Methods for Integrated Modeling of Landscape Change: Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System
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United States Department of Agriculture Methods for Integrated Modeling Forest Service of Landscape Change: Pacific Northwest Research Station Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System General Technical Report PNW-GTR-610 September 2004 INLAS Integrated Multiple Management Objectives INLAS Project USDA FS PNW Research Station Technical Editors Jane L. Hayes is a research biological scientist, and Alan A. Ager is an operations research analyst, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850; and R. James Barbour is a research forest products technologist, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, P.O. Box 3890, Portland OR 97208-3890 Photo Credits Top (fire) clockwise: EPS Team Photo Archive, Phil Howell, Evelyn Bull (woodpecker), Frank Vanni, Dean Parry, Jamie Barbour, Phil Howell, Jamie Barbour, John Szymoniak Contributing Authors Alan A. Ager is an operations research analyst, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Marti Aitken is a resource information manager, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] R. James Barbour is a research forest products technologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 620 SW Main, Suite 400, Portland, OR 97205. [email protected] Pete Bettinger is an associate professor, Daniel B. Warnell School of Forest Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602. [email protected] Roger N. Clark is a research social scientist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Pacific Wildland Fire Sciences Laboratory, 400 N 34th Street, Suite 201, Seattle, WA 98103. [email protected] Mark A. Finney is a research forester, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fire Sciences Laboratory, P.O. Box 8089, Missoula, MT 59807. [email protected] David Graetz is a Ph.D. candidate, Department of Forest Resources, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331. Jane L. Hayes is a research biological scientist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Miles Hemstrom is a research ecologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 620 SW Main, Suite 400, Portland, OR 97205. [email protected] Philip J. Howell is a fisheries biologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Region. Howell is located at the Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Bruce Johnson is a fish and wildlife biologist, Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Jeffrey Kline is a research forester, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 3200 SW Jefferson Way, Corvallis, OR 97331. [email protected] Gary J. Lettman is a principal forest economist, Oregon Department of Forestry, 2600 State Street, Salem, OR 97310. [email protected] Douglas Maguire is an associate professor of silviculture, Department of Forest Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331. [email protected] Robert Riggs is a research wildlife biologist, Boise Building Solutions, Northeast Oregon/Idaho Region, 1917 Jackson Street, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Craig L. Schmitt is a plant pathologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Blue Mountains Pest Management Service Center, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] John Sessions is a university distinguished professor and Stewart Professor of forest engineering, Department of Forest Engineering, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331. [email protected] Ryan Singleton is a research forester, Department of Forest Science, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR 97331. [email protected] Lowell H. Suring is a wildlife ecologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Terrestrial Wildlife Unit, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 316 E Myrtle Street, Boise, ID 83702. [email protected] Martin Vavra is a research range scientist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Barbara C. Wales is a wildlife biologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Michael J. Wisdom is a research wildlife biologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forest Service, Forestry and Range Sciences Laboratory, 1401 Gekeler Lane, La Grande, OR 97850. [email protected] Steven M. Wondzell is a research aquatic ecologist, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, 3625 93rd Ave., Olympia, WA 98512. [email protected] Methods for Integrated Modeling of Landscape Change: Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System Jane L. Hayes, Alan A. Ager, and R. James Barbour Technical Editors U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station Portland, Oregon General Technical Report PNW-GTR-610 September 2004 Abstract Hayes, Jane L.; Ager, Alan. A.; Barbour, R. James, tech. eds. 2004. Methods for integrated modeling of landscape change: Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-610. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 218 p. The Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System (INLAS) links a number of resource, disturbance, and landscape simulations models to examine the interactions of vegeta- tive succession, management, and disturbance with policy goals. The effects of natural disturbance like wildfire, herbivory, forest insects and diseases, as well as specific man- agement actions are included. The outputs from simulations illustrate potential changes in aquatic conditions and terrestrial habitat, potential for wood utilization, and socio- economic opportunities. The 14 chapters of this document outline the current state of knowledge in each of the areas covered by the INLAS project and describe the objec- tives and organization of the project. The project explores ways to integrate the effects of natural disturbances and management into planning and policy analyses; illustrate potential conflicts among current policies, natural distrubances, and management activities; and explore the policy, economics, and ecological constraints associated with the application of effective fuel treatments on midscale landscapes in the interior Northwest. Keywords: Forest simulation analysis, midscale, vegetation succession, disturbance, management. Preface The concept of a process for evaluating policy direction and management options for subbasin-size landscapes in the interior West evolved from the Pacific Northwest Research Station’s Research Initiative for Improving Forest Ecosystem Health and Productivity in Eastern Oregon and Washington. The Interior Northwest Landscape Analysis System (INLAS) project was initiated to explore this concept and began with meetings of resource managers and scientists from various disciplines and institutions. This group suggested ways to build an integrated set of tools and methods for address- ing resource management questions on large, multiowner landscapes. The papers in this volume are the outcome of these meetings and document our initial approach to develop- ing an integrated landscape analysis framework. Collectively, the papers illustrate the diversity of methods for modeling different resources and reflect the inherent complexity of linking models to create a functional framework for integrated resource analysis. We are still a long way from a perfect tool, the linkages among the chapters are not always apparent, and integration issues have not been consistently addressed. We cannot yet address the interrelationships between many key natural and anthropomorphic proc- esses on large landscapes. We also found that integration forced scientists to general- ize relationships and to summarize detailed research findings in order to incorporate their disciplines at the landscape scale of the INLAS framework. With a growing interest in integrated natural resource modeling, we concluded that, despite the fact that we have not solved all the problems associated with integrating information from different scientific disciplines, creating this document will provide a valuable resource for future researchers who want to understand how groups of scientists organize themselves for a project like INLAS. There are few examples of case studies of similar work in other regions, and to our knowledge, none that document such early stages of these projects’ organization. The reader can learn from both the continuity and lack thereof among the chapters, and perhaps use this publication to learn new ways to deal with the dilemma of how to hybridize long-term