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Downloaded 09/24/21 06:34 PM UTC ABOUT OUR MEMBERS LETTER FROM HEADQUARTERS THE AMS POSITIONS ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND ADVOCACY was recently reviewing some of the results of the understanding the policy options available for address- survey of AMS members that was completed about ing climate change (what they are and the advantages I a year ago, reading through the narrative responses and disadvantages of each). Those activities focus on to questions about things people liked and did not informing policy options—not advocating particular like about AMS.1 I was somewhat disheartened that courses of action—and take advantage of the expertise some of the responses showed a misunderstanding in the science that our community brings to the table. and mischaracterization of the Society’s approach to In terms of advocacy, the Society takes a very careful science and to policy engagement, especially in the approach to its interaction with government agencies area of climate change. Those responses suggested and Capitol Hill that is quite different from the more a perception that AMS is no longer focused on sci- traditional forms of advocacy and lobbying seen in other ence and, instead, that it has become an advocacy or organizations. I described those differences, which take lobbying organization pushing a specific agenda with advantage of the strong scientific expertise the Society respect to climate change. The actual number of such brings to issues and results in AMS being viewed as a responses was small (a little over a dozen specific trusted source of information, a little over a year ago in comments out of 96 pages of narrative responses), so this column (see the July 2014 BAMS, pa ge s 110 5 –110 6). the data suggest this is far from the majority opinion, As I noted then, the approach taken by AMS has been but similar comments arise from time to time in other very successful in bringing the science of our commu- contexts, so I thought it worth addressing again here. nity to bear on appropriate policy issues across a wide The Society’s contribution to the science of climate range of topics that include, but are far from limited to, change has been and continues to be enormous. Much climate change. To be sure, I also noticed in the survey of the cutting-edge climate science research is published responses a number that urged AMS to become more in AMS journals and presented at AMS scientific con- active in advocacy. Some of those respondents may also ferences. The AMS position on climate change, based not be aware of the careful approach taken on these on comprehensive scientific assessment and an open issues and the effectiveness of that approach. process that included broad input from the community, As I mentioned at the outset of the column, I am is expressed in a statement released by the Council disheartened anytime there is misunderstanding of the in 2012 (see: www2.ametsoc.org/ams/index.cfm careful and critical role the Society plays in the advance /about-ams/ams-statements/statements-of-the-ams of the science and its beneficial use. I would be very -in-force/climate-change/). The Statement on Climate happy to discuss these issues, or any other ones, with Change recognizes that AMS not only supports the anyone who has concerns about AMS positions or advance of scientific understanding, but also promotes activities. Please feel free to e-mail me at kseitter@ the use of scientific understanding in societal decision ametsoc.org or call me on my direct line at 617-226-3901. making. AMS activities include initiatives that focus on 1 A group of volunteers is currently analyzing the complete set of AMS Member Survey responses and preparing that KEITH L. SEITTER, CCM analysis for release in BAMS in the near future. EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY NOVEMBER 2015 | 1979 Unauthenticated | Downloaded 09/24/21 06:34 PM UTC ABOUT OUR MEMBERS Justin McLay, research meteorologist at the U.S. level NAVGEM EFS. Providing detailed knowledge Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Marine Meteo- of future extreme weather variability and conditions rology Division, received the Laboratory Scientist of (wind speeds, wave heights, air and sea temperatures, the Quarter award honoring extraordinary service to sea ice thickness and extent, and sea level), the en- the Department of Defense (DoD). McLay was given semble will enable the U.S. Navy and DoD to adapt the award for his distinguished accomplishments in to future environmental impacts. leading the “New Rules of Predictability” project and Beginning his career in weather science as a his key role in developing and transitioning the Navy certified weather observer for the National Weather Global Environmental Model (NAVGEM) Ensemble Service, McLay worked to