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AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE ASSOCIATION AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW

AMERICAN https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000369 . . POLITICAL

https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms SCIENCE

REVIEW

, subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject ,

24 Sep 2021 at 14:35:58 at 2021 Sep 24 , on on ,

August 2018, Volume 112, Issue 3

170.106.202.58 . IP address: address: IP .

August 2018 Volume 112, Issue 3 Cambridge Core For further information about this journal

https://www.cambridge.org/core ISSN: 0003-0554 please go to the journal website at:

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LEAD EDITOR Jennifer Gandhi Andreas Schedler Thomas König Emory University Centro de Investigación y Docencia University of Mannheim, Germany Claudine Gay Económicas, Mexico Harvard University Frank Schimmelfennig ASSOCIATE EDITORS John Gerring ETH Zürich, Switzerland Kenneth Benoit University of Texas, Austin Carsten Q. Schneider London School of Economics Sona N. Golder Central European University, and Political Science Pennsylvania State University Budapest, Hungary Thomas Bräuninger Ruth W. Grant Sanjay Seth University of Mannheim Duke University Goldsmiths, University of London, UK Sabine Carey Julia Gray Carl K. Y. Shaw University of Mannheim University of Pennsylvania Academia Sinica, Taiwan Leigh Jenco Mary Alice Haddad Betsy Sinclair London School of Economics Wesleyan University Washington University in St. Louis and Political Science Peter A. Hall Beth A. Simmons Benjamin Lauderdale Harvard University University of Pennsylvania London School of Economics Mary Hawkesworth Dan Slater and Political Science Rutgers University University of Chicago Ingo Rohlfi ng Gretchen Helmke Rune Slothuus

https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000369 University of Cologne . . University of Rochester Aarhus University, Denmark D. Sunshine Hillygus Jeff Spinner-Halev EDITORIAL BOARD Duke University University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Fiona Adamson Juliet Hooker Etel Solingen SOAS, University of London, UK University of Texas, Austin University of California, Irvine Elisabeth Anker Valerie M. Hudson Tavneet Suri George Washington University Texas A&M University Massachusetts Institute of Technology Zehra F. Kabasakal Arat Macartan Humphreys Margit Tavits University of Connecticut Columbia University Washington University in St. Louis Amrita Basu Ana María Ibáñez Michelle Taylor-Robinson Amherst College Universidad de los Andes, Colombia Texas A&M University Janet Box-Steffensmeier Diana Kapiszewski Vera E. Troeger The Ohio State University Georgetown University Warwick University, UK Nancy Burns Gary King https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Karine Van der Straeten University of Michigan Harvard University Toulouse School of Economics, France Andrea Louise Campbell David Leheny Jennifer N. Victor Massachusetts Institute of Technology Princeton University George Mason University Kanchan Chandra Jack S. Levy Barbara F. Walter New York University Rutgers University University of California, San Diego Wendy K. Tam Cho Evan S. Lieberman Leonard Wantchekon University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Massachusetts Institute of Technology Princeton University Nazli Choucri Melanie Frances Manion S. Laurel Weldon Massachusetts Institute of Technology Duke University Purdue University Lynette J. Chua Elizabeth K. Markovits Stephen K. White National University of Singapore, Mount Holyoke College University of Virginia Singapore Helen V. Milner Christina Wolbrecht Romand Coles Princeton University University of Notre Dame Australian Catholic University, Australia Sara McLaughlin Mitchell Kathy Cramer University of Iowa EDITORIAL STAFF University of Wisconsin-Madison Kristen Renwick Monroe Managing Editor Brian F. Crisp University of California, Irvine Alyssa Taylor Washington University in St. Louis Rebecca B. Morton Editorial Assistants Justin Crowe New York University, Abu Dhabi , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Emmy Lindstam Williams College Michael A. Neblo Ivana Popovic Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham The Ohio State University Guido Ropers University of Maryland Elizabeth Maggie Penn Paola Romero Xinyuan Dai University of Chicago Tilko Swalve University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Lynda W. Powell Arduino Tomasi Laura Dugan University of Rochester Marta Wojciechowska University of Maryland Markus Prior John Duggan Student Assistants

24 Sep 2021 at 14:35:58 at 2021 Sep 24 Princeton University University of Rochester Melvin L. Rogers Katerina Beebe , on on , Tulia G. Falleti University of California, Los Angeles Ashrakat Elshehawy University of Pennsylvania Viktoriia Semenova Songying Fang Rice University

