WARD PROFILE: 2021

Winchmore Hill Ward is situated in the south-west of the Borough, bordered to the north by Grange ward, to the east by ward, to the south by and Southgate Green wards and to the west by Southgate ward. It is covered by postal districts N13 and N21.

Ward Profile

This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward.

It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation.

Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages.

Political Makeup

The ward is represented by the following Councillors:

Votes received in Name Party Contact 2018 election

Maria Alexandrou Conservative 020 8379 4391 1,956

Ian Barnes Labour 020 8379 5461 1,963

Dinah Barry Independent - Community First Group 020 8379 2863 2,054

At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Winchmore Hill was 46.7%.

Winchmore Hill ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate.

Demography

Summary Statistics

Winchmore Measure Enfield Source Hill Population Estimate (2019) 13,685 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,608 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 8,814 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 2,263 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 19.1 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 64.4 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 16.5 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 18.6 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 23.8 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 27.0 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 8.1 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 2.8 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 4,888 4,061 MHCLG

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Population

According to the ONS mid-year estimate 2019, the total population is estimated to be 13,685. This was the 3rd smallest population of the 21 wards in Enfield.

The population of Winchmore Hill Ward has increased by 2.1% since the 2011 Census, according to the estimate, which is lower than the average increase in Enfield.

The percentages of male and female residents in Winchmore Hill ward are 50.3% and 49.7% respectively, making it one of only three wards in the borough with more males than females. Their distribution by age band is shown in the chart above right.

Age Profile

There is a higher proportion of older residents (aged 35 and above) than the borough average, and relatively low numbers of children and young adults

For more information, see the appendix.

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Ethnicity

The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British, White Irish and Greek Cypriot groups.

As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 23.8% and Non-UK Born residents was 27.0%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 8.1%

Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 18.6% of the total population.

Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1.

Winchmore Hill Borough

Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No.

White British 8,372 59.7 128463 38.3 White Irish 524 3.7 6427 1.9 Greek 245 1.7 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 911 6.5 15612 4.7 Turkish 367 2.6 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 230 1.6 6079 1.8 Kurdish 52 0.4 4152 1.2 White Other 720 5.1 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 130 0.9 4248 1.3 White and Asian 176 1.3 3627 1.1 White and Black African 94 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 253 1.8 6562 2.0 Indian 509 3.6 11066 3.3 Pakistani 89 0.6 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 68 0.5 5971 1.8 Chinese 76 0.5 2441 0.7 Other Asian 277 2.0 11954 3.6 Somali 48 0.3 9160 2.7 Other Black African 190 1.4 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 315 2.2 17561 5.2 Other Black 126 0.9 8285 2.5

Other Ethnic Group 263 1.9 12300 3.7

1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates.

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Language

The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are:

English 11,128 86% Turkish 322 2% Greek 258 2% Polish 232 2% Gujarati 97 1% * aged 3 and over

Religion

Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as:

Religion No. % share Borough average % Christian 7852 58.6 53.6 Buddhist 70 0.5 0.6 Hindu 419 3.1 3.5 Jewish 290 2.2 1.4 Muslim 1084 8.1 16.7 Sikh 61 0.5 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3627 27.1 23.8

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Socio-economic factors

Socio-economic classification

The 2011 Census results showed that Winchmore Hill had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups with about 54% more people than would be expected from the Borough average.

Low income households

Winchmore Hill had the highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is well above the median level for the borough as a whole and above the London average.

The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 8.2% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the lowest proportion of the 21 wards and lower than the average for London.

Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 253 children in the ward (9.7% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 205 (7.9%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below.

2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011.

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Benefit Claims

• As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Winchmore Hill was 515, representing 5.8% of the local working-age population. • At February 2021, 19.2% of households in the ward (1,070) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households.

Economically active people

The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was much higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix.

Deprivation score

The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Winchmore Hill is the 20th most deprived of the 21 wards in the Borough (in other words, the second least deprived). The same analysis estimates that it is among the 50% least deprived wards in .

