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Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS): an Al-Qaeda Affiliate Case Study Pamela G
Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS): An Al-Qaeda Affiliate Case Study Pamela G. Faber and Alexander Powell October 2017 DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. This document contains the best opinion of CNA at the time of issue. It does not necessarily represent the opinion of the sponsor. Distribution DISTRIBUTION STATEMENT A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited. SPECIFIC AUTHORITY: N00014-16-D-5003 10/27/2017 Request additional copies of this document through [email protected]. Photography Credit: Michael Markowitz, CNA. Approved by: October 2017 Dr. Jonathan Schroden, Director Center for Stability and Development Center for Strategic Studies This work was performed under Federal Government Contract No. N00014-16-D-5003. Copyright © 2017 CNA Abstract Section 1228 of the 2015 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) states: “The Secretary of Defense, in coordination with the Secretary of State and the Director of National Intelligence, shall provide for the conduct of an independent assessment of the effectiveness of the United States’ efforts to disrupt, dismantle, and defeat Al- Qaeda, including its affiliated groups, associated groups, and adherents since September 11, 2001.” The Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations/Low Intensity Conflict (ASD (SO/LIC)) asked CNA to conduct this independent assessment, which was completed in August 2017. In order to conduct this assessment, CNA used a comparative methodology that included eight case studies on groups affiliated or associated with Al-Qaeda. These case studies were then used as a dataset for cross-case comparison. This document is a stand-alone version of the Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS) case study used in the Independent Assessment. -
Government of India Ministry of Home Affairs Lok Sabha Starred Question No.†*122 Spread of Isis Activities †*122. Shri Lalub
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS LOK SABHA STARRED QUESTION NO.†*122 TO BE ANSWERED ON THE 08TH DECEMBER, 2015/AGRAHAYANA 17,1937 (SAKA) SPREAD OF ISIS ACTIVITIES †*122. SHRI LALUBHAI BABUBHAI PATEL: SHRI ASHOK SHANKARRAO CHAVAN: Will the Minister of HOME AFFAIRS be pleased to state: (a) the details of Terrorist Organisations including Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), which have been banned under the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, 1967; (b) whether the Government is aware that several youths are being lured to the ideologies of ISIS; (c) if so, the details thereof and the corrective measures taken/proposed to be taken by the Government to wean away the youths from these terrorist organisations; and (d) the measures taken to contain activities of ISIS and other terrorist organisations in the country? ANSWER MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (SHRI HARIBHAI PARATHIBHAI CHAUDHARY) (a) to (d): A Statement is laid on the Table of the House. ****** -2- STATEMENT REFERRED TO IN LOK SABHA STARRED QUESTION NO. †*122 FOR 08.12.2015 (a): The Central Government has so far included thirty nine (39) organisations as Terrorist Organisations in the First Schedule of the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, 1967. The list is attached as Annexure. (b) to (d): The terrorist outfit, Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) uses both positive and negative imagery especially in the social media to attract recruits from across the world for its so called global jihad to form a caliphate. However, though the ISIS has not been able to influence/ attract many youth from India, the matter continues to be a long-term national security concern for India. -
Origination, Organization, and Prevention: Saudi Arabia, Terrorist Financing and the War on Terror”
Testimony of Steven Emerson with Jonathan Levin Before the United States Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs “Terrorism Financing: Origination, Organization, and Prevention: Saudi Arabia, Terrorist Financing and the War on Terror” July 31, 2003 Steven Emerson Executive Director The Investigative Project 5505 Conn. Ave NW #341 Washington DC 20015 Email: [email protected] phone 202-363-8602 fax 202 966 5191 Introduction Terrorism depends upon the presence of three primary ingredients: Indoctrination, recruitment and financing. Take away any one of those three ingredients and the chances for success are geometrically reduced. In the nearly two years since the horrific attacks of 9/11, the war on terrorism has been assiduously fought by the US military, intelligence and law enforcement. Besides destroying the base that Al Qaeda used in Afghanistan, the United States has conducted a comprehensive campaign in the United States to arrest, prosecute, deport or jail those suspected of being connected to terrorist cells. The successful prosecution of terrorist cells in Detroit and Buffalo and the announcement of indictments against suspected terrorist cells in Portland, Seattle, northern Virginia, Chicago, Tampa, Brooklyn, and elsewhere have demonstrated the resolve of those on the front line in the battle against terrorism. Dozens of groups, financial conduits and financiers have seen their assets frozen or have been classified as terrorist by the US Government. One of the most sensitive areas of investigation remains the role played by financial entities and non-governmental organizations (ngo’s) connected to or operating under the aegis of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Since the July 24 release of the “Report of the Joint Inquiry into the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001,” the question of what role Saudi Arabia has played in supporting terrorism, particularly Al Qaeda and the 9/11 attacks, has come under increasing scrutiny. -
Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent: a New Frontline in the Global Jihadist Movement?” the International Centre for Counter- Ter Rorism – the Hague 8, No
AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: The Nucleus of Jihad in South Asia THE SOUFAN CENTER JANUARY 2019 AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: THE NUCLEUS OF JIHAD IN SOUTH ASIA !1 AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: THE NUCLEUS OF JIHAD IN SOUTH ASIA AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT (AQIS): The Nucleus of Jihad in South Asia THE SOUFAN CENTER JANUARY 2019 !2 AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: THE NUCLEUS OF JIHAD IN SOUTH ASIA CONTENTS List of Abbreviations 4 List of Figures & Graphs 5 Key Findings 6 Executive Summary 7 AQIS Formation: An Affiliate with Strong Alliances 11 AQIS Leadership 19 AQIS Funding & Finances 24 Wahhabization of South Asia 27 A Region Primed: Changing Dynamics in the Subcontinent 31 Global Threats Posed by AQIS 40 Conclusion 44 Contributors 46 About The Soufan Center (TSC) 48 Endnotes 49 !3 AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: THE NUCLEUS OF JIHAD IN SOUTH ASIA LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AAI Ansar ul Islam Bangladesh ABT Ansar ul Bangla Team AFPAK Afghanistan and Pakistan Region AQC Al-Qaeda Central AQI Al-Qaeda in Iraq AQIS Al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent FATA Federally Administered Tribal Areas HUJI Harkat ul Jihad e Islami HUJI-B Harkat ul Jihad e Islami Bangladesh ISI Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence ISKP Islamic State Khorasan Province JMB Jamaat-ul-Mujahideen Bangladesh KFR Kidnap for Randsom LeJ Lashkar e Jhangvi LeT Lashkar e Toiba TTP Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan !4 AL-QAEDA IN THE INDIAN SUBCONTINENT: THE NUCLEUS OF JIHAD IN SOUTH ASIA LIST OF FIGURES & GRAPHS Figure 1: Map of South Asia 9 Figure 2: -
Threat of Indian Mujahideen: the Long View
ISAS Insights No. 234 – 28 November 2013 469A Bukit Timah Road #07-01, Tower Block, Singapore 259770 Tel: 6516 6179 / 6516 4239 Fax: 6776 7505 / 6314 5447 Email: [email protected] Website: www.isas.nus.edu.sg Threat of Indian Mujahideen: The Long View Shanthie Mariet D'Souza and Bibhu Prasad Routray1 Abstract The explosions in Patna in India on 27 October 2013, targeting a political rally, once again brought the Indian Mujahideen into media focus. Far from being a localised group trying to exploit local grievances, the Indian Mujahideen is fast emerging as both a formidable group within India and also an example for terrorist formations elsewhere. Introduction The origin and growth of the Indian Mujahideen (IM) have been linked to a host of issues including communal riots, perceived alienation among the Muslims, and even India’s diplomatic relations with Israel. Some organisations and personalities have, on the other hand, termed it a mere conception of the intelligence agencies and an imagination of the media. Such speculations and presumptions notwithstanding, the evolution of the IM and its growth dynamics continue to be baffling. In the context of 18 episodes of explosions in 14 Indian cities since 2005, which 1 Dr Shanthie Mariet D’Souza is Research Fellow at the Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS), an autonomous research institute at the National University of Singapore. She can be contacted at [email protected]. Dr Bibhu Prasad Routray is a Security Analyst/Consultant based in Singapore. He served as Deputy Director in the National Security Council Secretariat, Government of India, New Delhi. -
Jihadist Violence: the Indian Threat
JIHADIST VIOLENCE: THE INDIAN THREAT By Stephen Tankel Jihadist Violence: The Indian Threat 1 Available from : Asia Program Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars One Woodrow Wilson Plaza 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue NW Washington, DC 20004-3027 www.wilsoncenter.org/program/asia-program ISBN: 978-1-938027-34-5 THE WOODROW WILSON INTERNATIONAL CENTER FOR SCHOLARS, established by Congress in 1968 and headquartered in Washington, D.C., is a living national memorial to President Wilson. The Center’s mission is to commemorate the ideals and concerns of Woodrow Wilson by providing a link between the worlds of ideas and policy, while fostering research, study, discussion, and collaboration among a broad spectrum of individuals concerned with policy and scholarship in national and interna- tional affairs. Supported by public and private funds, the Center is a nonpartisan insti- tution engaged in the study of national and world affairs. It establishes and maintains a neutral forum for free, open, and informed dialogue. Conclusions or opinions expressed in Center publications and programs are those of the authors and speakers and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Center staff, fellows, trustees, advisory groups, or any individuals or organizations that provide financial support to the Center. The Center is the publisher of The Wilson Quarterly and home of Woodrow Wilson Center Press, dialogue radio and television. For more information about the Center’s activities and publications, please visit us on the web at www.wilsoncenter.org. BOARD OF TRUSTEES Thomas R. Nides, Chairman of the Board Sander R. Gerber, Vice Chairman Jane Harman, Director, President and CEO Public members: James H. -
