The Military Potential of CHINA’S Commercial Technology Roger Cliff Prepared for the United States Air Force Project AIR FORCE • R Approved for public release; distribution unlimited The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F49642-96-C-0001. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division, Directorate of Plans, Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Cliff, Roger. The military potential of China’s commercial technology / Roger Cliff. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references. “MR-1292-AF.” ISBN 0-8330-2939-8 1. China—Defenses. 2. China—Armed Forces. 3. Industrial mobilization— China. 4. China—Economic conditions—1976– I. Title. UA835 .C57 2001 355'.07'0951—dc21 00-068328 RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND® is a registered trademark. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. © Copyright 2001 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND. Cover design by Tanya Maiboroda Published 2001 by RAND 1700 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202-5050 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org/ To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information, contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002; Fax: (310) 451-6915; Internet:
[email protected] PREFACE This report examines the potential of China’s civilian industry to serve as a source of advanced technology for China’s military.