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The Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center October 30, 2011

Escalation in southern : Long- range rocket barrages were launched by the PIJ, resulting in one Israeli dead, four wounded and several dozen treated for shock.1

Left: House in Ashqelon damaged by rocket fire (Photo by Edi Israel, reprinted courtesy of NRG). Right: Car in damaged by rocket fire (Photo by Amir Meiri, reprinted courtesy of NRG).

Overview

1. Between October 29 and 30 there was a new round of escalation in southern Israel, during which more than 40 rockets, most of them long-range Grad rockets, and mortar shells fell in Israeli territory. They were fired by the PIJ in response to the killing of the members of a terrorist cell (including high-ranking operatives) by an attack on October 29. On October 26 the PIJ, which remained inactive during the Gilad Shalit exchange deal, fired a rocket at the Beer Tuvia region in the western , about 40 kilometers (25 miles) from the .

1Initial update as of the afternoon of October 30, 2011.

245-11 2

2. The rockets fell in southern Israeli cities and villages at a distance of up to 40 kilometers (about 25 miles) from the Gaza Strip (including the cities of Ashdod and Beersheba). The rocket fire killed one Israeli civilian, a Ashqelon resident, and wounded four. Several dozen civilians were treated for shock and there was extensive property damage. On the morning of October 30 a ceasefire, which was not honored by the PIJ, was brokered by .2

3. did not participate in the latest round of escalation, which was led by the PIJ. Ten PIJ terrorist operatives were reportedly killed, among them Ahmed al- Khalil, commander of the engineering and manufacturing units. The PIJ is the second largest terrorist organization in the Gaza Strip, maintains close relations with Iran, and in the past did not hesitate to challenge Hamas. The massive support provided by Iran made it possible for the PIJ to build military capabilities, turning it into a significant military threat, especially with regard to firing rockets deep into Israeli territory, including the central region of the country.3

4. It was the first time since August 2011 (the round of escalation following the terrorist attack north of Eilat4) that massive barrages of long-range rockets targeted the large cities in Israel's south. Until three weeks ago there was sporadic rocket fire, carried out primarily by the rogue terrorist organizations. During the past three weeks no rockets were fired, a quiet also respected by the PIJ, due to the release of Palestinian terrorists from Israeli jails in exchange for abducted Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit and Hamas' strong interest in preserving calm at the time.

The Unfolding of the Events

5. On the night of Wednesday, October 26, a Grad rocket landed in an open area between Ashdod and Gedera, a range of about 40 kilometers (about 25 miles) from the Gaza Strip. There were no casualties and no damage was done. Sirens were heard in many cities, including , Yavneh, Nes Tziona and Ashdod (IDF Spokesman, October 26, 2011). No organization claimed responsibility for the rocket fire. The Israeli media reported that the PIJ fired the rocket.

2During the afternoon hours, east of in the southern Gaza Strip, the Israeli Air Force prevented a squad of operatives belonging to the Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine from launching a rocket (, October 30, 2011). Rocket fire continued throughout the day.

3For further information see the March 17, 2011 bulletin "Terrorism from the Gaza Strip since

Operation Cast Lead Data, Type and Trends " at http://www.terrorism- info.org.il/malam_multimedia/English/eng_n/pdf/ipc_e169.pdf

4During which 149 rockets fell in Israeli territory of the 200 which were fired from the Gaza Strip. 3

6. In the early afternoon of October 29, in a combined IDF-Israel Security Agency operation, Israeli aircraft attacked a squad of Brigades (the PIJ's military-terrorist wing) operatives, in the southern Gaza Strip near Rafah. They used technology similar to that used by the squad which fired the rocket at the Beer Tuvia region on October 26 (IDF Spokesman, October 29, 2011).

Click for video of the PIJ squad attack

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJTEJwRDF2I&feature=player_embedded#!

7. A Jerusalem Brigades spokesman reported that one of the five operatives killed in the attack was Ahmed Al-Sheikh Khalil (aka Abu Khader), commander of the organizations' engineering and manufacturing units. Muhammed 'Ashour, a high- ranking member of the engineering unit, was also killed (Jerusalem Brigades website, October 29, 2011). In response, that afternoon the PIJ began attacking southern Israel with long-range rockets. Between October 29 and 30 more than 40 rockets hit Ashdod, Ashqelon and Beersheba, and smaller population centers such as Gan Yavneh and the towns and villages in the western Negev.

8. The rocket fire killed one Israeli civilian, a resident of Ashqelon, and four suffered from minor and serious injuries. Several dozen civilians were treated for shock, and there was extensive property damage.

Five rockets fired simultaneously from a pickup truck, which according to a PIJ spokesman was the first time the technology was used to attack Israel (Jerusalem Brigades website, October 29, 2011)

9. Among the rocket hits were the following:

1) The first rockets hit Gan Yavneh and Ashdod (approximately 40 kilometers from the Gaza Strip). A Gan Yavneh resident was seriously wounded by shrapnel and was evacuated to a hospital. A number of buildings were damaged. 4

2) One of the rockets which hit Ashdod fell on a school. It landed on a classroom which is used for religious services on Friday. Fortunately was empty at the time and no one was hurt.

3) A rocket which fell on Ashdod later hit a parking lot between two residential buildings. Several vehicles were destroyed and the adjacent buildings were damaged.

The site of one of the rocket hits in Ashdod (Photo by Amir Meiri, reprinted courtesy of NRG).

4) An hour later two rockets fell in open areas west of Beersheba. A number of rockets also fell in nearby population centers. There were no casualties.

