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Niagara-On-The-Lake Current Situation Report and SWOT Analysis June 2012

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Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report and SWOT Analysis June 2012 Table of Contents 01 Introduction 13 What Health Services Do We Have? 02 Our Town 14 What Emergency Services Do We Have? 03 Who Are We? 14 What Is Our Landscape And How Do We Sustain It? Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis 03 Population trends 16 The natural environment and planning policies 04 An aging population 04 Ethnographic profile 17 How Do We Get Around? 17 Highway transport 05 Where Do We Work? 17 Water transport 05 An employment centre 17 Public transit 06 Employment lands 07 Industry sectors 18 How Do We Manage Our Agriculture? 18 Regional economic impact 07 How Are Our Municipal Finances? 18 Agriculture and planning policies 08 How Do We Learn? 19 SWOT Analysis 08 Schools 09 Our education levels 23 Bibliography 09 Fields of study 24 End Notes 10 How Do We Have Fun? 10 Festivals and events Figures: 10 Recreational facilities Figure 1: Niagara-on-the-Lake Urban Structure 10 Hiking and biking trails Figure 2: Population Growth Figure 3: Age of Niagara-on-the-Lake Residents Figure 4: Niagara-on-the-Lake Employment 11 How Do We Attract Tourists? Land Supply 11 What Is Our Heritage and History? Tables: Table 1: Labour Force Activity 11 History Table 2: Niagara-on-the-Lake Commuting Flow Table 3: Employment by Industry Historic sites 12 Table 4: Level of Education Attainment Table 5: Fields of Study Introduction The Town of Niagara-on-the-Lake is embarking on an exciting visioning process that will help guide the future development and growth of our town. Over the course of this year, we will be holding extensive consultations with local residents and stakeholders to discuss and make decisions on our common values, with the view to developing a shared vision for the future that will be used to inform various Niagara-on-the-Lake policies. We would like to ensure that as the town evolves, it remains one of Canada’s most attractive and liveable places. This process is about reflecting on what the community wants moving forward, responding to any challenges and issues that may arise and collectively identifying opportunities for positive change that will benefit us all. It is important that we start by taking a good look in the mirror to get an understanding of who we are and what our community looks like. In order to do so, we have created this Current Situation Report (CSR) as a snapshot of where we are now. This will be an essential building block as we determine our Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis vision for the future. This CSR is based on a number of secondary data sources such as Statistics Canada census information, Provincial, Regional, and town policy documents, as well as the most recent consultant studies commissioned by the town and the Region. 1 Our Town Located in the north-eastern area of the Niagara Region where the Niagara River meets Lake Ontario, Niagara-on-the-Lake (Figure 1) is a small, but vibrant community. The town is predominantly rural, with urban residents concentrated in five main settlement areas: Old Town; Glendale; Queenston; Virgil and St. David’s. Niagara-on-the-Lake is best known for its historic heritage, natural beauty and as one of the best tender fruit and grape growing regions in Canada. Niagara-on-the-Lake is currently home to 15,400 residents, representing a 5.6% increase since the 2006 census. This growth rate represents a significantly higher rate of growth than the Niagara Region as a whole, which saw only 0.9% population growth over the same period, but equivalent to the overall Ontario average of 5.7%. However, with a land area of 132.83 km2, Niagara-on-the-Lake enjoys a fairly low population density of 115.9 per km2, largely as a result of the rural agricultural character in much of the area. Figure 1: Niagara-on-the-Lake Urban Structure Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis Source: Glendale Plan: Secondary Plan for the Glendale Community, Town of Niagara-on-the-Lake, Urban Strategies 2 Who Are We? Population trends The current population of Niagara-on-the-Lake is 15,400. This population level has remained relatively stable over the past several decades (Figure 2). By 2031, the Region of Niagara is predicting that Niagara-on-the-Lake will grow by 47.4% to a total population of 22,700.1 The majority of the population lives in five primary settlement areas: Old Town Niagara; Virgil; St. David’s; Glendale; and Queenston. Figure 2: Population Growth Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis Source: Schedule B, Region of Niagara Sustainable Community Policies – Policy Plan Amendment 2-2009 3 An aging population With a median age for the town of 49.1 years Niagara-on-the-Lake is well above the provincial median age of 39. Niagara-on-the-Lake must carefully consider the