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Simply Unbeatable ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY SECOND QUARTER 2017 PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT GULFSTREAM G450 UPCOMING SPOTLIGHT EMBRAER LEGACY 650E COUNTRY PROFILE ASIA-PACIFIC OUTLOOK MALAYSIA METRICS & MOOD INTERVIEW CURRENT MARKET SUMMARIES PATRICK BOUVRY JETS & HELICOPTERS ASIAN SKY GROUP DIRECTOR OF CONSULTING SERVICES INDUSTRY INSIGHTS FACTORS IMPACTING BUSINESS AVIATION AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE SECOND QUARTER 2017 SECOND SIMPLY UNBEATABLE SECOND QUARTER 2017 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | I EXPERIENCE THE BEST Sit back. Stretch out. Breathe easy. The distance will fly by in the wide, quiet, supremely comfortable Gulfstream G650™. With 100 percent fresh air, a low cabin altitude and panoramic windows, the G650 is cabin technology at its best. GULFSTREAMG650.COM +86 10 8535 1866 or +86 139 1064 2948 | HERMAN CHAI (蔡海文) [email protected] +852 2918 1600 or +852 6928 6988 | PETER HOI (许建钿) [email protected] +86 10 8535 1866 or +86 159 0115 7089 | MATTHEW LIU (刘自强) [email protected] PUBLISHER’S NOTE EXPERIENCE THE BEST Sit back. Stretch out. Breathe easy. The distance will fly by in the wide, quiet, supremely comfortable Gulfstream G650™. With 100 percent fresh air, a low cabin altitude and panoramic windows, the G650 is cabin technology at its best. GULFSTREAMG650.COM Are we there yet? Are we there yet? This question has been in the mind The market is still decidedly a ‘Buyer’s Market’ – plenty of supply and of most industry members for several months now. Has the business jet attractive prices. Although with a stable market and growing optimism, market finally bottomed out? Is there light at the end of the tunnel? Well, ASG expects sellers to be firmer with their pricing positions going forward. the good news is — from the data and analysis Asian Sky Group (ASG) Therefore, now is the time to buy. has done — yes! However, this mindset hasn’t translated into sales just yet. The average If you consult the Market Dynamics section of this issue of Asian Sky days on market for an aircraft continues to grow and purchase intention Quarterly, you’ll find a number of indicators that — taken as a whole — uncertainty remains high, but ASG expects to see this change over the represent the stabilization of the market we’ve all have been hoping for. second half of 2017. The percentage of the fleet for sale in the Asia-Pacific region has topped In addition to bringing you the latest data on the market, there is also out at around 12% and held steady for the last 12 to 15 months. Likewise, our regularly featured country profile and aircraft spotlights. This issue, average asking prices have bottomed out at approximately US$22M and we look at Malaysia’s business jet and civil helicopter fleets, as well as held steady for the last 4 to 6 months. So, the market trend which we saw available infrastructure and closely examine the pre-owned G450 market start to change in April of last year, has now balanced out. We even see a and the new Legacy 650E. convergence with the signal line indicating sustainability. These positive signs are further supported by the results from this quarter’s ‘Mood & Intentions” survey. Optimism has been growing since Q3 2016 across all regions and reached its highest level this quarter. Aircraft utilization is increasing, as well. The industry, in the Asia-Pacific region, generally has better feelings about the future. Sincerely, Jeffrey C. Lowe Managing Director, Asian Sky Group SPECIAL THANKS TO OUR CONTRIBUTORS: +86 10 8535 1866 or +86 139 1064 2948 | HERMAN CHAI (蔡海文) [email protected] +852 2918 1600 or +852 6928 6988 | PETER HOI (许建钿) [email protected] +86 10 8535 1866 or +86 159 0115 7089 | MATTHEW LIU (刘自强) [email protected] SECOND QUARTER 2017 — ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY | 1 CONTENTS 04 ECONOMICS 30 PRE-OWNED SPOTLIGHT Overview of the Asia-Pacific region’s current status and GULFSTREAM G450 each specific country’s GDP versus their business aircraft A comprehensive market performance analysis of the pre- fleet growth. owned G450 market. 06 MOOD & INTENTIONS 34 INTERVIEW: Results of the survey on the Asia-Pacific region’s outlook MR. PATRICK BOUVRY, on current economic status, aircraft utilization, purchase ASG’S DIRECTOR OF CONSULTING SERVICES intentions and influencing factors. Discussing his evolving role with ASG and the company’s consulting services. 12 COUNTRY PROFILE - MALAYSIA Overview and examination of Malaysia’s business aviation 36 UPCOMING SPOTLIGHT industry, its fleet growth, top operators and airport EMBRAER LEGACY 650E infrastructure. An introduction to Embraer’s new model - Legacy 650E, complete with a look at its versatile layout, superior cabin, and specifications. 20 INDUSTRY INSIGHTS: FACTORS IMPACTING BUSINESS AVIATION AIRPORT INFRASTRUCTURE 39 MARKET SUMMARY - JETS A quick look at ASG’s upcoming Infrastructure Report, A model-by-model market position and average days discussing the region’s need for more MROs, FBOs on-market analysis of featured pre-owned business jets. and airports. 