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Peru's Business and Investment Guide 2021 No part of this publication may be reproduced, distributed or transmitted in any form or by any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior written permission of the publisher.
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Edited by: Ernst & Young Consultores S. Civil de R.L Av. Víctor Andrés Belaunde 171 Urb. El Rosario - San Isidro Lima – Perú
Design and layout: Carlos Aspiros Photos: PromPerú This digital publication is possible due to the collaboration of data and information from ProInversión and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
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First digital edition: February 2021 Available at www.ey.com 5 Taxes 3
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Peru is one of the most important countries in Latin America. Its diverse characteristics include a variety of climates, a vast territorial expanse, significant natural resources, people with great skills and high academic standards, and a solid economic and industrial background. Today, Peru is considered one of the world's leading emerging markets, with a solid recent history of economic FORstability based on an uninterrupted average annual growth over this millennium until December 2019 of 4.6% of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
In response to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, Peru was one of the countries in the region, and indeed, in the world, to implement such a forceful response through economic stimulus packages equivalent to 20% of the GDP. The predicted growth in 2021 will exceed 10%, according to numbers from the country's most EWOimportant institutions. This Business and Investment Guide is a tool for foreign and national investors, providing key information on the country's current economic situation and the principal tax, legal, and labor issues, as well as on how to incorporate businesses in Peru, and general information on how to invest and do business in the country. It also contains a complete directory of Peruvian embassies and consulates abroad, as well as contacts of interest RDto investors. EY Peru: Challenges to achieve sustained growth
Peru is one of the countries in Latin America that region (3.6%), for emerging countries (6.0%) and stands out for its macroeconomic stability, which advanced economies (3.9%). As a result, Peru will is one of the nation's most important pillars of be one of the countries in the region, together competitiveness. Uninterrupted economic growth with Chile and Colombia, that will see its GDP over the past 20 years until 2019 has consistently return to pre COVID-19 levels in 2022. contributed to the improvement of infrastructure, development of human capital, the adoption of We firmly believe that Peru offers great Paulo Pantigoso new technologies and the standard of living of all opportunities for favorable investment, as well Velloso da Silveira Peruvians. Additionally, a policy of being open as an ideal business climate for investment. Country Managing to the international market through multiple Peru's economy is showing indicators of evident Partner EY Peru commercial agreements complements recovery in a number of sectors as a result Editor legislation that is favorable to private domestic of the accurate measures being executed and foreign investment. within a challenging and constantly changing environment. The recognition of Peru's solid economy is based on low inflation (at the close of 2020, it This new edition of the Peru´s Business and is 23 consecutive years of single digit inflation), Investment Guide provides the investor with international reserves equivalent to 38% of GDP, a current key information on Peru's economic, controlled fiscal deficit (an average of 2.5% of GDP legal, tax, labor and financial issues, as well over the past five years, and an estimated 8.9% at as other information that can be used as a the close of 2020), and public debt that is estimated consultation tool for developing activities and to not exceed 36% of GDP at the close of 2020, well making business decisions. below the average of the rest of emerging countries in the world (63.1%) and in the region (81.5%). If you are a foreign investor interested in Additionally, 2020 closes with an estimated trade investing in Peru, you are also welcome to surplus of more than USD7.7 billion. approach the Peruvian diplomatic or consular mission nearest you, listed at the end of This situation permitted one of the region's major this Guide. responses to the effects of COVID-19, with fiscal measures equivalent to 20% of GDP that will bolster At EY we reaffirm our commitment to the a rapid recovery of economic growth estimated to development of Peru, as well as to the building be more than 10% of the GDP for 2021, according of a better world for business. We invite you to to forecasts by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru read this Guide in the hope that it will be of use (BCRP) and the Ministry of Economy and Finance. to discover new initiatives, and we are at your These forecasts are way above the average for the disposal for any assistance you may require. Words from the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Peru Peruvian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
In recent months, Peru has taken significant steps Analysts have noted that Peru’s reputation has to alleviate the public health and economic impacts grown even stronger in international markets thanks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Together, the to these historic issues, a scenario that is sure to government’s public policies, the country’s solid attract even more foreign capital for investment in macroeconomic fundamentals, the private sector’s the Peruvian economy and higher levels of activity, adaptability and creativity, and the hard work of the growth, and employment. general public have made sure that Peru continues Elizabeth to be an attractive destination for investors. In 2021, The Ministry of Foreign Affairs plays a strategic role in Astete Rodríguez our economy is expected to grow by more than 10%, all of this, helping to promote a portfolio of prioritized Minister of with an outlook that remains highly encouraging in national projects and attract foreign investment with Foreign Affairs the coming years. a view to leveraging our economic recovery.
In spite of the current situation, investors continue In its efforts to achieve this, the Ministry of Foreign to trust in Peru’s macroeconomic strengths, thanks Affairs has a significant competitive advantage: to its proven fiscal solvency, its vast international its diplomatic missions across the globe are active reserves that guarantee liquidity in the foreign agents in identifying markets and investment flows, exchange market, the country’s integration with world and in promoting our country’s economic interests, markets, and its excellent economic and regulatory with an expert knowledge of their local areas management. As a result, J.P. Morgan calculated and public and private sector contacts at the Peru’s country risk, according to the EMBIG index, at highest levels. 143 basis points as of the close of 2020, the lowest in the region. Additionally, the Ministry strives to develop and bolster strategic alliances with leading public and Despite the economic impact of the COVID-19 private entities as part of its efforts to reactivate our pandemic and the political instability experienced economy. The Peru's Business and Investment Guide toward the end of last year, Peru joined the select 2021 is, in fact, the product of one such partnership: group of economies that have issued hundred-year the bond between the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and bonds in dollars with low interest rates, offering EY Peru, to whom we are once again grateful for a clear sign of the global financial community’s their valuable collaboration in helping to share and confidence. promote our country’s strengths and opportunities. Words from the Director General of Economic Promotion Peruvian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
The public health and economic crises we are The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also has a network now facing present new opportunities and new of decentralized offices across Peru, providing it challenges for Peru and international investors with another excellent advantage. These offices seeking to maximize returns on their available work closely with regional governments and public financial resources. With this in mind, the Peruvian and private institutions in their respective localities, government -acting through the Ministry of thus acting as “feelers” to identify investment Foreign Affairs- has been working closely with the opportunities in regional projects, in coordination Eduardo relevant domestic public and private sectors to with our foreign missions. Chávarri García attract investments in prioritized segments such as Director General infrastructure and mining, among many others. Given the Ministry's global vision and its of Economic specialization in managing foreign relations, it has Promotion Through its missions abroad, the Ministry of Foreign the specialized skills needed to ensure a strategic Affairs aims to expand the market for Peruvian approach in the promotion and attraction of goods and to attract foreign investment that will foreign investment and in boosting Peruvian bolster our infrastructure and industries. We are investment abroad. working hard to maintain Peru's presence and strengthen its image among the international The work of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs includes business community by sharing business facilitating and participating in the negotiation of success stories and proving that, in spite of investment promotion and protection agreements the pandemic, our economy offers high-yield (IPPAs), investment chapters in free trade investment opportunities. agreements and double taxation and tax evasion prevention agreements (DTAs) in an effort to attract In its efforts to achieve this, the Ministry has a more investments to our country by guaranteeing significant competitive advantage: its diplomatic legal stability and certainty. missions across the globe, which work intensively to identify interest among potential investors in To successfully play this role, the Ministry of Foreign their area, also conduct prospective studies in Affairs has developed close ties with the most regions that are considered “non-traditional” but important public and private sectors, as well as EY which may become new sources of investment in a Peru, thus allowing us to present this digital version rapidly evolving world. Our foreign missions thus of the “Peru's Business and Investment Guide become active agents of promotion, with an expert 2021” I invite you to read on and learn about the knowledge of their local jurisdictions and contacts valuable opportunities Peru has to offer. at the highest levels. Words from the Executive Director of ProInversión
Peru has been one of the economies with greatest Peru will be one of the Latin American countries growth in the region over the past two decades, that manages to return to pre-COVID-19 levels by maintaining stable macroeconomic policies that 2022, as foreseen in the 2021-2024 Multiannual have allowed it to promote private investment and Macroeconomic Framework, and by 2021 the drive growth of the internal market, developing Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) has at the same time a clear policy of integration with estimated a 10% growth in GDP. international markets. Rafael Ugaz The good prospects of the Peruvian economy Executive Director The good performance of the Peruvian economy are based principally on the momentum of the Peruvian Private is widely recognized, not only by credit rating construction business and related industries, Investment agencies, which forecast a stable scenario for the which sustain a dynamic growth in investment Promotion Agency country despite the current situation, but also by thanks to the development of large infrastructure the leading institutional investors that maintain an projects granted in recent years. Added to this, appetite for Peru's sovereign bonds. This reflects is the Peruvian government's focus to boost the confidence in the future good management of development of projects through the National the economy and the evolution of the principal Infrastructure Plan for Competitiveness (PNIC) economic indicators. which prioritizes 52 projects for an investment in the order of USD30 billion, which means that more Peru's macroeconomic strengths - low levels of than 60% will be executed through Public-Private debt, inflation and fiscal deficit, while maintaining Partnerships (PPP). high levels of international reserves - have been fundamental to face the economic impact of Currently, the portfolio of mature projects, mainly COVID-19. Such strengths, in particular the fiscal in the PPP modality, promoted by ProInversión one, have made it possible to implement one of is close to USD6.0 billion. There are 19 projects the most important economic recovery plans in that will be awarded, or called for tenders, during the region (20% of GDP) and experience a rapid 2021, among which are the Huancayo Huancavelica rebound after having recorded historical falls due Railway project (USD263million investment), to COVID-19. the Mass Distribution of Natural Gas project to 7 regional centers in the center and south of the country (USD200 million), the Headworks project, to increase and ensure the supply of water in ProInversión, as a State agency, is tasked with the city of Lima (USD480 million), 3 electricity promoting and facilitating private investment in transmission projects (USD210 million), 2 hospital Peru and to assist the investor at every stage, projects (USD300 million) ), 1 urban connectivity from prospecting to establishment and post- project in Lima and Callao (USD1,965 million), establishment. The ProInversión portfolio contains 1 telecommunications project (USD291 million), projects that will make an important contribution 2 wastewater treatment plants and sewerage to improving connectivity and competitiveness in networks (USD227 million), 5 educational the country, and at the same time meet the needs infrastructure projects (USD619 million), 1 of social infrastructure, and by closing that gap will port project (USD637 million) and 1 industrial provide even greater strength to the underpinning park (USD750 million). For all these projects, of sustained growth. international public tenders will be called through which it seeks to generate competition and attract We welcome investors to explore the possibilities the best global operators in order to ensure the of investment in Peru and share the benefits of its provision of services with high quality standards promising development. throughout the concession period.
It is necessary to emphasize that foreign investment can be freely developed in Peru under the same conditions as domestic investment and is not subject to meeting any performance requirements. Additionally, Peruvian regulations include special regimes that guarantee the permanence of aspects relevant to the development of investments, such as the free circulation of capital, free competition and the guarantee of private property. This policy is based on the conviction that private investment must be the engine that drives growth, and we need the participation of domestic and foreign capitals to boost the development of the huge opportunities that the country offers. 5 Taxes 10
1 Government 13 1 Mining 84 2 Geography 14 2 Financial System, 103 1 3 Currency and 15 3 Securities Market, and CON Background Exchange Rate Sector Pension System Information 4 Population, 16 Analysis 3 Energy 110 Occupation and 4 Electricity and Water 112 Human Development 5 Hydrocarbons 116 TEN 5 Economy 26 6 Construction 119 6 Country Risk and 41 7 Manufacturing 120 Investment Grade 8 Trade and Domestic 121 Consumption 1 Investment Promotion 45 9 Agriculture and 124 TS Conditions Agribusiness 2 2 Promotion Mechanisms 52 10 Fisheries 130 click on the title to go Business directly to the chapter for Investment in 11 Transportation and 133 Environment Infrastructure and Communications page 1 / page 2 Utilities 12 Tourism, Cuisine, and 138 3 Investment Indicators 63 Hotel Management 4 Trade Agreements 71 5 Peru and the 81 1 Joint Stock Companies 144 Organization for 2 Closely Held 145 Economic Co-operation 4 Corporations and Development Incorporating 3 Publicly Held 146 (OECD) a Company Corporations in Peru 4 Limited Liability 147 Companies 5 Branches 148
1 Direct Taxes 152 2 Indirect Taxes 164 5 3 Municipal Taxes 166 Taxes 4 Customs Regime 167 5 Legal Stability 172 Agreements 6 Mining Law 173 7 Agricultural Regime 175 5 Taxes 11
1 Hiring System 177 2 Current Fringe Benefits 178 6 3 Taxes and 180 Annexes Labor and Contributions Levied CON Employment • Principal Regulatory and Investment 203 on Remunerations Law 4 Termination of the 182 Promotion Entities in Peru Employment Contracts 5 Immigration 183 • Economic Promotion Institutions and 209 TEN Relevant Entitites 6 Supervisory Bodies 184 7 Additional Measures 184 due to the COVID-19 • EY Services for Business and 222 Public Health Crisis Investment in Peru TS 8 Repeal of the Agrarian 184 Labor Regime click on the title to go • Directory of Peruvian Embassies and 235 directly to the chapter Consulates 1 Accounting Standards 186 page 1 / page 2 7 • Directory of Regional Governments 248 Accounting Standards • Directory of Principal Chambers of 252 Commerce 1 Supervisory Bodies 188 2 Copyright 189 8 3 Industrial Property 190 Intellectual 4 Member Countries of the 192 Property Paris Convention Regulations
1 General Environmental 194 Act - Law 28611 9 2 Environmental 195 Environmental Certification and Climate 3 Paris Agreement: 197 Change Nationally Determined Regulation Contribution (NDC) Peru 4 Framework Act on 199 Climate Change 5 Peru's Carbon Footprint 200 6 Roadmap to a Circular 201 Economy Background 12 1 Information
BACKGROUND INFORMATION 1 Background 13 1 Information
Peru is a constitutional democratic republic with a the Legislative Branches, and they become law after multi-party system. Under the current Constitution being passed through Congress and enacted by the of 1993, the President is the Head of State and President of the Republic of Peru. The Judiciary Government, elected for a five-year period, without and the National Electoral Board are independent GOVERNMENT the possibility of running for immediate re-election. institutions. 1 The President designates the Prime Minister and the rest of the Cabinet. There is a 130-member The Peruvian Government is directly elected and unicameral Congress elected for a five-year term. voting is compulsory for all citizens between the Bills may be proposed either by the Executive or by ages of 18 and 70.
COUNTRY OVERVIEW
Type of Government Regional Governments Constitutional Republic 25 Regional Governments (including the Legal System Constitutional Province of Callao) Constitutional State of Law based on laws and codes Local Governments Executive Branch • 196 Provincial Municipalities • President of the Republic: Head of State and • 1,678 District Municipalities Government International Relations • Elections: Every five years by popular vote • Member of the United Nations since 1945 and a (consecutive re-election not permitted). Next member of the Security Council in 2006 and 2007. elections: April 2021 • Member of the World Trade Organization (WTO) • Cabinet: The Cabinet of Ministers is appointed by since 1995. the President • Member of the Pacific Alliance since its creation in Legislative Branch 2011. • Unicameral Congress (a bill has been submitted to • In 1998, it became a member of the Asia Pacific there is a bill to adopt bicameralism) Economic Cooperation (APEC) • 130 seats • Peru hosted the APEC and EU-LAC summits in • Members are elected by popular vote for a period of 2008 and the Arab-South American Summit (ASPA) five years in 2012. In 2013, Peru hosted the World Economic • Next elections: April 2021 Forum on Latin America. Furthermore, it was the Judiciary Branch site of the COP 20 (Climate Summit organized by Judges are appointed by the National Judge the UN) in 2014. It hosted the World Bank (WB) and Selection and Evaluation Board International Monetary Fund (IMF) Annual Assembly Main Autonomous Entities in 2015. It also hosted the Asia Pacific Economic • Constitutional Court Cooperation (APEC) Summit in 2016. Likewise, it • National Electoral Board hosted the Summit of the Americas in 2018. • Controller General's Office • Peru has entered into several economic cooperation • Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) and Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with many countries (see Section 2.4 Trade Agreements). • Superintendency of Banking and Insurance and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS)
Source: Peruvian Constitution / National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) / United Nations (UN) / Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE) Background 14 1 Information
Peru is located on the west central coast of South • The Highlands, or Sierra, is the site of the Andean America. It is bordered by the Pacific Ocean to the Mountain Range, covering 27.9% of the national west, by Chile to the south, by Brazil and Bolivia territory and serving as home to approximately to the east, and by Colombia and Ecuador to the 7.9 million inhabitants. This Region contains the north. With a total land area of 1,285,215.60 km2, GEOGRAPHY country's major mineral deposits. 2 Peru is the third largest country in South America after Argentina and Brazil, and can be divided • The Amazon Rainforest or Selva is the largest geographically into three natural regions: region and occupies 60.4% of the country's territory, rich in petroleum and forest resources. • The Coast, a narrow strip measuring There are approximately 3.1 million inhabitants in approximately 3,080 km long. Although it this area. accounts for only 11.7% of Peru's territory, it is home to approximately 21.6 million inhabitants. Lima, the political and financial capital of the country, is located in this Region.
OVERVIEW
Population Climate 32.6 million Ranges from tropical in the (estimate for 2020) Amazon Region to dry along • Urban: 79.3% the Coast, and temperate to • Rural: 20.7% very cold in the Highlands
Area Religion 1,285,215.60 km2 Freedom of Religion Principal Roman Catholic
Main Languages Time Zone Spanish, Quechua GMT – 5 (Greenwich Mean and Aymara Time minus five hours). There is no daylight saving time, and there is only one time zone throughout the entire country
Natural Resources Gold, copper, silver, zinc, lead, hydrocarbons, fisheries, phosphates and agricultural products such as grapes, avocado, coffee, potato, rice, cotton, asparagus, cocoa and organic banana, artichokes, sugar, quinoa, blueberries and corn.
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) / National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Background 15 1 Information
The official currency of Peru is the Sol (PEN - APPRECIATION / DEPRECIATION AND INFLATION S/). The country has a free-floating exchange rate regime, with the government occasionally As of the end of 2020, the inflation rate in Peru intervening for purposes of stabilization. As at was 1.9%. The annual depreciation rate of the Sol CURRENCY December 31, 2020, banks were buying US Dollars against the US Dollar for 2020 was 9.0%. 3 at PEN3.616 and selling them at PEN3.621. The AND gray market has very similar exchange rates. According to the Central Reserve Bank of Peru EXCHANGE (BCRP) it is estimated that at the end of the year RATE The Sol is one of the least volatile currencies 2021, the inflation rate will be 1.5% below in the world, exhibiting firmness in the face of the forecasted range, and depreciation will be international market and currency fluctuations. The around 2.0%. Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) implements fiscal stimulus and liquidity control measures. There are no restrictions or limitations on the number of 16.0 14.2 bank accounts in foreign currency or the remittance 12.0 of funds abroad that an individual or legal entity 9.6 9.0 8.0 6.4 4.7 4.4 may make. 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.9 1.9 4.0 1.4 1.5
Depreciation of the Sol of Depreciation 2.9 3.2 | 0.0 2.2 EXCHANGE RATE EVOLUTION: NUEVOS SOLES 4.0 -2.5 -1.7 -1.6 -2.0 PER USD 1 (END OF EACH YEAR) -4.2 -3.5 8.0
5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
4 3.62 3.41 3.50 Inflation Appreciation/Depreciation 3.36 3.24 3.37 3.31 2.99 the Sol of Appreciation 2.80 3 2.70 2.55 *Exchange rate is estimated at PEN3.50. Inflation forecast 2 according to the December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)/Ministry of 1 Economy and Finance (MEF) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
*Projection. December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 16 1 Information
The estimated population of Peru for 2020 is The main religion is Roman Catholicism, and approximately 32.6 million of which approximately the principal official languages are Spanish and 11.7 million (2020) reside in Lima (including the Quechua. The Aymara language is also spoken, population of the Constitutional Province of Callao). mostly in the Southern Highland Region, along POPULATION, The national workforce (total Economically Active with various other native languages, particularly 4 Population - EAP) is estimated at around 17.9 in the Amazon Jungle Region. As for literacy, the OCCUPATION million people (2019). estimated rate to be attained in 2020 is 94.4% of AND HUMAN the population over age 15. DEVELOPMENT POPULATION SUMMARY (ESTIMATE FOR 2020)
• 32.6 million (estimate for 2018) Population • 79.3% live in urban areas • 0 - 14 years old: 24.9% Age Range • 15 - 64 years old: 66.1% • 65 years or older: 9.0% Growth Rate • 1.004% Birth Rate • 17.4 births / 1,000 people Mortality Rate • 5.9 deaths / 1,000 people Gender Ratio • Births: 1.02 female / male Life Expectancy at Birth • 76.9 years
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
TOTAL POPULATION AND AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
35,000 2.82% 3.00 2.55% 31,826 32,162 32,495 32,625 30,475 30,814 31,150 31,488 29,798 30,136 30,000 29,132 29,462 2.50 25,000 2.04% 22,639 2.00 20,000 17,762 1.90% 1.50 14,122 15,000 1.56% 1.14% 1.13% 10,420 1.13% 1.12% 1.11% 1.10% 1.08% 1.07% 1.06% 1.04% 1.00% 1.00 10,000 7,023 1.13% 5,000 0.50 1940 1961 1972 1981 1993 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2020*
Total Population (in Thousands) Growth Rate (%)
*Estimate Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Background 17 1 Information
POPULATION CENSUS BY AREA OF RESIDENCE (%)
100 29.9 24.1 23.8 23.3 20.7 80 34.8 52.6 40.5 64.6 60 75.9 76.2 76.7 79.3 40 65.2 70.1 47.4 59.5 20 35.4 1940 1961 1972 1981 1993 2007 2014 2015 2020* Urban Area Rural Area
*Estimate Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
In 2020, the female population will be greater than while the population of the Highlands was 32.4%, the male population by 2%. The population on the and that of the Jungle was 9.6%. Coast accounted for 58.0% of the total population,
POPULATION BY NATURAL REGION ACCORDING TO THE CENSUS (%)
70 65.0 60 54.6 54.8 56.3 58.0 58.0 52.3 52.4 52.6 46.1 49.8 50 38.0 34.8 40 44.0 32.0 32.2 29.7 28.1 32.4 28.3 39.0 39.7 30 20 9.9 10.6 12.8 13.4 13.0 14.0 13.9 8.7 9.4 9.6 10 6.7 1940 1961 1972 1981 1993 2007 2013 2014 2015 2017 2020* Coast Highlands Amazon
*Estimate Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
EVOLUTION OF THE POPULATION PYRAMID
Age Group 2007 2020 2070 80 and Older 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 10-14 5-9 0-4 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% Men Women
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Background 18 1 Information
Of the total Peruvian population, 66.1% is between TRANSFORMATION OF THE SOCIAL STRUCTURE the ages of 15-59, while the Economically Active IN PERU Population (EAP) as of 2020 was 55.0% of the total, giving Peru a “demographic bonus” effect, which Socioeconomic Level – Urban Peru may be simply explained as the structural benefit (2000) of its population being of an age to produce and consume. It is estimated that this high percentage SEL AB of workforce will extend its maximum registration 10% period for up to two and a half more decades, and SEL C the power of this “demographic bonus” is that of 20% fostering greater production, consumption, savings, SEL D and investment. Perhaps the most important issue 30%
of this demographic overview is that Peru has SEL E the advantage of practically just having begun its 40% “demographic bonus” period, which will provide it with the conditions to make the necessary public and private investments in order to cover the Socioeconomic Level – Urban and Rural Peru demands and opportunities that arise from the (2019)
consumption of its “demographic bonus” period. SEL AB 12%
According to the information provided by the SEL C National Institute of Statistics and Information 27% (INEI) and the Peruvian Association of Market Research Companies (APEIM) the distribution SEL D 27% by levels of social structure of urban Peru has
undergone significant changes, if its behavior in SEL E recent years is taken into account. 34%
In 2019, there was an increase in socioeconomic levels (NSEs) C and D, which account for 54% Socioeconomic Level – Urban Peru (2019) of the country's urban and rural population. In Metropolitan Lima, the diamond-type social SEL AB structure shows a stronger middle class with a 28% higher purchasing power and equal conditions.