The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available.

Fuel Poverty

Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 11% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than the borough and England averages.

3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work.

4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy

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Crime

Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:-

• Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate

The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the crime mapping website.

Health

The most recent estimates of the life expectancies5 for men and women in the ward show that life expectancy is higher than the borough and national averages for both groups.

Considering the age structure of the ward the number of deaths is lower than would be expected, although mortality rates from circulatory disease and coronary heart disease are relatively high.

Life expectancies and Standardised Mortality Ratios by cause of death are shown in the charts below.

General Health

In the 2011 Census the population were asked a question about their general health.

The graph (right) shows the response.

For the numbers of people in the above categories see appendix.

5 Public Health England: Life Expectancy at birth 2015-2019

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Obesity

The chart below shows the percentage of Reception and Year 6 children and adults in the ward who are overweight or obese, compared with the borough and national averages.

The latest health information about the ward can be obtained from the Local Health website by choosing Find My Area and entering the ward name.

Within the ward there are four GP surgeries:

o Gillan House – 457 , N13 4BS o Park Lodge Medical Centre – 3 Old Park Road, N13 4RG o Grovelands Medical Centre – 1 Grovelands Road, N13 4RJ o The Woodberry Practice – 1 Woodberry Avenue, Winchmore Hill, N21 3LE and five dental surgeries:

o Fernleigh Dental Practice – 6a Fernleigh Road, Winchmore Hill N21 3AL o Fox Lane Dental Care -- 12 Fox Lane, N13 4AH o Broadway Dental Care – 1 Compton Road, Winchmore Hill N21 3PA o Dental Practice on The Green – 33 The Green, Winchmore Hill N21 1HS o Mr H Joshi – 489 Green Lanes, N13 4BS

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Housing

The 2011 (Census) profile of the households in the ward by housing tenure (sector) is:

Tenure No. (% share) Borough average % Owner occupied 3754 (70.2%) 58.8% Private rented 1252 (23.4%) 23.6% Council 190 (3.6%) 11.4% Registered social landlord 153 (2.9%) 6.2%

The 2011 Census data provides a view of the accommodation type by ward compared with the rest of the borough.

In Winchmore Hill ward there are higher percentages of detached and semi-detached houses, compared with the Enfield average, and also of flats in converted houses.

In the year to December 2020 the median property sale price for Winchmore Hill ward was £669,000 – 57.4% higher than the Borough median of £425,000, and having risen by 8% since the previous year.

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Education

There are two state primary schools in the ward and one :

Highfield – http://www.highfieldprimary.co.uk/ St. Paul’s C.E. Primary School – www.st-pauls.enfield.sch.uk

Winchmore School - www.winchmore.enfield.sch.uk

In addition, there are two independent schools:

Keble Preparatory School – www.kebleprep.co.uk Palmers Green High School - http://www.pghs.co.uk/

School performance The publishes school performance data on their searchable webpages.

Qualifications in adults Taken from the 2011 Census data the graph below shows the percentage of people with no qualifications, and lower and higher-level qualifications.

Qualifications: The term ‘no qualifications’ describes people without any academic, vocational or professional qualifications. The term ‘lower level’ qualifications is used to describe qualifications equivalent to levels 1 to 3 of the National Key Learning Targets (i.e. GSCE’s O levels, A levels, NVQ levels 1-3). The term ’Higher level’ refers to qualifications of levels 4 and above (i.e. first degrees, higher degrees, NVQ levels 4 and 5, HND, HNC and certain professional qualifications).

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Culture and Leisure

There is one static library within the ward boundary:

Winchmore Hill Library on Green Lanes Tel No 020 8379 1718

The ward has no leisure centres, with the nearest being in the neighbouring ward of Southgate:

Pure Gym on Winchmore Hill Road

Southgate Leisure Centre, on Winchmore Hill Road Tel No: 020 8882 7963

The ward has 6 parks or open spaces:

o Clowes Sports Ground o Hounsden Gutter o o Woodcroft Sports Ground o Brackendale Sports Ground o Barrowell Green Open Space

There are also the following sports and social clubs in the ward:

Winchmore Hill Bowling Club, Radcliffe Road Website: http://whbowlsclub.hitstennis.co.uk/default.aspx

Brackendale Lawn Tennis Club, Brackendale, London N21 3DH

There are allotments at Carpenter Gardens, N21 3HQ. For further information contact Enfield Council on 020 8379 1000 or visit the Enfield Council website.

