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120829 26688 Employment Land Study Final Report October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report

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120829 26688 Employment Land Study Final Report October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report Neath Port Talbot County Borough Council and City & County of Swansea Council Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report Project Ref: 26688/001 Doc Ref: R001/rev04 October 2012 Peter Brett Associates LLP 10 Queen Square Bristol BS1 4NT T: 0117 9281560 F: 0117 9281570 E: [email protected] Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report We print on 100% recycled paper from sustainable suppliers accredited to ISO 14001. J:\26688 NPT & Swansea Economic Growth & Land ii Provision\Live\Reporting\Reports\Final Report\Final Report Oct \120829 26688_Employment Land Study Final Report_October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report Document Control Sheet Project Name: Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Project Ref: 26688/001 Report Title: Final Report Doc Ref: R001/rev04 Date: October 2012 Name Position Signature Date Paul Jobson Associate 19/10/2012 Prepared by: Ed Salter Senior Planner 19/10/2012 Russell Porter Senior Associate 24/10/2012 Reviewed by: John Baker Partner 25/10/2012 Approved by: For and on behalf of Peter Brett Associates LLP Revision Date Description Prepared Reviewed Approved 01 05/07/2012 Draft Report RP/PJ/ED JB JB 02 28/08/2012 Final Draft Report RP/PJ/ED JB JB 03 25/09/2012 Final Report RP/PJ/ED JB JB 04 25/10/2012 Final Report (Amended) PJ/ED JB JB Peter Brett Associates LLP disclaims any responsibility to the Client and others in respect of any matters outside the scope of this report. This report has been prepared with reasonable skill, care and diligence within the terms of the Contract with the Client and generally in accordance with the appropriate ACE Agreement and taking account of the manpower, resources, investigations and testing devoted to it by agreement with the Client. This report is confidential to the Client and Peter Brett Associates LLP accepts no responsibility of whatsoever nature to third parties to whom this report or any part thereof is made known. Any such party relies upon the report at their own risk. © Peter Brett Associates LLP 2012 J:\26688 NPT & Swansea Economic Growth & Land iii Provision\Live\Reporting\Reports\Final Report\Final Report Oct \120829 26688_Employment Land Study Final Report_October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report J:\26688 NPT & Swansea Economic Growth & Land iv Provision\Live\Reporting\Reports\Final Report\Final Report Oct \120829 26688_Employment Land Study Final Report_October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report Contents Executive Summary .............................................................................................................................. 1 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 9 1.1 Background to Study ..................................................................................................... 9 1.2 Methodology .................................................................................................................. 9 1.3 Report Structure ........................................................................................................... 10 2 Strategy Context and Policy Review .................................................................................... 12 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 12 2.2 National Policy and Strategies ..................................................................................... 12 2.3 Local Policies and Strategies for the Economy ........................................................... 17 2.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 27 3 The Local and Regional Economy ........................................................................................ 29 3.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 29 3.2 Workplace Economy .................................................................................................... 29 3.3 Economic Structure...................................................................................................... 33 3.4 Resident Workforce ..................................................................................................... 42 3.5 Sustainability ................................................................................................................ 45 3.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 48 4 Commercial Property Profile ................................................................................................. 51 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 51 4.2 Offices .......................................................................................................................... 51 4.3 Industrial & Warehousing ............................................................................................. 54 4.4 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 60 5 Employment Growth and Space Requirements .................................................................. 62 5.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 62 5.2 Employment Forecasts ................................................................................................ 62 5.3 Employment Growth Scenarios ................................................................................... 67 5.4 Employment Space Requirements .............................................................................. 72 5.5 Conclusion ................................................................................................................... 80 6 Sites Assessment ................................................................................................................... 82 6.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 82 6.2 Swansea Sites Assessment ........................................................................................ 82 6.3 Part 1 Site Assessment ............................................................................................... 82 6.4 Part 2 Site Assessment (Candidate Sites) .................................................................. 94 6.5 Neath Port Talbot ....................................................................................................... 102 6.6 Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 104 7 Future Scenarios for Housing Growth ............................................................................... 107 7.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 107 7.2 Existing Population Structure ..................................................................................... 107 7.3 Population and Household Projections ...................................................................... 109 7.4 Population and Housing Scenario ............................................................................. 114 7.5 Conclusion ................................................................................................................. 120 8 Conclusions and Recommendations ................................................................................. 122 8.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 122 8.2 Conclusions ............................................................................................................... 122 8.3 Recommendations ..................................................................................................... 125 8.4 Future Monitoring ....................................................................................................... 134 J:\26688 NPT & Swansea Economic Growth & Land v Provision\Live\Reporting\Reports\Final Report\Final Report Oct \120829 26688_Employment Land Study Final Report_October Economic Assessment & Employment Land Provision for Swansea and Neath Port Talbot Final Report Tables Table 1.1 Method of Approach ................................................................................................................ 9 Table 3.1 Number of business units by size, 2008 ............................................................................... 30 Table 3.2 Percentage of businesses units by size – sub-areas in Neath Port Talbot, 2008 ................. 30 Table 3.3 Number of employees by size of business, 2008 .................................................................. 30 Table 3.4 Percentage of employees by size of business - by sub-areas, 2008 .................................... 31 Table 3.5 Largest Employers (with
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