22 MARKET DYNAMICS 56 MARKET SUMMARY - HELICOPTERS An in-depth analysis of inventory levels, market trends A model-by-model market position and average days and the changing price signals for the business jet fleet in on-market analysis of featured pre-owned civil helicopters. the Asia-Pacific region, given the continual fluctuations in supply and demand. The materials and information provided by Asian Sky directly or indirectly from any error or omission in PUBLISHER Group Limited (“ASG”) in this report is for reference compiling such information. This report also uses only. Any information we provide about how we may third party information not compiled by ASG. ASG interpret the data and market, or how certain issues is not responsible for such information and makes may be addressed is provided generally without no representation about the accuracy, completeness EDITORIAL considering your specific circumstances. Such or any other aspect of information contained. The Litalia Yoakum information should not be regarded as a substitute information, data, articles, or resources provided by for professional advice. Independent professional any other parties do not in any way signify that ASG DESIGN advice should be sought before taking action on any endorses the same. Robert Li matters to which information provided in this report Aya Leung may be relevant. Michael Wong ADVERTISING/AIRCRAFT SALES ENQUIRIES: ASG shall not be liable for any losses, damage, costs [email protected] MARKET RESEARCH & DATA ANALYSIS or expenses howsoever caused, arising directly or Bowen Zhang indirectly from the use of or inability to use this report Casper Zhuang or use of or reliance upon any information or material Michelle Shen provided in this report or otherwise in connection with Jersey Wu any representation, statement or information on or Asian Sky Group Patrick Bouvry contained in this report. Suite 3905, Far East Finance Centre, 16 Harcourt Road, Admiralty, Hong Kong ASG endeavors to ensure that the information Tel: (852) 2235 9222 | Fax: (852) 2528 2766 contained in this report is accurate as at the date [email protected] of publication, but does not guarantee or warrant www.asianskygroup.com its accuracy or completeness, or accept any liability www.asianskymedia.com of whatever nature for any losses, damage, costs or expenses howsoever caused, whether arising 2 | ASIAN SKY QUARTERLY — SECOND QUARTER 2017 A BREEZE. F LY WE MAKE IT It’s no surprise the H145 is the helicopter of choice for rescue missions. Whether at sea, on a mountain or in a blizzard, it can bring help to where it’s needed. Compact and versatile, it provides outstanding ight performance under the most extreme conditions. Resilience. We make it y. 14043_AIR_H145_Helicopter_Ad_297x210_Asian_Sky_1.0.indd 1 23/06/2017 11:32 2017 Q1 ECONOMICS The improvement in external demand for the Asia Pacific (ex-Japan) has supported growth, improved capacity utilization and reduced the disinflationary pressures in the region. As aggregate demand has stabilized, policy makers have been able to reduce policy support in a counter-cyclical fashion. Source: Morgan Stanley & Focus Economics Australia Singapore Consumption indicators have stabilized, albeit at weak levels. Retail Despite registering a quarter-on-quarter contraction due to high base sales picked up at the margin and employment growth has recently effects, the economy expanded compared to the same quarter last year, stabilized. Export growth has picked up, primarily supported by a albeit at a reduced rate. Q1’s reading was underpinned by an expansion rebound in commodities prices. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in the export-oriented sectors, which benefited from strong external left the key policy rate unchanged at 1.5% in the March policy meeting, demand, especially from China. Nevertheless, domestic demand citing a stronger global backdrop and Australia’s transition as growth- remains subdued, as evidenced by weak retail sales. supporting factors. Malaysia China The economy’s two-year slowdown—brought on by low oil prices and The backdrop of a synchronous global recovery and policy makers’ subdued global trade—likely bottomed out in 2016 and activity should tolerance for slower growth has meant that policy makers will reduce make a small recovery this year. A pickup in global trade and an expected the reliance on debt-fueled growth, both of which will lend support to improvement in fixed investment because of higher oil prices should a more productive growth cycle. On the domestic front, retail sales fuel Malaysia’s export-led economy. Leading economic indicators for moderated at the margin early in the year due to slowing sales in Q1 already show signs of improvement: growth in industrial production housing-related goods, while sales remained stable in both staples and accelerated in February, while exports grew at a double-digit pace in the non-housing discretionary products. Export volume growth has also first two months of this year.
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