NEEDS AND POPULATION MONITORING REPORT POPULATION BASELINE ROUND V NOVEMBER 2015
© NPM Aleppo Team SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC
Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Contents
1. Background ...... 3
2. Methodology ...... 3
2.1 Classification of Target Population ...... 4
2.2 Limitations ...... 5
3. Brief information on round V (November 2015) ...... 6
4. Key findings ...... 7
5. Coverage ...... 8
6. Overview of target population categories by demographics ...... 9
6.1 Present population categories in assessed communities ...... 9
6.1.1 IDPs ...... 10
6.1.2 Returnees ...... 11
6.2 Population categories currently not present in the assessed locations ...... 11
6.2.1 Fled within Syria ...... 12
6.2.2 Fled out of Syria ...... 13
7. Overview of target population categories by type of shelter ...... 15
7.1 Affected resident population by shelter type ...... 15
7.2 Returnees by shelter type ...... 16
7.3 IDPs by shelter type ...... 17
Annexes ...... 18
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM)
1. Background
The ongoing conflict in Syria, which continues to be dynamic, complex and multi-faceted, has become the world’s largest humanitarian crisis since World War II. In order to respond to the continuous deterioration of the humanitarian situation in the country - characterized by poor access to basic goods and services, large-scale displacements, increasing vulnerabilities of populations in need, damage to key infrastructure, and restricted movement of goods and people - the humanitarian community has developed innovative approaches to conduct comprehensive country-wide assessments of humanitarian needs.
Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM) is a set of tools and methods implemented through OCHA to identify, assess, and track target population categories within Syria in relation to needs and population mobility dynamics at the lowest geographical level possible. NPM aims to assist the humanitarian community by regularly disseminating verified data on targeted population groups in accessible areas within Syria. The collected data serves as baseline information on the mobility of the population and has the main purpose to inform clusters, donors, and other humanitarian partners inside Syria.
NPM initiative promotes a collaborative approach among aid actors in which local Syrian NGOs collect data and international partners provide technical support, capacity building, and coordination among the involved parties. The NPM initiative is embedded within the Whole of Syria Needs Identification Framework (NIF), and as such supports the established inter-agency coordination mechanisms at regional and country levels.
2. Methodology
NPM is implemented in successive rounds of primary data collection on a monthly basis, aims to cover as many locations as possible at the lowest geographical level based on security and accessibility. Each round takes approximately three to four weeks of data collection, followed by data processing, visualization and report writing. The main data collection instruments for the fieldwork is the NPM Baseline Location Profile - Community Level Questionnaire known as B2 Form.
In addition to this, the NPM Baseline Location Profile - Mobility Dynamic Monitoring Questionnaire known as B3 Form is used to update data that was collected in the previous round. NPM Mobility Dynamic Assessment also aims at collecting monthly information on mobility patterns of target population categories inside Syria through primary data collection at community level. The presented figures in this report are the sum of the data that is collected in newly added locations through the B2 Form, with the latest figures provided by the Mobility Dynamic Monitoring exercise held in November 2015 through the B3 Form1.
NPM is built around the collection of data from primary sources at the community level (also referred to as village/neighborhood) which is the lowest level of human settlement/lowest administrative unit inside Syria. Data collection at such level intends to provide better accuracy since the area for which key informants (KIs) are giving information relates directly to their actual area of knowledge.
NPM approach consists of primary data collection through multiple direct interviews with KIs and direct observations in different locations. Local and knowledgeable KIs are selected in target locations to get the best quality and reliability of the work done. These KIs include NGO/humanitarian aid workers, community based organization leaders, community leaders, health workers, religious leaders, teachers, traders/shopkeepers, local administration, military commanders,
1 The NPM Mobility Dynamic Monitoring for November 2015 assessed 3,950 locations within 12 accessible governorates of Syria by taking 4,123 locations assessed in NPM Round IV as baseline, with 72% coverage, involving 10 team leaders, 16 DPAs, 104 enumerators, and 11,314 KIs. This exercise focused on the movement of target population categories that occurred solely during November2015.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015 social workers, and group leaders of internally displaced persons (IDPs). In order to perform direct observation seen as complementary to the interviews held with the KIs, public places are visited as well.
Data collection teams in each governorate are composed of one or two team leader/s, data entry/processing assistants (DPAs), and a number of enumerators depending on the number of locations to be covered. Given the fact that having good access to and knowledge of target locations is critical in conducting fieldwork, all field data collection team members are selected locally based on their knowledge and network in the specific area or nearby locations where the data collection takes place. Regional/team leaders, DPAs, and enumerators who are selected in accordance with the criteria listed above by the implementing partners (IPs) undergo multiple trainings on NPM methodology including the questionnaire, selection of KIs, interview techniques, target groups, and locations. Depending on the circumstances induced by security restrictions and access constraints, these trainings are held either face-to-face or remotely.
Enumerators work mostly in pairs and collect quantitative data in the field through KI interviews and direct observation. Upon their return, each enumerator has a debriefing session with his/her team leader where they are asked to provide robust evidence (photos, lists, contact details of KIs) for the figures reported. However, data collection in inaccessible locations is conducted remotely and thus direct observation does not take place. With regard to the quality control and verification, the first phase takes place in the field. Each completed questionnaire is checked ona daily basis, verified by crosschecking information from multiple sources, and cleared by each corresponding team leader before it is entered into the database. Where mistakes are identified or further information is required, the corresponding data collector is asked to verify the data through either revisiting the site or contacting the KIs. Lastly, team leaders conduct random calls in different communities located in each governorate to verify numbers provided. The second phase starts once all the data is entered into the database. The NPM team then uses random samples to check the quality of information and, if necessary, field teams in the covered governorates are consulted to further verify the identified issues. The third and final phase before the release of the report is the regular verification exercise.
