiations in April 2014, Palestinians announced they would revert to pursuing statehood through the United Nations (UN), a move Israel vehemently opposes. A UN Security Council (UNSC) vote on some form of a proposal calling for an end to “Israeli occupation in the West Bank” by 2016 is expected later this month.1 In July 2014, a two-month war between Hamas-controlled Gaza and Israel broke out, claiming the lives of over 2,100 Gazans (this number encompassing both combatants and civilians), 66 Israeli soldiers and seven Israeli civilians—the low number of Israeli civilians credited to Israel’s sophisti- cated anti-missile Iron Dome system. -
Palestinian Conflict? Study Group with Dr
How Should the Next President of the United States Handle the Israeli- Palestinian Conflict? Study Group with Dr. Robert M. Danin, Senior Fellow, Middle East Initiative, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School February 9, Session 1: How did we get here? Recommended Readings/Viewing: A five minute Council on Foreign Relations overview video narrated by me: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljig_S8tC6k William B. Quandt, American Diplomacy and the Arab-Israeli Conflict since 1967 (1993: Brookings) pp. 1-21. Steven L. Spiegel, The Other Arab-Israeli Conflict: Making America’s Middle East Policy, from Truman to Reagan, pp. 1-15 Nathan Thrall, “Israel and the US: the Delusions of our Diplomacy,” New York Review of Books. October 9, 2014: http://www.nybooks.com/articles/2014/10/09/israel- us-delusions-our-diplomacy/ Supplemental/Discretionary Readings: Jeremy Pressman, “From Madrid and Oslo to Camp David: the United States and the Arab-Israeli Conflict, 1991-2001” in David Lesch, ed., The United States and the Middle East: A Historical and Political Reassessment, 5th edition. (Boulder, CO: Westview, 2012), pp. 244-261. Robert O. Freedman, “George W. Bush, Barack Obama, and the Arab-Israeli Conflict,” in Ibid., pp. 262-293 March 1, Session 2: The Situation on the Ground Today: Conflict in Regional Context, Israeli and Palestinian politics today Recommended Readings: “No Exit? Gaza & Israel Between Wars.” International Crisis Group. Middle East Reports no. 162. August 26, 2015. (Read the summary at minimum) Mouin Rabbani, “Another Palestinian Uprising?” Middle East Institute. August 5, 2015. Gregg Carlstrom, “Can Anyone Prevent a Third Intifada?” Foreign Policy. -
Globalsummit
Event Sponsors Monday, October 26 – Friday, November 6, 2015 Thank You LSUMMIT Platinum BA V LO II Gold Silver G Bronze Copper T H Y E T IE JE C GOHRS FF SO p: (814) 455-0629 · f: (814) 454-2718 E RS NAL Patron Sponsors ON EDUCATIO Eric Raimy, Ph.D. Bas Lansdorp, M.S. Personal Patrons Anthony Atala, M.D. Maureen Plunkett and Family Anonymous Jefferson Trustee Darrell West, Ph.D. Nile Gardiner, Ph.D. & Aaron David Miller, Ph.D. Cokie Roberts Thomas Jefferson believed a citizenry that was educated on issues and shared its ideas Danielle Allen, Ph.D. through public discourse had the power to make a difference in the world. Norman Gevitz, Ph.D. The Jefferson Educational Society of Erie is a strong proponent of that belief, offering courses, seminars,and lectures that explain the ideas that formed the past, assist in exploring the present,and offer guidance in creating the future of the Erie region. Thomas B. Hagen Dignitas Award Winners 3207 State Street John and Silvia Ferretti Erie, Pennsylvania 16508-2821 VII Crislyn D’Souza-Schorey RESERVE YOUR SEATS Brian Lamb espite the advances made in cancer detection and treatment, it’s still a common and deadly disease. According to the American Cancer Society, nearly two mil- lion Americans will contract cancer in 2013, and more than half a million will Ddie from it. The disease takes 1,600 people a day and is responsible for one in every four Reserve your seats today deaths in the U.S. There’s a financial cost too. -
Palestine 2010: Time for Plan B
[email protected] www.al-shabaka.org al-shabaka policy brief Palestine 2010: Time for Plan B By Mouin Rabbani June 2010 Overview The likelihood of current diplomatic initiatives resulting in a meaningful two-state settlement is for all intents and purposes non-existent, argues Al-Shabaka Policy Advisor Mouin Rabbani, due to Israel’s determination to permanently control East Jerusalem and large swaths of the West Bank, and the lack of political will in the U.S. and Europe to reverse Israel’s expansionist momentum. He foresees an unwelcome future of further ghettoization and fragmentation of Palestinians in the occupied territories and within Israel, greater marginalization and atomization of the Diaspora, and an increasingly regionalized and existential conflict in which the initiative will lie with non-state actors operating beyond the confines of Israel/Palestine. Thus, rather than relying on continued diplomacy and alternative peace scenarios in the forlorn hope that the dominant American-Israeli framework will be modified, advocates of Palestinian self-determination should focus their efforts on arresting and where possible reversing realities on the ground, and undertake global campaigns to challenge Israeli impunity and promote the concept of Israeli accountability for its actions toward the Palestinian people. This, Rabbani concludes, presents the only realistic option for preserving Palestinian rights and, perhaps in the longer run, establishing meaningful diplomatic options. Why peace talks can’t succeed Almost 18 months into his mission United States Special Envoy, George Mitchell is once again shuttling between Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas, this time purportedly with a four-month deadline to finally secure “progress”. -
