FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE December 23, 2009
INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312
GOP leads in Kentucky Senate Race
Raleigh, N.C. – Both Republican candidates lead both Democratic candidates for the US Senate in Kentucky, according to new numbers from Public Policy Polling.
Trey Grayson does slightly better than Rand Paul against their Democratic opponents while Jack Conway does slightly better than Dan Mongiardo against the Republicans, but the results are all pretty similar. Grayson leads Conway 40-33 and Mongiardo 44-35. Paul leads Conway and Mongiardo by identical 42-36 margins.
Kentucky independents are overwhelmingly leaning toward the GOP, giving Grayson and Paul leads ranging from 25 to 34 points over the Democratic contenders. Republicans are also more unified, with their candidates taking anywhere from 69-75% of their party’s votes in contrast to the Democrats who snag just 54-61% support from within their party.
A major factor in the early Republican leads has to be the unpopularity of Barack Obama and national Democrats in Kentucky. The President has just a 35% approval rating in the state, and only 28% of voters support his health care plan. Even among Democrats support is under 50%. Just 26% of voters have a favorable opinion of Congressional Democrats.
“It’s a good time to be a Republican right now and that’s reflected in the party’s early lead for the Kentucky Senate race,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “At the same time you have to remember early polling showed Mitch McConnell with a 15 point lead over Bruce Lunsford and he ended up winning by just six points. Things could change a lot between now and November.”
PPP surveyed 1,199 Kentucky voters from December 18th to 21st. The margin of error is +/-2.8%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Complete results are attached and can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com.
If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888. ###
Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] Kentucky Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Barack Obama’s job performance? If you of Jack Conway? If favorable, press 1. If approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press If you’re not sure, press 3. 3. Approve ...... 35% Favorable...... 19% Disapprove...... 59% Unfavorable ...... 18% Not Sure...... 6% Not Sure...... 63% Q2 Do you support or oppose President Obama’s Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion health care plan, or do you not have an of Trey Grayson? If favorable, press 1. If opinion? If you support it, press 1. If you unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press oppose it, press 2. If you don’t have an opinion, 3. press 3. Favorable...... 19% Support ...... 28% Unfavorable ...... 17% Oppose ...... 62% Not Sure...... 64% No Opinion...... 10% Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Governor of Dan Mongiardo? If favorable, press 1. If Steve Beshear’s job performance? If you unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. 3. If you’re not sure, press 3. Favorable...... 25% Not Sure...... 38% Approve ...... 36% Unfavorable ...... 37% Disapprove...... 39% Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Not Sure...... 25% of Rand Paul? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press Q4 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mitch 3. McConnell’s job performance? If you approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you’re Favorable...... 26% not sure, press 3. Unfavorable ...... 23% Approve ...... 48% Not Sure...... 51% Disapprove...... 