There are 9 places of worship within the boundaries of the ward:

o St. Monica’s Church Tel No: 020 8886 9568 o Winchmore Hill Methodist Church Tel No: 020 8360 4502 o Holy Trinity Winchmore Hill Tel No: 020 8360 2947 o Winchmore Hill Baptist Church Tel No: 020 8886 4110 o Winchmore Hill United Reformed Church Tel No: 020 8360 2942 o Palmers Green United Reformed Church Tel No: 01366 348190 o Friends Meeting House Tel No: 020 8886 5980 o St. Paul’s Church, Winchmore Hill Tel No: 020 8886 3545 o St John The Evangelist, Palmers Green Tel No: 020 8886 1348

Voluntary and Community Sector

Some locally based community organisations are given below.

• The National Autistic Society, Enfield Branch, Fox Lane, N13 4AJ – NAS champion the rights and interests of all people with autism and aim to provide individuals with autism and their families with help, support and services that they can access, trust and rely upon and which can make a positive difference to their lives Further information: https://www.autism.org.uk/

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• Winchmore Hill Community Care is the local good neighbour scheme for the N21 area They meet at - Friends Meeting House, 59 Church Hill, London N21 1LE For further information please contact 020 8882 7824

Additional Sources of information

For local information visit the Enfield Council website homepage: http://www.enfield.gov.uk/. Creating an Enfield Connected account will enable you to find out about local events and services.

A collation of various data including latest best estimates is at Appendix A.

For statistics, search on the London Datastore or select profiles or data on NOMIS.

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / % TOTAL:- POPULATION – 2019 13685 15895 -14 HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 5349 5710 -6 Owner Occupied 3754 70.2 58.8 19 Council 190 3.6 11.4 -69 Registered Social Landlord 153 2.9 6.2 -54 Private Renting 1252 23.4 23.6 -1 AGE STRUCTURE – 2019 0-4 910 6.6 7.2 -7 5-14 1565 11.4 14.4 -21 15-24 1237 9.0 11.5 -21 25-44 3985 29.1 29.2 0 45-64 3725 27.2 24.4 12 65-74 1174 8.6 7.0 23 75+ 1089 8.0 6.4 25 ETHNIC MIX – 2019 (Enfield Council Estimates) White British 8372 59.7 38.3 56 White Irish 524 3.7 1.9 95 Greek 245 1.7 1.2 52 Greek Cypriot 911 6.5 4.7 39 Turkish 367 2.6 7.6 -65 Turkish Cypriot 230 1.6 1.8 -10 Kurdish 52 0.4 1.2 -70 White Other 720 5.1 6.7 -24 White & Black Caribbean 130 0.9 1.3 -27 White and Asian 176 1.3 1.1 16 White and Black African 94 0.7 0.7 -2 Other mixed 253 1.8 2.0 -8 Indian 509 3.6 3.3 10 Pakistani 89 0.6 0.7 -11 Bangladeshi 68 0.5 1.8 -73 Chinese 76 0.5 0.7 -25 Other Asian 277 2.0 3.6 -45 Somali 48 0.3 2.7 -87 Black African 190 1.4 7.5 -82 Black Caribbean 315 2.2 5.2 -57 Other Black 126 0.9 2.5 -64 Other Ethnic Group 263 1.9 3.7 -49 RELIGION – 2011 Christian 7852 58.6 53.6 9 Buddhist 70 0.5 0.6 -11 Hindu 419 3.1 3.5 -11 Jewish 290 2.2 1.4 53 Muslim 1084 8.1 16.7 -52 Sikh 61 0.5 0.3 32 Other / not stated / none 3627 27.1 23.9 13

