Transport and Urban Activity Systems
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TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD 848 ----- Transport and , Urban Activity Systems ~ITID TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES 1982 TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE Officers DARRELL V MANNING, Chairman LAWRENCE D. DAHMS, Vice Chairman THOMAS B. DEEN, Executive Director Members RAY A. BARNHART, JR., Administrator, Federal Highway Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (ex officio) FRANCIS B. FRANCOIS, Executive Director, American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials (ex officio) WILLIAM J. HARRIS, JR., Vice President, Research and Test Department, Association of American Railroads (ex officio) J. LYNN HELMS, Administrator, Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (ex officio) THOMAS D. LARSON, Secretary of Transportation, Pennsylvania Department of Transportation (ex officio, Past Chairman, 1981) RAYMOND A. PECK, JR., Administrator, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (ex officio) ARTHUR E. TEELE, JR., Administrator, Urban Mass Transportation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation (ex officio) CHARLEY V. WOOTAN, Director, Texas Transportation Institute, Texas A&M University (ex officio, Past Chairman, 1980) GEORGE J, BEAN, Director of Aviation, Hillsborough County (Florida) Aviation Authority JOHN R. BORCHERT, Professor, Department of Geography, University of Minnesota RICHARD P. BRAUN, Commissioner, Minnesota Department of Transportation ARTHUR J. BRUEN, JR., Vice President, Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago JOSEPH M. CLAPP, Senior Vice President and Member, Board of Directors, Roadway Express, Inc. ALAN G. DUSTIN, President, Chief Executive, and Chief Operating Officer, Boston and Maine Corporation ROBERT E. FARRIS, Commissioner, Tennessee Department of Transportation ADRIANA GIANTURCO, Director, California Department of Transportation JACK R. GILSTRAP, Executive Vice President, American Public Transit Association MARK G. GOODE, Engineer-Director, Texas State Department of Highways and Public Transportation WILLIAM C. HENNESSY, Commissioner of Transportation, New York State Department of Transportation LESTER A. HOEL, Hamilton Professor and Chairman, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Virginia MAR VIN L. MANHEIM, Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology FUJIO MATSUDA, President, University of Hawaii DANIEL T. MURPHY, County Executive, Oakland County, Michigan ROLAND A. OUELLETTE, Director of Transportation Affairs for Industry-Government Relations, General Motors Corporation RICHARDS. PAGE, General Manager, Washington (D.C.) Metropolitan Area Transit Authority MILTON PIKARSKY, Director of Transportation Research, Illinois Institute of Technology GUERDON S. SINES, Vice President, Information and Control Systems, Missouri Pacific Railroad JOHN E. STEINER, Vice President, Corporate Product Development, The Boeing Company RICHARD A. WARD, Director-Chief Engineer, Oklahoma Department of Transportation The Transportation Research Record series consists of collec Academy of Sciences, or the sponsors of TRB activities. tions of papers in a given subject. Most of the papers in a Transportation Research Records are issued irregularly; Transportation Research Record were originally prepared for approximately 50 are released each year. Each is classified presentation at a TRB Annual Meeting. All papers (both according to the modes and subject areas dealt with in the Annual Meeting papers and those submitted solely for pub individual papers it contains. TRB publications are available lication) have been reviewed and accepted for publication by on direct order from TRB, or they may be obtained on a TRB's peer review process according to procedures approved regular basis through organizational or individual affiliation by a Report Review Committee consisting of members of the with TRB. Affiliates or library subscribers are eligible for National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of En substantial discounts. For further information, write to the gineering, and the Institute of Medicine. Transportation Research Board, National Academy of The views expressed in these papers are those of the au Sciences, 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W., Washington, thors and do not necessarily reflect those of the sponsoring DC 20418. committee, the Transportation Research Board, the National TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD 848 Transport and Urban Activity Systems TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES WASHINGTON, D.C. 1982 Transportation Research Record 848 Sponsorship of the Papers in This Transportation Research Record Price $6.00 Edited for