NPM provides information on the overall situation of target population and their locations by taking into consideration two main factors; mobility and type of residence. The scope of the NPM exercise focuses on the most vulnerable categories within Syria by looking at these two factors. Therefore, the population category of current resident populations not affected has not been included in this framework since this category has been influenced neither by mobility nor type of residence.
2.1 Classification of Target Population The NPM includes seven different categories of targeted population as per graph below. The first two categories are related to the current resident populations within Syria who have or have not been affected in relation to shelter. The current resident population affected by shelter is defined as the resident population who is forced to move to another shelter within the same location, mainly because of shelter damage. The following two categories assess the resident populations within Syria who are currently absent from their location of origin because they fled to another location either within or out of Syria. The fifth category relates to returnees2 who fled the location and have returned since 2011, and the last two categories are for Syrian and non-Syrian IDPs who arrived in the location since 2011.
Within the framework of mobility, NPM includes the following population categories: current resident population affected by shelter, resident population fled within or out of Syria3, returnees, and IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011. Data collected on these population categories relates to the date/year of movement, as well as the location of origin and destination of those movements. As for the type of residence, the NPM collects data on the current resident population affected, returnees, and IDPs who are considered to be in severe need of temporary shelter by looking at the following categories:
2 Definition of returnees is not related to the criteria of return in terms of safety and dignity, nor with any durable solutions defined strategy. NPM Baseline Assessments only record the estimated number of those who fled the community at one point since 2011 and have returned since. 3 NPM has no means of verification on the destination and exact figures submitted under the population categories fled/left out and not returned (resident population that fled and not returned, IDPs that left and not returned), either if these fled out populations reached the destination or crossed the border.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
In village/town, using rented accommodation In village/town, with host families (rent fee) In village/town, using abandoned buildings or public spaces In formal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, etc.) In informal collective shelters (schools, public buildings, etc.) In camps (organized and structured) In camps (self-settled “camps”) In own house
Current Resident Population AFFECTED by Shelter Aspect (currently present in the location) Current Resident Population (currently present in the location) Current Resident Population NON AFFECTED (currently present in the location)
Resident population that FLED and not returned but WITHIN SYRIA Resident Population that FLED (absent from the location) Resident population that FLED and not returned Target Population OUT of SYRIA
Returnees (currently present Resident Population that FLED and RETURNED to the in the location) location since 2011 (currently present in the location)
Syrian IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location) IDPs (currently present in the location) Non-Syrian IDPs that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location)
2.2 Limitations Recording mobility patterns in real time has proven a difficult exercise, considering the extremely dynamic population movements within Syria. For the time being, NPM has not been able to cover the governorate of Tartous, while the NPM coverage is below 50% for the governorates of Damascus (10%), Homs (33%), and Lattakia (14%).
Only 8 out of 104 enumerators (8%) and 641 out of 8,794 KIs (7%) were female. Gender imbalance caused by the low number of female enumerators and KIs should be considered while evaluating the assessment results.
Overall, findings presented in this report are based on the best estimates provided by the interviewed key informants during the data collection which carries limitations of its own. Due to access and security constraints, some of the interviews were conducted remotely without direct observation in the locations, hence resorting again to best possible estimates.
Moreover, it is important to note that NPM has no means of verifying the destination and exact figures provided under the resident population that fled and have not returned, reported by KIs. Whether these fled-out-populations actually reached the destination inside Syria or crossed the border, as reported by key informants, is not known. Therefore, population figures are subject to an undefined margin of error since it is based on the best estimates of the KIs who are from the assessed location itself.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
3. Brief information on round V (November 2015)
NPM Round V assessed 4,139 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 73% coverage. This NPM round involved 10 team leaders, 16 DPAs and 104 enumerators. Furthermore, 9,301 KIs were interviwed in Novmeber 2015. In this round, the presented figures are calculated through aggregating the updated data of Round IV4 with the latest figures provided by the Mobility Dynamic Monitoring exercise conducted in November 2015, and the data that is collected in newly added locations.
4,139 73% 104 8%
Of known 5,708 Enumerators Female Total locations assessed in 13 locations assessed involved enumerators Governorates
The table below shows the profiles of key informants interviewed.
9,301 90% 10%
Total key informants Male Female interviewed key informants key informants
This data has to be considered as estimation rather than absolute figures ofthe population residing in the assessed governorates. All data sets for Round V are available to the interested humanitarian partners for their use and analysis.
