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Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse
CHILDREN AND FAMILIES The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that EDUCATION AND THE ARTS helps improve policy and decisionmaking through ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT research and analysis. HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE This electronic document was made available from INFRASTRUCTURE AND www.rand.org as a public service of the RAND TRANSPORTATION Corporation. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS LAW AND BUSINESS NATIONAL SECURITY Skip all front matter: Jump to Page 16 POPULATION AND AGING PUBLIC SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Support RAND Purchase this document TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY Browse Reports & Bookstore Make a charitable contribution For More Information Visit RAND at www.rand.org Explore the RAND National Security Research Division View document details Limited Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law as indicated in a notice appearing later in this work. This electronic representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for non-commercial use only. Unauthorized posting of RAND electronic documents to a non-RAND website is prohibited. RAND electronic documents are protected under copyright law. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of our research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please see RAND Permissions. This report is part of the RAND Corporation research report series. RAND reports present research findings and objective analysis that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors. All RAND reports undergo rigorous peer review to ensure high standards for re- search quality and objectivity. Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse Bruce W. Bennett C O R P O R A T I O N NATIONAL SECURITY RESEARCH DIVISION Preparing for the Possibility of a North Korean Collapse Bruce W. -
North Korea-South Korea Relations: Never Mind the Nukes?
North Korea-South Korea Relations: Never Mind The Nukes? Aidan Foster-Carter Leeds University, UK Almost a year after charges that North Korea has a second, covert nuclear program plunged the Peninsula into intermittent crisis, inter-Korean ties appear surprisingly unaffected. The past quarter saw sustained and brisk exchanges on many fronts, seemingly regardless of this looming shadow. Although Pyongyang steadfastly refuses to discuss the nuclear issue with Seoul bilaterally, the fact that six-party talks on this topic were held in Beijing in late August – albeit with no tangible progress, nor even any assurance that such dialogue will continue – is perhaps taken (rightly or wrongly) as meaning the issue is now under control. At all events, between North and South Korea it is back to business as usual – or even full steam ahead. While (at least in this writer’s view) closer inter-Korean relations are in themselves a good thing, one can easily imagine scenarios in which this process may come into conflict with U.S. policy. Should the six-party process fail or break down, or if Pyongyang were to test a bomb or declare itself a nuclear power, then there would be strong pressure from Washington for sanctions in some form. Indeed, alongside the six- way process, the U.S. is already pursuing an interdiction policy with its Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), which Japan has joined but South Korea, pointedly, has not. Relinking of cross-border roads and railways, or the planned industrial park at Kaesong (with power and water from the South), are examples of initiatives which might founder, were the political weather around the Peninsula to turn seriously chilly. -
The Report of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel
The Report of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel The Report of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel June 2021 Volume 1 HC 11-I Return to an Address of the Honourable the House of Commons dated 15th June 2021 for The Report of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel Volume 1 Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed on 15th June 2021 HC 11-I © Crown copyright 2021 This publication is licensed under the terms of the Open Government Licence v3.0 except where otherwise stated. To view this licence, visit nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3. Where we have identified any third party copyright information you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. This publication is available at www.gov.uk/official-documents. Any enquiries regarding this publication should be sent to us at [email protected]. ISBN 978-1-5286-2479-4 Volume 1 of 3 CCS0220047602 06/21 Printed on paper containing 75% recycled fibre content minimum Printed in the UK by the APS Group on behalf of the Controller of Her Majesty’s Stationery Office Daniel Morgan Independent Panel Daniel Morgan Independent Panel Home Office 2 Marsham Street London SW1P 4DF Rt Hon Priti Patel MP Home Secretary Home Office 2 Marsham Street London SW1P 4DF May 2021 Dear Home Secretary On behalf of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel, I am pleased to present you with our Report for publication in Parliament. The establishment of the Daniel Morgan Independent Panel was announced by the Home Secretary, the Rt Hon Theresa May MP, on 10 May 2013 in a written statement to the House of Commons. -
