The Global Knowledge Economy in Question
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Integrated Regional Econometric and Input-Output Modeling
Integrated Regional Econometric and Input-Output Modeling Sergio J. Rey12 Department of Geography San Diego State University San Diego, CA 92182 [email protected] January 1999 1Part of this research was supported by funding from the San Diego State Uni- versity Foundation Defense Conversion Center, which is gratefully acknowledged. 2This paper is dedicated to the memory of Philip R. Israilevich. Abstract Recent research on integrated econometric+input-output modeling for re- gional economies is reviewed. The motivations for and the alternative method- ological approaches to this type of analysis are examined. Particular atten- tion is given to the issues arising from multiregional linkages and spatial effects in the implementation of these frameworks at the sub-national scale. The linkages between integrated modeling and spatial econometrics are out- lined. Directions for future research on integrated econometric and input- output modeling are identified. Key Words: Regional, integrated, econometric, input-output, multire- gional. Integrated Regional Econometric+Input-Output Modeling 1 1 Introduction Since the inception of the field of regional science some forty years ago, the synthesis of different methodological approaches to the study of a region has been a perennial theme. In his original “Channels of Synthesis” Isard conceptualized a number of ways in which different regional analysis tools and techniques relating to particular subsystems of regions could be inte- grated to achieve a comprehensive modeling framework (Isard et al., 1960). As the field of regional science has developed, the term integrated model has been used in a variety of ways. For some scholars, integrated denotes a model that considers more than a single substantive process in a regional context. -
2015: What Is Made in America?
U.S. Department of Commerce Economics and2015: Statistics What is Made Administration in America? Office of the Chief Economist 2015: What is Made in America? In October 2014, we issued a report titled “What is Made in America?” which provided several estimates of the domestic share of the value of U.S. gross output of manufactured goods in 2012. In response to numerous requests for more current estimates, we have updated the report to provide 2015 data. We have also revised the report to clarify the methodological discussion. The original report is available at: www.esa.gov/sites/default/files/whatismadeinamerica_0.pdf. More detailed industry By profiles can be found at: www.esa.gov/Reports/what-made-america. Jessica R. Nicholson Executive Summary Accurately determining how much of our economy’s total manufacturing production is American-made can be a daunting task. However, data from the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) can help shed light on what percentage of the manufacturing sector’s gross output ESA Issue Brief is considered domestic. This report works through several estimates of #01-17 how to measure the domestic content of the U.S. gross output of manufactured goods, starting from the most basic estimates and working up to the more complex estimate, domestic content. Gross output is defined as the value of intermediate goods and services used in production plus the industry’s value added. The value of domestic content, or what is “made in America,” excludes from gross output the value of all foreign-sourced inputs used throughout the supply March 28, 2017 chains of U.S. -
Economics 2 Professor Christina Romer Spring 2019 Professor David Romer LECTURE 16 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE and ECONOMIC GROWTH Ma
Economics 2 Professor Christina Romer Spring 2019 Professor David Romer LECTURE 16 TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH March 19, 2019 I. OVERVIEW A. Two central topics of macroeconomics B. The key determinants of potential output C. The enormous variation in potential output per person across countries and over time D. Discussion of the paper by William Nordhaus II. THE AGGREGATE PRODUCTION FUNCTION A. Decomposition of Y*/POP into normal average labor productivity (Y*/N*) and the normal employment-to-population ratio (N*/POP) B. Determinants of average labor productivity: capital per worker and technology C. What we include in “capital” and “technology” III. EXPLAINING THE VARIATION IN THE LEVEL OF Y*/POP ACROSS COUNTRIES A. Limited contribution of N*/POP B. Crucial role of normal capital per worker (K*/N*) C. Crucial role of technology—especially institutions IV. DETERMINANTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH A. Limited contribution of N*/POP B. Important, but limited contribution of K*/N* C. Crucial role of technological change V. HISTORICAL EVIDENCE OF TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE A. New production techniques B. New goods C. Better institutions VI. SOURCES OF TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS A. Supply and demand diagram for invention B. Factors that could shift the demand and supply curves C. Does the market produce the efficient amount of invention? D. Policies to encourage technological progress Economics 2 Christina Romer Spring 2019 David Romer LECTURE 16 Technological Change and Economic Growth March 19, 2019 Announcements • Problem Set 4 is being handed out. • It is due at the beginning of lecture on Tuesday, April 2. • The ground rules are the same as on previous problem sets. -