Assessing the Annapolis Process | the Washington Institute
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 1370 Assessing the Annapolis Process May 7, 2008 Brief Analysis n April 9, 2008, Ambassador Zalman Shoval and Aaron David Miller addressed a Policy Forum at The O Washington Institute. Zalman Shoval served as Israel's ambassador to the United States from 1990 to 1993 and 1998 to 2000, and represented the Likud Party in the Israeli Knesset for more than a decade. Mr. Miller served as deputy U.S. special Middle East coordinator between 1992 and 2000, and is currently a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington. His publications include the recently released book The Much Too Promised Land: America's Elusive Search for Arab-Israeli Peace (Bantam/Dell, 2008). This Policy Forum took place four months after the Annapolis conference was convened and a month before President Bush is slated to travel to the region to assess the progress of the Annapolis process, meet regional leaders, and celebrate Israel's 60th anniversary. AMBASSADOR ZALMAN SHOVAL Despite having been practically stillborn, the Annapolis peace process is not dead and has recently shown artificially induced signs of life. It has been continually retooled in order to maintain a chance of producing something by the end of President Bush's term. Prior to the conference, the insufficient coordination between the United States and Israel resulted in more than a few misunderstandings, including the issues of Israeli security measures and ongoing settlement construction in and around Jerusalem. Bush's April 2004 letter to Ariel Sharon, as interpreted by the Israeli public, suggested maintaining defensive borders in the Jordan Valley, and distinguished between settlement blocks adjacent to urban areas and other scattered settlements. -
Event – Toward a New U.S.-Saudi Relationship: Prioritizing Human Rights and Accountability
Event – Toward a New U.S.-Saudi Relationship: Prioritizing Human Rights and Accountability Thank you for joining the Project on Middle East Democracy (POMED) for a webinar on: Toward a New U.S.-Saudi Relationship: Prioritizing Human Rights and Accountability Wednesday, December 9, 2020 10:00 am – 12:30 pm EST Via Zoom (Register for a Zoom account here.) Read the full event transcript here. To view a recording of the full event, watch the YouTube livestream here: Or, find a recording of the event on Facebook or Twitter. Washington is witnessing a strong push to elevate human rights in U.S. policy toward Saudi Arabia. Most notably, President-elect Joe Biden has said that the United States should “reassess” ties with the kingdom and hold Saudi Arabia accountable for human rights violations. This POMED conference, which follows the October 2020 conference event “Mohammed bin Salman’s Saudi Arabia: A Critical Look,” will convene leading experts to make the case for why the United States should prioritize promoting human rights and countering authoritarianism in its relations with Saudi Arabia; on what issues the Biden administration should focus; and how the U.S. government, civil society, and private sector can stand up against Saudi repression. Panel 1: 10:00 am – 11:00 am EST Making the Case: Why The U.S.-Saudi Relationship Needs to Change Panelists Safa Al Ahmad Acting Director, ALQST Freelance Journalist and Filmmaker Aaron David Miller Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Sarah Leah Whitson Executive Director, Democracy for the Arab World Now (DAWN) Moderator Deborah Amos International Correspondent, NPR Panel 2: 11:00 am – 12:00 pm EST The Path Forward: Priorities and Policies Panelists Rob Berschinski Senior Vice President, Policy, Human Rights First Stephen McInerney Executive Director, Project on Middle East Democracy (POMED) Annie Shiel Senior Advisor for U.S. -
THE INTERCOLLEGIATE ISSUE EDITORS-IN-CHIEF Samuel Obletz, Grayson Clary
The Yale Review of International Studies International of Review Yale The The Yale Review of International Studies VOLUME 4, ISSUE 1, FALL 2013 “We Can’t Fix It, and We Can’t Leave” An Interview with Aaron David Miller 5 Fight in the Cause of God? Dynamics of Religion in Separatist Conflicts Ashley Blum, Dartmouth College, ’13 27 The Myth of the Failed State: Political Order and Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa Camilo Ruiz, Sciences Po, ’15 43 Politics in Period Costume: The Popular Front in the Works of Eric Hobsbawm Edmund Downie, Yale University, ’14 51 Soviet Lessons from Afghanistan: Insights for Post-2014 Support Ryan Mayfield, Stanford University, ’14 61 Egypt Unshackled: Can Egypt and Israel Keep the Cold Peace? Luke Schumacher, United States Military Academy, ’14 Joshua Shapiro, American University, ’14 73 Growth and Success in Kerala Alexandra Brown, Harvard University, ’14 85 THE INTERCOLLEGIATE ISSUE EDITORS-IN-CHIEF Samuel Obletz, Grayson Clary EXECUTIVE EDITOR Allison Lazarus EDITORS Talya Lockman-Fine, Adrian Lo, Anna Meixler, Apsara Iyer, Erwin Li, Aaron Berman DESIGN Martha Kang McGill and Grace Robinson-Leo CONTRIBUTORS Erwin Li, Grayson Clary, Anna Meixler, Ashley Blum, Camilo Ruiz, Edmund Downie, Ryan Mayfield, Luke Schumacher, Joshua Shapiro, Alexandra Brown ACADEMIC ADVISORS Paul Kennedy, CBE J. Richardson Dilworth Professor of History, Yale University Beverly Gage Professor of History, Yale University Walter Russell Mead James Clarke Chace Professor of Foreign Affairs, Bard College Editor-at-Large, The American Interest