Midwest Political Science Association 63rd Annual National Conference April 7-10, 2005

Thursday, April 7 – 8:30 am – 10:15 am Paper Political Support across the World – Do Institutions Matter for Political Support? 1-105 ROUNDTABLE: JOURNAL PUBLISHING IN Wonbin Cho, Michigan State University POLITICAL SCIENCE Overview: Political institutions mediate the relationship Room TBA, Thur 8:30 between citizens’ political status (majority or minority) and Panelist Steven Smith, Washington University, St Louis their satisfaction with the way democracy works in the country. Nolan McCarty, Princeton University Paper Duty, Empowerment and Patronage: Patterns of Political John Londregan, Princeton University Participation in India Overview: TBA Amit Ahuja, University of Michigan Pradeep Chibber, University of California, Berkeley 2-1 VOTER BEHAVIOR IN COMPARATIVE Overview: We argue, the motivations of citizens to vote vary PERSPECTIVE with socio-economic status. In addition to providing empirical evidence that questions the generalizability of current theories Room TBA, Thur 8:30 of participation, we also develop an explanation for why this Chair Bonnie M. Meguid, University of Rochester happens. Paper Scandalous! The Impact of Valence Issues on Political Paper Is Democracy the Only Game in Town? Testing Linz's Parties' Electoral Fortunes: A Pooled Analysis of Nine Notion of Democratic Consolidation in East Asia Western European Democracies, 1976-1998 Jason M. Wells, University of Missouri Michael Clark, University of California, Santa Barbara Doh C. Shin, University of Missouri Overview: Using a pooled analysis of Nine Western European Overview: This paper investigates democratic consolidation in Democracies, 1976-1998, I examine whether valence issues East Asia using recently collected survey data. We adversely affect the voteshares of political parties. conceptualize consolidation as a mass-level phenomenon and Paper Symbolic Politics: A British Case measure consolidation by asking if citizens accept democracy as Kwang-Il Yoon, University of Michigan the only game in town. Overview: The minimal effects of self-interest on individual’s Disc. Irfan Nooruddin, Ohio State University political attitudes have been explained by symbolic politics in

general and American individualism in particular. This paper assesses the validity of these claims by using the British survey 3-4 DEMOCRATIZATION: PRECONDITIONS data. AND PROBLEMS Paper The Electoral Effects of Western European Parties’ Policy Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Shifts, 1976-1998: Policy Expectations Matter Chair Suzanne R. Soule, Center for Civic Education James Adams, University of California, Santa Barbara Paper After the Party's Over: Disenchantment and Critical Michael Clark, University of Calfornia, Santa Barbara Citizenship in Post-Transition Mexico Lawrence Ezrow, UC Santa Barbara David Crow, University of Texas, Austin Garrett Glasgow, University of California, Santa Barbara Overview: Four years after Mexico culminated its democratic Overview: We explore whether aggregate-level voting patterns transition, elation has turned to disenchantment. A two-wave in Western Europe support policy expectations theory. poll is used to explore the causes and consequences of malaise. Paper Promises, Policies, and Voter Responses Dissatisfaction with may not reduce commitment to democracy. Guy D. Whitten, Texas A&M Paper The 2004 Social Security Reform in Mexico: Finishing Off Overview: This paper examines the impact of party promises on the Social Pact? policy-making activities and economic outcomes and the Jean F. Mayer, Concordia University subsequent impact of these factors on the electoral fortunes of Patrik Marier, Concordia University incumbents. Overview: This paper seeks to identify and analyze the political Disc. Bonnie M. Meguid, University of Rochester factors that have led to the 2004 reform of the Mexican social Susumu Shikano, University of Mannheim security system, which has extended the privatization of Mexico’s pension system begun in 1997. 3-1 CITIZENS, PARTIES AND SOCIO- Paper Indigenous Autonomy in Southern Mexico: Good for ECONOMIC STRATIFICATION Democracy? Good for Indigenous People? Matthew R. Cleary, Princeton & Syracuse Universities Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: This paper offers a discussion of three questions Chair Irfan Nooruddin, Ohio State University central to the practice of indigenous autonomy in southern Paper Economic Inequality and the Vote for Distributive Parties Mexico. Why did the federal government grant it? Is it Guillermo Rosas, Washington University in St. Louis consistent with liberal democratic principles? Does it benefit Overview: I test whether concerns about income inequality indigenous Mexicans? drive support for Mexico’s PRD. I use procedures robust to the Paper Development and Life Satisfaction: An Empirical Analysis aggregation fallacy and incorporate information about Mark Bean, University of Utah inequality at the municipal and state levels within a Bayesian Overview: Using World Values Survey data and bivariate and hierarchical model. multiple regression analysis, paper examines effect of

materialist and non-materialist variables on life satisfaction,

Updated 03-01-05 1 supporting comprehensive approach to assessing political and Paper Democracy Trends in Muslim Countries: The Problem of economic development. Sustainability Paper Destabilizing Politics through Active Student Involvementin Ferit M. Ozkaleli, University of Colorado, Boulder Emerging Democracies- A Case of Bangladesh Umut Ozkaleli, TBA Abu T. R. Rahman, Baruch College, CUNY Overview: Democracy gap, Muslim countries, democracy Overview: Students actively involved in achieving trends, Arab world, former communist states, democratization, independence in many coutries. Gradually such involvement political culture, institutions extended over time, thereby destabilizing politics and causing Paper Democracy and the Arab World: Explaining Attitudes serous disruption in education which hindered national Toward Governance and Political Islam development. Mark Tessler, University of Michigan Disc. Krister P. Andersson, Indiana University Eleanor Gao, TBA Suzanne R. Soule, Center for Civic Education Overview: This paper uses original public opinion data from 3 Middle Eastern nations to examine the nature and determinants 4-1 DEFINING AND DEFENDING HUMAN of attitudes toward governance. Hypotheses assess the RIGHTS explanatory power of cultural orientations and political and economic judgments. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper An Analysis of a New Trend: Muslumism Versus Islamism: Chair Roberto A. Ventresca, King's University College A Comparative Study of Algeria and Turkey Paper Cultural and Social Determinants of Political and Civil Neslihan K. Cevik, Arizona State University Human Rights Status (A Cross-National Study) Overview: This study explains a new trend among Muslims Woo Paik, TBA through comparing Algeria and Turkey.This comparison reveals Overview: This paper explains a much less pursued subject: that there is no one unified Islam.Instead Muslims re-construct cultural (religion/colonial experience) and social influence Islam in different forms which can be fundamental as well as (corruption/education) on Political & Civil Human Rights, a moderate fundament and proxy of democratization, with statistical cross- Disc. Mohamed A. Berween, Texas A&M International University national method.

Paper Comparing the Attitudes of Victims and the General Public towards South Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation 5-1 INCENTIVES BEHIND INTEGRATION: Commission Process REDEFINING STATE INTERESTS David Backer, University of Michigan Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: This paper compares attitudes in relation to South Chair Warren L. Mason, Miami University Africa’s Truth and Reconciliation Commission process, using Paper European Union: Challenge of Unbalanced Economic original data from a survey of victims I conducted in Cape Development Among Member States Town and data from a general population survey conducted by Bede Eke, Miami University Gibson & Gouws. Overview: This paper examines the issue of unbalanced Paper Hanging Moods economic development among the EU members against the Arlie P. Tagayuna, University of Hawaii backdrop of ‘neo-realists’ theoretical proposition on state Overview: Capital Punishment in the Philippines concerns about “relative achievement of gains” as a possible Paper Human Rights and Political Repression: A Cross-Country obstacle to cooperation. Analysis Paper Business as Usual: State Autonomy and International Matthew M. Carlson, Norwegian University of Science & Organizations Technology Ed Petronzio, Miami University Ola Listhaug, NTNU Overview: The paper attempts to answer the question: To what Overview: TBA extent, if any, has the WTO and more specifically, the WTO Paper Transitional Justice after Democratization: A Global Cross- Dispute Settlement Body reduced state autonomy? National Study Covering 1970-2000 Paper Catching the EU Train: The Pros and Cons of the Hunjoon Kim, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities Enlargement or Why the Central and Eastern European Overview: This cross-national study seeks to explain following States that Share the Soviet Legacy (Czech Republic, question: why do some states seek to address past gross and Hungary, Poland, Slovenia, and Slovakia) joined the EU? systemic human rights violations committed by the former Irina G. Aervitz, Miami University regime in a certain way while others not in the period between Overview: The paper explores the relative gains and losses that 1970 and 2000? the recent EU enlargement entails for of the five CEECs. This Disc. Lee D. Walker, University of Kentucky case is used as applicable to the debate between realists and constructivists on the nature of economic self-interest. 4-6 DEMOCRATIZATION IN THE ISLAMIC Paper Reluctant Europeans and the Economic and Monetary WORLD Union: Referendums as Opposition Party Strategies in Denmark, Sweden, and the United Kingdom? Room TBA, Thur 8:30 J. Timo Weishaupt, University of Wisconsin, Madison Chair Thomas D. Bundenthal, Miami University Overview: This paper focuses on the role of opposition parties Paper How Do Islamic Movements Advocate Democratic Change? on governments’ decisions to hold referendums on issues of Mirjam Künkler, Columbia University European integration and the timing of the vote. Case studies Overview: The paper compares the strategies with which two include Denmark, Sweden, and the UK on EMU membership. contemporary Islamic movements have attempted to strengthen Disc. Sheila Croucher, Miami University the rule of law, demand greater accountability from

undemocratic rule and aim at institutional change by non- violent democratic means. 6-7 PARTICIPATION, CIVIL SOCIETY, AND Paper Muslims' Intellectual Civil Wars: The Impasse of Allah's DEMOCRATIC DEEPENING IN LATIN Spokespersons AMERICA Moataz Fattah, Central Michigan University Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: Intellectual wars among Muslim opinion leaders Chair Richard Stahler-Sholk, Eastern Michigan University reveal five broad political discourses that verifiably influence Paper Learning Democracy average Muslims’ attitudes toward democracy. I examine how Leslie Anderson, University of Florida this intellectual tension impacts Muslim’s perception of Lawrence Dodd, University of Florida democracy. Overview: Dodd and Anderson have already submitted this info to the MPSA. They have been told that they can each present a

2 Updated 03-01-05 version of a paper based on their forthcoming book, Overview: This paper argues that federal political polarization is LEARNING DEMOCRACY. the main determinant of the changes in federal-regional Paper Legitimacy, Democratic Norms, and Participation: A relations in post-Soviet Russia. Multinational Comparison Paper Explaining the Origins of Territorial Autonomy John A. Booth, University of North Texas Arrangements in Multiethnic States Patricia Bayer Richard, Ohio University Renat Shaykhutdinov, Texas A&M University Overview: Our paper extends prior research on political Overview: In this paper I explain the formation of territorial legitimacy, democratic norms and political participation to a autonomy arrangements in multiethnic states. I develop a theory new sample of several Latin American nations, including the that explains the creation of territorial autonomies as a function original six Central American countries and Colombia and of the motivation and bargaining power of states and ethnic Mexico. groups Paper Political Parties and Civil Society Organizations in Post Paper Perils of Post-conflict Multiethnic State Building: Majority War Central America Demands, Minority Rights and Regional Security in the Jack Spence, University of Massachusetts, Boston Balkans Overview: The war and postwar years saw the formation of Spyridon Kotsovilis, McGill University numerous civil society organizations in Guatemala, El Salvador Overview: Why are expectations of post-conflict settlements so and Nicaragua. Their efforts depended greatly on international different from reality? The paper looks at Balkan cases and finance and on political party strength. examines the approaches of vote-pooling, consociationalism Paper CAFTA Politics: Civil Society Participation in Central and federal multiculturalism, and the alternative of partition. American Free Trade Negotiations Paper Politics Vs. Economics in Russian Gubernatorial Elections Rose J. Spalding, DePaul University 1991-2000. Overview: This paper examines the participation of civil society Alexander C. Pacek, Texas A&M University organizations in the CAFTA negotiations, focusing on the Overview: This paper examines the relative impact of political activities of "critic negotiators" and "transgressive resisters" in vs. economic conditions on the electoral success of Russia's El Salvador. governors during the first post-communist decade Disc. Richard Stahler-Sholk, Eastern Michigan University Paper Democratic Institution Building and Sub-National Gretchen Casper, Pennsylvania State University Separatism in the Former Communist Countries: Chechnya and Crimean Cases 7-10 CENTER AND LOCAL IN JAPAN AND Irina S. Khmelko, Indiana University CHINA Overview: The paper contributes to the literature on democratic institution building in the former Communist countries, Room TBA, Thur 8:30 nationalism and ethnicity, and conflict resolution.Disc. Paper Between Presidentialism and Parliamentarism: Budgetary Andrew Konitzer, Baylor University Processes and Outputs in Japanese Local Governments

Satoshi Machidori, Kyoto University Kengo Soga, Osaka University 10-5 THE THEORETICAL AND EMPIRICAL Overview: Since The behavior and outputs of Japanese local INVESTIGATION OF HUMAN RIGHTS governments are affected both by the logic of presidentialism Room TBA, Thur 8:30 and by that of parliamentarism, Japanese local governments Paper Human Rights, Transnational Labor and Complaint Bodies: have more stable governance with partisan governors than with A Quantitative Analysis of Cases Brought to International independent ones. Labor Organization's Committee on Freedom of Paper The Politics of Compulsory Education Decentralization in Association: 1945-2003 Japan Susan L. Kang, University of Minnesota Keith A. Nitta, University of Calfornia, Berkeley Overview: I investigate why social groups in some countries Overview: Decentralization is occurring, but the Education bring cases to the ILO's Committee on Freedom of Association, Ministry maintains control by devolving, not deregulating given varying levels of compliance, and place these findings authority; isolating reforms in pilot projects; and fighting with the larger transnational advocacy networks and human fundamental reform. School competition and local democracy rights literature. will not increase. Paper Explaining International Human Rights Commitments: Paper Gender and Environmental Activism in Japan Norms, Democracy, and Domestic Costs Nicole Freiner, Kettering Foundation Darren Hawkins, Brigham Young University Overview: This paper examines networks of environmental Daniel Nielson, Brigham Young University activism and the role of environmental issues in women's Christine Horne, Washington State University political participation in Japan. Overview: We examine state commitment to international Paper The Analysis of the Anticipated Effects on the Environment: human rights treaties limiting sovereignty. We test explanations Comparing Opinions Concerning the Central versus Local based on norms, domestic democratic volatility, and domestic Government's Views on the Three Gorges Project in China costs. We find norms and domestic costs are the best predictors. as Well as U.S. Views on it from 1992-2004 Paper Explaining State Ratification of Global Human Rights Donald D. A. Schaefer, University of Washington School of Instruments: The Role of Regional Instability Law Heather M. Smith, University of California, San Diego Overview: The purpose of this paper is to explore in detail the Overview: Why do states ratify constraining articles in human conflicting views between the local and national governments rights treaties? Through quantitative testing I demonstrate that within China as it deals with the Three Gorges Project. states ratify these mechanisms in response to regional Disc. Lianjiang Li, Hong Kong Baptist University instability. Paper A Markov-Transition Model Relating Human Rights and 9-2 FEDERAL CENTER RELATIONS IN THE Democracy POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD Robert W. Walker, University of Rochester/Dartmouth College Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: Employing ordered Markov-transition models, I Chair Ivan Zverzhanovski, King's College London demonstrate that once a certain level of repression is reached, Paper Swing of the Pendulum: Federal Political Polarization and democracy is orthogonal to human rights abuses, consistent with Federal-Regional Relations in the Russian Federation (1990- a theoretical differentiation between contenders for power and 2003) mass publics. Xin Zhang, University of California, Los Angeles

Updated 03-01-05 3 10-16 MODELS OF FOREIGN POLICY Room TBA, Thur 8:30 12-303 POSTER SESSION: GLOBALIZATION & Chair Benjamin O. Fordham, Binghamton University IMMIGRATION Paper Congress, the Media, and the Use of Military Force Room TBA, Thur 8:30 William G. Howell, Harvard University Presenter Globalization and Immigration: How MERCOSUR is Jon Pevehouse, University of Wisconsin Impacting Immigration Policies Overview: This paper analyzes a unique database of national Julia Albarracin, University of Florida and local television news coverage on Iraq during the lead-up to Overview: This paper argues that the recent emphasis of the the War, presenting evidence that Congress significantly Presidents of Argentina and Brazil on strengthening influences discussions about the use of military force. MERCOSUR is producing a historical change in Argentine Paper How Long Do States Receive Aid? Examining the Duration immigration policies. of US Foreign Aid Allocations, 1948-2000 Brian Lai, University of Iowa 12-304 POSTER SESSION: DOES UNCERTAINTY Overview: This paper examines when states stop receiving US foreign assistance. Using duration models on all US aid MATTER? recipients from 1948-2000, this paper examines the influence of Room TBA, Thur 8:30 realist, liberal, and economic explanations on when states stop Presenter Government Formation in Parliamentary Democracies and receiving aid. Foreign Exchange Markets: Theory and Empirical Evidence Paper The Costs of Conflict: A Theory of Foreign Policy from Europe Substitution Bumba Mukherjee, Florida State University David Clark, Binghamton University Will H. Moore, Florida State University Timothy Nordstrom, University of Mississippi Overview: TBA William Reed, Rice University Overview: Applies economic conception of substituiton to FP - 13-1 AVERTING FUTURE SECURITY THREATS generates formal/econometric models. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Disc. Benjamin O. Fordham, Binghamton University Chair Gregory D. Miller, The College of William & Mary Paper WMD Terrorism: Averting A Disaster in the Homeland 11-207 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Jeremy Tamsett, Center for Nonproliferation Studies INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND Overview: The September 11 attacks brought America to the realization that it is vulnerable, and has subsequently focused GLOBAL GOVERNANCE attention on the possibility of terrorism involving CBRN on the Room TBA, Thur 8:30 homeland. Presenter Power, Knowledge and International Institutions: Toward a Paper Pro-Active Approach: Refining Conventional Wisdom in Theory of Global Governmentality Response to the Challenges of the Emerging World Order Michael D. Schmidt, American University Giray Sadik, University of Georgia Overview: Through a critique of existing approaches, this paper Overview: The paper aims to explore the utility of conventional constructs an alternative framework for the analysis of weapons trade in attaining effective international cooperation international institutions, focusing on the relationship between against the challenges of the emerging world order such as the power and knowledge in the practice global governance. proliferation of WMD and global terrorism. Paper Globalization and Arms Proliferation: Has it Gone Too 11-208 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: SECURITY Far? AND AGRICULTURAL TRADE Bozena C. Welborne, University of Colorado, Boulder LIBERALIZATION Overview: In this paper I discuss a residual impact of globalization–namely, its effect on the global arms industry and Room TBA, Thur 8:30 its relative challenge to the future of democratization. Presenter The Failure of Agricultural Trade Liberalization: A Paper Changing the Paradigm: Intelligence Gathering and Neorealist Perspective Strategic/Tactical Level Conflict Bedriye A. Kolemen, University of Georgia Duane A. Gundrum, Western Michigan University Overview: This paper contends that the lower the agricultural Overview: By recognizing that intelligence gathering self-sufficiency level of a country is, the more protectionist its techniques have changed for the worse and by switching from a agricultural trade policies are likely to be because agriculture is tactical to a strategic level of conducting foreign policy, the U.S. linked to national autonomy and security concerns. will benefit by building a foundation of sustained intelligence

growth. 12-301 POSTER SESSION: FREE TRADE AND Paper Surveillance and Disruption of Covert Financial Networks: WORKERS Al Qaeda in Historical and Global Context Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Christian W. Erickson, Roosevelt University Presenter Has NAFTA Delivered for Truck Drivers? Overview: In this paper I examine the development of Al Alan T. Runyon, University of Colorado, Boulder Qaeda’s covert financial network and actions taken by the Overview: I am using ethnographic methods to research United States and other states and entities to penetrate, surveil, Intermestic impacts of trade policy. Sector and individual level and disrupt Al Qaeda’s elaborate and highly adaptive financial research is currently missing in the field. network. Disc. Gregory D. Miller, The College of William & Mary 12-302 POSTER SESSION: GLOBALIZATION & SECURITY 14-2 TERRORISM (Co-sponsored with International Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Relations, see 10-23) Presenter The Effects of Globalization on State’s Security: Differing Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Responses by Strong and Weak Sates Chair Daniel Lindley, University of Notre Dame Yael Harari, University of Florida Paper The Greedy Terrorist: Why Hierarchical Terrorist Overview: This paper explores the differing responses of strong Organizations Underfund Operations and weak states to the global threat of terrorism Jacob N. Shapiro, Stanford University David A. Siegel, Stanford University Overview: We present a hierarchical model of terror organizations that uses the observed variance in terrorists’