41% Q10 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Not Sure...... 11% Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Trey Grayson, who would you vote for? If Jack Q5 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jim Conway, press 1. If Trey Grayson, press 2. If Bunning’s job performance? If you approve, you’re undecided, press 3. press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you’re not sure, press 3. Conway...... 33% Approve ...... 29% Grayson ...... 40% Disapprove...... 44% Undecided...... 27% Not Sure...... 27%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q11 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Q16 Do you think that Congressional Democrats Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Rand are too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Paul, who would you vote for? If Jack Conway, If too liberal, press 1. If too conservative, press press 1. If Rand Paul, press 2. If you’re 2. If about right, press 3. undecided, press 3. Too Liberal...... 56% Conway...... 36% Too Conservative...... 12% Paul ...... 42% About Right...... 32% Undecided...... 22% Q17 Do you think that Congressional Republicans Q12 If the candidates for US Senate next year were are too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Democrat Dan Mongiardo and Republican Trey If too liberal, press 1. If too conservative, press Grayson, who would you vote for? If Dan 2. If about right, press 3. Mongiardo, press 1. If Trey Grayson, press 2. Too Liberal...... 23% If you’re undecided, press 3. Too Conservative...... 37% Mongiardo...... 35% About Right...... 40% Grayson ...... 44% Undecided...... Q18 Who did you vote for President last year? If 21% John McCain, press 1. If Barack Obama, press Q13 If the candidates for US Senate next year were 2. If someone else or you don’t remember, Democrat Dan Mongiardo and Republican press 3. Rand Paul, who would you vote for? If Dan McCain...... 54% Mongiardo, press 1. If Rand Paul, press 2. If you’re undecided, press 3. Obama...... 38% Mongiardo...... 36% Someone Else/Don't Remember...... 8% Paul ...... 42% Q19 Would you describe yourself as a liberal, Undecided...... moderate, or conservative? If liberal, press 1. If 22% moderate, press 2. If conservative, press 3. Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Liberal...... 13% of the Democrats in Congress? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not Moderate...... 43% sure, press 3. Conservative...... 45% Favorable...... 26% Q20 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2. Unfavorable ...... 63% Woman ...... 52% Not Sure...... 11% Man...... 48% Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q21 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a of the Republicans in Congress? If favorable, Republican, press 2. If you are an independent press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not or identify with another party, press 3. sure, press 3. Democrat ...... 52% Favorable...... 31% Republican...... 38% Unfavorable ...... 55% Independent/Other...... 11% Not Sure...... 14%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q22 If you are white, press one now. If you are Q24 African-American, press two now. If other, 270...... 32% press 3. 502...... 25% White ...... 89% 606...... 19% African-American ...... 8% 859...... 23% Other...... 3% Q23 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65, press 3. If older, press 4. 18 to 29...... 10% 30 to 45...... 25% 46 to 65...... 44% Older than 65 ...... 21%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 35% 6% 80% 23% Support 28% 3% 66% 13% Disapprove 59% 90% 13% 63% Oppose 62% 92% 17% 67% Not Sur e 6% 4% 7% 14% No Opinion 10% 5% 17% 19%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Beshear Approval McConnell Approval Approve 36% 23% 57% 28% Approve 48% 74% 14% 38% Disapprove 39% 49% 24% 43% Disapprove 41% 17% 75% 47% Not Sur e 25% 28% 20% 29% Not Sur e 11% 10% 12% 15%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bunning Approval Conw ay Favorability Approve 29% 41% 13% 23% Favorable 19% 11% 31% 13% Disapprove 44% 29% 65% 46% Unfavorable 18% 20% 14% 27% Not Sur e 27% 30% 21% 31% Not Sur e 63% 69% 54% 60%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Grayson Favorability Mongiardo
