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Turkey in Europe Monitor Turkey in Europe Monitor Edited by Michael Emerson and Senem Aydln January 2004-February 2005 Nos. 1-14 TABLE OF CONTENTS Preface ............................................................................................................................................................ i No. 1, January 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS...................................................................................................................1 Speech by Romano Prodi at the Turkish Grand National Assembly, January 2004.................................1 Strategy Paper and Report of European Commission on the Progress towards Accession by Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey, November 2003.................................................5 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)........................................................................9 No. 2, February 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................10 Speech by Recep Tayyıp Erdoğan, Prime Minister of Turkey, at the Council on Foreign Relations, New York, January 2004..............................................................10 Speech by Recep Tayyıp Erdoğan, Prime Minister of Turkey, at Harvard University, Kennedy School of Government, January 2004.................................................14 Introduction to the joint CEPS/EFPF project Strategy for the EU and Turkey in the Pre-accession Period..................................................................................................15 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................18 No. 3, March 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................19 “The Cyprus Endgame” ..........................................................................................................................19 Michael Emerson “The Cyprus Chronicle”..........................................................................................................................20 Senem Aydın Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................28 No. 4, April 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................29 “Views of the European Parliament on Turkish Accession” ..................................................................29 Senem Aydın Distribution of Votes in the European Parliament on the Oostlander Report .........................................34 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................36 No. 5, May 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................37 “Euro-Turks: A Bridge, or a Breach, between Turkey and the European Union?” ................................37 Ayhan Kaya Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................47 No. 6, June 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................48 Executive Summary of “Turkey and the European Union: Just another Enlargement?”........................48 Kristy Hughes Speech by Fabrizio Barbaso, Director General DG Enlargement, Ankara, May 2004...........................50 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................56 No. 7, July 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................57 Extract from “Turkey as Bridgehead and Spearhead – Integrating EU and Turkish Foreign Policy” Michael Emerson & Nathalie Tocci........................................................................................................57 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................64 No. 8, August 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................65 Extract from “European Integration and the Transformation of Turkish Democracy”...........................65 Senem Aydın & E. Fuat Keyman Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................75 No. 9, September 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................76 “Turkey and the European Budget: Prospects and Issues” .....................................................................76 Kemal Derviş, Daniel Gros, Faik Öztrak & Yusuf Işik Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................82 No. 10, October 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................83 Extract from “Turkey’s Cultural and Religious Heritage – An Asset to the European Union”..............84 Ingmar Karlsson Extract from “An Asset but not a Model: Turkey, the EU, and the Wider Middle East” .......................87 Steven Everts Extract from “Ankara et l’UE, les raisons du ‘non’” ..............................................................................92 Jean-Louis Bourlanges Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)......................................................................97 No. 11, November 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS.................................................................................................................98 “The Turkish Gate: Energy Transit and Security Issues” .......................................................................98 John Roberts Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)....................................................................113 No. 12, December 2004 Introductory Note from CEPS...............................................................................................................114 “Growth and Immigration Scenarios for Turkey and the EU”..............................................................114 Refik Erzan, Umut Kuzubaş & Nilüfer Yıldız Sections of the Presidency Conclusions of the Brussels European Council December 2004 .....................................................................................................................................125 Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)....................................................................128 No. 13, January 2005 Introductory Note from CEPS...............................................................................................................129 “The Impact of Turkey’s EU Membership on EU Voting”, CEPS Policy Brief...................................129 Richard Baldwin & Mika Widgrén Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)....................................................................140 No. 14, February 2005 Introductory Note from CEPS...............................................................................................................141 “Turkey in the European Union: Consequences for Agriculture, Food, Rural Areas and Structural Policy” ...........................................................................................................................141 Arie Oskam, Alison Burrell, Tuğrul Temel, Siemen van Berkum, Natasha Longworth and Irene Molina Vilchez Turkish Business Perspectives (contributed by TÜSIAD)....................................................................150 Note: For purposes of making the Turkey in Europe Monitor available for free downloading on the CEPS online bookshop, the volume is listed as No. 15 in the CEPS publication series on EU-Turkey Work- ing Papers. PREFACE he Turkey in Europe Monitor was initially an electronic bulletin prepared by the Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) on a monthly basis during the year preceding the December T 2004 European Council summit and its immediate aftermath. Following the December 1999 Helsinki European Council, Turkey officially embarked upon the EU accession process as a candidate country. The Copenhagen European Council on December 2002 took this decision further by conclud- ing that accession negotiations would be opened with Turkey upon the fulfilment of the Copenhagen political criteria. Major political developments in the country led to the decision to open accession negotiations at the December 2004 European Council summit. The aim of the Turkey in Europe Monitor in this context was to present objective and in-depth evalua- tions of developments in the relationship between Turkey and the European Union, and Turkish poli- cies undertaken with a view to EU membership. During 14 months, the Turkey in Europe Monitor was sent to over 3,500 international recipients, featuring key official documents and speeches, origi- nal research, and evaluations of the process underway. This collection of essays, papers, speeches and official documents will continue to serve as a documentary record of the concerns and advances made at a
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