The Ricardian Law of Diminishing Returns. A ew Interpretation . Leveraging productivity to drive globalization. Lucy Badalian — Victor Krivorotov 11501 Maple Ridge Rd Reston VA 20190 Millennium Workshop, USA
[email protected] Abstract . The 2009 IMF report found notable differences between the pre- and post-1985 busts in their ratios of capital/labor. According to historical trends it cited, the recent extreme financialization may cloud our mid-term recovery prospects. The Market Pendulum Model (further MPM) stresses the importance and fluidity of interrelationship between traditional factors of production: land, labor, capital and entrepreneurship. MPM shows the difference between productivity-factors during demand shocks, such as today, and supply shocks (the 1970s-80s). It traces the causal roots of the financialization in market’s compensation for failing fundamentals, the direct result of the Ricardian Law of Diminishing Returns (further RLDR). Keywords : Ricardian Law of Diminishing Returns, financialization, financial crisis, demand shocks/demand shortages, supply shocks/supply shortages, ratio of capital/labor. JEL codes: E1, E20. E5, E6. 1. Introduction. The Interrelationship between Various Factors of Production as a Potential Predictive Tool. The October 2009 report of the IMF showcased the importance of the hitherto under- researched area of the inter-relationship between factors of production, which, in its opinion, holds significant predictive power as to the length and severity of the unfolding recession. It found that the growth in productivity since 1985 was accompanied by a rapid rise in the ratios of capital to labor. Earlier research noted other specific patterns of labor productivity. Among them, the wavelike behavior of multifactor productivity growth, which peaked in 1928-50 and slowed gradually, both when moving back to 1870-91 and forth to 1972-96 (Gordon 2004).