Delivering High-Speed Broadband to Millions of Philippine Households & Businesses Nationwide
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Delivering High-Speed Broadband to Millions of Philippine Households & Businesses Nationwide 3Q20 Results Update October 2020 1 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 Legal Disclaimer These materials have been prepared exclusively for information and disclosure purposes only. This does not constitute any offer to sell securities. These may contain forward-looking statements and information that are, by their nature, subject to significant risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Many factors could make or cause the actual results, performance or achievements of CNVRG to be 76 materially different from those expressed or implied in this release, including, but not limited to, changes in general economic, 57 157 political, governmental and business conditions in the Philippines and globally, as may be applicable; changes in interest rates; changes in inflation rates; changes in exchange rates; the level and speed of network construction generally; changes in raw materials and energy prices, changes in business strategies; and various other factors. Should one or more of these risks or 60 uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described 72 herein. CNVRG disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update or revise the information contained in these materials and 135 releases. This communication is not intended to be provided to, and may not be used by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction where the provision or use thereof would be contrary to applicable laws, rules, or regulations. 55 99 140 48 140 147 42 178 153 158 158 158 All rights reserved. 2 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 Today’s Speakers 76 57 157 60 72 135 55 99 140 Dennis Anthony Uy Grace Yao Uy Benjamin Azada Chief Executive Officer Co-Founder President, Co-Founder Chief Strategy Officer 48 140 147 42 178 153 158 158 158 Jesus C. Romero Matthias Vukovich Chief Operating Officer Chief Financial Office Advisor 3 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 3Q20 Results Key Takeaways Rapid growth continues in 3Q20 with 71% YoY revenue growth and 79% YoY EBITDA growth 76 57 157 Continued to deliver the industry-leading trifecta with 60 72 67% revenue growth, 52% EBITDA margin and 20% ROIC in 9M20 135 55 Record monthly port roll-out and gross residential subscriber 99 140 additions of ~179k and ~74k respectively in September 2020 48 140 147 Continued upselling resulting in healthy residential ARPU growth of ~7% in 3Q20 (vs. 1H20) 42 178 153 Residential business delivered 90% YoY revenue growth in 9M20, driven by strong subscriber additions and healthy ARPU growth 158 158 158 Enterprise business continued to remain robust, with revenue growing 15% YoY in 9M20 despite COVID-19 4 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 Financial Update: Continuing to Achieve Trifecta of ~67% Growth, 52% Margin, ~20% ROIC Revenue EBITDA (2) PHP MM (1) PHP MM (1) ($220) ($115) 76 5,576 57 ($188) 10,677 ($96) 157 9,140 4,665 2,264 ($132) ($66) ($104) 2,786 6,393 ($53) 3,205 60 ($86) ($47) 72 5,055 2,549 ($61) 1,964 2,262 135 ($51) 4,187 ($30) ($26) ($38) 1,904 8,413 ($18) 1,460 2,940 2,451 752 1,266 1,894 6,354 894 1,421 734 4,429 55 1,033 3,151 3,435 99 862 1,520 1,718 140 2016 2017 2018 2019 3Q19 3Q20 9M19 9M20 2016 2017 2018 2019 3Q19 3Q20 9M19 9M20 Residential Enterprise 48 EBITDA Margin (2) ROIC (3) 140 147 Annualized 52.2% 20% 42 178 51.0% 153 50.4% 50.1% 49.7% 12% 12% 158 158 47.2% 158 6% (4) (4) (4) 2016 2017 2018 2019 9M19 9M20 APAC Broadband Phils Telco Global Broadband Notes: 1. Based on an FX rate of 1 US$ to 48.510 PHP 2. Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA is EBITDA adjusted for provision for contingencies, loss on direct write-off of network materials and supplies and loss on fire and Pro Forma Events 3. Return on Invested Capital is tax-adjusted (30% assumed effective tax rate) pro forma profit from operations divided by average invested capital. Invested Capital is the sum of our total equity and total debt (comprising loans payable (non-current and current portions)), less cash and cash equivalents and capital expenditures in progress 5 4. APAC broadband players includes Link Net, HKBN, and Time dotCom; Philippines Telco includes PLDT, and Globe; Global broadband players include Telenet, Altice, Altice N.V., Charter Communications and Liberty Global; Link Net and Time dotCom ROIC refers to LTM as of 1Q2020 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 Record Pace of Network Roll-out: Currently Adding ~180k Ports per Month Extensive and Fast-growing Network Homes Passed (MM) (1)(2)(3) 76 2% 13% 21% 55% ~5.1MM homes passed as of September 2020, ~10x increase 57 8 190 353 157 15.1 from 2016 to Sep 2020 ~10x 60 72 5.1 ~21% household coverage nationwide as of September 2020 135 3.2 0.8 (~36% in Luzon) 0.5 0.8 4.3 2.4 (6) 2016 2019 Sep-20 2021E 2025E 55 Targeting 55% household coverage (~15MM homes passed) 99 FTTH Homes Passed HFC Homes Passed 140 by 2025E (4) Monthly Addition Run-rate (‘000s) Household Coverage (5) (for last month in the period) 48 140 Number of Ports (MM) (1)(2) 147 ~3.0MM ports as of September 2020, ~6x increase from 2016 5 100 179 7.5 - 8.0 to September 2020. Target 7.5-8MM ports by 2025E 42 ~6x 178 153 3.0 ~180k port additions in August and September 2020, which is expected to continue through to year-end 2021 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 2.1 158 1.2 158 158 2016 2019 Sep-20 2021E 2025E FTTH accounted for over 90% of port additions since 1Q19 FTTH HFC Monthly Addition Run-rate (‘000s) (4) and comprises ~72% of total ports as of September 2020 (for last month in the period) Notes: 1. FTTH homes passed is derived from the number of homes within a 300 meter radius from a network access point (“NAP”) that we have installed in a coverage area. Each NAP has eight ports, and one port serves one home 2. HFC homes passed refers to the number of homes and other residential units that are within a 200 meter radius from our HFC ports, and can be connected to our network. 3. For FTTH, ratio of 1 port = 2 home passed; for HFC, ratio of 1 port = 1 homes passed 4. Run-rate based on additions in last month of each period (i.e. December for full-year and June for half-year) 5. Household coverage is calculated as total homes passed over total number of homes, which is 24.8 million as of 2019 6. Based on 2025E total households of 27.5 million according to MPA 6 215 197 181 214 240 193 206 250 203 214 240 239 243 244 253 214 240 255 69 16 32 89 211 0 40 168 99 89 211 153 169 154 250 89 211 204 Record Highs in Monthly Gross Adds: Run-Rate at 65-70k+ Monthly Gross Additions with Steady ARPU Number of Subscribers (‘000) Market-Leading (1) Take-up Rates • ~60%+ port take-up rates in the long run, and ~40% within 12 months which are 4x faster than the industry • More recent vintages achieved significantly faster take-up compared to 3.7 22.7 73.6 901k subscribers as of September 2020, ~12x earlier vintages 76 growth since 2016; driven by FTTH subscriber growth • Regional areas e.g. Daet (which is less dense and less affluent compared 57 ~12x to Metro Manila) reported ~50% take-up in 8 months 157 12x • Significant investment to-date with port inventory sufficient to add ~1.5mm Increase in 901 new subscribers with minimal incremental capex Gross subscriber adds of 65k in July 2020, 70k in Subscribers 228 Key Success Factors Contributing to High Take-up Rates 60 530 August 2020 and 74k in September 2020. Expect Since 2016 • Careful site selection considering a wide-range of factors 72 199 run-rates to continue through to year-end 2021 135 673 • “Right sizing” port deployment to match market demand; phased 74 331 deployment to test market demand • Close internal coordination between sales and network teams 2016 2019 Sep-20 • Pre-marketing conducted months in advance of launch 55 Over 90% of gross adds are first-time fixed FTTH HFC 99 broadband users in 3Q20 (1) 140 Monthly Gross Addition Run-rate Rapid Growth • 814k subscribers as of July 2020, achieving ~11x growth since 2016 (largely driven by FTTH subscriber growth) 48 Blended ARPU 140 − 50%+ share of market net adds since 2018 (2) (3) 147 PHP (US$) Continued upselling resulted in healthy ARPU • Recorded gross subscriber addition run-rate of ~68k gross additions in +7% July 2020 growth of 7% in 3Q20 vs.