4 Updated 03-01-05 motivations to explain patterns of underfunding and to identify Grace C. Huang, University of Chicago conditions under which government anti-terror efforts can be Overview: This paper examines how Chiang Kaishek used counter-productive. shame to motivate and justify his leadership during his first Paper Bombs, Bricks, or Butter: Assessing The Lifespan of confrontation with the Japanese in 1928. Terrorist Groups with Hazard Models Jonathan Berohn, University of Colorado 16-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PARTY CUES Rand Blimes, University of Colorado Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Erin Mewhinney, University of Colorado Presenter Do Party Cues Help or Hinder? Political Parties as Overview: We analyze the lifespan of terrorist groups using Heuristics in Three Countries hazard models. Specifically, we test the impact of factors such Jennifer Merolla, Claremont Graduate University as the nature of a group’s aims, the demographics of its likely Laura Stephenson, University of Western Ontario recruits, and the response of its target. Elizabeth Zechmeister, University of California - Davis Paper National, International, and Transnational Terror From Overview: We argue that the value of party labels as heuristic Comparative Perspective: Motives, Forces, and devices depends on individual perceptions of party reputation, Characteristics including cognition and affect. We test our theory using data Ribhi I. Salhi, Roosevelt University collected from university students in the U.S., Mexico and Overview: Three areas to study terror: national, Canada. international,and transnational. Each area has its features, motvies, and characteristics. Paper Competition and Voice in Terrorist Campaigns, 1968-2002 16-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RELATIVE Aaron M. Hoffman, Purdue University DEPRIVATION Overview: Why do groups claim responsibility for terrorism?I Room TBA, Thur 8:30 argue that competition from other groups drives this decision.I Presenter Relative Deprivation: The Hidden Roots and Uneven test this argument on a data set of international terrorist Branches of a Concept attacks,1968-2002. Brant Downey, Brandeis University Paper The Changing Profile of Palestinian Suicide Bombers: A Overview: TBA COR Theory Explanation Daphna Canetti-Nisim, University of Haifa 17-3 THE GEOGRAPHY OF AMERICAN Ami Pedahzur, University of Texas, Austin POLITICS Stevan E. Hobfoll, Kent State University Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: Our question is what brings people to volunteer for Chair Tony L. Hill, Massachuettes Institute of Technology suicide missions. Based on COR theory we predict that loss of Paper Partisan Bias in the Electoral College: Cheap States and resources that people experience, and the way in which the Wasted Votes paramount coping response is framed by elites may lead to this Phillip Ardoin, Appalachian State University outcome. Eric Burnette, Appalachian State University Disc. Eric N. Budd, Fitchburg State College Bryan Parsons, Appalachian State University Daniel Lindley, University of Notre Dame Overview: CW suggests the Electoral College is biased in favor

of the Republican Party, but recent analyses suggest otherwise.

Our work provides an analysis of the sources of bias within the 16-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLITICAL EC and examines their impact on the 2 parties’ electoral SOCIALIZATION fortunes. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper The Geography of Electoral and Financial Power in U. S. Presenter Lifecycle Events and Political Attitudes: the Consequences Elections of Marriage, Children and Retirement Frances E. Lee, University of Maryland Jill S. Greenlee, University of California, Berkeley Joshua Kaminski, University of Maryland, College Park Overview: I explore whether the effects of lifecycle events on James G. Gimpel, University of Maryland political attitudes are distinct from the effects of age. Using Overview: Our paper will seek to mesh a spatial perspective survey data from the Political Socialization Panel Study, I with statistical inference to examine the relationship between investigate how three lifecycle events shape individuals’ the size of local electorates and the size of campaign donations attitudes. emerging from these electorates. Presenter Been There. Done That...or Have We? Another Look at Paper Voting Behavior and Political Attitudes in the "New" South Political Socialization in America Today. Christopher N. Lawrence, Millsaps College Elizabeth Prough, Wayne State University Overview: Presents results from an exit poll of voters in the Mary Herring, Wayne State University greater Jackson area conducted at the November 2004 election, Overview: This political socialization study examines the including voting behavior for federal offices, and referenda on responses of 1100 junior and senior high school students. The same-sex marriage and a publicly-financed convention center. effect of the micro level context of particular school Paper Geographic Polarization in American Presidential Elections environments is examined using LISREL analysis. David A. Hopkins, University of California, Berkeley Overview: This paper describes and analyzes the growing 16-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: geographical polarization of party support in presidential COMPARATIVE POLITICAL elections since the 1970s, using both electoral returns and survey data. It also considers whether this trend continued in the PSYCHOLOGY 2004 election. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Disc. Tony L. Hill, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Presenter Leaders in Power: The operational codes of Yitzhak Rabin Steve Voss, University of Kentucky and Ariel Sharon Madalina C. Hanes, Louisiana State University 17-18 ECONOMIC VOTING IN COMPARATIVE Overview: I measure the operational codes of Y.Rabin and A.Sharon,using the VIC System devised by Walker,Schafer and PERSPECTIVE Young,in order to see if their basic propensities regarding the Room TBA, Thur 8:30 nature and conduct of foreign policy changed once they became Chair James A. McCann, Purdue University PMs of Israel. Paper Determinants of Party Preferences and Economic Voting in Presenter Laying on Brushwood and Tasting Gall Chiang Kaishek’s Turkey Response to the May 3rd Tragedy in 1928 Hasan Kirmanoglu, Istanbul Bilgi University

Updated 03-01-05 5 Burhan Senatalar, Istanbul Bilgi University Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Cem Baslevent, Istanbul Bilgi University Panelist Polling and the 2004 Elections Overview: This study aims to determine the factors that shape Alan Abramowitz, Emory University party preferences in Turkey by estimating an individual vote Robert Erikson, Columbia University function. On the whole, multinomial logit estimates provide Michael Traugoot, University of Michigan evidence in favor of the economic voting hypotheses. Thomas Riele, AP/Ipsos Poll Paper Valence Issues and Party Support in Contemporary Britain Margie Omera, Momentum Analysis Harold D. Clarke, University of Texas, Dallas Overview: The participants will discuss issues related to pre- David Sanders, University of Essex election and exit polling during the 2004 elections. Marianne Stewart, University of Texas at Dallas Paul Whiteley, University of Essex 19-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE Paul Tran, University of Texas, Dallas POLITICAL ORIGINS OF CONSUMER Overview: This paper uses national survey data from a new NSF-sponsored study to analyze how non-economic valence UNCERTAINTY issues affect party support in contemporary Britain. Models are Room TBA, Thur 8:30 estimated with random parameter mixed logit procedures Presenter The Political Origins of Consumer Uncertainty Paper Fertile Grounds for Extreme Right-Wing Parties: Paul M. Kellstedt, Texas A&M University Explaining the Vlaams Blok’s Electoral Success in Flemish Suzanna DeBoef, Pennsylvania State University Municipal Elections Overview: We conceptualize something of interest to politics Hilde Coffé, Vrije Universiteit Brussel but never measured: consumer uncertainty. Viewing it as an Bruno Heyndels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel aggregate quantity, we measure it using the Survey of Jan Vermeir, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Consumer Attitudes, and explain why it waxes and wanes, Overview: The Vlaams Blok is one of the most successful focusing on elite rhetoric. extreme right-wing parties in Europe.We empirically identify contextual determinants (economic, social and political) that 20-5 MEDIA, CAMPAIGNS AND contribute to its political success in the municipal elections in PARTICIPATION Flanders. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper The Dynamics of Vote Choice in a Context of Multiple Chair Nancy Todd Tyner, American Association of Political Weak Parties Consultants Barry Ames, University of Pittsburgh Paper Campaigns, Candidates, and the Internet: The Impact of Andrew Baker, Northeastern University Political Advertisements on On-Line Participation & Lucio Renno, SUNY-Stony Brook Political Judgments Overview: Using a three-wave panel study in two Brazilian Vincent L. Hutchings, University of Michigan cities, we explore partisanship,class, ideology, candidate affect, Nicholas A. Valentino, University of Michigan issues, economic evaluations, and contextual variables in vote Eric Groenendyk, University of Michigan choice. Andrea Benjamin, University of Michigan Disc. James A. McCann, Purdue University Overview: This paper examines the role of “negative” and “positive” ads on political participation via the Internet. We 18-2 ELECTORAL SYSTEMS AND INTRA- randomly expose over 500 experimental subjects to various PARTY DEMOCRACY versions of an interest group ad in the fall of 2004. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper Do Televised Presidential Ads Increase Voter Turnout? Chair Patricio Navia, New York University Evidence from the 2000 Election Paper Intra-Party Selection Methods and Their Impact on Jonathan Krasno, Binghamton University Parliament Member’s Behavior Donald Green, Yale University Yael Shomer, Michigan State University Overview: The geographic idiosyncracies of states and media Overview: The paper examines impact of selection procedures markets create a natural experiment in which residents of a state on parliament member’s behavior, and solves a potential may be exposed to vastly different amounts of TV ads. We find ecological fallacy, by evaluating Knesset members’ behavior that these variations had small effects on voter turnout in 2000. from 1988-2003, a period which witnessed a set of changes in Paper What Motivates People to Become Politically Active? selection processes. Joanne M. Miller, University of Minnesota Paper The Regulation of Intra-party Democracy: Issues to Overview: This paper reports the results of a survey that tests a Examine in the Move Towards Electoral-System Reform in general theory of political motivation. The paper examines Canada and its Provinces which motivations are more likely to lead to different forms of Brian M. Doody, University of Montreal participation and the boundary conditions of motivation. Overview: The preparation of lists of candidates by parties in a Disc. Kay L. Schlozman, Boston College mixed-member proportional system will require the public regulation of intra-party democracy. This study will examine 20-15 ENHANCING DELIBERATION IN A MASS the rules and norms of intra-party appeal and arbitration DEMOCRACY mechanisms. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper The Strategic Placement of Women Candidates in French Chair Jane Mansbridge, Harvard University Legislative Elections Paper Local Governance and Intergroup Dialogue Programs Dan Pemstein, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Katherine Cramer Walsh, University of Wisconsin, Madison William T. Bernhard, University of Illinois, Urbana- Overview: This paper analyzes the conditions under which U. S. Champaign cities use intergroup dialogue programs to improve race Overview: Some European democracies have instituted gender relations. quotas, requiring parties to nominate women. Focusing on Paper Representation, Association, and Participation: Toward France, we determine whether parties strategically place women Three Dimensional Democratic Governance candidates in districts where the parties are likely to benefit. Archon Fung, Harvard University Disc. Patricio Navia, New York University Overview: This paper addresses the conflict between participatory and representative democracy by showing how 19-101 ROUNDTABLE: POLLING AND THE 2004 forms of deliberative and participatory governance can address ELECTIONS (Co-sponsored with Elections and characteristic failures of the representative governance process. Voting Behavior, see 17-101)

6 Updated 03-01-05 Paper The Deliberative Potential of Public Hearings Overview: My study is based on a two month research in Iran Christopher F. Karpowitz, Princeton University focusing on the segregation of students by gender in educational Overview: This paper considers the effectiveness of public institutions. The study focuses on students of Tehran, the capital hearings as sites of public discourse. city, and Mashhad, the major shii pilgrimage city. Paper Competition, Advocacy, and Political Discussion: How to Presenter The Meaning of the Veil: An Interpretative Liberal Encourage Deliberation on a Mass Scale Argument Against the Headscarf in French Public Schools Keena Lipsitz, University of California, Berkeley Helene E. Landemore, Harvard University Overview: This paper examines how competitive elections Overview: This paper questions the compatiblity between the affect the likelihood of citizens discussing politics and meaning of the headscarves worn by Muslim highschoolers in advocating candidates. French public schools and the core liberal value of gender Paper What Just Happened Here? On the Problem of What to Say equality that these same public schools are supposed to defend. about Deliberation and How to Say It Molly Patterson, Pitzer College 23-12 SCHOOLS AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Overview: This paper presents an approach to conceptualizing Room TBA, Thur 8:30 and analyzing core dynamics of deliberation, with an emphasis Chair David Leal, University of Texas, Austin on power and face-to-face citizen interaction. This approach is Paper Representation and Educational Opportunities for Latino used to explore differences between various deliberative Students contexts. Melissa J. Marschall, Rice University Disc. Jane Mansbridge, Harvard University Paru R. Shah, Rice University Overview: This paper investigates how Latino representation on 21-2 POLITICAL ADVERTISING EFFECTS school boards and in teaching positions influences educational Room TBA, Thur 8:30 programs offered by local schools. Chair Claes H. deVreese, University of Amsterdam Paper Race, Politics and Electoral Bias: The Quality of African Paper Subliminal Priming and Political Campaigns: The Impact of American Representation Subliminally Presented Affective Primes on Campaign Ad Kenneth J. Meier, Texas A&M University Evaluation. Betty C. Ray, Texas A&M University Milton Lodge, State University of New York, Stony Brook Overview: This paper examines the quality of African American Charles S. Taber, SUNY, Stony Brook school board members under various selection systems (at- Christopher Weber, State University of New York at Stony large, ward, appointed, partisan, nonpartisan). Quality is Brook assessed by the ability to gain representation as administrators Overview: To determine the effects of subliminal stimuli in and teachers. political advertising, we test whether embedding positive and Paper Liberals or Latinas: The Impact of Women on Bilingual negatively valenced primes influence campaign evaluations. Expenditures Paper Individual Level Effects of Political Advertising—What Anaka D. Rivera, Texas A&M Univeristy Voters are Affected by Political Ads? Overview: This study assesses the impact that the interaction of David M. Greenwald, University of California, Davis race and gender has on the policy preferences of individuals in Overview: I examine individual level effects of political legislative positions. advertising on voter choice. I specifically examine the Paper Inter-Racial Governing Coalitions and the Substantive mediating influence of political sophistication—voters with Representation of African-Americans and Latinos in Urban varying levels of political sophistication should react differently School Districts to campaign ads. Rene R. Rocha, Texas A&M University Paper The Two Routes for Effects of Negative Advertising Robert D. Wrinkle, University of Texas, Pan American Daniel Stevens, University of Miami, Coral Gables J. L. Polinard, University of Texas – Pan American Overview: This paper looks at two routes by which negative Overview: The paper examines whether different racial advertising affects individuals. The first, the focus of past coalitions (e.g. Anglo-Latino, Latino-Black) influence the research, is a volume effect. The second, almost ignored, is a substantive representation of minorities in 200 multi-racial proportion effect. I find that their effects are systematically school districts. different. Disc. David Leal, University of Texas, Austin Paper Turning to the Internet: Negative Advertising in Presidential Campaigns 24-1 EARLY-MODERN POLITICAL AND Christopher Latimer, State University of New York, Albany RELIGIOUS THOUGHT Heather Trela, SUNY, Albany Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: There has been no research that provides definitive Chair Fiona Miller, Colgate University answers as to the effect of negative advertising online or which Paper Individuality and Rebellion in Early Modern Thought candidates choose to go negative online and why. Steven J. Wulf, Lawrence University Paper Radio Advertising in American Political Campaigns: The Overview: Pre-modern political theorists were well aware of the Persistance, Importance, and Effects of Narrowcasting demands of individual conscience. Those fearing civil unrest Marvin Overby, University of Missouri highlighted individualism’s potential dangers, while those Jay Barth, Hendrix College seeking revolutionary change merely masked their appeals to Overview: Empirical examination of radio ad usage and impacts conscience. in contemporary American political campaigns Paper Machiavelli in Crete: Politics, Lies (and no Videotape) Disc. Claes H. deVreese, University of Amsterdam Towards a Textual Analysis of The Prince, Between

Semantic Universe and Political Relevance

Bruno Anili, University of Oregon 22-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: GENDER Overview: A study of Machiavelli’s Prince (with brief notes on BASED INSTITUTIONAL NORMS AND the Discourses). By using simple instruments of semiotic VALUES IN PUBLIC SCHOOLS analysis I argue that the text construes the political as the Room TBA, Thur 8:30 domain of the public whereas the moral is relegated into the Presenter The Role of Islam and Islamic Government of Iran in the private sphere. Segregation of Students by Gender in Schools from Primary to University Maryam Rezaee, The Institute of Ismaili Studies

Updated 03-01-05 7 Paper Outside the Perfection of Christ: Luther and Schleitheim on 26-14 APPLIED DEMOCRATIC THEORY the Sword Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Geoffrey C. Bowden, Malone College Chair Terrance Ball, Arizona State University Overview: This paper details the reasoning and implications of Paper The New Talking Cure: The Oregon Health Plan Debate as the differences between Martin Luther's understanding of Deliberative Democracy Christian participation in the "sword" and the position of Michael A. Neblo, Ohio State University Michael Sattler in the Anabaptist Schleitheim Confession. Overview: The Oregon Health Plan is the biggest experiment in Paper Utopia as Parody of Humanist and Ecclesiastical Thought. applied deliberative democracy to date. Pairing a detailed case Scott E. Hoaby, University of California, Las Angeles study with an analysis of the normative standards specified in Overview: Most literature on More’s Utopia treat it as a serious the theory, I assess the OHP's success on deliberative terms. critique of society. In this paper, I will argue that Utopia is a Paper Web-Based Collaboration and Democratic Theory veiled parody of humanist and ecclesiastical propositions that Elazar Lev-on, New York University were inconsistent with More’s humanist conception of reason. Overview: Both participationist and competitionist theories of Disc. Christopher H. Anderson, University of Hartford democracy fail to accommodate the implications of large-scale, self-organized, web-based collaboration. 25-1 REPUBLICANISM: HISTORICAL & Paper Campaign Finance Reform and Deliberative Democracy CONTEMPORARY DEBATES Juan Gabriel Gomez Albarello, Washington University Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: To ensure equality among all contestants, any Chair James Buccellato, Wayne State University campaign finance reform must dispute the interpretation of the Paper A Double Dialectic: David Hume in Dialogue with the right to contribute as a negative freedom, harness the Natural Law and Civic Republican Traditions competitive features of elections and curb the Tom J. Hoffman, University of Illinois professionalization of politics. Overview: I argue that the central themes of David Hume's Disc. Johnny Goldfinger, Indiana University-Purdue University liberal political vision are best understood as the result of a Indianapolis dialectical confrontation with eighteenth-century natural law theory and British civic republicanism. 27-1 ENDOGENOUS INSTITUTIONS AND Paper The Legacy of the Founding Fathers of the French Third POLITICAL OUTCOMES Republic and its Relevance to Contemporary Civic Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Republicanism Chair Catherine Hafer, New York University Laurent Dobuzinskis, Simon Fraser University Paper Endogenous Rules and Endogenous Agenda: Chaos in Overview: This paper argues that late nineteenth century French Institutional Choice thinkers like Charles Renouvier, Henry Michel and Jules Barni Kevin A. Roust, California Institute of Technology worked out a synthesis or liberal and republican principles that Overview: Legislative consideration of bills can be modeled is still very much relevant to contemporary dilemmas. with an explicit game tree (especially under the "structured" Paper A Revolution in Law's Republic: Arendt and Michelman in rules of the US House). Game trees are chosen by the Dialogue legislature, raising the potential for majority-rule cycles over Angelica M. Bernal, Yale University legislative rules. Overview: In this paper, I examine the republican approach to Paper Analysis of Various Aggregation Rules Using Restricted constitutionalism by bringing into conversation the theory of Trembles Frank Michelman with the theory of Hannah Arendt. Scott Moser, Carnegie Mellon University Paper The Conservative Paine Overview: We model populations of agents voting in multiple Aaron M. Keck, Rutgers University elections over time. The computational framework developed Overview: Few thinkers have offered a more eloquent or allows us to examine the dynamic formation of stable outcomes. influential defense of the right of revolution than Thomas Paine. Also, we are able to examine what strategies support stable I argue, however, that the “right of revolution” was, for Paine, outcomes. only a means to a (more fundamental) republican end. Paper Endogenous Institutional Change Disc. Steven Kelts, George Washington University Elif Erisen, Stony Brook University Overview: The paper develops a game theoretic model of 26-13 SAME SEX MARRIAGE institutional change, which confirms the political theory of Room TBA, Thur 8:30 endogenous institutional change outlined in the paper. Chair Susan Schell, Boston College Paper Results on Voting Over Endogenous Agendas in an Paper Commitment for the Lovers of Freedom Experimental Setting. Mara G. Marin, University of Chicago Oleg Smirnov, University of Oregon Overview: Marriage should be understood as a committed Overview: The paper examines whether voting over agendas in relationship rather than a contract because its content cannot be experimental settings is different from the game theoretic specified in advance such as to account for all obligations and predictions. The results suggest that there is a substantial moral requirements that we generally associate with marriage. difference between the two types of voting. Paper "Stories of Peoplehood" and the Ethical Constitution of Disc. Catherine Hafer, New York University Same-Sex Marriage Brian A. Roberson, Purdue University Emily R. Gill, Bradley University Overview: Rogers Smith's "Stories of Peoplehood" highlights 29-301 POSTER SESSION: THE PROSPECT OF the role of ethically constitutive stories in the formation of THE GREEN PARTY AS A THIRD PARTY IN peoples. I plan to place the current debate over same-sex marriage in the context of two competing ethically constitutive THE UNITED STATES stories. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper Choice, Education and Law Presenter The Prospect of the Green Party as a Third Party in US Dennis O'Brien, University of Rochester Politics Overview: TBA Sayeed I. Ahmed, Northern Arizona University. Paper Hetrosexual Marriage and Gay Civil Unions: A Liberal Overview: This paper analyzes the prospect of the Green Party Compromise as a significant third party in U.S. politics. Susan Schell, Boston College Overview: TBA Disc. Jason Pierceson, St. Norbert College