SEL C 42%
SEL D 24%
SEL E 6%
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) / Peruvian Association of Market Research Companies (APEIM) Background 19 1 Information
In 2020, the national illiteracy rate totaled 5.6% of PROJECTED POPULATION BY DEPARTMENT IN the population aged 15 and over. Thus, considering THOUSANDS (2020) the total national population aged 15 and over, the Lima 10,628 illiterate rural population represented 14.5%, while Piura 2,047 the percentage in urban areas came to 3.4%. Of the La Libertad 2,016 total male population over the age of 15, 2.9% were Arequipa 1,497 illiterate as of 2020, while 8.3% of women over the Cajamarca 1,453 age of 15 did not know how to read or write. These Junín 1,361 percentages keep decreasing year by year. Cusco 1,357 Lambayeque 1,310 ILLITERACY RATE OF THE POPULATION Puno 1,237 AGED 15 AND OVER, BY SEX AND AREA OF Áncash 1,180 RESIDENCE IN 2020 (%) Prov. Const. del Callao 1,129 Loreto 1,027 12 Ica 975 14 San Martín 899 12 Huánuco 760 10 Ayacucho 668 8.3 8 Ucayali 589 6 Apurímac 430 4 Amazonas 426 2.9 2 Tacna 370 Huancavelica 365 Male Female Pasco 271 Tumbes 251 Moquegua 192
Madre de Dios 173 16 14.5 14
12 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000
10,000 12,000 10
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) 8
6
Coinciding with the population percentages by 4 3.4
Region, the three most populous departments of 2 Peru belong to the Coast Region: Lima, Piura and
La Libertad, followed by Cajamarca, Puno, Junín, Urban Rural Cusco, and Arequipa. Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Background 20 1 Information
REAL MONTHLY INCOME PER CAPITA ACCORDING TO GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS (IN USD)
600 504.3 500 470.4 476.6 488.6 439.9 462.1 400 378.9 392.2 344.6 344.6 326.0
300 235.2 213.7 222.6 211.1 217.4 200 165.5 182.8 126.6 126.6 133.0 202.5 100 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Urban Rural
*Decrease explained mainly through the devaluation of the Sol against the US Dollar Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
POVERTY AND EMPLOYMENT
The boost of economic growth together with These graphs will give us a picture of the strong the development of social programs have impact on the overall situation in the years 2020 contributed to the relief and reduction of poverty. and 2021 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic In this regard, Peru has shown over the past few where some estimates increase extreme poverty years a sustained a reduction in poverty as a whole by up to 10 points being able to reach 30.3% of the and in extreme poverty. population in 2020.
TOTAL INCIDENCE OF POVERTY (%)
40 35 33.5 30.8 30.3 30 27.8 25.8 23.9 25 22.7 21.8 21.7 20.7 20.5 20.2 20 15 9.5 10 7.6 6.3 6.0 5.3 6.3 4.7 4.3 3.8 5 3.8 2.8 2.8 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Total Poverty Extreme Poverty
*Estimated Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) / Fondo de las Naciones Unidas para la Infancia (UNICEF) Background 21 1 Information
In 2019, the country's Economically Active Population (EAP) increased to 17.9 million persons, and the employed EAP totaled 17.3 million in the same period.
As of the third quarter of 2020, the EAP consists of 15.7 million people of which 90.4% are employed.
EVOLUTION OF THE ECONOMICALLY ACTIVE POPULATION (IN THOUSANDS)
30,000 25,109 24,943 25,000 23,034 23,771 21,579 22,303 20,875 17,970 20,000 17,307 15,949 16,328 16,498 17,216 15,448 15,307 15,683 15,919 16,511 15,779 15,000 14,758 14,257
10,000
5,000 1,522 691 642 645 697 705 663 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2020* Working-age Population Total EAP Working EAP Unemployed EAP
*As of 3rd quarter of 2020 Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
WORKING-AGE POPULATION BY ACTIVITY
Activity 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2020* Working–Age Population (WAP) 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 In Thousands 21,579.4 23,303.4 23,034.2 23,771.7 25,109.4 24,943 Economically Active Population (EAP) 73.9 73.2 71.6 72.4 71.6 63.3 (as % of the WAP) - Employed EAP (as % of the EAP) 96.0 96.0 96.5 96.3 96.3 90.4 - Unemployed EAP (as % of the EAP) 4.0 4.0 4.2 3.7 3.7 9.6 Economically Inactive Population (EIP) 26.1 26.8 28.6 27.6 28.4 36.7 (as % of the WAP)
*As of 3rd quarter of 2020 Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Background 22 1 Information
GINI INDEX SOCIAL PROGRESS INDEX
The Gini Index measures income inequality. The Social Progress Index, developed by Social This indicator is a number ranging from zero to Progress Imperative, integrates social and one, where zero implies perfect equality in the environmental indicators into three large groups: distribution of income and one implies perfect Basic Human Needs, Wellbeing and Opportunity. inequality (in other words, as if only one person or Peru is considered to be in the Upper Middle Social home that concentrates all the income exists). This Progress tier, with a score of 74.22 points, ranking coefficient is calculated for several countries of 59 out of the 163 countries analyzed. Latin America as follows: SOCIAL PROGRESS INDEX 2020 Latin America / Gini Index 2018 Argentina 0.396 Chile (34) 83.34 Bolivia 0.438
Brazil 0.540 Uruguay (38) 82.99 Chile 0.454 Colombia 0.497 Argentina (41) 80.66 Costa Rica 0.493 Ecuador 0.454 Ecuador (53) 75.45 El Salvador 0.405 Peru (59) 74.22 Guatemala (2014) 0.483 Honduras 0.481 Colombia (60) 74.00 Mexico (2016) 0.434
Nicaragua (2014) 0.462 Brazil (61) 73.91 Panama 0.498
Paraguay 0.474 Mexico (62) 73.52 Peru 0.439 Dominican Republic 0.444 Paraguay (70) 72.48 Uruguay 0.391 Bolivia (87) 69.23 Venezuela (2006) 0.469
Source: Social Panorama of Latin America 2019. Economic 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) Source: Social Progress Imperative
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to substantially change this index. Background 23 1 Information
SOCIAL PROGRESS INDEX
Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Foundations of Basic Human Needs 82.46 85 78.50 52 Opportunity 61.69 63 Wellbeing Nutrition & Basic Access to Basic 91.09 90 78.85 101 Personal Rights 81.56 62 Medical Care Knowledge Political rights Undernourishmnet Women with no 6.70 89 0.02 96 (0=no rights, 30.00 79 (% of pop.) schooling 40=full rights) Freedom of Child mortality rate Primary school expression (deaths/1,000 live 14.31 82 enrollment (% of 98.58 66 0.92 30 (0=no freedom, births) children) 1=full freedom) Maternal Secondary school Freedom of religion mortality rate 69.05 98 attainment (% of 62.20 88 (0=no freedom, 3.73 43 (deaths/100,000 live pop.) 4=full freedom) births) Gender parity Access to justice Child stunting (% de in secondary 12.00 85 0.16 109 (0=non-existent, 0.60 104 niños) attainment (distance 1=observed) from parity) Access to quality Property rights Deaths from education for women infectious diseases 73.11 107 1.31 120 4.24 81 (0=unequal, (0=no rights, (deaths/100,000) 4=equal) 5=full rights)
Access to Personal Freedom Water & Sanitation 83.71 92 Information & 78.50 59 59.71 108 & Choice Communications Deaths attributable Mobile telephone to unsafe water, Vulnerable subscriptions sanitation and 4.78 105 1 employment (% de 50.42 118 (subscriptions/100 123.76 hygiene (per employees) people) 100,000 pop.) Populations Access to online using unsafe or Early marriage (% of 17.69 81 government 0.76 55 11.13 114 unimproved water women) (0=low, 1=high) sources (%) Populations Satisfied demand for using unsafe Media censorship 32.37 111 3.48 27 contraception (% of 68.50 89 or unimproved (0=frequent, 4=rare) women) sanitation (%) Internet users Corruption 52.54 107 36.00 100 (% of pop.) (0=high, 100=low)
Overperforming by 1 or more pts. Overperforming by less than 1 pt. Performing within the expected range Underperforming by less than 1 pt. Underperforming by 1 or more pts. No data available Background 24 1 Information
Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank Foundations of Basic Human Needs 82.46 85 78.50 52 Opportunity 61.69 63 Wellbeing Shelter 90.30 82 Health and Wellness 73.45 50 Inclusiveness 47.14 83 Acceptance of gays Access to electricity Life expectancy at 95.20 126 25.11 13 and lesbians 0.36 53 (% of pop.) 60 (years) (0=low, 100=high) Premature Household Discrimination and deaths from non- air pollution violence against 25.17 45 communicable 9 8.30 141 attributable deaths 178.08 minorities diseases (deaths/100,000) (0=low, 10=high) (deaths/100,000) Equality of political Usage of clean fuels Access to essential power by gender and technology for 80.00 99 services (0=none, 72.95 77 2.40 47 (0=unequal power, cooking (% of pop.) 100=full coverage) 4=equal power) Equality of Access to quality politial power by healthcare socioeconomic 1.48 117 2.51 54 (0=unequal, position 4=equal) (0=unequal power, 4=equal power) Equality of political power by social group 1.80 120 (0=unequal power, 4=equal power)
Environmental Access to Advanced Personal Safety 64.73 102 83.22 60 58.34 74 Quality Education Outdoor air pollution Homicide rate Expected years of 7.91 113 attributable deaths 17.89 48 3.54 25 (deaths/100,000) tertiary education (deaths=100,000) Greenhpuse gas Women with Percieved criminality 4.00 88 emissions (total CO2 143 advanced education 0.38 125 (1=low, 5=high) 111.00 equivalent) (%) Political killings and torture Quality weighted 0.85 67 Particulate matter 24.64 109 18.20 56 (0=low freedom, universities (points) 1=high freedom) Traffic deaths 13.40 86 Biome protection 14.55 79 Citable documents 0.12 114 (deaths/100,000)
Overperforming by 1 or more pts. Overperforming by less than 1 pt. Performing within the expected range Underperforming by less than 1 pt. Underperforming by 1 or more pts. No data available
Source: Social Progress Imperative Background 25 1 Information
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
The Human Development Index (HDI) is a compound index that measures the average advances in three basic groups of human development: a long and healthy life; knowledge; decent standards of living, via the combination of indicators for life expectancy, educational achievements, and income. The HDI defines a minimum and maximum value for each group (called “objectives”) and then shows the position of each country with regard to these objective values, expressed in the form of a value between 0 and 1. According to the 2019 Human Development Report issued by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) the ranking and evolution of the six principal countries in Latin America are as follows:
Classification Growth Rate Ranking 1980 1990 2000 2005 2011 2015 2019 Country 2019 / 1980 World Total 0.561 0.600 0.639 0.666 0.692 0.717 0.731 30% Latin America and The 0.574 0.623 0.683 0.708 0.739 0.751 0.759 32% Caribbean Very High Human Development 42 • Chile 0.638 0.702 0.759 0.789 0.817 0.847 0.847 33% 48 • Argentina 0.675 0.701 0.755 0.771 0.810 0.827 0.830 23% High Human Development 76 • Mexico 0.598 0.654 0.723 0.745 0.773 0.762 0.767 28% 79 • Brazil 0.522 0.590 0.669 0.699 0.728 0.754 0.761 46% 79 • Colombia 0.556 0.600 0.658 0.681 0.717 0.727 0.761 37% 82 • Peru 0.580 0.619 0.679 0.699 0.738 0.740 0.759 31%
Note: The ranking refers to each country's position in the world classification for 2019. Source: United Nations Development Program (UNDP)
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to substantially change this index. Background 26 1 Information
Gross Domestic Peru has rich deposits of copper, silver, gold, lead, • USD196 billion (20201) Product (GDP) zinc, natural gas, and petroleum. Due to climate GDP per Capita • USD6,267 (20202) variations in its regions, as well as its natural and GDP per Capita cultural resources, it is internationally classified as a ECONOMY (Purchasing Power • USD11,516 (20201) mega-diverse country. 5 Parity / PPP) Net International • USD74.7 billion Peru's economy reflects its varied geography. Reserves (as at December 31, 2020) The abundance of resources is found mainly in • USD21.9 billion mineral deposits in the mountainous regions, Foreign Debt (as at November 30,2020) while its extensive maritime territory has always Total Public Debt • 35.1% of the GDP (20202) traditionally yielded excellent fishing resources. Despite the fluctuations of the world economy, the Fixed Gross • 20.5 of the GDP (20202) administration has used the savings generated by Investment the high prices of commodities between 2006 and Unemployment • 9.6% (as at October 31, 2020) 2008 and 2011 and 2012 to invest in infrastructure Rate and in social aid programs. Population Living Below the Poverty • 30.3 (20203) The Peruvian economy has strong macroeconomic Line indicators thanks to the implementation of a Minimum Wage • S/930 (approximately USD262) countercyclical macroeconomic policy and a • China, United States, Canada, Principal favorable external environment. Accordingly, Switzerland, South Korea, Destinations of following an estimated drop in GDP of 11.5% Japan, India, Brazil, The Peruvian Exports in 2020, a speedy recovery is expected, with Netherlands, Chile a GDP growth of 11.5% in 2021 as estimated • Gold, copper, silver, zinc, lead, by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) as crude oil and byproducts, coffee, of December 2020. Additionally, the Peruvian potatoes, asparagus, paprika, Principal Exports organic bananas, quinoa, economy would grow 4.1% annually on average artichoke, berries, mango, between 2022 and 2026, according to estimates by cacao, textiles, fishmeal the Ministry of Economy and Finance. and urea • China, United States, Brazil, Peru also stands out for its controlled inflation, with Principal Countries Mexico, Argentina, Chile, anchored expectations with the target range set by of Origin of Colombia, Ecuador, Germany, the Peruvian Central Reserve Bank (BCRP) (between Imports to Peru Japan 1% and 3%), thus reporting the lowest rates out of • Petroleum and byproducts, all the countries that follow this same system in electronic items, plastics, Latin America. In fact, 2020 will mark 23 years of Principal Imports machinery, vehicles, iron and single-digit annual inflation rates. steel, wheat and paper The Peruvian economy is likewise notable for 1Calculated according to the World Economic Outlook for its gross public debt ratio, which is expected to October 2020. International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2Calculated according to the December 2020 Inflation Report. increase to 35.1% of the GDP, significantly lower 3Estimate from the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) as of than that of emerging economies (63.1% of GDP) October 2020 and Latin America (81.5% of GDP). Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) / Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) / International Labor Organization (ILO) / National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) / International Monetary Fund (IMF) Background 27 1 Information
Peru is estimated to maintain a comfortable level of Peru's response to the economic impact of international reserves. As of December 31, 2020, COVID-19 has been one of the most notable in these reserves total USD74.7 billion, equivalent to the world, especially in its efforts to counteract 38% of the GDP. the effects of the economic emergency. The macroeconomic soundness achieved through years As a result of the estimated evolution over the of tax prudence and a well thought out monetary coming years of its public finances and its economy policy have allowed Peru to maintain stability and in general, Peruvian public debt has maintained provided it with sufficient resources to tackle the its credit rating (S&P and Fitch Rating: BBB+ / crisis. The government's forceful response has Moody's: A3), with a stable outlook, unlike the included tax measures totaling approximately 20% downward revisions experienced by other countries of its GDP, even exceeding the average for more in the region. developed countries (19.8% of GDP). The range of public spending instruments, tax measures, and It should be noted that Peru is a member country of other steps cover both the private sector and the the Pacific Alliance, an entity that seeks to free up general public. the commercial exchange of goods and services, the free circulation of people and capital, and Monetary policy has been expansive, with an promote cooperation mechanisms between the interbank interest rate among the lowest in the member countries, i.e. Peru, Chile, Mexico, and region with a view to ensuring the liquidity of Colombia. Peru is also following a Country Program the economy. executed with the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) to strengthen its public policies.
INDEX OF SEVERITY OF GOVERNMENTAL RESPONSE TO COVID-19, MARCH 2020 (100=strictest response)
Peru 94
Italy 92
Spain 85
Brazil 75
Chile 73
United States 73
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
As at August 17, 2020 Source: Hale et al. (2020), Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker, Blavatnik School of Government Background 28 1 Information
SUMMARY OF TAX MEASURES IN RESPONSE TO COVID-19 (% OF GDP)
40.9 40 37.5 35.3 9.4 3.5 30 11.3 19.8 20.0 20 17.7 34.0 6.9 31.5 8.9 12.2 11.9 7.7 9.0 10 24.0 2.3 5.8 6.5 3.0 5.1 4.8 10.9 10.8 10.0 1.2 6.4 5.4 6.0 3.1 2.8 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.2 Germany Italy Japan Developed Peru Chile Group of Brazil Colombia Emerging Argentina Low-Income Countries Twenty Countries Developing (G-20) Countries
Below the Line (1) Others (2) Above the Line (3)
Note: Country average is determined based on data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Developed Countries: France, Germany, United States, etc. (1) Tax policy measures involving the granting of government-backed credits. (2) In the case of Peru, the Plan includes cash flow measures from the public's private savings, such as severance pay and private pension funds. (3) Tax policy measures involving public spending and taxes. Sources: International Monetary Fund (IMF), Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (CEPAL), Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF)
ECONOMIC STIMULUS PACKAGES IN RESPONSE TO COVID-19 IN LATIN AMERICA, 2020 (% OF GDP)
25 20.0 20 17.7 15 11.9 10 9.0
5 4.8 1.2
Peru Chile Brazil Colombia Argentina Mexico
Includes information on economic packages as of July 2020. Sources: International Monetary Fund (IMF), Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (CEPAL), Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF)
MONETARY POLICY INTEREST RATES IN LATIN AMERICA (%)
8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.25 4.0 3.0 2.00 2.0 1.75 1.0 0.50 0.25
Mexico Brazil Colombia Chile Peru
January 2020 July 2020 December 2020
Sources: Central banks of each country Background 29 1 Information
PERU'S ECONOMIC PLAN IN RESPONSE TO COVID-19
Public Spending Tax Measures Other Instruments (4.6% of the GDP) (2.3% of the GDP) (13.0% of the GDP) Exemption from contributions and Emergency response Tax relief for families (liquidity) extraordinary withdrawal from pension funds Economic support for families Tax relief for companies (liquidity) Release of severance pay funds Guarantee program to ensure the Economic support for companies Administrative aid chain of payments Promotion of investment and Tax measures Economic support measures current expenditures
Focused on containment Focused on economic reactivation
Source: Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF), National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
With the referred measures Peru will attain one of the highest growth and recovery rates in 2021 (11.0% as estimated by the Central Reserve Bank of Peru-BCRP) well above those of the emerging economies (6.0%) and the remaining countries of Latin America and the Caribbean (3.6%) according to the latest forecasts issued in October by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
GDP GROWTH IN MAJOR ECONOMIES (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
2.8 World -4.4 5.2
1.7 Developed -5.8 economies 3.9 Emerging 3.7 -3.3 economies 6.0
Latin America and 0.1 -8.1 the Caribbean 3.6
2.2 Peru -11.5 11.5
-14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2019 2020* 2021*
*World Economic Outlook forecasts as of October 2020. For Peru, forecasts are based on the December 2020 Inflation Report. Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), International Monetary Fund (IMF) Background 30 1 Information
ESTIMATED GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) PERCENTAGE GROWTH RATES IN LATIN AMERICA
12 11.5 10 8 5.5 6 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.0 4 3.5 2.2 3.3 2.8 2 0.2 1.1 0.2 1.1 0 -0.1 -2 -2.2 -4 -4.5 -4.0 -6 -6.0 -5.8 -8 -8.2 10 -9.0
-12 -11.5 -11.8 -14 Peru Argentina Uruguay Chile Colombia Mexico Paraguay Brazil
2019 2020* 2021*
*Estimated. World Economic Outlook, October 2020. For Peru, forecasts are based on the December 2020 Inflation Report. Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
MAIN ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES IN THE REGIONS OF PERU
~ Fisheries ¥ Textile Industry Ecuador Colombia + Petroleum # Cement Plant
~ ¬ Oil Refinery µ Chemicals Plant Cabo~ Blanco ∏ Iquitos ¬ ¤ Sugar Refinery Ф Metals Industry ~ + ¥ Au Talara + ¤ Cajamarca + ª Fishmeal Plant ∆ Foundry Chiclayo ~ # Pacasmayo Metal-Mechanical Pucallpa ¬ ^ Natural Gas ∏ ~ ¤ ¥ Brazil Plant Zn Pb Trujillo Ag + ~ Au Gold Pb Lead ª ∆ ∏ ~ Ag Chimbote ¤ µ # ∆ Pb Zn Ag Silver Fe Iron ~Paramonga La Oroya Cu Au Ag Sn ¬ ∏ ¥ # µ Cu Copper Tin ª Au Zn Lima - Callao Ag ~ ¥ µ ^ Zn Zinc ¥ Fe Cuzco ª Zn ¥ Pisco Au Ag # ~ Ica ¥ ~ # Puno Arequipa Sn ~ Cu ~ ¤ Bolivia Mollendo~ ª ∆ ~ Ilo ~ Chile
Source: University of Texas - Perry Castaneda Library Map Collection Background 31 1 Information
REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) OF PERU (IN USD BILLIONS)
231 250 225 214 211 201 201 200 193 190 194 196 172 148 150
100
50 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*Estimated as of October 2020 Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF)
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
11.5 10 8.5 8 5.8 6 6.5 3.3 4.0 4.0 4 6.0 2.2 2 2.4 2.5 0
-11.5 -12 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) BY INDUSTRY (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
Type of Company 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Agriculture and Livestock 4.1 5.9 2.7 1.6 3.5 2.7 2.8 7.8 3.4 0.7 2.7 Fisheries 52.9 -32.2 24.8 -27.9 15.9 -10.1 4.7 47.7 -25.9 3.0 8.5 Mining -2.1 2.5 4.3 -2.2 15.7 21.2 4.5 -1.7 -0.8 -14.1 14.4 Hydrocarbons 5.1 1.0 7.2 4.0 -11.5 -5.1 -2.4 0.0 4.6 -11.1 6.8 Manufacturing 8.6 2.5 4.9 -3.6 -1.5 -1.4 -0.2 5.9 -1.7 -1.7 8.0 Electricity and Water 7.6 5.8 5.4 4.9 5.9 7.3 1.1 4.4 3.9 -6.1 7.9 Construction 3.6 15.8 9.0 1.9 -5.8 -3.2 2.1 5.3 1.5 -15.6 17.4 Commerce 8.9 7.2 5.9 4.4 3.9 1.8 1.0 2.6 3.0 -16.2 18.4 Other Services 7.0 7.0 6.1 5.1 4.1 4.1 3.3 4.4 3.8 -10.6 9.5 GDP 6.5 6.0 5.8 2.4 3.3 4.0 2.5 4.0 2.2 -11.5 11.5
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 32 1 Information
PERU'S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) BY ECONOMIC SECTOR IN PERCENTAGES, BASED ON THE ECONOMIC STRUCTURE OF THE YEAR 2007
Manufacturing Construction Finance and Fisheries 16.5% 5.1% Insurance 0.7% 3.2% Mining and Transport and Accommodation Other Services Hydrocarbons Couriers and Restaurants 14.9% 14.4% 5.0% 2.9% Commerce Public Administration Telecommunications Import Duties and 10.2% and Defense 2.7% other Taxes 4.3% 8.3% Agriculture Services Provided Electricity and Livestock to Companies and Water 5.9% 4.2% 1.7%
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI)
NET INTERNATIONAL RESERVES (IN USD MILLIONS)
80 74,707 70 68,316 63,991 65,663 63,621 62,308 61,485 61,686 60,121 60
50 48,816 44,105 40 31,196 33,135 30 27,689
20 17,275 12,631 14,097 10,194 10 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
NET INTERNATIONAL RESERVES 2019 (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
Chile 15
Colombia 16
Mexico 14
Perú 38 (2020)
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Source: Bank of Mexico, Bank of the Republic of Colombia, Central Bank of Chile, Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 33 1 Information
DOLLARIZATION RATE OF BANK CREDITS
50 46.1 44.6 42.9 42.2 40 38.2 30.5 29.1 29.3 30 27.8 25.9 20.7 20
10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of November 2020 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP). International Monetary Fund (IMF)
DOLLARIZATION RATE OF BANK DEPOSITS
60
50 46.1 45.1 46.0 45.4 42.4 42.4 39.5 40 38.0 37.0 35.8 31.2 30
20
10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of November 2020 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP). International Monetary Fund (IMF)
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) BY TYPE OF EXPENDITURE (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
Variables 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Gross Domestic 6.5 6.0 5.8 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.5 4.0 2.2 -11.5 11.5 Product Imports 9.8 10.4 3.6 -1.4 2.4 -1.7 3.6 3.2 1.2 -16.5 10.1 Domestic Demand 7.8 7.3 7.2 2.2 2.9 1.1 1.4 4.2 2.3 -10.7 10.2 a. Private 6.4 5.8 5.3 4.1 3.4 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.0 -9.8 8.8 Consumption b. Public 4.8 9.4 6.7 10.1 9.5 5.7 3.0 0.1 2.1 5.4 5.7 Consumption Private Investment 11.4 13.5 6.4 -2.1 -4.5 -4.3 5.0 4.5 4.0 -19.0 17.5 Public Investment -18.0 20.8 12.1 -2.0 -7.5 10.3 4.5 5.6 -1.4 -9.1 14.0 Exports 8.8 5.4 -0.9 -0.8 3.3 6.9 5.5 2.4 0.8 -18.8 15.3
*According to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF), public investment and private investment registered a fall of 9.1% and 19.0% respectively in 2020. December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 34 1 Information
DOMESTIC DEMAND (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
16 14.9 12.1 13.3 12 10.2 7.8 8 7.3 7.2 4.2 2.9 4 2.2 1.1 1.4 2.3 0
-4 -3.5 -8
-12 -10.7 -16 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
COMPANIES WITH ANNUAL REVENUES OF MORE THAN USD360 MILLIONS (MORE THAN ONE BILLION SOLES)
300
250 30 40 30 30 40 30 35 30 200 30
150 20
15 15 15 100 13 8 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
ECompanies with a turnover >= USD360 MM Companies with a turnover >= USD545 MM Companies with a turnover >= USD725 MM Companies with a turnover >= USD900 MM
Source: Peru Top Publications / Top 10k Companies in Peru 2020 Background 35 1 Information
At the end of 2019, total exports amounted to Exports of the oil and petroleum byproducts sector USD47.7 billion, while imports totaled USD41.1 (USD3.121 billion) dropped by 26%. Crude oil billion. The main exports stemmed from the mining, and oil byproducts dropped by 12.2% and 26.5%, hydrocarbons, agricultural and livestock, and respectively. fisheries industries. In addition, traditional agricultural exports showed According to the estimates, Peruvian exports would an upward trend of 2.1% in 2019, while fisheries reach USD42.0 billion in 2020, while imports would suffered a slight decrease of 0.5%. account for an approximate amount of USD34.2 billion. In 2019, nontraditional exports reached their peak in over ten years, after maintaining sustained In 2019, traditional exports totaled USD32.188 growth since 2016. These results are due to the billion, 70% of total exports abroad, as a result stable performance of agricultural exports (7%), the of delayed shipments in the mining and the oil fisheries sector (18.5%), and chemicals industry and petroleum byproducts sectors, which jointly (3.5%). accounted for 64.1% of total exports and 91.6% of traditional exports. Three of the most important export products of the agriculture and livestock sector, which accounted Similarly, mining exports (USD26.372 billion), which for 45.8% of all nontraditional exports, were fresh account for 81.9% of traditional exports registered grapes (USD875 million; 8%), blueberries (USD825 a decline of 5.3% compared to 2018. This result million; 51%), and avocados (USD752 million; 4%). was due to lower copper and copper concentrate For its part, the fisheries sector continued to grow shipments (USD12.187 billion; -6.6%), which thanks to increased shipments of frozen mollusks accounted for 46.2% of the sector's exports; as well (USD578 million; 65%); cuttlefish and squid as gold (USD6.776 billion; -5.7%) and other zinc (USD262 million; 5.6%), and other frozen shell- concentrates (USD1.633 billion; -24.8%). tailed shrimp (USD92 million, -1.4%).
