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Home , Andrew Stunell, Andy Love, Anne McGuire, Bob Ainsworth, Charles Hendry, David Ruffley

General Election 2015 Ones to watch in health The 2015 General Election will At the same time a period of weaker Government will see the NHS more emboldened to shape its own be one of the most uncertain future, the direction for which has already been set out elections ever seen in the UK. through the Five Year Forward View. The interaction between a changing NHS, potentially involving service A party with an outright majority re-configurations and new MPs with an interest in in May looks increasingly healthcare looks set to be a major test of whether the vision of the Five Year Forward View can be delivered unlikely, potentially handing in practice. more power to individual MPs Currently 85 MPs have announced that they are standing to impact change. down in May 2015. Many of whom are strong politicians with an interest in health and life sciences such as former Secretaries of State for Health and , former Universities Minister , Science and Technology Committee Chair Andrew Miller and long time healthcare champion Annette Brooke. In their place a new set of healthcare political champions will emerge.

To help identify these new stakeholders, Hanover have profiled prospective parliamentary candidates (PPCs) in winnable seats across the UK. With the NHS a key battleground issue, many candidates As in 2010, some new MPs will emerge surprisingly as have referenced health as a priority, particularly on a local healthcare champions, some candidates included here will level, but some have a deeper background and interest not be elected and others will choose to focus on other which may translate into greater political engagement matters. However, we hope that this booklet is a useful should they enter Parliament. At the last election starting point in mapping the new Parliament and its Hanover undertook a similar profiling exercise and healthcare influencers for those looking to engage with identified Dr Sarah Wollaston, Dr Dan Poulter and George the system post May. Freeman as candidates to watch in health, all of whom went onto national roles.

This booklet profiles 10 of those identified as having a deeper background and interest in health this time. Interestingly, most have had direct involvement in the NHS or in the formation of healthcare policy. Amongst the crop is a former Health Minister, three NHS managers, a health and wellbeing board member, and a charity lobbyist. Six of the candidates featured ANDREW HARRISON have either held or currently hold political office (five councillors and two former MPs) and should have a good Director of Global Healthcare understanding of how to shape and influence political and legislative processes.

Inclusion within this booklet is not an endorsement of a candidate or their views. Three candidates kindly did speak to Hanover on their healthcare priorities. We are grateful to them for doing so and have included these within the booklet. Nusrat Ghani Nusrat Ghani Kit Malthouse, PPC for Wealden PPC for Wealden PPC for N. West nusghani.org.uk nusghani.org.uk kitmalthouse.com @Nus_Ghani @Nus_Ghani @kitmalthouse • Former Policy Manager for • Deputy Mayor for Business Breakthrough Breast Cancer and and Enterprise Age Concern • Chair of London & Partners and • Oversaw campaigns aimed at better Member of the MedCity Advisory healthcare for cancer patients Board aimed at driving the London- and the elderly and reducing the Oxford-Cambridge life sciences sector postcode lottery for breast cancer • His top 3 priorities for the NHS are: screening and resources 1. The NHS to take a central role in the • Former Director of Communications search for new drugs and therapies and Fundraising for the BBC World 2. That the plan to attract more medical Service working in conflict zones. Majority Majority graduates into general practice is a success 31.3% 34.9% 3. That further significant is made in combatting the “big five” killers: Currently held by Currently held by Conservative MP, Conservative MP, cancer, heart disease, stroke, lung and Sir George Young liver disease, such that the UK moves to the top of the European league table. Lucy Allan Caroline Ansell, PPC for PPC for Telford Eastbourne and Willingdon lucyallan.com carolineansell.co.uk @lucyallan @Caroline_Ansell

