Latest Tracking Poll Results Press Release May 13, 2020 Contact Information
2
Date of survey: 4-6/5/2020 Survey method: Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers Target population: Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18+ Sample size: 1,004 (including 502 landline and 502 mobile samples) Effective response: 62.5% Sampling error: Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4%, that of net values not more than +/-7% and that of ratings not more than +/-2.5 at 95% conf. level Weighting method: Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2019”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2019 Edition)”. Survey Topic
3 Popularity of Chief Executive Popularity of Principal Officials Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
4 Popularity of Chief Executive
14-17/4/2020 4-6/5/2020 Change Record
Rating 27.7 27.9 ▲0.3 Record high since July 2019
Vote of 18% 17% ▼1% Record low since Mar. 2020 CE confidence Carrie Lam Vote of 72% 73% ▲1% Record high since Mar. 2020 no confidence Net approval -54% -56% ▼2% Record low since Mar. 2020 rate
The popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam now stands at 27.9 marks. 44% participants give her 0 rating. Her approval rate is 17%, disapproval rate 73%, giving a net popularity of negative 56 percentage points. All popularity figures have not changed much from half a month ago. Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
5
市民對林鄭月娥出任特首的假設投票結果 (按次計算) Hypothetical Voting for Carrie Lam as the Chief Executive (Per Poll) (7/2017 – 5/2020) 會 Yes 唔會 No 淨值 Net value 100%
80%
60%52%
40%
20% 17% 18%
0% Percentage
-20%
-34% 百分比
-40%
-56% -60% -73% -80%
-100% 7/2017 10/2017 1/2018 4/2018 7/2018 10/2018 1/2019 4/2019 7/2019 10/2019 1/2020 4/2020
調查日期 Date of Survey 『唔會』 百分比以負向表示。 Percentage of 'No' is presented as negative Survey Result - Popularity of Chief Executive
6
特首林鄭月娥評分 (按次計算) Rating for Chief Executive Carrie Lam (Per Poll) (7/2017 – 5/2020) 100% 100
90% 90
80% 80
70% 70 63.6 60% 60 100
50% 50 Rating Percentage 51-99
40% 40 評分 50
百分比 27.9 30% 30 1-49 0 20% 20 評分 Rating 10% 10
0% 0
調查日期 Date of Survey Survey Topic
9 Popularity of Chief Executive Popularity of Principal Officials Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
10 Secretaries of Departments
30/3-2/4/2020 4-6/5/2020 Change Record
Chief Secretary for Rating 29.5 30.1 ▲0.7 Record high since Sept. 2019 Administration Matthew Cheung Net approval rate -34% -32% ▲2% Record high since Nov. 2019
Rating 32.4 33.3 ▲0.9 Record high since Feb. 2020 Financial Secretary Paul Chan Net approval rate -26% -24% ▲2% Record high since Feb. 2020
Secretary for Rating 18.7 20.2 ▲1.5 Record high since Aug. 2019 Justice Teresa Cheng Net approval rate -63% -61% ▲2% Record high since Sept. 2019 Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
11
各司長評分 - 綜合圖表 (按次計算) Ratings of Secretaries of Departments Combined (per poll) (2/2017 – 5/2020) Chief Secretary for Administration Financial Secretary Secretary for Justice Matthew Cheung Paul Chan Teresa Cheng 70
60
50.4 50
Rating 40 34.1 評分 33.3 3034.0 30.1
20 20.2
10 2/2017 6/2017 10/2017 2/2018 6/2018 10/2018 2/2019 6/2019 10/2019 2/2020
調查日期 Date of Survey Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
12
Directors of Bureau - Net approval rate
30/3-2/4/2020 4-6/5/2020 Change Record Secretary for the Environment -5% 7% ▲12% * Record high since Sept. 2019 Wong Kam-sing Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury -- -1% -- -- Christopher Hui^ – Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit^ -- -3% -- -- NetSecretary for Homeapproval Affairs Caspar Tsui^ rate-- -3% -- -- Secretary for Development Michael Wong -10% -4% ▲6% Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan -21% -5% ▲16% * Record high since Sept. 2019 Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip^ -- -9% -- -- Secretary for Labour and Welfare -11% -12% ▼1% Record low since Feb. 2020 Law Chi-kwong Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs -- -18% -- -- Erick Tsang^ Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development -9% -19% ▼10% * Record low since July 2017 Edward Yau Secretary for Transport and Housing -18% -20% ▼2% Record low since Feb. 2020 Frank Chan Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung -36% -35% -- Record high since Feb. 2020 Secretary for Security John Lee -41% -47% ▼7% Record low since Feb. 2020
^New Directors * Significant change Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
13
Hypothetical Voting of Directors of Bureau (Net Approval Rate) - Combined Charts
30/3-2/4/2020 4-6/5/2020 20%
10% 7%
0% -1% -3% -3% -4% -10% -5% -5% -9% -10% -11%-12% -9% -20% -18% -18% -21% -19% -20%
Percentage -30%
-40% -36%-35% -41%
-50% -47%
Christopher Christopher Hui
LawChi
ITB SecretaryITB SecretaryCMAB
WongKam Secretary FHB Secretary CSB SB Secretary
CEDB Secretary CEDB SecretaryTHB HABSecretary
-60% FSTBSecretary
LWBSecretary
DEVB SecretaryDEVB Secretary EDB
EPD EPD Secretary
Sophia Sophia Chan
KevinYeung
Michael Wong
Frank Chan Frank
Patrick Patrick Nip
CasparTsui
John John Lee
EdwardYau
AlfredSit
ErickTsang
-
kwong
- sing
Directors of Bureaux Survey Result - Popularity of Principal Officials
14
Net approval rate of Directors of Bureau and Recognition rate chart
● Current Survey ● Last Survey ● New directors