Answered On:20.11.2001 Ban on Terrorist Outfits Jaswant Singh Yadav;Sukender Reddy Gutha
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA HOME AFFAIRS LOK SABHA STARRED QUESTION NO:27 ANSWERED ON:20.11.2001 BAN ON TERRORIST OUTFITS JASWANT SINGH YADAV;SUKENDER REDDY GUTHA Will the Minister of HOME AFFAIRS be pleased to state: (a) the names of organizations banned by the Union Government for fanning religious fundamentalism and terrorism in the country during the last one year alongwith life span of the ban; (b) the names of religious organizations being considered to be banned, as on date; (c) whether the Government have received any requests from State Governments and Memoranda from various political/social organizations for banning organizations involved in spreading religious fundamentalism and communal tension in the country; (d) if so, the details thereof; and (e) the extent to which these measures are likely to help in combating terrorism in the country? Answer THE MINISTER OF STATE IN THE MINISTRY OF HOME AFFAIRS (I.D.SWAMI) (a) to (e): A statement is laid on the Table of the House. Statement referred to in reply to parts (a) to (e) of the Lok Sabha Starred Question No.27 for 20.11.2001 regarding Ban on Terrorist Outfits. (a): During the last one year following organizations have been banned by Government of India for fanning religious fundamentalism or terrorism under the provisions of the Unlawful Activities (Prevention) Act, 1967. The ban is for a period of Two Years subject to the confirmation of Tribunal. Sl.No. Name of the organization Date of Notification of Ban 1 Achik National Volunteer Council 16.11.2000 2 Hynniewtrep National Liberation -
Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent
Al Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent: A New Frontline in the Global Jihadist Movement? In September 2014, al-Qaeda Central (AQC) launched its latest regional affiliate, al-Qaeda in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS). The new group ICCT Policy Brief was created to operate across South Asia, however, with its centre of May 2016 gravity and leadership based in Pakistan. This paper is a background brief, designed for policy makers, to shed light on and increase Author: understanding of AQC’s latest affiliate AQIS. At first glance the lack of Alastair Reed successful action has led many to argue that AQIS is of limited threat. However, despite early setbacks, the group has not been eliminated and continues to organise and plan for the future. DOI: 10.19165/2016.2.02 ISSN: 2468-0486 About the Author Alastair Reed Dr. Alastair Reed is Research Coordinator and a Research Fellow at ICCT, joining ICCT and Leiden University’s Institute of Security and Global Affairs in the autumn of 2014. Previously, he was an Assistant Professor at Utrecht University, where he completed his doctorate on research focused on understanding the processes of escalation and de-escalation in Ethnic Separatist conflicts in India and the Philippines. His main areas of interest are Terrorism and Insurgency, Conflict Analysis, Conflict Resolution, Military and Political Strategy, and International Relations, in particular with a regional focus on South Asia and South-East Asia. His current research projects address the foreign- fighter phenomenon, focusing on motivation and the use of strategic communications. About ICCT The International Centre for Counter-Terrorism – The Hague (ICCT) is an independent think and do tank providing multidisciplinary policy advice and practical, solution-oriented implementation support on prevention and the rule of law, two vital pillars of effective counter-terrorism. -
The Poems of Shah Ni'matullah Wali
SPECIAL ARTICLE ‘Prophecies’ in South Asian Muslim Political Discourse: The Poems of Shah Ni’matullah Wali c m naim Three “prophetic” Persian poems ascribed to a Shah n December 2009, Indian Chief of the Army Staff, General Ni’matullah Wali have been a fascinating feature in the Deepak Kapoor, made certain comments with reference to “the challenges of a possible ‘two-front war’ with China and popular political discourse of the Muslims of south Asia. I 1 Pakistan”. The Chinese response is not known, but public denun- For nearly two centuries these poems have circulated ciations in Pakistan were persistent, one Urdu column catching whenever there has been a major crisis in, what may be my particular attention. Orya Maqbool Jan, a former civil serv- called, the psychic world of south Asian Muslims. The ant, first declared that Napoleon lost at Waterloo because he neglec ted to consult his astrologer that morning.2 Next he urged first recorded appearance was in 1850, after the “Jihad” his readers and General Kapoor to heed what certain Muslim movement of Syed Ahmad had failed in the north-west, saints had already “foretold”, offering as his coup de grâce some followed by serial appearances after the debacle of 1857, verses from one of the Persian poems attributed to Shah the dissolution of the Ottoman Caliphate and the failure Ni’matullah Wali, prophesying that the Afghans would one day “conquer Punjab, Delhi, Kashmir, Deccan, and Jammu” and of the Khilafat and Hijrat movements in 1924, the “remov e all Hindu practices” from the land. Partition of the country and community in 1947, and the I was intrigued, since I had not seen any reference to the Indo-Pak war of 1971-72. -
