Harvesting the Full Power of Safety Data
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Harvesting the full Federal Aviation power of safety data Administration Aviation Safety Information Analysis and Sharing (ASIAS) Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) Presented to: Global Runway Safety Symposium By: Jay Pardee, CSTA Date: May 24, 2011 What is ASIAS…. A collaborative Government and Industry initiative on data sharing & analysis to proactively discover safety concerns before accidents or incidents occur, leading to timely mitigation and prevention. 2 ASIAS Functional Benefits With ASIAS, the aviation community will be able to . • Identify Systemic Risks – Establish safety baselines of current operations – Identify known and newly emerging system vulnerabilities – Monitor safety trends • Evaluate Identified Risks – Estimate their probabilities – Assess their severities – Uncover event precursors – Diagnose event causation • Formulate Mitigations – Assess the probable effects of various safety enhancements through simulation studies • Monitor Mitigation Effects – Assess the effectiveness of SEs in accordance with metrics established by the CAST ASIAS is Governed by Formal Principles Data used solely for Non-punitive reporting advancement of safety Analyses approved by an Airline data is de-identified ASIAS Executive Board Types of Proactive Safety Analyses Directed Studies Known Risk Monitoring Safety Enhancement Assessment Vulnerability Discovery Benchmarking Operations A Collaborative FAA-Industry ASIAS Executive Board (AEB) Provides Guidance and Oversight 5 Data Sources Supporting ASIAS Studies • ASAP • Traffic Management Proprietary • FOQA ATC Reroutes and Delays Data • ATSAP Information • Airport Configuration • Manufacturers data and Operations • Avionics data • Sector and Route Structure • Procedures Safety Data • Aviation Safety • Surveillance Data for Reporting System En Route, Terminal and • Runway Incursion Airport • Surface Incident • ASDE-X • Operational Error / Operational Deviation • Pilot Deviation • Vehicle or Pedestrian Other Deviation Information • National Transportation Safety Board • Bureau of • FAA Accident/Incident Transportation Data System Statistics • FAA Service Difficulty • Weather / Winds Reports 6 Overview of Airline Programs Contributing Data to ASIAS 83,000 ASAP & 30,000 ATSAP FOQA reports available for analysis ASAP 17 4 10 Total Count of ASIAS ASAP Programs 0 10 20 30 40 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Flight Ops 34 3 Number of airlines Maintenance 18 4 7 Dispatch 17 5 9 7.7 million operations available for analysis Cabin 6 3 Key Active Pending ASIAS Pending Airline Activated Pending ASIAS action Pending airline action As of 7 April 2011 7 ASIAS Members 38 Airlines Air Wisconsin Airlines Hawaiian Airlines AirTran Airways JetBlue Airways Government Alaska Airlines Mesa Airlines FAA American Airlines Mesaba Airlines NASA American Eagle Miami Air International USAF Safety Center Atlantic Southeast Airlines Piedmont Airlines Chautauqua Airlines Pinnacle Airlines CitationAir PSA Airlines Colgan Air Republic Airlines Industry Comair Shuttle America AIA CommutAir SkyWest Airlines ALPA Compass Airlines Southwest Airlines APA Continental Airlines Sun Country Airlines ATA Delta Airlines Trans States Airlines Bell Helicopter Textron Empire Airlines United Airlines Boeing ExpressJet United Parcel Service NATCA Frontier Airlines US Airways GoJet Airlines USA 3000 Gulfstream International Spirit Airlines As of 7 April 2011 Data Fusion Provides Valuable Insights to Future Threats (Precursors) Traffic Tracks Source: FAA National Offload Program Minimum Vectoring Altitudes Source: Air Traffic Control Airport & Airspace Safety Event Focus Procedures Source: Digital Flight Data, Source: Air Traffic Control Safety Reports Weather Source: FAA & NOAA Terrain Source: National Elevation Data ASAP Reports ASIAS Proprietary Do Not Distribute The success of information sharing relies on collaboration between voluntary safety programs. M & E Flight Ops ATSAP FOQA Cabin Dispatch Aviation ASIAS CAST Community Analysis and Emerging Safety Monitoring + Concerns Safety Vulnerability Enhancement Share Best Discovery Implementation Practices Risk of Runway Overrun (RoRO) Metrics, r50 Notional Data Deceleration 100kts to 50kts Weather conditions as reported by ASOS Visibility: 0.75 mi Wind Gusts up to 22 mph Temp: 26°F Headwind: 16 kts 0.02” of precipitation in last hr. Light snow/ice and fog reported Threaded Track Example Continued Notional Data 25 knots 232’ remaining 50 knot Point 901’ remaining 14 Follow on ASIAS Activity • Complete Unstabilized approach study detailed “drill down” • Complete Abnormal Runway Contact (ARC) study • Complete Risk of Runway Overrun study • Evaluate linkages between these three studies • Monitor Effectiveness of solutions .