8 Updated 03-01-05 30-301 POSTER SESSION: PRESIDENCY AND 33-1 COURTS, GOVERNMENTS, AND POLICY EXECUTIVE POLITICS IN COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Presenter Who’s Skipping Iowa in 2008? Gaming Early Presidential Chair Chris Zorn, National Science Foundation Primary States, From Carter to Kerry – to Giuliani Paper Decision-making In the European Court of Justice: Christopher C. Hull, Georgetown Evidence from Forty Years of Case Law Overview: This paper reviews the history of candidates’ early Clifford J. Carrubba, Emory University primary state decisions, builds a model updating recent studies Matt Gabel, University of Kentucky on Iowa and New Hampshire’s importance to the eventual Overview: Using a newly created database that codes detailed nomination, and provides a glimpse at strategies of likely 2008 information on all decisions made by the European Court of contenders. Justice (ECJ) between 1959 and 2000, this study tests the conditions under which the ECJ is responsive to member state 31-301 POSTER SESSION: LEGISLATIVE government influence. INSTITUTIONS Paper Inducing Independence: A Strategic Account of Lending and Legal Reform Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Gretchen Helmke, Rochester University Presenter Parties and the Use of Suspended Rules in the Postreform Overview: Using a simple game theoretic model based on House asymmetric information, this study explores the conditions Ken W. Moffett, University of Iowa under which international institutional involvement increases Overview: TBA the willingness of domestic politicians to tolerate an Presenter Estimating the Influence of Partisanship on Senate Roll Call independent judiciary. Votes: 1952-2000 Paper National Power in the Theory of the Constitution: A Theory Paul E. Rutledge, West Virginia University of Federalism with Judicial Applications Overview: This paper investigates the roll call voting behavior James Rogers, Texas A&M University of U.S. Senators by emphasizing and investigating the Overview: Relying upon historical sources and formal importance of partisanship as an explanatory variable. modeling, this study characterizes and evaluates the U.S. Presenter The Pull of Constituency?: Regional Impact on Supreme Court’s evolving “national power” jurisprudence. Congressional Voting Patterns Paper Legislative Reactions and Judicial Ambiguity: A Positive Brian S. DiSarro, University of Iowa Theory of Judicial Opinions Overview: This paper investigates the effect of geographic George Vanberg, University of North Carolina region as a determining factor in predicting in congressional Jeffrey Staton, Florida State University voting patterns. Overview: Using a series of simple game-theoretic models, this Presenter Divided Government, Cohabitation and Legislative studies examines the conditions under which a court would Productivity. A Comparative Analysis of the United States choose to issue ambiguously reasoned decisions that provide and France little guidance towards how future decisions will be made. Sebastien G. Lazardeux, University of Washington, Seattle Disc. Chris Zorn, National Science Foundation Overview: I propose a comparative analysis of France and the

United States to reassess the level of support for previous findings about the effect of divided government and other 33-2 CONTENTIOUS COURT DECISIONS AS political and economic variables on legislative productivity. LYNCHPINS OF SOCIAL CHANGE: CASE Presenter Can Parties Change Their Positions When They Want To?: STUDIES IN MOBILIZATION A Case of Defense Spending in Congress from 1890s to Room TBA, Thur 8:30 1980s Chair Gerald Rosenberg, University of Chicago Jungkun Seo, University of Texas, Austin Paper Mobilizing Resentment: Activism For and Against Overview: Party members’ distributive concerns often conflict Affirmative Action in Reaction to Bollinger with parties’ electoral strategies. The case of defense spending Katie H. Buckley, Georgetown University decision in Congress shows that strategic politicians use the rule Overview: An examination of the impact of high court decisions of “divide-and-conquer” to win and retain the presidency. on mobilization efforts on both sides of the affirmative action debate. 32-1 THE ELECTORAL CONNECTION IN Paper Mobilizing Against Backlash: Feminist Counter-Organizing HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE to Conservative Response to Roe v. Wade and Brown v. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Board Chair Garry Young, George Washington University Shauna L. Shames, Georgetown University Paper The Gag Rule, Congressional Politics, and the Growth of Overview: This second paper examines specifically the reaction Anti-Slavery Popular Politics of one group (feminist/pro-choice movement leaders) to Jeff Jenkins, Northwestern University mobilization by another (the rise of the New Right after Roe v. Charles Stewart, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Wade). Overview: This paper examines one episode in the highly-tense Paper Mobilization of Losers?: Opposition to Gay Marriage and regional drama in the pre-Civil War United States ~W the so- the Massachusetts Supreme Court Decision called "gag rule" that barred the House from receiving petitions Matthew J. Sitman, Georgetown University concerning the abolition of slavery, from 1836 to 1844. Overview: A theory-driven case study of political mobilization, Paper Lawmaking and Direct Election, 1890-1930 which will look carefully at the strategic interaction of John S. Lapinski, Yale University mobilization efforts on both sides of the gay marriage issue. Overview: This paper evaluates the effects of direct election on Disc. Gerald Rosenberg, University of Chicago lawmaking. Paper Obstruction and Institutional Change: The Effects of Direct 33-18 JUDICIAL APPOINTMENTS (II) Election on Senatorial Behavior Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Gregory J. Wawro, Columbia University Chair Christopher D. Martin, West Virginia University Eric Schickler, Harvard University Paper Consultation and Confirmation: An Analysis of Senatorial Overview: We consider the relationship between the adoption of Courtesy for U.S. Courts of Appeals Nominations 1901 – direct election reforms and behaviorial and institutional changes 2003 in the Senate. Marcus E. Hendershot, Washington University Disc. Eric Engstrom, University of North Carolina

Updated 03-01-05 9 Overview: This paper is a follow up to an APSA paper on the Paper The Determinants of Transfers from National to State and role of senatorial courtesy in U.S. District Court nominations. Local Party Committees Before and After McCain- Paper The Politics of State Judicial Selection: Changing How Feingold: Does Anything Matter Other Than Winning in Judges are Selected and Retained the Short Run? Valerie J. Hoekstra, Arizona State University Robert C. Lowry, Iowa State University Overview: In this paper, I examine the motivations behind Overview: I conduct multivariate analyses of transfers from states' decision to change how judges are selected and retained. national to state and local party committees to determine I focus on change from appointive systems to elective systems. whether factors other than short-run electoral circumstances Paper Determinants of Minority Representation on the U.S. Courts have systematic effects before and after the 2002 campaign of Appeals finance reforms. Mitchell Killian, George Washington University Paper State Legislatures and Electoral Reform Overview: This paper broadens recent research on federal Stephanie C. McLean, University of Pittsburgh judicial selection by examining the forces that significantly Overview: This paper examines responsiveness of state affect the likelihood of minorities being nominated and legislatures to electoral problems within the states. I employ confirmed to the U.S. Courts of Appeals. data on type of legislature, state demographics, and state Paper The Impact of the Civil Rights Movement on the Judicial political context to analyze compliance with the "Help America Appointment Process Vote Act" by 2004. Nancy Scherer, Ohio State University Disc. Bertram Johnson, Middlebury College Overview: The civil rights movement changed the way in which lower court judges are chosen, once a decision left to home state 36-8 THE POLITICS OF POLICING senators, and today very much controlled by the president. Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Disc. Christopher D. Martin, West Virginia University Chair Juliet F. Gainsborough, Bentley College Paper Policing Urban America: A New Look at the Politics of 34-2 JUDICIAL POWER AND THE Agency Size REGULATORY STATE Elaine B. Sharp, University of Kansas Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Overview: The proposed paper will test hypotheses to account Chair Laura J. Hatcher, University of Wisconsin for variation in the size of police departments in U.S. cities. Paper Retaliatory Discharge: Policy Cracks in the Employer’s Hypotheses focus on racial and class conflict, fiscal capacity, Arbitral Shield Against Employee Statutory Claims crime, community subculture, and police department Anne L. Draznin, University of Illinois, Springfield innovation. Kathryn E. Eisenhart, University of Illinois, Springfield Paper Suing the City: A Case Study of Police Misconduct Overview: SCt upholds mandatory arbitration of employee Complaints in the City of Pittsburgh and the Litigation and disputes. Lower courts have had to devise their own balance of Alternative Dispute Resolution Options Employed statutory rights and contractual ADR. Retaliatory discharge may Howard A. Stern, West Virginia University be exempt from such arbitration. Is this an anomaly or a trend? Overview: The financial costs of litigation and their potential of Paper Expanding the Power of Federal Courts Over Regulation By large awards can consume scarce resources for a city and can Using State Law affect a community’s entire social and financial well-being. Joseph J. Hinchliffe, University of Illinois This study will explore alternative dispute resolution options. Overview: This paper examines how federal courts use state law Paper Police Views of Criminals and Crime Causation to develop national regulatory policy. It examines decisions of Fred A. Meyer, Ball State University the U.S. Court of Appeals interpreting the Restatement (Second) Ralph E. Baker, Ball State University of Torts Sec 402A for their connection to regulatory domains. Overview: An examination of the criminal justice policy Paper Congressional Attempts to Control Federal Courts' priorities of the police in a medium-sized American community Jurisdiction: Policing the Constitution--or Violating It? is presented. Jeffrey H. Anderson, United States Air Force Academy Paper Leading by Proxy: Institutional Factors Affecting Darren P. Guerra, Claremont Graduate University Leadership and Policy Decisions in Police Bureaucracies Overview: This paper will examine whether Congress actually Dale P. Kapla, West Virginia University has the constitutional authority to limit federal courts' Overview: This research utilizes a mailed survey that examines jurisdiction to hear cases such as those involving challenges to the institutional arrangements of all 415 municipal police the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) and the Pledge of departments in Wisconsin and the leadership styles and policy Allegiance. choices of their police chiefs. Disc. Laura J. Hatcher, University of Wisconsin Disc. Juliet F. Gainsborough, Bentley College

35-10 ELECTION AND CAMPAIGN FINANCE 37-1 COMPETING INTERESTS AND PUBLIC REFORM (Co-sponsored with Political Parties POLICY and Interest Groups, see 29-17) Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Chair Paul J. Quirk, University of British Columbia Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Paper The Interplay of Public Opinion and Interest Groups in Chair Richard F. Winters, Dartmouth College Shaping State Policy Priorities, 1990-2000 Paper Legal Restrictions and Campaign Contribution Patterns in Saundra K. Schneider, Michigan State University State Legislatures William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University David W. Prince, Bellarmine University Overview: This paper examines the effects of public opinion Overview: This paper examines the strategies and motivations and interest groups on spending priorities in the American of interest groups in providing campaign contributions to state states, using data that cover the years 1990 through 2000. legislators. The focus is on strategies employed when faced with Results indicate that interest groups have a stronger impact than legal restrictions such as limits on contributions during sessions. public opinion. Paper State Parties Adjust to BICRA Paper Balancing Competing Interests in American Regional Sarah M. Morehouse, University of Connecticut Governance Malcolm E. Jewell, University of Kentucky Elisabeth R. Gerber, University of Michigan Overview: The first post-BICRA election in 2004 permits a Clark C. Gibson, University of California, San Diego comparison between the previous period of the soft money Overview: We develop and test a model of regional governance relationship between the national and state parties and the first that focuses on how regional governance institutions shape the election cycle with the ban on soft money. balance between regional and local interests.

10 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Analyzing Policy Outcomes in the Agro-Environmental Paper Women’s Rite: Gendered Nationalism and Palestinian Policy Subsystem: Changes in Federal Statutes from 1985 Female Suicide Bombers to 2004 Maya Sabatello, University of Southern California Thomas Greitens, Northern Illinois University Overview: I place Palestinian female suicide bombers in the Overview: This research examines agro-environmental policy socio-political discourse on gendered-nationalism, challenge since the passage of the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Western explanations for the phenomena by analyzing national Rodenticide Act of 1947 with an emphasis on how policy narratives, and address the social construct of national identity beliefs and external events influence policy formation. and Other. Paper What Difference Do Policy Issue Networks Make? The Case Disc. Megan Reif, University of Michigan of the Advanced Technology Program and the Manufacturing Extension Partnership 44-6 RELIGION IN AMERICAN POLITICAL Paul M. Hallacher, Pennsylvania State University THOUGHT AND JURISPRUDENCE Overview: This paper examines two national cooperative Room TBA, Thur 8:30 technology policy initiatives, the Advanced Technology Chair Kenneth J. Heineman, Ohio University, Lancaster Program and the Manufacturing Extension Partnership, to Paper Revolutionary Protestantism and the Declaration of examine effects of policy issue networks on policy learning and Independence: Re-thinking America's Revolutionary policy stability. Political Thought Disc. Robert S. Wood, University of North Dakota Jason Ross, Georgetown University

Overview: In this paper I note that the Declaration of 39-1 TECHNOLOGY AND PUBLIC Independence is one of several revolutionary Protestant political PARTICIPATION IN POLICY manifestos, and I examine the document in this context. ADMINISTRATION Paper Playing With Paradigms: Manufactured Principles and the Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Religion Clauses Chair David C. Nixon, Georgia State University Frank S. Ravitch, Michigan State University Paper Information Technology and Public Commenting on Overview: The use of broad formalistic principles has Proposed Rules dominated the Rehnquist Court's reasoning in cases under the Steven J. Balla, George Washington University religion clauses of the U.S. Constitution. This has led to Benjamin Daniels, George Washington University interpretive problems in religion clause cases. Overview: This paper asks a simple, yet crucial question: Does Paper Civil Religion and American Exceptionalism: Constructing the application of information technology to rulemaking, in National Identity particular the online submission of comments, affect the amount Dan Thomas, Wartburg College of public participation that occurs in response to agency Bruce McKeown, Westmont College proposals? Larry Baas, TBA Paper E-government and Ciitzen Participation: An Empirical Overview: An Examination of National Identity in light of Assessment of American Local Governments Huntington's recent book, "Who Are We?" Kaifeng Yang, Florida State University Paper Newdow's Challenge Past and Future: The Roles of History, Overview: Based on ICMA’s e-government surveys and a Logic, and Ubiquity in Establishment Clause Jurisprudence national survey on local citizen participation, this paper Kenneth F. Mott, Gettysburg College provides an empirical analysis on the relationship between e- Overview: A review and analysis of the Supreme Court's government and citizen participation. "Lemon" test, and the later competing "coercion" and Paper Developing E-government in the Fifty States 1999-2004 "endorsement" tests, followed by an examination of the relevant Caroline Tolbert, Kent State University opinions in the Newdow case. Karen Mossberger, Kent State University Paper What Does the Field of Ecumenical Religious Dialogue Have Ramona McNeal, Kent State University to Teach Us About Ecumenical Political Dialogue? Overview: Why are some states innovators in digital Amy L. Cavender, Saint Mary's College goverment? Cross-sectional time series analysis is used to test Overview: In this essay, I argue against Rawls’s ideal of public explanations for state implementation of e-government from reason and in favor of Perry’s concept of “ecumenical political 1999-2004, a period of rapid growth in the use of digital dialogue.” In doing so, I draw upon work in the field of government. ecumenical religious dialogue to support my argument. Disc. David C. Nixon, Georgia State University Disc. Pamela A. Mason, John Carroll University Robert W. Kweit, University of North Dakota 45-1 OPINION, KNOWLEDGE AND THE 40-12 BRINGING HISTORY BACK IN: SYMBOLIC ELECTORAL PROCESS - WHAT DO THEY INTERACTION, GENDERED TEACH US ABOUT TEACHING? NATIONALISM, AND ECONOMIC Room TBA, Thur 8:30 EXCHANGE IN THE MIDDLE EAST (Co- Chair John Clark, Western Michigan University Paper Model Campaign USA: Introducing Students to the Game sponsored with Political Culture, see 42-5) of Politics Room TBA, Thur 8:30 Daniel M. Shea, Allegheny College Chair TBA C. Daniel Myers, Allegheny College Paper Understanding Mamluk Power: A Survey of Medieval Sara Schmitt, Allegheny College Political Rule Using Symbolic Interactionism Shannon Scotece, Allegheny College Syed Hashmi, University of Chicago Overview: Model Campaign USA, a mock campaign Overview: TBA competition similar to Model UN programs, seeks to counter Paper Economic Partnerships between Jews and Arabs in cynical attitudes about politics by introducing students to the Mandatory Palestine during the 1920s in the Sphere of Civil mechanics of a modern political campaign. Society Paper Gerryminder: Teaching Undergraduates Redistricting with Nir Yehudai, Haifa University Hands-on Mapmaking Overview: The purpose of this paper is to bring to the forefront Jeremy M. Teigen, University of Texas, Austin some activities of a unique nature: economic cooperation within Overview: Paper details new homemade software that allows the framework of private partnerships and the involvement of students to play role of partisan mapmaker to better teach lawyers who dealt with the legal aspects of these partnerships. redistricting.

