General Assembly Security Council Seventy-First Session Seventy-Second Year Agenda Item 61 Peacebuilding and Sustaining Peace
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South Korea Section 3
DEFENSE WHITE PAPER Message from the Minister of National Defense The year 2010 marked the 60th anniversary of the outbreak of the Korean War. Since the end of the war, the Republic of Korea has made such great strides and its economy now ranks among the 10-plus largest economies in the world. Out of the ashes of the war, it has risen from an aid recipient to a donor nation. Korea’s economic miracle rests on the strength and commitment of the ROK military. However, the threat of war and persistent security concerns remain undiminished on the Korean Peninsula. North Korea is threatening peace with its recent surprise attack against the ROK Ship CheonanDQGLWV¿ULQJRIDUWLOOHU\DW<HRQS\HRQJ Island. The series of illegitimate armed provocations by the North have left a fragile peace on the Korean Peninsula. Transnational and non-military threats coupled with potential conflicts among Northeast Asian countries add another element that further jeopardizes the Korean Peninsula’s security. To handle security threats, the ROK military has instituted its Defense Vision to foster an ‘Advanced Elite Military,’ which will realize the said Vision. As part of the efforts, the ROK military complemented the Defense Reform Basic Plan and has UHYDPSHGLWVZHDSRQSURFXUHPHQWDQGDFTXLVLWLRQV\VWHP,QDGGLWLRQLWKDVUHYDPSHGWKHHGXFDWLRQDOV\VWHPIRURI¿FHUVZKLOH strengthening the current training system by extending the basic training period and by taking other measures. The military has also endeavored to invigorate the defense industry as an exporter so the defense economy may develop as a new growth engine for the entire Korean economy. To reduce any possible inconveniences that Koreans may experience, the military has reformed its defense rules and regulations to ease the standards necessary to designate a Military Installation Protection Zone. -
North Korea: a Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020
North Korea: A Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020 May 5, 2020 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R46349 North Korea: A Chronology of Events from 2016 to 2020 Contents Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 1 Chronology ...................................................................................................................................... 3 1994 ........................................................................................................................................... 3 1998 ........................................................................................................................................... 3 2003 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2005 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2006 ........................................................................................................................................... 4 2007 ........................................................................................................................................... 5 2009 ........................................................................................................................................... 5 2011 .......................................................................................................................................... -
Assuring South Korea and Japan As the Role and Number of U.S. Nuclear Weapons Are Reduced
Assuring South Korea and Japan as the Role and Number of U.S. Nuclear Weapons are Reduced Michael H. Keifer, Project Manager Advanced Systems and Concepts Office Defense Threat Reduction Agency Prepared by Kurt Guthe Thomas Scheber National Institute for Public Policy January 2011 The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, the Department of Defense, or the United States Government. This report is approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. Defense Threat Reduction Agency Advanced Systems and Concepts Office Report Number ASCO 2011 003 Contract Number MIPR 10-2621M The mission of the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) is to safeguard America and its allies from weapons of mass destruction (chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and high explosives) by providing capabilities to reduce, eliminate, and counter the threat, and mitigate its effects. The Advanced Systems and Concepts Office (ASCO) supports this mission by providing long-term rolling horizon perspectives to help DTRA leadership identify, plan, and persuasively communicate what is needed in the near term to achieve the longer-term goals inherent in the agency’s mission. ASCO also emphasizes the identification, integration, and further development of leading strategic thinking and analysis on the most intractable problems related to combating weapons of mass destruction. For further information on this project, or on ASCO’s broader research program, please contact: Defense Threat Reduction Agency Advanced Systems and Concepts Office 8725 John J. Kingman Road Ft. Belvoir, VA 22060-6201 [email protected] Table of Contents Introduction...................................................................................................................... -
