Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation in Southwest Washington, 2010
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STATE OF WASHINGTON December 2014 Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation in Southwest Washington, 2010 Edited by Dan Rawding, Bryce Glaser, and Thomas Buehrens Washington Department of FISH AND WILDLIFE Fish Program FPT 14-10 Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation in Southwest Washington, 2010 Dan Rawding, Bryce Glaser and Thomas Buehrens, editors Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife 2108 Grand Blvd., Vancouver, WA 98661 November 2014 Executive Summary In 2010, The Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife (WDFW) began implementation of an expanded monitoring program for Chinook and coho salmon populations in the Lower Columbia River (LCR) region of Southwest Washington (WDFW’s Region 5) and fishery monitoring in the lower mainstem of the Columbia River. The focus of this expanded monitoring was to 1) gather data on Viable Salmonid Population (VSP) parameters – spawner abundance, including proportion of hatchery origin spawners (pHOS), spatial distribution, diversity, and productivity and 2) to increase the Coded Wire Tag (CWT) recovery rate from spawning grounds to meet regional standards, and 3) to evaluate the use of PIT tags to develop harvest rates for salmon and steelhead populations by having fishery samplers recovery PIT tags from fish being sampled for CWT in existing fisheries monitoring programs. Monitoring protocols and analysis methods utilized were intended to produce unbiased estimates with measurements of precision in an effort to meet NOAA monitoring guidelines (Crawford and Rumsey 2009). Funding for this program came from multiple sources: 1) the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) through the Lower Columbia Coded Wire Tag (CWT) Recovery Project (BPA Project #: 2010-036-00) ; 2) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) via Mitchell Act Monitoring, Evaluation and Reform (MA MER) funds; 3) NOAA via Pacific Coastal Salmon Recovery Funds (PCSRF) (administered thru the Washington State Recreation and Conservation Office (RCO); 4) Washington State; 5) PacifiCorp (Lewis River Basin) and 6) Tacoma Power (Cowlitz River Basin). Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation November 2014 in Southwest Washington, 2010 This report is structured into four components: 1) Fall Chinook Salmon Escapement Estimates and Coded-Wire-Tag Recoveries in Washington’s Lower Columbia River Tributaries in 2010 • Key Results o Adult fall Chinook abundance was estimated using weir counts, open and closed mark-recapture models, Area-Under-the-Curve (AUC), redd counts, and peak count expansion depending on resources and survey conditions. o We estimated 38,460 adult Tule, 65 adult Rogue River Bright hatchery, 9,612 adult Lewis River Bright natural origin , and 1,657 adult Bonneville (BON) Pool Bright fall Chinook salmon in the Washington portion of the LCR ESU. o For Tules and BON Brights the proportion of marked adults was 79% and 58%, respectively. Age structure varied by population but most Tule Chinook salmon were age 3 or 4. o For Tules most populations were comprised primarily of hatchery fish except the Coweeman (70% unmarked), Lewis (73% unmarked), Lower Gorge (77% unmarked), and the White Salmon (73% unmarked). o A total of 184 snouts were collected from the field and examined for CWT. CWT recoveries were uploaded to the regional coded-wire-tag database (RMIS). Unexpanded CWT recoveries indicate most Tule hatchery fish returned to the basin of release or an adjacent basin. o BON Brights are not native to this ESU and are successfully spawning in the Upper Gorge and White Salmon populations. Rogue River Brights, also not native to this ESU, are successfully spawning in the Grays River. 2) Coho Salmon Escapement Estimates and Coded-Wire-Tag Recoveries in Washington’s Lower Columbia River Tributaries in 2010 • Key Results o The adult coho salmon population monitoring program used trap and haul census counts, mark-recapture, smolt expansion, and redd-based methods to monitor adult coho salmon. o We estimated a mean escapement of 57,666 (95% CI 48,240 - 70,751) adults and 4,428 jacks (95%CI 3,522 - 5,816) for the Washington portion of this ESU below Bonneville Dam excluding the mainstem Lower Cowlitz, mainstem Lower North Fork Lewis, mainstem Toutle/ lower North Fork Toutle (below the Sediment Retention Structure), and Salmon Creek populations. o The total mean estimate of unmarked coho salmon adults was 25,942 (95%CI 19,430 – 35,510). Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation November 2014 in Southwest Washington, 2010 o As expected, populations with an operating coho salmon hatchery, including the Grays, Elochoman, Upper Cowlitz/Cispus, Green, Kalama and Washougal rivers, had high proportions of hatchery spawners—(mean = 81%, 73%, 87%, 60%, 99%, and 44%, respectively). The converse was true for populations without hatcheries, such as the Mill-Abernathy-Germany, Lower Cowlitz, Coweeman, and South Fork Toutle populations, where we observed low percentages of marked adults—(mean = 12%, 15%, 10%, and 21%, respectively). o From carcass recoveries on stream surveys, a total of 84 CWTs were recovered from coho salmon in 2010. 3) Detection Probabilities for Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT) Tags in Adult Salmon and Steelhead with Hand Held Scanners • Key Results o We completed a study to evaluate detection rates for PIT tags in adult salmonids in a fisheries sampling setting using a variety of tag scanner types under conditions similar to those expected in sampling of fisheries catch. o From 45 trials, the mean detection rate among all species using either a Destron Fearing FS2001F-ISO Reader Base Unit (DF) with racquet antenna or All Flex Model RS601-3 (AF) was 99.4% (95% CI = 98.5% - 100.0%), and was >99% for each species-reader type combination. o Short-term PIT tag retention estimates were approximately 98% for all three species (Chinook, coho and steelhead). 4) Estimates of Columbia River Salmon and Steelhead Harvest Rates for the 2010 Fall Commercial and Treaty Fisheries based on Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT) Tags • Key Results o The fall commercial fishery below Bonneville Dam (BON) and the fall treaty fishery above BON were sampled in 2010. Estimates of harvest rates below BON in the commercial fishery were less precise than above BON due to lower tagging rates of stocks caught in these fisheries and smaller numbers of tag recoveries in this area, in addition to a late start in sampling for PIT tags. o For the treaty fishery, coho salmon harvest rate estimates were similar for four hatchery groups and provided a precise estimate for the aggregate of ‘early’ coho salmon (17% with a 95%CI from 14% to 20%). Using a mixture model we estimated the harvest rate for the ‘late’ coho salmon group (4% with a 95%CI from 2% to 4%). o For steelhead, a total of 26 individual population and multiple DPS harvest estimates were calculated. Our harvest estimate for Snake Group B steelhead (8%) was lower than the Columbia River Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation November 2014 in Southwest Washington, 2010 estimate (15%), while our wild Snake Group A estimate (5%) and TAC’s Group A estimate (4%) were similar, but we noticed variation in Distinct Population Segment (DPS) estimates. For example, our Middle Columbia River DPS estimate was 3%, while our Upper Columbia River DPS estimate was 10%. o Our estimated Chinook salmon harvest rates were higher for Tule fall Chinook (64%) and lower for Snake River fall Chinook (9%), compared to the TAC estimates (51% and 18%, respectively). o We detected size selectivity in the fishery catch relative to the escapement based on PIT tag analysis. Since we did not estimate harvest rates by age or size, our harvest rate estimates were likely biased low for adults and large fish and biased high for jacks and smaller fish due to higher catch rates of larger fish in fisheries. Lower Columbia River Fisheries and Escapement Evaluation November 2014 in Southwest Washington, 2010 Relationship to the 2008 Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion Work conducted by the BPA Lower Columbia River CWT Recovery Project (#2010-036-00) supports the following Reasonable and Prudent Actions (RPA) as identified in the 2008 Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion (FCRPS BiOp). http://www.nwr.noaa.gov/hydropower/fcrps_opinion/federal_columbia_river_power_system.html RPA: 50.4: Fund pilot studies in Wenatchee/Methow/Entiat Fund status and trend monitoring as a component of the pilot studies in the Wenatchee, Methow, and Entiat river basins in the Upper Columbia River, the Lemhi and South Fork Salmon river basins, and the John Day River Basin to further advance the methods and information needed for assessing the status of fish populations. (Initiate in FY 2007-2009 Project Funding) Relationship: This project provided PIT tag-based estimates of run timing and fishery-specific harvest rates for these salmon and steelhead populations at hierarchical spatial scales. 50.5: Provide additional status monitoring of SR B-Run Steelhead populations Provide additional status monitoring to ensure a majority of Snake River B-Run Steelhead populations are being monitored for population productivity and abundance. (Initiate by FY 2009) Relationship: This project provided PIT tag-based estimates of run timing and fishery-specific harvest rates for wild and hatchery B-run steelhead populations at hierarchical spatial scales. 50.6: Review/modify existing fish pop status monitoring