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San Bernardino County Community Indicators 2019 Report 1 2 Table of Contents Introduction 2 County Profile 4 Economy 8 Business Climate 9 Employment 10 Residential Real Estate Market 12 Commercial Real Estate Market 13 Ontario International Airport 14 Tourism Education 16 Early Childhood Care and Education 17 Academic Performance: Third Grade English 18 Academic Performance: Fifth Grade Mathematics 19 Chronic Absenteeism 20 Educational Attainment 21 College and Career Readiness 24 STEM-Related Degrees Income 26 Median Household Income and Cost of Living 27 Income Inequality 28 Family Poverty 30 Overall Poverty 31 Income Support 32 Food Security Housing 34 Housing Affordability 35 Rental Affordability 36 Homelessness & Housing Insecurity Wellness 38 Health Care Access 40 Prenatal Care 41 Leading Causes of Death for Children Under Five 42 Child Welfare 43 Overweight and Obesity 44 Chronic Disease 46 Behavioral Health 48 Substance Abuse 49 Veterans 51 Sexually Transmitted Diseases Safety 54 Crime Rate 56 Gang-Related Crime Transportation 58 Mobility 60 Vehicle Registration and Fuel Type 61 Traffic Safety 62 Transit 63 Transportation Infrastructure Investment Environment 65 Green Innovation 66 Air Quality 67 Solid Waste and Household Hazardous Waste 68 Stormwater Quality 69 Water Consumption 1 Introduction 2019 marks the 10th year of the Community Indicators Report. In those 10 years, much has changed in our county. Early in this decade, every sector of our community came together to dream and plan our vision for the future. After extensive public dia- logue, the San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors and San Bernardino Council of Governments in 2011 adopted a Countywide Vision that affirms the elements of a thriving county, including improved educational achievement, greater public safety, growing jobs, accessible recreation and well-being for all its residents. We committed to work collaboratively to see this hoped-for future become a reality. The San Bernardino County Community Indicators Report helps track how we are progressing toward this brighter future by providing an annual assessment of how the county fares across a range of indicators. On the following pages, you will see those areas where our county is doing well, and those areas where stubborn problems per- sist. This annual checking-in allows us the space to celebrate and learn from what is working, and to develop strategies to transform those areas that need improvement. In recognition of the 10-year anniversary of the report, the success stories sprinkled throughout the report highlight the positive change that can be accomplished working together over time. As residents, policymakers, educators, business and community leaders, we hope you will be inspired by what you read, and will continue to support the effort to advance our Countywide Vision. Indicator Selection Criteria Good indicators are objective measurements that reflect how a community is doing. They reveal whether key community attributes are improving, worsening, or remaining constant. The indicators selected for inclusion in this report: • Reflect broad countywide interests which impact a significant percentage of the population • Illustrate fundamental factors that underlie long-term regional health • Can be easily understood and accepted by the community • Are statistically measurable and contain data that are both reliable and available over the long-term • Measure outcomes, rather than inputs, whenever possible . Peer Regions To place San Bernardino County’s performance in context, many of the indicators in this report compare the county to the state, other regions, or the nation. We compare ourselves to four neighboring counties – Riverside, Orange, Los Angeles and San Diego – to better understand our position within the Southern California region. We also compare ourselves to three “peer” regions: Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Miami. These regions have been selected because they are considered economic competitors or good barometers for com- parison due to the many characteristics we share with them. 2019 INTRODUCTION 2 Countywide Vision We envision a complete county that capitalizes on the diversity of its people, its geography, and its economy to create a broad range of choices for its residents in how they live, work, and play. We envision a vibrant economy with a skilled workforce that attracts employers who seize the opportunities presented by the county’s unique advantages and provide the jobs that create countywide prosperity. We envision a sustainable system of high-quality education, community health, public safety, housing, retail, recreation, arts and culture, and infrastructure, in which development complements our natural resources and environment. We envision a model community which is governed in an open and ethical manner, where great ideas are replicated and brought to scale, and all sectors work collaboratively to reach shared goals. From our valleys, across our mountains, and into our deserts, we envision a county that is a destination for visitors and a home for anyone seeking a sense of community and the best life has to offer. Additional information on the Vision may be found at www.sbcounty.gov/vision. 