SIPRI Policy Paper REDUCING MILITARY 51 RISK IN EUROPE June 2019 ian anthony STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on open sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public. The Governing Board is not responsible for the views expressed in the publications of the Institute. GOVERNING BOARD Ambassador Jan Eliasson, Chair (Sweden) Dr Dewi Fortuna Anwar (Indonesia) Dr Vladimir Baranovsky (Russia) Espen Barth Eide (Norway) Jean-Marie Guéhenno (France) Dr Radha Kumar (India) Dr Patricia Lewis (Ireland/United Kingdom) Dr Jessica Tuchman Mathews (United States) DIRECTOR Dan Smith (United Kingdom) Signalistgatan 9 SE-169 72 Solna, Sweden Telephone: + 46 8 655 9700 Email:
[email protected] Internet: www.sipri.org Reducing Military Risk in Europe SIPRI Policy Paper No. 51 ian anthony June 2019 © SIPRI 2019 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of SIPRI or as expressly permitted by law. ISBN 978-91-85114-97-9 Contents Preface v Acknowledgements vi Executive summary vii Abbreviations viii 1. Introduction 1 Managing enhanced military risk 2 Approaches to risk reduction 3 2. Military-to-military contact 5 Verification 5 Military-to-military policy dialogue 7 The role of military-to-military contacts 9 3. Regional measures in Europe 13 Regional measures within the Vienna Document 13 Regional approaches in the Baltic Sea region 15 Regional measures in the current strategic context 17 4.