Updated 03-01-05 11 Paper Political Knowledge and the University College Student Sara B. Hobolt, University of Michigan John A. Grummel, West Virginia State University Robert Klemmensen, University of Southern Denmark Overview: This study examines university students’ political Overview: We analyze the relationship between policy promises (and cultural) knowledge and discusses the implications student nd public expenditure priorities in parliamentary democracies, political knowledge has in the teaching of political science pecifically evaluating the impact of political institutions on overnments’ ability to implement their policy promises. Paper Voter Turnout in Undergraduate Student Government Paper The Effect of Cabinet Portfolio Instability on Budget Elections Deficits in 17 OECD Countries Tom W. Rice, University of Iowa Akitaka Matsuo, Michigan State University Kimberly Lewis, University of Iowa Overview: This paper examines the cause of the budget deficits Overview: Using an original data from 94 colleges and in developed countries, focusing on the effects of cabinet post universities, we examine turnout in student goverment instability. The data analysis from 1970 to 1998 shows that the presidential elections. Models are developed to account for the countries with frequent post changes tend to expand the deficits. variation in turnout across campuses. Paper Having a Say? Understanding Cross Party Group Disc. Peter J. Bergerson, Florida Gulf Coast University Membership in the Scottish Parliament Christopher J. Carman, University of Pittsburgh 49-1 MODELS OF CHOICE FOR PUBLIC Overview: Cross Party Groups in the Scottish Parliament have POLICY developed as a means for MSPs to seek involvement in issue domains and specific policy areas from which they are Room TBA, Thur 8:30 otherwise excluded. Chair Bryan D. Jones, University of Washington Disc. Anthony Mughan, Ohio State University Paper A Model of Choice for Public Policy

Bryan D. Jones, University of Washington Frank R. Baumgartner, Pennsylvania State University 3-2 COMPARATIVE DECENTRALIZATION: Overview: This paper develops a model of choice for public IMPLICATIONS OF REFORMS FOR policy based on disproportionate information processing. The DEVELOPING COUNTRIES model leads directly to outcomes that are consistent with Room TBA, Thur 10:30 punctuated equilibrium, and are not generally consistent with Chair Richard Sisson, Ohio State University incrementalism. Paper TBA Paper Policy Punctuations, Municipal Governance Structures & Lily Tsai, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Budgetary Changes Overview: TBA Floun'say R. Caver, University of Texas, Dallas Paper TBA Overview: Jones, Sulkin and Larsen proposed a theory of Meg Rincker, Washington University "friction" to relate institutional characteristics to policy outputs. Overview: TBA This study assesses the effects of city governance structures on Paper TBA the punctuated nature of municipal budgetary/policy outputs. Conor O'Dwyer, University of Florida Paper Sine Waves or Strokes? Incrementalism, Punctuations, and Overview: TBA their Consequences Paper TBA Chris Koske, University of Washington Mikhail Filippov, Washington University, St Louis Christian Breunig, University of Washington Overview: TBA Overview: In this paper we contrast the long-term consequences Disc. Tulia Falleti, Pennsylvania State University f incrementalism and punctuated equilibrium. We test what the mpact of each of these types of policy change is on long-term 3-18 STATE BUSINESS RELATIONS: udgetary outcomes for the American states. Paper American Theory and Danish Practice. Does Punctuated COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVES Equilibrium Theory Apply to Budgeting in Denmark? Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Peter Mortensen, Aarhus University Chair Joel W. Simmons, University of Michigan Overview: Using a stochastic process approach, this paper Paper When do Controlling Shareholders Support Corporate examines how punctuated equilibrium theory applies to Governance Reforms and Why? budgeting in a non-US institutional environment, characterized Tom Kenyon, Princeton University by few policy venues, a multiparty system, and minority Overview: I analyze shareholder attitudes towards corporate governments. governance regulation and argue that in deciding to adopt more Disc. John Padgett, University of Chicago stringent governance standards, shareholders face a trade-off James True, Lamar University between the private benefits of control and access to external finance. Paper Government Business Relations in Transitional Economies: The Role of Business Associations Thursday, April 7 – 10:30 am – 12:15 pm Nadra Garas, American University 1-110 AUTHOR MEETS CRITICS: PAUL Overview: This study examines the role of business IERSON'S POLITICS IN TIME (Co-sponsored associations, their interaction and coalitions with state actors to ith Politics and History, see 40-101) explain the halting progress of economic reforms in transitional economies. Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Paper The Influence of Private Sector Participation in Market Chair Daniel Carpenter, Harvard University Regulatory Institutions of Developing Nations: Farmer Panelist Paul Pierson, Ohio State University Participation in Authorities of Coffee Exporting Countries Charles Cameron, Princeton University Cari A. Coe, University of California, Los Angeles Lisa Wedeen, University of Chicago Overview: Does market liberalization and the privatization of Overview: TBA market authorities affect farmer influence in directing policy?

This analysis shows that, when organized coffee farmers 2-2 INSTITUTIONS AND THEIR OUTCOMES participate in the country’s coffee authority, farmers receive Room TBA, Thur 10:30 higher prices. Chair Anthony Mughan, Ohio State University Paper Not Rent-Seeking But Clientelism: Why the Washington Paper Actions Speak Louder than Words: The Impact of Consensus MisDiagnosed Economic Reform in Developing nstitutions on Policy Promise Fulfillment in Parliamentary Countries emocracies Mona M. Lyne, University of South Carolina

12 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Tests interest group theory against clientelist model Paper Putting Poverty Alleviation Back on its Political Place in explaining ISI policy choices Ana L. De La O, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Paper State-Business Alliances in Mexico and Turkey Within the Overview: Politicians have more incentives to redistribute Context of Market Reforms, 1980-2000 toward the poor when they are rewarded with votes. I Isik Ozel, University of Washington investigate the electoral consequences of targeted social Overview: My paper is on coalition sustainability between programs using data on Progresa, a Mexican social program. states and business in developing countries implementing Paper Political Competition and Particularism in the Provision of market reforms. I compare Turkey and Mexico focusing on Local Public Goods by Subnational Governments in Mexico institutional factors such as the incorporation of societal actors and Argentina. into decision making. Alejandra Armesto, University of Notre Dame Disc. Joel W. Simmons, University of Michigan Overview: The paper analyzes the level of particularism in the provision of local public goods by subnational governments in 4-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: MECHANISMS Mexico and Argentina by exploring the composition of OF DEMOCRATIC PEACE subnational legislatures and responses to surveys by legislators and governors. Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Paper Patrons and Clients in Mexico's PRD Presenter Social Constructivism, Moral Reasoning and the Liberal Tina Hilgers, York University Peace: From Kant to Kohlberg Overview: Clientelism is pervasive in the PRD. It flourishes in Jon D. Carlson, Rockford College conditions of high socioeconomic inequality - a context in Overview: I argue that the normative aspect of the democratic which clientelism cannot be seen as strictly negative - and peace is one based on social agreement, when evaluated in involves both individuals and groups. terms of Kohlberg's levels of moral reasoning, offers a Paper Intra-party Competition and Clientelism: An Analysis of mechanism for understanding the inter-democratic 'pacification Public Sector Employment in Argentina effect' of democracy. Ozge Kemalioglu, Columbia University

Overview: The paper analyzes public sector employment in 5-2 EUROPEAN IDENTITIES, NATIONAL Argentina to shed light on the political and socio-economic PREFERENCES AND THE EMERGING factors that shape how politicians distribute public jobs to their EUROPEAN CONSTITUTIONAL ORDER “selected” supporters. Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Disc. Melissa Scheier, University of Houston Chair John D. Robertson, Texas A&M University Timothy J. Power, Florida International University Paper Post-National Belonging, Identity, and the Search for Constitutional Order in the EU 6-5 MASS PUBLIC ATTITUDES ABOUT Sibel McGee, Texas A&M University DEMOCRACY John D. Robertson, Texas A&M University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Overview: To examine the sources of varying adherence among Chair John Booth, University of North Texas European citizens to a collective European identity in the EU Paper Diffuse Violent Crime and Democratic Governability in and consider how these sources of identity may affect a single Latin America legal and political “personality” implied with the EU John J. Bailey, Georgetown University constitution. Overview: The paper employs an approach that embeds the Paper Elite vs. Popular Identities: Turkey, the EU, and the problem of criminal violence in a broader framework that Complex Nature and Pattern of Identities in ‘New’ and allows us to examine a variety of linkages with democracy in ‘Old’ Europe Latin America. Winand Gellner, Universität Passau Paper Delegative and Stealth Democrats: The Individual and Overview: The paper explores the different patterns of identity Institutional Foundations of Political Confidence in Latin across “old” and “:new”: members of the EU, each group America further bi-furcated into elites and non-elites, with reference to Paul Gronke, Reed College Turkey membership in EU. Barry Levitt, Emory University Paper Local Discourses and European Identity in an Era of Overview: This paper compares two theories of democratic Globalization: ATTAC and the Limits of a European citizenry--delegative democracy and stealth democracy. Constitutional Order Empirically, we analyze confidence in parliament and the level Marie Leonard, Texas A&M University of delegative democratic attitudes in 10 Latin American Overview: This paper contends that French protest movement, countries. ATTAC, represents a resistance to perceived threat on cultural Paper Democratic Support in Latin America: Causes and identity, and as such a challenge to European institutions and Evolution the coherency of a single European constitutional order within Ryan E. Carlin, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill the EU. Overview: Which economic, institutional and cultural factors Paper National Identity as a Legal and Political Entity of the influence support for democracy in developing countries over Constitution of the European Union the course of democratic transitions? This paper offers an Juergen Broehmer, Universität des Saarlandes integrated understanding of democratic legitimacy in Latin Overview: This papers explores the constitutional protections America. for national identities within the European constitution. Disc. John Booth, University of North Texas Paper Learning and Identity Formation Mitchell Seligson, Vanderbilt University Zeki Sarigil, University of Pittsburgh Overview: How does social learning affect individual 7-2 KOREAN ELECTORAL POLITICS identifications? This study tests the neofunctionalist hypotheses, Room TBA, Thur 10:30 which expects that material benefits gained by instrumental Chair Manwoo Lee, Millersville University of Pennsylvania action may lead to adoption of new identities. Paper The Emergence of Generational Politics and the Regional Disc. Guy Whitten, Texas A&M University Party System in Korea

Jaehyeok Shin, University of California, Lo+H3329s Angeles 6-2 CLIENTELISM IN A DEMOCRATIC Overview: This paper examines why a generational politics has CONTEXT emerged in the 2002 presidential election in Korea and what Room TBA, Thur 10:30 political impact the generational politics has on the Korean Chair Melissa Scheier, University of Houston regional party system.

Updated 03-01-05 13 Paper Economic Voting vs. Cleavage Voting in the United States, Paper Economic Voting in Postcommunist Countries Korea, and Taiwan Geoffrey Evans, Oxford University Eunjung Choi, University of Texas, Austin Stephen Whitefield, Oxford University Overview: The purpose of the study is to define circumstances Overview: This paper will examine patterns of economic voting to facilitate or impede economic voting. Utilizing the in postcommunist countries through the analysis of survey data. information processing approach, I expect that economic voting Disc. James L. Gibson, Washington University is weaker in Korea and Taiwan than in the U.S. Paper The 17th National Assembly Election and Legislative 10-9 INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS AND Turnover in Korea COOPERATION Junhan Lee, University of Incheon Chair David Leblang, University of Colorado Hong Min Park, Northwestern University Paper The Emergence of International Bargaining in a Three- Overview: There was a record high legislative turnover (62.5%) Phase Cooperation Framework. in 2004 ever since the 1987 democratic transition by selecting David H. Bearce, University of Pittsburgh 187 new lawmakers. This essay aims to understand the causes Katharine M. Floros, TBA and consequences of the wide legislative turnover in 2004. Overview: International cooperation, bargaining theory, shadow Paper Democratization and Legislative Reform in Korean National of the future Assembly Paper International Multilateral Agreement Negotiations Kyung-Jin Jun, University of California, Lo+H2633s Angeles Michael J. Gilligan, New York University Overview: Based on the legislative model of U.S. Congress, this Nicole M. Simonelli, New York University paper explains the impact of legislative reform in lawmaking Overview: We present a model of the international multilateral process in Korean National Assembly. agreement-making process. Paper The Sudden Rise of Left-Wing Parties in South Korea Paper Rethinking the Bargain: The Distribution of Benefits from Jungkeun Yoon, Claremont Graduate University the Nonproliferation Regime Overview: This paper examines political and economic factors, Timothy L. Meyer, University of California, Berkeley which contributed to a sudden rise of left-wing parties in South Overview: The aim of this paper is to use rational choice to Korea understand the incentives for compliance with the current Disc. Manwoo Lee, Millersville University of Pennsylvania nonproliferation regime, and to examine how different policy

approaches might enhance the viability of the current legal 8-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: AFRICAN framework. STATES IN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE Disc. David Leblang, University of Colorado Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Presenter Democracy, Monarchy and Power in Dahomey Land: 10-301 POSTER SESSION: INTERNATIONAL Today’s Trajectories of Political and Economic Elites in an RELATIONS Ancient West African Kingdom Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Roch L. Mongbo, University of Abomey-Calavi Presenter International Relations and Technological Change Overview: Major institutions of pre-colonial Dahomey survived, Mark Z. Taylor, Massachuettes Institute of Technology and emerged at the 2002 democratic communal elections. Cases Overview: This paper will show that there exists a deep and of everyday power yielding and wielding at work are presented fundamental causal relationship between international politics and discussed and technological change, and that the “accepted wisdom” of Presenter Institutional Change and Organizational Action: Network domestic politics explanations is not supported by the empirical and Coalition Action in Dahomey (1950-1972) evidence. Brent Never, Indiana University Presenter The Strength of a State: Modeling Hard and Soft Power Overview: The paper tests hypotheses of how costs to collective Allison M. Nau, College of Wooster action affect how networks of actors press for institutional Overview: This paper presents a model of state power that change over long periods of time. incorporates both hard and soft power, with the assertion that

such a model more completely portrays the power of a state than 9-1 PARTIES, VOTING AND ELECTIONS IN a model that examines only one aspect of power. POSTCOMMUNIST COUNTRIES Presenter Legal Status of the Caspian Sea: The Advantages of Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Treating Seabed and Subsoil Separately Chair Andrew L. Roberts, Northwestern University Elnur Soltanov, Texas Technical University Paper Party Candidates Versus Independents in Russia: What Overview: This paper claims that treating seabed and subsoil Difference Does Party Nomination Make? separately from the body of water in the Caspian, which is Henry E. Hale, Indiana University legally permissible, the most controversial political dispute Timothy J. Colton, Harvard University among five littoral states turns out to be the least controversial Overview: Using an original survey conducted after the legally. December 2003 Duma elections we test whether parties provide Presenter The Missing Link: The Absent US Grand Strategy for The candidates with electoral benefits that independents lack in Twenty-First Century single-member-district elections as leading comparative theories Lapo Salucci, University of Colorado at Boulder expect. Overview: This paper argues that the United States has not Paper Red vs. Brown: Who Benefits from Poor Economic designed a consistent Grand Strategy to cope with the Conditions in Post-Communist Elections? challenges of a new international situation. I suggest that this Joshua A. Tucker, Princeton Unversity could foster instability in the international system, as it Overview: Theories of economic performance and voting for happened after WW I. nationalist parties are tested with an original dataset of election Presenter Selling the State: The African Renaissance and the results in 19 presidential and parliamentary elections in 5 'Branding' of South Africa postcommunist countries 1990-99. Jeremy R. Youde, University of Iowa Paper Mandate or Punishment?: Prospective and Retrospective Overview: South Africa has embraced the African Renaissance Voting after Communism label as an attempt to reposition itself within the international Grigore Pop-Eleches, Princeton Unversity community. This paper examines how successful this project Overview: Analyzes survey data from the 2000 and 2004 has been and the unintended consequences of such a national elections in Romania to test the extent to which vote 'rebranding' strategy. choice can be explained in terms of prospective and Presenter Post-National Citizenship and Health Related Rights in retrospective considerations. Developing Countries.

14 Updated 03-01-05 Sridhar Venkatapuram, University of Cambridge Overview: The paper examines responses to US unilateralism Overview: This paper identifies four models of how national through the lense of the WTO's dispute settlement mechanism. and international human rights are being asserted to address The paper shows that in terms of international trade, other states health issues and its implication for understanding "post- are actively trying to reign in the US, and the WTO’s role is national citizenship." critical. Paper The USA’s and the EU’s Bilateral/Regional Relations: 11-1 COMPLIANCE, SANCTIONS, AND Global Rivals, Rival Globalizations? LEARNING IN INTERNATIONAL POLITICS Ayse Kaya, London School of Economics and Political Science Overview: The paper analyzes the regional trade agreements Room TBA, Thur 10:30 (RTAs) negotiated by the USA and the EU. The paper claims Chair James Vreeland, Yale University the two powers rival each other in these RTAs, exposing Paper Why Comply? The Domestic Constituency Mechanism differences in the way in which they approach and handle Xinyuan Dai, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign globalization. Overview: Key words: international institutions, compliance Paper The Liberalizing Effects of GATT/WTO Membership—A with international agreements, environmental policies, and Complex Relationship. game theoretic modeling. Gregory J. Love, University of California, Davis Paper Reputational Costs of Complying with Anti-Money Jennifer Ramos, University of California, Davis Laundering and Counter-Terrorism Finance Regime: FATF Overview: We examine the interactive effect of domestic After September 11 economic and political factors and GATT/WTO membership on Kathryn L. Lawall, University of Notre Dame trade liberalization policy. We find that membership in Overview: Why do nations comply with international regimes? GATT/WTO does affect trade policy, but is mediated by What drives this compliance? In this paper, I will empirically political and economic conditions. assess global compliance (N=137) and its causal mechanisms Paper Dispute Settlement (DS) Strategies in the WTO System: with the AML/CFT standards of the Financial Action Task Comparison between the GATT period and WTO period Force. Don Moon, KyungHee University Paper Power and Money: Coercive Diplomacy and the Overview: This paper examines various strategies commanded Enforcement of International Debt Contracts under the WTO DS system. Because of the strong legal Michael R. Tomz, Stanford University characteristics of the WTO DS system, states' optimal strategies Overview: Why do governments pay their debts? Studies has changed considerably as compared with those under the suggest that creditors used gunboats to compel payment before GATT system. WWI. I systematically test - and find little evidence for - the Disc. Daniel Y. Kono, University of California, Davis gunboat hypothesis. Compliance has been due to reputation, not

military force. Paper Sanctions as Revelation Mechanisms 12-1 THE NEXUS OF INTERNATIONAL AND Daniel Verdier, Ohio State University DOMESTIC LAW Overview: Why are so many sanctions not followed by Room TBA, Thur 10:30 compliance? To reveal information. Chair Jana Von Stein, University of California, Los Angeles Disc. James Vreeland, Yale University Paper Trading by the Rules: The Imposition of Trade Protection in the Shadow of WTO Law 11-2 GLOBALIZATION AND THE PROVISION Todd L. Allee, University of Illinois at Urbana, Champaign OF PUBLIC GOODS Overview: This paper argues that governments are more likely to settle long-standing or politically sensitive WTO disputes Room TBA, Thur 10:30 through a ruling by a panel of legal experts, as opposed to a Chair Kenneth Scheve, University of Michigan negotiated or “out of court” settlement. Paper Education Through Globalization: An Open Economy Paper Self-Execution and Political-Execution: The Status of Model of Human Capital Investment International Agreements in Domestic Law Benjamin W. Ansell, Harvard University Rachel D. Brewster, University of Chicago Law School Overview: This paper examines the effect of the international Overview: Presents a framework that systematically details how economy on state provision of human capital. The paper international rules are (or are not) incorporated into domestic develops a formal model of human capital investment and law and makes predictions about what type of agreements are econometric tests, and finds openness strongly related to likely to domestic law, even if not self-executing. investment in education. Paper The International Court of Justice and the World's Three Paper Free Trade: Path to Political Fragmentation or to Legal Systems Government Expansion? Sara McLaughlin Mitchell, University of Iowa Muhammet Ali Bas, University of Rochester Emilia Justyna Powell, Florida State University Elena V. Plaxina, University of Rochester Overview: We seek to understand why some countries Overview: This paper presents a unified statistical model to test recognize the compulsory jurisdiction of the World Court, while hypotheses that link country size, openness to international trade others do not. and the scope of government. Paper Explaining Gains and Losses in EU Accession Negotiations Paper Trade Policy Openness, Domestic Political Institutions, and Tobias Schulz, University of St.Gallen the Environment. Overview: This paper attempts to apply two recent extensions of Scott L. Kastner, University of Maryland, College Park ``two-level'' bargaining-models to the case of the negotiations Michael J. Hiscox, Harvard University over the EU enlargement. It finds a second-mover advantage as Joanne Manrique, University of Maryland, College Park well as an influence of several ratification constraints. Overview: Examines the impact of trade policy openness on Disc. Jana Von Stein, University of California, Los Angeles environmental standards and performance, treating domestic

political institutions as intervening variables. Disc. John A. Doces, University of Southern California 13-2 RATIONALITY AND SECURITY Kenneth Scheve, University of Michigan Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Chair Branislav Slanchev, University of California, San Diego 11-15 TRADE POLICYMAKING IN THE WTO Paper Is War Rational? The Extent of Miscalculation and Misperception as Causes of War Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Dan Lindley, University of Notre Dame Chair Daniel Y. Kono, University of California, Davis Overview: Is war a rational pursuit? Pre-1900, war initiators Paper Settling the Dispute: Curbing US Unilateralism in the WTO won 73% of wars. Since 1945, the win rate is 33%. Assuming Matthew B. Fehrs, Duke University