4 The NPM Round IV in October 2015 assessed 4,123 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 72% coverage.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
4. Key findings
1,029,945 current 1,168,041 returnees 5,293,290 Syrian IDPs 4,233,874 people fled resident population out of Syria affected by shelter 62% of total returnees 1,431,291 are in Aleppo 57% to Turkey
in Aleppo (344,083) More than 60% of and Idlib (369,164) 1,057,594 are in Idleb 15% to Lebanon them are in Aleppo (416,593) and Rural 714,745 are in Rural 8% to Jordan Damascus (222,578) Damascus 2% to Iraq
Current resident population Returnees Syrian IDPs People fled out of Syria affected by shelter 60% fled out to Turkey 47% staying with host 81% of returnees 44% in rented are from Aleppo families stay in their own accommodation houses 26% in abandoned 25% stay with host 67% fled out to buildings 8% in rented families Lebanon are from accommodation Homs 18% in rented 19% in abandoned accommodation 6% stay with host buildings 88% fled out to families 8% continue to stay in 10% in collective Jordan are from Dar’a their own houses 4% in abandoned shelters and Rural Damascus buildings 1% in camps and 2% continue to 97% fled out to Iraq shelters 1% in camps and stay in their own are from Al-Hasakeh shelters houses
Governorates of destination for 6,653,303 IDPs have been displaced mostly people absent from their location of origin within their governorate of origin as they fled to another location inside Intra-governorate displacement: Syria: 27% Rural Damascus 98% Dar’a 26% Aleppo 95% Lattakia 11% Idleb 94% Deir-ez-Zor 7% Ar-Raqqa 88% Homs 7% Homs 80% Rural Damascus 6% Damascus 77% Al-Hasakeh 4% Dar’a 54% Aleppo 2% Hama 54% Damascus 4% Other 48% Ar-Raqqa
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
5. Coverage
NPM assessments of the communities within the accessible governorates of Syria are carried out by taking the list of communities on existing datasets (p-codes) used by OCHA and humanitarian agencies in Syria. Round V, which took place in November 2015, assessed 4,139 locations within 13 governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates. In comparison to its previous round, the NPM has increased its coverage by 1% in its fifth round and reachedup to 73% overall coverage.5 The governorates with a high coverage are Quneitra (86%), As-Sweida (98%), Dar’a (98%), and Deir-ez-Zor (99%), in addition to Aleppo, Al-Hasakeh, Ar-Raqqa, and Idleb all with 100% coverage. The percentage of coverage in the assessed communities in the remaining governorates, except Rural Damascus (74%) and Hama (54%), is less than 50%.
NPM carried out its assessment in 206 sub-districts (out of total 272) with varying percentages of coverage.
Number of assessed communities and listed Percentage coverage in sub-districts based on number of communities per governorate, November 2015 communities assessed
4,139 5,708 NPM Round 5 Total number of assessed known communities communities
5 NPM Round IV in October 2015 assessed 4,123 locations within 13 accessible governorates out of a total of 5,708 locations within 14 governorates of Syria, with 72% coverage.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
6. Overview of target population categories by demographics
After giving estimated population figures of currently present population categories within 13 accessible governorates of Syria (current resident population affected by shelter, IDPs and returnees), specific data on the year of movement, as well as the destination of those movements, will be presented for IDPs and returnees. Then, the population categories, currently not present in the assessed locations, will be submitted with their estimated numbers, possible destinations, and the year of movement.
6.1 Present population categories in assessed communities Based on its community level assessment held in November 2015, the NPM Round V estimates the number of current resident population affected by shelter as 1,029,945 individuals or 206,189 households, returnees as 1,168,041 individuals or 229,435 households, and IDPs, both Syrian and non-Syrian, as 5,328,629 individuals or 1,028,012 households.
The map below illustrates the number of people by category in each governorate. For instance, more than 60% of all current resident population affected by shelter are in Aleppo (416,593 individuals) and Rural Damascus (222,578 individuals). Returnees in Aleppo and Idleb (715,342individuals) represent 63% of total returnee population. The governorates hosting the highest number of IDPs are Aleppo (1,431,396 individuals), Idleb (1,057,699 individuals) and Rural Damascus (714,625individuals).
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
6.1.1 IDPs
In its fifth round, the NPM assessed IDPs by Governorates in assessed locations, November 2015 2,708 locations with IDP presence Aleppo 1,431,291 inside Syria. More than half of the Idleb 1,057,594 assessed locations with IDP presence Rural Damascus 714,745 are spotted in Aleppo with 1,104 Hama 397,871 locations and Idleb with 443 Homs 390,996 locations. Deir-ez-Zor 381,547 In all assessed governorates, 10% Al-Hasakeh 343,497 Dar'a 313,808 (523,816 individuals) of the IDPs Damascus 95,811 arrived in 2012, 28% (1,491,338 As-Sweida 54,756 individuals) in 2013, 24% (1,251,625 Quneitra 50,616 individuals) in 2014, and 12% Ar-Raqqa 46,043 (621,086 individuals) in 2015. Lattakia 14,715 Approximately 70% of those who Tartous - arrived in 2012 are in Homs (183,345 individuals) and Rural Damascus (167,952 individuals). The great majority of IDPs who arrived in the locations in 2013 are composed of those in Aleppo (547,379 individuals), Rural Damascus (370,679 individuals) and Hama (238,280 individuals). However, in 2014, almost half of those having arrived in the locations (652,445 individuals) were spotted in Aleppo alone. Nearly 40% (246,844 individuals) of the total number of IDPs that arrived during 2015 are in Al-Hasakeh.
IDPs by Governorates and Year of Arrival, November 2015
Number of Governorate Locations 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unknown Total assessed Aleppo 1,104 1,700 53,091 547,379 652,445 132,986 43,690 1,431,291 Al-Hasakeh 246 - 6,701 58,690 26,504 246,844 4,758 343,497 Ar-Raqqa 218 - 75 40 565 1,510 43,853 46,043 As-Sweida 37 - 29,530 175 - 525 24,526 54,756 Damascus 6 - 1,520 - - 94,291 - 95,811 Dar'a 96 - 3,199 111,348 169,791 29,128 342 313,808 Deir-ez-Zor 129 - 771 - - - 380,776 381,547 Hama 154 - 2,305 238,280 133,042 18,378 5,866 397,871 Homs 88 9,692 183,345 62,334 99,611 22,857 13,157 390,996 Idleb 443 - 56,050 80,478 35,657 25,641 859,768 1,057,594 Lattakia 39 - 3,777 8,941 716 1,281 - 14,715 Quneitra 28 - 15,500 13,994 8,552 12,345 225 50,616 Rural 120 Damascus 14,775 167,952 370,679 124,742 35,300 1,297 714,745 Tartous ------TOTAL 2,708 26,167 523,816 1,492,338 1,251,625 621,086 1,378,258 5,293,290
IDPs are mainly displaced from the governorates of Aleppo (17% or 914,514 individuals), Homs (15% or 812,591 individuals), Rural Damascus (13% or 668,500 individuals), Idleb (10% or 516,787 individuals), Hama (9% or 483,284 individuals), and Deir-ez-Zor (8% or 415,582 individuals) – Refer to Annex II for more details.
