Here There Are Plans Taken to Bring It to Light”
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PANDA’S SCIENTIFIC ADVISORY BOARD SCOTT W. ATLAS SUCHARIT BHAKDI JAY BHATTACHARYA SUNETRA GUPTA SCOTT JENSEN MARTIN KULLDORFF MICHAEL LEVITT PAUL E. PETERSON ELLEN TOWNSEND MIKE YEADON OUR NETWORK “The truth ultimately prevails where there are plans taken to bring it to light” George Washington A WORLD GRIPPED BY FEAR THE FALSE NARRATIVE BEHIND THE A deadly novel virus is sweeping the planet. FEAR Nobody is immune and there is no cure. Asymptomatic people are major drivers of disease. So we have to lock down and wear masks until everyone is vaccinated. Anyone who challenges this narrative is a danger to society. UNJUSTIFIED FEAR IN THE FACE OF REALITY A virus that presents high risk to few and negligible risk to most hit some regions. THE REALITY Few are susceptible to severe disease. There are several available treatments. Asymptomatics are not major drivers of disease. Lockdowns and mask mandates, never recommended before, were tried. They haven’t worked and caused great harm. The vulnerable were hurt instead of helped. CFR= Deaths/ diagnosed A DEADLY cases VIRUS? IFR= Deaths/ total infected cases TEDROS ADHANOM “Reported case fatality rates, like the official 3.4% rate from the WHO, cause horror — and are NOT SO meaningless.” DEADLY 7 M A R C H 2 0 2 0 A review of 61 seroprevalence studies IFR: median is 0.23%, 0.05% for those below 70 1 4 O C T 2 0 2 0 JOHN IOANNIDIS NOT SO “The consequences of Covid-19 may DEADLY ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza” 2 6 M A R C H 2 0 2 0 ANTHONY FAUCI YOUNGER THAN 19 Y OLDER THAN 70 Y IFR= 3 DEATHS/ 100,000 IFR= 5000 DEATHS/ INFECTIONS DIFFERENCE IN 100,000 INFECTIONS MORTALITY A “NOVEL” VIRUS? 1 1 F E B R U A R Y 2 0 2 0 NOT SO “NOVEL” 7 RELATED CORONAVIRUSES KNOWN TO CAUSE DISEASE An inconsistent name? IN HUMANS 2 M A R C H 2 0 2 0 EVERYONE IS SUSCEPTIBLE? MARIA VAN KERKHOVE HOMOSAPIENOPHOBIA EVERYONE IS DANGEROUS UNTIL PROVEN HEALTHY AGE- GRADUATED MORTALITY LIMITED SUSCEPTIBILITY The Diamond Princess 20 JAN - 9 FEB 2020 Image source: https://www.usatoday.com/story/travel/cruises/2020/02/10/c oronavirus-diamond-princess-cruise-ship-japan-more- cases/4711446002/ NOT EVERYONE IS SUSCEPTIBLE DEATHS PER MILLION EUROPE & THE AMERICAS 710 AFRICA, ASIA, OCEANIA 112 Differential mortality across the globe NOT EVERYONE IS There is pre-existing immunity SUSCEPTIBLE from exposure to previous viruses “The evidence that a subset of people has a cross- reactive T-cell repertoire through exposure to related coronaviruses is strong.“ 1 5 D E C E M B E R 2 0 2 0 Source: https://www.bmj.com/content/370/bmj.m3563 ASYMPTOMATICS DRIVE DISEASE? Transmission of 2019-nCoV Infection from an Asymptomatic Contact in Germany 5 M A R C H 2 0 2 0 16 SUBSEQUENT CASES FOLLOWING EXPOSURE TO CHINESE COLLEAGUE CLAIMED TO BE ASYMPTOMATIC CONFUSED? RARE OR NOT RARE? MARIA VAN KERKHOVE ASYMPTOMATIC TRANSMISSION “In all the history of respiratory-born viruses of any IS VERY RARE type, asymptomatic transmission has never been the driver of outbreaks. The driver of outbreaks is always a symptomatic person.” 2 8 J A N U A R Y 2 0 2 0 ANTHONY FAUCI ASYMPTOMATIC TRANSMISSION IS VERY RARE Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis “Household secondary attack rates were increased from symptomatic index cases (18.0%) than from asymptomatic index cases (0.7%)” 1 4 D E C E M B E R 2 0 2 0 LOCKDOWNS SAVE LIVES? F E B R U A R Y 2 0 2 0 BRUCE AYLWARD Pre-COVID-19 Pandemic plans LOCKDOWNS DON’T SAVE LIVES INEFFECTIVE EFFECTIVE MEASURES: > LARGE-SCALE MEASURES: QUARANTINES >ISOLATION OF > BORDER CLOSURES THE SICK > SCHOOL CLOSURES > HAND-WASHING > SOCIAL DISTANCING > MASKS New studies show... LOCKDOWNS DON’T SAVE LIVES “We do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.” 5 J A N U A R Y 2 0 2 1 LOCKDOWNS “Most of the estimates show the draconian DON’T SAVE lockdowns increased the problems, (they were) LIVES pro-contagion.” 