Favorability Favorable 19% 21% 17% 11% Favorable 25% 14% 43% 21% Unfavorable 17% 14% 21% 24% Unfavorable 37% 45% 24% 40% Not Sur e 64% 65% 62% 65% Not Sur e 38% 41% 34% 39%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Paul Favorability Conw ay/Grayson Favorable 26% 35% 14% 24% Conway 33% 8% 69% 29% Unfavorable 23% 15% 34% 25% Grayson 40% 62% 12% 30% Not Sur e 51% 50% 52% 51% Unde cide d 27% 30% 20% 41%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Conway/Paul Mongiardo/Grayson Conway 36% 10% 72% 36% Mongiardo 35% 10% 72% 32% Paul 42% 66% 10% 34% Grayson 44% 69% 10% 34% Unde cide d 22% 24% 18% 30% Unde cide d 21% 21% 18% 33%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Mongiardo/Paul Congressional
Dems Favorability Mongiardo 36% 10% 75% 30% Favorable 26% 3% 60% 18% Paul 42% 66% 8% 37% Unfavorable 63% 92% 22% 63% Unde cide d 22% 24% 17% 33% Not Sur e 11% 5% 18% 19%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote Someone Else/Don't Someone Else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Congressional Congressional
Republicans Democrats Ideology Favorability Too Liberal 56% 85% 16% 51% Favorable 31% 51% 5% 17% Too Conservative 12% 6% 20% 15% Unfavorable 55% 34% 84% 64% About Right 32% 8% 64% 34% Not Sur e 14% 15% 11% 19%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote Ideology
Someone Else/Don't Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e McCain Obam a Re m e m be r Obama Approval Congressional Republicans Approve 35% 79% 49% 9% Ideology Dis appr ove 59% 18% 43% 86% Too Liberal 23% 30% 13% 27% Not Sur e 6% 3% 9% 5% Too Conservative 37% 13% 71% 35% About Right 40% 57% 16% 37%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Obama Health Care Beshear Approval Support 28% 74% 37% 5% Approve 36% 62% 45% 20% Oppose 62% 17% 49% 87% Dis appr ove 39% 19% 32% 51% No Opinion 10% 9% 14% 7% Not Sur e 25% 20% 23% 28%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative McConnell Approval Bunning Approval Approve 48% 17% 34% 70% Approve 29% 19% 19% 41% Dis appr ove 41% 76% 54% 19% Dis appr ove 44% 65% 53% 30% Not Sur e 11% 7% 12% 11% Not Sur e 27% 17% 28% 28%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Conw ay Favorability Grayson Favorability Favorable 19% 33% 22% 12% Favorable 19% 19% 17% 20% Unfavor able 18% 13% 17% 22% Unfavor able 17% 23% 18% 15% Not Sur e 63% 54% 62% 66% Not Sur e 64% 58% 64% 65%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Mongiardo Paul Favorability
Favorability Favorable 26% 13% 21% 35% Favorable 25% 41% 36% 11% Unfavor able 23% 43% 25% 15% Unfavor able 37% 23% 28% 49% Not Sur e 51% 44% 53% 50% Not Sur e 38% 36% 37% 40%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Conway/Grayson Conway/Paul Conway 33% 74% 42% 11% Conway 36% 76% 48% 13% Grays on 40% 13% 30% 58% Paul 42% 11% 29% 64% Undecided 27% 13% 27% 30% Undecided 22% 13% 23% 24%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Mongiardo/Grayson Mongiardo/Paul Mongiardo 35% 72% 48% 12% Mongiardo 36% 76% 49% 12% Grays on 44% 14% 30% 66% Paul 42% 10% 27% 66% Undecided 21% 14% 22% 21% Undecided 22% 13% 24% 22%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Congressional Congressional
Dems Favorability Republicans Favorability Favorable 26% 72% 32% 7% Favorable 31% 9% 21% 48% Unfavor able 63% 21% 52% 86% Unfavor able 55% 86% 65% 37% Not Sur e 11% 7% 15% 8% Not Sur e 14% 5% 14% 16%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Congressional Congressional