South Korea: Defense White Paper 2010
DEFENSE WHITE PAPER Message from the Minister of National Defense The year 2010 marked the 60th anniversary of the outbreak of the Korean War. Since the end of the war, the Republic of Korea has made such great strides and its economy now ranks among the 10-plus largest economies in the world. Out of the ashes of the war, it has risen from an aid recipient to a donor nation. Korea’s economic miracle rests on the strength and commitment of the ROK military. However, the threat of war and persistent security concerns remain undiminished on the Korean Peninsula. North Korea is threatening peace with its recent surprise attack against the ROK Ship CheonanDQGLWV¿ULQJRIDUWLOOHU\DW<HRQS\HRQJ Island. The series of illegitimate armed provocations by the North have left a fragile peace on the Korean Peninsula. Transnational and non-military threats coupled with potential conflicts among Northeast Asian countries add another element that further jeopardizes the Korean Peninsula’s security. To handle security threats, the ROK military has instituted its Defense Vision to foster an ‘Advanced Elite Military,’ which will realize the said Vision. As part of the efforts, the ROK military complemented the Defense Reform Basic Plan and has UHYDPSHGLWVZHDSRQSURFXUHPHQWDQGDFTXLVLWLRQV\VWHP,QDGGLWLRQLWKDVUHYDPSHGWKHHGXFDWLRQDOV\VWHPIRURI¿FHUVZKLOH strengthening the current training system by extending the basic training period and by taking other measures. The military has also endeavored to invigorate the defense industry as an exporter so the defense economy may develop as a new growth engine for the entire Korean economy. To reduce any possible inconveniences that Koreans may experience, the military has reformed its defense rules and regulations to ease the standards necessary to designate a Military Installation Protection Zone. -
North Korea's Diplomatic Strategy, 2018
North Korea’s Diplomatic Strategy, 2018 Mark Tokola 308 | Joint U.S.-Korea Academic Studies With an outbreak of diplomacy under way for the Korean Peninsula, a review of North Korea’s approach to negotiations is timely. A summit between North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and South Korean President Moon Jae-in was held on April 27. President Trump has accepted an invitation to meet with Kim Jong-un.1 The secretive nature of the North Korean state makes it difficult to assess how it will engage with and what it expects to gain from talks with the international community—not just with the United States and South Korea, but with China, Japan, Russia, the EU, and others. However, its past behavior, official statements, the testimony of defectors, and the expert opinion of North Korea watchers can provide helpful insights. This chapter presents a brief history of talks and agreements with North Korea prior to the inauguration of Trump, followed by an overview of North Korea’s diplomatic outreach in 2018 to date. It then presents indicators as to what North Korean diplomacy may look like through the rest of the year based on assessments of its stated and implicit objectives—ends it would wish to attain in any event, either through diplomacy or by coercion. I conclude with a list of key upcoming dates and scenarios describing how North Korean diplomacy may play out for the remainder of 2018. North Korea’s recent diplomatic moves mark an abrupt policy change. During 2017, it carried out in defiance of UN Security Council resolutions three test flights of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs); conducted its fifth and sixth underground nuclear tests, the latter being the most powerful to date and almost certainly thermonuclear; threatened an “unimaginable attack” against the United States;2 and officially announced that it would “never give up its nuclear weapons.”3 If North Korea is indeed now willing to negotiate denuclearization with the United States and South Korea, its diplomacy can at least be described as agile. -
Korean Peninsula: State of Play Further Uncertainty Follows Period of Hope
BRIEFING Korean peninsula: State of play Further uncertainty follows period of hope SUMMARY North Korea and South Korea have been on different paths since World War II. The North has remained isolated and poor, its regime inspired by Soviet structures, with a centrally planned economy. The South, meanwhile, after alternating periods of autocratic and democratic rule, made a clear choice at the end of the 1980s in favour of democracy and a market economy, a choice that has led the country to success in several sectors. North and South Korea are still technically at war, as the military conflict of 1950-1953 ended with an armistice that was never followed by a peace treaty. There are 28 500 US (United States) soldiers stationed in South Korea, which signed a Mutual Defence Treaty with Washington in 1953. There have been frequent tensions over the past 70 years, and North Korea has become a de facto nuclear power since the 2000s, prompting international sanctions. Early in 2018 a detente raised hopes of peace. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un met with US President Donald Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in, but the summits have led neither to the denuclearisation of the Korean peninsula, nor to the easing of sanctions against the North. Pyongyang's frustration provoked new tensions in the region in June 2020, when the North, in a symbolic move, destroyed the liaison office in the border area, the de facto embassy of the two Koreas. But Kim's options seem limited at present, and there is little chance of progress until after the US presidential elections. -