Updated 03-01-05 15 that states initiate wars planning to win, war’s utility is Overview: A formal model of leader-specific uncertainty declining. Miscalculation and misperception now dominate provides a unified explanation of the relationship between decisions for war. national leaders and conflict proneness where current treatments Paper The Rationality of War under Conditions of Complete of informational problems cannot. Case and statistical support Information. are provided. Thomas Chadefaux, University of Michigan Presenter Do Major Powers Really Matter?: The Steps-To-War Model Overview: Can war occur with complete information? I propose and Major Powers a game-theoretic model to show that war can be rational if Choong-Nam Kang, University at Buffalo, SUNY rigidities in the bargaining process lead actors with changing Overview: The main purpose of this paper is to examine the relative power to anticipate a large opportunity loss between Vasquez's Steps-To-War theory across varying power status negotiations. conditions and to develop a new indicator of politically relevant Paper Small Powers’ Passive and Proactive Behavior in the alliance. Alliance Politics Presenter Alliance Reliability and Reputational Costs Hyon Joo Yoo, Georgetown University Philipp Fuerst, Emory University Overview: In dealing with two great powers--the current power Overview: In my paper, I examine whether and to what extent and the rising power, small powers take passive and proactive states’ different sensitivities to reputational costs explain states’ positive feedback toward two powers. decisions to honor or violate their alliance commitments. Paper National Security and the Role of Mixed Signaling Presenter Arms Trasnfer Dependence and Autonomy Costs Unislawa M. Wszolek, Ohio State University Peter Rudloff, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Overview: The 2004 US campaign rested on a simple message: Overview: Current studies assume a simple relationship You can trust the president to send clear signals and the between arms transfer dependence and autonomy costs. A challenger, mixed. This paper asks why we see mixed signals in model illustrates how a client state uses its own importance to crises and challenges the conventional wisdom that such signals lower the amount of autonomy it must give up to the supplier are detrimental. state. Disc. Branislav Slanchev, University of California, San Diego 16-2 INFORMATION PROCESSING 13-6 THE SECURITY CHALLENGES OF Room TBA, Thur 10:30 INTERVENTIONISM Chair Sara Margaret Gubala, Michigan State University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Paper Toward a Procedurally Plausible Model of the Vote Choice: Chair Vesna Danilovic, Texas A&M University Decision Strategies, Information Processing, and Correct Paper External Military Intervention in Civil Wars: A Voting Quantitative Study of the Initiation and Escalation of Third- David Redlawsk, University of Iowa Party State Interventions Richard R. Lau, Rutgers University Jordan M. Miller, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Overview: We examine the decision strategies used by voters to Overview: The paper quantitatively tests both the decision make sense of an election campaign. Those strategies, broadly calculus of a third-party state to intervene in a civil war, and categorized as rational, intuitive, and take the few best, are given an intervention, the decision calculus of an intervening tested against a correct voting standard. state to change the level of support it provides to a combatant. Paper The Relevant Campaign, 1980: Revisiting the NES Major Paper Making a Credible Commitment: Third Party Interventions Panel to Analyze Campaign Effects and the Emergence of in Interstate Wars Voters' Judgments Kristen M. Flanagan, University of Pittsburgh Scott J. Basinger, Stony Brook University Overview: Interstate conflict, intervention, event history Michael J. Ensley, Indiana University models, peace longevity Overview: We employ systems of simultaneous equations to Paper The Causal Mechanisms that Precede External Military analyze the 1980 National Election Study Major Panel, to Intervention in a Secessionist War: Cases from South Asia investigate how voters' judgments about the candidates changed Anne N. Dos Santos, University of California, Riverside during the campaigns, recognizing voter heterogeneity Overview: In this study, patterns of behavior associated with Paper A Computational Model of Political Cognition - The secession have been analyzed in order to build a theory of Dynamics of Candidate Evaluation in the 2000 Presidential international military intervention in a secessionist war with a Election view toward guiding future policy choices. Sung-youn Kim, Strony Brook University Paper State Intervention and Regime Change: Intent of Initiation Milton Lodge, Stony Brook University (1815-2000) Charles Taber, Stony Brook University Travis B. Nelson, University of Wisconsin-Madison Overview: This paper 1) simulates, using JQPs as voters, the Overview: This paper explores motivations behind state empirical dynamics of candidate evaluations in the 2000 interventions aimed at regime change and argues that these Presidential election, and 2) examines the internal, interventions, whose history extends well before the current war psychological dynamics of the model that underlie its simulated in Iraq, are best understood as demonstrations of state resolve behavior. and credibility. Paper Political Cognition as Social Cognition Paper Laissez Fear? Assessing the Impact of State Intervention in Darren Schreiber, University of Pennsylvania the Economy on Ethnic Conflict Overview: In this paper, I present data from recent experiments David A. Steinberg, Northwestern University using functional brain imagining to argue for a broader view of Stephen M. Saideman, McGill University political cognition rooted in our evolutionary history as social Overview: This paper addresses whether state intervention in animals applying our values to achieve desired outcomes. the economy reduces or increases ethnic conflict. Three Disc. Sara Margaret Gubala, Michigan State University contending perspectives on the question are discussed and tested using cross-national data. 17-2 SPLIT-TICKET VOTING Disc. Vesna Danilovic, Texas A&M University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Chair Joel Lieske, Cleveland State University 14-301 POSTER SESSION: CONFLICT PROCESS Paper Split Ticket Voting and Political Context: What Happens Room TBA, Thur 10:30 When Elections Are Actually Competitive? Presenter Image is Everything: A Unified Explanation of Leadership Jeffrey Karp, Texas Tech University and International Conflict Marshall W. Garland, Texas Tech University Scott Wolford, Emory University Eric A. Booth, Texas Tech University

16 Updated 03-01-05 Aaron W. Colvin, Texas Tech University Overview: Using unique survey data from the 2004 presidential Joe W. Robbins, Texas Tech University election, we examine the prevalence and influence of Overview: We examine theories of split ticket voting in a high incongruities between policy preferences and party information environment using a unique survey based on a identification on presidential vote choice. rolling cross section design. Paper Splitting the Difference: Evidence from 1946-2002 Testing 17-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: HISTORY OF Models of Balancing Behavior in U.S. Senate Elections THIRD PARTY VOTING IN AMERICA Daniel M. Butler, Stanford University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Matthew J. Butler, University of California, Berkeley Presenter Third Party Voting Behavior in Nineteenth Century Overview: Some proposed models suggest that voters try to America moderate the position of their state’s Senate delegation by Samuel DeCanio, Ohio State University electing split delegations. This paper tests those models using a Corwin Smidt, Ohio State regression discontinuity design and finds no evidence of Overview: Using survey data collected in the 1870s, we balancing behavior. examine who supported third parties in the nineteenth century. Paper Determinants of Split Ticket Voting: The Case of South Those supporting third parties lacked ethnic or religious Korea identification with either the Republican or Democratic Party. Chung-Hee Lee, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies Presenter Why Electoral Support for Third Parties Declined in the Sangmook Lee, Texas Tech University United States Overview: In order to understand the nature of split ticket Shigeo Hirano, New York University voting behavior in South Korea, we test the relevant hypotheses Overview: This paper provides evidence that the Democratic associated with strategic voting, partisanship, policy issue, Party's shift to the left during the New Deal was the cause of the candidate, and SES variables using election survey data decline in third party electoral support during the 20th Century. Paper Electoral Balancing, Divided Government, and Midterm We test this explanation against several alternatives. Loss in German State Elections

Holger L. Kern, Cornell University Overview: This paper tests electoral balancing models using 19-13 POLITICAL TOLERANCE AND CIVIL data from German state election. The main finding - midterm LIBERTIES losses in German state elections only occur under unified Room TBA, Thur 10:30 government - supports electoral balancing models. Chair John Bruce, University of Mississippi Disc. Joel Lieske, Cleveland State University Paper Exploring the Effects of Threatening Information on Citizen Support for the Extension Right's Protections to Members 17-19 PRESIDENTIAL FORECASTING MODELS of Unpopular Groups Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Linda M. Merola, Georgetown University Chair Larry Butler, Rowan University Overview: This project extends the study of the interaction Paper Why Existing Models of Presidential Approval are between information and citizen willingness to allow unpopular Inadequate: Or, Why Forecasting Luck Runs Out When groups to exercise certain fundamental American rights. Relationships Among Macroeconomic Indicators Change Paper Political Tolerance Over Time and Across Individuals Suzanna L. De Boef, Pennsylvania State University April K. Rapp, University of California, Santa Barbara Jonathan Nagler, New York University Overview: Individual and aggregate level analyses of political Overview: Taking a closer look at previous research, we show tolerance employing a national multiple-generation, four-wave the impact of the economy on elections and approval is panel study stretching from 1965 to 1997. overstated. We look at the distinct impact of distinct aspects of Paper Trade-Offs Between Civil Liberties and National Security macroeconomic performance on different voters. Julia Rabinovich, Northwestern University Paper Modeling American State Presidential Vote Overview: This paper examines the impact of perceptions of Lynda W. Powell, University of Rochester threat on trade-offs between civil liberties and national security, Stephen Gent, University of Rochester and the role of these trade-offs in shaping public policy Overview: We propose a new model to predict state presidential preferences. vote. We compare and contrast this model with others that have Paper The Real Threat of Terrorism: An Assault on Civil Liberties been used previously. We further estimate the likelihood that a Cynthia V. Caravelis, Florida State University state will be pivotal in the Electoral College. Jessamyn A. Tracy, Florida State University Paper Forecasting the 2004 Presidential Election with State-Level Overview: Using public opinion data collected in the year prior Trial Heat Polls to and immediately following the World Trade Center attacks, Jay A. DeSart, Utah Valley State College this paper demonstrates the willingness of Americans to Overview: This paper will examine the ability of state-level trial sacrifice civil liberties in the post-9/11 social climate. heat polls to predict the outcome of the 2004 Presidential Disc. Ewa Golebiowska, Wayne State University Election. This will be an application and update of the DeSart and Holbrook (SSQ, 2004) forecast model to the 2004 election. 19-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: OPINIONS Paper Comparison of Economic and Non-Economic impacts on the TOWARD CONGRESS AND Presidential Approval. REPRESENTATION Jee-Kwang Park, Columbia University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Overview: Using ARCH model, it is shown that Non-Economic Presenter The Constituent Perspective of Representation: The impact on the presidency is not durable nor stable compared to Dynamic Role of National and Local Factors Affecting economic impact on the presidency. Perceptions of Member Responsiveness Disc. Larry Butler, Rowan University Robin M. Lauermann, Messiah College

Overview: Analysis of Eulau and Karps' (1978) fourfold 17-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PARTY AND concept of representation to assess the impact of national and POLICY IN THE 2004 ELECTION local factors on constituent approval of member performance Room TBA, Thur 10:30 over time. The results reveal the strength of non-policy and Presenter The Prevalence and Influence of Individual-level diffuse outputs. Incongruities between Policy Preferences and Party Identification 19-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: AFRICAN AND D. Sunshine Hillygus, Harvard University GLOBAL POLITICAL ATTITUDES Todd Shields, University of Arkansas Room TBA, Thur 10:30

Updated 03-01-05 17 Presenter The Hidden Power of Education in African Politics: Access CMAG information on ad buys to show how visual and musical to Education as “The Sleeper Issue” in African Political cues work with verbal messages to spur emotions. Campaigns Paper Modern Emotions in Political Photography Mary E. Dillard, Sarah Lawrence College Robert Hariman, Northwestern University Overview: This paper compares debates about access to formal John L. Lucaites, Indiana University schooling in Kenya and Ghana and argues that in the context of Overview: The paper taps three current accounts of emotion to the decline in educational opportunities in these countries, analyze three iconic photos for our politics: the 1937 explosion access has the potential to increasingly become a major political of the Hindenberg, the 1986 explosion of the Challenger, and issue. the ubiquitous mushroom cloud of nuclear explosion. Paper Anguish: What War Becomes in the Age of Global News 20-1 PARTICIPATION IN COMPARATIVE George R. Boynton, University of Iowa PERSPECTIVE Francis A. Beer, University of Colorado Overview: The BBC, CNN, and Reuters are creating global TV Room TBA, Thur 10:30 news. The paper analyzes BBC and CNN broadcasts for five Chair Pippa Norris, Harvard University years to how war stories mobilize emotions. It argues that the Paper Government Jobs, Political Patronage, and Voting Turnout anguish of noncombatants is replacing the admiration of heroic in Comparative Perspective soldiers. Luis R. Camara-Fuertes, University of Puerto Rico, Rio Paper Communication, Critique, and Emotion: The Audiovisual Piedras Grammar of Campaign Advertising and Adwatch Thais Reyes, University of Puerto Rico, Rio Piedras Journalism Overview: In this paper we study effects of government jobs Glenn W. Richardson, Kutztown University and political patronage on voting turnout. These two variables Overview: The paper explains how ad watches can and should may be important factors in explaining both, the variance in address the emotional dynamics of political spots. It proposes turnout rates between countries, and within countries through an audiovisual grammar for this purpose. time. Disc. Nicole R. Krassas, Eastern Connecticut State University Paper Democracy and Environment: The Effect of

Democratization on Environment Outcomes in Asia Yongjin Chang, American University 22-10 GENDER AND THE POLITICAL PARTIES Taejun Cho, SUNY-Albany (Co-sponsored with Political Parties and Overview: This research will study the relationship between Interest Groups, see 29-16) emocracy (or democratization) and a country’s environmental Room TBA, Thur 10:30 utcomes in Asia, including carbon dioxide damage and energy Chair Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota epletion etc. Paper Mommy Party, Daddy Party: The Gendering of Parties in Paper Gender, Trust and Participation in New Democracies the 2004 Presidential Election Cindy D. Kam, University of California, Davis Georgia Duerst-Lahti, Beloit College Jennifer R. Wilking, University of California, Davis Overview: (How) are Democrats the “Mommy party” and Overview: Our project focuses on the impact of trust in Republicans the “Daddy party?” Drawing articles from seven government on political participation across established and newspapers, I use content analysis to assess the gendered fledgling democracies. We use the 2001 World Values Survey treatment of the parties in news accounts related to the 2004 data to compare levels of trust and participation by gender, presidential election. across these contexts. Paper Courting the Women's Vote- Critical Presidential Elections Paper Changing Patterns in Mobilization and Participation In 1980-2004 Post-Industrial Democracies Shirley Anne Warshaw, Gettysburg College Miki Caul Kittilson, Arizona State University Kathryn L. Mereen, Gettysburg College Overview: This paper examines the links between a citizen's Overview: This study examines how the Democratic and participation in voluntary organizations and their propensity to Republican parties have tailored the positions to court the participate across several established industrial democracies women's vote in critical Presidential Elections 1980-2004. from the 1960s to the present. Paper Corporate and Labor PAC Contributions to Women and Paper Attitudes, Resources, Opportunities, and Mobilisation: A Minority Candidates Multilevel Model of Political Membership. Janna L. Deitz, Western Illinois University Laura Morales-Diez de Ulzurrun, University of Murcia, Overview: Examining corporate and labor contributions to Spain congressional candidates in 2000, I find that the effects of both Overview: The paper combines the analysis of individual and race and gender on receiving labor and corporate money are contextual-level factors, using multivariate multilevel models to significantly conditioned by candidate status, party, and assess the combined impact that variables of the political ideology. context have on individual political membership. Disc. Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota Disc. Pippa Norris, Harvard University 23-7 AMERICAN INDIANS IN US POLITICS 21-4 EMOTIONS IN POLITICAL MEDIA Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Chair Glenn A. Phelps, Northern Arizona University Chair John S. Nelson, University of Iowa Paper American Indian Campaign Contributions in California Paper Once More with Feeling: Sights, Sounds, and Words in Frederick J. Boehmke, University of Iowa Political Advertising Richard Witmer, Creighton University John S. Nelson, University of Iowa Overview: We study the recent growth in political involvement Anna L. Nelson, Harvard and Yale Universities and incorporation by Indian nations by using data on tribal Overview: The essay shows how speech acts, sound effects, contributions to state elected officials and ballot measures in musics, and images mobilize emotions in campaign ads. It ties California over the past five years. these emotions to populist, republican, and other kinds of Paper Re-visiting Frybread Federalism: American Indians, politics beyond liberal-democratic representation. Federalism, and Public Policy Paper Emotional Cues and Campaign Dynamics in Political John G. Bretting, University of Texas, El Paso Advertising Barbara Morris, University of Redlands Ted Brader, University of Michigan Overview: We examine, contrast, and critically analyze this Overview: The paper specifies emotions evoked by political ads dominant worldview, informing the theoretical explanations of in varied situations. It uses experiments, content analysis, and

18 Updated 03-01-05 contemporary environmental policy, with the American Indian Overview: Socrates, having failed to instruct Alcibiades in one. philosophic virtue, no longer attempts to teach the politically Paper The Use of Expertise: Exploring Tribes’ Relations with ambitious by exciting their political ambitions and instead States attempts to dissuade all his promising students from the political Laura E. Evans, University of Washington life. Overview: This paper examines efforts of American Indian Paper Between Folk Cult and Polis Religion: Reason and Ritual in tribes to influence state legislation affecting them. I find that Plato's Republic tribes can win certain policy changes--even on contentious or Robert Pirro, Georgia Southern University unpopular issues--by cultivating their expertise about policy and Overview: A consideration of the ritual elements of politics. philosophical life as recounted by Plato's Socrates Paper Is Gaming Good for Indian Health?: New Institutions for Paper Plato's Defense of Political Philosophy Tribal-State Consultation in Indian Health Policy since Mark S. Kremer, Kennesaw State University IGRA Overview: An examination of the defense of political Lauren M. Morris MacLean, Indiana University philosophy in Plato's Apology of Socrates that discusses the Overview: This study examines why some state governments different claims to knowledge and which compares Socratic consult more than others with American Indian tribes on health knowledge to politics, science, and rhetoric. care policy from 1970 to the present. While Indian gaming has Disc. Joyce M. Mullan, Oakton University emphasized conflict, health policy issues have spurred more collaboration. 25-2 RECONSIDERATIONS IN DEMOCRATIC Paper The Indian Child Welfare Act of 1978: A Case Study THEORY Steven H. Unger, Howard Sloan Koller Group Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Overview: Analysis of the background and politics of one of Chair Eric Beerbohm, Princeton University the most important recent pieces of American Indian legislation, Paper Bridging, Bonding, and Civic Engagement: the Nuances of passed with the unanimous support of American Indian tribes Tocqueville's Art of Association and over the opposition of the Executive Branch. Mark D. Gismondi, Northwest Nazarene University Disc. Glenn A. Phelps, Northern Arizona University Overview: A study of the recent literature on social capital since

