Economics Is an Evolutionary Science
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Strong Reciprocity and Human Sociality∗
Strong Reciprocity and Human Sociality∗ Herbert Gintis Department of Economics University of Massachusetts, Amherst Phone: 413-586-7756 Fax: 413-586-6014 Email: [email protected] Web: http://www-unix.oit.umass.edu/˜gintis Running Head: Strong Reciprocity and Human Sociality March 11, 2000 Abstract Human groups maintain a high level of sociality despite a low level of relatedness among group members. The behavioral basis of this sociality remains in doubt. This paper reviews the evidence for an empirically identifi- able form of prosocial behavior in humans, which we call ‘strong reciprocity,’ that may in part explain human sociality. A strong reciprocator is predisposed to cooperate with others and punish non-cooperators, even when this behavior cannot be justified in terms of extended kinship or reciprocal altruism. We present a simple model, stylized but plausible, of the evolutionary emergence of strong reciprocity. 1 Introduction Human groups maintain a high level of sociality despite a low level of relatedness among group members. Three types of explanation have been offered for this phe- nomenon: reciprocal altruism (Trivers 1971, Axelrod and Hamilton 1981), cultural group selection (Cavalli-Sforza and Feldman 1981, Boyd and Richerson 1985) and genetically-based altruism (Lumsden and Wilson 1981, Simon 1993, Wilson and Dugatkin 1997). These approaches are of course not incompatible. Reciprocal ∗ I would like to thank Lee Alan Dugatkin, Ernst Fehr, David Sloan Wilson, and the referees of this Journal for helpful comments, Samuel Bowles and Robert Boyd for many extended discussions of these issues, and the MacArthur Foundation for financial support. This paper is dedicated to the memory of W. -
Hyperbolic Discounting and Pension Design the Case of Germany
Stefan Zimmermann Hyperbolic Discounting and Pension Design The Case of Germany MSc Thesis 2010 Hyperbolic Discounting and Pension Design: The Case of Germany Master Thesis to achieve the degree Master of Science (M.Sc.) in Economics at the Faculty of Economics and Management at Tilburg University submitted by Stefan Zimmermann ANR: 661647 Words: 9509 Supervisor: Johannes Binswanger, PhD Second Reader: Nathanaël Vellekoop, Drs Berlin, August 17th, 2010 Abstract Both data and people’s self-reports reveal that there is a undersaving problem. Be- havioral economics seeks to explain this phenomenon with the concept of hyperbolic discounting. In essence, short-term actions are inconsistent with long-term goals. This is applied to the German pension system in this text. The results lean on a theoretical life-cycle model that is simulated in Matlab, whereby the parameters are calibrated to match the German economy. It is shown that myopic preferences lead to deviations from outcomes that would be desirable from a normative point of view. The savings rate is considerably lower for hyperbolic discounters, compared to standard discounters. Moreover, a fully funded pension scheme seems preferable to the current Pay-As-You-Go system. Contents List of Tables4 List of Figures4 1 Introduction5 2 Survey6 2.1 Facts about the German Pension System................7 2.2 Behavioral Aspects............................7 3 The Life-Cycle Model - LCM 10 3.1 The Life-Cycle Model without a Pension Scheme............ 11 3.1.1 Behavior of Private Agents.................... 11 3.2 The Life-Cycle Model with a Pension Scheme............. 16 3.2.1 Pay-As-You-Go Pension - PAYG............... -
A Review of the Social Science Literature on the Causes of Conflict
Research Report Understanding Conflict Trends A Review of the Social Science Literature on the Causes of Conflict Stephen Watts, Jennifer Kavanagh, Bryan Frederick, Tova C. Norlen, Angela O’Mahony, Phoenix Voorhies, Thomas S. Szayna Prepared for the United States Army Approved for public release; distribution unlimited ARROYO CENTER For more information on this publication, visit www.rand.org/t/rr1063z1 Published by the RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, Calif. © Copyright 2017 RAND Corporation R® is a registered trademark. Limited Print and Electronic Distribution Rights This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited. Permission is given to duplicate this document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial use. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.html. The RAND Corporation is a research organization that develops solutions to public policy challenges to help make communities throughout the world safer and more secure, healthier and more prosperous. RAND is nonprofit, nonpartisan, and committed to the public interest. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. Support RAND Make a tax-deductible charitable contribution at www.rand.org/giving/contribute www.rand.org Preface The recent spike in violence in places like Syria, Ukraine, and Yemen notwithstanding, the number of conflicts worldwide has fallen since the end of the Cold War, and few of those that remain are clashes between states. -
Chemical Game Theory