TRADE BALANCE (IN USD BILLIONS)
51.9 49.1 50 46.4 47.4 47.7 42.9 45.4 41.0 42.4 41.9 42.0 39.5 41.0 37.3 38.7 41.1 40 35.8 37.2 37.0 35.1 38.7 34.4 34.2 27.1 28.8
USD billones 30 21.0 20 13.2 9.2 7.2 7.8 10 6.1 7.0 6.4 6.7 6.6 1.9 0.5 0 -1.5 -2.9 -10 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Exports Imports Trade Balance
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 36 1 Information
TRADITIONAL AND NON-TRADITIONAL EXPORTS IN USD BILLIONS
40 35.9 35.9 36.9 33.4 31.6 27.9 35.6 33.7 30 27.7 26.1 21.8 23.3 20.7 23.4 28.9 20 13.2 13.7 15.0 11.7 11.9 10.2 11.2 11.1 10.9 10.8 10 6.3 7.6 6.2 7.7 13.1 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Non-traditional Traditional
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
EXPORTS BY ECONOMIC SECTOR, AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 (INTERANUAL VARIATION %)
-40.2%
-54.8% Miscellaneous (including Jewelry)
-25.6% Hides and Skins Wood and Paper -12.2% Handcrafts -28.1% Non-Metallic Mining -29.3% Iron and Steel -19.8% Metalworking -5.3% Chemicals -19.4% Fisheries
-27.5% Textiles
8.2% Agriculture and Livestock Agricultural* -2.9% Oil and Byproducts* -58.4% Fisheries* -22.7% Mining* -15.0%
-80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20%
*Traditional Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT) Background 37 1 Information
IMPORT OF CONSUMER GOODS ACCORDING TO CUODE, AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 (INTERANUAL VARIATION %)
Transportation Equipment 2.7% Capital Goods for Industry -25.1% Capital Goods for Agriculture -48.2% Construction Materials 4.3% Raw Materials and Intermediate -11.5% Goods for Industry
-19.0% Raw Materials and Intermediate Goods for Agriculture -3.7% Fuels, Lubricants, and -10.9% Related Goods
-33.1% Durable Consumer Goods Nondurable Consumer Goods
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10%
Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
EXPORTS BY TRADING PARTNER IN USD THOUSANDS – TOP TEN PARTNERS AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 (THOUSANDS OF USD)
China 9,861,811 United States 5,585,309 Canada 2,137,280 South Korea 1,959,282 Japan 1,606,575 Netherlands 1,300,545 Switzerland 1,218,703 Spain 983,143 Chile 968,524 India 968,181
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT) Background 38 1 Information
IMPORTS BY TRADING PARTNER– TOP TEN PARTNERS AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 (THOUSANDS OF USD)
China 6,955,874 United States 4,760,327 Brazil 1,394,838 Argentina 1,206,394 Mexico 1,029,903 Chile 764,120 Germany 746,345 Colombia 710,398 India 576,261 Canada 582,655
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000
Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
ECONOMIC RESULTS (TAX SURPLUS / DEFICIT) OF THE NON-FINANCIAL PUBLIC SECTOR (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
2.9 3 2.4 2.1 2.3 2 1 0.9 0 -0.2 -1 -0.3 -1.3 -2 -1.6 -2.0 -3 -2.5 -2.5 -3.1 -4 -5 -4.4 -6 -7 -8 -9 -8.9 -10 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 39 1 Information
PUBLIC SPENDING IN PERU (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
16 15.9 14 12.5 11.8 14.7 15.9 12 13.3 12.0 12.4 12.6 10 8 7.7 8.4 6.0 6 3.6 4 2.5 2 1.0 0 0.1 -2 -0.5 -1.2 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
In 2019, the central government's tax revenues than that collected in 2019, which is the result of totaled PEN110.7 billion. However, in 2020 they a contraction in the economic activity due to the reached PEN93.1 billion, an amount 17.4% lower immobilization measures to face COVID-19.
TAX BURDEN (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
20 16.9 16.4 16.8 16 15.6 15.7 14.8 15.5 15.2 14.8 13.8 14.4 14.5 14.1 13.4 13.4 12
8
4 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) / National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
TAX BURDEN IN LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN 2019 (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
Peru 14.8
Ecuador 20.6
Latin America and the Caribbean 23.2
Chile 21.1
Colombia 19.4
Venezuela 14.4
10 20 30
Source: 2021-2024 Multiannual Macroeconomic Framework (MEF), December 2020 Inflation Report (Central Reserve Bank of Peru – BCRP) Background 40 1 Information
PUBLIC DEBT (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
50 46.0
40 9.6 32.3 35.1 34.4 30 9.0 24.9 25.7 26.8 15.0 13.6 23.3 23.9 19.9 19.2 19.9 8.5 20 8.8 8.9 36.4 10.4 9.8 8.8 8.8 11.1 10 23.2 20.1 20.8 16.1 16.8 18.3 10.1 10.4 11.1 12.2 13.5 2000 2006 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Domestic Non-Domestic
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
TOTAL PUBLIC DEBT IN 2020* IN LATIN AMERICA (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
Peru 35.1
Latin America and the Caribbean 79.3
Mexico 65.5
Brazil 101.4
20 40 60 80 100 120
*Estimated Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), World Economic Outlook, October 2020 (FMI)
DEBT OF NON-FINANCIAL PUBLIC SECTOR (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
40 34.1 35.1 34.4 29.9 30 26.9 27.2 25.8 25.2 24.9 26.8 24.0 24.3 23.3 23.8 21.6 22.5 19.9 19.9 20 18.0 19.2 14.1 14.3 13.0 12.2 11.3 9.5 10 7.6 6.8 3.9 5.4 2.7 3.0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
Gross Debt Net Debt
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 41 1 Information
Peru has been positively rated by the best-known Recently, an increasing number of multinational risk rating agencies, thereby ratifying the country's corporations have been looking at Peru with investment grade. The factors that support this greater interest. The subsequent increase in jobs rating are the solid economic prospects reflected and decrease in poverty will predictably help COUNTRY by a 2.2% rise in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) improve social welfare. 6 in 2019 and an estimated economic recovery RISK AND of 11.5% in 2021 (based on the forecasts of The progress made in watching out for the tax INVESTMENT December 2020). These economic forecasts are results, the promotion of investment in important backed by the rapid growth in investments and the job creation sources (such as infrastructure, GRADE significant drop in tax and external vulnerabilities, mining, hydrocarbons and telecommunications) thus attaining growth with low inflation rates and the implementation of tenders as a specific strong macroeconomic policies. As a result Peru “countercyclical” measure in response to the has obtained the investment grade and attracted economic slowdown, as well as the measures taken international attention. to modify the tax system included in Sections 5 and 6 of this Guide (Taxes and Labor System, respectively) allow us to observe how Peru channels its development towards improving its investment grade.
PERU'S INVESTMENT GRADE RATINGS
Country S&P Fitch Moody's S&P / Fitch Moody's Feature Chile A+ A- A1 AAA Aaa Risk Free Peru BBB+ BBB+ A3 AA+, AA, AA- Aa1, Aa2, Aa3 High Grade Mexico BBB BBB- Baa1 High Repayment A+, A, A- A1, A2, A3 Colombia BBB- BBB- Baa2 Capacity Uruguay BBB BBB- Baa2 BBB+, BBB, Baa1, Baa2, Moderate BBB- Baa3 Repayment Capacity Paraguay BB BB+ Ba1 Some Repayment Bolivia B+ B B2 BB+, BB, BB- Ba1, Ba2, Ba3 Capacity Brazil BB- BB- Ba2 Highly Uncertain B+, B, B- B1, B2, B3 Argentina CCC+ CCC Ca Repayment Capacity Ecuador B- B- Caa3 Extremely CCC+, CCC, Caa1, Caa2, Vulnerable to Venezuela SD WD C CCC-,CC Caa3 Default As of December 2020 Source: Standard & Poor's / Fitch Ratings / Moody's SD/RD C Default
Source: Bloomberg Background 42 1 Information
EVOLUTION OF THE LONG-TERM DEBT RATING IN FOREIGN CURRENCY
Agency 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Fitch BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB- BBB BBB BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ S&P BB+ BBB- BBB- BBB- BBB BBB BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ BBB+ Moody's Ba2 Ba1 Baa3 Baa3 Baa3 Baa2 Baa2 A3 A3 A3 A3 A3 A3 A3
Source: Standard & Poor's / Fitch Ratings / Moody's
RISK RATING OF THE REGION ACCORDING COUNTRY RISK (EMBIG) TO MOODY'S As of December 31, 2020, Peru had a country risk of 143 base points,the lowest in Latin America. A1 Chile This score is almost the third part of the regional average (407 points). A3 Peru Additionally, in early January 2018, Bloomberg
Baa1 Mexico Markets positioned Peru as the ninth emerging Baa1 market with the greatest international projection, based on the country's advantages, such as low Baa2 Colombia prices of shares of stock and their possible increase Ba1 in the future. Ba2 Brazil
B1 As may be seen in the following charts, Peru's level of inflation is one of the lowest in Latin America, with a rate of 1.9% in 2020, and an estimated target B3 Ca Argentina range below 3% for 2021. In addition, over the past decade, the Peruvian economy had the lowest
Caa1 average annual inflation rate in Latin America, at 2.5%, below that of Chile (3.1%) Colombia (3.8%) 1999 2020* and Brazil (5.8%). *As of December 2020 Source: Moody's Background 43 1 Information
COUNTRY RISK INDICATOR - EMBIG (IN BASE POINTS)
4,000 Argentina 3,500 1,390 Latin America 3,000 407
2,500 Mexico 392
2,000 Brazil 255 1,500 Colombia 210 1,000 Chile 147 500 Peru 0 143 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of December 2020 Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
ESTIMATED INFLATION RATES IN LATIN AMERICA (IN PERCENTAGE)
1.9 Peru 1.9 1.5
4.3 Brazil 2.0 2.9
3.0 Chile 2.4 2.9
2.8 Mexico 3.7 2.9
3.8 Colombia 1.4 2.4
8.8 Uruguay 9.5 7.5
2 4 6 8 10 12 2019 2020* 2021*
*Estimate. World Economic Outlook Database, October 2020. For Peru, forecasts are based on the December 2020 Inflation Report. Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF) / Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Business 44 2 Environment
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT 2 Business 45 2 Environment
LEGISLATION AND TRENDS IN FOREIGN FAVORABLE LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR INVESTMENT IN PERU FOREIGN INVESTORS
Peru seeks to attract both domestic and foreign Peru offers a legal framework1 that protects foreign INVESTMENT investment in all sectors of the economy. To achieve investors' interests by offering them: 1 this, it has taken the necessary steps to establish PROMOTION a consistent investment policy that eliminates any • An equal and non-discriminatory treatment CONDITIONS barriers that foreign investors may face. As a result, • Unrestricted access to the majority of economic Peru is considered a country with one of the most sectors open investment systems in the world. • Free capital transfer
Peru has adopted a legal framework for investments that requires no previous authorization for foreign Additionally, Peruvian and foreign investors are investment. In this regard, foreign investments are provided with: allowed without restrictions in the large majority of economic activities. The activities with restrictions • Right to free competition are very specific, such as air transportation, sea • Guarantee of private property (no expropriations transportation, private safety and surveillance and or nationalizations) the manufacture of war weaponry. • Freedom to acquire shares in Peruvian corporations Additionally, Peru has a legal framework to protect • Freedom to access internal and external credit the economic stability of investors and to reduce government interference in economic activities. The • Freedom to transfer royalties and profits from Peruvian Government guarantees legal stability to their investment national and foreign investors with regard to the • Simplicity for most operations, whether in local legislation governing income tax and specifically, currency (Sol) or U.S. Dollars, without foreign distribution of dividends. Foreign investors with exchange controls. the right to obtain legal and tax stability are those • A country with a vast network of investment willing to invest in Peru for a period of no less than agreements and membership in the Investment two years and for a minimum amount of USD10 Committee of the Organization for Economic Co- million in the Mining and/or Hydrocarbons sectors, operation and Development (OECD) or USD5 million in any other economic activity. Direct foreign investments must be registered with Peru's legal provisions, regulations, and practices the Agency for the Promotion of Private Investment do not discriminate between domestic and (ProInversión). foreign corporations. There are no restrictions on repatriation of profits, international transfers Foreign investors may remit abroad the net profits of capital, or foreign exchange practices. The (without any restriction whatsoever) from their remittance of interest and royalties is also not registered investments, as well as transferring their restricted in any way. Foreign currency may be shares, ownership interests, or participatory rights, allocated to acquire goods abroad or cover financial perform capital reductions, and dissolve or wind-up obligations, provided the operator complies with their companies. Peruvian tax laws.
1 Constitutional provisions; “Foreign Investment Act,” Legislative Order (Decreto Legislativo) 662; “Framework Law for the Growth of Private Investment,” Legislative Order 757; as amended, and Regulations thereof. Taken from ProInversión. Business 46 2 Environment
RECOGNITION OF FAVORABLE INVESTMENT CLIMATE
According to the Global Competitiveness Index ranking, Peru is among the top countries in Latin America in terms of macroeconomic framework, health, market size, goods market, and financial system.
2018 2019 Ranking Score Ranking Score Peru Total 63/140 61.3 65/141 61.7
Basic Requirements 64 64.1 70 64.2 Institutions 90 50.2 94 48.9 Infrastructure 85 62.4 88 62.3 Information Technologies 94 43.9 98 45.7 Macroeconomic Framework 1 100.0 1 100.0 Human Capital 43 75.5 44 77.4 Health 32 93.3 19 94.6 Skills 83 58.6 81 60.2 Markets 48 60.1 51 59.9 Goods 50 59.5 56 57.1 Labor 72 58.8 77 59.0 Financial System 63 60.5 67 61.4 Size 49 61.6 49 62.2 Innovation Ecosystem 93 43.2 94 44.3 Business Sophistication 92 54.5 97 55.8 Innovation Capacity 89 31.9 90 32.7
Source: Global Competitiveness Index 2019. World Economic Forum Business 47 2 Environment
BUSINESS FACILITIES IN PERU
According to Doing Business 2020, Peru ranks 76th out of 190 countries in terms of readily available facilities to startup a company and of doing business, ranking sixth among the countries of Latin America. According to Forbes 2019, Peru ranks 64th among the best countries in the world for doing business, and fifth in Latin America.
DOING BUSINESS FORBES
Ranking for Latin America Best Countries for Doing Business Position Country Position Country 59 Chile 33 Chile 60 Mexico 48 Costa Rica 65 Puerto Rico (United States) 54 Mexico 67 Colombia 58 Uruguay 74 Costa Rica 64 Peru 76 Peru 67 Colombia 86 Panama 73 Brazil 91 El Salvador 75 Panama 96 Guatemala 76 Argentina 101 Uruguay 91 Dominican Republic 115 Dominican Republic 97 Guatemala
Source: World Bank (WB) - Doing Business 2020 Source: Forbes 2019 Business 48 2 Environment
The following are the principal indicators for the investment climate: Indicators Peru Latin America and the Caribbean Starting a business • Number of procedures 8.0 8.1 • Time (days) 26.0 28.8 • Cost (% of per capita income) 9.4 31.4 • Registration of minimum paid up capital (% of per capita income) 0.0 0.4 Construction permits • Number of procedures 19.0 15.5 • Time (days) 137.0 191.2 • Cost (% of per capita income) 1.7 3.6 Property registration • Number of procedures 6.0 7.4 • Time (days) 9.5 63.7 • Cost (% of property value) 3.9 5.9 Electricity service • Number of procedures 6.0 5.5 • Time (days) 67.0 66.8 • Cost (% of per capita income) 448.5 407.2 Access to credit • Strength of legal rights index (0-12) 7.0 5.3 • Depth of credit information index (0-8) 8.0 5.1 • Coverage of Public Records Offices (% of adults) 39.4 14.6 • Coverage of private entities (% of adults) 100.0 47.6 Protecting minority investors • Interest regulation index (0-10) 9.0 4.1 • Minority investor protection index (0-10) 6.0 3.0 Paying taxes • Number of tax payments per year 8.0 28.2 • Time (hours per year) 260.0 317.1 • Total tax rate (% of profit) 36.8 47.0 Trading across borders • Time to export: compliance with border regulations 24.0 35.7 • Export costs: compliance with border regulations (USD) 50.0 100.3 • Time to import: compliance with border regulations (hours) 48.0 55.3 • Import costs: compliance with border regulations (hours) 630.0 516.3 Enforcing contracts • Time (days) 478.0 774.2 • Cost (% of amounts claimed) 41.2 32.0 • Legal proceedings quality index (0-18) 9.5 8.8 Bankruptcy resolution proceeding • Time (years) 3.1 2.9 • Cost (% of assets) 7.0 16.8 • Recovery rate (cents per USD) 31.3 31.2
Source: World Bank (WB) - Doing Business 2020 Business 49 2 Environment
GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS RANKING 2020
Country 2016 2018 2020 Raking by Factors for Peru 2016 2018 2020 Chile 36 35 38 Financial Performance 50 55 51 Peru 54 54 52 Government Efficiency 41 47 40 Mexico 45 51 53 Business Efficiency 50 51 50 Colombia 51 58 54 Infrastructure 59 61 60 Brazil 57 60 56 Argentina 55 56 62 Venezuela 61 63 63
Source: Institute for Management Development (IMD), Centrum Católica
FINANCIAL CLIMATE INDEX OF LATIN AMERICA BUSINESS CLIMATE INDEX (BCI) IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTRIES Financial Climate Index is the result of the Latin Position Country ICE American Financial Survey, carried out by the 1 Paraguay -14.8 IFO Institute of Germany and the Getúlio Vargas 2 Uruguay -21.4 Foundation of Brazil. This survey is prepared every three months and serves for the monitoring and 3 Colombia -28.5 anticipation of the financial tendencies of the 4 Peru -29.7 countries and financial blocs. 5 Chile -30.9 6 Brazil -32.8 As of the fourth quarter of 2020, Peru reached 7 Argentina -41.0 -29.7 points, exhibiting a substantial recovery that 8 Bolivia -41.9 exceeded the average for Latin America. 9 Mexico -50.0 10 Ecuador -53.6 Latin America -39.3
Source: Latin American Business Survey - IFO Institute, Getúlio Vargas Foundation, Third Quarter of 2020
BUSINESS CLIMATE INDEX IN LATIN AMERICA
0
-20 -14.8 -21.4 -27.5 -32.0 -30.9 -28.5 -29.7 -40 -32.8 -35.7 -35.6 -34.8 -39.3 -38.0 -43.2 -41.0 -41.9 -41.9 -50.0 -60 -53.6 -60.0 -65.2 -80
-100 -93.9 2.9 -120 Latin Argentina Bolivia Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Mexico Paraguay Peru Uruguay America Third Quarter of 2020 Fourth Quarter of 2020
Source: Latin American Business Survey - IFO Institute, Getúlio Vargas Foundation, Third Quarter of 2020 Business 50 2 Environment
INDEX OF ECONOMIC FREEDOM ENTREPRENEURSHIP
According to the 2020 Index of Economic Freedom The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) is the prepared by The Heritage Foundation, which largest study worldwide aimed at investigating includes an analysis of the environment and the attitudes, activities and characteristics of the economic freedom of each country based on ten individuals who participate in entrepreneurial indicators covering issues such as compliance activities, as well as the impact of entrepreneurship with the law, the level of government intervention, in the economic development of the countries. market openness, and efficient State regulations, This study divides the countries into three blocs: the overall results obtained confirm that promoting resource-based economies, efficiency-based economic freedom in terms of the rule of law, economies and innovation-based economies. Each government, regulations, and open markets one of these blocs shows the country's performance generates a broad economic dynamism. Thus, in terms of its economic development; in other boosting these levels will prove significant in order words, the countries with low income that base their to sustain the wealth of nations, as well as being the economy on the extraction of natural resources are most effective way to eradicate poverty. located in the first bloc. The developed countries are situated between the innovation-based Below is a summary of this ranking: economies and medium income countries, such as Peru, within the efficiency-based economies. Latin Worldwide 2020 Country American Ranking Score The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) defines Ranking the Entrepreneurial Activity Rate (EAR) as the Singapore 1 - 89.4 number of entrepreneurial ventures among the China, Hong economically Active Population (PEA). In addition, 2 - 89.1 Kong it shows other results such as the perception of New Zealand 3 - 84.1 opportunities, of capacities, the fear of failure Canada 9 - 78.2 and entrepreneurial intentions, obtained from Chile 15 1 76.8 the surveys carried out on entrepreneurs of each Colombia 45 2 69.2 country. 47 3 Uruguay 69.1 WORLDWIDE RATE OF ENTREPRENEURIAL Peru 51 4 67.9 ACTIVITY 2018/2019 Mexico 67 - 66.0 Rate of Paraguay 80 5 63.0 Entrepreneurial Countries Entrepreneurial Brazil 155 6 53.7 Intentions (%) Activity Argentina 149 7 53.1 Angola 40.8 79.8 Ecuador 158 8 51.3 Guatemala 27.5 49.7 Bolivia 175 9 42.8 Chile 25.1 48.7 Venezuela 179 10 25.2 Lebanon 24.1 29.1 Source: The Heritage Foundation Peru 22.4 39.7 Sudan 22.2 66.7 Colombia 21.2 48.8 Madagascar 20.7 32.6 Thailand 19.7 31.5 Canada 18.7 14.5
Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) Business 51 2 Environment
INSIGHT, APPRAISALS, AND BUSINESS INTENT BY COUNTRY, 2018-2019 GEM
Opportunity to Do Ease of Starting a Entrepreneurial Country Business in the Next Fear of Failure Business Capabilities 6 Months Argentina 35.9 23.4 48.8 31.9 Chile 61.8 36.5 62.5 28.6 Panama 39.0 45.3 42.1 19.4 Uruguay 28.9 19.8 59.0 27.4 Brazil 31.4 - 54.3 32.6 Colombia 57.5 39.2 66.4 23.1 Guatemala 54.6 35.7 65.2 30.3 Peru 56.0 52.6 71.8 30.2 Average 45.6 31.6 58.8 27.9
Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM)
In 2018, Peru obtained an Entrepreneurial Activity Rate (EAR) of 22.4%, thereby situating it among the top ten entrepreneurial countries of the world. According to the Index of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) 22 out of every 100 Peruvians carry out an entrepreneurial activity mainly in microenterprises.