2 0 F E B R U A R Y 2 0 2 1 JOHN IOANNIDIS LOCKDOWNS DON’T SAVE LIVES J U N E 2 0 2 0 LOCKDOWNS DON’T SAVE LIVES Total Deaths Per Million Log Million Per Deaths Total Stringency Index LOCKDOWNS From country DON’T SAVE to country the LIVES picture is the same: No detectable “regime change” on introduction or suspension of lockdown. LOCKDOWNS North Dakota vs South Dakota DON’TLOCKDOWNS SAVE LIVES COVID-19 Cases Per Million DON’T SAVE MASKS LIVES Different responses, similar outcomes North Dakota Masks (Open) Business Restrictions Lockdown (Closed) South Dakota No Masks No Business Restrictions LOCKDOWNS DON’T SAVE PREDICTED LIVES Predicted vs real deaths in Sweden IN FACT, LOCKDOWNS HARM UNICEF PREDICTS 1.2 MILLION CHILD DEATHS 150 MILLION PEOPLE PUSHED INTO EXTREME POVERTY 130 MILLION PEOPLE THREATENED BY STARVATION OVER 40 MILLION NEW JOBLESS CLAIMS DELAYS IN TREATMENT AND DIAGNOSIS DEPRESSION, ANXIETY AND DEATHS OF DESPAIR 1.6 BILLION CHILDREN OUT OF SCHOOL ONLINE LEARNING IS A FAILURE Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/on- parenting/meghan-leahy-i-had-my-child-quit-school-this- week/2020/05/26/46644096-9b6f-11ea-ac72-3841fcc9b35f_story.html LOCKDOWNS SHIFT THE BURDEN OF DISEASE FROM THE YOUNG TO THE OLD, KILLING MORE VULNERABLE ALONG THE WAY MASK MANDATES REDUCE TRANSMISSION Mask guidance changes... MASK Interim guidance MANDATES DON’T REDUCE Advice on the use of masks in the context of TRANSMISSION COVID-19 “At present, there is no direct evidence (from studies on COVID19 and in healthy people in the community) on the effectiveness of universal masking of healthy people in the community to prevent infection with respiratory viruses, including COVID-19.” 5 J U N E 2 0 2 0 MASK MANDATES REDUCE TRANSMISSION M A Y 2 0 2 0 CDC supports mask mandates on their website using studies with unsound methodologies Policy Review MASK MANDATES Nonpharmaceutical Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare DON’T REDUCE Settings—Personal Protective and Environmental Measures TRANSMISSION “We did not find evidence that surgical-type face masks are effective in reducing laboratory- confirmed influenza transmission, either when worn by infected persons (source control) or by persons in the general community to reduce their susceptibility.” M A Y 2 0 2 0 MASK Mask States vs No Masks States MANDATES DON’T REDUCE TRANSMISSION State comparisons on introduction/ non-introduction of mandates. MASKS OR “MASKERADE”? PERHAPS TWO WILL DO? Image Source: https://www.insider.com/ways-to-make- your-face-mask-more-effective-2021-2 “Sometimes you get the feeling that there is a whole industry almost waiting for a pandemic to occur” Epidemiologist Tom Jefferson VACCINES A TICKET TO FREEDOM? Humorous meme Source: COVID Medical Network VACCINES: IN THE NAME OF EQUITY 7.8BN MUST GET VACCINATED FOR A DISEASE WITH A 99.95% MEDIAN SURVIVAL RATE IN <70 ABOUT THE VACCINES... Cost-benefit analysis of vaccinating the planet? FOCUSED VACCINATION STRATEGY Source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/02/16/he alth/covid-vaccine-teens.html STUCK BETWEEN A ROCK AND A HARD PLACE PCR test doesn’t diagnose infectiousness Inflation of deaths numbers THE NEW Media is propaganda ABNORMAL Rampant misinformation Vicious cycles of lockdowns Restrictions on movement and travel Arbitrary rules: 6 feet? curfews? temperature checks? Vaccine certificates for freedom Loss of personal liberties Loss of education Loss of lives & livelihoods And the never-ending list goes on… THE NEW Fear of reinfection ABNORMAL Fear of long COVID Fear of resurgence Fear of new variants Fear of the unknown Fear of uncertainty Fear of risk Fear of life WE ARE ENSLAVED BY FEAR OUR ORWELLIAN REALITY Source: https://www.standard.co.uk/news/world/thai-nursery-school-pupils- perspex-boxes-coronavirus-a4521146.html OUR CIVILISATION IS UNDER THREAT. WE HAVE A CHOICE. BE PUSHED OFF THE CLIFF OR PUSH BACK? THE GREAT BARRINGTON DECLARATION Focused Protection PROTOCOL FOR REOPENING SOCIETY Open Businesses Open Schools Open Travel Open Science Open Humanity “I learned that courage was not the absence of fear, but the triumph over it.” Nelson Mandela “Men,…think in herds; …they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.” Charles MacKay TO GO BACK TO NORMAL, WE NEED TO MOUNT A MASSIVE AWARENESS CAMPAIGN TO REVERSE THE HARMFUL NARRATIVE AND REDUCE THE FEAR. PANDA NEEDS YOUR SUPPORT. THEN WE MUST GO FURTHER THAN THAT. BECAUSE IT’S NOT JUST ABOUT NOW, IT’S ABOUT THE FUTURE. WE MUST ENVISION A NEW SYSTEM THAT SAFEGUARDS OUR WAY OF LIFE, OUR LIBERTIES AND FREEDOMS. DEVELOPED BY ABIR BALLAN, MPH DESIGNED BY NICKY RUSSELL PHOTOS FROM UNSPLASH AND PEXELS UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED Copyright © by PANDA Pandemics Data & Analytics, 2021. Some rights reserved. [license_4.0] This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. 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