WAR and PEACE in the HORNET Updated 0630/2016
WAR and PEACE in the HORNET Updated 0630/2016 The Fist’s “marriage” with the CORSAIR II lasted just 15 years before transitioning to the F/A-18 Hornet. The Marines fielded their first Hornet squadron, VMFA-314, in January 1983. Some six months later, VFA-113 and VFA-25 were the first customers at VFA-125, the West Coast Hornet training squadron. The Fists received their first Hornet on 11 November, an important date in Fist History, and reported to CVW-14 in January 1984. As of 2012, the squadron has flown the Hornet longer than any other assigned aircraft (only 21 years in the SPAD). Editor: The following chronology is incomplete in some periods, pending access to additional command reports. Inputs are welcome: [email protected] CHRONOLOGY 1983 Commander in Chief - Ronald Reagan. 1 January The Squadron’s 40th birthday. 1 January VA-25 began the year serving under the command of Captain D. W. Baird, Commander, Carrier Air Wing Two, and under the operational control of Commodore D. B. Cargill, Commander Light Attack Wing, U. S. Pacific Fleet. 7 January The first F/A-18 Hornets entered operational service with VMFA-314, replacing that squadron’s F-4 Phantom II aircraft. 25 April CDR Steve L. WEBB relieved CDR R. W. LEONE as Commanding Officer. 2 May Lt. Leslie Provow, assigned to VRC-40, became the first woman designated a Landing Signal Officer (LSO). 11 May Fist of the Fleet was awarded the LTJG Bruce Carrier Memorial Award for excellence in Maintenance for CY1982. May The squadron provided six aircraft and ten pilots in support of the F-15 Fighter weapons School at Nellis AFB. -
DPRK Provocations and US-ROK Military Exercises by Victor Cha, Na Young Lee, and Andy Lim August 18, 2016 Summary of Findings
DPRK provocations and US-ROK Military Exercises By Victor Cha, Na Young Lee, and Andy Lim August 18, 2016 Summary of Findings Reports common in the media and in North Korean propaganda statements suggest that the annual U.S.–South Korean military exercises have a provocative effect on Pyongyang’s behavior. To critically test this proposition, Beyond Parallel gathered and compared data on the relationship between the United States- Republic of Korea (ROK) military exercises and North Korean provocations. Findings from the original qualitative study of U.S.-ROK spring military exercises over the last twelve years (2005–2016) were published on Beyond Parallel in July 2016. This study was recently expanded to include the fall exercises and their effect on North Korean provocations. The findings of this study are summarized below. 1. Null Effect (Confirmed for Fall Exercises) U.S.-ROK military exercises do not impact diplomatic relations between the U.S. and the DPRK. When extending the original analysis of the study of spring (Foal Eagle) exercises to include the fall (Ulchi-Freedom Guardian) exercises, the pattern still holds for U.S.-DPRK relations. The process of the Six Party Talks (SPT) in 2005, 2007, and 2008 carried on despite the fall exercises taking place in the middle of it. And the years 2006, 2009, 2010, 2012, and 2014 show that negative relations prior to the fall exercises were reinforced with post- exercise provocations although the reinforcement effect is not as demonstrable as with spring exercises. 2. Split Personality (Confirmed for Fall Exercises) The DPRK can compartmentalize its reactions to U.S.-ROK military exercises. -
The State of Deterrence in Korea and the Taiwan Strait for More Information on This Publication, Visit
C O R P O R A T I O N MICHAEL J. MAZARR, NATHAN BEAUCHAMP-MUSTAFAGA, TIMOTHY R. HEATH, DEREK EATON What Deters and Why The State of Deterrence in Korea and the Taiwan Strait For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/RR3144 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available for this publication. ISBN: 978-1-9774-0400-8 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © 2021 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Cover: U.S. Army photo by Staff Sgt. Keith Anderson Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface This report documents research and analysis conducted as part of a project entitled What Deters and Why: North Korea and Russia, sponsored by the Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff, G-3/5/7, U.S. -
Strengthened Resolve As North Korea Rumbles