EVOLUTION OF THE RATE OF ENTREPRENEURIAL ACTIVITY IN PERU
30 28.8 25.9 27.2 25.6 25.1 25 24.6 22.9 22.4 23.4 20 22.2 20.9 20.2 15
10
5 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) Business 52 2 Environment
1. Promotion for Private Investment a. The Peruvian Constitution The Peruvian Constitution establishes the Since 1993, the Peruvian Government has principles to incentivate private investment been striving to promoted national and foreign through the following key provisions: PROMOTION private investment. This journey begins with the MECHANISMS2 FOR Peruvian Constitution (1993), the backbone to • Peruvian and foreign investments are subject incentivate and guarantee private investment to the same conditions. As a result of this INVESTMENT IN through one of the most attractive legal constitutional provision, none of the laws, INFRASTRUCTURE frameworks in the region. regulations, and practices in force in Peru AND UTILITIES discriminate between Peruvian and foreign One of the fundamental principles of investment corporations. promotion under Peruvian law is the principle of • Property rights are guaranteed by the non-discrimination of foreign and local (Peruvian) Peruvian Government. For further details, investors. No one may be deprived of their property, EY, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE) Peru seeks to attract both domestic and foreign except for reasons of national security or and ProInversión investment in all sectors of the economy. To public necessity established by law, and with have compiled the achieve this, it has taken the necessary steps a prior cash payment to the owner of the Guide to Investing to establish a consistent investment policy that property in accordance with the appraised in Infrastructure eliminates any barriers that foreign investors value, which shall include compensation for Projects in Peru.. may face. As a result, Peru is considered a potential damages. country with one of the most open investment All foreign persons and/or entities shall You can download systems in the world. receive the same treatment as Peruvians. this Guide for free Peru has adopted a legal framework that requires However, within a radius of fifty (50) here. no previous authorization for foreign investment. kilometers from all national borders, In this regard, foreign investments are allowed foreigners may not acquire or possess, with certain restrictions in most economic under any title, either directly or indirectly, activities. Those activities subject to restrictions mines, land, forests, water, fuel or energy are very specific. Furthermore, Peru has a legal sources, whether individually or as part of framework designed to protect the economic a partnership, under penalty of losing such stability of investors and to reduce government possessions to the Peruvian Government. interference in economic activities. The sole exception to this provision are cases of public necessity, expressly established by Executive Order. Business 53 2 Environment
• The Peruvian Government guarantees the • Freedom to transfer profits from their free possession and disposal of foreign investments in Peru abroad and to pay currencies. As such, there are no restrictions royalties to non-domiciled entities on the remittance of profits, international • Simplicity of most transactions, whether in capital transfers, or foreign exchange local currency (Sol) or United States dollars, practices. without exchange controls • Private economic initiative is free. The main laws and regulations regarding the • Freedom of contract guarantees that the promotion of foreign private investment are: parties can negotiate in accordance with the rules in force at the time they enter into the • Legislative Order (Decreto Legislativo) contract. The terms and conditions of the 662—the Legal Stability Regime for Foreign contract cannot be amended by laws or any Investments: other provision. Under this law, the Peruvian Government incentivizes and provides guarantees to b. Regulations and Standards that Incentivize foreign investors in all sectors of economic Private Investment activity and any of the commercial or contractual forms permitted by national law. The Peruvian Constitution is not the only body of laws that incentivizes private investment. • Legislative Scheme 757—Legal Framework Peru offers a favorable legal framework that for the Growth of Private Investment: protects the interests of foreign investors by offering them: This law seeks to guarantee free initiative and private investments, whether already • Equal, non-discriminatory treatment made or to be made in the future, in all • Unrestricted access to most economic sectors of economic activity. It establishes sectors rights, guarantees, and obligations applicable to all individuals or entities, whether • Free capital transfer Peruvian or foreign, who invest in Peru. Additionally, Peruvian and foreign investors have: •The right to fair competition • Guarantee of private property (no expropriations or nationalizations) • Freedom to acquire shares of stock in Peruvian corporations • Freedom to gain access to internal and external credit Business 54 2 Environment
2. Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) b. PPP Phases
A Public-Private Partnership (PPP) is a form PPPs are carried out in five phases, as of participation in private investment that described below: involves experience, knowledge, equipment, technology, and the distribution of risks and 1. Planning and Programming resources, preferably private, for the purpose Takes the form of the Multiannual PPP of creating, developing, upgrading, operating, Investment Report (IMIAPP). or maintaining public infrastructure; providing public utilities and/or providing services related 2. Drafting to those required by the government, as well Project design and/or evaluation. Drafting as the development of applied research and/or of the Evaluation Report. technological innovation projects. 3. Structuring a. Legal Framework Approval of the Promotion Plan, inquiries with institutions, and design of the PPP Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) and agreement. Private Initiatives are generally governed by the provisions of (i) Legislative Order 4. Transaction 1362 (hereinafter, the “PPP Act”); and (ii) Public tender or comprehensive project the Regulations on the PPP Act approved by bidding process or other competitive Executive Order 240- 2018-EF (hereinafter, process. This phase concludes with the the "Regulations on the PPP Act"). This legal execution of the PPP agreement. framework is applicable to all entities in the non-financial public sector, at all levels of 5. Contractual Performance government. Project investment, operation, and maintenance phase. Includes monitoring It is important to note that a PPP can be and supervision of contractual obligations. implemented through either government or private initiatives (the latter of which is also known as an unsolicited proposal).
PPPs allow the private sector to contribute experience, knowledge, equipment, and technology to the financing, construction, operation, and maintenance of public infrastructure. For its part, the government retains the property rights over the project's infrastructure, including the new facilities built by the private investor. Generally, after the contract expires, the property is transferred to the government. Business 55 2 Environment
c. PPP Types
PPPs may be self-financed or co-financed.
• Self-financed: PPP project with the ability to generate its own revenue that does not require government co-financing.
• Co-financed: APP project that requires government co-financing or the granting or taking out of financial or non-financial guarantees with a significant likelihood of co- financing requirements, where:
Guarantees Self-Financed Co-Financed Those guarantees that do not exceed Those guarantees that exceed 5% of the Financial 5% of the total capital expenditure or total capital expenditure or the total Guarantee the total project cost (if there are no project cost (if there are no expenditure expenditure activities). activities). The likelihood of a request for use of public resources is minimal or The referred likelihood exceeds the limit Non-Financial nonexistent, which means that the of 10% for any of the first five years of the Guarantee likelihood of using public resources does project guarantee period. not exceed 10% for any of the first five years of the project guarantee period.
PPPs may also be categorized based on their involvement in government and private initiatives (unsolicited tenders).
• Government initiatives: The government (through one of its different levels) identifies and launches a project.
• Private initiatives (unsolicited tenders): The private sector identifies and proposes the project to the government. Business 56 2 Environment
In private initiatives, the government evaluates d. PPP Advantages the proposal submitted by the private sector. First, the government checks whether the • The risks are assigned based on which party proposal has been drafted in accordance is in a better position to manage them. with the private initiative regulations. Then, if the private initiative is admitted • The provision of utilities to the public by the government, it will issue an opinion benefits from the experience of the private on whether said initiative is relevant and sector. consistent with the agency's plans. • By integrating the infrastructure operation Lastly, the agency may declare the project and maintenance under a long-term submitted through a private initiative to be of agreement, the private sector will have interest. In such case, the agency gives other sufficient incentives to design and build said companies 90 days to participate in a tender infrastructure efficiently. process with the company that submitted the private initiative. If 90 days pass and • Public infrastructure can be provided without there are no more companies, the company using government resources (in the case of that submitted the private initiative shall be self-financed PPPs), or, in the case of co- awarded the contract for the performance financed PPPs, the government's payments of the project without competing with third to the private sector for the construction of parties. the infrastructure are distributed over the long-term, given that the private sector will Private initiatives have two main benefits for finance the project. the private sector, specifically for the company that submits them:
• In the case of bidding processes opened by virtue of a tender offer, if a company submits a valid technical and economic bid, it shall have the right to match the bid that received first place. Subsequently, the submitter and the company that achieved first place may submit another bid as a tie-breaker.
• In case of bidding processes opened by virtue of a tender process, if the company submits a valid economic bid and the project is awarded to a third party, the submitter may be reimbursed for the costs of the private initiative up to 2% of the total project cost or total capital expenditure. Business 57 2 Environment
e. Role of the Authorities
Private Investment Promotion Body (OPIP) The public agency responsible for the operation, management, and allocation of a PPP project is the Private Investment Promotion Body (OPIP). Depending on the scope, the OPIP may be:
OPIP Scope • Multisector PPP projects under national jurisdiction originated by government initiative. • PPP projects under national jurisdiction originated by government initiative with a capital expenditure or a total project cost (in case of projects without an expenditure component) of more than forth thousand (40,000) Tax Units (UITs)1 (PEN172 million). • PPP projects under national jurisdiction originated by self-financed private ProInversión initiative. • PPP projects under the jurisdiction of public entities authorized by express law, originated by self-financed private initiative. • Projects at any level of government and projects under the jurisdiction of public entities authorized by express law, originated by self-financed private initiative. • Projects developed through the Competitive Dialogue mechanism. • Projects assigned to ProInversión by express legal provision. OPIP of the Projects not assigned specifically to ProInversión. respective Ministry OPIP of the respective Projects under its own jurisdiction involving more than one province. regional government OPIP of the respective Projects under its own jurisdiction. local government
Ministry of Economy and Finance (MRE) Other Authorities The Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) is Ministries (for projects within their specific the governing body and highest technical and sectors), Regulatory Agencies, and the regulatory authority of the PPP system. It is Comptroller General's Office of the Republic responsible for safeguarding and coordinating also have specific roles in the PPP system. compliance with the National Policy for the Promotion of Private Investment in PPPs.
1 A Tax Unit (UIT) is equivalent to PEN4,300 for 2020. Business 58 2 Environment
3. Projects in Assets (PA) 4. Tax-Deductible Works
This mechanism is used for the development of The Tax-Deductible Works regime is an effective those cases in which the private investor seeks corporate social responsibility tool that allows to perform a project on an asset property of the for the application, as a credit against corporate government, whether as owner, holder, lessor, income tax, of the amount of any projects or any other status permitted by law. However, undertaken by private companies on behalf of these projects shall be carried out without any regional governments, local governments, public commitment of government resources. universities, and the national government in a range of sectors (such as education, health, Private investment in assets property of the safety, tourism, agriculture, irrigation, culture, Peruvian state are promoted through the sanitation, athletics, and the environment, respective OPIP (which may belong to ministries, among others). regional or local governments), based on the following scenarios: This regime is a win-win, since the government wins with the construction or performance of the • Sale of assets, including total or partial transfer projects, the public's quality of life improves, and private companies directly improve their brand • Use, lease, usufruct, or any other form image as socially responsible enterprises through permitted by Peruvian law their involvement therein. The Peruvian legal framework on PAs is the same The Tax-Deductible Works regime consists of a as that applicable to PPPs, i.e., the PPP Act and private company's participation, together with the Regulations on the PPP Act. a government entity, in the development and performance of a public investment project. The main difference between a PPP and a PA is With the execution of an agreement (the that while in the former, the government may “Investment Agreement”), the private company use its own resources and there is an assignment undertakes to implement a public investment of risks between the private sector and the project in exchange for the recognition of its government, in the latter the private sector investment as an income tax credit. For such assumes all the risks tied to the project and the purpose, an investment certificate is issued, project can never use government resources. depending on whether the agreement is entered into with regional and local governments, public universities (Regional and Local Public Investment Certificate - CIPRL), or agreements with a national government entity (National Government Public Investment Certificate - CIPGN). Business 59 2 Environment
a. Legal Framework general public. This means that all Public Investment Projects must have a • Consolidated Text (TUO) of Law 29230 – social purpose. Act on Regional and Local Public Investment with Private Sector Participation, as approved Public Investment Projects can include all by Executive Order (Decreto Supremo) of the pre-investment studies, architecture 294-2018-EF. or engineering studies, construction • Consolidated Text (TUO) of the Regulations on of infrastructure, performance, and Law 29230 – Act on Regional and Local Public maintenance of works. Investment with Private Sector Participation, as approved by Executive Order 295-2018-EF. Operating expenses, replacement of assets, and third-party consultancy or advisory • Legislative Order permitting Petroperú, on an expenses shall not be considered part of the exceptional basis, to finance projects under budget of the Public Investment Project. Law 29230.
• Consolidated Text (TUO) of Law 30556 - • Public Investment Agreement Act Approving Extraordinary Provisions on This is an agreement entered into by the Disaster Response, and Authorizing and private company and the government entity, Expanding the Scope of Law 29230, as by virtue of which the private company approved by Executive Order 094-2018-PCM. undertakes to perform a given public • Consolidated Text (TUO) of the Regulations investment project. on Law 30556 - Act Approving Extraordinary Provisions on Disaster Response, and The private company may perform the Authorizing and Expanding the Scope of Law project directly, or it can enter into a 29230, as approved by Executive Order construction agreement with a builder to 003-2019-PCM. perform the project.
b. Public Investment Project Types There are two types of public investment projects: To better grasp the advantages offered by the Tax-Deductible Works regime, it is important to a) Government Initiative: After identifying a understand the following: need, the government entity formulates a Public Investment Project to address the • Public Investment Projects emerging necessity. Public Investment Projects consist of the provision of government funds to create, b) Private Initiative (unsolicited proposal): expand, improve, or recover the production The private sector submits a Public or supply of goods and services for the Investment Project proposal, which must be evaluated by the government entity. Business 60 2 Environment
c. Advantages of the Tax-Deductible Works For 2020, public universities have a joint Regime annual capacity limit for investment in the Tax-Deductible Works regime equal to PEN948 This regime offers a number of benefits, such million (approximately USD270 million). The as the following: annual capacity limit of each university can be found at web obras por impuestos. • From a private-sector perspective: It strengthens the development of social Usually, according to Legislative Order 1275, responsibility programs, improving entities must meet certain mandatory tax companies' reputations and thus their provisions. However, due to the current relationship with the community COVID-19 pandemic, Emergency Decree 081- • For the community: This regime reduces the 2019 has suspended compliance with these infrastructure gap and creates more jobs. It tax provisions, on a temporary, exceptional also increases the coverage of utilities and basis, for fiscal year 2020. public services. • From the government's perspective: This e. Regional and Local Public Investment regime contributes to the acceleration of Certificate (CIPRL) and National Government projects Public Investment Certificate (CIPGN)
Issuing of Certificates (CIPRL and CIPGN) d. Annual Capacity Limit
Approval of reception and quality is required For 2020, regional governments have a joint to issue a CIPRL or a CIPGN. annual capacity limit for investment in the Tax- Deductible Works regime equal to PEN3.748 If the performance of the project takes more billion (approximately USD1.07 billion). than five months, the private company The annual capacity limit of each regional may ask the public entity to issue quarterly government can be found at web obras por certificates. impuestos.
CIPRLs are limited to the canon resources For 2020, local governments have a joint received by all regional and local governments, annual capacity limit for investment in the Tax- as well as public universities, which are Deductible Works regime equal to PEN11.322 published by the Ministry of Economy and billion (approximately USD3.228 billion). The Finance (MEF). CIPGNs are limited to the annual capacity of each local government can ordinary resources of the national government be found at web obras por impuestos. signing the agreement. Business 61 2 Environment
The canon is the share of local and regional • If the certificate is not used within ten governments in the total revenues received by years, the private company may request a the Peruvian Government for the economic reimbursement from the Tax Administration exploitation of natural resources. Currently, • Certificates are negotiable, which means Peruvian law regulates the concepts of mining they can be transferred to third parties, canon, hydropower canon, gas canon, fishing except when the private company that canon, forestry canon, and oil canon. signed the Investment Agreement has performed the works directly as builder It should be noted that the canon is the basis for determining the annual capacity limit for 5. Government-to-Government (G2G) investments under the Tax-Deductible Works Agreements regime for regional and local governments and public universities. Under G2G agreements, one government hires the supply of goods and services (including Certificate Characteristics (CIPRL and construction) through a direct agreement with CIPGN) another government. The latter government may perform the agreement through its own bodies These certificates have the following or agencies, government-owned companies, characteristics: national privately-owned companies, and/or foreign privately-owned companies. • CIPRLs and CIPGNs requested by government entities are issued electronically The most representative of these agreements, via the document security printing platform in terms of investment and the closing of social found at the following internet address gaps, is the Agreement for Reconstruction with dirección electrónica. Changes (RCC) entered into with the United • CIPRLs and CIPGNs can only be used for Kingdom. Through this G2G, Peru will receive advance tax payments on annual corporate technical assistance, supervision, and Project income Managers Officer (PMO) services from the • CIPRLs and CIPGNs can be used for up to Government of the United Kingdom2, which will 50% of the corporate income tax paid in the act through its “performance team”: privately- previous fiscal year owned companies from the United Kingdom with • If the CIPRLs or CIPGNs are not used by the extensive experience in the field. end of the year, the private company may request a new certificate, which shall include Peru has also recently signed many agreements the amount of the previous certificates under the government-to-government (G2G) plus a 2% increase. These new certificates regime with countries with extensive, proven may also be requested when there are experience in the infrastructure sector. outstanding credits or balances as a result of partially used certificates.
2 In 2017, there was a flood in northern Peru (a Coastal El Niño) that caused serious harm to the local population and infrastructure. The government created the Authority for Reconstruction with Changes (ARCC) to supervise and perform public works, which include important preventive measures. Business 62 2 Environment
a. Legal Framework Additionally, the NEC3 promotes the delivery of projects: Law 30556, approving extraordinary (i) On time provisions for national government (ii) Within budget; and, interventions in case of disasters and 3 ordering the creation of the Authority for (iii) With the highest standards. . Reconstruction with Changes (ARCC), permits the ARCC and government ministries to According to Peruvian experience with enter into G2G agreements for complex and NEC3s, the main characteristics of this consolidated projects. type of contract are its straightforward language, appropriate risk allocation, and Legislative Order 1248, Section 4 also collaborative work. authorized the execution of G2G agreements in order to hire the management and provision of goods and/or services for the realization of the Lima 2019 Pan American and Parapan American Games Lima.
b. New Engineering Contract (NEC)
For the Lima 2019 Pan American and Parapan American Games, use was made of New Engineering Contracts (NECs), specifically NEC3s. NECs are highly flexible standard contracts created by the United Kingdom Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) in England, similar to other standard contracts such as FIDICs, ICCs, and AIAs, among others.
In particular, NEC3s have been used for the provision of goods, services, and works, considering all phases in a project's cycle, from project planning, design, and management to facility construction, maintenance, and management.
3 https://www.neccontract.com/About-NEC/How-NEC-Contracts-Works Background 63 1 Information
In the period 2008-2019, ProInversión granted the concession of 108 projects, in the form of Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) and investment commitments totaling USD28.4 billion, a figure that INVESTMENT will contribute towards the dynamism of the main 3 economic sectors of the country. INDICATORS NUMBER OF PROJECTS 2008-2019
25 22 20
15 12 11 12 10 10 9 8 7 5 6 5 4 2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: ProInversión
INVESTMENT COMMITMENTS 2008-2019 (IN USD MILLIONS)
12,000 9,979 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,543 3,949 4,000 2,101 1,619 2,051 2,000 671 789 912 528 926 346 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Source: ProInversión Background 64 1 Information
INVESTMENT PROJECTS - TARGETS OF 2021
Project in USD Millions Huancayo – Huancavelica Railway 263 AWS-3 and 2.3 GHz Bands 291 Mass Distribution of Natural Gas 200 Puerto Maldonado-Iberia Transmission Line 50 Milestone: Awarding of Valle del Chira Substation 11 Projects Piura Nueva-Frontera Transmission Line 163 USD2.554 Billion Puerto Maldonado Wastewater Treatment Plant 57 ESSALUD Chimbote 130 ESSALUD Piura 170 Headworks 480 Ancón Industrial Park 750 Ring Road 1,965 San Juan de Marcona Terminal Port 637 Milestone: Declaration Huancayo Wastewater Treatment Plant 165 of Interest Downtown High-Performance School 60 8 Projects Villa María del Triunfo At-Risk School 75 USD3.386 Billion Metropolitan Lima At-Risk School 227 Comas and San Martín de Porres At-Risk School 99 Ate and San Juan de Lurigancho At-Risk School 158 Total 5,940
Source: ProInversión (January 2021)
PRIVATE INVESTMENT (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
30 25.9 25 23.9 20 17.5 15.6 15 11.0 10 6.5 5 4.5 4.0 0.2 0 -2.1 -5 -4.5 -5.4 -10 -9.1 -15 -20 -19.0 -25 -30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 65 1 Information
PUBLIC INVESTMENT (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
40 32.9 30 27.9
20 19.1 14.2 12.1 14.0 10 5.6
0 -0.2 -2.0 -2.3 -1.4 -10 -7.5 -11.2 -20 -9.1
-30 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
FIXED GROSS INVESTMENT t(AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
28.6 30 28.1 27.4 25.7 25.6 5.7 25.1 23.2 22.6 5.4 5.5 22.6 5.7 4.8 23.1 22.4 22.4 4.2 4.8 21.3 20 5.4 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.1 20.5 4.2 4.2
22.7 22.9 21.9 10 19.0 20.0 20.8 20.3 18.2 18.5 17.2 18.5 18.0 16.3 17.1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* Private Investment Public Investment
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
The economic stimulus plan called "Arranca Perú" will have continuity during 2021, being already approved within the public budget of the year. This plan includes an investment estimated at PEN3.26 billion (approximately USD950 million).
The investment distribution is centered on 4 key sectors such as transportation, housing and sanitation, education and agriculture. Background 66 1 Information
SHORT- AND LONG-TERM INFRASTRUCTURE GAP (IN USD MILLIONS)
Short-Term Gap Long-Term Gap N° Industry PEN USD PEN USD 1 Water 6,019 1,818 24,245 7,325 2 Sanitation 28,819 8,707 71,544 21,615 3 Telecommunications 12,151 3,671 20,377 6,156 4 Transport 35,970 10,867 160,958 48,628 5 Electricity - 7,059 2,133 6 Education - 5,917 1,788 7 Health 27,545 8,322 58,727 17,742 8 Hydraulic 6,679 2,018 14,625 4,418 Total 117,183 35,403 363,452 109,804
Source: 2019 National Infrastructure Plan for Competitiveness – Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF)
GROSS CAPITAL FORMATION (AS A PERCENTAGE OF THE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT – GDP)
40
30 20.1 20
10 5.2 5.5 5.2 4.5 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.8 0
-10 -8.3
-20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
BALANCE OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT BY SECTOR IN USD MILLIONS 2019
Mining Commerce Sector In USD Millions 23.5% 3.2% Mining 6,257 Communications 5,330 Communications Oil 20.0% 2.6% Finance 4,785 Energy 3,486 Finance Services 18.0% 2.5% Industry 3,216 Commerce 851 Energy Others Oil 701 13.1% 5.0% Services 673 Industry Others 1,334 12.1% Total 26,636
Source: ProInversión Background 67 1 Information
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FLOW (IN USD MILLIONS)
15,000 13,622
9,826 10,000 8,455 8,314 8,892 7,682 6,431 6,739 6,860 6,488
5,000 3,930 2,738 2,061 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*Estimate. December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN LATIN AMERICA 2018 (IN USD MILLIONS)
Brazil 88,319
Mexico 36,871
Colombia 11,352
Peru* 8,892
Chile 6,082
Ecuador 1,408
Bolivia 316
10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000
*Peru (2019) Source: Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2019. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (CEPAL), Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Background 68 1 Information
GLOBAL CAPITAL CONFIDENCE BAROMETER, 22ND EDITION – ERNST & YOUNG (EY)
The Global Capital Confidence Barometer, prepared by EY in March 2020, measures companies' confidence in the economic outlook and identifies trends and practices among boards of directors in terms of their management of capital plans.
This edition includes a before-and-after COVID-19 comparison.
WHAT IS YOUR PERSPECTIVE ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC GROWTH TODAY?
Before
47% 35% 18%
After 47% 35% 18%
Possible Stable Negative
WHAT IS YOUR OPINION ABOUT THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 TO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY?
73% 27%
Severe Impact Minor Impact
HOW WILL THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIA AFFECT YOUR DECISION ON:
Global Supply Chain Speed of Automation Digital Transformation Managing your Workforce
52% 36% 31% 39%
40% 41% 38% 35%
8% 23% 31% 26%
Steps are being taken to effect change A re-evaluation is needed No change Background 69 1 Information
HOW SIGNIFICANTLY WILL THE CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK IMPACT ON YOUR PROFITABILITY AND MARGINS?
39% 56% 5%
Severe impact Minor impact No impact
UNDER WHAT ECONOMIC SCENARIO IS YOUR COMPANY CURRENTLY OPERATING?
38% 54% 8%
A return to normal A longer period of A sustained period of economic activity in the slower economic activity recession, with economic third quarter of 2020: extending into 2020: activity not recovering until a V shaped recovery a U shaped recovery 2020 at the earliest: an L shaped recovery
IS YOUR COMPANY CURRENTLY UNDERGOING A SIGNIFICANT BUSINESS AN TECHNOLOGY TRANSFORMATION PROGRAM?
If yes, what are the main triggers for your transformation?
Pressure on revenue targets and meeting profitability goals
20%
Increasing pressure from investors/shareholders
15%
Difficulty in attracting or retaining customers No Yes 28% 72% 15%
Not keeping up with competitors' technology
14%
The need to move into adjacent sectors
14%
Not keeping up with competitors' performance
13%
Falling market share
9% Background 70 1 Information
WHAT IS YOUR EXPECTATION FOR THE M&A MARKET IN THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
82% 79%
18% 16% 5% 0%
On and before 19 February After 19 February
Improve Stay the same Decline
WHAT ARE THE MAIN STRATEGIC DRIVERS FOR PURSUING ACQUISITIONS?