The main characteristic of internal displacement within Syria is that IDPs have been displaced mostly within their governorate of origin. The map below shows the percentage of IDPs displaced within same governorate.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
6.1.2 Returnees Governorates # of returnees % of Total Returnees refer to those who fled out from their community of origin at Idleb 344,001 31% some point since 2011, and have returned. NPM Round V held in Aleppo 333,599 30% November 2015 estimates the number of returnees as 1,094,317 Homs 128,984 12% individuals. Returnees in Idleb (344,001 individuals) and Aleppo (333,599 Deir-ez-Zor 113,795 10% individuals) represent 61% of the total number of returnees. The remaining Damascus 54,815 5% 39% of the returnees are dispersed as follows: 12% in Homs (128,984 Dar'a 34,262 3% individuals), 10% in Deir-ez-Zor (113,795 individuals), 5% in Damascus Rural Damascus 28,796 3% (54,815 individuals), 3% in Dar’a (34,262 individuals), 3% in Rural Damascus Al-Hasakeh 15,617 1% (28,796 individuals), and 6% in the governorates of Al-Hasakeh (15,617 Hama 14,590 1% individuals), Hama (14,590 individuals), Ar-Raqqa (12,292 individual), Quneitra 13,186 1% Quneitra (13,186 individuals) and Lattakia (380 individuals). Ar-Raqqa 12,292 1%
Lattakia 380 0% 6.2 Populationcategories currently not present in the assessed Tartous - 0% 6 As-Sweida - 0% locations Total 1,094,317 100% Population categories currently not present in the assessed locations are composed of the ones who fled to another location within the country and those who fled abroad. For the first category, NPM Round V indicates that there are 6,653,303 individuals and for the second category the estimation is 4,233,874 individuals. The graph below displays the numbers of both categories and it is noticeble that for both categories, the majority of the people came from Aleppo and Rural Damascus. The aggregated numbers of those who fled Aleppo and Rural Damascus and have not returned since, represent more than half of the total figures.
6 All presented data under this category is based on the best estimates of the KIs and the NPM has no means of verification on the destination and exact figures.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Distribution of population categories not present in the location, November 2015
6.2.1 Fled within Syria This category provides data on the resident population who are currently absent from the location of origin because of having fled into another location within Syria since 2011. NPM Round V spotted 2,329 locations where resident population fled from their locations and headed to another place within the country.
Resident Population Fled Within Syria by Year and Governorate - November 2015
Number Total number Governorate of Unknown 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 of people Locations Aleppo 652 2,239,887 341,754 - 584,588 632,308 479,634 201,603 Al-Hasakeh 346 111,695 31,390 30 1,410 12,321 27,560 38,984 Ar-Raqqa 241 76,186 74,289 - 155 76 893 773 As-Sweida 15 3,729 1,315 - 189 - 2,225 - Damascus 10 711,295 - - 495,470 215,825 - - Dar'a 130 175,455 12 - 46,078 87,355 9,282 32,728 Deir-ez-Zor 133 406,847 406,653 - 50 - - 144 Hama 244 549,516 30,054 - 70,091 161,780 149,989 137,602 Homs 93 591,972 25,544 15,000 335,616 182,405 16,887 16,520 Idleb 241 349,384 258,207 - 5,555 17,302 39,820 28,500 Lattakia 58 20,729 322 - 18,608 1,539 260 - Quneitra 35 41,699 125 1,600 11,565 14,785 13,624 - Rural Damascus 131 1,374,909 1,009 30,206 637,722 621,175 75,360 9,437 Tartous ------TOTAL 2,329 6,653,303 1,170,675 46,836 2,207,097 1,946,871 815,534 466,291 TOTAL % 100% 17.6% 0.7% 33.2% 29.3% 12.2% 7.0%
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
As shown in the table above, almost one third of these spotted locations are in Aleppo (652 locations). Other governorates having high number of locations with populations having fled within Syria are Al-Hasakeh (346 locations), Ar-Raqqa (241 locations), and Hama (244 locations).
The total population of those who are currently absent from their location of origin, because of having fled into another location inside Syria, is estimated at 6,653,303 individual. Out of this total number, 33% fled in 2012, 29% in 2013, 12% in 2014, and 7% in 2015.