The British Commonwealth and Allied Naval Forces' Operation with the Anti
THE BRITISH COMMONWEALTH AND ALLIED NAVAL FORCES’ OPERATION WITH THE ANTI-COMMUNIST GUERRILLAS IN THE KOREAN WAR: WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO THE OPERATION ON THE WEST COAST By INSEUNG KIM A dissertation submitted to The University of Birmingham For the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY School of History and Cultures College of Arts and Law The University of Birmingham May 2018 University of Birmingham Research Archive e-theses repository This unpublished thesis/dissertation is copyright of the author and/or third parties. The intellectual property rights of the author or third parties in respect of this work are as defined by The Copyright Designs and Patents Act 1988 or as modified by any successor legislation. Any use made of information contained in this thesis/dissertation must be in accordance with that legislation and must be properly acknowledged. Further distribution or reproduction in any format is prohibited without the permission of the copyright holder. ABSTRACT This thesis examines the British Commonwealth and Allied Naval forces operation on the west coast during the final two and a half years of the Korean War, particularly focused on their co- operation with the anti-Communist guerrillas. The purpose of this study is to present a more realistic picture of the United Nations (UN) naval forces operation in the west, which has been largely neglected, by analysing their activities in relation to the large number of irregular forces. This thesis shows that, even though it was often difficult and frustrating, working with the irregular groups was both strategically and operationally essential to the conduct of the war, and this naval-guerrilla relationship was of major importance during the latter part of the naval campaign. -
In the Supreme Court of Florida Jason Andrew
IN THE SUPREME COURT OF FLORIDA JASON ANDREW SIMPSON, Appellant, v. Case No. SC07-0798 STATE OF FLORIDA, Appellee. ON APPEAL FROM THE CIRCUIT COURT OF THE FOURTH JUDICIAL CIRCUIT, IN AND FOR DUVAL COUNTY, FLORIDA ANSWER BRIEF OF APPELLEE BILL McCOLLUM ATTORNEY GENERAL STEPHEN R. WHITE ASSISTANT ATTORNEY GENERAL Florida Bar No. 159089 Office of the Attorney General PL-01, The Capitol Tallahassee, Fl 32399-1050 (850) 414-3300 Ext. 4579 (850) 487-0997 (FAX) COUNSEL FOR APPELLEE TABLE OF CONTENTS PAGE# TABLE OF CONTENTS ................................................... i TABLE OF CITATIONS ............................................... iii PRELIMINARY STATEMENT .............................................. 1 STATEMENT OF THE CASE AND FACTS ..................................... 1 SUMMARY OF ARGUMENT ................................................ 14 ARGUMENT ISSUE I: ISSUES I THROUGH IV: DID THE TRIAL COURT REVERSIBLY ERR IN ITS HANDLING OF JUROR CODY'S POST GUILTY-VERDICT STATEMENTS? .................................................... 15 A. Overview of Juror Cody-related claims ..................... 16 B. Contextual timeline ....................................... 16 C. Applicable preservation principles ........................ 18 D. Judge's Order ............................................. 19 E. Simpson's self-serving inference of Juror Cody's timidness ................................................. 21 ISSUE I: DID THE TRIAL COURT UNREASONABLY DENY A MOTION FOR NEW TRIAL WHERE, OVER A WEEK AFTER THE GUILTY VERDICT WAS RENDERED -
North Korea: a Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020
North Korea: A Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020 May 5, 2020 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R46349 North Korea: A Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020 Contents Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 1 Chronology ...................................................................................................................................... 3 1994 ........................................................................................................................................... 3 1998 ........................................................................................................................................... 3 2003 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2005 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2006 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2007 ........................................................................................................................................... 5 2009 ........................................................................................................................................... 5 2011 .......................................................................................................................................... -
Murder and Women in 19Th-Century America Trial Accounts in the Yale Law Library