31%
26%26% 27% 27% 24% 25% 24% 25% 23% 23% 19%
Acquiring Sector Response to Gateway technology, convergence/ regulatory or to new new production growth into tariffs and trade markets capabilities, or adjacent business changes/secure innovative startups activity supply chain
Peru Latam Global
Our complete “Global Capital Confidence Barometer” study can be found at here. Business 71 2 Environment
Peru's development strategy is based on an Switzerland, Thailand, the Belgium-Luxembourg economy opened to the world and competitive in Economic Union, the United Kingdom, and its export offer. It has been a successful strategy Venezuela. that has permitted the country to consolidate its TRADE foreign trade of goods and services as an economic Additionally, Peru has a total of 14 free trade 4 development and poverty reduction pool. agreements and economic integration agreements AGREEMENTS (TLCs & EIAs) in force with Canada, Costa Rica, International trade negotiations, which have the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), the benefited from rigorous macroeconomic European Union, Japan, Panama, Australia, Chile, management and its consequent stability, have China, Honduras, South Korea, Mexico, Singapore, allowed the Peruvian economy to gradually tackle and the United States. and reduce its external vulnerability in times of crisis such as in the current international and local Peru is currently in the midst of negotiations with context. Turkey, El Salvador, and India, and has concluded negotiations with Brazil, Guatemala, and the Trade agreements are a valuable tool to Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for attract foreign direct investment and increase Trans-Pacific Partnership (with Australia, Brunei entrepreneurial productivity, as well as technology Darussalam, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, transfer thanks to the lower cost of importing Mexico, New Zealand, Singapore, and Vietnam) capital goods and high-quality inputs. These which includes the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreements foster the compliance of international Agreement standards, thus enabling more Peruvian companies to improve their management and logistic practices. Foreign investors are protected against Peru has been a member of the World Trade inconvertibility, expropriation, political violence, and Organization (WTO) since 1995, and in 1998 it other non-business risks via access to multilateral became a member of the Asia-Pacific Economic and bilateral agreements. Peru has signed an Cooperation Forum (APEC). In 2011, it formed the agreement with the Overseas Private Investment Pacific Alliance with Chile, Colombia, and Mexico. Corporation (OPIC) and the Convention Establishing It is also a member country of the Latin American the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency Integration Association (ALADI) and a member-state (MIGA). Peru has also entered into the World Bank's of the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR). International Convention on the Settlement of Peru has begun to follow a Country Program to join Investment Differences (ICSID) as an alternative the Organization for Economic Cooperation and for the settlement of any disputes that may arise Development (OECD). This is a key tool to ensure between investors covered by the ICSID and the Peru's successful entrance into the organization. Peruvian Government.
Peru currently has in force 32 Bilateral Investment Eight double taxation avoidance agreements Treaties (BITs) with Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, have been signed with Chile, Canada, the Andean Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, Cuba, the Community (CAN), Brazil, Mexico, South Korea, Czech Republic, Denmark, Ecuador, El Salvador, Switzerland, and Portugal. In 2019, Peru also Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, signed a double taxation avoidance agreement with the Netherlands, Norway, Paraguay, Portugal, Japan, which entered into force on January 29, Romania, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, 2021 and will take effect from January 1, 2022 in the annual taxes. Business 72 2 Environment
IN FORCE
1. Peru – China Free Trade Agreement (FTA) 2. Peru – United States Trade Promotion Act
In economic terms, China has been the fastest Peru had access to certain unilateral growing economy worldwide over the past two preferential customs duties with the United decades (around 10% per year of sustained States starting in 1991, granted by the growth). The entry into force of this Agreement U.S. Congress to Andean Countries through in March 2010 has opened up a market of 1.399 the Andean Trade Preference Act (ATPA), billion inhabitants, of which 350 million are which remained in force until 2001. These consumers with high purchasing power. preferential duties were renewed in 2002 with the enactment of the Andean Trade Promotion Exports 2019 totaled USD13.5 billion, with China and Drug Eradication Act (ATPDEA) under being our main trading partner. Peru's principal which they remained in force until 2010. exports to China are copper, fishmeal, and iron ore, lead and zinc. Among the main Peruvian In 2004, Peru initiated negotiations for a Free products benefitting from the trade agreement Trade Agreement (FTA) with the United States, are giant squid, cuttlefish and squid, fresh and in 2009 the Peru – United States Free Trade grapes, avocado, mango, barley, paprika, tara Act entered into force. Just two years after powder, and fine wool yarn, etc. In exchange, entering into force, 418 new products were China ships machinery, mobile telephones, exported, of which 96% were non-traditional laptops, and high technology products to Peru. products, most notably in the areas of Metal- Mechanical (32%), Chemicals (20%), and The FTA establishes clear rules of the game, Textiles (11%). within a transparent and predictable framework through which it will not only contribute to The main products exported to the United increasing bilateral trade, but also boost Chinese States are minerals, metals, textiles, fish investment in Peru, principally in the industries products, crude oil, coffee, cocoa, handcrafts, of mining, agriculture, electricity, wind power, oil paprika, artichokes, grapes, mangoes, and gas, and fisheries. tangerines and asparagus. In 2019, exports reached USD5.7 billion, of which gold, asparagus, fresh grapes, and avocado were the Ernst & Young and the Ministry of Foreign most notable. Affairs (MRE) prepared the Chinese version of this Peru's Business and Investment Guide 2019/2020. It can be downloaded for free at here. Business 73 2 Environment
3. Peru – European Union (EU) Trade Agreement
The Trade Agreement with the European by Peruvian businesspeople in Europe. Under Union (EU) is part of a business strategy to this agreement, Peruvian citizens can enter the expand and develop the export supply of following 30 countries without a short-term visa: Peru. It became effective on March 2013. The Germany, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Slovakia, European Union constitutes a market of great Slovenia, Spain, Estonia, Finland, France, opportunities with over 515 million inhabitants Sweden, Czech Republic, Hungary, Italy, Latvia, and per capita income levels, which are among Lithuania, Luxemburg, Malta, The Netherlands, the highest in the world. Poland, Portugal, Greece, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, Switzerland, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, The European Union is one of the main and Romania. This decision came about as a destinations for Peruvian exports, with a result of increased economic relations with the share of 13% of the total exports in 2019. European Union, a decline in irregular migration Furthermore, this Region registered a direct flows, and the opportunities offered by the foreign investment in Peru with a share of 35% economic growth registered in Peru. of the capital stock from Spain and the United Kingdom. 4. Peru – Japan Economic Partnership Agreement
With the entry into force of the Peru – European The Economic Partnership Agreement between Union (EU) FTA, custom duties were removed Peru and Japan was entered into on May 31, in 99.3% of Peru's exports, benefiting 95% of 2011. As from its entry into force in March custom duty lines for agricultural products, 2012, Peruvian products such as coffee, such as asparagus, avocados, coffee, fruits of asparagus, sacha inchi, giant squid, fish oil, the genus capsicum (for example, paprika and copper, lead, zinc, purple corn, giant corn from chili peppers), artichokes, among others. Cusco, swordfish, among others, may enter the Japanese market with preferential access. The execution of the agreement between the Republic of Peru and the European Union on In 2019, Japan was the sixth largest destination visa exemptions for short-term stays, signed on for Peruvian exports, accounting for USD1.974 March 14, 2016 in the city of Brussels, in the billion, consisting mainly of minerals and Kingdom of Belgium, was a major achievement agricultural products. that will facilitate business investment contacts Business 74 2 Environment
5. Peru - South Korea Free Trade Agreement (FTA) 6. Peru - Singapore Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and the Peru – Thailand Protocol to Accelerate The Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the Liberalization of the Trade of Goods and Peru and South Korea was signed on March Facilitation of Commerce 21, 2011, in Seoul, Korea, and it became effective on August 1, 2011. With this trade In the context of the policy of rapprochement agreement, Peru gains access to a market of with the Asian market, Peru executed in Lima the 50.4 million inhabitants, with a GDP per capita Peru - Singapore Free Trade Agreement (FTA) of USD37,940. For Peruvian exports, this on May 29, 2008. Unlike Thailand and most represents a significant number of potential Asian countries, which import mainly minerals consumers and a major opportunity for Peru's from Peru, Singapore is a very important non- export supply. traditional Peruvian exports destination. The main products exported to Singapore, which are Peruvian non-traditional exports reap the most already benefiting from this Agreement, which benefit from this Agreement, since, according entered into force on August 1, 2009, are cocoa, to the Peruvian Ministry of Foreign Trade and grapes, t-shirts, shirts, asparagus, shellfish, and Tourism (MINCETUR), the Korean market has a other marine products. Singapore is one of the preference for high quality fresh products, such main ports of entry into East Asia; thus, the as agricultural and fisheries products from Peru. Agreement will enable Peruvian products to be admitted under better conditions throughout South Korea was the fourth largest destination the Region, boost greater investments, and for Peruvian exports during 2019, with a consolidate the Peruvian strategy of becoming total of USD2.266 billion. Fisheries and the center of Asian operations in South America. agricultural products were the most benefited by this trade agreement. In the case of Thailand, the Protocol to Accelerate the Liberalization of the Trade of Goods and Facilitation of Commerce was signed in the city of Busan, South Korea, on November 19, 2005, and entered into force on December 31, 2011. The main products exported to Thailand include zinc and copper ore; fishmeal, fish powder, and fish pellets; cuttlefish; and fresh grapes. The tariff liberalization agreed to with Thailand encompasses approximately 75% of both countries' tariff subheadings. The subheadings corresponding to Basket A were immediately liberalized; while those corresponding to Basket B were scheduled for liberalization five years after the entry into force of the Protocol. Business 75 2 Environment
7. Peru – MERCOSUR Economic Complementation 8. Peru - Mexico Trade Integration Agreement Agreement (ACE) The Trade Integration Agreement was entered Economic Complementation Agreement 58 into by and between Peru and Mexico on April (ACE 58) was signed between Peru and the 6, 2011, and became effective on February MERCOSUR countries (Argentina, Brazil, 1, 2012. This Agreement opened up a 122.3 Paraguay and Uruguay) on November 30, million people market, allowing our exports 2005 and became effective on January preferential access to over 12,000 products, 2006. Subsequently, in 2006 the Protocol for such as canned fish, cookies, paprika, timber, Venezuela's Accession to the MERCOSUR was shrimp, and other products. On the other hand, signed, and there has been a trade agreement the importation from Mexico of consumer goods with this country since 2012. and household appliances and technological products will allow Peruvian consumers access The purpose of this Agreement was to establish to a wider variety and quality of products, a legal framework for integration, to facilitate at lower prices. Additionally, rules are being business trade between member countries, consolidated to promote the already strong through the elimination of tariff and non-tariff Mexican investment existing in Peru, as well as measures affecting trade in goods and services. the Peruvian investments in said country.
Therefore, since January 1, 2012, products 9. Andean Community of Nations (CAN) exported to Argentina and Brazil enter these countries with a rate of 0% in customs duties. Peru, together with other South American countries (Bolivia, Colombia and Ecuador) is a The main products exported to MERCOSUR are member of the Andean Community of Nations minerals and copper products, zinc ores, silver, (CAN) since 1997. Within this framework, olives, varnishes, calcium phosphates, cotton there are agreements related to lower customs shirts, tara and dyes. The Peru - MERCOSUR duties for goods, sub-regional liberalization trade reached USD1.635 billion in 2019, which of service markets, community regulations accounts for 4% of the Peruvian trade. regarding intellectual property, land, air and water transport, telecommunications, etc. An important part of Peruvian trade regulations is governed by the commitments made under this forum. However, in its policy of trade liberalization with other countries and blocs, Peru deepened the liberalization of trade and the opening of its market to much higher levels, and with commitments that are broader in scope than those arising from the CAN. Business 76 2 Environment
10. Peru - Canada Free Trade Agreement (FTA) 12. Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Forum The Free Trade Agreement between Peru and Canada was signed in Lima on May 29, 2008 Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) is and entered into full force and effect on August an informal consultation forum to promote 1, 2009. This agreement is a major commercial economic cooperation, economic growth, and treaty that incorporates chapters on the the expansion of trade among its members. National Treatment and Access to Markets, the Unlike the World Trade Organization (WTO) Facilitation of Trade, Investment, Trans Border and other multilateral forums, APEC does not Trading of Services, Telecommunications, comprise a trade treaty or agreement involving Financial Services, Competition Policies, binding obligations. On the contrary, it is Public Contracting, E-Commerce, Labor and based on non-binding individual action plans Environmental issues, among others. It must be on trade and investment liberalization and noted that the main products exported to Canada facilitation; a collective action plan to closely are gold, silver, copper, lead, fish oil, fishmeal, coordinate the adoption of modern and efficient handcrafts, and textiles. processes aimed at simplifying requirements and procedures for the various productive 11. Peru - Chile Free Trade Agreement (FTA) transactions; and the economic and technical cooperation among its members. Peru is active This Agreement is effective as from March 1, in the work of this forum, and it participates 2009. It extends the Economic Complementation in the definition of the lines of action and its Agreement (ACE No. 38) signed by Peru and organization. As it was in 2008, in 2016 Peru Chile in 1998, together with its annexes, was once again the host of the APEC forum, the protocols, and other regulatory tools. ministerial meetings, and the summit of leaders of the 21 economies making up the forum. In 2016, there was a total exemption in the trading of goods between the two countries. APEC countries account for approximately 60% Bilateral commercial exchange has increased of the global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), USD2.641 billion in 2019. 50% of world trade, and around 50% of the world population. Business 77 2 Environment
13. World Trade Organization (WTO) The four member countries of the Pacific Alliance have agreed to the elimination of visas The WTO is the world's largest forum on between them. Under this commitment, Mexico's the administration of the multilateral legal Department of Foreign Affairs (SRE) announced framework that regulates world trade and certain - on November 9, 2012 - the abolition of other aspects, such as intellectual property, visas for Peruvian citizens. Furthermore, the investment measures, or the environment in Integrated Latin American Stock Market known those areas related to trade. It is also a dispute as MILA is currently in operation. This initiative resolution mechanism for differences on aims at achieving the stock market integration trade policies, as well as the most important of Colombia, Peru, Chile and Mexico, which negotiation forum in matters of world trade. It is were formally incorporated in June 2014. In made up of 160 members (as at August 2020). addition, in February of 2014, Chile, Colombia, Peru has been a member of the WTO since its Mexico, and Peru signed an agreement that creation in 1995, and all commercial agreements immediately liberalized 92% of trade from the reached at the WTO have been ratified by and payment of custom duty tariffs and a uniform incorporated into its domestic law. customs system has been established, which entered into force on May 1, 2016. Finally, the 14. Pacific Alliance standardization of the technical and health provisions, as well as the elimination of health The Pacific Alliance is a trade bloc consisting of barriers on exports shall be carried out after the four Latin American countries: Chile, Colombia, entry into effect of the Agreement. Mexico, and Peru. This proposal was unveiled in Peru, on April 28, 2011, through the The Pacific Alliance has 59 Observer Members, Declaration of Lima. The aim of this partnership and the Associated State figure was created is to encourage regional integration and further in order to negotiate trade agreements with growth, development, and competitiveness countries interested in having a more profound of its member countries' economies, and relationship with the Pacific Alliance. to progressively move closer to the goal of achieving the free movement of goods, services, Ernst & Young (EY) and the Ministry of Foreign capital, and people. Among these agreements Affairs (MTR) prepared the Pacific Alliance to form part of the Pacific Alliance, an essential Business and Investment Guide 2018-2019. It requirement set forth is that all new members can be downloaded for free at here. of the alliance must have in place the rule of law, democracy, and constitutional order in the country.
For further information on the Latin American The countries members of the Pacific Alliance Integrated Market (MILA) please visit here. represent 36% of Latin America's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and 2.7% of the global GDP. Together, they would be the eighth largest economy in the world. Trade represents 41% of Latin America and the Caribbean. Additionally, by 2018, they were able to obtain 38% of the Direct Foreign Investment (DFI) in Latin America. Business 78 2 Environment
15. Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement It should be noted that the potential market for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) for fruits and vegetables, Andean grains, fishery products, and cotton and alpaca textile On March 8, 2018, the ministers of foreign products is valued at over USD2.5 billion. In this trade of 12 countries from the Asia-Pacific sense, growth opportunities for non-traditional region signed the text of the Comprehensive exports will also increase within the CPTPP and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific bloc. Furthermore, the CPTPP will contribute Partnership (CPTPP). to convert Peru into a hub, attracting South American investment to export with preferences In addition to Peru, the CPTPP was signed to the other countries of the CPTPP, and by Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Canada, investment from the Asia-Pacific to export to Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, the rest of South America through the trade Singapore, and Vietnam. Together, these agreements that Peru has signed with the countries constitute a market of 500 million countries of the region. people with a GDP of USD10.200 billion, accounting for over 13% of the global economy, 16. Peru-Australia Free Trade Agreement and an average GDP per capita of approximately USD28,000. The Peru-Australia Free Trade Agreement was signed on February 12, 2018, and entered The Agreement has entered the stage of internal into force on February 11, 2020. The FTA with improvement which, in many cases, implies Australia is one of the most ambitious bilateral prior approval of the respective Parliaments trade agreements that Peru has entered into of each country that has signed it. Among with any of its trading partners, containing the items included in the Agreement, there commitments regarding tariffs, health measures, are issues related to regional integration, technical barriers to trade, customs matters, regulatory coherence, economic development, trade in services, investments, movement of access of SMEs to the markets, competitiveness individuals, e-commerce, and more. It is also and transparency, as well as commitments to the first bilateral trade agreement in which Peru liberalize the trade of goods and services of the has included a chapter on Small and Medium- latest generation of Free Trade Agreements. Sized Enterprises (SMEs), Development; and Facilitation of Business, in an effort to promote Peru has become one of the three nations in the use of benefits derived from the FTA. Thus, Latin America to be part of the largest free trade the broad scope of the FTA with Australia seeks zone in the world, which includes countries to contribute to the country's economic growth on three continents (the Americas, Asia, and development. and Oceania). It is the area with the greatest economic projection in the immediate future, due This agreement will allow 96% of all Peruvian to the growth of its middle class. For Peru, the exports to Australia to enter the country without CPTPP represents a major commercial platform paying tariffs as soon as the FTA enters into to diversify the destinations of its exports in ten force. Special note should be made of products countries, improving the conditions of the free with great potential as exports that will enter trade agreements currently in force with some tariff-free, such as avocados, blueberries, of them. The CPTPP will also allow Peru to enter mandarin oranges, frozen shrimp and prawns, five new markets (Australia, Brunei Darussalam, cuttlefish, and preparations used for animal Malaysia, New Zealand, and Vietnam) under a feed, cotton polo shirts and t-shirts, dress single homogeneous set of rules. shirts, chemical inputs, construction equipment, Business 79 2 Environment
iron and steel manufacture, zinc manufacture, to strengthen openness and trade preferences and others. Additionally, the agreement for Peru in a market that concentrates one establishes a framework intended to guarantee sixth (1/6th) of the world's population. In an the transparency and efficiency of health and initial MINCETUR study, 61 Peruvian products phytosanitary procedures, thus facilitating trade have been identified (52 belonging to the Non- in agricultural products. traditional Sector) in which Peru has significant comparative advantages and where India would Likewise, the trade agreement seeks to eliminate have a relatively high purchasing power. or reduce any existing barriers to trade in services. In particular, it benefits all internet- In addition, Peru is evaluating the possibility and cloud-based services and guarantees that of proposing a feasibility study to enter into a software, applications, games for cell phones and trade agreement with the Russian Federation, tablets, and digital products in general can all be which would open up, for Peru, a market in an sold without restrictions. economy that represents 23% of world's exports and 1.8% of the world's imports. In this regard, 17. Peru's Upcoming Trade Agreements MINCETUR has determined that custom duty tariff liberalization between the two countries As part of efforts deployed to expand and could generate an increase in bilateral exports strengthen the market for Peruvian products of 36% for Peru, emphasizing, for the Peruvian worldwide, Peru and Turkey begun negotiations side, the ability to export fresh grapes, colorants, for a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between tangerines, capsicum, zinc oxide, fresh mangoes, the two countries on January 20, 2014. An and other products. important fact is that it has been decided for the negotiations to include liberalization of trade On October 2, 2012, Peru also signed in services, which is something that Turkey had a Framework Agreement for Economic, never negotiated in earlier agreements from the Commercial, Technical and Investment start. The products enjoying a greater interest Cooperation with Member States of the Gulf on the part of Turkey include mining, fisheries, Cooperation Council, made up of Saudi Arabia, livestock, leather, and fur. Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and the United Arab Emirates. The Agreement is the first one Central America and the Caribbean are other signed with a South American country. regions where a significant business and investment potential for Peruvian companies has The possibility to continue negotiating trade been identified. Likewise, negotiations have been agreements with Israel, South Africa or Morocco initiated with El Salvador, which are expected to is not ruled out. be concluded in a short period.
Peru is also taking the initiative to promote the start of trade negotiations with India. One of the interests in future negotiations with India is Business 80 2 Environment
PERU'S ENTRY TO THE SCHENGEN AREA
Since March 2016, Peruvians no longer require a Thanks to the progressive reduction of the barriers Schengen visa, thanks to notable improvements to enter the Schengen area, Peru will have the in the economic, social, and political spheres, capacity to consolidate trade and investment setting the stage for the elimination of alternatives with 30 European countries. restrictions and leading to a more profound integration between Peru and its European trading partners. Peruvian may now travel to the For further information on Peruvian trade agreements, visit here. 26 countries of the European Union, as well as Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, and Switzerland, without a visa for a period of up to 90 days out of every 180-day period for purposes of tourism.
This situation is the result of a process whereby Peru has worked, through its foreign policy, to achieve a greater integration within the international community, using instruments such as trade agreements and cooperation agreements, both bilateral and multilateral. Similarly, the progress made by the country in terms of security, irregular immigration and human rights, as well as the economic benefits for the European bloc of having Peru as one of its principal economic partners due to the current conditions of its economic growth, have been crucial for this development.
With regard to the integration between the European continent and Peru, it must be noted that this approach has been operated at three levels: an initial macro level based on the cooperation and integration actions taken between the EU and the Community of American and Caribbean States (CELAC) an intermediate level within the context of the agreement between the EU and the Andean Community of Nations (CAN), and a third level that includes the bilateral relations between Peru and Europe. Business 81 2 Environment
Peru aspires to become a member country of At present, the OECD is comprised by 37 countries: the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Germany, Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Development (OECD). To date, it has made great Chile, Colombia, South Korea, Denmark, Spain, strides towards the achievement of this goal, United States, Slovenia, Estonia, Finland, France, PERU AND THE since the incorporation of Peru in July 2008 as Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Iceland, Israel, Italy, ORGANIZATION5 a signatory of the Declaration on International Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Mexico, Investment and Multinational Enterprises of the Norway, New Zealand, Netherlands, Poland, FOR ECONOMIC OECD. As a member, Peru, through ProInversión Portugal, United Kingdom, Czech Republic, CO-OPERATION implemented the National Contact Point in Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland and Turkey. AND order to diffuse the directives of the OECD for multinational enterprises, taking part in activities In view of Peru's great potential for economic DEVELOPMENT and meeting of the OECD Investment Committee. consolidation, in December of 2014, Peru signed (OECD) Its participation in the OECD Competence the “Country Program” agreement, aimed at Committee and its entry to the Development working on strengthening the five required axes Center in 2014 must also be mentioned. that would pave the way to form part of the OECD towards 2021: The purpose of the OECD is to analyze, share and disseminate better practices of public policies 1. Identification of barriers to national growth among its more than 200 committees and work and development groups, located in countries that represent 70% 2. Public governance and improvement of of the global economy. Similarly, the countries of institutional issues the OECD and a growing number of emerging and 3. Anti-corruption and transparency of the State developing economies, share and discuss their governance experiences to improve the services 4. Improvements in human capital and productivity provided to their citizens. 5. Progress made in environmental matters
Peru has resorted to the experience, practices, and legal instruments of the OECD to support its reform program. For example, in 2018, Peru took a significant leap in fighting corruption and fostering transparency and the exchange of information by completing the necessary steps to become a Party to the OECD Convention on Combating Bribery of Foreign Public Officials in International Business Transactions (Anti-Bribery Convention) and the Multilateral Convention on Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters. Business 82 2 Environment
Peru also passed 29 legislative orders (decretos legislativos) that implement the recommendations of the OECD and other political regulations in areas such as the environment, waste management, transparency, the exchange of information on tax matters, regulatory policy, cross-border bribery, integrity, and rural and urban development.
PILLARS OF COMPETITIVENESS PERU - OCDE 2019
Macroeconomic stability 100
80
60 Innovation Infrastructure capacity 40
20
0 Peru OCDE
Adoption of Human capital information technology
Institutionality
Source: Multiannual Macroeconomic Framework 2021-2024, Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) SECTOR ANALYSIS 3 Sector 84 3 Analysis
The Mining Sector has been and is of great As of october 2020, mining exports reached importance to the Peruvian economy. The country's USD19.82 billion. mining tradition has been around since pre-Inca times, ranking to this day as one of the main While the metallic mining GDP is expected to fall by MINING activities related to the development of Peru. 14.1% in 2020, a rapid recovery is also forecast for 1 Thus, over the years, mining has contributed 2021, with a growth of 14.4%. approximately one half of the country's revenues, as a result of its exports.