Number of Those Fled within Syria by Governorate of Origin and Governorate of Destination, November 2015 Governorate of Destination
Zor
-
ez
-
Raqqa
Sweida
-
Idleb
Dar'a
-
Hasakeh Homs
Hama
nknown
Aleppo
-
Tartous
Lattakia
Quneitra
Ar
U
Damascus
As
Deir
Al
Governorate
Rural Damascus
Aleppo 1,678,171 - 49,084 - 67,280 300 410 200 - 62,825 11,525 - 3,290 22,671 344,131 Al-Hasakeh - 65,574 2,396 - - - - - 120 12,120 160 - - 600 30,725 Ar-Raqqa 1,600 75 43,715 134 1,572 - - 13,386 7,255 - 7,715 - - 45 689 As-Sweida - - - 2,494 - 160 ------1,075 Damascus - - - - 115,225 ------596,070 - - Dar'a - - - 4,520 19,453 151,470 ------12 Deir-ez-Zor - 103 320,345 - 13,346 - 68,827 - - 3,202 - - - - 1,024 Hama 24,990 - 13,035 - - 90 - 91,238 3,226 383,209 7,685 - - 410 25,633 Homs 4,610 - 14,400 - 4,425 - - 5,185 442,595 15,057 - - 54,211 40,110 11,379 Idleb 15,230 - 500 4,547 4,811 20 49 19,555 - 268,954 13,885 - 501 240 21,092 Lattakia ------8,648 11,759 - - - 322 Quneitra - - - - 18,170 ------21,479 2,050 - - Rural - 512 - 4,750 128,095 115,515 - - - - - 15,500 1,109,528 - 1,009 Damascus Tartous ------
TOTAL 1,724,601 66,264 443,475 16,445 372,377 267,555 69,286 129,564 453,196 754,015 52,729 36,979 1,765,650 64,076 437,091
TOTAL % 26% 1% 7% 0% 6% 4% 1% 2% 7% 11% 1% 1% 27% 1% 7%
Regarding the governorate of destination for the fled-within-Syria population, Rural Damascus was assessed with 27% (1,765,650 individuals) and Aleppo with 26% (1,724,601 individuals), followed by Idleb with 11% (754,015 individuals), Ar- Raqqa 7% (443,475 individuals), and Homs also with 7% (453,196 individuals) (see table above for more details).
As for the governorate of origin of those who fled-within-Syria, it is noted that the majority of the people fled within their own governorate. This pattern is noteworthy, particularly in Dar’a (86%), Rural Damascus (81%), Idleb (77%), Aleppo (75%) and Homs (75%). Damascus, Deir-ez-Zor, and Hama are the governorates breaking out of this pattern by having significantly less number (all three with 16%) of people who fled into another location within their own governorate.
6.2.2 Fled out of Syria This category presents data on the resident population who are currently absent from their location of origin, because of having fled into another location out of Syria as of 2011 and have not returned since then. NPM Round V recorded 3,560 locations where resident population fled their locations of origin to another country. Of those locations, nearly 40% were recorded in Aleppo (1,320 locations). Other governorates with high numbers of locations from which people fled abroad are Al-Hasakeh (756 locations), Idleb (322 locations), Hama (254 locations), and Ar-Raqqa (253 locations).
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Resident Population Fled-out-of-Syria by Year and Governorate - November 2015
Governorate Number of Locations 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Unknown Total Aleppo 1,320 7,324 291,575 648,596 597,104 53,424 27,401 1,625,424 Al-Hasakeh 756 145 5,889 101,301 53,617 155,064 2,732 318,748 Ar-Raqqa 253 - 79 150 291 905 53,277 54,702 As-Sweida 29 - - - - 2,001 2,145 4,146 Damascus 10 - 111,780 100,698 - - - 212,478 Dar'a 148 - 137,026 84,491 4,610 96 2,509 228,732 Deir-ez-Zor 142 - - - 749 - 93,942 94,691 Hama 254 - 17,677 67,560 69,554 10,294 3,795 168,880 Homs 103 235 152,404 162,165 67,162 1,022 2,520 385,508 Idleb 322 75 4,835 11,460 4,605 5,255 231,937 258,167 Lattakia 45 - 10,399 2,345 580 - 104 13,428 Quneitra 33 - 4,506 7,339 1,932 - 60 13,837 Rural Damascus 145 43,758 160,574 607,422 42,654 - 725 855,133 Tartous ------TOTAL 3,560 51,537 896,744 1,793,527 842,858 228,061 421,147 4,233,874 TOTAL % - 1% 24% 47% 22% 6% 11% 100%
As illustrated in the table above, out of an estimated 4.2 million people who fled out of Syria, 24% (896,744 individuals) moved out of their locations in 2012, 47% (1,793,527 individuals) in 2013 and 22% (842,858 individuals) in 2014. Those who fled abroad in 2011 represent 1% (51,537 ndividuals) and those in 2015 represent 6% (228,061 individuals).
The digramme below shows the location of destination of the people who fled out of Syria. It is estimated that 57% (2,29,570 individuals) headed to Turkey, 15% (642,554 individuals) to Lebanon, 8% (329,570 individuals) to Jordan, and 1% (65,466 individuals) to Iraq. Refer Annex II for more details.
COUNTRY OF DESTINATION OF THE FLED-OUT SYRIAN
Countries of POPULATION destination Turkey
Lebanon
Other
Unknown
Jordan
Iraq
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Percentage of the fled-out population
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
7. Overview of target population categories by type of shelter
The residences assessment was designed for the purpose of improving understanding of the shelter conditions of following population categories: Resident population affected (Cat.1) – those who are forced to move to another shelter in the same location mainly because of shelter damage, Returnees (Cat.5), and IDPs (Cat.6).
7.1 Affected esidentr population by sheltertype The results of the residences assessment indicate that 47% (479,559 individuals) of the total number of the current resident population affected by shelter (1,029,945 individuals) in Syria stay with host families, while 26% (267,222 individuals) are in abandoned buildings, and 18% (188,689 individuals) rent accommodation. The remmaining 9% are staying either in formal collective sheltes, in informal collective shelters, in organized camps, in self settled camps, or in their own houses.
More than half (55%) of those staying with host families and more than a third (36%) renting accommodation are in Aleppo. Around 49% of those staying in abandoned buildings are in Rural Damascus, while 25% of those staying in their own house are in Idleb. The chart on the right shows the top three residence types for population affected by shelter damage in each governorate.
