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Strategic Plan 2021-2025
Strategic Plan 2021-2025 Map of FSM 2 Contents Map of FSM ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 2 Key Issues in the FSM________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 4 Country Context _____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 Major Vulnerability and Hazards Analysis _________________________________________________________________________________ 8 History of Micronesia Red Cross Society (MRCS) __________________________________________________________________________ 9 IFRC Strategy 2030 _________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 11 MRCS Vision _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 MRCS Mission: ______________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 12 Strategic Aims 2021-2025 _________________________________________________________________________________________________ 13 Strategic Aim 1: Save lives in times of disasters and crises ______________________________________________________________ 14 Strategic Aim 2: Enable healthy and safe living ___________________________________________________________________________ 16 Strategic Aim 3: Promote the prevention and reduction of vulnerability, social inclusion and a culture of non- violence -
Global Catastrophe Review – 2015
GC BRIEFING An Update from GC Analytics© March 2016 GLOBAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW – 2015 The year 2015 was a quiet one in terms of global significant insured losses, which totaled around USD 30.5 billion. Insured losses were below the 10-year and 5-year moving averages of around USD 49.7 billion and USD 62.6 billion, respectively (see Figures 1 and 2). Last year marked the lowest total insured catastrophe losses since 2009 and well below the USD 126 billion seen in 2011. 1 The most impactful event of 2015 was the Port of Tianjin, China explosions in August, rendering estimated insured losses between USD 1.6 and USD 3.3 billion, according to the Guy Carpenter report following the event, with a December estimate from Swiss Re of at least USD 2 billion. The series of winter storms and record cold of the eastern United States resulted in an estimated USD 2.1 billion of insured losses, whereas in Europe, storms Desmond, Eva and Frank in December 2015 are expected to render losses exceeding USD 1.6 billion. Other impactful events were the damaging wildfires in the western United States, severe flood events in the Southern Plains and Carolinas and Typhoon Goni affecting Japan, the Philippines and the Korea Peninsula, all with estimated insured losses exceeding USD 1 billion. The year 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, characterized by warm waters in the east Pacific tropics. This was associated with record-setting tropical cyclone activity in the North Pacific basin, but relative quiet in the North Atlantic. -
Tropical Cyclones Avoidance in Ocean Navigation – Safety of Navigation and Some Economical Aspects
the International Journal Volume 12 on Marine Navigation Number 1 http://www.transnav.eu and Safety of Sea Transportation March 2018 DOI: 10.12716/1001.12.01.06 Tropical Cyclones Avoidance in Ocean Navigation – Safety of Navigation and Some Economical Aspects M. Szymański & B. Wiśniewski Maritime University of Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland ABSTRACT: Based upon the true voyages various methods of avoidance maneuver determination in ship – cyclone encounter situations were presented. The goal was to find the economically optimal solution (minimum fuel consumption, maintaining the voyage schedule) while at the same time not to exceed an acceptable weather risk level. 1 INTRODUCTION 1 Opposite courses – courses of the ship and the cyclone differ by 150° to 210°. Tropical cyclone avoidance in shipping by merchant 2 Crossing situation– courses of the ship and the ships is a constant element of both ocean and coastal cyclone cross at an angle of 30° ‐ 90°. navigation. It has a significant influence upon the 3 Overtaking of the cyclone by the ship. economical and safety aspects of the voyage.The key In each of them a certain type of action (course decision in tropical cyclone avoidance is the alteration, slowing down or speeding up) is regarded determining of the moment of the beginning of as the most effective one. avoidance manoeuvre and the determining of the correct course and speed with maintaining the Determination of the avoidance maneuver in commercial and economic viability of the voyage. coastal and restricted waters is a separate issue.Within the area of the tropical storm the wind is By commercial and economic viability of the very violent and the seas are high and confused. -
Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database