Chemical Game Theory Jacob Kautzky Group Meeting February 26th, 2020 What is game theory? Game theory is the study of the ways in which interacting choices of rational agents produce outcomes with respect to the utilities of those agents Why do we care about game theory? 11 nobel prizes in economics 1994 – “for their pioneering analysis of equilibria in the thoery of non-cooperative games” John Nash Reinhard Selten John Harsanyi 2005 – “for having enhanced our understanding of conflict and cooperation through game-theory” Robert Aumann Thomas Schelling Why do we care about game theory? 2007 – “for having laid the foundatiouns of mechanism design theory” Leonid Hurwicz Eric Maskin Roger Myerson 2012 – “for the theory of stable allocations and the practice of market design” Alvin Roth Lloyd Shapley 2014 – “for his analysis of market power and regulation” Jean Tirole Why do we care about game theory? Mathematics Business Biology Engineering Sociology Philosophy Computer Science Political Science Chemistry Why do we care about game theory? Plato, 5th Century BCE Initial insights into game theory can be seen in Plato’s work Theories on prisoner desertions Cortez, 1517 Shakespeare’s Henry V, 1599 Hobbes’ Leviathan, 1651 Henry orders the French prisoners “burn the ships” executed infront of the French army First mathematical theory of games was published in 1944 by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern Chemical Game Theory Basics of Game Theory Prisoners Dilemma Battle of the Sexes Rock Paper Scissors Centipede Game Iterated Prisoners Dilemma -
Beyond Greed and Fear Financial Management Association Survey and Synthesis Series
Beyond Greed and Fear Financial Management Association Survey and Synthesis Series The Search for Value: Measuring the Company's Cost of Capital Michael C. Ehrhardt Managing Pension Plans: A Comprehensive Guide to Improving Plan Performance Dennis E. Logue and Jack S. Rader Efficient Asset Management: A Practical Guide to Stock Portfolio Optimization and Asset Allocation Richard O. Michaud Real Options: Managing Strategic Investment in an Uncertain World Martha Amram and Nalin Kulatilaka Beyond Greed and Fear: Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing Hersh Shefrin Dividend Policy: Its Impact on Form Value Ronald C. Lease, Kose John, Avner Kalay, Uri Loewenstein, and Oded H. Sarig Value Based Management: The Corporate Response to Shareholder Revolution John D. Martin and J. William Petty Debt Management: A Practitioner's Guide John D. Finnerty and Douglas R. Emery Real Estate Investment Trusts: Structure, Performance, and Investment Opportunities Su Han Chan, John Erickson, and Ko Wang Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Larry Harris Beyond Greed and Fear Understanding Behavioral Finance and the Psychology of Investing Hersh Shefrin 2002 198 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10016 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford It furthers the University's objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide in Oxford New York Auckland Bangkok Buenos Aires Cape Town Chennai Dar es Salaam Delhi Hong Kong Istanbul Karachi Kolkata Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Mumbai Nairobi São Paulo Shanghai Taipei Tokyo Toronto Oxford is a registered trade mark of Oxford University Press in the UK and in certain other countries Copyright © 2002 by Oxford University Press, Inc. -
Bringing in Darwin Bradley A. Thayer
Bringing in Darwin Bradley A. Thayer Evolutionary Theory, Realism, and International Politics Efforts to develop a foundation for scientiªc knowledge that would unite the natural and social sci- ences date to the classical Greeks. Given recent advances in genetics and evolu- tionary theory, this goal may be closer than ever.1 The human genome project has generated much media attention as scientists reveal genetic causes of dis- eases and some aspects of human behavior. And although advances in evolu- tionary theory may have received less attention, they are no less signiªcant. Edward O. Wilson, Roger Masters, and Albert Somit, among others, have led the way in using evolutionary theory and social science to produce a synthesis for understanding human behavior and social phenomena.2 This synthesis posits that human behavior is simultaneously and inextricably a result of evo- lutionary and environmental causes. The social sciences, including the study of international politics, may build upon this scholarship.3 In this article I argue that evolutionary theory can improve the realist theory of international politics. Traditional realist arguments rest principally on one of two discrete ultimate causes, or intellectual foundations. The ªrst is Reinhold Niebuhr’s argument that humans are evil. The second is grounded in the work Bradley A. Thayer is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Minnesota—Duluth. I am grateful to Mlada Bukovansky, Stephen Chilton, Christopher Layne, Michael Mastanduno, Roger Masters, Paul Sharp, Alexander Wendt, Mike Winnerstig, and Howard Wriggins for their helpful comments. I thank Nathaniel Fick, David Hawkins, Jeremy Joseph, Christopher Kwak, Craig Nerenberg, and Jordana Phillips for their able research assistance. -