East Asia in the Information Economy Opportunities and Challenges
East Asia in the Information Economy Opportunities and challenges Jamus Jerome Lim Jamus Jerome Lim is at the Regional Economic Studies Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Pasir Panjang, Singapore. Keywords Information, Economy, East Asia, information revolution. The reality of the situation is likely to Information technology fall between the extremes of limitless opportunity and Abstract The Information Economy has captured the impossible challenges. This essay seeks to mop away imagination of all levels of society. Yet very often, analyses tend excessive hype and scepticism and to draw lessons from to reflect personal biases or propose incredulous scenarios. objective analysis, based on a multidisciplinary approach. This essay does not seek to rewrite old rules for a new economy; rather, it seeks to provide a balanced perspective on The information economy landscape in East opportunities and challenges facing East Asia, using a Asia multidisciplinary approach. It finds that although these countries The economies of East Asia are a unique as they are diverse. differ in their levels of development in the Information Economy, their prospects of growth depend on the policies that they They range from those seeking to pursue the siren song of choose to pursue. Deliberations on economic issues &such as development to those whose levels of development rival the the potential for productivity gains from ICT), political concerns very best in the world; from economies that have embraced &including the need to cope with changing government-people laissez-faire to those that are now in the throes of transition. dynamics), and social changes &such as the diminution of local In terms of their progress in embracing the Information cultures and the widening digital divide) often involve both costs Economy, however, the economies show a greater degree of as well as benefits. -
The 4 Economic Systems What Is an Economic System?
The 4 Economic Systems What is an Economic System? Economics is the study of how people make decisions given the resources that are provided to them Economics is all about CHOICES, both individual and group choices. We must make choices to provide for our needs and wants. The choices each society or nation selects leads to the creation of their type of economy. 3 Basic Questions Each economic system tries to answer the three basic questions: What should be produced? How it should be produced? For whom should it be produced? How they answer these questions determines the kind of system they have. Four Types of Systems There are four main types of economic systems. The Traditional Economic System The Command Economic System The Market Economic System The Mixed Economic System Each system has its strengths and weaknesses. Traditional Economy In a traditional economy, the customs and habits of the past are used to decide what and how goods will be produced, distributed, and consumed. Each member of society knows from early on what their role in the larger group will be. Jobs are passed down from generation to generation so there is little change in jobs over the generations. In a traditional economy, people are depended upon to fulfill their jobs. If someone fails to do their part, the system can break down. Farming, hunting, and herding are part of a traditional economy. Traditional economies can be found in different indigenous groups. In addition, traditional economies bartering is used for trade. Bartering is trading without money. For example, if an individual has a good and he trades it with another individual for a different good. -
The Information Economy: an Evolution of Approaches
INFORMATION AND ORGANISATION A Tribute to the Work of Don Lamberton S. Macdonald and J. Nightingale (Editors) 109 0 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. THE INFORMATION ECONOMY: AN EVOLUTION OF APPROACHES Sandra Braman Department of Telecommunications and Film, College of Communications, University of Alabama, PO Box 870152, Tuscaloosa, Alabama 35487-0152, USA INTRODUCTION Three processes related to the information economy have been unfolding concurrently, each according to its own dynamics and speed. A series of alternative conceptualizations of the information economy has emerged. The subfield of the economics of information is coalescing out of the merging and expansion of several strands of work in the literatures of economics. And empirical developments - including the appearance of new types of organizational form, shifting market activities, and the sustained production and distribution of goods and services - continue in their own multiple ways, unaware of, and unconcerned about the efforts of scholars to contain them. · The three are, of course, not unrelated. Conceptualizations of the information economy inform the making of policy and interact with the definition, bounding, and attitude of the nascent economics of information. Developments in the economics of information - most profoundly explored by Don Lamberton (1974, 1984, 1992, 1994, 1997)- expand the kit of tools available to analysts and decision-makers in both the public and private sectors. The policies which result are among the structural forces shaping the environment in which economic activities unfold. Thus, these elements are mutually constitutive. The global economy is undergoing a shift from dominance by market relations to dominance by relations within organizations and other forms of networks. -