OCTOBER 2021 X I E E T A L . 1629 Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database a,b,c a,b,c a a a,b,c a,b,c YANSHUANG XIE, SHAOPING SHANG, JINQUAN CHEN, FENG ZHANG, ZHIGAN HE, GUOMEI WEI, a,b,c d d JINGYU WU, BENLU ZHU, AND YINDONG ZENG a College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China b Research and Development Center for Ocean Observation Technologies, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China c Laboratory of Underwater Acoustic Communication and Marine Information Technology, Ministry of Education, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China d Fujian Marine Forecasts, Fuzhou, China (Manuscript received 6 December 2020, in final form 10 June 2021) ABSTRACT: Accurate storm surge forecasts provided rapidly could support timely decision-making with consideration of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting error. This study developed a fast storm surge ensemble prediction method based on TC track probability forecasting and searching optimization of a numerical scenario database (SONSD). In a case study of the Fujian Province coast (China), a storm surge scenario database was established using numerical simulations generated by 93 150 hypothetical TCs. In a GIS-based visualization system, a single surge forecast representing 2562 distinct typhoon tracks and the occurrence probability of overflow of seawalls along the coast could be achieved in 1–2 min. Application to the cases of Typhoon Soudelor (2015) and Typhoon Maria (2018) demonstrated that the proposed method is feasible and effective. Storm surge calculated by SONSD had excellent agreement with numerical model results (i.e., mean MAE and RMSE: 7.1 and 10.7 cm, respectively, correlation coefficient: .0.9). -
Ingredients for a Tropical Cyclone /Typhoon
Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale Examples of Satellite Imagery for Potential Damages Examples of Damage for Each (STCS) Each Category (structures, infrastructure, and vegetation) Category Tropical Storm Category A STCS is a scale that relates maximum tropical cyclone Damage only to the flimsiest lean-to type structure. TS CAT B TY CAT 1 Tropical cyclone is a general term that refers to Minor damage to banana and papaya trees. surface winds to potential damage and storm surge. A tropical depressions, tropical storms, and typhoons. similar scale has been used in the Atlantic for three decades. Guard and Lander (1999) adapted the Tropical Storm Category B TS CAT A TS CAT B Atlantic scale to tropical regions and added a tropical Major damage to huts made of thatch or loosely attached storm scale. STCS considers: tropical building corrugated sheet metal or plywood; sheet metal and materials/practices; tropical vegetation/agriculture; plywood may become airborne. Minor damage to weakening effects of termites, wood rot, salt spray; buildings of light materials. Moderate damage to banana and effects of the coral reefs on storm surge. and papaya trees. Damage to banana trees Weakened, unguyed Two tropical storm categories; five typhoon categories Typhoon Category 1 wooden power poles Corrugated metal and plywood stripped from poorly can break Note: Categories are based on 1-min. average maximum constructed or termite infested structures and may become sustained winds (MSW) and it’s corresponding 1-3 airborne. Few wooden, non-reinforced power poles tilted TY CAT 2 TY CAT 3 second peak gust. and some rotten power poles broken. -
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form [ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ x ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup DATE: 08/31/2020 FOR NAIC USE ONLY CONTACT PERSON: Crystal Brown Agenda Item # 2020-07-H TELEPHONE: 816-783-8146 Year 2021 EMAIL ADDRESS: [email protected] DISPOSITION [ x ] ADOPTED WG 10/29/20 & TF 11/19/20 ON BEHALF OF: Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] REJECTED NAME: Steve Drutz [ ] DEFERRED TO TITLE: Chief Financial Analyst/Chair [ ] REFERRED TO OTHER NAIC GROUP AFFILIATION: WA Office of Insurance Commissioner [ ] EXPOSED ________________ ADDRESS: 5000 Capitol Blvd SE [ ] OTHER (SPECIFY) Tumwater, WA 98501 IDENTIFICATION OF SOURCE AND FORM(S)/INSTRUCTIONS TO BE CHANGED [ x ] Health RBC Blanks [ x ] Health RBC Instructions [ ] Other ___________________ [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Blanks [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Instructions [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Blanks [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Instructions DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Split the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets into separate pages (Page XR007 and XR008). REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE ** Currently the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets are included on page XR007 of the Health RBC formula. With the implementation of the 20 bond designations and the electronic only tables, the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets were split between two tabs in the excel file for use of the electronic only tables and ease of printing. However, for increased transparency and system requirements, it is suggested that these pages be split into separate page numbers beginning with year-2021. -
NASA Satellites Analyze Typhoon Soudelor Moving Toward Taiwan 5 August 2015