Democrats Ideology Republicans Ideology Too Liberal 56% 12% 43% 81% Too Liberal 23% 13% 15% 34% Too Conservative 12% 34% 12% 6% Too Conservative 37% 75% 53% 10% About Right 32% 54% 45% 13% About Right 40% 12% 31% 56%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 35% 37% 33% Support 28% 28% 27% Dis appr ove 59% 56% 62% Oppos e 62% 59% 65% Not Sur e 6% 7% 6% No Opinion 10% 13% 7%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Beshear Approval McConnell Approval Approve 36% 38% 34% Approve 48% 46% 50% Dis appr ove 39% 34% 45% Dis appr ove 41% 42% 40% Not Sur e 25% 28% 21% Not Sur e 11% 12% 9%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bunning Approval Conw ay Favorability Approve 29% 23% 36% Favorable 19% 18% 19% Dis appr ove 44% 43% 45% Unfavorable 18% 15% 22% Not Sur e 27% 34% 19% Not Sur e 63% 66% 59%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Grayson Favorability Mongiardo
Favor ability Favorable 19% 16% 22% Favorable 25% 26% 24% Unfavorable 17% 14% 21% Unfavorable 37% 32% 42% Not Sur e 64% 70% 57% Not Sur e 38% 42% 34%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Paul Favorability Conw ay/Grayson Favorable 26% 22% 31% Conway 33% 35% 30% Unfavorable 23% 21% 25% Grayson 40% 37% 45% Not Sur e 51% 57% 44% Unde cide d 27% 28% 25%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Conw ay/Paul Mongiardo/Grayson Conway 36% 38% 33% Mongiardo 35% 38% 32% Paul 42% 35% 50% Grayson 44% 39% 50% Unde cide d 22% 27% 16% Unde cide d 21% 23% 18%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Mongiardo/Paul Congressional
De m s Favor ability Mongiardo 36% 39% 33% Favorable 26% 27% 25% Paul 42% 36% 48% Unfavorable 63% 58% 69% Unde cide d 22% 25% 19% Not Sur e 11% 15% 6%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Congressional Congressional
Republicans Democrats Ideology Favorability Too Liberal 56% 51% 62% Favorable 31% 30% 32% Too Conservative 12% 13% 11% Unfavorable 55% 54% 57% About Right 32% 36% 27% Not Sur e 14% 16% 11%
Ge nder Party
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Obama Approval Congressional 57% 8% 23% Republicans Approve 35% Ideology Dis appr ove 59% 36% 87% 67% Too Liberal 23% 21% 26% Not Sur e 6% 6% 5% 10% Too Conservative 37% 37% 37% About Right 40% 42% 38%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Obama Health Care Beshear Approval Support 28% 46% 5% 19% Approve 36% 50% 20% 27% Oppose 62% 41% 89% 69% Dis appr ove 39% 30% 53% 36% No Opinion 10% 13% 6% 12% Not Sur e 25% 21% 28% 36%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other McConnell Approval Bunning Approval Approve 48% 29% 75% 48% Approve 29% 19% 43% 28% Dis appr ove 41% 59% 18% 34% Dis appr ove 44% 55% 29% 43% Not Sur e 11% 12% 7% 18% Not Sur e 27% 25% 28% 29%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Conw ay Favorability Grayson Favorability Favorable 19% 26% 11% 9% Favorable 19% 18% 21% 13% Unfavorable 18% 16% 21% 21% Unfavorable 17% 19% 15% 20% Not Sur e 63% 58% 67% 70% Not Sur e 64% 63% 64% 67%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Mongiardo Paul Favorability
Favorability Favorable 26% 19% 36% 31% Favorable 25% 38% 10% 16% Unfavorable 23% 29% 15% 18% Unfavorable 37% 28% 51% 31% Not Sur e 51% 52% 49% 51% Not Sur e 38% 34% 39% 53%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Conw ay/Grayson Conw ay/Paul Conway 33% 54% 7% 16% Conway 36% 59% 9% 16% Grayson 40% 19% 69% 41% Paul 42% 19% 72% 49% Undecided 27% 26% 23% 44% Undecided 22% 22% 19% 35%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Mongiardo/Grayson Mongiardo/Paul Mongiardo 35% 59% 9% 14% Mongiardo 36% 61% 8% 14% Grayson 44% 22% 75% 43% Paul 42% 19% 73% 48% Undecided 21% 19% 16% 43% Undecided 22% 20% 20% 37%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e De m ocr at Republican Independent/Other Congressional Congressional
Dems Favorability Republicans Favorability Favorable 26% 44% 4% 11% Favorable 31% 16% 53% 25% Unfavorable 63% 40% 93% 75% Unfavorable 55% 71% 33% 59% Not Sur e 11% 16% 3% 13% Not Sur e 14% 13% 14% 16%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e De m ocr at Republican Independent/Other Congressional Congressional
