Enrolment Report 2020-21
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Enrolment Report 2020-21 February 8, 2021 Planning & Budget Office Table of Contents Enrolment Context and Overview ...................................................................................................2 Definitions .........................................................................................................................................3 Undergraduate Enrolment ...............................................................................................................4 Graduate Enrolment .........................................................................................................................6 International Enrolment ...................................................................................................................7 Linking Enrolment Plans to Capital Plans ........................................................................................8 Appendix A: Enrolment Tables and Charts ....................................................................................10 Total Enrolment ...........................................................................................................................11 Undergraduate Enrolment ..........................................................................................................17 Graduate Enrolment....................................................................................................................21 International Enrolment ..............................................................................................................33 Enrolment Report 2020-21 1 Enrolment Context and Overview Enrolment drives the largest portion of University operating revenue. For the 2021-22 fiscal year, approximately 80% of the budgeted $3.12 billion in revenue relates directly to planned enrolment through tuition in for-credit, executive education, and continuing education programs, enrolment-based operating grants from the Province, and other student fees. The Enrolment Report, therefore, is a key source of information that accompanies the annual Long Range Budget Guidelines. The Enrolment Report provides information on 2020-21 enrolment plans and actual results, and lays out the enrolment projections for the period 2021-22 through to 2025-26. Enrolment plans are shaped by the University of Toronto’s academic priorities as articulated in the President’s Three Priorities and the goals set out in Towards 2030. The enrolment plans also reflect our Strategic Mandate Agreements with the Province and the current provincial funding environment. The University’s third Strategic Mandate Agreement with the Province (SMA3) came into effect on April 1, 2020 and covers the period 2020-2025. With the implementation of SMA3, a significant portion of existing operating grant revenue will be re-directed to a differentiation envelope tied to performance metrics. Performance-based funding will gradually increase from 25 per cent of total Provincial operating grants (six per cent of total revenue) in 2020-21 to 60 per cent of operating grants (12 per cent of total revenue) by 2024-25. However, even at full implementation at the end of the SMA3 period, enrolment will still drive the vast majority of operating revenue (76%) for the University. The introduction of performance-based funding is not expected to increase the amount of funding available; rather, it introduces a new accountability mechanism for existing funds. The University’s enrolment-based operating grant will be reduced as the performance based funding envelope increases, and will remain conditional on the University maintaining enrolment within our corridor. The University was successful in achieving its graduate enrolment targets and claiming all available funding from the Province during the SMA2 period. Current projections point to demand for around 750 additional master’s and 1,000 doctoral student spaces above those approved in SMA2. Funding for these spaces remains a point of advocacy in negotiations with the Province, but is not reflected in SMA3. The University of Toronto has grown significantly over the last two decades to just over 95,000 students in 2020- 21, with undergraduate and graduate growth at all three campuses. Outer year plans call for undergraduate FTE growth of 8.7% at the University of Toronto Scarborough (UTSC); 4.6% growth at the St. George Campus and a slight 0.4% decrease at the University of Toronto Mississauga by 2025-26. Domestic undergraduate enrolment will be maintained within the ±3% flexibility of the fixed Provincial funding envelope, while divisional plans include growth of 2,061 FTE international undergraduate students across all three campuses over the planning period, increasing international enrolment to 30.3% of total undergraduates. The current enrolment plan assumes an increase in graduate enrolment, with the overall proportion of graduate students increasing from 23.1% of total (FTE) enrolment in 2020-21 to 24.3% over the next five years. At the St. George campus, the proportion of graduate students was 31.3% in 2020-21, and is projected to increase further to 32.7% by 2025-26, consistent with the University’s Towards 2030 goal of 35%. It should be noted that most doctoral stream master’s and PhD students in Arts & Science disciplines are enrolled in tri-campus graduate units, which are counted in St. George campus enrolment figures for purposes of this report. It is recognized that faculty members at UTSC and UTM supervise graduate students in tri-campus graduate units, but campus 2 University of Toronto affiliations are not readily available for students enrolled in tri-campus graduate programs. Professional master’s programs, however, are campus-based and are reported in campus-specific enrolment figures. Consistent with the University of Toronto’s ranking amongst the world’s top 20 universities, internationalization has been an academic goal pursued across many divisions. In 2020-21, 26.8% of all undergraduate and graduate students were international, with a higher proportion of international students in undergraduate programs (28.5%) than in graduate programs (21.3%). Divisions have plans to grow the international proportion of total enrolment from 26.8% to 28.5% by 2025-26. The University of Toronto continues to attract a large number of high-quality students, both domestically and internationally. Overall, the data presented in this report demonstrate progress toward our long-term enrolment goals. Despite the significant uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic, the University was able to successfully deliver the vast majority of its academic programs in 2020-21 in alternative formats. The incoming undergraduate class for Fall 2020 was 0.2% larger than that of Fall 2019, including the largest incoming cohort of international undergraduate students in the University’s history. While the overall enrolment results were positive, there was some variability in enrolment at the level of individual programs, with modest enrolment reductions in professional undergraduate and graduate programs in particular. The University of Toronto will continue to monitor how public health guidelines evolve in addressing COVID-19 and its potential impact on future enrolment plans. Definitions Enrolment is generally reported using one of two measures: Person Count, which is a measure of the number of students enrolled, and Full-time Equivalents (FTE), which is a measure of course load activity. A normal course load for undergraduate students in Arts & Science is five full courses, and a student taking a full course load is counted as one FTE. A student taking four full courses is counted as 0.8 FTE. Graduate students enrolled on a full-time basis are counted as one FTE whether completing coursework, research, or working on a thesis. Students eligible to be counted for provincial operating funding are reported as “eligible FTE”. Generally speaking, eligible students are domestic students. Effective 2018-19, however, the University may count international PhD students toward 15% of doctoral program operating grants. Most other international students are ineligible to generate provincial operating grant funding. Furthermore, graduate students, whether domestic or international, may be counted for operating grant purposes for a limited number of terms (generally equivalent to five years of graduate study), beyond which they become “ineligible”. Enrolment at the University of Toronto is grouped into five broad categories. The tables and charts included in this report provide enrolment data in these categories: 1. Direct-entry undergraduate programs Undergraduate programs that do not generally require previous university study as a condition of admission. Includes undergraduate programs in: Arts & Science at St. George, UTM and UTSC (HBA, HBSc, BCom, BBA); Applied Science & Engineering (BASc, BASc in Engineering Science); Architecture, Landscape & Design (HBA); Kinesiology & Physical Education (BKIN); Music (BMus, Enrolment Report 2020-21 3 Advanced Certificate in Performance, Diploma in Operatic Performance); and the Transitional Year Program. 2. Second-entry undergraduate programs Undergraduate professional programs that generally require some previous university study as a condition of admission. Includes programs in: Dentistry (DDS); Information (BI); Law (JD); Medicine (MD, BSc Physician Assistant, and BSc Radiation Sciences); Nursing (BScN); Pharmacy (PharmD); and Woodsworth College certificates in Teaching English to Speakers