Report Phase 3 October 2007
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway Report Phase 3 October 2007 Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway Contents Preface VII 1 Methodological Concept 1 1.1 Case With and Case Without 3 1.2 Reference Case 2020 3 2 Alignment Planning 4 2.1 Basic Aspects 4 2.1.1 Freight Traffic 5 2.1.2 Considerable Planning of Jernbaneverket 6 2.1.3 Capacities 7 2.1.4 Environmental Aspects 7 2.2 Investigated corridors 9 2.2.1 Oslo – Bergen via Hallingdal and Hardangervidda 9 2.2.2 Oslo - Porsgrunn - Kristiansand 11 2.2.3 Oslo – Haukeli – Bergen /-Stavanger 13 2.2.4 South-Norwegian High-Speed-Ring (Den Sørnorske Høyhastighetsringen) 14 3 Operation Planning 18 3.1 Running Time Calculation 18 3.2 Operational Planning 22 4 High-Speed-Offer 23 4.1 Oslo – Bergen via Geilo/Voss 23 4.1.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 23 4.1.2 Basic Route Management of New Built Line 23 4.1.3 Stop Patterns 23 4.1.4 Travel Times 25 4.1.5 Level of Service 26 4.2 Oslo – Bergen / Stavanger via Haukeli 26 4.2.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 26 4.2.2 Basic Route Management of New Built Line and Stop Patterns 26 4.2.3 Travel Times 27 4.2.4 Level of Service 28 4.3 Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger – Bergen 28 4.3.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 28 4.3.2 Basic Route Management of New Line Porsgrunn/Skien - Stavanger - Bergen 29 4.3.3 Stop Patterns between Oslo and Porsgrunn/Skien 29 4.3.4 Stop Patterns between Porsgrunn/Skien and Stavanger 29 4.3.5 Stop Patterns between Stavanger and Bergen 32 4.3.6 Travel times 32 4.3.7 Level of service without extension to Bergen 34 4.3.8 Level of service with Extension Stavanger - Bergen 35 4.3.9 Travel Times, Stop Patterns and Level of service in the case with a New Line Drammen – Porsgrunn 37 - I - Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway 5 Effects on Traffic Demand 39 5.1 Methodology 39 5.2 Oslo – Bergen via Voss and Geilo 41 5.2.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 41 5.2.2 Demand Effects of the High-Speed-Rail-Services 41 5.3 Oslo – Bergen / Stavanger via Haukeli 44 5.3.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 44 5.3.2 Demand Effects of the High-Speed-Rail-Services 44 5.4 Oslo – Kristiansand - Stavanger 46 5.4.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 46 5.4.2 Demand Effects of the High-Speed-Services Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger 47 5.4.3 Demand Effects with the Extension Kristiansand – Stavanger 49 5.4.4 Demand Effects of the High-Speed-Services Oslo – Stavanger – Kristiansand with New Line Drammen – Porsgrunn 51 5.5 Extension Stavanger - Bergen 53 5.5.1 Situation in the Reference Case 2020 53 5.5.2 Demand Effects of the Extended High-Speed-Services Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger – Bergen 53 5.6 Overview Traffic Effects all Corridors 56 6 Costs and Benefits 57 6.1 Basics 57 6.2 Infrastructure Investments for High-Speed-Railway Lines 60 6.3 Investment Costs of Rolling Stock and Costs of Operation 63 6.4 Demand of High-Speed-Railway Lines 66 6.5 Needed Benefits 68 7 Conclusion 70 8 Annex 73 - II - Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway List of Annex Annex 2.1 Ground plan Hønefoss – Bergen (via Hallingdal) Part 1 74 Annex 2.2 Ground plan Hønefoss – Bergen (via Hallingdal) Part 2 75 Annex 2.3 Ground plan Hønefoss – Bergen (via Hallingdal) Part 3 76 Annex 2.4 Ground plan Hønefoss – Bergen (via Hallingdal) Part 4 77 Annex 2.5 Ground plan Porsgrunn – Kristiansand Part 1 78 Annex 2.6 Ground plan Porsgrunn – Kristiansand Part 2 79 Annex 2.7 Ground plan Arendal (detailled planning) Part 1 80 Annex 2.8 Ground plan Arendal (detailled planning) Part 2 81 Annex 2.9 Ground plan Arendal (detailled planning) Part 3 82 Annex 2.10 Profile plan Arendal (detailled planning) 83 Annex 2.11 Ground plan Drammen – Bergen (via Haukeli) Part 1 84 Annex 2.12 Ground plan Drammen – Bergen (via Haukeli) Part 2 85 Annex 2.13 Ground plan Drammen – Bergen (via Haukeli) Part 3 86 Annex 2.14 Ground plan Drammen – Bergen (via Haukeli) Part 4 87 Annex 2.15 Ground plan Stavanger (via Haukeli) Part 1 88 Annex 2.16 Ground plan Stavanger (via Haukeli) Part 2 89 Annex 2.17 Ground plan Kongsberg – Geilo Part 1 90 Annex 2.18 Ground plan Kongsberg – Geilo Part 2 91 Annex 2.19 Ground plan Bergen – Stavanger Part 1 92 Annex 2.20 Ground plan Bergen – Stavanger Part 2 93 Annex 2.21 Ground plan Stavanger – Kristiansand Part 1 94 Annex 2.22 Ground plan Stavanger – Kristiansand Part 2 95 - III - Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway List of Tables Table 2-1: Tunnel shares of the investigated corridors 9 Table 4-1: Inhabitants in a catchment area of possible stops along the High-Speed-Line Porsgrunn/Skien – Kristiansand - Stavanger 30 Table 4-2: Inhabitants in a catchment area of possible stops along the High-Speed-Line Stavanger - Bergen 32 Table 5-1: Traffic Demand on Main