Transport Infrastructure and Economic Growth
Transport Infrastructure and Economic Growth Report (international version) This report is a short international version of our main report on Russian released in 20191. The report classifies and describes the main types of socio-economic effects, both direct and indirect, arising from implementation of transport projects. The given list and classification of effects do not claim to be exhaustive, and our proposed methods do not claim to be universal and exceptional. In the report, some formulas and approaches are given for calculating various effects from the development of transport. We have set the task to accumulate existing and create some new approaches in terms of maximum applicability «here and now». As it will be shown in the review of world experience, there are sufficiently developed software products with complex mathematical models for evaluating the effects. At the same time, there is a lack of literature on this topic that carry a direct physical meaning of these effects. We deliberately omit all complex formulas (for example, in I/O models for estimating multipliers or calculating elasticity and damping coefficients for agglomeration effects) in order to focus on the semantic description of effects types. The report may be of interest to all researchers and experts of the transport sector, economists, and statesmen. Scientific guidance Petr Lavrienko, Pavel Chistyakov Authors Anton Vlasov, Anastasiia Glazunova, Mikhail Dmitriev, Valerii Dymov, Nikolai Isain, Ekaterina Kozyreva, Vladimir Kosoi, Karina Malaia, Aleksandr Morozov, Tatiana Pavlova, Anna Romashina, Vladimir Sviridenkov, Igor Smirnov, Pavel Stepanov, Maksim Fadeev, Oksana Filippova, Aleksandr Shirov, Dmitrii Shults Special thanks to Tatiana Mikhailova and Natalia Trunova as well as Institute of Economic Forecasting, RAS 1 https://infraeconomy.com/effecty Content Key findings 4 Dialog with an opponent 6 1.
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