2019 INTRODUCTION 3 County Profile PLACE GEOGRAPHY Cities and Major Unincorporated Areas in San Bernardino County, by Region Valley Region Mountain Region Desert Region Chino Big Bear Lake Adelanto Chino Hills Crestline* Apple Valley Colton Lake Arrowhead* Barstow Fontana Running Springs* Hesperia Joshua Tree* Grand Terrace Wrightwood* Lucerne Valley* Highland Needles Loma Linda Newberry Springs* Montclair Twentynine Palms Ontario Victorville Rancho Yermo* Cucamonga Yucca Valley Redlands Rialto San Bernardino Upland Yucaipa *Unincorporated Sources: San Bernardino County Land Use Services Department, 2007 General Plan (http://cms.sbcounty.gov/lus/Planning/GeneralPlan.aspx); California State Association of Counties (www.counties.org); San Bernardino County (www.sbcounty.gov/main/pages/Cities.aspx) 20,105 24 81% 93% Size in square miles of Incorporated cities in Land area outside the County’s land area within San Bernardino County, San Bernardino County control of San Bernardino the Desert Region the largest county in the County or city governments contiguous United States LAND USE 82% 13% 2.5 million 5% Land area that is vacant Land area used for military Acres of recreational land Land area dedicated to housing, purposes industrial, utilities, agriculture, transportation, and parks 3 out of 4 8,684 6 acres Residents living within one mile of a local park or Acres of County Parkland per 1,000 residents within five miles of a regional, state or national park regional parks 2019 COUNTY PROFILE 4 PEOPLE POPULATION POPULATION DENSITY 2,192,203 28% 106 3,094 Population (2019) Projected growth between Persons per square mile Persons per square mile 2020 and 2045 (countywide) (Valley Region only) AGE In terms of absolute growth, all age groups in San Bernardino Projected Change in Age Group Proportions of the Total San County are projected to increase at varying rates between 2020 Bernardino County Population, 2020 and 2045 and 2045, from 8% growth among young children ages 0-5 to 30% 92% growth among seniors ages 65 and older. For context, 27% 27% 25% the statewide population of children ages 0-5 is expected to 24% increase by only 1% over this period, while the statewide senior 22% 20% 19% population is projected to increase 83%. 18% 15% 15% 13% In terms of relative growth, the proportion of the San Bernardino 11% 10% 10% County population made up of residents ages 65 and older is 8% projected to grow from 13% of the population in 2020 to 19% 7% 5% by 2045. Adults ages 25-44 are projected to remain steady at 27% of the overall population. The size of all other age groups 0% is projected to shrink in varying degrees relative to the total 2020 2045 population. 0-5 6-17 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ RACE AND ETHNICITY At 51% of the total San Bernardino County population, Latino Projected Change in Race/Ethnic Group Proportions of the Total residents, who may be of any race, are the largest race and San Bernardino County Population, 2020 and 2045 ethnic group in the county. Latino residents are projected to 60% increase to 55% of the total population by 2045. White and 55% 51% Asian/Pacific Islander residents are projected to decrease as a 50% proportion of the overall population, while residents identifying as Black/African American and Two or More Races are projected 40% to increase slightly. The Native American population is projected 31% 30% to remain the same. 27% 20% 10% 8% 9% 7% 6% 2% 3% 0% 0.4% 0.4% 2018 2045 Latino White Black/African American Asian/Pacific Islander Two or more races Native American SOCIAL CHARACTERISTICS 21% 44% 3.3 41% 33% Born outside of Speak a language other Average household size Households with Families with children under the U.S. than English at home children under 18 18 led by a single parent 2019 COUNTY PROFILE 5 CIVIC ENGAGEMENT Voter Turnout Among Registered Voters for Presidential and Mid-Term Election Years San Bernardino County, 2006-2018 58% 100% Voter turnout among 80% population eligible to 74% 76% vote (2018) 60% 69% 58% 55% 40% 48% 34% 62% 20% Voting by mail (2018) 0% 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 Mid-term Presidential Mid-term Presidential Mid-term Presidential Mid-term EDUCATION 21% 83% Residents over age 25 with a bachelor’s degree (2018) High school graduation rate (2017/18) ECONOMY EMPLOYMENT 970,700 938,600 32,100 3.3% Number in the labor Number employed
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