• Non-Executive Director of • Currently a Meads Councillor on Wandsworth NHS Eastbourne Borough Council • Former local Councillor in • Personal relationship with the NHS Wandsworth as her son was diagnosed with a • Previously Deputy Chairman of brain tumour Health at Wandsworth Borough • She has supported a local healthcare Council. campaign to keep consultant-led maternity and overnight paediatric care in Eastbourne • Said: Majority Majority To meet the needs of 21 century General Practice, surgeries like Green 2.4% 6.6% Street Clinic in Old Town need to Currently held Currently held expand. I want better access to GPs by Labour MP, by Lib Dem MP, and for GPs, I want state of the art David Wright Stephen Lloyd facilities to support them in delivering new services for their patients. Tim Brett, PPC for Fife North East PPC for South timbrett.org.uk karinsmyth.com @CllrTimBrett @karinsmyth

• Has held senior management • Has worked in the NHS for over positions in the NHS in , 15 years including Chief Exec. of Ninewells • Currently the Operations Teaching Hospital in Dundee Manager at NHS Bristol Clinical • Former Director of Health Commissioning Group Protection Scotland • Previously a Non-Executive Director • Former member of the NHS Fife Board of Bristol North Primary Care Trust • Former member of the Ministerial • Helped deliver the Bristol Health Advisory group from 2007-2012 Service Plan project on Health and Social Care which • Established the office and staff Majority developed the plans for Reshaping Majority team for Valerie Davey MP in 1997. Care For Older People in Scotland 22.6% His top 3 priorities for the NHS are: 9.7% Currently held • Currently held by Lib Dem MP, 1. Adequate funding by Labour MP, 2. Integration of health and social care 3. Better care/treatment for dementia sufferers. Julie Cooper Andrew Dismore PPC for PPC for Hendon juliecooperforburnley.co.uk www.andrewdismore.org.uk @JulieForBurnley @Andrew_Dismore

• Leader of Burnley Borough Council • Member and former leader of Burnley • Member of the Health Committee in County Council the London Assembly • Member of the Health • Former MP for Hendon 1997-2010 and Well Being Board • Campaigned heavily to rebuild • Chair of the East Lancashire Health Edgware Hospital, which was and Well Being Partnership completed in 2005, with the • Previous Member of the Lancashire opening of the new £40 million Enterprise Partnership flagship building. • Said: Majority It is important that the NHS is Majority supported and equipped to deal with 4.3% the challenges of a new century where 0.2% Currently held Currently held by new treatments, an ageing population by Lib Dem MP, Conservative MP, and increasing expectations are a Matthew Offord feature of everyday life. , PPC for Mike O’Brien, PPC for North Hampstead and Kilburn and Bedworth www.tulipsiddiq.com electmikeobrien.co.uk @TulipSiddiq @mikeobrien4mp

• States that the reason for her • Former Health Minister (2009- joining the Labour Party was 2010) because of the NHS • Oversaw the initial integrated care • Former Policy Adviser to Dame pilots in 2010 MP and Deputy • Former MP for North Warwickshire Field Director for ’s (1992 – 2010) leadership campaign • Introduced new rights for injured • Former Press Officer for London service personnel to get priority Labour Party treatment on the NHS • Her top three priorities for the NHS: • Initiated a £20m financial Majority 1. More investment in the NHS Majority settlement for the victims of 0.1% 2. Parity of esteem between primary 0.1% thalidomide. care, mental health and social care Currently held Currently held by Labour MP, 3. Making the public sector the by Conservative Glenda Jackson preferred provider. MP, Dan Byles MPs who are standing down in May 2015