Murder and Women in 19th-Century America Trial Accounts in the Yale Law Library Lillian Goldman Law Library, Yale Law School Murder and Women in 19th-Century America Trial Accounts in the Yale Law Library An exhibition curated by Emma Molina Widener & Michael Widener November 19, 2014 – February 21, 2015 Lillian Goldman Law Library, Yale Law School New Haven, Connecticut Emma Molina Widener retired in December 2014 after Michael Widener is the Rare Book Librarian at the Lillian twenty years teaching college Spanish at the University of Goldman Law Library, Yale Law School, and is on the faculty Texas, Austin Community College, the University of New of the Rare Book School, University of Virginia. He was previ- Haven, Yale University, and most recently at Southern Con- ously Head of Special Collections at the Tarlton Law Library, necticut State University. Her bachelor’s degree is in politi- University of Texas at Austin. He has a bachelor’s degree in cal science and public administration from the Universidad journalism and a master’s in library & information science, Nacional Autónoma de México. From the University of Texas both from the University of Texas at Austin. at Austin she has a master’s in library science, a Certificate of Advanced Study in Latin American libraries & archives, a master’s in Latin American Studies, and A.B.D. in Spanish literature. She worked as a librarian at El Colegio de Mexico and at the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México before going to the Office of the President of Mexico, where she was in charge of the Presidential Library. -
New Evidence on the Korean War
176 COLD WAR INTERNATIONAL HISTORY PROJECT BULLETIN 11 New Evidence on the Korean War Editor’s note: The documents featured in this section of the Bulletin present new evidence on the allegations that the United States used bacteriological weapons during the Korean War. In the accompanying commentaries, historian Kathryn Weathersby and scientist Milton Leitenberg (University of Maryland) provide analysis, context and interpretation of these documents. Unlike other documents published in the Bulletin, these documents, first obtained and published (in Japanese) by the Japanese newspaper Sankei Shimbun, have not been authenticated by access to the archival originals (or even photocopies thereof). The documents were copied by hand in the Russian Presidential Archive in Moscow, then typed. Though both commentators believe them to be genuine based on textual analysis, questions about the authenticity of the documents, as the commentators note, will remain until the original documents become available in the archives. Copies of the typed transcription (in Russian) have been deposited at the National Security Archive, a non-governmental research institute and repository of declassified documents based at George Washington University (Gelman Library, Suite 701; 2130 H St., NW; Washington, DC 20037; tel: 202/994-7000; fax: 202/ 994-7005) and are accessible to researchers. CWIHP welcomes the discussion of these new findings and encourages the release of the originals and additional materials on the issue from Russian, Chinese, Korean and U.S. archives. Deceiving the Deceivers: Moscow, Beijing, Pyongyang, and the Allegations of Bacteriological Weapons Use in Korea By Kathryn Weathersby n January 1998 the Japanese newspaper Sankei raised by their irregular provenance? Their style and form Shimbun published excerpts from a collection of do not raise suspicion. -
Military Transformation on the Korean Peninsula: Technology Versus Geography
THE UNIVERSITY OF HULL Military Transformation on the Korean Peninsula: Technology Versus Geography Being a Thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy At the University of Hull By Soon Ho Lee BA, Sungkyunkwan University, Republic of Korea, 2004 MA, The University of Birmingham, United Kingdom, 2005 MRes, King’s College London, United Kingdom, 2006 1 Acknowledgement I am the most grateful to my Supervisor Dr. David Lonsdale for his valuable academic advice and support during the long PhD journey. To reach this stage, I have had invaluable support from my family back in Korea and my dear wife Jin Heon. I would also like to thank my family for being so patient while I was researching. During this journey, I have obtained a precious jewel in my daughter, Da Hyeon. I will pray for you all my life. I would like to give special thanks to my late grandfather who gave me the greatest love, and taught me the importance of family. 2 Thesis Summary This thesis provides an explanation of one RMA issue: the effectiveness of contemporary military technology against tough geography, based upon case studies in the Korean peninsula. The originality of the thesis is that it will provide a sound insight for potential foes’ approach to the dominant US military power (superior technology and sustenance of war). The North Korean defence strategy – using their edge in geography and skill – tried to protect themselves from the dominant US power, but it may be impossible to deter or defeat them with technological superiority alone. -
South Korea North Korea at a Glance: 2001-02