PRODUCTION OF FINE CONTENT MINERALS (THOUSANDS)
Ore 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Copper 1,299 1,376 1,378 1,701 2,354 2,446 2,437 2,455 1,927 (TMF) Gold 161,545 151,486 140,097 146,823 153,005 151,104 140,210 128,413 78,714 (gr. Fina) Zinc 1,281 1,351 1,319 1,422 1,337 1,473 1,474 1,404 1,178 (TMF) Silver 3,481 3,674 3,768 4,102 4,375 4,304 4,160 3,860 2,673 (Kg. Fina) Lead 249 266 278 316 314 307 289 308 217 (TMF) Iron 6,685 6,687 7,193 7,321 7,663 8,806 9,533 10,120 7,914 (TMF) Tin 26 24 23 20 19 18 18 19 18 (TMF) Molybdenum 17 18 18 20 26 28 28 30 29 (TMF)
*As of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
PERU'S RANKING IN WORLD METALS Peru is one of the countries with the greatest PRODUCTION – 2020 variety of minerals in the world. It currently has some of the world's largest precious metal and Ore World Latin America base metal mines. Many of the most important Silver 2 2 mining companies around the world have Tin 4 1 operations in the country. Zinc 2 1 Copper 2 2 Mercury 4 2 Molybdenum 4 2 Lead 3 1 Gold 8 1 Selenium 10 1 Cadmium 9 2
Source: Mineral Commodity Summaries 2020 Sector 85 3 Analysis
EVOLUTION OF METALLIC MINING PRODUCTION (PERCENTAGE VARIATION)
21.2 20 15.7 15 14.4
10
4.3 4.5 5 2.5
0 -0.8 -2.1 -2.1 -2.2 -1.7 -5 -2.7
-10 -14.1 -15 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
EVOLUTION OF MINING SECTOR INDICATORS (IN USD MILLIONS)
35,000 29,814 29,039 28,437 30,000 28,018 27,145 25,000 22,155 23,675 22,670 20,135 18,672 20,000 16,629 15,000 15,691 14,483 14,824 14,966 13,351 10,000 12,412 12,074 12,300 12,676 11,606 11,776 5,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Mining Exports Metallic Mining GDP
Source: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) / National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
NON-METALLIC MINING PRODUCTION
January - November Metal (Tons) 2019 2020 Var. % Limestone / Dolomite 13,622,450 16,380,010 20.2% Phosphates 10,207,684 7,807,738 -23.5% Concrete 5,805,331 3,018,342 -48.0% Salt 1,141,914 988,960 -13.4% Stone (construction) 1,532,338 987,283 -35.6% Pozzolana 1,216,296 823,428 -32.3% Sand (coarse / fine) 1,806,461 776,842 -57.0% Calcite 1,865,511 730,292 -60.9% Seashell 1,447,056 649,590 -55.1%
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 86 3 Analysis
This is how Peru finds itself among the six countries The mining industry is one of the main sources of with the highest mineral wealth in the world. tax revenue in Peru. Furthermore, the Mining Sector In 2020, Peru maintained its position as the is important for its contribution to job creation. second largest producer of silver, copper, and zinc As of November of 2020, 199,137 people worked worldwide. It was also the third world producer of directly in mining activities, and several million lead and fourth world producer of molybdenum and people in indirect activities. tin; and the world's eighth largest producer of gold.
DIRECT EMPLOYMENT AS OF NOVEMBER 2020
250,000 208,566 210,199 199,137 197,453 189,556 200,000 178,533 172,652 154,171 160,802 150,000
130,537 128,930 100,000
50,000
January February March April May June July August September October November
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
Although Peru has large deposits of various Peru has many regions engaged in mining, a mineral resources, it is estimated that only a small wide variety of world-class mineral deposits, percentage of Peru's mineral reserves are being and a very dynamic mining community. It also exploited, since 14.2% of the territory is subject to boasts of an excellent geographical location in the mining concessions and only 1.3% of the territory center of South America, with easy access to the is developed for formal mining exploration and Asian and North American markets. Even within exploitation. According to recent statistics, Peruvian Latin America, Peru enjoys one of the largest production ranges are minimal considering the potentials for mining exploration and production. country's mineral potential. However, using modern Moreover, its clear and simple mining laws, and techniques and equipment, it is developing the excellent geological potential, have contributed commercial potential of various minerals from to Peru attracting one of the largest projects for regions previously considered inaccessible. mineral exploration and development in the world. Therefore, it is believed that Peru has the ability to double or triple production, especially in the area of basic metals. Sector 87 3 Analysis
The following table shows a list of estimated Currently, there is a growing number of exploration reserves of major minerals in the country. projects in Peru, which come mainly from junior Canadian companies. However, medium and large METAL RESERVES 2020 (IN MILLIONS) companies in the United States, Australia, China, and Brazil are also becoming important investors Metals Unit of Measurement: Tons in exploration. Although there is a great variety in Copper 87,000 the scale of exploration programs of large, medium and junior companies, it is believed that most large Gold 2,100 and medium sized companies are concentrating Zinc 19,000 on advanced projects that will lead to production; Silver 120,000 or in some cases, that will make them more Molybdenum 2,900,000 attractive for acquisition, while the emphasis of Tin 110,000 junior companies remains at the early exploration stage. Simultaneously, total expenditure on mineral Source: US Geology Survey exploration has increased in recent years with some fluctuations, since producers see it as a more MINING RIGHTS 2019 economical and less risky means to replace and add mineral reserves. Today, the level and the success Description Quantity Area (ha) % Peru of exploration have a direct influence on the future Titled Mining competitiveness of mineral production in Peru. 32,350 13,107,000 10.20% Rights Mining Rights Currently 11,871 5104000 3.97% Being Processed Total 44,221 18,211,000 14.17%
Source: Geological, Mining, and Metallurgic Institute (INGEMMET) Sector 88 3 Analysis
Mine construction project portfolio is shown herein below:
PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS
According to the Ministry of Energy and Mines and table show the 46 portfolio projects, which (MINEM), investment in mining during 2020-2022 comprise those that involve the construction of new is estimated to be equivalent to USD56.16 billion. mines (greenfield), the extension or restructuring of 67.7% will be invested in copper projects and the existing ones (grownfield) as well as those involving majority of the remaining percentage shall be the reuse of tailings (greenfield). used in gold and iron projects. The following graph
48% 30% 7% 15%
Pre-feasibility Feasibility Detailed Engineering Construction USD26.85 billion USD16.59 billion USD4.22 billion USD8.50 billion
• Antilla • Expansion Bayóvar • Expansion Shouxin • Expansion Santa María • Ayawilca • Expansion Pachapaqui • Corani • Expansion Toromocho • AZOD • Cañariaco (Norte) • Tía María • Ariana (Accha and Yanque) • Chalcobamba Fase I • Yanacocha Sulfuros • Mina Justa • Cañón Florida • Conga • Quellaveco • Cotabambas • Fosfatos Pacífico • Don Javier • Magistral • El Galeno • Ollachea • Fosfatos Mantaro • Optimization • Haquira Inmaculada • Hierro Apurímac • Pampa de Pongo • Hilarión • Pampacancha • Integración • Copper plant Coroccohuayco Río Seco • La Granja • Quechua • Los Calatos • Río Blanco • Los Chancas • San Gabriel • Macusani • San Luis • Michiquillay • Zafranal • Pukaqaqa • Shalipayco • Trapiche
Projects are shown in random positions. Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 89 3 Analysis
Out of the 46 projects, five are currently in the construction phase, which amount to an aggregate investment sum of USD8.50 billion. Likewise, four projects are in the detailed engineering stage with an investment of USD4.22 billion; 17 projects are in the feasibility stage with an investment of USD16.59 billion; and the remaining projects are in the pre-feasibility phase with an investment of USD26.85 billion.
Construction Investment Project Operator Region Main Ore Current Stage Start Date (USD million) Mina Justa Marcobre S.A.C. Ica Copper Construction 1,600 Under Expansion Toromocho Minera Chinalco Perú S.A. Junín Copper Construction 1,355 Construction Quellaveco Anglo American Quellaveco S.A. Moquegua Copper Construction 5,300 Expansion Santa María Compañía Minera Poderosa S.A. La Libertad Gold Construction 121 2021 Expansion Shouxin Minera Shouxin S.A. Ica Iron Detailed ingineering 140 2021 Corani Bear Creek Mining S.A.C. Puno Silver Detailed ingineering 579 2021 Yanacocha Sulfuros Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. Cajamarca Gold Detailed ingineering 2,100 2021 Optimization Inmaculada Compañía Minera Ares S.A.C. Ayacucho Gold Feasibility 136 2021 Chalcobamba Fase I Minera Las Bambas S.A.C. Apurímac Copper Feasibility 130 2021 Pampacancha Hudbay Peru S.A.C. Cusco Copper Feasibility 70 Compañía de Minas Buenaventura 2021 San Gabriel Moquegua Gold Feasibility 422 S.A.A. Procesadora Industrial Río Seco 2022 Copper plant Río Seco Lima Copper Feasibility 350 S.A. 2022 Magistral Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. Áncash Copper Feasibility 490 2023 Zafranal Compañía Minera Zafranal S.A.C. Arequipa Copper Feasibility 1,263 Southern Perú Copper Corporation, 2024 Los Chancas Apurímac Copper Pre-Feasibility 2,600 Suc. del Perú 2024 Trapiche El Molle Verde S.A.C. Apurímac Copper Pre-Feasibility 973 Southern Perú Copper Corporation, 2025 Michiquillay Cajamarca Copper Pre-Feasibility 2,500 Sucursal del Perú Ariana Ariana Operaciones Mineras S.A.C. Junín Copper Construction 125 Pampa de Pongo Jinzhao Mining Perú S.A. Arequipa Iron Feasibility 2,200 Southern Perú Copper Corporation, Tía María Arequipa Copper Detailed ingineering 1,400 Sucursal del Perú Expansion Bayóvar Compañía Minera Miski Mayo S.R.L. Piura Phosphate Feasibility 300 Expansion Pachapaqui ICM Pachapaqui S.A.C. Áncash Zinc Feasibility 117 To be Cañariaco (Norte) Cañariaco Copper Perú S.A. Lambayeque Copper Feasibility 1,437 defined Conga Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. Cajamarca Gold Feasibility 4,800 Fosfatos Pacífico Fosfatos del Pacífico S.A. Piura Phosphate Feasibility 830 Ollachea Minera Kuri Kullu S.A. Puno Gold Feasibility 165 Quechua Compañía Minera Quechua S.A. Cusco Copper Feasibility 1,290 Río Blanco Rio Blanco Copper S.A. Piura Copper Feasibility 2,500 San Luis Reliant Ventures S.A.C. Áncash Silver Feasibility 90 Sector 90 3 Analysis
Construction Investment Project Operator Region Main Ore Current Stage Start Date (USD million) Integración Coroccohuayco Compañía Minera Antapaccay S.A. Cusco Copper Pre-Feasibility 590 Antilla Panoro Apurímac S.A. Apurímac Copper Pre-Feasibility 250 Ayawilca Tinka Resources S.A.C. Pasco Zinc Pre-Feasibility 262 AZOD (Accha and Yanque) Exploraciones Collasuyo S.A.C. Cusco Zinc Pre-Feasibility 346 Cañón Florida Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. Amazonas Zinc Feasibility 214 Cotabambas Panoro Apurímac S.A. Apurímac Copper Pre-Feasibility 1,530 Don Javier Junefield Group S.A. Arequipa Copper Pre-Feasibility 600 El Galeno Lumina Copper S.A.C. Cajamarca Copper Pre-Feasibility 3,500 Fosfatos Mantaro Mantaro Perú S.A.C. Junín Phosphate Pre-Feasibility 850 To be defined Haquira Minera Antares Perú S.A.C. Apurímac Copper Pre-Feasibility 1,860 Hierro Apurímac Apurímac Ferrum S.A. Apurímac Iron Pre-Feasibility 2,900 Hilarión Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. Áncash Zinc Pre-Feasibility 585 Rio Tinto Minera Perú Limitada La Granja Cajamarca Copper Pre-Feasibility 5,000 S.A.C. Los Calatos Minera Hampton Perú S.A.C. Moquegua Copper Pre-Feasibility 655 Uranium/ Macusani Macusani Yellowcake S.A.C. Puno Pre-Feasibility 887 Lithium Pukaqaqa Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. Huancavelica Copper Pre-Feasibility 655 Shalipayco Nexa Resources Perú S.A.A. Junín Zinc Pre-Feasibility 91 Total (46 projects) 56,158
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
BEGINNING OF CONSTRUCTION OF MINE CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
USD3.577 billion USD840 million USD1.263 billion USD3.573 billion USD2.500 billion
• Expansion Shouxin • Magistral • Zafranal • Los Chancas • Michiquillay • Chalcobamba Fase I • Copper plant • Trapiche • Corani Río Seco • Opt. Inmaculada • Pampacancha • San Gabriel • Yanacocha Sulfuros
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 91 3 Analysis
CONSTRUCTION OF PROJECTS ACCORDING TO TYPE OF PROJECT
46 Projects 36 Projects 10 Projects USD56.158 GREENFIELD billion BROWNFIELD 91% USD51.100 9% USD5.058 billion billion
NEW PROJECTS EXPANSION PROJECTS
• Antilla • Mina Justa • Expansion Bayóvar • Ariana • Ollachea • Expansion Pachapaqui • Ayawilca • Pampa de Pongo • Expansion Santa María • AZOD • Copper plant Río Seco • Expansion Shouxin (Accha and Yanque) • Pukaqaqa • Expansion Toromocho • Cañariaco (Norte) • Quechua • Cañón Florida • Quellaveco REPLACEMENT PROJECTS • Conga • Río Blanco • Chalcobamba Fase I • Corani • San Gabriel • Integración Coroccohuayco • Cotabambas • San Luis • Opt. Inmaculada • Don Javier • Shalipayco • Pampacancha • El Galeno • Tía María • Yanacocha Sulfuros • Fosfatos Mantaro • Trapiche • Fosfatos Pacífico • Zafranal • Haquira • Hierro Apurímac • Hilarión • La Granja • Los Calatos • Los Chancas • Macusani • Magistral • Michiquillay
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 92 3 Analysis
CONSTRUCTION OF PROJECTS ACCORDING TO TYPE OF MINE
28 12 3 1
Open Pit Underground Open Pit and To be defined USD47.493 billion USD2.982 billion Underground USD887 million USD4.306 billion
• Expansion Bayóvar • Expansion Pachapaqui • AZOD • Macusani • Expansion Toromocho • Expansion Santa María (Accha and Yanque) • Antilla • Ariana • Haquira • Cañariaco (Norte) • Ayawilca • Yanacocha Sulfuros • Chalcobamba Fase I • Cañón Florida • Conga • Hilarión • Corani • Los Calatos • Cotabambas • Ollachea • Don Javier • Opt. Inmaculada • El Galeno • San Gabriel • Fosfatos Mantaro • San Luis • Fosfatos Pacífico • Shalipayco • Hierro Apurímac • Integración Coroccohuayco • Expansion Bayóvar • Expansion Toromocho • Antilla • Cañariaco (Norte) • Chalcobamba Fase I • Conga • Corani • Cotabambas • Don Javier TAILINGS REUSE • El Galeno • Fosfatos Mantaro Expansion Shouxin USD140 million • Fosfatos Pacífico • Hierro Apurímac REFINERY • Integración Coroccohuayco Copper plant Río Seco USD350 million
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 93 3 Analysis
ORIGIN OF ESTIMATED MINING PROJECTS PORTFOLIO, BY COUNTRY (IN USD MILLIONS)
No. of In USD Country % Projects Millions United 6 12,066 21.5% Kingdom China 7 10,425 18.6% Canada 11 8,573 15.3% United States 3 7,200 12.8% Mexico 3 6,500 11.6% Peru 6 4,297 7.7% Australia 2 3,065 5.5% Brazil 5 2,035 3.6% Japan 1 1,290 2.3% Switzerland 1 590 1.1% South Korea 1 117 0.2% Total 46 56,158 100.0%
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
ESTIMATED PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS - PARTICIPATION BY PREDOMINANT MINERAL
No. of In USD Metal % Projects Millions Copper 25 38,023 67.7% Gold 6 7,744 13.8% Iron 3 5,240 9.3% Phosphate 3 1,980 3.5% Zinc 6 1,615 2.9% Uranium/ 1 887 1.6% Lithium Silver 2 669 1.2% Total 46 56,158 100.0%
Estimated portfolio as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 94 3 Analysis
GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION OF THE MINE CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
1 31.9% 9 0.4% Cajamarca Amazonas USD17.90 billion USD214 millon 5 projects 1 project
2 6.5% 10 0.6%
2 9 Piura Lima USD3.63 billion USD350 millon 3 1 3 projects 1 project
4 3 2.6% 11 0.5% Lambayeque Pasco 5 USD1.44 billion USD262 millon 11 1 project 1 project
12 10 4 0.2% 12 4.2%
8 14 La Libertad Junín USD121 millon USD2.42 billion 13 6 15 2 projects 4 projects
7 5 2.3% 13 18.2%
16 Áncash Apurímac USD1.28 billion USD10.24 billion 4 projects 7 projects
6 3.1% 14 4.1% Ica Cusco USD1,74 billion USD2.29 billion 2 projects 4 projects
7 9.7% 15 2.9% Arequipa Puno USD5.46 billion USD1.63 billion 4 projects 3 projects
8 1.2% 16 11.4% Huancavelica Moquegua USD655 millones USD6.38 billion 2 projects 3 projects
Estimated portfolio of projects as of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 95 3 Analysis
MINING EXPLORATION PROJECT PORTFOLIO In addition, Peru has a portfolio of 64 mining exploration projects, the total investment of which amounts to USD498.6 million. The following investments correspond to new projects that will be developed in the course of 2020-2021.
Main Investment (in N° Project Operator Region Product USD Millions) Projects with Environmental Management Instruments (EMI) under evaluation 1 Acata Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Arequipa Ag 5.3 2 Hilarión Nexa Resources Peru S.A.A. Áncash Pb 9.4 3 Huiñac Punta Condor Exploration Peru S.A.C. Huánuco Cu 2.0 4 Santander Trevali Peru S.A.C. Lima Zn 2.0 5 Sombrero Sombrero Minerales S.A.C. Ayacucho Cu 2.4 6 Yanacochita II Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 2.8 7 Yumpag Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. Pasco Ag 20.0 Exploration authorization projects under evaluation 8 Alta Victoria Minera Cappex S.A.C. Junín Ag 3.5 9 Anamaray Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. Lima Au 1.5 10 Apacheta Vale Exploration Peru S.A.C. Huancavelica Cu 4.4 11 Ayawilca Tinka Resources S.A.C. Pasco Sn 18.0 12 Bongará Minera Forrester S.A.C. Amazonas Zn 3.1 13 Cerro Negro Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. Cajamarca Au 5.0 14 Chapitos Camino Resources S.A.C. Arequipa Cu 83.4 15 Coasa Palamina S.A.C. Puno Au 3.8 16 El Galeno Lumina Copper S.A.C. Cajamarca Cu 15.0 17 El Porvenir Nexa Resources El Porvenir S.A.C. Pasco Zn 2.2 18 Elisa Sur BHP Billiton World Exploration Inc. Sucursal del Peru Moquegua Cu 1.1 19 Huacullo Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Apurímac Au 1.5 20 Iluminadora Newmont Peru S.R.L. Arequipa Au 3.8 21 La Quinua Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. Cajamarca Au 1.0 22 Lourdes Pucara Resources S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 2.0 23 Mina Marta Compañía Minera Barbastro S.A.C. Huancavelica Ag 2.5 24 Pampa Negra Minera Pampa de Copper S.A.C. Moquegua Cu 45.5 25 Pucajirca Minera Peñoles de Peru S.A. Áncash Cu 2.0 26 Quehuincha Hudbay Peru S.A.C. Cusco Cu 3.0 27 San Antonio Sumitomo Metal Mining Peru S.A. Apurímac Cu 8.0 28 San José Minera Yanacocha S.R.L. Cajamarca Au 1.8 29 Santo Domingo Fresnillo Peru S.A.C. Apurímac Au 1.3 30 Scorpius Alpha Mining S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 1.8 31 Shalipayco Compañía Minera Shalipayco S.A.C. Junín Zn 2.0 32 Suyawi Rio Tinto Mining Exploration S.A.C. Tacna Cu 15.0 Sector 96 3 Analysis
Main Investment (in N° Project Operator Region Product USD Millions) Exploration authorization projects under evaluation 33 Trapiche El Molle Verde S.A.C. Apurímac Cu 9.0 34 Tumipampa Sur Compañía Tumipampa S.A.C. Apurímac Cu 2.0 35 Yumpag (fase 2) Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. Pasco Ag 3.0 36 Zafranal Compañía Minera Zafranal S.A.C. Arequipa Cu 47.0 37 Zoraida II Volcan Compañía Minera S.A.A. Junín Ag 1.7 Exploration projects underway or to be executed 38 Amauta Compañía Minera Mohicano S.A.C. Arequipa Cu 10.0 39 Arcata Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Arequipa Ag 6.0 40 Ayawilca Tinka Resources S.A.C. Pasco Ag 1.0 41 Azulmina Nexa Resources Peru S.A.A. Áncash Zn 6.9 42 Berenguela Sociedad Minera Berenguela S.A. Puno Ag 10.8 43 Caylloma Minera Bateas S.A.C. Arequipa Ag 14.3 44 Cochaloma Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 2.3 45 Colquipucro Tinka Resources S.A.C. Pasco Zn 2.5 46 Eposuyay (fase I) Vale Exploration Peru S.A.C. La Libertad Cu 4.6 47 Illari Newmont Peru S.R.L. Lima Au 7.3 48 Inmaculada Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Ayacucho Ag 6.0 49 La Zanja Minera La Zanja S.R.L. Cajamarca Au 1.6 50 Loma Linda Consorcio Mining Sunec S.A.C. Pasco Au 3.8 51 Malpaso II Pan American Silver Huaron S.A. Huánuco Ag 3.2 52 Mayra Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. Arequipa Au 1.0 53 Pablo Sur Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 2.8 54 Palca Compañía Minera Ares. S.A.C. Ayacucho Au 2.8 55 Palma Compañía Minera Chungar S.A.C. Lima Zn 6.1 56 Quenamari Minsur S.A. Puno Sn 6.0 57 Romina 2 Compañía Minera Chungar S.A.C. Lima Zn 2.5 58 San Pedro Pan American Silver Huaron S.A. Pasco Pb 4.0 59 Shahuindo Shahuindo S.A.C. Cajamarca Au 13.2 60 Sierra Nevada y Manuelita Compañía Minera Argentum S.A. Junín Cu 4.1 61 Soledad (fase I) Chakana Resources S.A.C. Áncash Ag 4.3 62 Tambomayo (fase II) Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. Arequipa Au 1.5 63 Tantahuatay 4 Compañía Minera Coimolache S.A. Cajamarca Au 28.0 64 Yauricocha Sociedad Minera Corona S.A. Lima Cu 3.6 Total (64 projects) 498.6
Estimated portfolio as of February 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 97 3 Analysis
MINE EXPLORATION PROJECTS ACCORDING TO PROGRESS STAGE
9% 59% 32%
Evaluation of Evaluation of Exploration Evironmental Exploration Running or Impact Authorization to Run Assesment USD295 million USD160 million USD44 million
• Arcata • Alta Victoria • Mina Marta • Amauta • Palca • Hilarión • Anamaray • Pampa Negra • Arcata • Palma • Huiñac Punta • Apacheta • Pucajirca • Ayawilca (1ra • Quenamari • Santander • Ayawilca • Quehuincha MEIAsd) • Romina 2 • Sombrero (2da MEIAsd) • San Antonio • Azulmina • San Pedro • Yanacochita II • Bongará • San José 1 • Berenguela • Shahuindo • Yumpag • Cerro Negro • Santo Domingo • Caylloma • Sierra Nevada y • Chapitos • Scorplus • Cochaloma Manuelita • Coasa • Shalipayco • Colquipucro • Soledad (fase 1) • El Galeno • Suyawi • Eposuyay (fase I) • Tambomayo • El Porvenir • Trapiche • Illari (fase 2) • Elisa Sur • Tumipampa Sur • Inmaculada • Tantahuatay 4 • Huacullo • Yumpag (fase 2) • La Zanja • Yauricocha • Iluminadora • Zafranal • Loma Linda • La Quinua • Zoraida II • Malpaso II • Lourdes • Mayra • Pablo Sur
Estimated portfolio as of February 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
MINE EXPLORATION PROJECTS ACCORDING TO MINERAL TO EXTRACT
Mineral N° Projects USD Million % Copper 18 262 53% Gold 21 90 18% Silver 13 82 16% Zinc 8 27 5% Tin 2 24 5% Lead 2 13 3% Total 64 498 100%
Estimated portfolio as of February 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 98 3 Analysis
MINING EXPORTS BY COUNTRY OF MINING EXPORTS BY MINING PRODUCT TYPE DESTINATION AS OF OCTOBER 2020 (%) AS OF SEPTEMBER 2020 (%)
China Germany Copper Lead 62% 4% 49% 6% Japan Bulgaria Gold Iron 10% 2% 32% 3% South Other Zinc Others Korea 13% 6% 4% 9%
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
The role of government with respect to mining advantages to the mining investors and abundant is that of a regulator, promoter, and observer. freedom to import the machinery and equipment Currently, government has privatized much of its needed to carry out their activities at a lower cost property and assets in the Mining Sector; thus, and with less bureaucratic requirements. large mining operations are in the hands of private domestic and foreign mining companies. Mining The measures introduced by Peru regarding the companies are not obliged to satisfy the domestic development of the Mining Sector are yielding market before exporting their products, and they favorable results. The major international mining are not conditioned to sell on official terms or companies perceive the country as an attractive prices. In addition, Peru offers significant business area for investment.