obtain a doctorate in Forecast System (EFS). atmospheric science from the University of Wis- McLay is a subject-matter expert in the design and consin—Madison, where he had received both a application of atmospheric ensemble predictions, and bachelor’s and master’s degree in atmospheric sci- works on the 6.1 level predictability project and 6.4 ence, in 1997 and 2001, respectively. After receiving ON-AIR METEOROLOGY 10 QUESTIONS WITH . A new series of profiles celebrating AMS Certified Broadcast Meteorologists and Sealholders Janice Dean Fox News Senior Meteorologist When did you know you wanted to become a meteorologist/broadcaster? I studied journalism and radio/television broadcasting in college back home in Canada, but my interest in weather goes back to my childhood when we had snow piled up to our rooftops during the big Canadian winters. I went on to be a local weather presenter right out of college on the CBC while I was a radio host. Back then, you could do the weather without having the meteorology background. When I was hired at Fox to be their daytime weather person, I decided it was time to go back to school and study the science while working full time. What do you think the next “big thing” is in weather reporting? Social media is definitely bringing us close to the story in terms of getting real-time pictures and reports. I get a little upset when people put themselves into harm’s way to get pictures of tornadoes or extreme weather events (including meteorologists!). I’m probably one of the only broadcast meteorologists who does NOT like to report outside during big weather events. I find it ridiculous to be telling people to stay safe while holding onto a tree or sign post. How often are you recognized in public? Rarely! We have the best hair and makeup team in the business here at Fox. They are magicians. I come to work with no makeup on with my hair in a ponytail and that’s how I leave work. Plus, living in New York, even if people do recognize you, they don’t have time to stop and chat. Everyone is on the move. What is the best thing about what you do? I work at an amazing place with wonderful people, which makes it a joy to come into work. Plus, my kids love to come visit me and play on the green screen. I also love going to visit schools and reading my Freddy the Frogcaster books to them. Seeing children talk about weather is fantastic. It’s the one thing that every single person experiences. It brings us all together. 1980 | NOVEMBER 2015 Unauthenticated | Downloaded 09/24/21 06:34 PM UTC his Ph.D. in 2004, he was granted a postdoctoral McLay has authored or coauthored 17 journal appointment within the National Research Council publications and has led 9 successful technical tran- (NRC) for a position at NRL-Monterey in the Global sitions for the U.S. Navy’s NAVGEM global EPS. In Modeling Section of the Atmospheric Dynamics and April 2015, he received the Alan Berman Annual Prediction Branch. Research Publication Award for a study of statistical In 2007, McLay started his federal career at NRL- inference applied to model parameter uncertainty. Monterey and progressed to improve the design of the He is currently associate editor for Monthly Weather now retired Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Review and a member of the AMS Weather Analysis Prediction System EFS through the implementation and Forecasting Committee. McLay has presented of locally banded ensemble transform perturbations his research at numerous conferences and work- of the initial state. In March 2015, he led the transition shops, including as an invited speaker on the topic of the U.S. Navy’s first operational method for sto- of forecast time series behavior at the Developmental chastic forcing of the NAVGEM global model, which Testbed Center, National Center for Atmospheric improves the measurement of forecast uncertainty. Research. ON-AIR METEOROLOGY How would you define the value of the AMS seal programs? I feel very fortunate to have received my AMS Seal and enjoy getting together with fellow broadcast meteorologists to talk about the business and the future of weather. AMS has been very supportive of my career, my children’s books, and opportunities within the community. What’s the biggest weather event you’ve reported on? Hurricane Sandy was a huge event for us in the Northeast, but I have to say Hurricane Katrina was the biggest weather event I’ve ever forecasted or witnessed. I remember reading that “doomsday statement” saying this would be the worst-case scenario for New Orleans. I read that warning on-air in front of the green screen while the satellite of the storm swirled behind me and just had this overwhelming feeling of dread. And then I remember the next day when we all thought New Orleans had dodged a bullet…and then the levees broke.
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