Indonesia Results Review 29 June 2020 Property | Real Estate Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ) Buy (Maintained) Eyeing a Recovery In 3Q20; Keep BUY Target Price (Return): IDR460 (+8%) Price: IDR424 Market Cap: USD1,436m Avg Daily Turnover (IDR/USD) 55,728m/3.83m BUY, TP unchanged at IDR460, 8% upside with c.5% FY20F yield. Analyst Pakuwon Jati’s 1Q20 revenue of IDR1.6trn is still decent, considering the IFRS 15 adjustments made to revenue recognition from property projects Christopher Andre Benas and COVID-19’s impact on malls since March. Its 1Q20 net profit of +6221 5093 9847 IDR679bn (+2.6% YoY) comprises 29% and 33% of RHB and Street
[email protected] estimates. 2Q20 may be its worst quarter this year, but a recovery should be imminent in 3Q20, after its malls begin charging rental on tenants again. Still the king of recurring income. 1Q20 revenue of IDR1.6trn (+3.5% YoY) is above our and Street estimates, at 29.9% and 28.7% of full-year projections. This was due to recurring revenue growing by 1% YoY and development dropping 9% YoY. 54% of PWON’s earnings come from recurring income, with 42.5% driven by retail mall leasing. This remains the Share Performance (%) developer’s highest recurring portion vs peers. Retail mall occupancy rates YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m remained solid at 96%, but revenue per hotel room fell 32% YoY – within Absolute (25.6) 17.1 36.8 (26.3) (41.9) expectations, as the Government imposed travel restrictions, and there was Relative (3.4) 11.1 23.8 (3.9) (19.6) a dearth of tourists in the quarter.