Putnam, and a consideration of the links between this literature 23-17 THINKING BIG: RACE, CLASS AND and the main works of Tocqueville. NATION Paper Between the Republic and the Class War: What Tocqueville Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Means by ‘Democracy’ Chair Taeku Lee, University of California, Berkeley Donald J. Maletz, University of Oklahoma Paper Ending Discrimination: Using Political Economics to Overview: A study of the reasons leading Tocqueville to prefer Address the Achievement Gap the term "democracy" and of the several meanings conferred on Gail A. Corrado, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill this term in his analysis of the United States. Overview: Discrimination is based on people's reliance on a link Paper "But I’m not dead yet!": John C. Calhoun and the Legacy between a sign and some aversive stimuli. Defeating of James Madison discrimination means making that sign unreliable a signal. James H. Read, College of St. Benedict, St. John's University Incremental changes won't work because we need to “tip” this Overview: An examination of Calhoun's reinterpretation of the reliance. Constitution and the federal union, his argument with Madison, Paper The Racial Revolution: The Political Economy of Civil and his contributions to the development of constitutional Rights theory. Michael J. Fortner, Harvard University Paper “If Any Man Were My Master...": Woodrow Wilson and Overview: This paper employs Skocpol’s theory of revolutions Political Philosophy” to explain the genesis of the Civil Rights movement and its David J. Siemers, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh impact on American politics. It emphasizes the usefulness of a Overview: An exploration of Woodrow Wilson's ambivalent, state-centered approach to the study of racial politics. even hostile, view of the genre of political philosophy, of his Paper Punk'd in America: Workers, Race and Capital preference for Burke and a Burkean "organicism," and of certain Traci Harris, University of California, Lo+H3499s Angeles exceptions he made for particular political authors. Overview: Political theory deems race epiphenomenal. But race Disc. Eric Beerbohm, Princeton University has become a foundation of the U.S. Applying Foucault’s theory, docility/utility and Marx’s theory of worker regulation 26-7 CIVIL SOCIETY AND RELATED ISSUES presents a new discourse with which to understand race and its Room TBA, Thur 10:30 transformation. Chair Joan Tronto, Hunter College, CUNY Paper Nationhood, and Race in the Americas: A Race Cycles Paper What Makes Civil Society Civil? State Capacity and Approach Organizational Life Mark Q. Sawyer, University of California, Las Angeles Neil Englehart, Lafayette College Overview: This paper examines the formation of American Overview: Civil society is better understood as the condition of nations and the formation of concepts of race. society under a legal-rational state than as set of organizations Disc. Taeku Lee, University of California, Berkeley opposed to the state. This resolves significant problems for understanding antisocial organizations and failing states. 24-2 GREEK LIFE PHILOSOPHIZED Paper The Cultural Preconditions of a Theory of Justice, or How Room TBA, Thur 10:30 to Nurture Citizens Who Care Chair Robert Phillips, Wheeling Jesuit University Daniel Engster, University of Texas, San Antonio Paper Reason and Glory: Pericles' View of Citizenship Overview: This paper interrogates the cultural preconditions of Borden Flanagan, American University a just society by looking at the role of family policy, education, Overview: Pericles' Funeral Speech attempts to provide a and the media in promoting empathetic and caring citizens. rational account of citizenship. This account depends on an Paper Freedom for Sale: Restricting Liberties for the Sake of appeal to love of glory. Paper explores implications for political Property Values rationalism. Clement Fatovic, Florida International University Paper The Evolution of Socrates’ Education of the Politically Overview: This paper argues that the growing regulation of Ambitious residential spaces for the sake of property values is an alarming Brendan R. Earle, University of California, Davis trend that threatens to undermine the tolerance for inconvenient

Updated 03-01-05 19 and unruly exercises of freedom that is essential to its data, we find that voters who cast their votes in a church were preservation. less supportive of gay marriage than voters. Disc. Joan Tronto, Hunter College, CUNY Paper The Consequences of Using Poststratification Estimation to Correct for Differential Non-Response in Sample Survey 26-15 ENVIRONMENTAL POLITICAL THEORY Data Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Barboza Iffigenia, Michigan State University Chair Breena Holland, University of Chicago Rohan L Williams, Michigan State University Paper From Democracy to Biocracy? Prospects for Green Stewart French, Michigan State University Democracy. Overview: We illustrate using simulation the pros and cons of Terence Ball, Arizona State University implementing poststratification to compensate for lack of Paper The Normative Implications of Ecological Footprinting representation in survey data. Steve Vanderheiden, University of Minnesota, Duluth Paper Treatment Spillover Effects Across Survey Experiments Overview: In this paper, I trace out the normative implications Daniel Lee, Duke University of the ecological footprint, including the prescriptions that it John Transue, Duke University implies for such current policy issues as economic John Aldrich, Duke University modernization, global distributive justice, and climate change Overview: We test for the presence and prevalence of spillover mitigation. effects across survey experiments embedded in surveys that Disc. Breena Holland, University of Chicago contain several experiments. Disc. Man-chi Mandy Sha, NORC, University of Chicago 28-1 WHEN THEORY AND DATA MEET (Co- sponsored with Empirical Investigation of 29-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: INTEREST Theoretical Models, see 50-3) GROUP MEMBERS AND MAINTENANCE Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Presenter Beyond Maintenance: Survival Strategies of Interest Groups Chair James Alt, Harvard University and the Principle/Agent Problem Paper Myopic Retrospection and Party Identification McGee Young, Marquette University Christopher H. Achen, Princeton University Overview: This paper assesses the problem of explaining Larry Bartels, Princeton University interest group change. In order to successfully account for Overview: Much evidence indicates that voters rely only on changes in identity, purpose, and “interest” we must move recent events in evaluating incumbent performance. This paper beyond traditional explanations for organization and studies whether the same is true when they update their party mobilization. identifications. Presenter Aiming at Two Targets: The NRA and its Fight for the Paper The Theoretical Implications of the Empirical Implications First Amendment of Theoretical Models William T. Horner, University of Missouri, Columbia Kevin A. Clarke, University of Rochester Overview: This paper is an examination of the NRA's recent David M. Primo, University of Rochester freedom of speech agenda, aimed at both the Bipartisan Overview: We argue for a new approach to scientific inference Campaign Reform Act and the Patriot Act. that highlights the centrality of models in scientific reasoning,

avoids the pitfalls of the hypothetico-deductive method, and offers political scientists a new way of thinking about EITM. 29-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLITICAL Paper Measuring Strategic Voting SCIENTISTS, POLITICAL PARTIES, AND Rebecca B. Morton, Princeton and New York Universities THE COURT Thomas A. Rietz, University of Iowa Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Overview: We investigate the ability of indirect econometric Presenter Political Scientists, Political Parties and the Court: A New measures to accuragely estimate strategic voting by using Model for Amicus Curiae Briefs experimental data where the true extent of strategic voting is Kyle L. Kreider, Wilkes University known. Overview: This paper evaluates the role that political scientists Paper Investor and Partisan Behavior among Political Action have played in the Supreme Court's political party cases and Committees: Quantitative Tests of Qualitative Hypotheses seeks out ideas on how political scientists can present empirical Jonathan Wand, Stanford University research in a way that is conducive to our role as scientists. Overview: To test and distinguish between formal models of contributor behavior, I develop quantitative tests for the 30-1 EXECUTIVE-LEGISLATIVE BARGAINING qualitative features of these models. Contributions from PAC in Room TBA, Thur 10:30 open seat races (1984--2004) are considered. Chair Steven A. Shull, University of New Orleans Disc. Henry Brady, University of California, Berkeley Paper Executive Discretion in the United States Robert Franzese, University of Michigan Juliana Bambaci, Stanford University

Overview: Executive discretion vis-à-vis the legislature varies 28-10 DEVELOPMENTS IN USING SURVEY DATA extensively. This paper explains why legislatures cede FOR RESEARCH IN POLITICAL SCIENCE constitutional prerogatives to the executive and tests it Room TBA, Thur 10:30 empirically by analyzing data on budget legislation for the 50 Chair Man-chi Mandy Sha, NORC, University of Chicago US states. Paper The Importance of Properly Measuring Importance Paper The Substance of Presidential Legislative Success Amy R. Gershkoff, Princeton University Andrew W. Barrett, Marquette University Overview: I offer a new way to measure issue salience using Matthew Eshbaugh-Soha, Texas Tech University open-ended National Election Study questions. When used to Overview: Paper will examine presidential success in terms of analyze survey data, my measure of salience leads us to new the substance of legislation from 1961-2002. conclusions about the electorate’s political knowledge and Paper Nixon’s Heresthetics and the Rehnquist Nomination political behavior. William Hixon, Lawrence University Paper Priming at the Polls: Can Polling Place Location Influence Overview: We explore an underappreciated presidential Voting Behavior? leadership strategy: heresthetics, restructuring a choice situation Garrett Glasgow, University of California, Santa Barbara to one’s advantage. We show how Richard Nixon’s use of this Overview: Can the location of a polling place prime voters to strategy over typical sources of leverage helped win Rehnquist’s think in certain ways? Using experiments and precinct-level confirmation.

20 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Beyond Swearing and Name-Calling: What Presidents Nixon and Johnson Really Talked About with Members of Paper House Campaign Advertising: Female Candidates and Congress. Women's Issues Jennifer J. Hora, Roanoke College Sarah R. Kessler, Texas A&M University Overview: I fully explore the nature of presidential contacts Overview: Do certain types of House candidates use women’s with members of Congress using conversations from both the issues and concerns as television advertising themes? Female Johnson and Nixon administrations. legislators do increase the attention paid to women’s issues and Paper Measuring Presidential Success: Ronald Reagan, the States concerns; this study could draw a link between the campaigns and Welfare Reform and actions. Zachary W. Oberfield, University of Wisconsin, Madison Paper Racial Dynamics and the Initial Decision to Run for Office Overview: Though passed after his presidency, welfare reform Jennifer L. Lawless, Brown University achieved Reagan’s main goals. I explain the Reagan effect Richard L. Fox, Union College looking at his impact on state policies and politics. This study Overview: Based on data from our Citizen Political Ambition highlights the need for an expanded definition of presidential Study, we examine the racial dynamics underlying the decision success. to run for office. We find that African Americans express lower Disc. Steven A. Shull, University of New Orleans levels of political ambition than do their white counterparts. Gisela Sin, TBA Disc. Scott A. Nikolai, University of Wisconsin, Platteville

31-1 LEGISLATIVE VOTING BEHAVIOR: NEW 33-3 JUDICIAL POLICY MAKING: IMPACT, TESTS OF EXISTING THEORIES IMPLEMENTATION, AND COMPLIANCE Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Chair Alan E. Wiseman, Ohio State University Chair Lawrence Baum, Ohio State University Paper Legislative Voting over Ideological and Geographical Space: Paper Agency Implementation of Judicial Policies: A Conceptual Congress Chooses the Location of the World’s Columbian Approach Exposition Bradley C. Canon, University of Kentucky James W. Endersby, University of Missouri Overview: A conceptual study of the psychology, options, and Overview: The U.S. Congress decided the location of the counter-pressures attending governmental agency implemention World's Columbian Exposition. Roll calls recorded preferences of judicial decisions that require changes in agency policy and over four rival locations. Preference orderings, cyclicity and behavior. vote-trading are demonstrated and institutional changes are Paper Policy and Institutional Goals on the United States Courts of discussed. Appeals Paper The Empirics of the Killer Amendment Phenomenon in the Emery Lee, Case Western Reserve University Modern Congress Overview: This paper examines the response of court of appeals Charles J. Finocchiaro, University at Buffalo, SUNY judges to Apprendi v. New Jersey (2000), which threw settled Jeffery A. Jenkins, Northwestern University sentencing procedures into doubt. Overview: We employ the spatial theory of voting alongside Paper The Principal-Agent Theory and the Judicial System: roll-call analyses of all House votes from 1953-2000 to identify Measuring U.S. Courts of Appeals Compliance to the a set of potential killer amendments, which we then examine in Supreme Court's Establishment Clause Cases, 1969-1996 greater contextual detail. Jennifer K. Luse, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Paper Coalition of Extremes: Ends Against the Middle in the Overview: This paper will provide a test of the principal-agent United States Congress theory using Establishment Clause jurisprudence. The goal of Wesley Hussey, University of California, Las Angeles this paper is to ascertain the factors that cause the Courts of Overview: This paper examines the unusual voting alliance in Appeals to comply with Supreme Court precedent. Congress between liberal Democrats and conservative Paper Compliance with Judicial Policy: Schools, Religious Republicans. These votes often occur because both extremes are Establishments, and the U.S. Supreme Court unhappy with a compromise proposed by the political middle. Kevin T. McGuire, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Disc. John Griffin, University of Notre Dame Overview: This paper examines the level of compliance in the Alan E. Wiseman, Ohio State University South with the Supreme Court’s rulings regarding religion in the public schools. 32-2 RACE AND GENDER IN CONGRESSIONAL Paper In the Wake of White: Reevaluation and Revision of State ELECTIONS Codes of Judicial Conduct and its Effects on Candidate Speech and Campaign Costs Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Rachel Paine Caufield, Drake University Chair Gordon Stacy, University of Nevada, Reno Overview: I examine how states interpreted White in the Paper The Impact of Public Election Funding on Women and process of reevaluating or revising their Codes of Judicial Minority Candidates: Comparative Evidence From State Conduct, and the effect of new provisions on the role of and Local Elections campaign money and political speech in state Supreme Court Kenneth R. Mayer, University of Wisconsin, Madison elections in 2004. Timothy Werner, University of Wisconsin, Madison Disc. Mark S. Hurwitz, University at Buffalo, SUNY Overview: This paper provides evidence on hether “clean” Lawrence Baum, Ohio State University elections programs have distinct effects for minority and female

state legislative/city council candidates. Paper The Impact of Majority-Minority Districts on Congressional 34-4 SOVEREIGNTY AND INTERNATIONAL Elections LAW Delia R. Grigg, California Institute of Technology Room TBA, Thur 10:30 am Jonathan N. Katz, California Institute of Technology Chair Eugene Kontorovich, George Mason University Overview: We utilize a formal model of redistricting and data Paper International Environmental Jurisprudence: Problems and from the 1972-2000 House elections to examine the impact of Prospects majority-minority districts on the election of minority Robert V. Bartlett, Purdue University candidates to office and to test the "perverse-effects" Walter F. Baber, California State University, Long Beach hypothesis. Overview: Given the problems international environmental law imposes for developing an international environmental jurisprudence, we identify opportunities in deliberative

Updated 03-01-05 21 democratic theory for development of international Paper Linking City Economic Development and Growth environmental jurisprudence. Management Policy Paper "The Paradox of Omnipotence": Courts, Constitutions, and Richard Feiock, Florida State Commitments Wenjue Lu, Florida State University David S. Law, University of San Diego Overview: This paper investigates how city economic Overview: Constitutionally entrenched notions of sovereignty development programs constrain or facilitate land use regulation can render a state unable to keep its commitments to citizens or and coordination between growth management with economic to other states. I argue that courts can and do, within limits, development policy based upon a national survey of help to solve the commitment problems that constitutions create. development and land use policies. Paper The Electoral Dis-Connection: How the Institutional Paper The Color of Money: Black Mayors and Private Capital Structure of the Senate Explains U. S. Hostility Towards the Markets ICC Anirudh V. S. Ruhil, University of Illinois, Chicago Charles A. Smith, University of Miami Melissa J. Marschall, Rice University Heather M. Smith, University of California, San Diego Overview: In this study we examine if and how Black Mayors' Overview: Why is the Senate belligerent towards the ICC when vis-a-vis private capital markets differs from that of their white no US soldier or citizen could ever be prosecuted before it? We counterparts due to market- and city-specific structural posit that the institutional structure of the senate and its electoral dynamics. logic result in predictable hostility. Disc. Max Neiman, University of California, Paper Legal Pluralism: Explaining an "Anomaly" in the World of Omnipotent Nation-States 37-2 ECONOMIC GROWTH AND Yuksel Sezgin, University of Washington ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY Overview: This paper explains why and how postcolonial states Room TBA, Thur 10:30 circumscribe their rule-making/implementing capacities as they Chair Adrian S. Petrescu, University of Texas, Brownsville recognize the jurisdiction of non-state normative orders. Paper Environmental Quality, Income, and Democracy—Toward Disc. Donald D.A. Schaefer, University of Washington a Deeper Understanding of the Environmental Kuznets Eugene Kontorovich, George Mason University Curve

Stephanie Waldhoff, University of Chicago 35-1 DIRECT DEMOCRACY IN THE U.S. STATES Overview: CO2 emissions data for 214 countries from 1960- Room TBA, Thur 10:30 2000 are used to test the inverted U-shaped relationship between Chair Michael Hagen, Temple University income and environment known as the EKC, expanding Paper Rational Voters and the Problem of Policy Responsiveness knowledge of the EKC by utilizing political variables to better in Ballot Initiative Elections explain the correlation Joshua J. Dyck, University of Maryland Paper Adoption of State and Local Greenhouse Gas Reduction Overview: Drawing on the current literature, I present a new and Renewable Energy Portfolio Standards Policies theory to account both the rational action of the electorate and Louis A. Villaire, Northern Illinois University the lack of responsive policy in ballot initiative elections. Paul J. Culhane, Northern Illinois University Paper Hiram Johnson vs. Willie Brown: Does the Citizen Initiative Overview: In recent years, many state and local governments Undermine Party Government in the American States? have adopted innovative policies such as Climate Action Plans Justin H. Phillips, University of California, San Diego and Renewable Portfolio Standards to reduce Greenhouse gas Overview: This paper tests the hypothesis that the existence and emissions. This research examines why these governments use of the citizen initiative attenuates party influence in state adopt these policies. fiscal policy-making. Paper Heat Waves and Heat Response Planning in American Paper The Effects of Ballot Initiatives on Tax Policy Changes Cities Michael J. New, University of Alabama Carl Adrianopoli, Northern Illinois University Overview: This paper attempts to provide insights as to why it is Paul J. Culhane, Northern Illinois University that initiative states tax and spend less than other states Overview: U.S. cities have reacted to deadly heat waves by (Matsusaka 1996). Comparing the behavior of initatiave and developing heat response plans. The plan’s provisions are non- initiative states during fiscal shortfalls might provide examined using content analysis. Adoption of heat wave plans, insights. socioeconomic, and political variables are analyzed using Paper Strategic Timing of Elections: Evidence from Wisconsin logistic regression. School Referenda Paper Exploring Knowledge in Sustainable Economic Marc N. Meredith, Stanford University Development: Barriers and Opportunities for a Meaningful Overview: This paper focuses on the ability of a referendum Research Agenda agenda setter to strategically time elections. A formal model of Adrian S. Petrescu, University of Texas, Brownsville the strategic scheduling of elections is developed, and then Overview: The paper identifies knowledge gaps and needs in empirically tested using a dataset of school referendum in human habitat ecological studies from a public policy and Wisconsin. public administration perspective. This can accelerate the Disc. Michael Hagen, Temple University research agenda and policy-making efforts in sustainable economic development. 36-10 CONTINGENCIES AND CONSTRAINTS: Disc. Stacy E. Wheeler, Miami University POLICYMAKING IN URBAN AREAS Room TBA, Thur 10:30 12-13 MEMORIES OF REAL AND IMAGINED Chair Max Neiman, University of California, HISTORICAL WRONGS IN GERMANY Paper Do Proposed City-County Consolidation Charters Matter? Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Suzanne Leland, University of North Carolina, Charlotte Chair Martin Heisler, University of Maryland Overview: City-county consolidation is rare. Paper Patterns of German Foreign Policy: Dealing with Neighbors Paper Micro-Market Failures and Regulatory “Demand”: The in the Context of Historical Relationships Cost of a Non-Regulatory Response Dieter Dettke, Friedrich Eberg Stiftung Jill L. Tao, University of Oklahoma Overview: Germany's relations with its neighbors has been Overview: I develop a typology of market failures and using an complicated by both positive and negative memories. Current empirical study examine how failures of regulatory policy at the and future international relations in Europe and in general are local level of government are often the result of a misdiagnosis viewed in light of history. of the type of market failure experienced.

