Climate History and the Science Under- Lying Fate, Transport, and Health Ef- Fects of Mercury Emissions
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Blue Intensity for Dendroclimatology: Should We Have the Blues?
Dendrochronologia 32 (2014) 191–204 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Dendrochronologia jou rnal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/dendro ORIGINAL ARTICLE Blue intensity for dendroclimatology: Should we have the blues? Experiments from Scotland a,∗ b c c Milosˇ Rydval , Lars-Åke Larsson , Laura McGlynn , Björn E. Gunnarson , d d a Neil J. Loader , Giles H.F. Young , Rob Wilson a School of Geography and Geosciences, University of St Andrews, UK b Cybis Elektronik & Data AB, Saltsjöbaden, Sweden c Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden d Department of Geography, Swansea University, Swansea, UK a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Blue intensity (BI) has the potential to provide information on past summer temperatures of a similar Received 1 April 2014 quality to maximum latewood density (MXD), but at a substantially reduced cost. This paper provides Accepted 27 April 2014 a methodological guide to the generation of BI data using a new and affordable BI measurement sys- tem; CooRecorder. Focussing on four sites in the Scottish Highlands from a wider network of 42 sites Keywords: developed for the Scottish Pine Project, BI and MXD data from Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) were used Blue intensity to facilitate a direct comparison between these parameters. A series of experiments aimed at identify- Maximum latewood density ing and addressing the limitations of BI suggest that while some potential limitations exist, these can Scots pine Dendroclimatology be minimised by adhering to appropriate BI generation protocols. The comparison of BI data produced using different resin-extraction methods (acetone vs. -
$1.2 Million Conflict of Interest Plagues Climate Change Denial Research
$1.2 Million Conflict of Interest Plagues Climate Change Denial Research... http://natmonitor.com/2015/02/22/1-2-million-conflict-of-interest-plague... $1.2 Million Conflict of Interest Plagues Climate Change Denial Research By James Paladino, National Monitor | February 22, 2015 A recently uncovered document shows that Wei-Hok Soon, a well-known aerospace engineer, was granted over $1.2 million from fossil-fuel companies for climate research and failed to disclose a conflict of interest in his peer-reviewed publications. In Washington, climate change deniers are fighting a fierce battle to stave off energy policy reform. The latest casualty of this war of ideas is Wei-Hock Soon, a part-time employee of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. Resilient to the scientific consensus that human carbon emissions are fueling gradual warming, the aerospace engineer has served as a beacon for conservative legislators. A recently uncovered document shows that Soon was granted over $1.2 million from fossil-fuel companies and failed to disclose a conflict of interest in his peer-reviewed publications. Since the Smithsonian is part of the federal government, former Greenpeace member Kert Davies legally obtained the Soon’s grant agreements through the Freedom of Information Act. Contributors include the American Petroleum Institute, the Koch brothers, Exxon Mobil and Southern Company. Several scientific papers and a congressional testimonial were termed as “deliverables,” reports The New York Times. “These proposals and contracts show debatable interventions in science literally on behalf of the Southern Company and the Kochs,” said Davies. “What it shows is the continuation of a long-term campaign by specific fossil-fuel companies and interests to undermine the scientific consensus on climate change.” These recent revelations have drawn fire from members of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center and NASA, among others. -
The Disclosure of Climate Data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia
House of Commons Science and Technology Committee The disclosure of climate data from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia Eighth Report of Session 2009–10 Volume II Oral and written evidence Ordered by The House of Commons to be printed 24 March 2010 HC 387-II Published on 31 March 2010 by authority of the House of Commons London: The Stationery Office Limited £0.00 The Science and Technology Committee The Science and Technology Committee is appointed by the House of Commons to examine the expenditure, administration and policy of the Government Office for Science. Under arrangements agreed by the House on 25 June 2009 the Science and Technology Committee was established on 1 October 2009 with the same membership and Chairman as the former Innovation, Universities, Science and Skills Committee and its proceedings were deemed to have been in respect of the Science and Technology Committee. Current membership Mr Phil Willis (Liberal Democrat, Harrogate and Knaresborough)(Chair) Dr Roberta Blackman-Woods (Labour, City of Durham) Mr Tim Boswell (Conservative, Daventry) Mr Ian Cawsey (Labour, Brigg & Goole) Mrs Nadine Dorries (Conservative, Mid Bedfordshire) Dr Evan Harris (Liberal Democrat, Oxford West & Abingdon) Dr Brian Iddon (Labour, Bolton South East) Mr Gordon Marsden (Labour, Blackpool South) Dr Doug Naysmith (Labour, Bristol North West) Dr Bob Spink (Independent, Castle Point) Ian Stewart (Labour, Eccles) Graham Stringer (Labour, Manchester, Blackley) Dr Desmond Turner (Labour, Brighton Kemptown) Mr Rob Wilson (Conservative, Reading East) Powers The Committee is one of the departmental Select Committees, the powers of which are set out in House of Commons Standing Orders, principally in SO No.152. -
Volume 3: Process Issues Raised by Petitioners
EPA’s Response to the Petitions to Reconsider the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act Volume 3: Process Issues Raised by Petitioners U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Office of Atmospheric Programs Climate Change Division Washington, D.C. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 3.0 Process Issues Raised by Petitioners............................................................................................5 3.1 Approaches and Processes Used to Develop the Scientific Support for the Findings............................................................................................................................5 3.1.1 Overview..............................................................................................................5 3.1.2 Issues Regarding Consideration of the CRU E-mails..........................................6 3.1.3 Assessment of Issues Raised in Public Comments and Re-Raised in Petitions for Reconsideration...............................................................................7 3.1.4 Summary............................................................................................................19 3.2 Response to Claims That the Assessments by the USGCRP and NRC Are Not Separate and Independent Assessments.........................................................................20 3.2.1 Overview............................................................................................................20 3.2.2 EPA’s Response to Petitioners’ -
Temporal Scales and Signal Modeling in Dendroclimatology Joel Guiot
Temporal scales and signal modeling in dendroclimatology Joel Guiot To cite this version: Joel Guiot. Temporal scales and signal modeling in dendroclimatology. Past Global Changes Mag- azine, Past Global Changes (PAGES) project, 2017, 25 (3), pp.142-143. 10.22498/pages.25.3.142. insu-02269697 HAL Id: insu-02269697 https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-02269697 Submitted on 23 Aug 2019 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. 142 SCIENCE HIGHLIGHTS: CENTENNIAL TO MILLENNIAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.3.142 Temporal scales and signal modeling in dendroclimatology Joël Guiot Tree rings are demonstrably good proxies for temperature or precipitation at timescales less than a century. Reconstruction based on multiple proxies and process-based modeling approaches are needed to estimate the climate signal at lower frequencies. Paleoclimatological proxies "represent component of the trend. Afterwards, the method is complex and needs a large records of climate that were generated tree leaf area stabilizes, and a fairly con- number of replicated series for the same through physical, chemical and/or biologi- stant quantity of xylem is distributed along species. No method is perfect and some cal processes. -
