Farmed Shrimp Production Data & Analysis

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Farmed Shrimp Production Data & Analysis 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Shrimp Production Review • Professor James L. Anderson, Director, Institute for Sustainable Food Systems - University of Florida • Dr. Diego Valderrama, University of los Andes, Colombia • Dr. Darryl Jory, Editor Emeritus, Global Aquaculture Alliance 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Other Middle East / N Africa Shrimp Aquaculture Production by World Region: 2000-2015 (FAO Data) India 2006 - 2012 CAGR: 4.8% Americas China 5000K +4.2% Southeast Asia +8.8% 4500K Source: FAO (2017). +3.2% Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, 4000K Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and 3500K Taiwan. M. rosenbergii is not included. 3000K MT 2500K 2000K 1500K 1000K 500K 0K 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Other Middle East / N Africa Shrimp Aquaculture Production by World Region: 2000-2019 India Americas (FAO and GOAL Data) China 2016-2019 Projected CAGR: Southeast Asia 2006-2012 CAGR: 3.6% 4.8% Sources: FAO (2017) for 5000K 2000-2009; GOAL (2011-2016) for 2010-2015; GOAL (2017) 4500K for 2016-2019. 23.3% -7.2% Southeast Asia includes 4000K Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Malaysia, -10.4% 3500K Philippines, Myanmar and Taiwan. 3000K M. rosenbergii is not included. MT 2500K 2000K 1500K 1000K 500K 0K 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Other Middle East / Northern Africa Shrimp Aquaculture Production by World Region: 2000-2019 (FAO and GOAL Americas India Data) China 5000K 6.0 Southeast Asia U.S. End-of-Year Composite Import Price 5.5 4500K 5.0 Sources: FAO (2017) for 2000-2009; GOAL 867,861 4000K (2011-2016) for 2010-2015; GOAL (2017) for 809,617 2016-2019. 595,197 4.5 756,430 3500K 701,200 498,964 540,129 678,202 Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, 576,920 4.0 Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and 541,700 520,753 Taiwan. 3000K 494,959 477,091 3.5 M. rosenbergii is not included. MT 2500K 3.0 1,358,264 USD/lb 1,473,811 1,344,859 1,644,835 1,541,242 1,568,235 2.5 1,350,622 2000K 1,333,778 1,352,762 1,268,074 1,444,648 1,265,636 1,306,804 1,113,550 2.0 1500K 891,873 814,259 1.5 1000K 687,628 1.0 1,910,092 1,782,923 1,772,186 1,572,894 1,574,077 1,524,970 1,537,435 1,524,638 1,524,715 1,483,935 1,431,866 1,419,978 500K 1,385,495 1,342,411 1,208,324 0.5 1,043,946 905,894 740,925 718,787 0K 666,989 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 FAO Data GOAL Data World Shrimp Aquaculture Production Comparing FAO and GOAL Data Sources: FAO (2017) and GOAL (2011-2017). 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 5000K M. rosenbergii is not FAO data do not reflect any major impact of included. diseases in 2013. 4500K 4000K 3500K 3000K MT 2500K 2000K 1500K 1000K 500K 0K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Estimate 10 Estimate 9 Production of L. vannamei in China Estimate 8 Estimate 7 Estimates Provided by GOAL Survey Respondents, 2010-2016 Estimate 6 2016 Estimate 5 Estimate 4 Estimate 3 Estimate 2 2015 Estimate 1 GOAL Average* FAO Estimate 2014 Sources: FAO (2017); GOAL (2011-2017). 2013 *Unweighted average of GOAL estimates 2012 2011 2010 0K 100K 200K 300K 400K 500K 600K 700K 800K 900K 1000K 1100K 1200K 1300K 1400K 1500K 1600K 1700K MT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Southeast Asia China Shrimp Aquaculture by Major Producing Regions: 2012-2019 Americas India Southeast Asia China Americas India Middle East / N Africa Middle East / N Africa 2000K Sources: GOAL (2013-2016) 1800K for 2012-2015; GOAL (2017) for 2016-2019. 1600K Southeast Asia includes Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia, 1400K Bangladesh, Malaysia, Philippines, Myanmar and Taiwan. 1200K M. rosenbergii is not included. MT 1000K 800K 600K 400K 200K 0K 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Shrimp Aquaculture by Major Producing Regions: 2012-2015 vs 2015-2019 Southeast Asia China India Americas 20% 18.8% 18% 16% Sources: GOAL (2013-2016) for 14% 2012-2015; GOAL (2017) for 2016-2019. 12% 11.2% Southeast Asia includes Thailand, 10% Vietnam, Indonesia, 7.9% Bangladesh, Malaysia, 8% 7.7% Philippines, Myanmar 6.4% and Taiwan. 6% M. rosenbergii is not included. 4% Compound Annual Growth Rate Growth Annual Compound 2% 0% -2% -1.5% -2.3% -2.7% -4% 2012-2015 2015-2019 2012-2015 2015-2019 2012-2015 2015-2019 2012-2015 2015-2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Shrimp Aquaculture in Asia: 2012-2019 China Thailand Vietnam Indonesia India 1600K 1500K Impact of diseases: Production decreased 1400K substantially in China and Thailand in 2013, with only a 1300K partial recovery expected by 1200K 2019. 1100K Production has been fluctuating in Vietnam and 1000K Indonesia, with positive growth expectations by 900K 2019. MT 800K Production in India is clearly 700K trending upwards. 600K Sources: GOAL (2013-2016) for 2012-2015; GOAL (2017) 500K for 2016-2019. 400K M. rosenbergii is not included. 300K 200K 100K 0K 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Shrimp Aquaculture in Asia: 2012-2019 Bangladesh Malaysia Myanmar Philippines 90K Bangladesh and 80K Myanmar respondents expect lower 70K production in 2019 relative to 2012. Malaysia was strongly 60K affected by EMS but the industry is expected to recover by 50K 2019. MT Sources: GOAL 40K (2013-2016) for 2012-2015; GOAL (2017) for 2016-2019. 30K M. rosenbergii is not included. 20K 10K 0K 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Shrimp Aquaculture in Latin America: 2012-2019 Ecuador Mexico Brazil 500K Ecuador has 450K experienced strong growth in the last few 400K years. Mexico has recovered 350K after being impacted by EMS in 2013.
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