NASA satellites analyze Typhoon Soudelor moving toward Taiwan 5 August 2015 mission core observatory, a satellite managed by both NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, took a look at rainfall and cloud heights. Typhoon Soudelor's sustained winds were 105 knots (about 121 mph) when the GPM core observatory satellite flew above on August 5, 2015 at 1051 UTC. At NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, a rainfall analysis was made from data collected from GPM's Microwave Imager (GMI) and Dual-Frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) instruments. The analysis showed that Soudelor was very large and had a well-defined eye. Intense feeder bands are shown spiraling into the center. Three dimensional radar reflectivity data from GPM's DPR (ku Band) were used to construct a simulated cross section through Typhoon Soudelor's center. A view from the south showed the 3-D vertical structure of rainfall within Soudelor. On Aug. 5, the GPM satellite data was used to make a Some storms examined with GPM's radar reached 3-D vertical structure of rainfall within Soudelor. Some heights of over 12.9 km (about 8 miles) and were storms examined with GPM's radar reached heights of dropping rain at a rate of over 87 mm (3.4 inches). over 12.9 km (about 8 miles) and were dropping rain at a rate of over 87 mm (3.4 inches). Credit: NASA/JAXA/SSAI, Hal Pierce Heavy rain, towering thunderstorms, and a large area are things that NASA satellites observed as Typhoon Soudelor moves toward Taiwan on August 5, 2015. -
Transport of Trace Gases Measured in the Marine Boundary Layer in the Tropical West Pacific During the Transbrom-Sonne Campaign
Transport of trace gases measured in the marine boundary layer in the tropical West Pacific during the TransBrom-Sonne campaign Diploma Thesis by Sebastian Wache Mathematisch - Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultat¨ der Christian - Albrechts - Universitat¨ zu Kiel Erstellt am Leibniz - Institut fur¨ Meereswissenschaften Forschungsbereich 1 - Maritime Meteorologie - Kiel, November 2010 i Abstract This thesis describes the TransBrom-Sonne cruise and the evaluation of the transport of three different atmospheric trace gases, which were measured during the cruise. The cam- paign started in Tomakomai, Japan (42◦N 141◦E), sailed through the Western Pacific, and ended in Townsville, Australia (19◦S 146◦E). Because of their role in ozone depletion methyl iodide and bromoform as natural trace gases are investigated. Additionally methane as an anthropogenic trace gase is investigated as well. To chase these air masses 5 day backward trajectories are calculated. First two independent trajectory models (Hybrid Single Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory [HySplit], British At- mospheric Data Centre [BADC]) using different meteorological input data (National Centers for Environmental Prediction - Global Data Assimilation System [NCEP-GDAS], operational European Centre of Medium-Range Weather Forecasts [opECMWF]) are compared with each other. Both models generally agree, although, the HySplit trajectories have a larger spread than BADC trajectories. The comparison of the whole cruise track reveals a good qualitative agreement, however, the BADC trajectories are often longer than the HySplit trajectories, which is due to higher wind speeds in the meteorological input data. Furthermore the onboard measured wind speeds and wind directions are used other way around to verify the high res- olution opECMWF wind data. Overall, the opECMWF data show a good agreement to the observed wind fields. -
Indigenous Knowledge and Endogenous Actions for Building Tribal Resilience After Typhoon Soudelor in Northern Taiwan
sustainability Article Indigenous Knowledge and Endogenous Actions for Building Tribal Resilience after Typhoon Soudelor in Northern Taiwan Su-Hsin Lee 1 and Yin-Jen Chen 2,* 1 Department of Geography, National Taiwan Normal University, 162, Section 1, Heping E. Rd., Taipei City 10610, Taiwan; [email protected] 2 Graduate Institute of Earth Science, Chinese Culture University, 55, Hwa-Kang Road, Yang-Ming-Shan, Taipei City 11114, Taiwan * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: Indigenous peoples often face significant vulnerabilities to climate risks, yet the capacity of a social-ecological system (SES) to resilience is abstracted from indigenous and local knowledge. This research explored how the Tayal people in the Wulai tribes located in typhoon disaster areas along Nanshi River used indigenous knowledge as tribal resilience. It applied empirical analysis from secondary data on disaster relief and in-depth interviews, demonstrating how indigenous people’s endogenous actions helped during post-disaster reconstructing. With the intertwined concepts of indigenous knowledge, SESs, and tribes’ cooperation, the result presented the endogenous actions for tribal resilience. In addition, indigenous knowledge is instigated by the Qutux Niqan of mutual assistance and symbiosis among the Wulai tribes, and there is a need to build joint cooperation through local residence, indigenous people living outside of their tribes, and religious or social groups. The findings of tribal resilience after a typhoon disaster of co-production in the Wulai, Lahaw, and Fushan tribes include the importance of historical context, how indigenous people turn to their local knowledge rather than just only participating in disaster relief, and how they produce indigenous tourism for indigenous knowledge inheritance. -
