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WATERRESEARCH COMMISSION LONG TERM SALT BALANCE OF THE VAALHARTS IRRIGATION SCHEME C E Herold and A K Bailey REPORT TO THE WATERRESEARCH COMMISSION by STEWART SCOTT INCORPORATED (Consulting Engineers) P O Box 784506, Sandton, 2146 12/07/1996 WRC Report No.: 420/1/96 ISBN No.: 1 86845 0414 (i) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY BACKGROUND AND MOTIVATION Vaalharts is the largest irrigation scheme in the Republic of South Africa. The Vaal River is the source of the water supply to the scheme. Since the commissioning of Vaalharts in the mid-thirties, the salinity of the supply water has deteriorated substantially due to large scale urban, industrial and mining developments in the Middle Vaal. A study of the Harts River carried out by Stewart Sviridov and Oliver in 1987 on behalf of the Department of Water Affairs (DWA) concluded that between 1935 and 1984 less than 20 percent of the salt contained in the water supplied to Vaalharts was released via return flows to the Harts River. This represents an overall accumulation of approximately 3 million tons of salt. Implications for the Vaal and Orange River systems Salinisation of the Vaal River has already led to serious water quality problems in the lower Vaal. The return of all of the salt contained in the irrigation water supplied to Vaalharts would have put an additional 100 000 tons of salt into the Lower Vaal each year, with serious economic consequences for downstream users. If this proves to be only a temporary phenomenon (i.e. lagged system response) then continued salinisation of the Middle Vaal could jeopardise all irrigation schemes downstream of the Vaal-Harts confluence. In this regard, even the Orange River is threatened, seeing as its dilution factor will be reduced by the expected eventual removal of a further 2200 million cubic metres of fresh water via the Lesotho Highlands Water Project. Even if most of the unaccounted for salt has been permanently removed via percolation (through the calcrete layer that underlies the whole scheme) into deeper groundwater, it is likely that in future the salt removal rate will be reduced because of interception of drainage water by the recently installed sub-surface drains. Increased water allocations could also increase the leaching fraction, and hence the proportion of salt returned to the Harts River. Key questions The above considerations raise some important questions regarding the fate of the unaccounted for salt: Were the findings of the 1987 DWA study correct? (i.e. has most of the salt contained in the water supplied to Vaalharts been retained?) If so, what became of the salt? Has the salt been permanently removed from the surface drainage system, or has sub- surface storage merely delayed the response of the system to the sharp rise in the salinity of Vaal River water that commenced in the late seventies? Under what circumstances (if any) can the salt be expected to be returned to the surface drainage system? How will the recent provision of irrigation under-drains affect the proportion of salt removed? (ii) How will increased irrigation water allocations affect the salt removal? The implications of continued salt inputs to the Vaalharts irrigation scheme warranted a research study aimed at answering the key questions posed above. Expected benefits of study Answers to the key questions set out above were expected to provide the following benefits: Place water resource managers in a better position to anticipate the consequences of upstream developments and timeously implement appropriate water quality management strategies. Provide a better understanding of the overall salt balance of the Vaalharts irrigation scheme. This will serve to improve the calibration of the hydro-salinity models currently used by the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry (DWAF) in planning and managing the water resources of the Vaal River system. Determine if a more comprehensive multi-disciplinary research project to study the circulation and storage of salt in the Vaalharts irrigation scheme is warranted. Highlight the need for appropriate steps to be taken to collect the data required to monitor the long term response of the system and provide the information required for the second phase of the study. AIMS The stated aims of this study were as follows: • Quantify the long term historical macro-scale water and salt balance (in terms of both total dissolved salts (TDS) and its main ionic constituents) of the Vaalharts irrigation scheme to determine the extent of salt loss or accumulation. • Analyze available flow and water quality records to quantify the effect of the sub- surface drains (the installation of which commenced in the mid-seventies) on irrigation return flow volumes, TDS loads and TDS composition. • Study available agricultural, meteorological, hydrological, water quality, soils and geo- hydrological data to gain an understanding of the underlying hydro-salinity processes. • Where necessary, propose and initiate additional monitoring and field investigations to supplement the available data. The