Markets for High-Speed-Services between Oslo and Bergen, in the Reference Case 2020 41 Table 5-2: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Bergen in the Case with High-Speed-Services 42 Table 5-3: Traffic Demand on Main Markets for High-Speed-Services between Oslo, Bergen and Stavanger, in the Reference Case 2020 44 Table 5-4: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Bergen/Stavanger via Haukeli in the Case with High-Speed-Services 45 Table 5-5: Traffic Demand on Main Markets for High-Speed-Services between Oslo, Kristiansand and Stavanger, in the Reference Case 2020 46 Table 5-6: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Kristiansand - Stavanger in the Case with the High-Speed-Line Porsgrunn/Skien - Kristiansand 47 Table 5-7: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Kristiansand - Stavanger in the Case with the High-Speed-Line Porsgrunn/Skien - Kristiansand 49 Table 5-8: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Kristiansand - Stavanger in the Case with High-Speed-Services w/o new-line Drammen - Porsgrunn 51 Table 5-9: Traffic Demand on Main Markets for High-Speed-Services between Oslo, Kristiansand, Stavanger and Bergen in the Reference Case 2020 53 Table 5-10: Development of Traffic Demand on Main Markets Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger – Bergen in the Case with High-Speed-Services 54 Table 5-11: Traffic Effects 56 Table 6-1: Reduction of CO 2 for the investigated corridors 59 Table 6-2: Infrastructure Investment for High-Speed-Railway Branches in South-West Norway 61 Table 6-3: Infrastructure Investment for High-Speed-Railway Lines South-West Norway 65 - IV - Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway List of Figures Figure 0-1: Work packages of the feasibility study (Phases 1 and 2) VIII Figure 0-2: Work packages of the feasibility study (Phase 3) IX Figure 1-1: Methodology of Iterative Planning and Design of Public Transport Systems 1 Figure 3-1: Speed-way-diagram Bergen – Oslo via Hallingdal 18 Figure 3-2: Speed-way-diagram Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger without new line Drammen – Porsgrunn 19 Figure 3-3: Speed-way-diagram Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger with new line Drammen – Porsgrunn 19 Figure 3-4: Speed-way-diagram Oslo – Bergen via Numedal 20 Figure 3-5: Speed-way-diagram Bergen – Stavanger via Haugesund Central 20 Figure 3-6: Speed-way-diagram Oslo – Haukeli - Bergen 21 Figure 3-7: Speed-way-diagram Oslo – Haukeli – Stavanger 21 Figure 3-8: Speed-way-diagram Bergen – Stavanger (Haukeli) 22 Figure 4-1: Travel times to/from Oslo with the High-Speed-Line Oslo – Bergen via Geilo and Voss 25 Figure 4-2: Travel times to/from Bergen with the High-Speed-Line Oslo – Bergen via Geilo and Voss 25 Figure 4-3: Line Concept Oslo – Bergen via Geilo and Voss 26 Figure 4-4: Travel times to/from Oslo with the High-Speed-Line Oslo – Bergen / Stavanger via Haukeli 27 Figure 4-5: Line Concept Oslo – Bergen via Haukeli 28 Figure 4-6: Travel times to/from Oslo 33 Figure 4-7: Line Concept Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger 35 Figure 4-8: Line Concept Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger – Bergen 36 Figure 4-9: Line Concept Oslo – Kristiansand – Stavanger with the Extension to Bergen and a New Line Drammen – Porsgrunn/Skien 37 Figure 5-1: The European Passenger Transport Model 39 Figure 5-2: Principle Progression of Railway’s Market Share on air-rail-market 40 Figure 5-3: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services Oslo – Bergen via Voss and Geilo 43 Figure 5-4: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services Oslo – Bergen / Stavanger via Haukeli 45 Figure 5-5: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services between Oslo and Kristiansand 48 Figure 5-6: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services between Oslo and Stavanger 50 Figure 5-7: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services between Oslo, Kristiansand and Stavanger with the New Line Drammen – Porsgrunn/Skien 52 Figure 5-8: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Services between Oslo, Kristiansand, Stavanger and Bergen 55 Figure 6-1: Infrastructure Investment for the different High-Speed-Railway Lines 62 Figure 6-2: Passenger Demand on High-Speed-Railway Lines 66 Figure 6-3: Passenger Demand (Passenger-km) on High-Speed-Railway Lines 67 Figure 6-4: Needed Benefits per Passenger-km on High-Speed-Railway Lines 68 - V - Feasibility Study Concerning High-Speed Railway Lines in Norway Literature [1] Det Kongelige Samferdselsdepartement: Nasjonal Transportplan 2006 – 2015, 2004 [2] European Commission: The Transeuropean High-Speed-Rail-System, 2003 [3] Federal Ministry of Transport, Building and Housing: Macroeconomic Evaluation Methodology – Federal Transport Infrastructure Plan 2003, Berlin 2005 [4] Intraplan Consult GmbH, BVU Beratergruppe Verkehr + Umwelt, ifo Institut für Wirt- schaftsforschung,