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California High Speed Rail CHSR Side-By-Side

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California High Speed Rail CHSR Side-By-Side Los Angeles County One Gateway Plaza 213.922.2000 Tel Metropolitan Transportation Authority Los Angeles, CA 90012-2952 metro.net ®Metro January 10, 2020 TO: BOARD OF DIRECTORS THROUGH: PHILLIP A. WASHINGTON CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER J FROM: RICHARD CLARKE R. f (_ CHIEF PROGRAM MANAGEMENT OFFICER SUBJECT: CALIFORNIA HIGH SPEED RAIL SIDE BY SIDE COMPARISON ISSUE On May 23, 2019, Directors Najarian, Solis, Barger, Butts and Krekorian directed the Chief Executive Officer to continue monitoring any future developments regarding "bookend" high speed rail investments and report back. Staff is providing a summary of the California High-Speed Rail Authority's (CAHSR) Draft Qualitative Report on "Side by Side Comparison: Southern California High-Speed Rail Financial Study, Peninsula Corridor Financial Study, Central Valley Segment Financial Study" dated October 31, 2019. The CAHSR's Draft Qualitative Report is included as Attachment A to this board box for additional information. DISCUSSION The CAHSR staff completed their California High-Speed Rail Early Train Operator Draft Qualitative Report: "Side by Side Comparison: Southern California High-Speed Rail Financial Study, Peninsula Corridor Financial Study, Central Valley Segment Financial Study" dated October 31, 2019. The Draft Qualitative Report consists of defining parameters, identifying stakeholders and gathering data in Northern, Central and Southern California corridors; establishing operating concepts for Regional Rail and High Speed Rail (HSR) operations and providing preliminary conclusions of the Southern California corridor and how it compares with the Northern California and Central Valley Corridors. Northern California The Northern California shared corridor is approximately 77 miles from the 4th/King Street Station in San Francisco to the City of Gilroy. In Northern California under the existing condition, there are five (5) bi-directional Caltrain diesel hauled services per hour during peak periods. The partial HSR infrastructure investments estimated at $4.1 billion will enable full electric operation and enable an increase of Caltrain services from five (5) to eight (8) bi­ directional Caltrain trains per hour during peak periods with a 22 percent increase in ridership. The full HSR infrastructure investment in Northern California requires an additional $3.1 billion to enable two (2) additional HSR services hourly during peak periods for a total ten (10) trains north of the City of San Jose which is the mid-point betweenSan Francisco and Gilroy. The total full HSR investments for Northern California is estimated at $7.2 billion and does not include costs for HSR rolling stock which have yet to be determined by HSR, but will be provided in the final HSR report and draft HSR business plan by February 2020. This draftHSR report concludes the HSR investments of $7.2 million will have incremental benefits in Northern California Corridor with an eight (8) percent increase in ridership for HSR servingfour ( 4) out of 29 Caltrain stations per weekday on top of the 22 percent increase in Caltrain ridership when compared to the future no-build HSR. Central Valley Corridor The Central Valley dedicated corridor is approximately 171 miles and spans from the City of Merced to the City of Bakersfield. In the Central Valley, the existing capital cost as approved by CAHSR is $15.6 billion for one San Joaquin diesel hauled train service every other hour between the cities of Madera and Poplar to fill the rail servicegaps between Merced to Bakersfield. Currently, Amtrak trains serve Merced to Madera and Poplar to Bakersfield. This study states no partial HSR infrastructure investments are proposed for Merced to Madera and Poplar to Bakersfield. The draft HSR report concludes the full HSR investment for the Central Valley Corridor at $4.1 billion will provide one bi-directional HSR electric train service during the peak periods from Merced to Bakersfield. With an additional $700 million for rolling stock, the total cost for a full HSR investment in Central Valley Corridor is approximately $4.8 billion. The full HSR investment proposed Central Valley Corridor is expected to have a ninety-two (92) percent increase in ridership compared to the future no build. Southern California Corridor The Southern California corridor is 44 miles bounded by the Burbank Airport (underground) Station to the Anaheim Station. The Southern California corridor provides three (3) bi-directional regional network diesel hauled train services per hour and one ( 1) express diesel hauled train service every other hour by Amtrak or Metrolink during the peak periods. A partial HSR infrastructure investment of $6.8 