170.106.202.58 Association Offi ce Address and Membership Information: American Political Science Association individual membership dues are: Regular members with income of $200,000+, $325; $135,000 –$199,999, $276; $100,000 –$134,999, $246; $80,000 –$99,999, $212; $60,000 –$79,999, $191; $50,000 –$59,999, $175; $40,000 –$49,999, $145; $30,000 –$39,999, $98; under $30,000, $78; life member, $4,000; associate member (can select only one journal for print or online), $75; family member, $34; K-12 educator, $50; student member, $52; unemployed member, $45; retired, $25,000+, $66; retired under $25,000, $40; targeted . IP address: address: IP . international member, $45. The amount of the dues allocated for a subscription is $8.00 for an individual membership. Institutional members: level one, $900; level two, $1,250; level three, $1,750. Changes of address for members should be completed online or mailed to APSA Member Services, 1527 New Hampshire Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20036-1206. Subscription, Publishing, and Advertising Offi ce Address: Cambridge University Press, One Liberty Plaza, New York, NY 10006; and (outside the United States, Canada, and Mexico) Cambridge University Press, Journals Fulfi llment Department, University Printing House, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 8BS, England. Subscription Information: American Political Science Review (ISSN 0003-0554) is published quarterly in February, May, August, and Novem- ber by Cambridge University Press for the American Political Science Association. Annual institutional electronic-only subscription rate (2018) is US$1642 in the United States, Canada, and Mexico; £943 elsewhere. Annual institutional print-and-electronic subscription rate (2018) is US $1903 in the United States, Canada, and Mexico; £1080 elsewhere. American Political Science Review is sold only as part of a joint sub-

https://www.cambridge.org/core scription with the Perspective on Politics and PS: Political Science & Politics. Single part rate (2018) is US$182 in the United States, Cana- da, and Mexico; £104 elsewhere. Periodicals postage rate paid at New York, NY and additional mailing offi ces. Institutional subscription orders and address changes should be sent to American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, One Liberty Plaza, New York, NY 10006, USA. C American Political Science Association 2018. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, electronic, photocopying, or otherwise, without permission in writing from Cambridge University Press. Policies, request forms and contacts are available at: http://www.cambridge.org/rights/permissions/permission.htm Downloaded from from Downloaded Permission to copy (for users in the U.S.A.) is available from Copyright Clearance Center http://www.copyright.com, email: [email protected]

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NOTESFROMTHEEDITORS...... iii

ARTICLES https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000369

. . The Politics of International Oversight: Strategic Monitoring and Legal Compliance in the European Union Joshua C. Fjelstul and Clifford J. Carrubba ...... 429 Justifying the Jury: Reconciling Justice, Equality, and Democracy Melissa Schwartzberg ...... 446 Anonymity and Democracy: Absence as Presence in the Public Sphere Hans Asenbaum ...... 459 When Do Renters Behave Like Homeowners? High Rent, Price Anxiety, and NIMBYism Michael Hankinson ...... 473 https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms What Makes a Good Neighbor? Race, Place, and Norms of Political Participation Allison P. Anoll ...... 494 Who Punishes Extremist Nominees? Candidate Ideology and Turning Out the Base in US Elections Andrew B. Hall and Daniel M. Thompson ...... 509 The Ties That Double Bind: Social Roles and Women’s Underrepresentation in Politics Dawn Langan Teele, Joshua Kalla, and Frances Rosenbluth ...... 525 Bias in Perceptions of Public Opinion among Political Elites David E. Broockman and Christopher Skovron ...... 542 The Birth of Pork: Local Appropriations in America’s First Century Sanford C. Gordon and Hannah K. Simpson ...... 564 Dynamic Pivotal Politics Wioletta Dziuda and Antoine Loeper...... 580 , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Concealing Corruption: How Chinese Officials Distort Upward Reporting of Online Grievances Jennifer Pan and Kaiping Chen...... 602 How Sudden Censorship Can Increase Access to Information William R. Hobbs and Margaret E. Roberts ...... 621 24 Sep 2021 at 14:35:58 at 2021 Sep 24 Ethnic Segregation and Public Goods: Evidence from Indonesia , on on , Yuhki Tajima, Krislert Samphantharak, and Kai Ostwald ...... 637 Can Social Contact Reduce Prejudice and Discrimination? Evidence from a Field Exper- iment in Nigeria

170.106.202.58 Alexandra Scacco and Shana S. Warren ...... 654 Independent Candidates and Political Representation in India

Sacha Kapoor and Arvind Magesan ...... 678 . IP address: address: IP . LETTERS Trickle-Up Political Socialization: The Causal Effect on Turnout of Parenting a Newly Enfranchised Voter Jens Olav Dahlgaard ...... 698 Political Dynasties and the Incumbency Advantage in Party-Centered Environments Jon H. Fiva and Daniel M. Smith ...... 706 https://www.cambridge.org/core Candidate Sexual Orientation Didn’t Matter (in the Way You Might Think) in the 2015 UK General Election