Democrats Ideology Republicans Ideology Too Liberal 56% 34% 85% 62% Too Liberal 23% 18% 30% 23% Too Conservative 12% 17% 7% 10% Too Conservative 37% 53% 14% 38% About Right 32% 49% 8% 29% About Right 40% 29% 56% 39%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 35% 31% 84% 30% Support 28% 24% 69% 22% Dis appr ove 59% 63% 11% 58% Oppos e 62% 66% 16% 74% Not Sur e 6% 6% 5% 12% No Opinion 10% 10% 16% 4%
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Beshear Approval McConnell Approval Approve 36% 35% 47% 28% Approve 48% 50% 22% 54% Dis appr ove 39% 40% 24% 50% Dis appr ove 41% 39% 64% 28% Not Sur e 25% 25% 29% 22% Not Sur e 11% 10% 13% 18%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Bunning Approval Conw ay Favorability Approve 29% 30% 18% 30% Favorable 19% 18% 29% 10% Dis appr ove 44% 44% 49% 38% Unfavorable 18% 19% 16% 22% Not Sur e 27% 26% 33% 32% Not Sur e 63% 63% 56% 68%
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Grayson Favorability Mongiardo
Favorability Favorable 19% 19% 13% 12% Favorable 25% 25% 29% 22% Unfavorable 17% 17% 20% 20% Unfavorable 37% 37% 31% 36% Not Sur e 64% 64% 67% 68% Not Sur e 38% 38% 40% 42%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Paul Favorability Conw ay/Grayson Favorable 26% 27% 16% 36% Conway 33% 30% 62% 20% Unfavorable 23% 22% 29% 20% Grayson 40% 43% 13% 40% Not Sur e 51% 51% 56% 44% Unde cide d 27% 27% 24% 40%
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Conw ay/Paul Mongiardo/Grayson Conway 36% 33% 69% 24% Mongiardo 35% 33% 66% 34% Paul 42% 44% 18% 44% Grayson 44% 47% 14% 48% Unde cide d 22% 23% 13% 32% Unde cide d 21% 21% 20% 18%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Mongiardo/Paul Congressional
Dems Favorability Mongiardo 36% 33% 69% 28% Favorable 26% 23% 56% 22% Paul 42% 45% 13% 44% Unfavorable 63% 66% 27% 68% Unde cide d 22% 22% 18% 28% Not Sur e 11% 10% 18% 10%
Race Race African- African- Bas e White American Othe r Bas e White American Othe r Congressional Congressional
Republicans Democrats Ideology Favorability Too Liberal 56% 59% 18% 64% Favorable 31% 33% 7% 38% Too Conservative 12% 12% 9% 16% Unfavorable 55% 54% 76% 50% About Right 32% 28% 73% 20% Not Sur e 14% 13% 18% 12%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Age African- 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e White American Othe r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Congressional Obama Approval Republicans Approve 35% 30% 31% 36% 39% Ideology Dis appr ove 59% 65% 63% 57% 55% Too Liberal 23% 23% 18% 34% Not Sur e 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% Too Conservative 37% 35% 58% 38% About Right 40% 42% 24% 28%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Obama Health Care Beshear Approval Support 28% 20% 24% 31% 29% Approve 36% 33% 28% 38% 42% Oppos e 62% 66% 65% 60% 60% Dis appr ove 39% 49% 45% 38% 29% No Opinion 10% 14% 11% 9% 11% Not Sur e 25% 18% 27% 24% 29%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 McConnell Approval Bunning Approval Approve 48% 48% 50% 48% 47% Approve 29% 35% 27% 27% 32% Dis appr ove 41% 40% 40% 40% 45% Dis appr ove 44% 37% 43% 47% 43% Not Sur e 11% 12% 10% 12% 8% Not Sur e 27% 29% 30% 25% 25%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Conw ay Favorability Grayson Favorability Favorable 19% 19% 13% 20% 23% Favorable 19% 19% 17% 20% 18% Unfavorable 18% 27% 22% 17% 14% Unfavorable 17% 23% 22% 15% 13% Not Sur e 63% 54% 65% 63% 63% Not Sur e 64% 58% 60% 65% 69%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Mongiardo Paul Favorability
