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Environmental Scan August 2016 Developed by the Planning Council Strategic Planning Committee TABLE of CONTENTS

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Environmental Scan August 2016 Developed by the Planning Council Strategic Planning Committee TABLE of CONTENTS Daytona State College Environmental Scan August 2016 Developed by the Planning Council Strategic Planning Committee TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction .................................................................................................................. 4 Methodology ................................................................................................................. 4 Demographics Trends ................................................................................................... 5 State and Local Growth Predictions .......................................................................... 5 Age Trends .............................................................................................................. 6 Increase in Baby Boomers ....................................................................................... 8 Race/Ethnicity Trends .............................................................................................. 8 Volusia Flagler County Ethnicity Trends .................................................................... 9 Other Social Trends ................................................................................................12 Demographic Implications for Daytona State College............................................... 13 Economic Trends ....................................................................................................... 14 Performance Funding Trends ................................................................................. 14 Occupational Projections ....................................................................................... 14 Persistent Poverty .................................................................................................. 16 Speed of Innovation ............................................................................................... 17 International Students and Economic Impact ......................................................... 17 Top Employers in Volusia County ............................................................................ 18 Unemployment ...................................................................................................... 18 Economic Implications for Daytona State College .................................................... 19 Political Trends .......................................................................................................... 19 Florida’s Political Climate ....................................................................................... 19 Shifting Priorities for State Funding ........................................................................ 20 Other Significant State Legislation .......................................................................... 20 Federal Focus on Higher Education Institutions ...................................................... 20 Political Implications for Daytona State College ....................................................... 22 2 Technology Trends ...................................................................................................... 22 3D Printing ............................................................................................................ 23 Gamification .......................................................................................................... 23 Internet of Things .................................................................................................. 23 Cloud-Based Computing ........................................................................................ 24 Other Technology Trends ....................................................................................... 24 Technology Implications for Daytona State College .................................................. 24 Environmental Trends ................................................................................................. 25 LEED-Certified Buildings ........................................................................................ 25 Vehicle-Based Pollution Reduction ........................................................................ 25 Sustainability ......................................................................................................... 26 Consumption/Waste ............................................................................................... 26 Office of the Future ................................................................................................ 26 Solar-Powered Charging Stations ............................................................................ 27 The Flip-Side of the Argument ............................................................................... 27 Environmental Implications for Daytona State College ............................................. 27 References ................................................................................................................. 28 3 Introduction Through a systematic strategic planning process, Daytona State College establishes long-term goals and strategies to support its mission and vision. By anticipating key external trends, the institution can better shape its strategic plan, as well as anticipate and respond more effectively to the community and the constituencies it serves. To set the direction for the college during the 2017-2020 planning cycle, the Strategic Planning Committee, a subcommittee of the college’s Planning Council, identified external changes and influences that have implications for long-range planning and the future. Methodology The environmental scan is organized around five major areas of influence: demographics, economics, politics, technology and environmentalism. Research was conducted using a variety of sources, including the U.S. Census Bureau, the Florida Department of Education, the University of Florida’s Bureau of Economic Research, and other databases and publications as noted in the text of the document. To align with the primary service area of Daytona State College, much of the research focuses on Volusia and Flagler counties and the state of Florida. 4 Demographic Trends State and Local GrowthDemographic Predictions Trends StateFlorida is the third most populous and the and Local Growth Predictionseighth most densely populated state in the nation. According to the U.S. Census and projections by the Bureau of Economic and Business Research Florida(BEBR), Florida’s population as of April 1, 2015 was is the third most populous and the eighth most densely19,815,183 populated. Volusia state and Flagler counties are in the nation. According tothe main service areas for Daytona S the U.S. Census and projections by thetate College Bureau of. EconomicVolusia County has a population of 510,494 and Business Research (BEBR), Florida’s population as of April 1, 2015 was 19,815,183. Volusia and Flagler counties are the main and is the 11th most populous of 67 counties, with 2.6 % of Florida’s population. Flagler County service areas for Daytona State College. Volusia County has a population of 510,494 and is the 11th mostis the 36th most populous populous of 67 counties,, with with101,353 people 2.6 % of Florida’s or population. 0.5 % of Florida’s population Flagler County is the. Both counties 36th most populous,have a combin with 101,353ed estimated population of 611,847. people or 0.5 % of Florida’s population. Both counties have a combined estimated population of 611,847. The BEBR expects a population increase in Flagler and Volusia counties of 3 to 5.9% in the next The20 yearsBEBR to 655,900 expects a population. By 2020, Volusia County is expected to have increase in Flagler and Volusia countiesincrease of 3 to d5.9% 5%, while Flagler in the next 20 yearsCounty’s population is projected to increase by 16%. to 655,900. By 2020, Volusia County is expected to have increased 5%, while Flagler County’s population is projected to increase by 16%. Table 1: Projections of Population by Country, 2015 - 2045 County Estimates Projections 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 FLAGLER 101,353 120,100 138,300 155,600 172,200 185,900 199,100 VOLUSIA 510,494 535,800 557,300 574,100 585,900 598,000 608,700 TOTAL 611,847 655,900 695,600 729,700 758,100 783,900 807,800 Source: http://www.bebr.ufl.edu/sites/default/files/Research%20Reports/projections_2016.pdf Source: http://www.bebr.ufl.edu/sites/default/files/Research%20Reports/projections_2016.pdf DeltonaDeltona hashas the highest population in Volusia County the highest population in Volusia County, with, with almost 88,000 almost 88,000 residentsresidents in in 2015. 2015. Palm CoastPalm Coast has the highest population in Flagler County has the highest population in Flagler County, with an estimated, with an estimated 80,000 in 2015. 80,000 in 2015. According to theAccording to the BEBR, Palm Coast will BEBR, Palm Coast will see the largest increasesee the largest increase in populationin population, 40%, by the year, 40%, 2020. by the year Deltona is expected2020. Deltona to increase is expected to inc in population rease in population by about 20by about 20% during that time, while% during that time Daytona Beach, willwhile increase onlyDaytona Beach slightly. will increase only slightly. BasedBased on 2015 estimates, the metropolitan statistical a on 2015 estimates, the metropolitan statistical area ofrea of Delton Deltona-Daytonaa-Daytona Beach Beach-Ormond-Ormond Beach is ranked the 9th largestth metropolitan area in Florida. Volusia County is easily
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