MANAGING CONFLICT IN TROUBLED WATERS: THE CASE OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA By Nalanda Roy A dissertation submitted to the Graduate School-Newark Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey in partial fulfillment of requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Graduate Program in Global Affairs Written under the direction of Professor Yale H. Ferguson and approved by _______________________________ _______________________________ ______________________________ _______________________________ Newark, New Jersey May 2013 Copyright page 2013 Nalanda Roy ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Copyright 2013 by Nalanda Roy,
[email protected]. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form without the permission from the copyright owner. ABSTRACT Managing Conflict In Troubled Waters: The Case of the South China Sea By NALANDA ROY Dissertation Director: Dr. Yale H. Ferguson The South China Sea has recently become the locus of disputes that have the potential of escalating into serious international conflicts. It is a critical region among the disputing countries because of its geographic position in major oceanic routes used by crude oil tankers from the Persian Gulf to Asia and for transporting goods to the rest of the world. It is important, as well, for its promising offshore oil and gas reserves, other undersea resources, and rich marine life. This dissertation addresses three questions: First, what factors increase the probability of conflicts in the South China Sea region? Second, what is the role of ASEAN in managing conflicts in the SCS region? And third, what is the likely utility of other conflict prevention mechanisms in the SCS region? Following a careful review of existing literature relevant to the South China Sea disputes, the study assesses the effectiveness of UNCLOS as an international legal regime in addressing them.