The Governance Problem in Aggregate Litigation
THE GOVERNANCE PROBLEM IN AGGREGATE LITIGATION Samuel Issacharoff* Recent developments in class action law and scholarship have forced new attention on the question of how class representation should be assessed. This Article begins with an examination of the governance problem in class action analyzed from the perspective of the customary political theories that would justify legitimate government in public and private domains. Customary accounts of democratic legitimacy or contractual voluntarism poorly capture the distinct world of the one-time aggregation of a class under court-assigned leadership. What emerges is an assessment of how various class action doctrines serve to fill the void in customary indications of legitimacy in governance. The Article concludes with a review of alternative efforts to structure class governance to avoid the agency problems inherent in the power to manage the affairs of others. TABLE OF CONTENTS INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................ 3165 I. GOVERNANCE OUTSIDE POLITICS ....................................................... 3169 A. The Single Term ...................................................................... 3169 B. Voice and the Epistemic Moment ............................................ 3172 C. The Right To Exit .................................................................... 3175 D. Intermediaries ........................................................................ 3177 E. Rivals for Leadership ............................................................. -
Building on Kahneman's Insights in the Development of Behavioral
7_SHEFRIN.DOCX 5/15/2013 12:46 PM Building On Kahneman’s Insights in the Development of Behavioral Finance Hersh Shefrin* INTRODUCTION First, I want to thank Michael Kaufman for inviting me to be part of this esteemed panel. And second, I would like to thank Danny Kahneman for his wisdom, insights, generosity, kindness, and much more. On a personal dimension, I first met Danny in 1978 when he and Amos Tversky were visiting Stanford University’s Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences. At the time I was working with Dick Thaler, who was also visiting Stanford, on developing a System 1/System 2 model of economic choice.1 It should come as no surprise that what I learned from Danny and Amos in those first interactions, and subsequently over the years, dramatically influenced my own research and indeed the entire field of economics.2 * Mario L. Belotti Professor of Finance, Santa Clara University. This Article stems from remarks that I gave in response to Daniel Kahneman’s keynote address at Loyola University Chicago School of Law’s Second Annual Investor Protection Conference, “Behavioral Economics and Investor Protection.” 1. See generally DANIEL KAHNEMAN, THINKING, FAST AND SLOW 19–109 (2011) (describing System 1 and System 2 decision making processes). Professor Adam Zimmerman briefly summarizes the two Systems as follows: Cognitive psychologists and neurologists have identified two types of decisionmaking processes: intuitive and deliberative. Intuitive decisionmaking processes, which are sometimes called System I processes, are intuitive, automatic, and quick, encompassing the types of instantaneous judgments that permit a person to size up a situation. -
Bounded Rationality
Center for American Politics and Public Policy Department of Political Science University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195 Bounded Rationality Bryan D. Jones Department of Political Science University of Washington Seattle, WA 98195 November 1998 To appear in the Annual Review of Political Science, Nelson Polsby, Editor Discussion Paper Policy Agendas Project Bounded Rationality Abstract Findings from behavioral organization theory, behavioral decision theory, survey research and experimental economics leave no doubt about the failure of rational choice as a descriptive model of human behavior. But this does not mean that people and their politics are irrational. Bounded rationality asserts that decision-makers are intendedly rational; that is, they are goal-oriented and adaptive, but because of human cognitive and emotional architecture, they sometimes fail, occasionally in important decisions. Limits on rational adaptation are of two types: procedural limits, which are limits on how we go about making decisions, and substantive limits, which affect particular choices directly. Rational analysis in institutional contexts can serve as a standard for adaptive, goal-oriented human behavior. In relatively fixed task environments, such as asset markets or elections, we should be able to divide behavior into adaptive, goal-oriented behavior (that is, rational action) and behavior that is a consequence of processing limits, and measure the deviation. The extent of deviation is an empirical issue. These classes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, and may be examined empirically in situations in which actors make repeated similar choices. Bounded Rationality1 Do people make rational decisions in politics and economics? Not if by ‘rational’ we mean conformity to the classic expected utility model. -