impacts of an aging population in order to position itself to address the challenges that will arise in the coming years. Currently, 24.1% of residents are over the age of 65, well above the Ontario average of 13.6%. At the same time, the town has less youth, with only 14% of the population being under 14 years old versus the Ontario average of 18.2%.2 Figure 3: Age of Niagara-on-the-Lake Residents Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis Ethnographic profile When compared to the overall Ontario average (22.8%), Niagara-on-the-Lake has a lower proportion of visible minority residents (5.9%). However, when compared against other Ontario towns of a similar size and situation3, Niagara-on-the-Lake actually turns out to have a higher proportion of minorities (2-4%). Niagara-on-the-Lake also has a slightly lower than average percentage of Aboriginal residents (0.6%) versus the Ontario’s (2%), but within the range of comparable towns (0.5–2.7%). 4 4 Where Do We Work? Businesses in Niagara-on-the-Lake employed a total of 7,595 residents with a labour force participation rate of 61.6%, an employment rate of 59.4% and a relatively low unemployment rate of 3.7% (Table 1). This is compared to the overall Ontario labour force participation rate of 67.1%, an employment rate of 62.8%, and an unemployment rate of 6.4%. 5 Niagara-on-the-Lake Ontario Table1: Labour Force Activity Total Total Total population 15 years and over 12,385 9,819,420 In the labour force 7,635 6,587,580 Employed 7,355 6,164,245 Unemployed 280 423,335 Not in the labour force 4,750 3,231,840 Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis Participation rate 61.6% 67.1% Employment rate 59.4% 62.8% Unemployment rate 3.7% 6.4% Source: Statistics Canada 2006 Census An employment centre An important factor in examining employment within Niagara-on-the-Lake is that the town can be considered an employment centre within the region, as 3,340 more workers commute into, versus out of the area on a daily basis. Of the 6,265 workers that travel into the town, St. Catharines (2,940), Niagara Falls (1,545) and Welland (400) are the biggest contributors (Table 2). Niagara-on-the-Lake Outside workers Table 2: Commuting Flow commuting out commuting in Niagara-on-the-Lake / Burlington 30 40 Cambridge / Niagara-on-the-Lake -- 25 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Fort Erie 50 235 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Grimsby 40 85 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Hamilton 95 70 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Lincoln 65 125 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Mississauga 45 45 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Niagara Falls 705 1,545 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Niagara-on-the-Lake 2,115 2,115 Pelham / Niagara-on-the-Lake -- 180 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Port Colborne 30 85 Niagara-on-the-Lake / St. Catharines 1,435 2,940 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Thorold 150 395 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Toronto 135 75 Wainfleet / Niagara-on-the-Lake -- 20 Niagara-on-the-Lake / Welland 145 400 Source: Statistics Canada 2006 Census 5 For residents, the proportion of active labour that work within the town is roughly equal to those that commute outwards to nearby municipalities, with St. Catharines and Niagara Falls being the primary employment destinations. Employment lands Employment land plays an important role in economic development as these spaces accommodate about half of all jobs, including many key economic clusters and “wealth-creating” activities such as manufacturing and distribution. The supply of employment lands in the town is located primarily within four areas: Glendale, the Virgil Business Park, the St. David’s industrial area, and lands around the Niagara District Airport (Figure 4). Niagara-on-the-Lake has an estimated total employment land supply of approximately 200 net hectares (ha), over 60% of which is in Glendale. Just under half of the total land supply is occupied meaning that there is considerable opportunity for growth. Glendale is the town’s largest employment area, and has been designated the primary industrial area in the town as it is located near the Queen Elizabeth Way (QEW). Niagara-on-the-Lake Current Situation Report & SWOT Analysis Virgil has approximately 20 ha of total employment lands with a majority located in the Virgil Business Park (15 ha). The remainder of the town’s employment land supply is in the Village of St. David’s and Niagara District Airport lands.6 Figure 4: Niagara-on-the-Lake Employment Land Supply Source: Comprehensive Municipal Review of Employment Lands, 2009 6 Industry sectors Niagara-on-the-Lake’s key industries include: business services (13.8%); manufacturing (11.8%); agriculture and resource based industries (11.5%); retail trade (9.5%); and healthcare and social services (7.5%).
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