Favorability Favorable 26% 29% 27% 27% 24% Favorable 25% 21% 22% 26% 30% Unfavorable 23% 24% 23% 23% 21% Unfavorable 37% 46% 40% 35% 31% Not Sur e 51% 47% 50% 50% 55% Not Sur e 38% 33% 38% 39% 38%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Conw ay/Grayson Conw ay/Paul Conway 33% 34% 30% 31% 38% Conway 36% 31% 31% 36% 43% Grayson 40% 38% 41% 43% 34% Paul 42% 44% 45% 44% 35% Unde cide d 27% 29% 28% 25% 28% Unde cide d 22% 25% 24% 21% 22%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Mongiardo/Grayson Mongiardo/Paul Mongiardo 35% 41% 33% 34% 37% Mongiardo 36% 38% 32% 36% 40% Grayson 44% 41% 44% 45% 44% Paul 42% 43% 45% 42% 39% Unde cide d 21% 18% 23% 21% 19% Unde cide d 22% 19% 23% 22% 21%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Congressional Congressional
Dems Favorability Republicans Favorability Favorable 26% 27% 25% 26% 26% Favorable 31% 37% 31% 32% 26% Unfavorable 63% 64% 65% 64% 59% Unfavorable 55% 50% 56% 57% 53% Not Sur e 11% 9% 10% 10% 15% Not Sur e 14% 13% 12% 11% 21%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 18 to 30 to 46 to Older Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Congressional Congressional
Democrats Ideology Republicans Ideology Too Liberal 56% 55% 59% 57% 53% Too Liberal 23% 29% 31% 21% 15% Too Conservative 12% 10% 14% 12% 13% Too Conservative 37% 30% 36% 38% 38% About Right 32% 35% 28% 32% 35% About Right 40% 40% 33% 41% 47%
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 35% 33% 42% 27% 35% Support 28% 28% 35% 18% 28% Dis appr ove 59% 61% 52% 68% 56% Oppos e 62% 62% 58% 67% 61% Not Sur e 6% 6% 6% 5% 9% No Opinion 10% 10% 7% 15% 11%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Beshear Approval McConnell Approval Approve 36% 38% 44% 26% 33% Approve 48% 52% 48% 52% 42% Dis appr ove 39% 38% 30% 52% 40% Dis appr ove 41% 36% 45% 37% 47% Not Sur e 25% 25% 25% 22% 27% Not Sur e 11% 13% 8% 11% 11%
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bunning Approval Conw ay Favorability Approve 29% 30% 26% 28% 31% Favorable 19% 18% 31% 13% 12% Dis appr ove 44% 39% 53% 40% 45% Unfavorable 18% 17% 24% 18% 15% Not Sur e 27% 31% 21% 31% 24% Not Sur e 63% 65% 45% 70% 73%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Grayson Favorability Mongiardo
Favorability Favorable 19% 20% 20% 16% 18% Favorable 25% 26% 26% 30% 20% Unfavorable 17% 15% 18% 20% 19% Unfavorable 37% 31% 38% 39% 41% Not Sur e 64% 66% 63% 64% 63% Not Sur e 38% 43% 36% 31% 40%
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Paul Favorability Conw ay/Grayson Favorable 26% 27% 24% 22% 32% Conway 33% 29% 43% 31% 29% Unfavorable 23% 24% 21% 22% 24% Grayson 40% 42% 36% 39% 45% Not Sur e 51% 49% 55% 55% 44% Unde cide d 27% 29% 22% 31% 27%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Conw ay/Paul Mongiardo/Grayson Conway 36% 34% 43% 32% 34% Mongiardo 35% 33% 39% 39% 32% Paul 42% 47% 36% 38% 46% Grayson 44% 45% 39% 40% 50% Unde cide d 22% 19% 21% 30% 20% Unde cide d 21% 22% 22% 21% 18%
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Mongiardo/Paul Congressional
Dems Favorability Mongiardo 36% 34% 38% 39% 34% Favorable 26% 25% 30% 22% 26% Paul 42% 47% 37% 38% 45% Unfavorable 63% 62% 61% 67% 65% Unde cide d 22% 19% 25% 23% 21% Not Sur e 11% 13% 10% 11% 9%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Area Code Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Bas e 270 502 606 859 Congressional Congressional
Republicans Democrats Ideology Favorability Too Liberal 56% 59% 50% 60% 56% Favorable 31% 33% 28% 33% 29% Too Conservative 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% Unfavorable 55% 52% 59% 53% 58% About Right 32% 30% 36% 28% 32% Not Sur e 14% 15% 13% 13% 13%
Area Code
Bas e 270 502 606 859 Congressional Republicans Ideology Too Liberal 23% 22% 20% 26% 26% Too Conservative 37% 36% 42% 31% 37% About Right 40% 42% 38% 43% 37%
December 18-21, 2009 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,199 Kentucky voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988