THE PRICE OF POWER THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ELECTRICITY TRADE AND HYDROPOWER IN EASTERN SOUTH ASIA June 2018 THE PRICE OF POWER THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ELECTRICITY TRADE AND HYDROPOWER IN EASTERN SOUTH ASIA June 2018 By The Asia Foundation 114 Jor Bagh, First Floor New Delhi – 110003 E-mail:
[email protected] Website: http://asiafoundation.org/ Suggested citation Pillai, Aditya Valiathan and Sagar Prasai. 2018. The Price of Power: The political economy of electricity trade and hydropower in eastern South Asia. The Asia Foundation, New Delhi. Disclaimer This publication has been funded by the Australian Government through the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The views expressed in this publication are the authors’ alone and are not necessarily the views of the Australian Government. Design & Printed by: Vinset Advertising, New Delhi Contents Overview 1 Introduction 3 The evolution of regional electricity markets 7 Guidelines and geopolitics 11 A survey of demand for Himalayan hydropower 20 Conclusion 33 References 35 Overview n the winter of 2016, India's ministry of power issued guidelines that defined the limits of electricity trade with South Asian neighbors. In a phraseological departure from earlier Idocuments on regional power cooperation, it called electricity a 'strategic' commodity. This is with reason. Electricity's central role in economic growth makes it a focal point for contestations in democratic politics across the world, and it is no different in South Asia. The interdependencies created by regional electricity markets can diversify the generation pool and reduce the cost of electricity, but, like all forms of regional cooperation, they are also a vulnerability.