WARD PROFILE: WINCHMORE HILL 2021 Winchmore Hill Ward is situated in the south-west of the Borough, bordered to the north by Grange ward, to the east by Bush Hill Park ward, to the south by Palmers Green and Southgate Green wards and to the west by Southgate ward. It is covered by postal districts N13 and N21. Ward Profile This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward. It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation. Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages. Political Makeup The ward is represented by the following Councillors: Votes received in Name Party Contact 2018 election Maria Alexandrou Conservative 020 8379 4391 1,956 Ian Barnes Labour 020 8379 5461 1,963 Dinah Barry Independent - Community First Group 020 8379 2863 2,054 At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Winchmore Hill was 46.7%. Winchmore Hill ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield Southgate. Demography Summary Statistics Winchmore Measure Enfield Source Hill Population Estimate (2019) 13,685 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 2,608 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 8,814 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 2,263 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 19.1 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 64.4 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 16.5 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 18.6 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 23.8 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 27.0 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 8.1 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 2.8 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 4,888 4,061 MHCLG Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 2 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Population According to the ONS mid-year estimate 2019, the total population is estimated to be 13,685. This was the 3rd smallest population of the 21 wards in Enfield. The population of Winchmore Hill Ward has increased by 2.1% since the 2011 Census, according to the estimate, which is lower than the average increase in Enfield. The percentages of male and female residents in Winchmore Hill ward are 50.3% and 49.7% respectively, making it one of only three wards in the borough with more males than females. Their distribution by age band is shown in the chart above right. Age Profile There is a higher proportion of older residents (aged 35 and above) than the borough average, and relatively low numbers of children and young adults For more information, see the appendix. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 3 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Ethnicity The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British, White Irish and Greek Cypriot groups. As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 23.8% and Non-UK Born residents was 27.0%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 8.1% Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 18.6% of the total population. Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1. Winchmore Hill Borough Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No. White British 8,372 59.7 128463 38.3 White Irish 524 3.7 6427 1.9 Greek 245 1.7 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 911 6.5 15612 4.7 Turkish 367 2.6 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 230 1.6 6079 1.8 Kurdish 52 0.4 4152 1.2 White Other 720 5.1 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 130 0.9 4248 1.3 White and Asian 176 1.3 3627 1.1 White and Black African 94 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 253 1.8 6562 2.0 Indian 509 3.6 11066 3.3 Pakistani 89 0.6 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 68 0.5 5971 1.8 Chinese 76 0.5 2441 0.7 Other Asian 277 2.0 11954 3.6 Somali 48 0.3 9160 2.7 Other Black African 190 1.4 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 315 2.2 17561 5.2 Other Black 126 0.9 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 263 1.9 12300 3.7 1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 4 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Language The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are: English 11,128 86% Turkish 322 2% Greek 258 2% Polish 232 2% Gujarati 97 1% * aged 3 and over Religion Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as: Religion No. % share Borough average % Christian 7852 58.6 53.6 Buddhist 70 0.5 0.6 Hindu 419 3.1 3.5 Jewish 290 2.2 1.4 Muslim 1084 8.1 16.7 Sikh 61 0.5 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3627 27.1 23.8 Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 5 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Socio-economic factors Socio-economic classification The 2011 Census results showed that Winchmore Hill had an above average proportion of people in managerial groups with about 54% more people than would be expected from the Borough average. Low income households Winchmore Hill had the highest average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is well above the median level for the borough as a whole and above the London average. The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 8.2% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the lowest proportion of the 21 wards and lower than the average for London. Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 253 children in the ward (9.7% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 205 (7.9%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below. 2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011. Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 6 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Benefit Claims • As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Winchmore Hill was 515, representing 5.8% of the local working-age population. • At February 2021, 19.2% of households in the ward (1,070) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households. Economically active people The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was much higher than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates see appendix. Deprivation score The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that, within Enfield, Winchmore Hill is the 20th most deprived of the 21 wards in the Borough (in other words, the second least deprived). The same analysis estimates that it is among the 50% least deprived wards in England. The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available. Fuel Poverty Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 11% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was lower than the borough and England averages. 3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work. 4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Produced by the Knowledge and Insight Hub 7 If you have any queries relating to this document please email [email protected] Crime Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:- • Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the Metropolitan Police crime mapping website.