MAIN DESTINATIONS FOR MINING INVESTMENTS IN THE WORLD (2019)
Russia 4%
Canada 16% Europe 2% United States FSU 10% 2% China 4% Rest of Latin Western Mexico America Africa 5% 3% 4% Central Africa Peru Brazil 2% 6% 3% Australia Chile Southern Africa 14% 7% Argentina 1% 3%
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 99 3 Analysis
MINING SECTOR INVESTMENT (IN USD BILLIONS)
10 9 8.9 8.0 8 7.5 6.8 7 6.4 6.1 6 4.9 5 3.9 3.7 4 3.3 3.3 3 2.3 2 1.3 1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
Investment in mining activities reached a figure MINING INVESTMENTS ACCORDING TO TYPE OF of USD6.1 billion in 2019. In addition, mining INVESTMENT - 2020* investment in Peru registered a significant rise over (PERCENTAGE OF PARTICIPATION) the past few years, the investment in 2019 being four times the investment achieved in 2008, with Benefit Development a significant growth in the areas of beneficiation plant and preparation plant equipment, mining equipment, exploration, 33% 9% exploitation, infrastructure and operations Mining Exploration expansion preparation. The growth of exports and equipment 5% 19% global positioning are explained by a larger volume Infrastructure Other of production of the principal minerals. 18.% 16%
*As of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
MINING SECTOR INVESTMENT BY TYPE OF PRODUCTION (IN USD MILLIONS)
Type 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Benefit plant 1,125 1,140 1,414 890 446 238 287 1,412 1,513 1,215 Mining equipment 776 525 789 558 654 387 491 657 1,035 663 Exploration 869 905 776 625 527 377 484 413 357 194 Infrastructure 1,407 1,797 1,808 1,464 1,228 1,079 1,557 1,084 1,316 686 Development and 788 639 405 420 375 350 388 761 1,152 331 preparation Other 1,412 2,492 3,671 4,123 3,594 902 721 621 784 577 Total 6,378 7,498 8,864 8,079 6,825 3,334 3,928 4,947 6,157 3,667
As of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 100 3 Analysis
AVERAGE PRICE OF MAIN METALS
Percentage variation versus Metal Dec. 2020 Nov. 20 Jul. 20 Jan. 20 Copper (cUSD/lb) 352.54 9.9% 22.0% 28.8% Gold (USD/ozt) 1,859.65 -0.2% 0.9% 19.3% Zinc (cUSD/lb) 126.24 4.2% 27.8% 18.4% Silver (USD/ozt) 25.04 4.1% 21.9% 39.3% Lead (cUSD/lb) 91.36 5.1% 10.8% 4.7% Tin (cUSD/lb) 897.57 6.8% 13.3% 16.2%
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
WORLD'S MAIN COPPER PRODUCERS (IN THOUSANDS OF TONS)
5,830 Chile 5,600 2,440 Peru 2,400 1,590 China 1,600 1,220 United States 1,300 1,230 Congo 1,300 920 Australia 960 854 Zambia 790 751 Mexico 770 751 Russia 750 603 Kazakhstan 700 651 Indonesia 340
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
2018 2019
Source: US Geolocial Survey
COPPER PRODUCTION (IN MILLIONS OF TONS)
2.5 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of November 2020 Source: US Geological Survey Sector 101 3 Analysis
INTERNATIONAL DAILY COPPER PRICE (cUSD/lb)
380,000 362.99
340,000 cUSD/lb
300,000
260,000
220,000
180,000
01/01/2020 04/07/2018 07/11/2019 10/09/2020 01/14/2021
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
MONTHLY GOLD PRODUCTION (TMF)
12 11.2 11.2 11.0 10.8 10.9 10.9 10.4 10.3 10.7 10.6 10.4 10 10.3 9.3 8 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.0 7.2 6 6.0 6.1 5.1 4 4.1
2
January February March April May June July August September October November
2019 2020
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
INTERNATIONAL DAILY GOLD PRICE (USD/ozt)
2,100
2,000 USD/ozt 1,841.75 1,900 1,800
1,700
1,600
1,500
1,400
01/01/2020 04/7/2018 07/11/2019 10/09/2020 01/14/2021
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Sector 102 3 Analysis
PERU: COUNTRY FOR EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES TRANSPARENCY INITIATIVE (EITI)
The Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) is a recognized alliance comprising government agencies, extractive companies, international organizations and civil society sectors to promote the use of standards of transparency in payments performed by the mining, oil, and gas companies to each state, and how they channel such income to guarantee the sustainable development of their people
Peru was the first country in the Americas to join this initiative, due to the great importance and impact of extractive industries on their national income. In February 2012, Peru received the rank of being a country in compliance with the EITI initiative, after satisfying the corresponding audit.
For further information, please visit here.
EY and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE) prepared a specialized Investment Guide to Mining. It can be downloaded for free at here. Sector 103 3 Analysis
1. Financial System STRUCTURE OF THE PERUVIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM (NOVEMBER 2020) As of November 30, 2020, the Peruvian Financial System consisted of a total of 56 Banking Institutions 16 FINANCIAL companies, divided into six groups: Banking Financial Institutions 10 2 Institutions (16), Financial Institutions (10), Non- Non-Banking Micro-Finance Institutions 28 SYSTEM, Banking Micro-Finance Institutions (28), Banco • Municipal Thrifts (CM) 12 SECURITIES de la Nación (1) and Banco Agropecuario (1). In • Rural Savings and Loans Institutions 7 MARKET, AND this structure, Banks had the highest share in terms of assets, with 84.1% of the total, followed (CRAC) PENSION by Non-Banking Micro-Finance Institutions, with • Development Institution for Small and 9 SYSTEM 6.6%, and Financial Institutions, with 2.6%. Microenterprises (EDPYME) Banco de la Nación 1 It is worth pointing out that the default rate of Banco Agropecuario 1 the Peruvian Financial Sector has remained at a Total 56 rate of 3.7% as of november 2021. Furthermore, the Level of Access to Banking Services Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private (Bancarization) (measured as gross loans on Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) Gross Domestic Product - GDP) increased from 22% in 2007 to 61% in December 2019. This is largely explained by the greater number of branches across the country, which has tripled in the last five years. However, the level of banking penetration is still below the average for the Region, representing an opportunity at the local level, especially in the Retail Sector as consumer, micro and small enterprises loans.
There is a Deposit Insurance Fund (FSD) that aims to protect depositors in the case that a financial institution member of FSD, where they keep deposits, should become bankrupt. As of 2019, deposits insured by the FSD totaled PEN106.405 billion, increasing by 8.2% over 2018. It covers all registered and insured deposits that depositors hold in the same financial entity for up to PEN101,522 (approximately USD28,200) for the period of December 2020 - February 2021. Sector 104 3 Analysis
EVOLUTION OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM (IN PEN THOUSANDS)
1,200,000 80
66 609,226 70 1,000,000 62 62 61 61 499,160 59 60 59 60 57 60 55 55 56 56 800,000 N° de entidades 392,667 413,090 392,667 50 392,239 356,105 600,000 40 395,568 284,785 323,666 253,654 298,678 30 400,000 217,520 256,302 280,784 201,164 225,745 221,866 160,161 160,444 183,406 20 157,760 119,109 140,085 200,000 128,563 335,584 377,813 104,815 109,948 271,672 286,795 315,888 79,960 226,268 258,888 10 126,144 148,483 167,221 188,548 75,895 102,504 105,784 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2007 2008 2020* Loans Deposits Assets No. of entities
*As of November 2020 Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS)
Evolution of Total Loans Portfolio in USD Millions Level of Access to Banking Services 2020* 104,948 2019 61.3% 2019 101,385 2018 59.0% 2018 93,735 2017 55.7% 2017 88,490 2016 35.7% 2016 80,951 2015 36.8% 2015 75,920 2014 32.0% 2014 75,776 2013 28.6% *As of November 2020 Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) / Peruvian Banking Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) / Peruvian Banking Association (ASBANC) Association (ASBANC)
Level of Default Evolution of Deposits in USD Millions 2020* 3.7% 2020* 109,880 2019 3.0% 2019 97,784 2018 2.9% 2018 88,628 2017 3.0% 2017 86,395 2016 2.8% 2016 77,667 2015 2.5% 2015 74,998 2014 2.5% 2014 74,451 *As of November 2020 *As of November 2020 Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) / Peruvian Banking Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) / Peruvian Banking Association (ASBANC) Association (ASBANC) Sector 105 3 Analysis
CREDITS IN THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 (IN USD MILLIONS)
Large Medium Small Structure Corporate Microenterprises Consumer Mortgage Total Business Business Business Banking Institutions 19,564 16,300 18,075 6,613 1,537 14,581 14,202 90,873 Financial Institutions 4 5 60 1,024 763 1,834 48 3,737 Municipal Thrifts (CM) 32 18 602 3,284 1,495 1,406 399 7,237 Rural Savings and Loan Banks (CRAC) 0 6 45 181 151 269 6 659 Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise - 1 85 132 45 416 49 728 Development Entities Banco de la Nación - - - - - 1,404 90 1,494 Banco Agropecuario 0 0 152 42 28 - - 222 Total 19,601 16,330 19,020 11,275 4,019 19,910 14,794 104,948
Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS)
AVERAGE TIME ESTIMATED FOR THE INCORPORATION OF A FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS
Incorporation Authorization to Incorporate (Approximately 7.25 months) Business License (Approximately 5.75 months) Type and Minimum Capital Requirement • The SBS • The BCRP • Request for • Listing in evaluates evaluates the SBS to the Stock • Financial • Filing with application to • The BCRP the • The conduct a • The SBS issues Exchange of • Deadline institution the SBS an incorporate evaluates application institution verification the required the shares of for start of application application to the financial application to to is registered visit authorization Stock operations requirements incorporate institution incorporate incorporate with the resolution a financial the financial the financial SUNARP and grants institution institution institution the business license • The SBS • The SBS will • The SBS will advise advise the verfies the • Period BCRP of the • The BCRP BCRP on the request for filing application issues application objections opinion and relating to forwards to the financial SBS institution's application 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 0 to 15 days 60 days 30 days 90 days 21 days 60 days 30 days 60 days 21 days
Total Estimated Time: 13 Months
Sources: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS), Superintendency of Public Records Offices (SUNARP), Lima Stock Exchange (BVL), Peruvian Securities and Exchange Superintendency (SMV), EY Sector 106 3 Analysis
Microfinance Sector
The Global Microscope is a global microfinance These five domains are assessed using study that assesses the environment for financial eleven indicators: inclusion across five categories and 55 countries. 1. Government collection of sex-disaggregated In the 2020 edition, the Economist Intelligence financial inclusion data Unit (EIU) examines how countries are promoting financial inclusion for both women and men. 2. Inclusion of a gender approach in national financial inclusion strategies The Microscope was originally developed for 3. Inclusion of a gender approach in financial countries in the Latin America and Caribbean literacy strategies and programs regions in 2007 and was expanded into a global 4. Inclusion of a gender approach in digital study in 2009. literacy strategies and programs 5. Women's participation in decision-making at The five domains evaluated are as follows: financial regulators • Government and policy support 6. Non-discrimination in account opening • Stability and integrity 7. Diversity programs for non-banking or • Products and outlets correspondent agents • Consumer protection 8. Gender gap in access to national • Infrastructure identification (ID) 9. Non-discrimination in access to national ID 10. Gender gap in internet access 11. Gender gap in access to a mobile telephone
Peru ranked second overall in the Global Microscope 2020. Compared to its scores in the previous edition of the Microscope, Peru showed the greatest improvement in the domain of Products and points of sale, specifically, for facilitating the use of financial inclusion services like basic accounts and electronic money. The Ministry of Development and Social Inclusion (MDS) has implemented a transfer program of emergency funds called Bono Familiar Universal. Payment can be made by direct deposit to a bank or mobile account at the Banco de la Nación, or in cash at a designated agent. Sector 107 3 Analysis
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FINANCIAL During 2020 to December 31, the average daily INCLUSION - GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 trading volume reached USD24.24 million; additionally, the market capitalization for the Rank Country Points out of 100 same period reached USD165.540 billion. 1 Colombia 82 The Lima Stock Exchange (BVL) is a member 1 Peru 82 of the Latin American Integrated Market 3 Uruguay 78 (MILA) an entity responsible for integrating 4 Argentina 74 the multi-national stock exchange through the 4 Mexico 74 use of technological tools and standardization 6 India 73 of regulations on the capital market trading. Regarding authorized stock market brokers, 6 Tanzania 73 there are 21 brokerage firms (SAB) in the 8 Brazil 71 country, responsible for marketing, custody, 8 Philippines 71 management, and advice with respect to 10 Indonesia 68 securities trading. 10 Rwanda 68 AVERAGE DAILY TRADING VOLUME IN 12 Chile 66 THE BVL (IN USD MILLIONS) 13 China 64 13 South Africa 64 Year Volume 15 Thailand 63 2020 24.24 16 Costa Rica 62 2019 24.73 17 El Salvador 61 2018 24.73 18 Paraguay 60 2017 35.63 18 Russia 60 2016 18.26 20 Ghana 59 2015 14.18 2014 22.97 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit 2013 23.82 2. Securities Market 2012 30.34 2011 31.02 The Peruvian Securities Market consists of the 2010 26.89 primary market, in which public and private 2009 22.93 institutions issue fixed-income and equity instruments, and the secondary market, where 2008 31.81 financial intermediaries place such instruments 2007 49.61 in the securities market through trading Source: Lima Stock Exchange (BVL) mechanisms and platforms, such as the Lima Stock Exchange (BVL). The Lima Stock Exchange General Index (S&P / BVL Peru General) consists of the 30 most traded stocks in the market. Sector 108 3 Analysis
MAIN STOCK INDEXES (IN USD MILLIONS)
10,000 8,944 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,208 5,779 6,000 5,473 4,566 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Equity Instruments Debt Instruments Initial Public Offering Lending and Repo Operations Total Amount Negotiated
Source: Lima Stock Exchange (BVL)
The Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is an iShares stock that measures the stock exchange performance of a set of underlying securities of this investment fund. The ETF that measures the performance of securities of the economic performance of Peru (known as EPU) has shown the following evolution since January 2017:
ETF - EPU (USD)
50,000 USD 40,000 34.86 30,000
20,000
10,000
01/18/2017 01/18/2018 01/18/2019 01/18/2020 12/31/2020
Source: Bloomberg Sector 109 3 Analysis
3. Private Pension System
The Private Pension System consists of four PENSION SYSTEM STATISTICS financial institutions responsible for the AS OF NOVEMBER 2020 management of pension funds in the form of Individual Capitalization Accounts (CIC). The No. of Active AFP Affiliates 7,749,298 role of the Private Pension Fund Management Portfolio administrated by the USD44.871 Companies (AFPs) is to receive input from their Private Pension Fund billion affiliates, investing in a manner permitted by Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private law, to provide benefits relating to retirement, Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) disability, survivorship, and funeral expenses. Peru has four types of funds to invest in: Fund In mid-2012, the Superintendency of 0 invests in instruments with very low volatility Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund in order to protect the accumulated capital, and Management Companies (SBS) passed Law was launched in April 2016. Fund 1 represents 29903 - Reform of the Private Pension System investments of low volatility and thereby lower (SPP) whereby it seeks to increase the coverage risk, basically fixed income investment. Fund of pension security, encourage competition 2 consists of investments of average volatility between Private Pension Fund Management with a moderate risk, a mix between fixed and Companies (AFPs) and increase net returns variable income. Fund 3 consists of highly volatile of pension funds commissions to improve investments that imply greater risks. contributors' pensions.
ANNUAL NOMINAL PROFITABILITY AS OF NOVEMBER 2020
12% 11.6%
10%
7.8% 8% 7.5% 6.8% 6.8% 6.3% 6.4% 6% 5.8% 5.7% 5.2%
4% 3.2% 2.9% 2% 1.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years
Fund 0* Fund 1 Fund 2 Fund 3
*Fund 0 only shows 2-and-3 year profitability since it was launched in 2016. Source: Superintendency of Banking, Insurance, and Private Pension Fund Management Companies (SBS) Sector 110 3 Analysis
Energy demand is one of the main indicators of CAPACITY FOR POWER GENERATION WITH a growing economy. The benefits of investing in RENEWABLE ENERGY TO BE EXPLOITED the energy sector increase growth potential and the population's wellbeing. Peru has projects As shown below, Peru is one of the countries ENERGY involving a diverse range of energy sources, such in Latin America with one of the highest ratios 3 as hydroelectric and thermal power plants, as of energy reserves measured as total power/ well as a project for the mass use of natural gas capacity. This ensures relatively cheaper costs of for central and southern Peru, representing a power generation and sustainable reserves within capital expenditure of approximately USD200 the region. million, with an influence in the zones of Ucayali, Junín, Huancavelica, Ayacucho, Apurímac, Country's Total Power Cusco, and Puno. Energy Total Power Installed / Capacity Type (MW) Capacity (Times) (MW) GENERATION DISPATCH Hydraulic 69,000 5,163 13 Wind 22,000 375 58 The table below shows the estimated annual generation dispatch which plans to cover the system Solar Indefinite 285 - demand, separating the power station generation Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM), Economic by source: hydraulic, natural gas, wind energy, solar, Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System biomass, coal, residual, and diesel. (COES SINAC)
2017 2018 2019 2020* Source Type GWh % GWh % GWh % GWh % Hydraulic 31,783 54.5% 32,819 56.5% 30,168 57.0% 26,570 59.6% Natural Gas 23,674 40.6% 23,379 40.2% 19,951 37.7% 15,340 34.4% Coal 1,084 1.9% 144 0.2% 36 0.1% 13 0.0% Biomass 143 0.2% 143 0.2% 252 0.5% 271 0.6% Wind 987 1.7% 987 1.6% 1,646 3.1% 1,656 3.7% Solar - - - - 762 1.4% 704 1.6% Residual 427 0.7% 12 0.0% 47 0.1% 7 0.0% Diesel 184 0.3% 0 0.0% 27 0.1% 42 0.1% Total 58,282 100% 63,508 100% 52,889 100% 44,603 100%
*As of November 2020 Source: Economic Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System (COES SINAC) Sector 111 3 Analysis
ENERGY PRODUCTION BY GENERATION WORKS PROGRAM GENERATION TYPE 2019 The 2019-2022 Generation Works Program is Hydroelectric shown below. It consists of the generation projects 57.0% most likely to begin operating: Thermal Power 38.4% Date Project Type MW Wind 3.1% 2019 CB Callao Biomass 2.4 CH Centauro - Solar 2019 Hydroelectric 12.5 1.5% Etapa I 2019 CH Karpa Hydroelectric - RER 20.0 2019 CH La Virgen Hydroelectric 84.0 2019 CH Manta Hydroelectric - RER 17.8 Diesel 2019 CH Zaña 1 Hydroelectric - RER 13.2 0.1% CH 8 de Residual 2020 Hydroelectric - RER 19.8 0.1% Agosto Biomasa 2020 CH El Carmen Hydroelectric - RER 8.6 0.5% 2020 CE Huambos Wind 18.4 Coal 2020 CE Duna Wind 18.4 0.1% CH Santa Natural Gas 2020 Hydroelectric - RER 18.7 37.7% Lorenza I CH Laguna 2020 Hydroelectric - RER 20.0 Source: Economic Operation Committee for the National Azul Interconnected System (COES SINAC 2020 CH Hydrika 6 Hydroelectric - RER 8.9 2020 CH Ayanunga Hydroelectric - RER 20.0 CT Refinería 2020 Thermal 100.0 Talara 2020 CH Shima Hydroelectric - RER 9.0 CH Centauro - 2021 Hydroelectric 12.5 Etapa II 2021 CH Colca Hydroelectric - RER 12.1 2021 CH Kusa Hydroelectric - RER 15.6 2021 CH Alli Hydroelectric - RER 14.5 2021 CH Hydrika 2 Hydroelectric - RER 4.0 2021 CH Hydrika 4 Hydroelectric - RER 8.0 2021 CH Hydrika 1 Hydroelectric - RER 6.6 2021 CH Huatziroki I Hydroelectric - RER 11.1 2021 CH Hydrika 5 Hydroelectric - RER 10.0 2022 CH Hydrika 3 Hydroelectric - RER 10.0
Source: Economic Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System (COES SINAC). Final Proposal for the Updating of the 2019-2022 Transmission Plan Sector 112 3 Analysis
The electricity and water sectors grew by 3.9% in with a 7.9% growth driven by electricity and water 2019. Despite the 6.1% drop estimated for 2020, investment projects, as well as the reactivation of the sector is expected to quickly recover in 2021, the other sectors of the economy. ELECTRICITY4 MAXIMUM DOMESTIC ELECTRICITY DEMAND (IN MWh) AND WATER 7,125 7,116 7,070 7,100 7,017 6,949 6,917 6,876 6,917 6,836 6,840 6,828 6,960 6,900 6,990 6,793 6,739 6,728 6,710 6,672 6,836 6,884 6,700 6,576 6,639 6,573 6,529 6,616 6,785 6,542 6,550 6,607 6,449 6,462 6,657 6,500 6,595 6,400 6,519 6,554 6,489 6,383 6,341 6,341 6,427 6,303 6,425 6,462 6,300 6,312 6,100 6,101 5,900 5,682 5,700
5,500
5,300 5,173
5,100 May July April June March August October January February December November September 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Economic Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System (COES SINAC)
ANNUAL GROWTH OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
12% 10.8% 10% 9.0% 9.2% 9.4% 10.1% 8.3% 8.6% 8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.4% 6% 4.6% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 6.6% 4% 2.9% 1.8% 3.5% 2% 2.9% 3.4% 1.9% 1.6% 0% 1.0%
-2%
-4% -4.7%
-6%
-8% -6.9% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Electricity Consumption (GW/h) Maximum Demand (MW)
Source: Economic Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System (COES SINAC) Sector 113 3 Analysis
ESTIMATED COST OF ELECTRICITY BY 2020 (IN USD CENTS/KWH)
Canada 5.3
Mongolia 6.1
Peru 6.6
United States 7.5
Argentina 7.8
Australia 8.8
Mexico 9.0
Chile 12.1
2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Source: Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF)
ELECTRICITY AND WATER SECTOR INDICATORS
Item 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* GVA Electricity and Water • Constant (in PEN Millions) 8,666 9,332 9,432 9,860 10,248 8,736 Annual Variation % 6.6 7.7 1.1 4.5 3.9 - Electric Power Generation (GWh) • Hydraulic 22,456.2 23,009.6 27,741.4 29,357.9 30,168.4 29,895 • Thermal 21,262.1 24,020.8 19,898.4 19,220.0 20,312.8 18,144 • Wind Power 230.9 241.8 1,065.2 1,493.6 1,646.2 1,804 • Solar Power 590.7 1,054.1 288.1 745.2 761.7 778 Total 44,539.9 48,326.3 48,993.1 50,816.7 52,889.1 50,622 National Electrification 93.0 95.0 96.0 97.0 - - Ratio (%) No. of Power Supply 6,738 6,993 7,167 7,376 7,614 - Customers (Thousands) Production of Drinking Water (Thousands of m3) • National Level 1,421,219 1,408,361 1,233,554 1,285,162 1,310,990 1,382,201 • Metropolitan Lima 713,459 714,745 699,009 729,326 748,492 693,104
*As of November 2020 GVA: Gross Value Added Sources: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI), Economic Operation Committee for the National Interconnected System (COES SINAC)V.A.B.: Valor agregado bruto Sources: Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática (INEI), Comité de Operación Económica del Sistema Interconectado Nacional (COES SINAC) Sector 114 3 Analysis
DRINKING WATER AND SEWER SYSTEM COVERAGE
Service coverage consists of the percentage of the In the case of drinking water, the average coverage population with access to drinking water or sewer nationwide went from 87.43% in 2014 to 89.87% system services. With the support of providers, in 2018, while sewer system services went from sanitation service has experienced sustained growth 81.44% to 83.82% during the same period. in recent years.
92% 98.87% 89.55% 90% 88.62% 87.74% 88% 87.43%
86% 83.73% 83.82% 84% 81.69% 82.28% 81.44% 82% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Drinking Water Coverage Sewer System Coverage
Source: National Superintendency of Sanitation Services (SUNASS)
INVESTMENT MEANS AND RETURN ALTERNATIVES IN THE ELECTRICITY MARKET
Electrical Companies Generation Transmission Distribution
Description Renewable projects energy Non-renewable projects energy for Projects the secured transmission system for Projects additional the transmission system Non-rural electrification projects Rural electrification projects Investment Means • Own Initiative √ √ √ √ √ • International Public Bidding According to Plan* √ √ √ • Direct Subsidy Approved by Government √ Alternatives for the Sale of Electricity • Spot Market √ √ √ √ • Free Market √ √ √ √ • Regulated Market √ √ √ √ • Auction Market √ √ √ √ Other Alternatives for Return on Investment • Regulated Road Tolls √ √ • Premiums and Benefits of Subsidies √ √ √
*Estimate Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) Sector 115 3 Analysis
NATIONAL PLAN FOR RURAL ELECTRIFICATION 2016 - 2025
Total Investment Beneficiary Year in USD Population 2016 345,593,645 1,008,648 2017 229,791,934 606,945 2018 136,416,160 351,026 2019 173,427,475 537,532 2020 94,432,573 225,992 2021 41,394,764 159,880 2022 59,761,747 230,396 2023 23,749,912 86,772 2024 23,749,912 86,772 2025 23,820,528 87,030 Total 2016-2025 1,152,138,650 3,380,993
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
ELECTRICITY AND WATER MATURE SECTOR PROJECT PORTFOLIO 2021
Estimated Project Sector Zone Investment (in USD Millions) Headwater and Penstock Works for Drinking Water Junín and Lima 480 Water Supply for Lima Ucayali, Junín, Mass Use of Natural Gas for Central and Power Huancavelica, Ayacucho, 200 Southern Peru Apurímac, Cuzco and Puno Huancayo, El Tambo, and Chilca Wastewater Water Junín 165 Treatment Plants Piura Nueva Frontera 500 kV Substation Electricity Tumbes and Piura 163 Transmission Line Puerto Maldonado Wastewater Treatment Plant Water Madre de Dios 57 Puerto Maldonado - Iberia 138 kV Transmission Line and Valle del Chira 220/60/23 kV, 100 Electricity Madre de Dios and Piura 50 MVA Substation Estimated Total Capex 1,115
Source: ProInversión (January 2021) Sector 116 3 Analysis
The Hydrocarbons Sector has become one of barrels of oil. The same Annual Book informs that the industries with the largest amount of private the hydrocarbon resources of the country are investment initiatives in the country. In 2019, estimated in 23.143 billion barrels of crude oil, oil and natural gas exploration and exploitation 859 million barrels of natural gas liquids, and 31 HYDROCARBONS investments totaled USD620 million (4% higher than trillion cubic feet of natural gas, which combined 5 in 2018), USD562 million of which were invested are equivalent to 29.169 billion barrels of oil. If in exploration and USD58 million in exploration. we compare the estimated hydrocarbon resources Taking the official figures published by the Ministry with the estimated hydrocarbon reserves, there of Energy and Mines (MINEM) in the Annual Book are major opportunities for exploration in Peru, to of Hydrocarbon Reserves of December 2018, discover new proven hydrocarbon reserves. the proven reserves are estimated in 344 million barrels of crude oil, 514 million barrels of natural The Hydrocarbons Sector grew by 4.6% in 2019. A gas liquids, and 12 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, drop of 11.1% is estimated for 2020, with a rapid which combined are equivalent to 2.626 billion recovery of 6.8% by 2021.