CONSERVATIVE South Ribble - Lorraine Fullbrook Midlothian - David Hamilton South - Tim Yeo Neath - -Brownhills - Sir Richard Shepherd South Thanet - Laura Sandys Salford & Eccles - Banbury - Sir Tonbridge & Malling - Sir John Stanley , Brightside & Hillsborough - Bexhill & Battle - Greg Barker Uxbridge & Ruislip South - Sir John Randall Sheffield, Heeley - Boston & Skegness - Mark Simmonds Warwickshire North - Dan Byles Southampton, Itchen - Braintree - Brooks Newmark Wealden - Charles Hendry St Helens North - David Watts - David Ruffley St Helens South & Whiston - Cannock Chase - Aiden Burley Stirling - Anne McGuire Cardiff North - Jonathan Evans LABOUR Stoke-on-Trent North - Joan Walley Charnwood - Stephen Dorrell Aberavon - Hywel Francis Swansea East - Sian James Croydon South - Sir Richard Ottaway North - Frank Doran Torfaen - Paul Murphy Dudley South - Chris Kelly Ashton Under Lyne - David Heyes - Sir Tony Cunningham Eddisbury - Stephen O’Brien Batley & Spen - Mike Wood Central - Hugh Bayley Erewash - Jessica Lee - Faresham - Mark Hoban - Joe Benton Faversham & Mid Kent - Hugh Robertson Bradford South - Gerry Sutcliffe LIBERAL DEMOCRAT - David Willetts Bristol South - Dame Dawn Primarolo Bath - Don Foster Hertsmere - North East - Berwick-upon-Tweed - Sir Horsham - Dulwich & West Norwood - Dame Tessa Jowell Brent Central - Hove - Mike Weatherley Edinburgh South West - Gordon - Sir Kensington - Sir Edmonton - Andy Love Hazel Grove - Sir Louth & Horncastle - Sir Peter Tapsell Ellesmere Port & Neston - Andrew Miller Mid Dorset and North Poole - Annette Brooke Mid Worcestershire - Sir Peter Luff Falkirk - North East Fife - Sir Menzies Campbell North Dorset - Robert Walter Glenrothes - Lindsay Roy Redcar - Ian Swales North East Hampshire - Gower - Martin Caton Somerton & Frome - North Warwickshire - Dan Byles Great Grimsby - Austin Mitchell Taunton Deane - Jeremy Browne North West Hampshire - Sir George Young Greenwich & Woolwich - South - Brian Binley Halifax - Linda Riordan South Ribble - Lorraine Fullbrook Hampstead & Kilburn - Glenda Jackson Richmond (Yorks) - Holborn & St Pancras - Dwyfor Meirionnydd - Elfyn Lloyd South Cambridgeshire - Andrew Lansley Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath - South East Cambridgeshire - Sir Jim Paice Leeds East - George Mudie South Leicestershire - Andrew Robathan Lewisham, Deptford - Dame Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney - Dai Havard The prospect of any party gaining an overall majority in this year’s General Election is low. It is more likely that the UK will see another round of coalition negotiations or a minority government supported by smaller parties.

LABOUR MAJORITY

CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY

LABOUR / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS

LABOUR / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / SNP

LABOUR / SNP

LABOUR / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / SNP / GREEN

LABOUR / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / SNP / GREEN / PC

CONSERVATIVE / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS

CONSERVATIVE / LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / DUP

CONSERVATIVE / UKIP

CONSERVATIVE / UKIP / DUP

In short, while the outcome of the next election remains uncertain, the reputational and regulatory risks facing your business are many and varied. Hanover and Populus – the country’s leading public affairs and polling agencies – have teamed up to produce a unique pre-election policy tracker that will be indispensable for business. Hanover will use its all-party expert panel to predict the policy outcomes for a company or industrial sector based on a range of different scenarios from EU, corporate taxation, devolution and the NHS to all manner of new regulation.

Drawing on its own exclusive national polls and unique analysis of constituency-by-constituency data, Populus will use projected vote shares for each party to model probabilities for each potential government outcome. The differing government probabilities and the policy consequences will be updated Developed in conjunction with regularly and displayed in an easy-to- read password protected online tool. Please contact Hanover if you would like to discuss how we can help your organisation engage with political stakeholders about key health issues in the new parliament.

Andrew Harrison, Director of Global Healthcare [email protected] or call 0207 400 4480 Richard Sloggett, Associate Director [email protected] or call 0207 400 8999

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