billion would enable six (6) bi-directional regional network diesel hauled services and two (2) express services diesel hauled train service per hour during the peak periods. With an additional HSR infrastructure investment of $5.6 billion forhigh level platforms, Burbank Airportunderground station, Anaheim stub terminal tracks, and Los Angeles Union Station storage tracks to enable two (2) bi-directional HSR electric train service during the peak periods. The full HSR infrastructure investment is approximately $12.4 billion forthe Southern CA HIGH SPEED RAIL SIDE BY SIDE COMPARISON 2 California corridor. It is important to note, the total cost does not include costs for HSR rolling stock which have yet to be determined by HSR, but will be provided in the final HSR report and draftHSR business plan by February 2020. An illustrative view of the incremental infrastructure and service improvements for Southern Californiacorridor is shown in Table 1. Table 1: Breakdown of Southern California Infrastructure Im rovements and Service Existing Infrastructure HSR Infrastructure from HSR Operations from Burbank to Anaheim Burbank to Anaheim Up to 84 trains per day Up to 140 trains per day Up to 140 trains plus 52 from Los Angeles to from Los Angeles to HSR trains per day from Fullerton Fullerton Los An eles to Fullerton Existing LA Union Station 8/9 run-through tracks 8/9 run-through tracks at LAUS O eration at LAUS LAUS 0.5 Express and 3 2 Express and 6 2 Express and 6 Regional Regional Rail Network Regional Rail Network Rail Network Diesel Diesel hauled trains per Diesel hauled trains per hauled trains and 2 HSR hour during the peak hour during the peak electric trains per hour eriods eriods durin the eak eriods Source: HSR Side-by-Side Comparison DraftQualitative Report, October 31, 2019 It is important to note, the total HSR infrastructure investment in Southern Californiaof $12.4 billion does not include the cost for Metro's Link Union Station Phase B which is estimated at approximately $2 billion. Staffwill work with HSR to fund the Link Union Station Project. Side by Side Comparison The draftreport indicates that the partial HSR investments in the Central Valley at $4.8 billon which is assumed to be potentially available could contribute to one of the three study corridors (Northern, Central and Southern). The HSR infrastructure investment costs include the year of expenditure dollars from mid­ point of construction to inflate the cost to future dollars. The report summary findings state, apartfrom HSR investments made in Southern California for the Rosecrans/Marquardt Grade Separation Project and LINK Union Station Phase A project, there are no committed funding plans for CAHSR early investments in the Southern Californiacorridor. The HSR draft report states a shiftof capital spending fromongoing project implementation in the Central Valley corridor will not be sufficient to cover the investments needed forNorthern and Southern California corridors (refer to Table 2: Preliminiary HSR Findings between Sutdy Corridors Table 2: Preliminary HSR Findings between Study Corridors CA HIGH SPEED RAIL SIDE BY SIDE COMPARISON 3 Northern Frequency, Incremental $4.1 to $7.2 Maybe at 110 mph California Slightly Increased billion + rolling S eed, · All electric stock Central Frequency, Full Significant $4.8 billion Yes at 220 mph Valley High Speed, 90 minute travel time savings, All electric Southern Frequency, Incremental $6.8 to $12.4 Unlikely at 110 to California Slightly Increased billion + rolling 125 mph Speed, HSR stock electrfc onl Source: HSR Side-by-Side Comparison DraftQualitative Report, October 31, 2019 NEXT STEPS When the HSR final report is released in February 2020, staffwill provide a final update. ATTACHMENT Attachment A - CAHSR Early Train Operator Side by Side Comparison CA HIGH SPEED RAIL SIDE BY SIDE COMPARISON 4 CALIFORNIA HIGH-SPEED RAIL EARLY TRAIN OPERATOR Side-By-Side Comparison: Southern California High-Speed Rail Financial Study, Peninsula Corridor Financial Study, Central Valley Segment Financial Study Draft Qualitative Report, October 31, 2019 Approvals Name Position Signature Date DB E&C USA, Lead Prepared Stefan Reul Original Signed on Transportation Expert October 30, 2019 DB E&C USA VP & Original Signed on Verified Jorge Rios ETO Project Director October 30, 2019 CHSRA Financial Original Signed on Reviewed Thierry Prate Advisor October 30, 2019 Original Signed on Paul Neal CHSRA ETO Reviewed Commercial Director October 30, 2019 CHSRA ETO Contract Manager/ Director of Approved Bruce Armistead Original Signed on Operations & October 30, 2019 Maintenance CHSRA Chief of Rail Original Signed on Approved Frank Vacca Operations October 30, 2019 CHSRA Chief Original Signed on Approved Brian Annis Financial Officer November 8, 2019 This document and its contents are the property of Document
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