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7.2 Returnees by shelter type The great majority of returnees (81% or 952,452 individuals) stay in their own houses. Among the remaining returnees, 8% (94,546 individuals) rent accommodation, 5% (64,182 individuals) stay with host families, while 4% (43,377 individuals) are in abandoned buildings, and 1% (12,214 individuals) are in camps and shelters. Almost 80% of those staying in abandoned buildings are in Aleppo and Deir-ez-Zor hosts 60% of the returnees renting accommodation. The chart below displays the top three residence types for returnees in each governorate.
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7.3 IDPs by shelter type Out of the 5,293,290 IDPs, 44% (2,344,430 individuals) are in rented accommodation, 25% staying with host families, and 19% are in abandoned buildings. Another 10% of the total IDP population is in settled camps or formal and informal collective shelters and the last 2% are in their own house. The chart below illustrates the top three residence types for IDPs in each governorate.
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Annexes
Annex I: links to NPM Round V products. Annex II: Tables. Annex III: NPM Baseline Monitoring Questionnaire B2.
For more information please contact: [email protected]
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
Annex I : Links to Products : 1. Online map : http://bit.do/NPM-Round5-Coverage-map
2. Dataset : http://bit.do/NPM-Round-5-Report
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Annex II : Tables
A. Number of Individuals by Population Category and Governorate, November 2015
1.Current Resident 2.Current Resident 7.IDP NON Syrians Governorate population AFFECTED population NOT 5.RETURNEES # IND 6.IDP #IND #IND # IND affected # IND Damascus 34,930 89,092 55,195 95,811 1,550 Aleppo 416,593 2,424,229 344,083 1,431,291 560 Rural Damascus 222,578 790,599 35,085 714,745 22,760 Homs 108,333 593,348 136,966 390,996 - Hama 81,898 714,280 22,023 397,871 5,100 Lattakia 1,026 4,128 648 14,715 - Tartous - - - - - Idleb 74,098 977,140 369,164 1,057,594 190 Al-Hasakeh 585 730,466 24,295 343,497 5,015 Deir-ez-Zor 33,900 1,010,793 113,917 381,547 8 Ar-Raqqa 7,834 650,137 15,067 46,043 - Dar'a 45,276 519,106 38,357 313,808 156 As-Sweida 50 287,471 - 54,756 - Quneitra 2,844 34,672 13,241 50,616 - TOTAL 1,029,945 8,825,461 1,168,041 5,293,290 35,339
B. Number of Households by Population Category and Governorate, November 2015
1.Current Resident 2.Current Resident 7.IDP NON Syrians Governorate population AFFECTED population NOT 5.RETURNEES # HH 6.IDP #HH #HH # HH affected # HH Damascus 6,986 17,836 11,049 18,804 310 Aleppo 83,428 483,754 68,454 275,907 112 Rural Damascus 44,256 159,658 7,303 144,160 4,552 Homs 22,350 118,029 25,707 71,057 - Hama 16,160 144,056 3,621 68,001 850 Lattakia 208 834 128 2,990 - Tartous - - - - - Idleb 14,819 192,377 72,948 204,635 38 Al-Hasakeh 117 147,185 4,675 69,677 878 Deir-ez-Zor 6,777 202,907 22,775 75,941 1 Ar-Raqqa 1,564 129,160 2,917 9,163 - Dar'a 8,950 103,321 7,224 61,360 28 As-Sweida 10 64,937 - 9,440 - Quneitra 564 6,936 2,634 10,108 - TOTAL 206,189 1,770,990 229,435 1,021,243 6,769
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C. Number of IDPs by Current Governorate and Governorate of Origin, November 2015
LOCATION BY GOVERNORATE OF ORIGIN OF IDPs
Zor
-
ez
-
Raqqa
Sweida
-
Idleb
Dar'a Rural
-
Hasakeh
Homs
Hama
Aleppo
-
Tartous
Lattakia
Quneitra
Ar
Unknown
Damascus Damascus
As
Deir
Al
Governorate
Aleppo 597,621 776,033 - 2,875 - 871 - - 8,488 1,657 43,736 10 - - - Al-Hasakeh 1,380 5,086 264,251 3,749 - 13,540 - 55,471 - - - - - 20 - Ar-Raqqa 1,024 4,253 1,189 22,065 - - - 1,171 215 15,802 85 - - 239 - As-Sweida 269 - - - - 12,569 39,573 ------2,345 - Damascus - - - - - 52,096 ------43,715 - Dar'a 342 - - - - - 308,504 ------4,962 - Deir-ez-Zor 93 - 988 - - 7,603 - 358,940 - 13,923 - - - - - Hama 4,041 53,546 ------71,203 213,148 55,933 - - - - Homs 15,457 2,935 ------373 345,101 - - - 27,130 - Idleb 15,809 72,661 - - - 1,025 - - 403,005 142,800 416,325 5,124 - - 845 Lattakia ------708 14,007 - - - Quneitra - - - - - 1,596 11,856 - - - - - 21,700 15,464 - Rural 1,512 - - - - 58,448 - - - 80,160 - - - 574,625 Damascus - Tartous ------TOTAL 637,548 914,514 266,428 28,689 - 147,748 359,933 415,582 483,284 812,591 516,787 19,141 21,700 668,500 845
D. Resident Population Fled-out-of-Syria by Destination, Country and Governorate of Origin, November 2015
Governorate Jordan Turkey Lebanon Other Iraq Unknown Aleppo 4,709 1,434,096 25,488 58,922 1,560 100,649 Al-Hasakeh - 198,758 9,116 45,467 63,406 2,001 Ar-Raqqa 85 1,368 374 191 - 52,684 As-Sweida - - - 2,205 - 1,941 Damascus 10,030 67,500 85,093 49,855 - - Dar'a 188,366 55 28,453 2,914 - 8,944 Deir-ez-Zor - 3,692 - 2,095 - 88,904 Hama 20,233 108,322 21,508 6,930 - 11,887 Homs 2,761 69,389 261,648 28,992 - 22,718 Idleb 910 141,689 50,768 5,615 - 59,185 Lattakia - 13,324 - - - 104 Quneitra 486 - 6,301 7,040 - 10 Rural Damascus 101,990 360,914 153,805 235,917 500 2,007 Tartous ------TOTAL 329,570 2,399,107 642,554 446,143 65,466 351,034 TOTAL % 7.78% 56.66% 15.18% 10.54% 1.55% 8.29%
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E. Residence population affected by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015