A Better Measure of Economic Growth: Gross Domestic Output (Gdo)
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ISSUE BRIEF JULY 2015 A BETTER MEASURE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH: GROSS DOMESTIC OUTPUT (GDO) The growth of total economic output affects our assessment of current well-being as well as decisions about the future. Measuring the strength of the economy, however, can be difficult as it depends on surveys and administrative source data that are necessarily imperfect and incomplete. The total output of the economy can be measured in two distinct ways—Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which adds consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports; and Gross Domestic Income (GDI), which adds labor compensation, business profits, and other sources of income. In theory these two measures of output should be identical; however, they differ in practice because of measurement error. With today’s annual revision, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) began publishing a new measure of U.S. output—the “average of GDP and GDI”—which the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) will refer to as Gross Domestic Output (GDO).1 This issue brief describes GDO, reviews its recent trends, and explains why it can be a more accurate measure of current economic growth and a better predictor of future economic growth than either GDP or GDI alone. What is Gross Domestic Output (GDO)? The first estimate of quarterly GDP is released nearly a month after each quarter’s end. Owing to data lags, GDI What we are calling “GDO” is the average of two existing is generally first released nearly two months after series, the headline Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and quarter’s end, along with the second estimate of GDP.2 its lesser-known counterpart, Gross Domestic Income As a result, with today’s advance GDP release, GDI and (GDI). -
Ancient Economic Thought, Volume 1
ANCIENT ECONOMIC THOUGHT This collection explores the interrelationship between economic practice and intellectual constructs in a number of ancient cultures. Each chapter presents a new, richer understanding of the preoccupation of the ancients with specific economic problems including distribution, civic pride, management and uncertainty and how they were trying to resolve them. The research is based around the different artifacts and texts of the ancient East Indian, Hebraic, Greek, Hellenistic, Roman and emerging European cultures which remain for our consideration today: religious works, instruction manuals, literary and historical writings, epigrapha and legal documents. In looking at such items it becomes clear what a different exercise it is to look forward, from the earliest texts and artifacts of any culture, to measure the achievements of thinking in the areas of economics, than it is to take the more frequent route and look backward, beginning with the modern conception of economic systems and theory creation. Presenting fascinating insights into the economic thinking of ancient cultures, this volume will enhance the reawakening of interest in ancient economic history and thought. It will be of great interest to scholars of economic thought and the history of ideas. B.B.Price is Professor of Ancient and Medieval History at York University, Toronto, and is currently doing research and teaching as visiting professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology. ROUTLEDGE STUDIES IN THE HISTORY OF ECONOMICS 1 Economics as Literature -
Input-Output Models and Economic Impact Analysis: What They Can and Cannot Tell Us by Aaron Mcnay, Economist
Montana Economy at a Glance April 2013 Input-Output Models and Economic Impact Analysis: What they can and cannot tell us by Aaron McNay, Economist What economic impacts does a new business have in a region when it first opens its doors? What happens to business creation, or job growth, These questions have at when income taxes are increased or tax credits are least one thing in common, provided to businesses? they can each be examined in detail through a process How much does traffic decline on highways known as economic impact and roads when the price of gasoline increases? analysis. At a basic level, economic impact analysis examines the sectors in the area’s economy. For example, what happens economic effects that a business, project, governmental policy, when an automobile manufacturer increases the number of or economic event has on the economy of a geographic area. cars it produces each month? To increase production, the car At a more detailed level, economic impact models work by manufacturer will need to hire more workers, which directly modeling two economies; one economy where the economic increases total employment in the area. However, the car event being examined occurred and a separate economy manufacturer will also need to purchase more aluminum, steel, where the economic event did not occur. By comparing the and other goods that are used in the manufacturing process. two modeled economies, it is possible to generate estimates As the automobile manufacturer purchases more steel and of the total impact the project, businesses, or policy had on other inputs, the manufacturers of the goods, such as steel an area’s economic output, earnings, and employment. -
The-Great-Depression-Glossary.Pdf
