Project AIR FORCE THE CONFLICT OVER KOSOVO WHY MILOSEVIC DECIDED TO SETTLE WHEN HE DID STEPHEN T. HOSMER Prepared for the UNITED STATES AIR FORCE R Approved for public release; distribution unlimited The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F49642-01-C-0003. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division, Directorate of Plans, Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Hosmer, Stephen T. The conflict over Kosovo : why Milosevic decided to settle when he did / Stephen T. Hosmer. p. cm. MR-1351 Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-8330-3003-5 1. Kosovo (Serbia)—History—Civil War, 1998– 2. Miloéeviâ, Slobodan, 1941– I. Title. DR2087 .H67 2001 949.7103—dc21 2001031973 RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND® is a registered trademark.RAND’s publications do not necessarily lectref the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. © Copyright 2001 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2001 by RAND 1700 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202-5050 201 North Craig Street, Suite 102, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-1516 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org/ To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information, contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002; Fax: (310) 451-6915; Internet:
[email protected] PREFACE Since the end of the Cold War a decade ago, the armed forces of the United States have been committed to protracted, large-scale com- bat operations only twice: Operation Desert Storm in 1991 and Operation Allied Force in 1999.