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / %

ECONOMIC ACTIVITY in the 16-64 age group All economically active, 2011 7151 80.0 73.4 9 Unemployed — Claimant Count June 2021 515 5.8 8.8 -34 INCOME - 2021 Households with less than £15,000 (gross) a year 455 8.2 15.4 -47 Households claiming Universal Credit (Feb 2021) 1070 19.2 30.7 -37 QUALIFICATIONS – 2011 No qualifications 1689 15.4 23.0 -33 Level 1 only 1055 9.6 12.9 -25 Level 2 1349 12.3 13.8 -11 Level 3 1134 10.4 10.5 -1 Level 4 and above 4689 42.9 28.7 49 HOUSING TYPE – 2011 Detached 476 8.7 7.0 25 Semi-detached 1695 31.0 23.5 32 Terraced 1091 19.9 31.1 -36 Flat - purpose built 954 17.4 30.1 -42 Flat - in a shared house 1121 20.5 6.8 204 Other 133 2.4 1.5 58 CARS IN HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 - nos. of households with: 0 cars 1231 23.0 32.5 -29 1 car 2418 45.2 43.3 5 2+ cars 1700 31.8 24.3 31 HOUSEHOLD TYPES – 2011 One person 1565 29.3 27.8 5 All occupants aged 65 plus 339 6.3 5.5 16 Married couple or civil partnership, no children 546 10.2 7.9 28 Married couple or civil partnership, with dependent children 1006 18.8 17.4 8 Married couple or civil partnership, all children non dependent 396 7.4 6.8 9 Cohabiting couple, no children 284 5.3 3.4 54 Cohabiting couple, with dependent children 154 2.9 3.0 -3 Cohabiting couple, all children non dependent 20 0.4 0.4 -12 Lone parent 490 9.2 16.7 -45 Other 549 10.3 11.0 -7 PERSONS WITH LONG TERM HEALTH PROBLEM / DISABILITY – 2011 Limiting a lot 843 6.3 7.3 -13 Limiting a little 1075 8.0 8.1 -1 GENERAL HEALTH – 2011 Very good 6954 51.9 46.8 11 Good 4418 33.0 35.0 -6 Fair 1496 11.2 12.7 -12 Bad 384 2.9 4.1 -30 Very bad 151 1.1 1.3 -16 LIFE EXPECTANCY (years) - 2015-2019: Males 82.0 80.6 2 Females 85.6 84.6 1 Standardised Mortality Ratio - 2015-2019 85.7 89.9 -5 COMMUNITY SAFETY - 2020 Crime rate (per 1,000 residents) 61.2 85.2 -28 Anti-social behaviour rate 32.1 50.8 -37

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Sources and related notes

Various measures – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, Office for National Statistics. NB. 2021 Census data is not due to be available until 2022/2023. Population – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Households – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Age structure – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Religion – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Ethnic mix – Council estimates for 2019; note there are difficulties in estimating ethnic group sizes at ward level and the figures given here must be treated with caution and used as a guide to the possible mix in the ward Economic Activity – all economically active 16-64 year olds = working plus unemployed – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, the activity rate (%) is the % of the population aged 16-64 Unemployment — the official DWP ‘claimant count’, June 2021 Income – Low income households – CACI Paycheck; 2021; © CACI Deprivation – Ministry for Housing, Communities & Local Government. Ward-level analysis by Local Government Association Children in low-income households – Department for Work and Pensions (2020) Fuel Poverty – Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (2019) Qualifications – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright; note that this table excludes apprenticeships and ‘other’ qualifications Housing type – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Cars – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Household types – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Persons with a long-term health problem/disability – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright General health – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Life expectancy – Public Health England, based on 2015-2019 data Crime rate – uses crime counts from the Metropolitan Police for 2020

The relative % diff[erence] is the area % divided by the Borough % (expressed as a % above or below the Borough average)

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