5) At around 2000 hours two rockets fell in the city of Ashqelon. Two civilians, who were in their cars at the time, were seriously wounded by shrapnel. One of them, a 59 year-old man, Ashqelon resident, married and father of five, later died in the hospital.

The car in which the man from Ashqelon was killed (Photo by Edi Israel, reprinted courtesy of NRG).

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Left: A rocket hit in Ashqelon. Right: Security personnel near the site of one of the rocket hits in Ashqelon (Photos by Edi Israel, reprinted courtesy of NRG).

10. Despite media reports of an Egyptian-brokered cease fire, rocket fire into Israeli territory continued into October 30. Two rockets fell in Beersheba in the morning. One rocket fell in an open area north of Ashqelon. Rockets also east of Beersheba near the Bedouin city of (east of Beersheba), as well as Ashdod and other population centers. Most of the rockets fell in open areas. Two were intercepted by the air defense system. Mortar shells were also fired from the Gaza Strip into the western Negev and the Erez crossing. There were no casualties and no damage was done. IDF Responses

11. During the day and evening of October 29, Israeli aircraft attacked several terrorist targets, among them the following:

1) On the evening of October 29, a number of terrorist squads preparing to launch rockets into Israel were attacked, as well as two armed launching tripods in the southern Gaza Strip (IDF Spokesman, October 29, 2011).

2) On the night of October 29, six terrorist targets in the Gaza Strip were attacked, including tunnels and rocket launching positions. Other terrorist targets were attacked in the southern Gaza Strip (IDF Spokesman, October 30, 2011).

12. The attacks killed ten PIJ terrorist operatives (IDF Spokesman, October 30, 2011). The Palestinian media reported nine deaths.

13. Following the massive barrage of rockets, on October 30 the Home Front Command decided no schools would be open within a range of 40-47 kilometers (25-29 miles) from the Gaza Strip. In towns and villages around the Gaza Strip within a range of 7 kilometers (almost 4 1/2 miles), classes would be held as usual but only in specially fortified structures (IDF Spokesman, October 29, 2011).

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Egyptian-Brokered Ceasefire

14. The media reported that the Egyptians made attempts to defuse the situation. According to official Egyptian sources, it was agreed that a ceasefire would go into effect at 0300 hours, October 30 (Reuters, October 30, 2011). In effect, rocket fire from the Gaza Strip into Israeli territory continued after 0300 hours. Quiet returned to the western Negev in the middle of the morning, but the rocket fire was renewed during the day.

15. Daud Shihab, PIJ spokesman, said that the organization favorably regarded the Egyptian efforts to achieve a ceasefire, but added that the PIJ reserved the right to respond to any future escalation (Agence France-Presse, October 30, 2011). The website of the Jerusalem Brigades, the PIJ's military-terrorist wing, posted a notice denying that the organization had agreed to stop its rocket fire. On the other hand, a high-ranking figure told the Agence France-Presse that the PIJ would honor a lull in the fighting beginning at 0600 hours, as long as Israel did.

Israeli Appeal to the UN

16. Ron Prosor, Israel's ambassador to the UN, sent a communiqué to the UN Secretary General and the President of the Security Council, in which he said that "Israel expects the Security Council, the Secretary General and the international community to condemn all of these attacks immediately and unequivocally." He said that "Israel holds the Hamas terrorist organization fully responsible for all attacks emanating from Gaza" and that "The details of this attack highlight a disturbing trend. The terrorist rockets in Gaza are traveling further - and their warheads are getting larger. This is a direct result of the continuous smuggling of advanced weapons from Iran and others into the Gaza Strip"5 (ITIC emphasis).

PIJ Responses

17. Immediately after the Israeli Air Force attack which killed five of their operatives, high- ranking PIJ figures in the Gaza Strip and beyond threatened severe repercussions: Abu Ahmed, Jerusalem Brigades spokesman, said that the attack would not remain "unpunished" and that the organization would carry out a "worthy response" deep inside Israel (The PIJ's Paltoday website, October 29, 2011). Ziyyad Nakhleh, deputy secretary

5http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Foreign+Relations/Israel+and+the+UN/Issues/Letter_UNSC_escalation_rocket_fire_Gaz a_27-Oct-2011.htm 7 general, said that Israel could expect a response deep within its territory within "the next few hours" (BBC, October 29, 2011).

18. In effect, the PIJ fired dozens of rockets and publicly claimed responsibility for them (Jerusalem Brigades website, October 29, 2011). The organization claimed responsibility for firing 18 Grad rockets, four 107mm rockets, six independently manufactured Al-Qassam rockets and 12 mortar shells (Jerusalem Brigades website, October 30, 2011). The organization also claimed that for the first time it had used a pickup truck to fire five rockets simultaneously (Jerusalem Brigades website, October 29, 2011).

Hamas Response

19. Hamas did not participate in the current round of escalation. High-ranking members of the movement blamed Israel for the escalation:

1) Abu Obeida, spokesman for the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, Hamas' military- terrorist wing, said that "the Zionist enemy" would bear the responsibility for the "crime" it committed in Rafah. He said Israel had done so to stop the joy felt by the Palestinian people at the release of the prisoners. He added that the various organizations were holding consultation about how to respond (Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades website, October 29, 2011).

2) Fawzi Barhoum, Hamas spokesman, said that the objective of the escalation was to break the spirit of the Palestinian people, and that Israel was fully responsible for it (Hamas' Palestine-info website, October 29, 2011).