In With HOST In In FORMAL In In SELF In RENTED INFORMAL In OWN Governorate without ABANDONED COLLECTIVE ORGANIZED SETTLED ACCOMODATION COLLECTIVE HOUSE RENT buildings SHELTERS CAMPS CAMPS SHELTERS Aleppo 68,251 265,974 75,163 160 85 - - 6,960 Al-Hasakeh 225 60 - - 50 - - 250 Ar-Raqqa 2,081 2,658 135 50 10 25 - 2,875 As-Sweida - 50 ------Damascus - 1,500 33,430 - - - - - Dar'a - 45,276 ------Deir-ez-Zor 9,258 15,411 2,296 300 2,122 - 984 3,529 Hama 21,226 39,830 9,228 - 2,900 - 30 8,684 Homs 37,171 37,084 14,100 - - - - 19,978 Idleb 22,063 27,513 1,592 200 400 - 750 21,580 Lattakia - - 1,026 - - - - - Quneitra 1,350 1,494 ------Rural Damascus 27,064 42,709 130,252 - - - - 22,553 Tartous ------TOTAL 188,689 479,559 267,222 710 5,567 25 1,764 86,409 TOTAL % 18.3% 46.6% 25.9% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 8.4%
F. Returnees by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015
In With HOST In In FORMAL In In SELF In RENTED INFORMAL In OWN Governorate without ABANDONED COLLECTIVE ORGANIZED SETTLED ACCOMODATION COLLECTIVE HOUSE RENT buildings SHELTERS CAMPS CAMPS SHELTERS Aleppo 4,673 7,610 34,450 - - - 100 296,120 Al-Hasakeh 2,085 25 - - - - - 22,185 Ar-Raqqa 1,090 560 300 450 230 175 25 12,237 As-Sweida ------Damascus - - 1,745 - - - - 53,450 Dar'a - 790 - - - 104 - 37,463 Deir-ez-Zor 59,006 22,043 1,510 5,525 1,750 - 1,280 22,803 Hama 422 947 2,871 - 25 - 5 17,753 Homs 208 1,460 40 - 135 - - 135,123 Idleb 26,205 27,557 870 60 925 - 50 313,357 Lattakia ------648 Quneitra 500 ------12,741 Rural Damascus 357 3,190 1,591 - 1,375 - - 28,572 Tartous ------TOTAL 94,546 64,182 43,377 6,035 4,440 279 1,460 952,452 TOTAL % 8.1% 5.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 81.6%
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G. IDPs by type of shelter in each governorate, November 2015
In With HOST In In FORMAL In In SELF In RENTED INFORMAL In OWN Governorate without ABANDONED COLLECTIVE ORGANIZED SETTLED ACCOMODATION COLLECTIVE HOUSE RENT buildings SHELTERS CAMPS CAMPS SHELTERS Aleppo 4,673 7,610 34,450 - - - 100 296,120 Al-Hasakeh 2,085 25 - - - - - 22,185 Ar-Raqqa 1,090 560 300 450 230 175 25 12,237 As-Sweida ------Damascus - - 1,745 - - - - 53,450 Dar'a - 790 - - - 104 - 37,463 Deir-ez-Zor 59,006 22,043 1,510 5,525 1,750 - 1,280 22,803 Hama 422 947 2,871 - 25 - 5 17,753 Homs 208 1,460 40 - 135 - - 135,123 Idleb 26,205 27,557 870 60 925 - 50 313,357 Lattakia ------648 Quneitra 500 ------12,741 Rural Damascus 357 3,190 1,591 - 1,375 - - 28,572 Tartous ------TOTAL 94,546 64,182 43,377 6,035 4,440 279 1,460 952,452 TOTAL % 8.1% 5.5% 3.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 81.6%
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Annex III : NPM Baseline Monitoring Questionnaire 2B SYRIAN ARAB REPUBLIC BASELINE LOCATION PROFILE, Community Level B2F FORM QUESTIONNAIRE │ Version: 5.0 Needs & Population Monitoring (NPM)
GUIDELINES AND INSTRUCTIONS Objective of the baseline is to identify affected population categories in Syria based on mobility and onlowest geographical level possible. Researcher should be familiar with the Community that is subject of observation (village, small town, or the neighbourhood of the capital city – Hay). Review existing knowledge of location and categories of affected population and their number in the comunity. Make notes and identify key informants from different organizations or population groups that can help get latest reliable information. Key question: Are there diferent population categories-groups in this comunity? Population categories/groups are defined based on mobility (moved out, moved ni from elswhere, residents that changed shelter if affected, residents that did not change shelter). Questionnaire is just a tool to record the information. In discussion with key informants the researcher should get the best possible information on the topics in the form. WHERE? LIST different TYPE OF SITE/RESIDENCE by population category for affected, returnees and internally displaced. WHO? Current resident population AFFECTED (damaged shelter and /or moved in another building/shelter in the same location): Current resident population NOT affected (not damaged shelter and NOT moved -remained in same residence): Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the location) to another location WITHIN SYRIA (currently absent from the location): Resident population that FLED and has not returned (left the location) to another location OUT of SYRIA (currently absent from the location): RETURNEES of the resident population that fled and returned to the location (currently present in the location): INTERNALY DISPLACED SYRIANS that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location): INTERNALY DISPLACED NON Syrians that arrived in the location since 2011 (currently present in the location): HOW MANY? Best estimate of number. Use always average five members per household. Try to find out if there is any list or record keeping of the population groups in the locations. WHEN, TO WHERE and FROM WHERE? Time of movement by year. Origin and destination based on movement. FOR FOLLOW UP If Key Informant agrees please provide name. Contact will be used for follow-up site assessments on conditions and needs of the affected population.