TRB by Scott C. Herman GROUP I-TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS PLANNING AND ADMINISTRATION modes: Kenneth W. Heathington, University of Tennessee, chairman 1 highway transportation 2 public transit Social, Economic, and Environmental Factors Section Clarkson H. Oglesby, Stanford, California, chairman subject area 12 planning Committee on Transportation and Land Development Rodney E. Enge/en, Barton-Aschman Associates, Inc., chairman Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Charles D. Bigelow, Anthony J. Catanese, Samuel J. Cullers, Ralph Transport and urban activity systems. Gakenheimer, William I. Goodman, Trond Grenager, Philip Hammer, (Transportation research record ; 848) Irving Hand, Jonathan B . Howes, Walter H. Keller, Jr., Mary R. Reports presented at the Transportation Research Board 61st Kihl, George T. Lathrop, Hal S. Maggied, Daniel R. Mandelker, annual meeting. Thomas H. May, Bruce D. McDowell, Jack Meltzer, C. Kenneth l. Urban transportation-Congresses. 2. Urban transportation Orski, Thomas H. Roberts, Jerry B. Schneider, Oscar Sutermeister, policy- Congresses. I. National Research Council (U.S.). Trans Anthony R. Tomazinis, David E. Wuenscher, Jeffrey M. Zupan portation Research Board. II. Series. TE7.H5 no. 848 [HE305] 380.5s [388.4 J 82-14313 Transportation Forecasting Section ISBN 0-309-03351-9 ISSN 0361-1981 George V. Wickstrom, Metropolitan Washington Council of Gov ernments, chairman Committee on Urban Activity Systems Michael A. Goldberg, University of British Columbia, chairman Steven Richard Lerman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, secretary Alan Black, H. James Brown, Jeffrey M. Bruggeman, Lawrence D. Burns, Robert W. Crosby, John W. Dickey, Ralph Gakenheimer, James B. Kau, George T. Lathrop, Douglass B. Lee, Jr., James T. McQueen, William Michelson, Will Terry Moore, Norbert Oppenheim, Stephen H. Putman, Jerry B. Schneider, Christopher G. Turner, Martin Wachs Kenneth E. Cook and James A. Scott, Transportation Research Board staff Sponsorship is indicated by a footnote at the end of each report. The organizational units, officers, and members are as of December 31, 1981. Contents POLICY-ORIENTED URBAN-SYSTEMS MODEL: STRUCTURE AND APPLICATION G.M. Said and B.G. Hutchinson. 1 URBAN TRANSPORTATION IN KOREA: LESSON FOR THE WORLD OR A PASSING PHASE? Tony Michell . 8 INDIA'S TRANSPORTATION ENERGY PROBLEM Martin J. Bernard III . 15 REGIONAL LAND USE AND TRANSPORTATION DEVELOPMENT OPTIMIZATION MODEL FOR DELHI REGION OF INDIA Jiwan D. Gupta ... .... .. .. .... ... ... ... ........ .. .. .. ... ... ........ .. 21 MULTIMODAL LOGIT TRAVEL-DEMAND MODEL FOR SMALL AND MEDIUM-SIZED URBAN AREAS Michael J. Cynecki, Snehamay Khasnabis, and Mark A. Flak ......... ........... .. ... .. 28 iii - Authors of the Papers in This Record Bernard III, Martin J ., Center for Transportation Research, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 60439 Cynecki, Michael J ., Goodell-Grivas, Inc., 17320 West Eight Mile Road, Southfield, MI 48075 Flak, Mark A., Progressive Consultants Corporation, 17320 West Eight Mile Road, Southfield, MI 48075 Gupta, Jiwan D., Department of Civil Engineering, University of Toledo, Toledo, OH 43606 Hutchinson, B.G ., Department of Civil Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, N2L 3G 1 Khasnabis, Snehamay, Department of Civil Engineering, Wayne State University, 667 Merrick, Detroit, MI 48202 Michell, Tony, Department of Economic History, Hull University, Hull, HU6 7RX, England Said, G.M., Department of Civil Engineering, Kuwait University, Kuwait iv Transportation Research Record 848 1 Policy-Oriented Urban-Systems Model: Structure and Application G.M. SAID AND B.G. HUTCHINSON An urban-systems model developed for the Toronto region of Canada is de The state of the urban system at any particular scribed. The model operates in five-year time increments th~t allocate ex time is defined in terms of the variables listed in ogenously estimated regional employment and dwelling-unit totals to zones the table below, along with the volumes and gen in terms of the conditions that existed at the beginning of the time period eralized travel costs on each transportation link: and the major public-policy decisions taken during the time period. The state of the urban system at any point in time is described by (al the spa Variable tial distributions of households stratified by household type; (bl the spatial Housing distributions of basic, semibasic, and population serving employment, strati Households t = 1 one person fied by income group; (cl the spatial distributions of land use by five types; and (di the transportation flows and generalized travel costs on each trans 2 two or three persons portation link. Ten basic submodels are imbedded in the model and the 3 four or five persons structure