Richard Thaler and the Rise of Behavioral Economics
Richard Thaler and the Rise of Behavioral Economics Nicholas Barberis Yale University April 2018∗ Abstract Richard Thaler was awarded the 2017 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his contributions to behavioral economics. In this article, I review and discuss these contributions. JEL classification: B2, D9, G1 Keywords: endowment effect, prospect theory, mental accounting, nudge ∗I am grateful to Hunt Allcott, Ingvild Almas, James Choi, Stefano DellaVigna, Keith Ericson, Owen Lamont, Ulrike Malmendier, Matthew Rabin, and Jesse Shapiro for helpful discussions about the content of this article. 1 I. Introduction From the 18th century to the first half of the 20th century, the leading economists of the day – figures such as Adam Smith, John Maynard Keynes, and Irving Fisher – were known to bring aspects of human psychology into their analysis of the economy. By the middle of the 20th century, however, this practice was less common, and with the advent of the rational expectations revolution in the 1960s, economists began to focus almost exclusively on models with the same, tightly-specified assumptions about individual psychology: that people have rational beliefs, and that they make decisions according to Expected Utility. In the early 1980s, a small group of economists began to argue that the rational ex- pectations revolution had gone too far, and that to understand many important economic phenomena, it was critical to develop new models that made assumptions about human be- havior that were psychologically more realistic, and that, in particular, allowed for less than fully rational thinking. This message was roundly dismissed at first, sometimes in scornful terms, but it gradually gained traction. -
Books Recommended by Williams Faculty
Books Students Should Read In the summer of 2009, Williams faculty members were asked to list three books they felt that students should read. This request was deliberately a bit ambiguous. Some interpreted the request as listing "the three best books", some as "books that inspired them when young" and still others as "books recently read that are really good". There is little doubt that many of the following faculty would list different books if asked on a different day. But there is also little doubt that this is a list of a lot of great books for everyone. American Studies Dorothy Wang 1. James Baldwin, Notes of a Native Son 2. Giacomo Leopardi, Thoughts 3. Henry David Thoreau, Walden Anthropology and Sociology Michael Brown 1. Evan S. Connell, Son of the Morning Star: Custer and the Little Bighorn 2. Mario Vargas Llosa, Aunt Julia and the Scriptwriter 3. Claude Lévi-Strauss, Tristes Tropiques Antonia Foias 1. Jared Diamond, Guns, Germs and Steel 2. Linda Schele and David Freidel, Forest of Kings: The Untold Story of the Ancient Maya Robert Jackall, 1. Homer, The Illiad and The Odyssey (translated by Robert Fizgerald) 2. Thucydides (Robert B. Strassler, editor) , The Peloponnesian War. The Landmark Thucydides: A Comprehensive Guide to the Peloponnesian War. 2. John Edward Williams, Augustus: A Novel Peter Just 1. The Bible 2. Bhagavad-Gita 3. Frederick Engels and Karl Marx, Communist Manifesto Olga Shevchenko 1. Joseph Brodsky, Less than One 2. Anne Fadiman, The Spirit Catches You and You Fall Down 3. William Strunk and E. B. White, Elements of Style Art and Art History Ed Epping 1. -
The Evolution of Cooperation Robert Axelrod; William D. Hamilton Science, New Series, Vol
The Evolution of Cooperation Robert Axelrod; William D. Hamilton Science, New Series, Vol. 211, No. 4489. (Mar. 27, 1981), pp. 1390-1396. Stable URL: http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0036-8075%2819810327%293%3A211%3A4489%3C1390%3ATEOC%3E2.0.CO%3B2-6 Science is currently published by American Association for the Advancement of Science. Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/about/terms.html. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive only for your personal, non-commercial use. Please contact the publisher regarding any further use of this work. Publisher contact information may be obtained at http://www.jstor.org/journals/aaas.html. Each copy of any part of a JSTOR transmission must contain the same copyright notice that appears on the screen or printed page of such transmission. The JSTOR Archive is a trusted digital repository providing for long-term preservation and access to leading academic journals and scholarly literature from around the world. The Archive is supported by libraries, scholarly societies, publishers, and foundations. It is an initiative of JSTOR, a not-for-profit organization with a mission to help the scholarly community take advantage of advances in technology. For more information regarding JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. http://www.jstor.org Fri Jan 4 15:02:00 2008 The latest data for 1978 suggests that the situa- ary 1975) the Committee on Science and Tech- budget appropriations." In other words, it tion may, in fact, be deteriorating.