Open PDF File, 8.71 MB, for February 01, 2017 Appendix In
Case 4:16-cv-00469-K Document 175 Filed 02/01/17 Page 1 of 10 PageID 5923 IN THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT FOR THE NORTHERN DISTRICT OF TEXAS FORT WORTH DIVISION EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION, § § Plaintiff, § v. § No. 4:16-CV-469-K § ERIC TRADD SCHNEIDERMAN, § Attorney General of New York, in his § official capacity, and MAURA TRACY § HEALEY, Attorney General of § Massachusetts, in her official capacity, § § Defendants. § APPENDIX IN SUPPORT OF EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION’S BRIEF IN SUPPORT OF THIS COURT’S PERSONAL JURISDICTION OVER THE DEFENDANTS Exhibit Description Page(s) N/A Declaration of Justin Anderson (Feb. 1, 2017) v – ix A Transcript of the AGs United for Clean Power App. 1 –App. 21 Press Conference, held on March 29, 2016, which was prepared by counsel based on a video recording of the event. The video recording is available at http://www.ag.ny.gov/press- release/ag-schneiderman-former-vice-president- al-gore-and-coalition-attorneys-general-across B E-mail from Wendy Morgan, Chief of Public App. 22 – App. 32 Protection, Office of the Vermont Attorney General to Michael Meade, Director, Intergovernmental Affairs Bureau, Office of the New York Attorney General (Mar. 18, 2016, 6:06 PM) C Union of Concerned Scientists, Peter Frumhoff, App. 33 – App. 37 http://www.ucsusa.org/about/staff/staff/peter- frumhoff.html#.WI-OaVMrLcs (last visited Jan. 20, 2017, 2:05 PM) Case 4:16-cv-00469-K Document 175 Filed 02/01/17 Page 2 of 10 PageID 5924 Exhibit Description Page(s) D Union of Concerned Scientists, Smoke, Mirrors & App. -
Global Dendroclimatology in Sight from A
780 Nature Vol. 287 30 October 1980 Global dendroclimatology in sight from A. Barrie Pittock Dendroclimatology, the systematic study pressure and that sampling should be con calibration and earlier instrumental and of past climates using tree growth centrated in regions which are historical data for verification, it should be characteristics as proxy climate data, is a climatologically important and/or where possible to produce a detailed and relatively young science. It is often there are gaps in coverage from instru continuous climate reconstruction from confused with the much older and related mental, historical or other proxy data. 1750. Because of the abundance of data for science of dendrochronology, the dating of There is growing confidence that with some calibration and verification, this could specimens by the use of tree-ring modification existing methods can extract prove the best continent-wide proxy sequences. Dendroclimatology has only useful climatic information from trees in climate data set in existence and Europe really developed as a science since the many different parts of the world. could become a test bed for refining 1940s, primarily as a result of the As dendroclimatology has expanded dendroclimatic methods. pioneering efforts of workers at the into new geographical areas over the last Five-hundred-year long chronologies Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research at the decade, techniques have been modified are available already from living conifers in University of Arizona. Elsewhere, the and refined. One example is the use of the Alps and at the northern tree-line and serious application of dendroclimatic density as well as ring-width measurements are expected from living oaks in Scotland, methods has only begun in the last five for climate reconstructions. -
Transcript of the Same
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES AND ENERGY COMMITTEE "PENNSYLVANIA CO2 AND CLIMATE" ROOM 523 IRVIS OFFICE BUILDING TUESDAY, JUNE 22, 2021 9:03 A.M. BEFORE: HONORABLE DARYL METCALFE, MAJORITY CHAIRMAN HONORABLE GREG VITALI, MINORITY CHAIRMAN HONORABLE MIKE ARMANINI HONORABLE STEPHANIE BOROWICZ HONORABLE DONALD COOK HONORABLE JOSEPH HAMM HONORABLE R. LEE JAMES HONORABLE JOSHUA KAIL HONORABLE TIMOTHY O'NEAL HONORABLE JASON ORTITAY HONORABLE KATHY RAPP HONORABLE TOMMY SANKEY HONORABLE PAUL SCHEMEL HONORABLE PERRY STAMBAUGH HONORABLE ELIZABETH FIEDLER HONORABLE MANUEL GUZMAN HONORABLE JOE HOHENSTEIN HONORABLE MARY ISAACSON HONORABLE RICK KRAJEWSKI HONORABLE DANIELLE FRIEL OTTEN HONORABLE PAM SNYDER Pennsylvania House of Representatives Commonwealth of Pennsylvania 2 1 COMMITTEE STAFF PRESENT: 2 GRIFFIN