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TWO PATHS OF MODERNIZATION: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF TURKEY AND EGYPT Yunus Akçalı Tese de Doutoramento Departamento de História e de Estudos Políticos e Internacionais 2014 iii To my father and mother… iv v Abstract Turkey and Egypt’s modernization process dates back to the 17th century. The modernization and westernization processes continued in the aftermath of Egyptian independence (1922) and the declaration of the Republic (1923) in Turkey. One of the main outcomes of modernization in Turkey and Egypt was the secular policies, which were positioned in the center of state-religion relations. After 1980, liberal political and economic developments triggered the social, economic and political transformation in Turkey and Egypt, which are two close allies of the Western countries in the Middle East. However, Turkey and Egypt’s modernization processes gave different outcomes within three decades in term of democratization. By 2010, Turkey enjoyed the rise of democratic values while the military, one of the most prominent symbols of the secular regime, was losing its dominance in politics. A series of public demonstrations, known as “the Arab Spring”, shook Egypt in late 2010, and caused the fall of the Mubarak regime. Therefore, this dissertation aims to compare the modernization processes of Turkey and Egypt and their responses to change. I outline this study in two parts. First I analyze the social, economic and political developments of the two countries through their main political actors and institutions in a comparative perspective. Later, in case study part, I analyze the political actors that played a significant role in modernization and democratization: the Muslim Brotherhood, the Milli Görüş Movement and the AK Party. I also examine the socio-religious movement, the GM, and the MB through its social perspective. By doing this, I follow a parallel comparison pattern for the cases. In this dissertation, I will adopt the comparative historical method. In order to achieve the objectives, I will do historical analysis and study the sociological- structural, ideological and political behavioral aspects of the cases. In terms of the data sources, this dissertation will include content analyses and tertiary sources. vi Keywords: Turkey; Egypt; modernization; democracy; Milli Görüş Movement; AK Party; Gülen Movement; Muslim Brotherhood. vii Resumo O processo de modernização da Turquia e do Egito, datado do século XVII, bem como o processo de ocidentalização, continuou a fazer-se sentir na sequência da independência do Egito (1922) e na proclamação da República na Turquia (1923). Um dos efeitos principais da modernização desses países teve repercussões nas suas políticas seculares, com particular ênfase nas relações estado-religião. Após 1980, o desenvolvimento económico e político-liberal desencadeou transformações sociais, económicas e políticas nos dois países, ambos fortes aliados do Ocidente no Médio Oriente. Todavia o processo de modernização na Turquia e no Egito surtiu resultados bem diferentes ao longo de três décadas em termos de democratização. Até 2010, a Turquia assistiu à ascensão dos valores democráticos enquanto o aparelho militar, um dos símbolos mais proeminentes do regime secular, foi perdendo o seu domínio em termos políticos. Por outro lado, várias manifestações públicas, conhecidas como “a Primavera Árabe” sacudiram o Egito em finais de 2010, provocando a queda do regime de Mubarak. O objetivo desta dissertação consiste portanto em comparar os processos de modernização na Turquia e no Egito, assim como as suas respostas à mudança. Dividiu-se este estudo em duas partes: num primeiro momento, procedeu-se à análise dos desenvolvimentos sociais, económicos e políticos em ambos países, através dos seus principais atores e instituições políticas, numa perspectiva comparativa. Em seguida, no capítulo de estudo de caso, examinaram-se os atores políticos com papel predominante na modernização e democratização dos países; a Irmandade Muçulmana (IM); o Movimento Milli Görüş e o partido AK. Foram igualmente alvo de estudo os movimentos socio-religiosos, o Movimento Gülen e a IM, através da sua vertente social. Recorreu-se a um padrão comparativo paralelo para ambos os casos. Nesta dissertação, optou-se pelo método histórico comparativo, pelo que, a fim de alcançar o objectivo proposto, procedeu-se à análise histórica e ao estudo dos viii aspectos comportamentais sociológico-estruturais, ideológicos e políticos dos casos em estudo. Em termos de fontes de dados, esta dissertação inclui análises de conteúdo e fontes terciárias de pesquisa. Palavras-chave: Turquia; Egito; modernização; democracia; Movimento Milli Görüş; Partido AK; Movimento