The Great Depression | Glossary of Terms Glossary of Terms Balanced budget – Government revenues equal expenditures on an annual basis. (Lesson 5) Bank failure – When a bank’s liabilities (mainly deposits) exceed the value of its assets. (Lesson 3) Bank panic – When a bank run begins at one bank and spreads to others, causing people to lose confidence in banks. (Lesson 3) Bank reserves – The sum of cash that banks hold in their vaults and the deposits they maintain with Federal Reserve banks. (Lesson 3) Bank run – When many depositors rush to the bank to withdraw their money at the same time. (Lesson 3) Bank suspensions – Comprises all banks closed to the public, either temporarily or permanently, by supervisory authorities or by the banks’ boards of directors because of financial difficulties. Banks that close under a special holiday declaration and remained closed only during the designated holiday are not counted as suspensions. (Lesson 4) Banks – Businesses that accept deposits and make loans. (Lesson 2) Budget deficit – When government expenditures exceed revenues. (Lesson 4) Budget surplus – When government revenues exceed expenditures. (Lesson 4) Consumer confidence – The relationship between how consumers feel about the economy and their spending and saving decisions. (Lesson 5) Consumer Price Index (CPI) – A measure of the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. (Lesson 1) Deflation – A general downward movement of prices for goods and services in an economy. (Lessons 1, 3 and 6) Depression – A very severe recession; a period of severely declining economic activity spread across the economy (not limited to particular sectors or regions) normally visible in a decline in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, wholesale-retail credit and the loss of overall confidence in the economy. -
Fully Dynamic Input-Output/System Dynamics Modeling for Ecological-Economic System Analysis
sustainability Article Fully Dynamic Input-Output/System Dynamics Modeling for Ecological-Economic System Analysis Takuro Uehara 1,* ID , Mateo Cordier 2,3 and Bertrand Hamaide 4 1 College of Policy Science, Ritsumeikan University, 2-150 Iwakura-Cho, Ibaraki City, 567-8570 Osaka, Japan 2 Research Centre Cultures–Environnements–Arctique–Représentations–Climat (CEARC), Université de Versailles-Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UVSQ, 11 Boulevard d’Alembert, 78280 Guyancourt, France; [email protected] 3 Centre d’Etudes Economiques et Sociales de l’Environnement-Centre Emile Bernheim (CEESE-CEB), Université Libre de Bruxelles, 44 Avenue Jeanne, C.P. 124, 1050 Brussels, Belgium 4 Centre de Recherche en Economie (CEREC), Université Saint-Louis, 43 Boulevard du Jardin botanique, 1000 Brussels, Belgium; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected] or [email protected]; Tel.: +81-754663347 Received: 1 May 2018; Accepted: 25 May 2018; Published: 28 May 2018 Abstract: The complexity of ecological-economic systems significantly reduces our ability to investigate their behavior and propose policies aimed at various environmental and/or economic objectives. Following recent suggestions for integrating nonlinear dynamic modeling with input-output (IO) modeling, we develop a fully dynamic ecological-economic model by integrating IO with system dynamics (SD) for better capturing critical attributes of ecological-economic systems. We also develop and evaluate various scenarios using policy impact and policy sensitivity analyses. The model and analysis are applied to the degradation of fish nursery habitats by industrial harbors in the Seine estuary (Haute-Normandie region, France). The modeling technique, dynamization, and scenarios allow us to show trade-offs between economic and ecological outcomes and evaluate the impacts of restoration scenarios and water quality improvement on the fish population. -
Different Economic Systems Assessment
Social Studies Assessment Activity #14 DDIIFFFFEERREENNTT EECCOONNOOMMIICC SSYYSSTTEEMMSS Introduction The new cars and trucks have arrived! Should you buy a medium-sized car? As you may know, they are efficient and more economical to operate than a truck. But the new pickups are so flashy, and they offer all the conveniences of a car! Decisions! Decisions! Decisions! Speaking of decisions, can you even afford a new vehicle? If you don’t have enough cash, you’ll have to finance. Financing or borrowing means another monthly payment -- one that could put a damper on your future recreational spending. Perhaps you better think about this further. Making a decision to buy a new vehicle can be difficult and there are several options available. Our “market driven” economy allows privately owned corporations to produce many styles of vehicles to meet the needs and interests of the American consumer. Purchasing a new vehicle means selecting a specific make and model that comes equipped with the latest in “gadgetry.” Additionally, one must select from a wide range of colors. Obviously, purchasing a new vehicle involves more than one decision, but at least we have the freedom to make those choices. Do people living in other countries go through the same process when they consider buying a new vehicle? In some countries they do, in others they don’t. Economic systems differ. As such, making economic decisions in some countries is quite different from economic decisions that are made by Americans. In this activity, you will: Use the resources you have accumulated to write an essay that analyzes the similarities and differences between two economic systems.