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A. LOCATION AND TEAM MEMBERS
Date of Assessment d d - m m - y y y y Researcher
Organization: name contact
Team Leader: name contact Implementing Partner (IP) ↓ IP - Processing Team (IP_PT) ↓ Mohafaza Mantika 1. Nahya
Governorate District Sub -district
For rural areas: Village, small town – community level. For Capital of Governorate: neighborhood/hay level. Use the names and codes from the lists and maps. 2. Capital City Community C_PCODE Type 1. Urban 2. Rural 1.1 Village, town Community C_PCODE Type 1. Urban 2.1 HAY in CC B. DEMOGRAPHICS: Population categories based on mobility andestimated numbers SOURCES
0.Resident population baseline 2011 Kn Un HHs # IND #
1.Current Resident population AFFECTED (damaged shelter and Yes HHs # IND # Un /or moved in another building/shelter in the same location): No
2.Current Resident population NOT affected (not damaged Yes HHs # IND # Un shelter and NOT moved -remained in same residence): No 3.Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the Yes location) to another location WITH IN SYRIA (currently absent No HHs # IND # Un from the location): 4.Resident population that FLED and not returned (left the Yes location) to another location OUT of SYRIA (currently absent No HHs # IND # Un from the location):
5.RETURNEES of the resident population that fled and returned Yes HHs # IND # Un to the location (currently present in the location): No
6.INTERNALY DISPLACED SYRIANS that arrived in the location Yes HHs # IND # Un since 2011 (currently present in the location): No
7.INTERNALY DISPLACED NON Syrians that arrived in the Yes HHs # IND # Un location since 2011 (currently present in the location): No
C. TIMELINE: Year of mobility event population categories 1. Year when majority of the population FLED the location to another location 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 WITH IN SYRIA (cat:3) 2. Year when majority of the population FLED the location to another location 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 OUT of SYRIA (cat: 4)
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3. Year when majority of the RETURNEE population returned to the location 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (cat: 5) 4. Year when majority of the DISPLACED population arrived to the location 201 2011 2012 2013 2014 (cat:6&7) 5 D. DESTINATION & ORIGIN: From where, by mobility event and population categories
Governorate District Sub-district Place 1. WHERE TO majority of the population FLED the location to another location WITH IN SYRIA (cat:3) 4. FROM WHERE in Syria majority of the DISPLACED population arrived to the location (cat:6&7) 2. WHERE TO majority of the population FLED the Country Place location to another location OUT of SYRIA (cat:4) 3. FROM WHERE majority of the RETURNEE Out of Syria With IN population returned to the location (cat: 5) Country Syria Gov. E. TYPE OF SITE/RESIDENCE by population category, list where Population category 1, 5,6 is living ( please assort them according to the majority 1st, 2nd and 3rd ) DON’T include category 7 , and if all Category 5 returned to their own original houses just ignore and indicate where category 1 and category 6 is living. Type of Temporary Settlements for Affected Pop. Exist #Units Pop. Cat. 1,5,6 #HHs IND DNK 1 In village/town, using rented accomodation 1st: Un (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat) Y N 2nd: Un 3rd : Un 2 In village/town, with host families no rent fee Y N 1st: Un (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat) 2nd: Un 3rd : Un 3 In village/town, using unfinished abandoned Y N 1st: Un buildings or public spaces (consider only 1,5,or 6 2nd: Un pop. cat) 3rd : Un 4 In formal collective shelters (schools, public Y N 1st: Un buildings, vacanted, etc…) (consider only 1,5,or 6 2nd: Un pop. cat) 3rd : Un 5 In informal collective shelters Y N 1st: Un (schools, public buildings, vacanted, etc…) 2nd: Un (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat) 3rd : Un
6 Camps, organized and structured Y N 1st: Un (consider only 1,5,6 or7 pop. cat) 2nd: Un
3rd : Un
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Needs and Population Monitoring (NPM), Round V, November 2015
7 Camps, self settled “camps” Y N 1st: Un (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat) 2nd: Un 3rd : Un 8 In their OWN house Y N 1st: Un (consider only 1,5,or 6 pop. cat) 2nd: Un 3rd : Un
F. KEY INFORMANT DETAILS
If Key informant agrees please provide name. Contact will be used for follow up assessment on population conditions and needs.
For Column C. Type use: 1.NGO/Humanitarian Aid Worker; 2.Community Based Organization Leader; 3.Community Leader; 4. Health Worker 5. Religious leaders; 6.Teachers; 7. Trader/Shopkeeper; 8.Local administration;9 . Military Commander; 10. Social Worker; 11. Group Leader of IDP’s; 12. Other, please specify in contact column. NAME AND SURNAME Type Sex Contact Details if informant agrees, if not mark XX and state the type M/F (Phone or Address) and sex only A B C D E
1
2
3
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