Contents Telektronikk Telecommunications Forecasting Volume 100 No. 4 – 2004 1 Guest editorial; Kjell Stordahl ISSN 0085-7130 Editor: Section 1 – Long-term forecasting 3 Long-term technological forecasting; Yongil Jeon, Kwang R Hyun, Clive W J Granger Per Hjalmar Lehne (+47) 916 94 909 13 Long-term broadband technology forecasting; Kjell Stordahl
[email protected] 32 Technology forecasting for telecommunications; Lawrence K Vanston, Ray L Hodges Editorial assistant: 43 Forecasting residential broadband demand with limited information – A long-term Gunhild Luke supply and demand model; Carlo Hjelkrem, Kjell Stordahl, Johannes Bøe (+47) 415 14 125 50 Mobile market dynamics; Kjell Stordahl, Irena Grgic Gjerde, Rima Venturin,
[email protected] K R Renjish Kumar, Jarmo Harno, Ilari Welling, Timo Smura Editorial office: 64 Modelling and forecasting the growth of wireless messaging; Telenor R&D Mohsen Hamoudia, Towhidul Islam NO-1331 Fornebu Section 2 – Demand side models Norway 70 The demand for Voice over IP – An econometric analysis using survey data on (+47) 810 77 000 willingness-to-pay; Paul Rappoport, Lester D Taylor, Donald Kridel, James Alleman
[email protected] 84 Understanding residential Internet service adoption patterns in the UK; www.telektronikk.com Alastair Robertson, Didier Soopramanien, Robert Fildes Editorial board: 95 The demand and pricing of a portfolio of broadband services; Berit Svendsen, CTO Telenor Terje Ambjørnsen, Kjetil Andersson, Bjørn Hansen Ole P. Håkonsen, Professor Section 3 – Broadband