CARUSO 3 REPUBLICAN RESEARCH ANALYST ALEX SLOAD 4 REPUBLICAN RESEARCH ANALYST PAM NEUGARD 5 REPUBLICAN ADMINISTRATIVE ASSISTANT 6 SARAH IVERSEN 7 DEMOCRATIC EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR BILL JORDAN 8 DEMOCRATIC RESEARCH ANALYST 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 3 1 I N D E X 2 TESTIFIERS 3 * * * 4 GREG WRIGHTSTONE EXECUTIVE ASSISTANT, 5 CO2 COALITION..................................6 6 DR. DAVID LEGATES PROFESSOR OF CLIMATOLOGY 7 UNIVERSITY OF DELAWARE........................15 8 ANDREW MCKEON EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, 9 RGGI, INC.....................................30 10 MARK SZYBIST, ESQ. SENIOR ATTORNEY, 11 NATURAL RESOURCES DEFENSE COUNCIL.............38 12 FRANZ T. LITZ LITZ ENERGY STRATEGIES LLC....................45 13 DR. PATRICK MICHAELS 14 CLIMATOLOGIST, SENIOR FELLOW, CO2 COALITION.................................69 15 MARC MORANO 16 EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, CLIMATE DEPOT.................................76 17 JOE BASTARDI 18 CHIEF FORECASTER WEATHERBELL ANALYTICS, LLC....................90 19 20 21 SUBMITTED WRITTEN TESTIMONY 22 * * * 23 (See submitted written testimony and handouts online.) 24 25 4 1 P R O C E E D I N G S 2 * * * 3 MAJORITY CHAIRMAN METCALFE: Good 4 morning. -
Do Small-Sample Short-Term Forecasting Tests Yield Valid
Forecasting global climate change Kesten C. Green University of South Australia and Ehrenberg-Bass Institute, Australia J. Scott Armstrong University of Pennsylvania, U.S.A, and Ehrenberg-Bass Institute, Australia Working Paper - June 2014 This paper was published in Climate Change: The Facts. edited by Alan Moran published by the Institute of Public Affairs, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia Abstract The Golden Rule of Forecasting requires that forecasters be conservative by making proper use of cumulative knowledge and by not going beyond that knowledge. The procedures that have been used to forecast dangerous manmade global warming violate the Golden Rule. Following the scientific method, we investigated competing hypotheses on climate change in an objective way. To do this, we tested the predictive validity of the global warming hypothesis (+0.03C per year with increasing CO2) against a relatively conservative global cooling hypothesis of -0.01C per year, and against the even more conservative simple no-change or persistence hypothesis (0.0C per year). The errors of forecasts from the global warming hypothesis for horizons 11 to 100 years ahead over the period 1851 to 1975 were nearly four times larger than those from the global cooling hypothesis and about eight times larger than those from the persistence hypothesis. Findings from our tests using the latest data and other data covering a period of nearly 2,000 years support the predictive validity of the persistence hypothesis for horizons from one year to centuries ahead. To investigate whether the current alarm over global temperatures is exceptional, we employed the method of structured analogies. -
Engaging, Persuading, and Entertaining Citizens: Mediatization and the Australian Political Public Sphere
This may be the author’s version of a work that was submitted/accepted for publication in the following source: Flew, Terry& Swift, Adam (2015) Engaging, persuading, and entertaining citizens: mediatization and the Australian political public sphere. International Journal of Press/Politics, 20(1), pp. 108-128. This file was downloaded from: https://eprints.qut.edu.au/79440/ c Consult author(s) regarding copyright matters This work is covered by copyright. Unless the document is being made available under a Creative Commons Licence, you must assume that re-use is limited to personal use and that permission from the copyright owner must be obtained for all other uses. If the docu- ment is available under a Creative Commons License (or other specified license) then refer to the Licence for details of permitted re-use. It is a condition of access that users recog- nise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. If you believe that this work infringes copyright please provide details by email to [email protected] Notice: Please note that this document may not be the Version of Record (i.e. published version) of the work. Author manuscript versions (as Sub- mitted for peer review or as