22 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Coping with the Past: Comparative Perspectives on Bryan S. Glass, University of Texas, Austin Constructions and Reconstructions of History and Identity Overview: A (re)emergence of identity in England is occurring in Domestic and International Politics following the allocation of devolution to Scotland and Wales. Martin Heisler, University of Maryland This paper discusses why English identity is forcing Overview: The Instrumental uses of the past and collective Westminster to overhaul the administrative structure of the UK memories in domestic politics and international relations are once again. examined in a comparative fashion. Multiple cases provide the Paper Individualism and the American Dream in American backdrop for paired case studies Political Talk: 1965-2004 Paper Learning Cooperation from Teaching about Conflict: Using Cyril A. Ghosh, Syracuse University the Past for Understanding Conflict and Opportunities for Overview: In this paper I analyze American dream utterances in Peacemaking political rhetoric to discover how political leaders have used the Pingel Falk, Georg Eckert Institute American dream’s emphasis on the individual to appeal to an Overview: Historical studies in many countries focus on the incalculably heterogeneous audience in the post-1965 era. roles of representations of the past in current efforts to achieve Paper Memory Etched in Stone: Monuments and the Problematics better relations within and between countries. This report from of Liberal Nationalism the largest clearing house for such studies provides an overview. Avital Shein, University of Maryland, College Park Paper The Strategic Politics of Memory in Contemporary Overview: This paper argues that the way in which national Germany: Comparing Activism for Holocaust and monuments embody memory is representative of the values of Expulsion Memorials in Berlin the nation, and that, in particular, the very form of the Jenny Wustenberg, University of Maryland monument highlights the inevitable tensions within liberal Overview: A multidimensional framework is offered for nationalism. studying the strategic politics of memory. Agents in the Disc. John Sides, University of Texas promotion, shaping, and politicization of memory and memorials are considered against the backdrop of a broader 44-7 COMPARATIVE STUDIES OF ISLAM literature. Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Disc. Michael Loriaux, Northwester University Chair Kathleen Collins, University of Notre Dame Paper A Pro-Islamic Democratic Party? Promises and Limits of 42-8 SOCIAL CAPITAL/POLITICAL POWER Turkey's Justice and Development Party Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Sultan Tepe, University of Illinois, Chicago Chair John L. Anderson, University of Nebraska, Kearney Overview: Many have described Turkey’s Justice and Paper The Culture of Public Health: Breastfeeding in a Risk Development Party as the first Islamic Democratic party in Society Muslim world. This paper questions whether and how the JDP Joan B. Wolf, Texas A&M University is a model Islamic democratic party using my 127 in-depth Overview: The National Breastfeeding Awareness Campaign interviews with JDP leaders demonstrates that the convergence of a risk society with an Paper Political Islam in Southastern Europe since 1989 ideology of intensive mothering creates a culture where Valeria Heuberger, Austrian Institute of East and Southeast scientifically unsubstantiated claims about breastfeeding are European Studies politically viable. Overview: Since the end of the 1980s there is an increase of an Paper British Political Culture and United States Racial Attitudes imported political Islam among the various Balkanmuslim Paul Kriese, Indiana University communities. I will examine its impact on them and its results Overview: This paper will focus on how British ideas and within their respective country and in an international context. groups that focus on race helped to form United States attitudes Paper Rational Islamists: A Realist Theory of Islamist Rhetoric on race and racist practices. and Action. Paper Social Capital and Government Performance: An Analysis Anas Malik, Xavier University of County Government in the United States Overview: Parsimonious realist assumptions regarding the John R. Tennert, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State rational pursuit of power, resources, survival, and domination University yield new hypotheses and predictive power about Islamist Overview: Social capital has created significant speculation as rhetoric, political participation, and violence. an explanatory variable of government performance. This paper Paper Christianity, Islam and Political Culture in Sub-Saharan will assess the relationship between social capital and Africa government performance in 34 U.S. counties. Robert Dowd, University of Notre Dame Paper Political Culture and Public Religion: “Kamusal Alan” Overview: This paper asks what explains the effects of religious Debate in Turkey institutions on the ideological orientation of individual members Etga Ugur, University of Utah and how institutions' effects vary. Overview: An analysis of the roots of controversy over the Paper Resembling Europe: Evolution of Political Islam and public role of religion in general and in Turkey in particular. Democracy in the Middle East The study argues for framing the issue as the relationship Sebnem Gumuscu, University of Virginia between political culture and utilization of public sphere by Overview: The paper looks at causes of moderation of political social groups. Islamic movements. The hypothesis drawn from the experience Disc. John L. Anderson, University of Nebraska, Kearney of the confessional parties in Europe will be tested in the political Islamic experience in Turkey, Egypt, and Algeria. 43-1 NATIONAL IDENTITY Disc. Ghaffar Mughal, Santa Clara University Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Chair John Sides, University of Texas 47-1 EDUCATION IN PLATO'S REPUBLIC Paper Foreign Policy Public Opinion as a Function of Diversity Room TBA, Thur 10:30 Glory Koloen, Indiana University Chair Matthew J. Franck, Radford University Overview: This study addresses the relationship between Paper Education and the Family in Plato's Republic demographic diversity and foreign policy public opinion in an Christopher A. Colmo, Dominican University effort to determine whether citizens of low diversity states Overview: In the Republic, the city attempts to educate the exhibit more isolationist attitudes than their high diversity guardians without the help of the family. Socrates develops a counterparts. silent rivalry between the family on the one side and the city Paper The Devolution Gamble: State, Nation, and Identity in and the philosopher on the other. England

Updated 03-01-05 23 Paper The Philosopher's Curriculum: Liberal Education in Plato's Chair A. Carl LeVan, University California, San Diego Republic VII Paper Central Policies and Local Politics: The Conditions for Dustin A. Gish, John Cabot University and The American Polycentric Resource Governance in Latin America University of Rome Krister P. Andersson, Indiana University Overview: This paper argues that the course of study or Overview: I study the effects of multi-level interactions on local 'Philosopher's Curriculum' proposed by Socrates in Plato’s government performance in four Latin American countries and Republic Book VII must be read seriously, and understood in find that a focus on the incentive structures of local politicians light of the other images of compulsory education offered in the helps explain variation in local government provision. dialogue. Paper Mobilizing Zapatistas! The Effects of National and Local Paper The Virtue of “Lying”: Poetry and Politics in the Republic Political Conditions on the Zapatista Movement 1994-2001 of Plato Maria Inclan, Pennsylvania State University Nathan W. Schlueter, St Ambrose University Overview: I study the local and national factors influencing Overview: This paper will show why Plato’s treatment of lying Zapatista protests. Using event history models, I analyze is closely related to his treatment of poetry, and why both are Zapatista protests across localities in Chiapas. The results show central to the argument of the dialogue. that national conditions do not matter as much as local Disc. Xavier Marquez, University of Notre Dame conditions. Bernard J. Dobski, Assumption College Paper Decentralization, Development, and Economic Growth: A Simultaneous Equations Model Analysis Chih-cheng Meng, University of Texas, Austin Thursday, April 7 – 1:45 pm – 3:30 pm Renat Shaykhutdinov, Texas A&M University Claudia Avellaneda, Texas A&M University 1-106 ROUNDTABLE: BOOK PUBLISHING IN Overview: In the paper we elaborate on the relationship between POLITICAL SCIENCE decentralization and economic growth. We suggest that the Room TBA, Thur 1:45 relation is based on countries’ level of development. To test our Panelist TBA theory we will use the Simultaneous Equations Model. Overview: TBA Paper Federal Civil Service Employees Perceptions about the Value of Bureaucratic Neutrality Working in an Ethnic 1-117 ROUNDTABLE ON THE APSA Federalism INEQUALITY REPORT Elizabeth Vogel, Old Dominion University Berhanu Mengistu, Old Dominion University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: Results of a survey addressing bureaucratic Panelist Lawrence Jacobs, University of Minnesota neutrality and merit practices in an ethnic federalism, Ethiopia, Lawrence Mead, New York University are presented. Implications for bureaucratic neutrality in a Larry Bartels, Princeton University government facing challenges of legitimation and ethnic conflict Paul Pierson, Ohio State University are examined. Theda Skocpol, Harvard University Disc. A. Carl LeVan, University California, San Diego Overview: TBA

2-3 STATE AND SOCIETY INTERACTED: 3-16 STATE BUILDING AND DISINTEGRATION ETHNICITY AND NATIONALISM I: MIDDLE EAST Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Chair Emile M. Sahliyeh, University of North Texas Chair Paul H. Hamilton, Brock University Paper Doctrinal Differences Between Sunni and Shi'i Clergies in Paper Recognition and Political Trust the Explanation of Their Different Reactions to Timothy Kersey, Indiana University Secularization of the State Overview: This paper tests the relationship between treatment Birol Baskan, Northwestern University of minorities and trust in democratic nations. Overview: What explains the divergent fates of Turkish Sunni Paper Sources and Dynamics of Voting System Reform: Minority and Iranian Shi’i clergy? I point out how the doctrinal Representation and Suffrage Expansion in France, the differences contributed to this outcome and to both clergies’ United Kingdom and the United States (1866-1919) different reactions to the secularization of the State. Amel F. Ahmed, University of Pennsylvania Paper Crisis of Leadership: A Case Study of the Arab Countries: Overview: This paper examines movements for voting system 1970-1990 reform at the time of suffrage expansion. I argue that elites Mohamed A. Berween, Texas A&M International University pursued reform in order to undermine working class Overview: Crisis of Leadership: A Case Study of the Arab representation. Reform outcomes vary with the degree of Countries. It is about the role of political leadership in the working class mobilization. societies and the cost of its failure. Paper Variability of Support for Sovereignty in Quebec, 1976-2004 Paper Between Confinement and Cooptation: The Tony L. Hill, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Monarchy, the Islamists and the Challenge of Liberalization Overview: This paper examines support for sovereignty as in Morocco expressed by voting in national and provincial elections and Mohamed Daadaoui, University of Oklahoma referenda at discrete locations in Quebec from 1976 to 2004. Overview: The paper analyzes the various ways, political and Paper Formations of Political and Cultural Nationalism in religious, by which the monarchy in Morocco has maintained its Scotland and Wales reign as it has dealt with the Islamist challenge through a Laura L. Bourland, University of Alabama statesponsored liberalization and a religious-political synthesis. Overview: This paper is an exploration into the contemporary Paper Reflections on Palestinians-Israeli Relations under the Al- nationalist movements in Scotland and Wales. By examining Aqsa Intifada historical context, nationalist parties, devolution, and the Husam A. Mohamad, University of Central Oklahoma European question, factors uniting the two brands of Overview: This paper begins with examining a range of militant nationalism materialize. and political strategies that were adopted over the years by Disc. Paul H. Hamilton, Brock University Palestinian groups. It focuses more on recent changes and

challenges in Palestinian-Israeli relations. 3-3 DECENTRALIZATION, LOCAL Paper The "Institutionalization" of the Lebanese Republic: 1926- GOVERNMENT, AND FEDERALISM 1946 Room TBA, Thur 1:45 T. S. Hattar, University of Washington, Seattle

24 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This paper revists the concept of Overview: I examine how differences in institutions contribute "institutionalization," reformulating it, drawing both on post- to the success of extreme right parties in legislative elections in modern theory and on the new rational choice institutionalism. France, Poland, and Britain. Three types of differences are The paper illustrates the concept using Lebanon as a case study. investigated: district magnitude, thresholds, and proportionality. Disc. Emile Sahliyeh, University of North Texas Paper Explaining the Formation of Minimal Coalitions: Anti- Moataz A. Fattah, Central Michigan University System Parties and ‘Anti-Pact’ Rules Emile M. Sahliyeh, University of North Texas Benny Geys, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Bruno Heyndels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel 4-2 DEMOCRATIZATION: THEORIES AND Jan Vermeir, Vrije Universiteit Brussel CRITIQUES Overview: The paper analyses the proposition that ‘anti-pact’ rules lead to oversized coalitions. Using data on 298 Flemish Room TBA, Thur 1:45 municipalities (1976-2000), we find that the refusal to coalesce Chair Shawn H. Williams, University of North Texas with Vlaams Blok decreases the probability of oversized Paper Learning Democracy: Democratization Theory, Macro- coalitions. historical Context, and Processes of Democratization-- Paper Religion and Nationalism in Europe: A Fuzzy Set Approach Lessons from Nicaragua Philip W. Barker, University of Colorado Leslie E. Anderson, University of Florida Overview: This project uses fuzzy-set QCA analysis to examine Lawrence C Dodd, University of Florida potential necessary and sufficient conditions for religious Overview: Nicaragua’s democratic transition results not from nationalism across Europe. The role of religious frontiers, specific material conditions such as affluence but from threats, economic development, and church-state relationships procedural foundations of citizen voting – information, ideology are considered. and inclusive party contestation. Paper Explaining the Vote-Share Potential of the Extreme Right- Paper Interest Groups and Interests in Non-Pluralist Regimes, wing Parties in Western Europe Transitional Democracies and Developing Societies: Odul Celep, Binghamton University Components for a Theoretical Framework Overview: This study explores the individual determinants of Clive S. Thomas, University of Alaska, Juneau voting for the extreme right-wing parties in Western Europe. In Overview: The paper identifies common elements and particular, it focuses on issue proximity and discontentment differences in interest group activity in non-pluralist, regarding democratic institutions. transitional democracies and developing systems to provide an Paper The Politics of the Past in Western Europe explanation of the development of interest groups in these David Art, Holy Cross College systems. Overview: This paper argues that the ways in which Germany, Paper A Contextual Measurement of Democracy Austria, France and Italy have confronted their Nazi or fascist Michael Stoiber, University of Darmstadt pasts have been consequential for the development of right- Heidrun Abromeit, University of Darmstadt wing populist and far right parties in them over the last several Overview: Indices of democracy identify democracy with decades. Western representative systems. They produce an institutional Disc. Sylvia G. Maier, Georgia Institute of Technology fallacy in measuring democratic quality, because they ignore the

respective (societal, institutional) context. We develop and test a new index. 6-301 POSTER SESSION: LATIN AMERICAN Paper Contexual Democratic Development; Moving Forward, Not POLITICS Looking Back Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Luke E. Perry, University of Massachusetts Presenter Religion and Politics in Post-Authoritarian Brazil Overview: This paper presents a prospective, case-centered Jose A. da Cruz, Armstrong Atlantic State University approach for building democracy from the bottom up, in Overview: This paper will examine the role of religion, here contrast to the retrospective, model-centered approach of the broaderly defined to include not only catholicism but also all transitions paradigm. other religious belief in Brazil, and its function as a factor in Paper Issues of Models and Shaping of the Democracy and national, state, and local elections. Democratization in the Contemporary Political Theory and Practice 7-3 FINANCE AND POLITICS IN EAST ASIA Zoran Z. Krstic, TBA Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: The importance of modelling democracy in the time Chair Hebron Lui, Eastern Washington University of spreading democracy throughout the world:To identify some Paper The Causes of Asian Financial Crisis in 1997-1998 basic models of democracy and their applicability to the post- Eunyoung Ha, University of California, Lo+H3122s Angeles communist countries: To emphasize some prerequisites for Overview: A significant determinant of the Asian financial democracy. crisis in 1997-98 was financial market liberalization combined Disc. William J. Crotty, Northeastern University with poor institutional foundations for investor protection. Paper The Politics of Globalization and Popular Culture in East 5-11 EXTREMIST MOVEMENTS AND PARTIES Asia IN EUROPE Siho Nam, Pennsylvania State University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: Cultural aspects of globalization have emerged as Chair Odul Celep, Binghamton University key issues for East Asia. This paper seeks to understand the Paper Casting the Anti-Immigrant Vote in Fortress Europe: local and global implications of cultural flow in the region with Contextual Effects a focus on the roles played by national cultural and media Barbara S. Kinsey, University of Central Florida policies. Juan Gabriel Gomez Albarello, Washington University, St. Paper Economic Liberalization, Party-Dominant Regime, and Louis Democratic Transition in Taiwan Overview: We examine the anti-immigrant vote across electoral Tieh-chih Chang, Columbia University districts within Western European countries. We apply the Overview: Taiwan’s old ruling party, due to its strong power theory of intergroup relations and expect effects to vary institutional capacity, had being able to benefit from economic depending on the immigration policy and citizenship laws liberalization by distributing new rents to rebuild support across countries. coalitions to maintain political power during democratization. Paper The Influence of Electoral Systems on Extreme Right Disc. Hebron Lui, Eastern Washington University Parties: France, Poland, and the United Kingdom. Jason E. Kehrberg, University of Iowa

Updated 03-01-05 25 8-101 ROUNDTABLE: AFROBAROMETER 10-17 COOPERATION IN EUROPE SURVEYS: WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED? Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Chair Suzette R. Grillot, University of Oklahoma Chair Jennifer C. Seely, SUNY, Potsdam Paper The EU Constitution and Security Cooperation: IR Theory Panelist Michael Bratton, Michigan State University Examined E. Gyimah-Boadi, Center for Democratic Development (CDD- Ryan C. Hendrickson, Eastern Illinois University Ghana) Overview: Under the EU’s new constitution, Javier Solana was Robert Mattes, Institute for Democracy in South Africa appointed as the EU’s first foreign minister. Realist, neoliberal (IDASA) and constructivist theories are tested to determine which theory Devra Moehler, Cornell University best captures this development in EU foreign and security James Gibson, Washington University policy. Overview: How well do the Afrobarometer surveys help us Paper The Road Toward A United European Voice In understand African politics? The second round of surveys from International Relations 15 countries was released in 2004. What have we learned so far, Stanislav M. Rosenberg, University of California, Los Angeles and how useful will the results be for political scientists in the Overview: A theoretical, historial, and practical account of future? Europe's development of its CFSP and NATO's side-payment response. 9-11 NEW DATA AND NEW METHODS IN Paper Poland's Accession to the European Union: Fiscal Policy Challenge EURASIAN POLITICS Assem M. Dandashly, University of Oklahoma Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: This paper deals with the pros and cons of the EU Paper Anti-Corruption Programmes in Post-Communist enlargement.It focuses on how Poland succeeded in accessing to Transition Countries and Changes in the Business the EU,and if it will be able to perform the necessary fiscal Environment, 1999-2002 adjustments to join the EMU in2009as Italy did in 1999? Franklin Steves, University of Essex Disc. Suzette R. Grillot, University of Oklahoma Alan Rousso, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development 11-3 GLOBALIZATION, ENDOGENOUS Overview: The paper presents a new metric for the intensity of anti-corruption programmes in the transition countries and finds INSTITUTIONS, AND ACCOUNTABILITY that – with the exception of legal reforms – they are generally Room TBA, Thur 1:45 ineffective in reducing levels of corruption and state capture. Chair Jude Hays, University of Michigan Paper Informal Institutions Underpin or Undermine Formal Paper How Do You Stop a Bull From Charging? Financial Crises, Institutions? Evidence from a Survey Business Elites in Monetary Institutions, and Leader Duration Russia Randall J. Blimes, University of Colorado Timothy Frye, Ohio State University David Leblang, University of Colorado Overview: This essay examines the relationship between Overview: We seek to explain how leaders attempt to use informal institutions, such as reputations and social networks, monetary institutions to insulate themselves from economic and formal state institutions, such as courts, using a survey of shocks. 600 businesspeople in 12 regions in Russia conducted in the fall Paper Globalization and Accountability for the Economy Around of 2004. the World Paper Disentangling Ethnicity, Language and Region as Sources of Timothy Hellwig, University of Houston Political Attitudes: The Ukrainian Case David Samuels, TBA Lowell Barrington, Marquette University Overview: The effects of globalization on accountability are Stephen Shulman, Southern Illinois University explored. Employing data from over 500 elections in 76 Overview: TBA countries, we show that the integration of national markets reduces voter incentives to hold policymakers accountable for 10-1 INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL past performance. Paper Can Domestic Institutions Explain Exchange Rate Regime POLITICS Choice? The Political Economy of Monetary Institutions Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Reconsidered Chair Neda A. Zawahri, Cleveland State University Beth A. Simmons, Harvard University Paper Fundamental Problems with Using International Relations Jens Hainmueller, Harvard University Paradigms in the Study of Transboundary Protected Areas Overview: This paper explores why governments claim they Michael L. Schoon, Indiana University have one type of exchange rate policy, but actually implement Overview: The paper looks at the shortcomings of modern IR another. It challenges the findings of recent research on theory in studying transboundary protected areas and instead domestic institutions and exchange rate regime choice. proposes an alternative method of examination building on the Disc. Jude Hays, University of Michigan concepts of resilience, vulnerability and institutional analysis framework. 11-12 POLITICAL REGIMES AND Paper Measuring The Effects of Domestic Politics on International Environmental Policy. INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC Joel R. Carbonell, University of California, Riverside POLICYMAKING Overview: This study analyzes the effects of legislative Room TBA, Thur 1:45 representation and party discipline on international Chair Xinyuan Dai, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign environmental policy. In particular, I argue that strong party Paper Domestic Institutions and Sovereign Default: Empirical discipline and a diverse legislature increase effective Study on Debt Rescheduling Negotiations, 1980 – 1999 environmental policies. Junga Kim, Stanford University Paper The Forest or the Trees: How Framing Affects the Overview: This study provides an empirical evidence showing Resonance of Environmental Issues the relationship between the level of domestic institutional Amanda Kirk, University of Massachusetts constraints, or the number of veto players, and the likelihood to Overview: This paper addresses the role of issue framing in the default on sovereign debts. context of international regime formation, using the creation of Paper Do Democracies Have More Restrictive Immigration a global forest treaty as the subject of the study. Policies Than Dictatorships? Disc. Neda A. Zawahri, Cleveland State University Nikola Mirilovic, University of CHicago