Gabriele Magni and Andrew Reynolds ...... 713 Downloaded from from Downloaded About APSA Former APSA Presidents Founded in 1903, the American Political Science Association is the leading Charles S. Hyneman professional organization for the study of political science and serves more Frank J. Goodnow Albert Shaw Carl J. Friedrich than 13,000 members in over 80 countries. With a range of programs and Frederick N. Judson C. Herman Pritchett services for individuals, departments, and institutions, APSA brings togeth- James Bryce David B. Truman er political scientists from all fi elds of inquiry, regions, and occupational en- A. Lawrence Lowell Gabriel A. Almond deavors within and outside academe in order to deepen our understanding of Woodrow Wilson Robert A. Dahl politics, democracy, and citizenship throughout the world. Simeon E. Baldwin Merle Fainsod The direct advancement of knowledge is at the core of APSA activities. Albert Bushnell Hart David Easton We promote scholarly communication in political science through a variety W. W. Willoughby Karl W. Deutsch American of initiatives including publishing four distinguished journals: John Bassett Moore Robert E. Lane Political Science Review Perspectives on Politics PS: Political Science & Politics,

, , Ernst Freund Heinz Eulau https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055418000369 . . and Journal of Political Science Education. Jesse Macy Robert E. Ward Munroe Smith Avery Leiserson Offi cers Henry Jones Ford Austin Ranney Paul S. Reinsch James MacGregor Burns PRESIDENT PAST-PRESIDENT Leo S. Rowe Samuel H. Beer Kathleen Thelen David Lake William A. Dunning John C. Wahlke Massachusetts Institute of Technology University of California, San Diego Harry A. Garfi eld Leon D. Epstein James W. Garner Warren E. Miller PRESIDENT-ELECT TREASURER Charles E. Merriam Charles E. Lindblom

Rogers Smith Thomas Pepinsky Charles A. Beard Seymour Martin Lipset https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms University of Pennsylvania Cornell University William Bennett Munro William H. Riker Jesse S. Reeves Philip E. Converse PROGRAM CO-CHAIRS VICE-PRESIDENTS John A. Fairlie Richard F. Fenno Henry Farrell Evelyne Huber Benjamin F. Shambaugh Aaron B. Wildavsky The George Washington University University of North Carolina, Edward S. Corwin Samuel P. Huntington Chapel Hil Anna Grzymala-Busse William F. Willoughby Kenneth N. Waltz Pippa Norris Stanford University Isidor Loeb Lucian W. Pye Harvard University & University of Walter Shepard Judith N. Shklar Sydney EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR Francis W. Coker Theodore J. Lowi Steven Rathgeb Smith Arthur N. Holcombe James Q. Wilson Gary Segura Thomas Reed Powell Lucius J. Barker University of California, Los Angeles Clarence A. Dykstra Charles O. Jones Charles Grove Haines Sidney Verba Council Robert C. Brooks Arend Lijphart , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at at available use, of terms Core Cambridge the to subject , Frederic A. Ogg Elinor Ostrom 2015–2018 2016–2019 2017–2020 William Anderson M. Kent Jennings Amaney Jamal Matt Barreto Joseph Carens Robert E. Cushman Matthew Holden, Jr. Princeton University University of California, University of Toronto Leonard D. White Robert O. Keohane Los Angeles Brett Ashley Leeds Lisa Garcia-Bedolla John Gaus Robert Jervis Walter F. Dodd Robert D. Putnam

24 Sep 2021 at 14:35:58 at 2021 Sep 24 Rice University Mark Crescenzi University of California, University of North Berkeley Arthur W. MacMahon Theda Skocpol , on on , James Mahoney Carolina, Chapel Hill Henry R. Spencer Susanne Hoeber Rudolph Northwestern University Lilly J. Goren Quincy Wright Margaret Levi Omar Encarnación Carrol University Byron D’Andra Orey James K. Pollock Ira Katznelson Bard College

170.106.202.58 Jackson State University Simon Jackman Peter H. Odegard Robert Axelrod Kristian Gleditsch University of Sydney Luther Gulick Dianne M. Pinderhughes Bo Rothstein University of Essex Peter Katzenstein University of Gothenburg Matthew Kocher Pendleton Herring Ralph J. Bunche Henry E. Brady . IP address: address: IP . Juliet Hooker Johns Hopkins University Cameron Thies Brown University Charles McKinley Carole Pateman Arizona State University Erin Richards Harold D. Lasswell G. Bingham Powell, Jr. Colleen Shogan Cascadia College Caroline Tolbert E. E. Schattschneider Jane Mansbridge Library of Congress University of Iowa Valeria Sinclair-Chapman V. O. Key, Jr. John H. Aldrich Renée Van Vechten Purdue University R. Taylor Cole Rodney E. Hero Carol Weissert University of Redlands Carl B. Swisher Jennifer Hochschild Florida State University Laura Sjoberg Emmette S. Redford David Lake (2017–2018) Christina Wolbrecht University of Florida https://www.cambridge.org/core University of Notre Dame

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