COUNTRY REPORT South Korea North Korea At a glance: 2001-02 OVERVIEW The leader of the opposition Grand National Party (GNP), Lee Hoi-chang, still looks well placed to win the end-2002 presidential election. The constitution may be amended to allow presidents to serve more than one term. The harder line taken by the new Bush administration towards North Korea may give the North an excuse to slow rapprochement with the South. Real GDP growth in South Korea will slow from 8.8% in 2000 to 3.7% in 2001, before accelerating slightly to 4.7% in 2002. Net trade will make a neutral contribution to GDP growth in 2001 and a negative contribution in 2002. Consumer price inflation will average 3.6% in 2001 and 1.7% in 2002. Lower world oil prices, the won‘s appreciation against the US dollar and the deflationary impact of economic reforms will all moderate inflationary pressures. Key changes from last month Political outlook • The tiny Democratic People‘s Party joined the ruling coalition in March, giving the government a slim majority in the National Assembly (parliament). Economic policy outlook • The Bank of Korea (the central bank) maintained its target interest rate, the overnight call rate, at 5% at its April monetary policy meeting, citing concerns over rising inflationary pressures. Economic forecast • The EIU has revised upwards its forecast for consumer price inflation in 2001 to reflect faster than expected inflation in the first quarter of the year. But we continue to believe that inflation will moderate over the forecast period. May 2001 The Economist Intelligence Unit 15 Regent St, London SW1Y 4LR United Kingdom The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Intelligence Unit is a specialist publisher serving companies establishing and managing operations across national borders. -
South Korea's Economic Engagement Toward North Korea
South Korea’s Economic Engagement toward North Korea Lee Sangkeun & Moon Chung-in 226 | Joint U.S.-Korea Academic Studies On February 10, 2016, the South Korean government announced the closure of the Gaeseong Industrial Complex, a symbol of its engagement policy and inter-Korean rapprochement. The move was part of its proactive, unilateral sanctions against North Korea’s fourth nuclear test in January and rocket launch in February.1 Pyongyang reciprocated by expelling South Korean personnel working in the industrial complex and declaring it a military control zone.2 Although the May 24, 2010 measure following the sinking of the Cheonan naval vessel significantly restricted inter-Korea exchanges and cooperation, the Seoul government spared the Gaeseong complex. With its closure, however, inter-Korean economic relations came to a complete halt, and no immediate signs of revival of Seoul’s economic engagement with the North can be detected. This chapter aims at understanding the rise and decline of this engagement with North Korea by comparing the progressive decade of Kim Dae-jung (KDJ) and Roh Moo-hyun (RMH) with the conservative era of Lee Myung-bak (LMB) and Park Geun-hye (PGH). It also looks to the future of inter-Korean relations by examining three plausible scenarios of economic engagement. Section one presents a brief overview of the genesis of Seoul’s economic engagement strategy in the early 1990s, section two examines this engagement during the progressive decade (1998-2007), and section three analyzes that of the conservative era (2008-2015). They are followed by a discussion of three possible outlooks on the future of Seoul’s economic engagement with Pyongyang. -
General Assembly Security Council Seventy-First Session Seventy-Second Year Agenda Item 61 Peacebuilding and Sustaining Peace
United Nations A/71/843–S/2017/192 General Assembly Distr.: General 20 March 2017 Security Council Original: English General Assembly Security Council Seventy-first session Seventy-second year Agenda item 61 Peacebuilding and sustaining peace Identical letters dated 6 March 2017 from the Permanent Representative of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea to the United Nations addressed to the Secretary-General and the President of the Security Council I have the honour herewith to transmit a letter with regard to aggressive joint military exercises staged by the United States and south Korea against the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) from the date of 1 March 2017, in disregard of repeated warnings by the Government of DPRK and strong protests and condemnations from internal and external communities. These joint military exercises being staged by the United States in south Korea are the most undisguised nuclear war manoeuvres, to drive the Korean Peninsula and the rest of the North-East Asia region into nuclear disaster. This is to mention that all different kinds of strategic assets of the United States, not only nuclear propelled aircraft carriers but also nuclear submarines, nuclear strategic bombers and stealth fighters, are all massively enlisted in these joint military exercises, Key Resolve and Foal Eagle, to wage actual war drills in accordance with a nuclear pre-emptive plan to attack DPRK by surprise. Nobody could vouch whether, when the war drills kicked off after the introduction of a lot of nuclear strike means and huge forces into south Korea and the waters, it may go over to an actual war and, consequently, the situation on the Korean Peninsula is again inching to the brink of a nuclear war.