EVOLUTION OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF THE HYDROCARBONS INDUSTRY (IN USD MILLIONS)
5,000
4,000
3,000
In USD Millions 2,397
2,000 2,352
1,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Hydrocarbons GDP Crude Oil and Byproducts Exports
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
OIL PRODUCTION (THOUSANDS OF BARRELS PER DAY)
80 72.7 69.5 66.7 69.3 62.9 58.0 60 53.0 48.9 43.6 40.4 40.0 40
20 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Preliminary 2020 Source: Perupetro Sector 117 3 Analysis
OIL PRODUCTION (THOUSANDS OF BARRELS PER DAY)
30,000 26,531 25,387 25,296 25,000 23,984 22,956 21,173 19,339 20,000 17,837 15,900 14,773 15,000 14,522 10,000 5,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Preliminary 2020 Source: Perupetro
NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION (IN MILLION CUBIC FEET PER DAY)
1,400 1,350.0 1,299.3 1,250.4 1,179.6 1,200 1,144.2 1,252.2 1,230.8 1,100.0 1,208.9 1,161.0 1,000
800
700.3 600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Preliminary 2020 Source: Perupetro
NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION (IN THOUSAND CUBIC FEET)
600,000 494,431 500,000 474,235 456,407 441,244 457,050 449,244 430,559 424,827 401,169 418,795 400,000
300,000 255,609 200,000
100,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*Preliminary 2020 Source: Perupetro Sector 118 3 Analysis
HYDROCARBONS EXPORT (FOB VALUE IN USD MILLIONS)
Petroleum and Natural Gas 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Crude 579 538 496 120 24 26 139 122 149 Derivatives 3,086 3,361 3,280 1,733 1,669 2,560 2,858 2,372 649 Natural Gas 1,331 1,372 786 449 523 772 1,042 623 370 Total 4,996 5,271 4,563 2,302 2,216 3,358 4,039 3,117 1,100
*As of October 2020 Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
HYDROCARBONS EXPORT BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION (IN PERCENTAGE)
United States Japan China 22% 13% 8%
South Korea Chile Others 13% 10% 35%
*As of November 2020 Source: Ministry of Foreign Trade and Tourism (MINCETUR)
OIL CONTRACTS
Contract 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Exploration 68 66 62 60 50 44 41 26 26 14 13 13 Exploitation 19 19 20 20 24 24 25 25 20 27 28 26 Total 87 85 82 80 74 68 66 51 46 41 39 39
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
PERFORATED WELLS
Well 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Development 147 214 222 197 85 101 81 46 135 170 187 38 Confirmatory 6 3 5 2 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 Exploratory 6 6 15 9 7 12 4 1 4 5 3 1 Total 159 223 242 208 94 113 88 47 139 175 193 39
Source: Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM)
EY and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE) prepared a specialized Oil and Gas Investment Guide specialized. It can be downloaded for free at here. Sector 119 3 Analysis
The construction sector is one of the most The construction sector increased by 1.5% in important and dynamic sectors of the Peruvian 2019. In 2020, a drop of 15.6% is expected, while economy, as it directly contributes to the creation a pronounced recovery of 17.4% is estimated for of basic infrastructure. Growth in this sector has 2021, due to higher public and private investment, CONSTRUCTION been driven by higher income being earned in which will boost the execution of works. 6 households, public and private investments, and improved financing terms for housing acquisition.
EVOLUTION OF THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
35,000 45% 31,356 31,960 31,334 31,812 31,521 30,101 29,190 29,748 30,000 28,779 35% 26,849 24,848 25,000 23,993 25% 15.8% 17.4% 20,000 15% 17.8% 9.0% 5.3% 15,000 1.9% 2.3% 1.5% 5% -3.1% 3.6% -5.8% 0% 10,000 -5%
5,000 -15% -15.6% -25% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2010 2020* 2021* Construction GDP (In PEN Millions) Construction GDP (Percentage Change)
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
TOTAL CEMENT DISPATCH (THOUSANDS OF MT)
12,000 10,648 10,332 10,516 10,037 9,915 10,008 10,000 9,122 8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Cement Manufacturers' Association (ASOCEM) Sector 120 3 Analysis
The manufacturing sector has been one of the 17.2% in non-primary manufacturing; however, for hardest hit by the quarantine imposed in an attempt the years 2021-2024, the sector would grow at an to halt the spread of COVID-19. In 2020, a drop of average rate of 7.4%. 1.7% is expected in primary manufacturing and of MANUFACTURING7 MANUFACTURING SECTOR GDP 2010-2019 (IN USD BILLIONS) 25.8 25.0 23.8 24.7 22.3 21.1 20.3 20.4 19.1 19.2 19.3 20.0 20.0 18.2 18.1 16.4 16.7 15.0 14.2 14.2 14.6 14.5 15.0
10.0 6.7 6.6 5.6 5.6 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.7 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Manufacturing GDP Primary Manufacturing GDP Non-Primary Manufacturing GDP
Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
MANUFACTURING EXPORTS BY GROUPS OF PRODUCTS 2020* (IN USD MILLIONS)
Chemicals 1,393 Textile 897 Steelmaking and Metallurgy 760 Nonmetallic Mining 417 Metalworking 401 Wood and Paper 210 Miscellaneous (including Jewelry) 131 Hides and Leather 4
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
*As of November 2020 Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
IMPORTS FOR THE INDUSTRY 2020* (IN USD MILLIONS)
Raw Materials and Intermediate Goods for Industry 10,087 Capital Goods for Industry 6,541 Fuels, Lubricants, and Related Products 2,842 Transportation Equipment 1,927 Raw Materials and Intermediate Goods for Agriculture 1,495 Construction Materials 1,070 Capital Goods for Agriculture 140
2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000
*As of November 2020 Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT) Sector 121 3 Analysis
According to the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF) in recent years, the country's economic growth has developed largely due to private spending, which is in turn broken down into private TRADE AND consumption and private investment. In 2019, the 8 trade industry grew by 3.0% and it is estimated that DOMESTIC the 16.2% fall in 2020 will be offset by a recovery of CONSUMPTION 18.4% in 2021.
EVOLUTION OF TRADE PRODUCTION (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
20 18.4
10 9.7 8.8 6.7 5.9 4.4 3.9 1.8 2.6 3.0 1.0 0
-10
-16.2 -20 2019 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP)
EVOLUTION OF PRIVATE CONSUMPTION (PERCENTAGE CHANGE)
10 8.7 8.8 6.1 6.0 5.3 5 4.1 3.8 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.0
0
-5
-10 -9.8
-15 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021*
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) Sector 122 3 Analysis
FOOD AND BEVERAGES
The food industry in Peru has been primarily driven by the increased purchasing power of the population, influenced by job growth and consumer credit provided by the financial system. Additionally, price stability is highly consistent in the food and beverage consumption division.
FOOD CONSUMPTION PROFILE
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Wheat Meat Butter Fresh Dairy Secondary Grains Pork Whole Milk Powder Sweeteners Rice Poultry Cream Powder Vegetable Oils Beef Oilseeds Roots and Tubers Eggs Cheese
Source: Bioenergy and Food Security (BEFS) – Technical Compendium, Vol. 1
SPENDING ON FOOD AND BEVERAGES IN PERU 2018-2024 (IN PEN BILLIONS)
Indicator 2018 2019* 2020* 2021* 2022* 2023* 2024* Food 89.48 94.85 101.29 103.96 107.7 114.44 121.63 Non-alcoholic Beverages 4.84 5.13 5.47 5.62 5.82 6.18 6.57 Alcoholic Beverages 2.33 2.44 2.06 2.32 2.49 2.63 2.78
*Estimated Source: Fitch Solutions Sector 123 3 Analysis
The modern retail channel has undergone During the first half of 2020, half of all stores were significant growth, making it a country with open to the public. However, due to the restrictions potential for investment in the sector. In 2019, in place, shopping centers were operating at just the Global Retail Development Index ranked over 50% capacity. Lifestyle shopping centers Peru second in Latin America and thirteenth registered the highest operativity levels, with 65% worldwide, as a country with a developing retail of all stores open, while community shopping consumer market. centers reported lower operating levels, at an average of 24%. During the first half of 2020, the retail sector was affected by reducing its availability of access. DISTRIBUTION OF STORE OPERATIVITY BY It is estimated that sales for this year will total TYPE OF SHOPPING CENTER around PEN17 billion, representing a decrease of 40% over 2019. Type Operativity Super Regional 62% E-COMMERCE GROWTH Regional 60% (ELECTRONIC COMMERCE) Community 24% E-commerce has grown significantly over the last Lifestyle 65% ten years. In 2009, Peru accounted for just 1.7% Average 53% of all e-commerce in the region, while by 2019 Source: Colliers International Peru it had risen to 5%, with a total of USD4 billion in sales, placing Peru in sixth place in online sales in Latin America.
PURCHASE VOLUME AND E-COMMERCE SHARE BY COUNTRY 2019
5.0% 30,000 27,730 5% 24,150 25,000 4%
20,000 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3% 15,000 2.3% 2% 10,000 8,200 7,680 7,000 1% 5,000 4,000
Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia Chile Peru
E-Commerce Percentage in Total Retail B2C E-Commerce (in USD Millions)
Source: Colliers International Peru Sector 124 3 Analysis
AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK
The agriculture and livestock sector grew by 3.4% AGRICULTURAL AND LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION in 2019, thanks to the higher supply of products BY SUB-SECTOR AND MAJOR PRODUCTS IN AGRICULTURE aimed at both foreign and domestic markets. THOUSANDS OF TONS The sector is expected to continue growing in the 9 January - September AND upcoming years at a rate of 0.7% for 2020 and 2.7% Major Products 2019 2020 Var. % for 2021. AGRIBUSINESS Agricultural Sub-Sector Sugarcane 7,936 7,431 -6.4% GROSS VALUE OF AGRICULTURAL AND Alfalfa 5,432 5,865 8.0% LIVESTOCK PRODUCTION (IN PEN MILLIONS) Potato 4,604 4,614 0.2% Activity 2018 2019 2020* Unhulled rice 2,613 2,872 9.9% Agriculture 22,019 22,592 18,007 Banana 1,686 1,677 -0.6% Livestock 14,098 14,669 10,893 Cassava 920 965 4.9% Agriculture & Livestock 36,117 37,261 28,900 Hard yellow maize 986 855 -13.3% Oil Palm 651 661 1.5% *As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Avocado 484 524 8.4% Tangerine 431 457 6.0% Onion 449 441 -1.8% Orange 413 416 0.8% Pineapple 401 416 3.9% Grapes 381 387 1.7% Coffee pergamino 357 367 2.8% Corn / maize 338 344 1.8% Starchy corn 301 315 4.5% Asparagus 258 268 4.0% Mango 303 252 -16.9% Lemon 228 223 -1.9%
Livestock Sub-Sector Milk 1,625 1,642 1.0% Ave 1,600 1,582 -1.2% Eggs 363 370 1.9% Bovine meat 286 276 -3.4% Pork meat 171 177 3.0% Sheep meat 65 63 -3.6%
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Sector 125 3 Analysis
EVOLUTION OF MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF THE AGRICULTURAL AND LIVESTOCK SECTOR (IN PEN MILLIONS)
35,000 28,642 29,553 30,000 25,294 25,963 26,624 23,944 24,216 24,540 22,517 25,000 20,784 21,656 20,000
15,000
10,000 5,469 2,053 3,157 3,546 5,000 2,545 2,743 2,341 2,843 2,655 1,964 2,137 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
GDP Exports
Sources: National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI), National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
The Agricultural and Livestock Unit is defined as AGRICULTURAL UNITS BY REGION the land or group of lands used for agriculture and (IN THOUSANDS) livestock production. Throughout the territory of the country, there are agriculture and livestock Cajamarca 340 units that take advantage of each one of the Puno 215 climate characteristics and ecological areas. Cusco 182 Áncash 170 Piura 143 AGRICULTURAL & LIVESTOCK UNITS PER Junín 136 NATURAL REGION La Libertad 127 Ayacucho 114 Highlands Huánuco 107 64% San Martín 91
Amazon Jungle Apurímac 83 20% Lima 79 Huancavelica 75 Coast 16% Amazonas 70 Loreto 68 Lambayeque 59 Source: IV Agriculture and Livestock Census 2012 - Ministry of Arequipa 58 Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Pasco 33 Ica 33 Ucayali 26 Tacna 22 Moquegua 14 Tumbes 8 Madre de Dios 7 Callao 3
Source: IV Agriculture and Livestock Census 2012 - Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI Sector 126 3 Analysis
TRADITIONAL AND NON-TRADITIONAL AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS (IN USD MILLIONS)
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000 6,303 6,001 5,856 3,107 4,916 5,085 3,000 3,317 4,461 4,590 3,445 2,425 2,000 1,995 1,000 1,671 1,073 636 974 777 841 689 874 823 763 774 658 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Traditional Non-Traditional
*As of November 2020 Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
AGRICULTURAL AND LIVESTOCK EXPORTS BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION AS OF SEPTEMBER 2020 (%)
United States Spain Ecuador Others 32% 7% 4% 34%
Netherlands England China 16% 4% 3%
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI)
MAIN AGRICULTURAL EXPORT DESTINATIONS AS OF SEPTEMBER 2020 (IN USD MILLIONS)
United States 1,638
Netherlands 825
Spain 339
England 220
Ecuador 189
China 169
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Sector 127 3 Analysis
AGRIBUSINESS
Peru's immense biodiversity allows for the farming nutritional qualities. There is also a potential market of many interesting endemic agricultural crops for legumes such as fava beans and different kinds for the international market, many of which have of corn, not to mention potatoes, which are grown already succeeded in positioning themselves, in over 2,000 varieties in Peru, the vast majority offering niches for potential investments. of which are unknown outside Peru. The Amazon jungle, for its part, is home to exotic fruits such Peru, and especially its Andean territory, produces as cocona, guanabana or soursop, aguaje, and a variety of grains, such as kiwicha, quinoa, tarwi, camucamu, all of which are increasingly consumed and cañihua, among others, which are highly in Asian countries. desirable due to their high protein content and their
MAIN AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS AS OF SEPTEMBER 2020
In USD In USD Description Description Millions Millions Avocados, fresh or dried 753 Vegetables prepared or preserved 57 Fresh grapes 441 without frozen, other Cranberries, blueberries and other fruits 381 The other paprika 52 of the genus vaccinium, fresh Onions and shallots, fresh or chilled 48 Coffee, unroasted, 360 not decaffeinated, others Vegetables, fruits and other edible parts of plants, prep. or preserved in 47 Asparagus, fresh or chilled 240 vinegar or acetic acid Mangoes and mangosteens, fresh or dried 224 Tangerines (including tangerines Other citrus 186 45 and satsumas) Bananas including fresh cavendish 116 Evaporated milk without sugar valery bananas 44 Preparations used for feeding animals 108 or sweetener Frozen mango w / sugar Bake products, Cake or cookie Sweets 43 106 (mangifera indica l) Passion fruit juice 35 Other cocoa beans, whole or broken, raw 102 (passion fruit) (passiflora edulis) Other quinoa, except for sowing 94 Solid state refined sugarcane 32 Other fruits and other fruits, uncooked or 72 Piquillo pepper (capsicum annuum) 31 cooked in water or steam Prepared or preserved asparagus, Semi-milled or blanched rice, whether 69 30 not frozen or not polished or glazed Other fruits or other fresh fruits 63 Artichokes (artichokes) 61 Ethyl alcohol without denaturing w / alcoholic degree by volume greater than 57 or equal to 80% vol
Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Sector 128 3 Analysis
PERU IN THE INTERNATIONAL EXPORTERS' RANKING Peruvian fruits and vegetables are gaining ground Crops 2018 in international markets, with exports growing at a Asparagus 1 solid pace, with some of the producers' associations Dry Beans 1 in the sector standing out. Peru is now the number one producer of asparagus and organic bananas in Quinoa (2020) 1 the world. Maca 1 Fresh Blueberries, and Citrus Fruit Peels For the fifth consecutive year, Peru is the world's 3 (Lemon) leading exporter of quinoa. These exports mainly Fresh Mangoes 4 go to the United States and Canadian markets. Likewise, blueberry exports have shown a Canned Palm Hearts 4 significant increase of 227% in the past two years. Canned Olives 5 Scallops 5 Fresh Grapes 6 Fresh Mandarins 7 Cuttlefish, Pufferfish, Squid, and Giant Squid 8
Source: Association of Peruvian Agricultural Producers' Unions (AGAP)
EVOLUTION IN QUINOA EXPORTS (IN USD THOUSANDS OF FOB VALUE)
196,379 200,000 51,050 100,000 42,206 49,256 Tons 44,339 51,484 37,806 160,000 36,939 10,000 143,338 7,689 10,540 18,600 135,519 4,838 121,562 124,993 2,756 120,000 2,133 103,001 1,000 94,165 79,118 80,000 100
40,000 30,323 10 13,138 24,025 5,077 7,291
FOB Exports in Thousands of USD of FOB Exports in Thousands 1 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2008 2020* Exports Quinoa Export in Tons
*As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI) Sector 129 3 Analysis
EVOLUTION IN BLUEBERRY EXPORTS (IN USD THOUSANDS OF FOB VALUE)
124,876 900,000 100,000 73,903 820,394 Tons 800,000 64,107 10,210 27,240 700,000 43,007 10,000
600,000 554,948
500,000 1,513 2,889 1,000 400,000 360,942 381,139
300,000 FOB Exports in Thousands of USD of FOB Exports in Thousands 237,120 100 200,000 95,804 100,000 48 30,282 6 7 17,386 32 84 465 1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Exports Blueberry Export in Tons
*As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Irrigation (MINAGRI)
The number of agricultural export companies has more than doubled between 2001 and 2019. They jumped from 843 firms in 2000 to 2,012. In relation to the number of exporting companies, in 2019, there were 115 exporters who exported over USD10 million, accounting for 69.6% of total exports, while 468 companies exported between USD1 million and USD10 million, accounting for 26% of exports. There were 638 companies that exported between USD100,000 and less than USD1 million, accounting for 4% of exports. Finally, there were 791 companies that exported less than USD100,000, accounting for 0.4% of exports. Sector 130 3 Analysis
Peru has a wide range of hydrobiological resources, and is the world's top producer of fishmeal and fish oil.
FISHERIES In 2019, the fishing sector reported a drop of 10 25.9% due to a lower landing of saltwater and freshwater species. A sustained growth of 3.0% is forecasted for 2020, and 8.5% for 2021.
EVOLUTION OF FISHERY ACTIVITY
GDP Fisheries: In PEN Millions % Change
52.90% 47.7% 2,892 2,837 2,436 2,445 2,352 2,166 24.80% 2,042 2,103 1,960 1,921 1,891 1,762 15.90% 1,836 3.00% 4.70% 3.00% 3.40% -10.10% -19.60% -25.9% -32.20% -27.90% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Sea Surface Widespread, Temporary Presence of a Lower landing Greater landing Temperature scattered suspensions moderate El Niño of maritime of saltwater (SST) with distribution of phenomenon catch, mainly species, of anchoveta positive anchoveta and for species specifically for anomalies other pelagic fishing in the Marked drop in destined for industrial use. in northern resources, south food (plankton) indirect human Increases were zone, stable occurring far and anchoveta consumption also registered in center, from the coast, displacement (manufacture in catch for and negative due to greater- of fishmeal and direct human in south than-normal fish oil) consumption, cooling of coastal either fresh or waters cured. Frozen freshwater fish likewise exhibited an upward trend
Lower Significant Beneficial April: Typical Following the Fewer saltwater availability of extraction of cooling of conditions presence of the fish intended for anchoveta in anchoveta seawater along marking the start Coastal El Niño indirect human recent months during the two the coast of a moderate phenomenon in consumption, as due to positive authorized during the Coastal El Niño early 2017, a well as freshwater anomalies in fishing seasons second half of event higher anchoveta fish, due to a SST. the year catch was reported lower catch of 169 actual May - December: species for fresh New individual fishing days Increase in El Higher extraction consumption per-vessel quota compared to Niño magnitude of species destined system 134 reported in from moderate to for freezing 2010 strong
*December 2020 Inflation Report Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP), National Institute of Statistics and Information (INEI) Sector 131 3 Analysis
RANKING OF WORLD PRODUCTION OF FISHMEAL – ESTIMATE FOR 2020 (IN THOUSANDS OF METRIC TONS)
Peru 1,110
European Union 460
Vietnam 460
Chile 370
China 350
Thailand 340
United States 255
Norway 230
Japan 180
Morocco 171
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200
Sources: Indexmundi, US Department of Agriculture
FISHMEAL (IN THOUSANDS OF METRIC TONS)
2,000 1,931 1,638 1,415 1,432 1,500 1,342 1,399 1,348 1,119 1,000 787 854 852 760 811 653 574 525 500 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
*As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Industries and Fisheries (PRODUCE)
FISH OIL PRODUCTION (IN THOUSANDS OF METRIC TONS)
400 336 310 290 293 288 300 280 268 196 200 174 170 102 103 109 94 100 84 80 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2005 2006 2007 2008 2020*
*As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Industries and Fisheries (PRODUCE) Sector 132 3 Analysis
PROCESSING OF HYDRO-BIOLOGICAL AND MARITIME PRODUCTS BY TYPE OF USE (IN THOUSANDS OF METRIC TONS)
Type of Use 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* Direct Human Consumption 318 523 471 420 457 380 364 342 418 568 396 • Canned 78 127 71 76 57 50 58 47 65 86 70 • Frozen 222 358 381 343 392 309 285 295 323 470 314 • Cured 11 8 8 23 25 28 21 - 30 12 12 Indirect Human Consumption 962 1,973 1,050 1,289 621 940 742 839 1,700 920 654 • Fishmeal 787 1,638 854 1,119 525 840 650 750 1,432 811 574 • Crude Oil 174 336 196 170 97 100 92 89 268 109 80 Total 1,279 2,496 1,521 1,708 1,079 1,320 1,106 1,181 2,118 1,488 1,050
*As of September 2020 Source: Ministry of Industries and Fisheries (PRODUCE)
FISHMEAL AND FISH OIL EXPORTS (IN USD MILLIONS)
2,000 1,610 1,780 1,770 1,563 1,458 1,509 1,500 1,335 1,149 1,364 1,000 1,080 999 542 420 500 274 333 343 395 330 375 301 270 344 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020*
Fishmeal Fish oil
*As of November 2020 Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT)
FISHMEAL EXPORTS BY COUNTRY OF FISH OIL EXPORTS BY COUNTRY OF DESTINATION AS OF AUGUST 2020 DESTINATION AS OF AUGUST 2020
Belgium Netherlands China Germany 26% 5% 77% 4% Denmark Australia Japan Others 7% 5% 5% 10% Chile Others 7% 44% Vietnam 4% China 6%
Source: National Superintendency of Customs and Tax Administration (SUNAT) Sector 133 3 Analysis
It is estimated that Peru's economic growth infrastructure reduces the effect of the distance is closely linked to the progressive reduction between regions, resulting in the full integration of of its shortcomings in terms of infrastructure. the domestic market, connecting at a lower cost Peru has recently begun to take the necessary with markets in other countries and regions. TRANSPORTATION steps to improve this sector, focusing mainly on transport, electricity, water, and communications 11 Together with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE) AND infrastructure, with the intention of promoting and ProInversión, EY has developed the Guide to new investments. Therefore, the development of COMMUNICATIONS Investing in Infrastructure Projects in Peru, with transportation and communications will impact details on the projects scheduled for the coming positively and directly on the development of other years. It can be downloaded for free at here. sectors such as mining. In addition, investment in
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