Drop Size Distribution Characteristics of Seven Typhoons in China
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres RESEARCH ARTICLE Drop Size Distribution Characteristics of Seven 10.1029/2017JD027950 Typhoons in China Key Points: Long Wen1,2,3 , Kun Zhao1,2 , Gang Chen1,2, Mingjun Wang1,2 , Bowen Zhou1,2 , • Raindrops of typhoons in continental 1,2 4 5 6 China are smaller and more spherical Hao Huang , Dongming Hu , Wen-Chau Lee , and Hanfeng Hu with higher concentration than that of 1 the Pacific and Atlantic Key Laboratory for Mesoscale Severe Weather/MOE and School of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 2 • More accurate precipitation China, State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather and Joint Center for Atmospheric Radar Research, CMA/NJU, Beijing, China, estimation, raindrop size distribution, 3Xichang Satellite Launch Center, Xichang, China, 4Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory, Guangzhou, China, and polarimetric radar parameters are 5Earth Observing Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA, 6Key Laboratory for obtained for typhoon rainfall • Warm rain processes dominate the Aerosol-Cloud-Precipitation of China Meteorological Administration, Nanjing University of Information Science and formation and evolution of typhoon Technology, Nanjing, China rainfall in continental China Abstract This study is the first attempt to investigate the characteristics of the drop size distribution (DSD) and drop shape relation (DSR) of seven typhoons after making landfall in China. Four typhoons were sampled Correspondence to: K. Zhao, by a C-band polarimetric radar (CPOL) and a two-dimensional video disdrometer (2DVD) in Jiangsu Province [email protected] (East China) while three typhoons were sampled by two 2DVDs in Guangdong Province (south China). Although the DSD and DSR are different in individual typhoons, the computed DSD parameters in these two μ Λ Citation: groups of typhoons possess similar characteristics. -
Pacific Ocean - Tropical Cyclone GONI
Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) – ECHO Daily Map | 18/08/2015 Pacific Ocean - Tropical Cyclone GONI Shikoku SITUATION JAPAN NORTHERN MARIANA • GONI (named “INENG” in the Micronesia Kyushu ISLANDS Philippines) formed over the northern (U.S.A.) Pacific Ocean, south-east of Guam, on 14 August. From there, it started moving north-west, intensifying. CHINA East China Sea Saipan • It crossed the Mariana Islands as a Tropical Storm (93-102 km/h Tinian maximum sustained winds) on 15 2 August August, passing between the islands of SOUDELOR 167 km/h max. Tinian and Rota. GONI affected the 8 August sust. winds Mariana Islands with strong winds and 167 km/h max. Okinawa Pacific Ocean heavy rainfall. On Guam, 100mm of sust. winds Rota rain were observed over 15-16 August (24h). As of 17 August, local media RAINFALL reported some flooding in the streets of 15 August western Guam, as well as electricity mm / last 7 days 93 km/h max. Miyako network damage on Rota island. 100 - 200 sust. winds Yaeyama • GONI subsequently continued moving 200 - 300 GUAM west-northwest, away from the Mariana Taiwan Source: NASA (U.S.A.) Islands, intensifying into a Typhoon. SOUDELOR On 18 August, at 6.00 UTC, it was 8 August over the Philippine Sea, with its 120 km/h max. sust. winds centre located 1 350 km east of the islands of Batanes province in the northern Philippines. NORTHERN MARIANA • Over the next 48h, GONI is forecast to ISLANDS continue on its west-northwestern South China Sea (U.S.A.) track, initially weakening slightly and then intensifying again. -
Elliptical Structures of Gravity Waves Produced by Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 Near Taiwan
Elliptical Structures of Gravity Waves Produced by Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 near Taiwan Fabrice Chane-Ming, Samuel Jolivet, Fabrice Jegou, Dominique Mékies, Jing-Shan Hong, Yuei-An Liou To cite this version: Fabrice Chane-Ming, Samuel Jolivet, Fabrice Jegou, Dominique Mékies, Jing-Shan Hong, et al.. Ellip- tical Structures of Gravity Waves Produced by Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 near Taiwan. Atmosphere, MDPI 2019, Special Issue ”Advancements in Mesoscale Weather Analysis and Prediction”, 10 (5), pp.260. 10.3390/atmos10050260. hal-02987679 HAL Id: hal-02987679 https://hal.univ-reunion.fr/hal-02987679 Submitted on 4 Nov 2020 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution| 4.0 International License atmosphere Article Elliptical Structures of Gravity Waves Produced by Typhoon Soudelor in 2015 near Taiwan Fabrice Chane Ming 1,* , Samuel Jolivet 2, Yuei-An Liou 3,* , Fabrice Jégou 4 , Dominique Mekies 1 and Jing-Shan Hong 5 1 LACy, Laboratoire de l’Atmosphère et des Cyclones (UMR 8105 CNRS, Université de la