Water Research Commission decided on a two phase approach. The research reported on in this document is for the first phase, the primary purpose of which is to obtain an improved assessment of the situation and definition of the problem. The second phase was envisaged to involve an in-depth multi-disciplinary study of the processes taking place in the Vaalharts irrigation scheme. Commencement of the second phase is dependant on the findings of the first phase. r:\vnalliari\rcpDrt\vaalhan.doc (iii) As the first phase is essentially a preliminary investigation, the methodology has been kept as simple as possible. As far as possible existing data was used, with little or no additional sampling, field experiments or new model development. The main tasks are outlined below. TASKS UNDERTAKEN IN TERMS OF CONTRACT • Literature survey A literature survey has been carried out to identify studies of a similar nature that have been carried out elsewhere. In particular, relevant reports on studies carried out on the Vaalharts irrigation scheme itself have been examined. • Macro-scale water and salt balance The macro-scale water and salt balance was based on river monitoring in the Vaal and Harts Rivers and did not involve detailed studies of individual plots or irrigation blocks. Available hydrologica!, water quality, meteorological, water use and other relevant data were collected and entered into a project data base. Early flow and water quality records have been examined and patched using hydro-salinity models to estimate the water and salt loads supplied to and returned by the Vaalharts irrigation scheme. Computer software already developed in-house by the Consultants was used to clieck and patch deficient flow and water quality records. Existing hydro-salinity models were used to simulate the long term salt balance of the Vaalharts irrigation scheme. • Effect of sub-surface drains Available data was analyzed in an attempt to detect the effect of the recent installation of extensive sub-surface drains on the global percentage return flow and salt export. Hydro-salinity modelling was used to eliminate the effect of long term hydrological fluctuations that tend to mask water quality trends. • Hypothesise processes The results of the salt balance analyses were examined, together with relevant papers and reports and available agricultural, meteorological, water quality, soils and geohydrological data to gain an insight into the dominant processes controlling the storage and release of salt at Vaalharts. The most likely explanations for the apparent retention of salt at Vaalharts have been hypothesised. Cost-effective means of testing these hypotheses have been sought. • Monitoring proposals Proposals have been made for additional monitoring and field experiments required to validate the main hypotheses put forward regarding the processes by which salts are being accumulated at Vaalharts. f:\vaalhan\repotl\violhart.doc (iv) CONCLUSIONS The following conclusions can be drawn from the results of the study: • Parallels with other irrigation schemes The history of civilisations, as well as better documented more recent cases, indicates that large irrigation schemes such as Vaalharts have the capacity to accumulate very large volumes of irrigation water in the groundwater. It can be deduced that the change in storage in the groundwater represents the potential to store large tonnages of salt. The history of the Indus Scheme in Pakistan (which was commissioned during the same decade as Vaalharts Irrigation Scheme), as well as that of Vaalharts itself, demonstrates that the raising of the groundwater table can take a number of decades. It follows that during this period both water and salt will be accumulated. This provides a plausible mechanism for the large accumulation of salt in Vaalharts estimated in a previous study. • Data deficiencies A surprisingly large amount of basic information regarding the historical development of the Vaalharts Irrigation Scheme (such as irrigated areas, volumes of water supplied, cropping patterns, etc.) appears to be unobtainable. This necessitated patching by means of interpolation and extrapolation. The flow records for Spitskop Dam (C3R002), Espagsdrift weir (C3H007) and Mt. Rupert weir (C3H013) were found to be inaccurate. An investigation was carried out by the DWAF in Bloemfontein and a number of problems were identified with regard to the streamflow gauging operation. A report was compiled by them and sent to the DWAF in Pretoria who revised certain discharge table (DT) and streamflow data. • Hydro-salinity modelling The hydro-salinity water quality model WQT has been calibrated successfully for both the Upper Harts (i.e the catchment upstream of Taung weir) and Middle Harts catchments (i.e the catchment downstream of Taung weir - C3H003 up to Mt. Rupert weir - C3HO13). The calibrated model was then used to simulate conditions up to the year 2030. Owing to the inaccuracies in the flow gauging at key hydrological stations as well as the data deficiencies mentioned above, it was to be expected that the modelled values would not fit the observed values that well.