Accepted for publication after peer review) can be identified by an absence of publisher branding and/or typeset appear- ance. If there is any doubt, please refer to the published source. https://doi.org/10.1177/1940161214552500 International Journal of Press/Politics Engaging, Persuading and Entertaining Citizens: Mediatization and the Australian Political Public Sphere Journal:For The InternationalPeer Journal Review of Press/Politics Manuscript ID: RA-IJPP-Feb-2014-026.R2 Manuscript Type: Research Article Public sphere, Political participation, Television, Political advertising, Keywords: Television campaign, Broadcasting news This paper draws upon public sphere theories and the 'mediatization of politics' debate to develop a mapping of the Australian political public sphere, with particular reference to television. -
Deeper Ties to Corporate Cash for Doubtful Climate Research
Deeper Ties to Corporate Cash for Doubtful Climate Research... http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/22/us/ties-to-corporate-cash... http://nyti.ms/1DIYhU3 SCIENCE Deeper Ties to Corporate Cash for Doubtful Climate Researcher By JUSTIN GILLIS and JOHN SCHWARTZ FEB. 21, 2015 For years, politicians wanting to block legislation on climate change have bolstered their arguments by pointing to the work of a handful of scientists who claim that greenhouse gases pose little risk to humanity. One of the names they invoke most often is Wei-Hock Soon, known as Willie, a scientist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics who claims that variations in the sun’s energy can largely explain recent global warming. He has often appeared on conservative news programs, testified before Congress and in state capitals, and starred at conferences of people who deny the risks of global warming. But newly released documents show the extent to which Dr. Soon’s work has been tied to funding he received from corporate interests. He has accepted more than $1.2 million in money from the fossil-fuel industry over the last decade while failing to disclose that conflict of interest in most of his scientific papers. At least 11 papers he has published since 2008 omitted such a disclosure, and in at least eight of those cases, he appears to have violated ethical guidelines of the journals that published his work. The documents show that Dr. Soon, in correspondence with his corporate funders, described many of his scientific papers as “deliverables” that he completed in exchange for their money. -
The Paper That Blew It Up
This post was published to Andy May Petrophysicist at 3:01:27 PM 11/13/2020 The Paper that Blew it Up By Andy May “If you can’t dazzle them with brilliance, baffle them with Bull…” W. C. Fields In late February 2015, Willie Soon was accused in a front-page New York Times article by Kert Davies (Gillis & Schwartz, 2015) of failing to disclose conflicts of interest in his academic journal articles. It isn’t mentioned in the Gillis and Schwartz article, but the timing suggests that a Science Bulletin article, “Why Models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate model” (Monckton, Soon, Legates, & Briggs, 2015) was Davies’ concern. We will abbreviate this paper as MSLB15. Besides Soon, the other authors of the paper are Christopher Monckton (senior author, Lord Monckton, Viscount of Brenchley), David Legates (Professor of Geography and Climatology, University of Delaware), and William Briggs (Mathematician and statistician, former professor of statistics at Cornell Medical School). In the January 2015 article, the authors “declare that they have no conflict of interest.” MSLB15 was instantly popular and devastating to the climate alarmist cause and to the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (IPCC, 2013). The IPCC is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a research organization set up by the United Nations in 1988. MSLB15 was published online January 8, 2015 and downloaded 22,000 times in less than two months, an outstanding number of downloads. The New York Times article appeared less than two months after MSLB15 hit the internet, it was a “fake news hit job.” The paper caused a stir because it explained that the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report or “AR5” reduced its near-term warming projections substantially, but left its long-term, higher, projections alone.