Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2005, 2(2), 194–203 International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health ISSN 1660-4601 www.ijerph.org © 2005 by MDPI Conceptual Modeling for Adaptive Environmental Assessment and Management in the Barycz Valley, Lower Silesia, Poland Piotr Magnuszewski1*, Jan Sendzimir2, and Jakub Kronenberg3 1Institute of Physics, Wroclaw University of Technology, Wybrzeze Wyspianskiego 27, 50-370 Wroclaw, Poland 2International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplatz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria 3Dept of International Economic Relations, University of Lodz, POW 3/5, 90-255 Lodz, Poland *Correspondence to Dr. Piotr Magnuszewski. E-mail:
[email protected] Received: 10 January 2005 / Accepted: 10 April 2005 / Published: 14 August 2005 Abstract: The complexity of interactions in socio-ecological systems makes it very difficult to plan and implement policies successfully. Traditional environmental management and assessment techniques produce unsatisfactory results because they often ignore facets of system structure that underlie complexity: delays, feedbacks, and non-linearities. Assuming that causes are linked in a linear chain, they concentrate on technological developments (“hard path”) as the only solutions to environmental problems. Adaptive Management is recognized as a promising alternative approach directly addressing links between social and ecological systems and involving stakeholders in the analysis and decision process. This “soft path” requires special tools to facilitate