Gülen; Irmandade Muçulmana. ix Acknowledgements Pursuing a PhD program was a long-lasting story, which began in the USA and ended up in Portugal for me. However, I never thought that I would study a program in such a beautiful country, Portugal; I have always enjoyed being here and met valuable people during Porto life. During my 4 years of study, I conducted my researches Portugal, Turkey, Egypt and the USA; therefore, there are many people and institutions that I would like to thank for the completion of this dissertation. I would never finish my studies without their valuable supports. First of all, I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my supervisors; Prof. Jose Maciel Santos, and Prof. Ramazan Kılınç, for their support and wise comments throughout my studies. I would also like to thank Prof. Maciel for offering the opportunity to become an Associate Researcher at Centro de Estudos Africanos da Universidade do Porto (CEAUP). I would like to show my special appreciation for arranging all my needs during my stays at University of Nebraska-Omaha. At Portugal level, I would like to thank an old friend, Mr. Dinçer Özer, for offering me to study in University of Porto. Also, I am very grateful for his support during my early days in Porto. I would also like to thank another good friend, Mr. Ali Akça, for his generous support. Without his guidance, that would be so hard for me to integrate with Portuguese society. On behalf of him, I would like to introduce my sincere appreciation to valuable people of Associação de Amizade Luso-Turca in Porto and Lisbon. I would also like to thank Mr. Mehmet Alimoğlu and his family for their generous support and hospitality. I am also grateful to Prof. Manuel Loff, Prof. Luís Miguel Duarte and Prof. Amélia Polónia for their guidance and supports. For Turkey part of my studies, I would like to thank to Turgut Özal University and its distinguished academic members. I am extremely grateful to Prof. Muhammet Kösecik, Dean of School of Economics and Administrative Sciences, for accepting me as Research Assistant and providing me the institution’s and his endless support xi during my studies in both Ankara and Porto. I would also like to thank Prof. Engin Akçay, Vice-Dean of School of Economics and Administrative Sciences, for his understanding and support. I also owe a debt of gratitude to my colleagues for their support. My field study of Egypt was extremely enjoyable despite existing political turbulent in the summer of 2012. First of all I would like to thank Prof. Nahed Awny for her guidance and hospitality during my studies at American University in Cairo. I am also thankful to Dr. Diaa Rashwan, Political Analyst and Former Head of Al- Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic Studies (ACPSS), for his friendship and generous hospitality at ACPSS. I am also indebted to many Turkish and Egyptian friends for their grateful helps during my field work in Cairo. I would like to thank again Prof. Kılınç for his physically and materially supports during my USA visits. I am also grateful to the College of Art and Science, and the Islamic Studies Program at University Nebraska – Omaha for having received me so warmly. My warmest gratitude goes to a great friend, Mr. Mustafa Şener Hoşnut for his endless support and friendship during my stay in the USA and after. Lastly, I would like to underline the courtesy of Ausra Alsauskaite who always encouraged me with her gentle words and sincere support. Finally, the deepest gratitude goes to my parents, Mehmet Şahin and Semaha Akçalı. They have supported me always, and given the all conditions that brought me here. They always believe in me and respect my choices that I have ever made in this life. I also want to thank my brother, Emre, and my sister, Necmiye, for their endless encouragements and joy. Without their support, I would not be in this position. xii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ....................................................................................................................................... VI RESUMO ......................................................................................................................................... VIII ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................... XI ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS ......................................................................................... XX LIST OF TABLES, FIGURES AND MAPS ................................................................................ XXV INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................... 1 1. PROBLEM STATEMENT ................................................................................................................................