Fragile States, Technological Capacity, and Increased Terrorist Activity Ore Korena* and Sumit Gangulya and Aashna Kahnnaa
Fragile States, Technological Capacity, and Increased Terrorist Activity Ore Korena* and Sumit Gangulya and Aashna Kahnnaa aDepartment of Poltical Science, Indiana University, Bloomington, USA *corresponding author: [email protected]. Fragile States, Technological Capacity, and Increased Terrorist Activity Research on terrorism disagrees on whether terrorist activity is at its highest in collapsed states, which are more hospitable to such activities, or whether terrorism increases in more capable states. We revisit this discussion by theorizing an interactive relationship: terrorists prefer to operate in politically-hospitable states, but their attack frequency within these states increases with greater technological capacity, which allows them to expand their military, recruitment, and financing operations. We analyze 27,018 terrorist incidents using regression and causal inference models, conduct a case study, and find robust support for this interactive logic. Our conclusions outline implications for policy and academic work. Keywords: terrorism; state capacity; War on Terror; technology; rogue states Does terrorist activity increase in all hospitable states equally or is it prevalent in more technologically advanced states? Recent research provides divergent answers to this question, with some studies emphasizing the role of failed states as breeding grounds for terrorists,1 while others arguing that terrorists cannot effectively operate in such states.2 Yet, to our knowledge, no study has approached this question by assuming a moderated -
India – Researched and Compiled by the Refugee Documentation Centre of Ireland on 24 August 2012
India – Researched and compiled by the Refugee Documentation Centre of Ireland on 24 August 2012 Information on a group called Babar Khalsh: their history, aims, objectives and whether the group is political, religious, or criminal. Treatment of Babar Khalsh members by the government or society. A terrorist organisation profile published by the US government affiliated National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), in a paragraph headed “Founding Philosophy”, refers to a group called Babbar Khalsa International as follows: “Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) is an organization of Sikh separatists associated with a wave of assassinations and terrorist attacks in the 1980s. The group's primary goal is the establishment of an independent Sikh country of unspecified size in northwestern India. Group statements and media sources usually refer to this proposed state as ‘Khalistan.’” (National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) (undated) Terrorist Organization Profile: Babbar Khalsa International (BKI)) A paragraph headed “Current Goals” states: “Babbar Khalsa seeks a sovereign state for Sikhs carved out of northern India. Punjab province and surrounding majority Sikh regions will serve as the basis for this state, but BKI does not articulate precise plans for the geographical, political, economic, or religious characteristics of its desired Khalistan.” (ibid) A country advice document published by the Australian Government – Refugee Review Tribunal, in a paragraph headed “Overview of the Babbar Khalsa International”, states: “The Babbar Khalsa International (BKI) is a Sikh separatist paramilitary group which has existed since the early 1980s. The BKI, like other Sikh militant groups, advocates an independent state for Sikhs, to be known as Khalistan. -
Terrorist Organisation—Lashkar-E-Tayyiba) Regulation 2015
Criminal Code (Terrorist Organisation—Lashkar-e-Tayyiba) Regulation 2015 Select Legislative Instrument No. 127, 2015 I, the Honourable Paul de Jersey AC QC, Administrator of the Government of the Commonwealth of Australia, acting with the advice of the Federal Executive Council, make the following regulation. Dated 06 August 2015 Paul de Jersey Administrator By His Excellency’s Command George Brandis QC Attorney-General OPC61401 - C Federal Register of Legislative Instruments F2015L01238 Federal Register of Legislative Instruments F2015L01238 Contents 1 Name ................................................................................................. 1 2 Commencement ................................................................................. 1 3 Authority ........................................................................................... 1 4 Schedules ........................................................................................... 1 5 Terrorist organisation—Lashkar-e-Tayyiba ...................................... 2 Schedule 1—Amendments 4 Criminal Code Regulations 2002 4 No. 127, 2015 Criminal Code (Terrorist Organisation—Lashkar-e-Tayyiba) i Regulation 2015 OPC61401 - C Federal Register of Legislative Instruments F2015L01238 Federal Register of Legislative Instruments F2015L01238 Section 1 1 Name This is the Criminal Code (Terrorist Organisation—Lashkar-e- Tayyiba) Regulation 2015. 2 Commencement (1) Each provision of this instrument specified in column 1 of the table commences, or is taken to have commenced,