Comparative Connections A Triannual E-Journal on East Asian Bilateral Relations US-Korea Relations: Strengthened Resolve as North Korea Rumbles Stephen Noerper, The Korea Society The first quadrimester of 2014 in US-Korea relations concluded with a visit by President Barack Obama. Making up for his 2013 miss of both the East Asia Summit (EAS) and Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Economic Leaders Meeting, Obama’s visit came at an uncertain time in Korean developments: South Korea was in the troughs of a national tragedy with a ferry sinking claiming some 300 lives, North Korea threatened to steal the show with preparations for a fourth nuclear test, and regional tensions remained high amidst territorial and historical disputes. Though Obama sought to temper tensions between Korea and Japan in a late March meeting at The Hague, his hopes for progress in bringing together President Park and Prime Minister Abe saw little progress. During his fourth visit to Seoul (his most visited foreign capital), Obama offered sympathies to the families of the victims of the Sewol ferry disaster and assurances with Park on North Korean rumblings. He also visited with the US business community and US military forces. North Korea’s step-up in activity at the Punggye-ri site followed its warning a month prior to Obama’s visit of a “new form of nuclear test,” suggesting a uranium device, which heightened international concern. North Korea returned to a pattern of bellicose spring rhetoric for the second year under Kim Jong Un, ostensibly as a counter to US-ROK military exercises and continuing through April. -
The U.S .-ROK Alliance : Projecting U.S . Power and Preserving
The U.S.-ROK Alliance: Projecting U.S. Power and Preserving Stability in Northeast Asia Evans Revere Introduction The powerful deterrent provided by the U.S.-Republic of Korea security alliance has kept the peace on the Korean Peninsula for over 63 years. Today, with the rising threat of a nuclear-armed, aggressive North Korea, growing friction in U.S.-China relations, and rapidly changing security dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region, the U.S.-ROK security alliance is more important than ever and a pillar of America's ability to project military power, deal with uncertainty, and maintain stability in a region of vital importance to American interests. The 28,500 U.S. forces in Korea demonstrate America's determination to defend a key ally and reflect U.S. commitment to the region at large. Nurturing and strengthening the alliance relationship -- which has served U.S. interests well -- will be a central task for the next U.S. president. This will be particularly true in light of growing concerns in the region about America's staying power, worries about neo-isolationist trends in the United States, and fears about China's attempt to become the region's dominant actor. Another challenge will be South Korean politics, where a victory by the center-left in the 2017 presidential election could bring to power forces critical of the alliance, sympathetic to China, and inclined to adopt a softer line towards North Korea. Korea's Stake in the Alliance Despite the ROK's lead in technology, training, and modern equipment, North Korea enjoys numerical superiority in terms of troops, tanks, artillery, and aircraft. -
Timeline of Threat Escalations on the Korean Peninsula, December 2012 to May 2013 Date North Korea United States South Korea Other
Timeline of Threat Escalations on the Korean Peninsula, December 2012 to May 2013 Date North Korea United States South Korea Other The White House condemns the The ROK Foreign Ministry China's Foreign Ministry says that North Korea launches its Unha-3 launch as "yet another example of condemns the launch as a "flagrant it is "regretable that the DPRK 12/12/2012 rocket, placing a satellite into orbit North Korea’s pattern of violation" UN Security Council launched the satellite despite irresponsible behavior" resolutions international concerns" Shinzo Abe takes office as Prime 12/26/2013 Minister of Japan A U.S. delegation including Google chairman Eric Schmidt and 1/7/2013 former governor Bill Richardson visits Pyongyang President Barack Obama is sworn 1/20/2013 in for his second inauguration Special Representative for North The UN Security Council adopts Korea Policy Glyn Davies travels Resolution 2087, condemning the 1/22/2013 to South Korea, China, and Japan, rocket launch and adding to the January 22-29 sanctions blacklist Japan launches two spy satellites 1/28/2013 into orbit Date North Korea United States South Korea Other South Korea announces that it has 1/30/2013 successfully launched a satellite into orbit North Korea threatens to shut 2/7/2013 down the Kaesong Industrial Complex South Korea calls the test "a direct The U.S. says that "North Korea’s challenge to the whole The PRC Foreign Ministry says North Korea conducts its third threatening activities warrants international community" and 2/12/2013 that China is "firmly opposed to nuclear test further swift and credible action by pledges to accelerate the this act" the international community" deployment of its extended-range missiles Park Geun-hye sworn in as 2/25/2013 President of South Korea Deng Yuwen, Deputy Editor of PRC Central Party School's journal, writes in the Financial 2/27/2013 Times that China should "abandon" North Korea; he is later suspended from his post A U.S.