26 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Democracies adopt more restrictive immigration Overview: I would like to examine under which conditions policies than dictatorships, because dictators maximize tax certain ideas became a dominant norm and foreign policy revenue while democracies are concerned with wages. I test this practice focusing on the changes in the principles of state claim by comparing immigration policies of rich democracies sovereignty over time. and dictatorships. Paper Regime Type and Exchange Rate Defenses 13-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: UNEXPECTED Thomas Sattler, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) COMPANIONS Zurich Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: This paper tests the hypothesis that authoritarian Presenter Unexpected Companions: How Territorial Disputes governments are committed more strongly to a fixed exchange Improve Bilateral Cooperation Between Opposing States rate than democratic overnments. Large-sample analysis of Krista Wiegand, Wake Forest University speculative attacks in developing countries confirms the Overview: This study examines how opposing states involved in hypothesis. territorial disputes increasingly cooperate on other bilateral Paper When Does Politics Matter for Capital Outflows: The Study relations in order to gain territorial concessions or prevent of 25 Developing Countries in 1980 - 2002. provocation in the dispute. Tatiana Vashchilko, Pennsylvania State University Presenter National Security of India: A Cultural (Re)construction? Overview: This paper tests the theoretical model of Alesina and Shivaji Kumar, Purdue University Tabellini (1989) that the capital outflows is affected by the Overview: The proposed research treats the concept of national changes in a political regime type. The empirical analysis shows security as a product of social norms, ethnic identities, and that capital outflow is negatively related to the democratization. culture of India that either supply constituent material for Disc. Xinyuan Dai, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign national identity or affect its external behaviour in significant

ways. 12-2 INSTITUTIONS: DOMESTIC & INTERNATIONAL POLICY 13-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RMA'S AND Room TBA, Thur 1:45 NATIONAL SECURITY Chair Chad Rector, George Washington University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Paper Locating Authority: Domestic Politics and Delegation to Presenter History, Strategy, and Organizations: Testing the International Institutions Consequences of Previous Revolutions in Military Affairs Byoung-Inn Bai, University of Washington for the International Security Environment Overview: By elaborating the model of international delegation, Michael Horowitz, Harvard University this paper argues that delegation to supranational bodies is more Overview: This paper uses rigorous methods, both statistical likely as the policy preferences of domestic political actors analysis and case studies, to determine the way historical diverge given high level of economic interdependence. periods of rapid change in what makes militaries effective Paper The Secrecy Dilemma in World Politics: Information, influence the international security environment. Institution, and False Alarms Presenter India's Pursuit of the Latest RMA: What this Means for the Michael P. Colaresi, Michigan State University Region and the World Overview: I seek to answer two related questions:how can Harsh V. Pant, University of Notre Dame leaders go about mobilizing support for international policy Overview: This paper will examine the incentives or motives for without divulging precious secrets, and how can citizens hold India to adopt new practices associated with the latest RMA and leaders accountable without the information necessary to inform its implications the Indian regional security environment and for their choices? the ability of India to tackle its security threats. Paper Electoral Incentives and the Pacific Effect of International

Institutions Songying Fang, University of Rochester 14-4 THIRD PARTIES IN CONFLICT Overview: The paper empirically investigates the argument that RESOLUTION domestic politics provides a link between the informational role Room TBA, Thur 1:45 of international institutions and foreign policy decisions of Chair J. David Singer, University of Michigan democracies. Paper Crossing the Militarized Threshold: Bilateral vs. Third Paper Making Promises, Keeping Promises: Democracy, Party Conflict Management Ratification, and Compliance in International Human Sara McLaughlin Mitchell, University of Iowa Rights Law Glynn Ellis, Florida State University Jana von Stein, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: We compare bilateral and third party peaceful Overview: This paper examines when and why states ratify and settlements, showing that jointly democratic dyads can resolve comply with international human rights agreements. It things on their own early in the conflict process, but become empirically tests my hypotheses by examining two fundamental open to third party involvement when the issue becomes human rights conventions on child labor and women’s wage militarized. equality. Paper The Dynamics of Multilateral Conflicts: Collective Dispute Disc. Chad Rector, George Washington University Initiation and Third Party Interventions Renato Corbetta, Grand Valley State University 13-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: DEMOCRACY Overview: The paper explores systematic differences between AND SECURITY conflicts that start as multilateral and conflicts that become multilateral through third parties' intervention. Power-based and Room TBA, Thur 1:45 steps-to-war accounts of multiparty conflict dynamics are Presenter State of Concern in US's Security Strategy: The Case of compared. Iran Paper Bargaining in the Shadow of War: Bias and Coercion in Ribhi I. Salhi, Roosevelt University U.S. Mediation, 1945-1990 Wael J. Haboub, Northeastrn Illinois University Katja I. Favretto, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: This paper examins the political hostility between Overview: Relying on a formal model and an analysis of U.S. the US and Iran, war with Iran is impossible, and any future involvement in 179 bilateral crises, this paper tests whether a improvement is linked to the Israel-Iran rivalry. superpower’s affinity for actors enmeshed in a foreign crisis Presenter Democratic Hegemony and the Principle of State affects the manner and the outcome of its involvement in the Sovereignty crisis. Ajin Choi, Yonsei University

Updated 03-01-05 27 Paper Negotiating Peace: The Role of Third Parties in Managing Laura E. Cedillo, Northwestern University Conflict in the Sudan Overview: This paper examines the impact of elite framing on Jennifer De Maio, University of California, Los Angeles the attitudes of Americans and Mexicans toward political and Overview: I conduct a detailed case study of negotiations in the economic ramifications of NAFTA ten years after the Sudan to consider the interaction between various third party agreement was signed, using data from 2004 national samples actors in conflict management and assess the policy from both countries. implications of my analysis for conflict resolution. Paper News Media, Citizenship, and the Visitations of Nature Paper Give War a Chance Revisited: The Effect of Non- Joan M. Blauwkamp, University of Nebraska, Kearney Intervention on Peace Duration. Overview: This study analyzes how the news media cover Anne Etienne, University of North Texas "natural" disasters in order to evaluate their framing of these Ekong Peters, TBA events as visitations of nature or as problems caused or Overview: This research project attempt to operationalize worsened by government policies. Luttwak's contention that non-intervention in civil war promotes Disc. Karen J. Callaghan, Vanderbilt University durable peace after the end of a civil war. Disc. Michael Gilligan, New York University 17-211 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE EFFECTS OF TV ON VOTING 15-5 DOMESTIC SOURCES OF FOREIGN Room TBA, Thur 1:45 POLICY Presenter The Golden Age of Television and Voting Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Michael P. McDonald, George Mason University Chair Dunia Andary, Texas A&M University Overview: I investigate the relationship between television Paper Does Congress Matter? Examining Presidential Decisions to ownership and voter turnout in the 1952 presidential election. Use Force, 1953-2003 Bryan W. Marshall, Miami University 17-212 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: NEW Brandon C. Prins, Texas Tech University APPROACHES TO ISSUE VOTING Overview: The goal of this project is to examine the effects of Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Congress and the congressional environment in explaining Paper Neither Proximity Nor Directionality: A Subjective presidential decisions to exercise military force abroad from Approach to Issue Voting 1953-2003. Riccardo Pelizzo, Singapore Management University Paper Partisanship, Congressional Position-Taking, and the Overview: The paper introduces a new subjective approach to Presidential Use of Force: You’re Either With Us or Against the study of issue voting. The subjective approach provides a Us framework for spatial analysis that accounts for the social Dennis M. Foster, Virginia Military Institute character of the vote choice. Overview: This paper seeks to develop a nuanced perspective of

the impact of co-partisan opposition to an executive’s foreign policies on the presidential propensity to use force abroad. 17-301 POSTER SESSION: ELECTIONS AND Paper Why Is It Always So Difficult to Redesign the U.S. VOTING BEHAVIOR Intelligence Community? Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Thomas H. Hammond, Michigan State University Presenter Voting Correctly in US House and Senate Elections Overview: This paper argues that there are some genuine -- Carrie A. Cihasky, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee almost insoluable -- dilemmas which are involved in Overview: Voting “correctly” assumes an individual makes redesigning the U.S. intelligence community. their vote decision the same way they would have under the Paper Ethnic Minority Groups and U.S. Foreign Policy: An conditions of full information. This paper examines whether or Experimental Study not individuals vote “correctly” in US House and Senate Trevor Rubenzer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee elections. Steven B. Redd, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Presenter Modeling Corrupt Elections Overview: Using an experimental design, we test the impact of Alberto Simpser, Stanford University ethnic minority interest groups on presidential decision-making Overview: Models of democracy assume all cast votes are in U.S. foreign policy. Our results indicate the degree to which counted. This is not true in rigged elections. I use simple models the president responds to diasporic pressure to change policy. of elections to study the strategic logic of electoral corruption. Disc. James McCormick, Iowa State University Informational effects yield counterintuitive implications. Presenter Predictions of Third Party Voting: What’s in Your ‘D’ 16-12 FRAMING AND VALUES Term? Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Carl L. Palmer, University of California, Davis Chair Karen J. Callaghan, Vanderbilt University Overview: This paper aims to answer the following: What are Paper Source Effects in Political Decision Making: An the factors that predict the probability of voting for a third Addendum to Prospect Theory party? Is it in any way conditional on external factors, such as Brent Strathman, Ohio State University closeness of the election, or prominence of the candidates? Overview: This paper examines the option specification phase Presenter Stepping in the Same Election Four Times: Low Voter of prospect theory through an exploration of source effects – Turnout in the Serbian Presidential Elections i.e., comparative judgments on the source of information. I Julia Gray, University of California, Los Angeles show how source perceptions may matter in political decisions. Overview: Who says you can't run the same election twice? I Paper The Many Faces of Patriotism: The Effects of Elite Civic analyze data from the Serbian presedential elections, where low Patriotic Rhetoric on Mass Participation voter turnout forced a repeat of the same election four times. Nadia Khatib, Stony Brook University Presenter “Second-Order” Elections and Voter Turnout in American Overview: This study uses multiple methods of inquiry to State Politics develop valid measures of patriotism and national identity and Mary G. Currin-Percival, University of California, Riverside experimentally examine the political consequences of elite Garrick L. Percival, University of California, Riverside patriotic rhetoric on political engagement and participation. Shaun Bowler, University of California, Riverside Paper Shared Border, Different Worldviews: Issue Framing and Henk Van der Kolk, Universiteit Twente Public Opinion on Trade Policy between Mexico and the Overview: As “second-order” elections we can expect turnout to United States be lower in statewide elections than federal elections. We find Julia Rabinovich, Northwestern University turnout in statewide elections is to a large extent explained by the relative importance of state government to voters.

28 Updated 03-01-05 Presenter The Behavioral Consequences of Parliamentary Question Overview: An overlooked effect of source is cuing to what Times: How the Nature of Executive Accountability Affects realm of information—partisan, racial, etc.—an issue belongs. I Information and Turnout. show the perceived race of a source shapes which Rob Salmond, University of California, Los Angeles considerations are employed in evaluations of an ostensibly Overview: Question times in parliaments produce varying non-racial political issue. amounts of rhetorical conflict, depending on the rules. More Paper Race, Rallies, and Responses to September 11, 2001 conflictual question times produce greater citizen knowledge Erin O'Brien, Kent State University and higher turnout. These effects are strongest among poorly David B. Rothstein, Kent State University educated citizens. Overview: This paper examines whether race conditions "rally- around-the-flag" effects. September 11th is used as a critical 19-2 PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL case study to analyze the effect of race on "rallying." Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Disc. Darren W. Davis, Michigan State University Chair John Clark, Western Michigan University Paper What Really Matters in Explaining Presidential Approval? 20-2 TRADITIONAL BEHAVIORAL A Consideration of Question-Meaning, Presidential Persona, DETERMINANTS OF PARTICIPATION and the Conventional Explanations Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Mark A. Roeder, University of Cincinnati Chair Phil Paolino, University of North Texas Overview: This study, an examination of individual level Paper Altruism and Political Participation explanations of presidential approval, presents a comprehensive James H. Fowler, University of California, Davis model and two rival explanations of approval: perception of Overview: This paper uses allocations in the dictator game to presidential persona and change in the meaning of the approval study the effect of altruism on political participation. question. Paper V.O. Key Revisited: Party Competition and Political Paper The Political Economy of Presidential Approval 1978-2004: Socialization in the U.S. A Tournament of Rival Models J. Celeste Lay, Tulane University Robert C. Rodgers, University of Texas, Dallas Overview: Key demonstrates the importance of competitive Overview: This paper uses recent advances in time series political parties in fostering political participation. I examine econometrics to reassess rival models of presidential approval. whether young people in communities that are politically Monthly data for 1978-2004 are employed. Special attention is competitive are more knowledgeable and participatory than given to Bush II with analyses focusing on gender and class their counterparts. heterogeneity. Paper Family Household and Political Participation Paper Hawks, Bears, and the Media: Explaining Presidential Atiya K. Brown, Florida State University Approval Rally Effects Joel Turner, Florida State University Brian J. Gaines, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Overview: This paper examines the effect of family structure Brian D. Roberts, University of Illinois and household on adult behavior, specifically, political Overview: Presidential approval levels of George W. Bush are engagement. examined in time-series models that explore the influence of Paper Illusions Matter: Socioeconomic Development and "rally events," economic indicators, and tone of media coverage. Perceptions of Economic Prospects As Determinants of Paper Terror Tactics: The Link Between Terror Alerts and Political Participation Presidential Approval' Christina Suthammanont, Texas A&M University Morgen S. Johansen, University of Kansas Overview: This study attempts to establish the degree to which Overview: This paper proposes that terror alerts keep the individuals’ perceptions of their economic prospects influences public's attention on foreign affairs and off of domestic issues, their political behavior; second, it examines the role of the which is favorable to the president’s approval ratings. socioeconomic context in shaping individuals’ perceptions. Paper Public Opinion on the Imperial Presidency Disc. Phil Paolino, University of North Texas Geoffrey D. Peterson, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire Steven C. Kerbaugh, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire 21-5 DEFINING MOMENTS AND SIGNIFICANT Overview: This paper will examing public opinion regarding attempts to concentrate power in the office of the presidency. STORIES IN THE 2004 PRESIDENTIAL Disc. John Clark, Western Michigan University CAMPAIGN CYCLE Brian Schaffner, American University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Chair Dianne G. Bystrom, Iowa State University 19-15 RACE, ETHNICITY AND PUBLIC OPINION Paper I Had a Scream: Issue-Specific Agenda Setting and the (Co-sponsored with Race, Class and Ethnicity, Downfall of Howard Dean Andrew P. Williams, Virginia Tech University see 23-2) Overview: uring the primary campaign phase of 2004, Howard Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Dean was framed by the media as the Democratic Party’s Chair Katherine Cramer Walsh, University of Wisconsin strongest contender. However, a poor performance in the Iowa Paper Inter-Racial Differences in Response to Arguments Against Caucus and an unfortunate speech ended Dean’s strong the Death Penalty momentum. Mark Peffley, University of Kentucky Paper Analysis of Celebrity Influence in the 2004 United States Jon Hurwitz, University of Pittsburgh Presidential Election Overview: We examine how blacks and whites respond to a Kaye D. Trammell, Louisiana State University survey experiment that manipulates different arguments against Overview: During the 2004 presidential election, celebrities the death penalty. used their star power to exert influence over voters. From voter Paper Overlapping Communities: The Effect of Racial Context mobilization to support of specific candidates, celebrity and Identity on a California Proposition endorsements soared. Cara Wong, University of Michigan Paper The Impact of the Presidential Debates on Young Citizens in Overview: This paper examines the interactions between racial the 20004 Campaign context and social identity and how they explain the political Mitchell S. McKinney, University of Missouri attitudes of whites, blacks, Latinos, and Asian Americans across Overview: The paper analyzes the significance of the 2004 a range of geographic contexts. presidential debates on young voters, particularly in terms of the Paper Black and White Talking Heads: How Racialized Sources impact of different debate formats. Shape Public Support for Ostensibly Non-Racial Issues Ismail K. White, University of Texas, Austin

Updated 03-01-05 29 Paper The Big Mo from 1980 to 2004: Is Technological 'e-mentum' institutions and public policies on ethnic relations is the main Amplifying Key Events in Presidential Races? theme. Christopher C. Hull, Georgetown University Paper State Policy and International Ethnic Migrants: Chinese Overview: Is technology amplifying momentum in presidential Experiences in Southeast Asia races? Does a world of online fundraising and instant email Suranjan Weeraratne, McGill University make momentum pay off more? To find out, this paper builds a Overview: This paper seeks to explain the many variations in model based on an original database including 2004 results. the experiences of ethnic Chinese migrants in selected Southeast Paper Weapons of Candidate Destruction: The Impact of Political Asian countries by paying special attention to demographic and Advertising in the 2004 Presidential Campaign government policy-related variables Lynda Lee Kaid, University of Florida Paper Immigration within Asia: The Conflict Between Overview: This paper analyzes the role that was played in the Buireaucracy and NGO's presidential election by negative advertising sponsored by Wonjun Yoon, University of Texas, Austin candidates and by independent groups. Overview: Immigration policy in Asia has been mainly shaped Disc. Michael Parkin, University of Minnesota by bureaucratic “puzzle-solving” and NGO’s humanitarian intervention unlike Eorpean states where interest group lobby 22-2 WOMEN POLITICIANS AND POLITICAL and partisan politics has mattered. PARTIES IN POST-COMMUNIST SYSTEMS Disc. Loren Ryter, Cornell University

Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Chair Dawn E. Nowacki, Linfield College 23-10 RACE, CLASS AND NATIONAL POLICY Paper Women's Representation in the Political Parties of Central Room TBA, Thur 1:45 and Eastern Europe Chair Harris-Lacewell, University of Chicago Richard E. Matland, University of Houston Paper The Organized Representation of American Ethnic Groups: Denitza Bojinova, University of Houston Ethnic Mobilization or Interest Group Politics Overview: Trends in women's representation across political Matthew Grossmann, University of California, Berkeley parties in Eastern Europe are affected by internal institutional Overview: I analyze the activities of organizations that claim to and societal factors, as well as formal party ties to European speak on behalf of American ethnic groups. I present an interest sister parties, and party support for EU membership. group model that better predicts their activities than models Paper Women's Representation and Political Party System Change drawn from the ethnic mobilization literature. in the Russian Regional Assemblies Under Federal Paper An Eye for an Eye and We All Go Blind: The Death Penalty Executive Dominance and the Influence of Discrimination Dawn E. Nowacki, Linfield College Sarah Neal, University of Houston Melinda K. Wegner, Linfield College Kevin P. Allen, University of Houston Overview: The more women affiliate with Unified Russia, the Overview: This paper uses data from the 2000 National Election greater will be their representation in regional parliaments on Survey to assess the effects of perceived racial discrimination the PR side. This is a significant change from past results, when on support for capital punishment while controlling for more women were elected as independents in SMD races. partisanship, religiosity and standard demographic variables. Paper Choosing the Right Party: Key to Women's Success in Post- Paper Shifting Priorities: The NAACP and National Urban Soviet Single Member Districts League's Advocacy on Behalf of the Poor during the 1960s Raminta Stockute, Texas Tech University and 1980s Overview: To win an SMD race in Russia and Ukraine both Catherine Paden, Northwestern University men and women have to rely on their personal resources, such Overview: This paper analyzes the NAACP's and Urban as political experience, and choose an affiliation with a more League's attention to anti-poverty policy during the 1960s and institutionalized political party. 1980s and demonstrates that inter-organizational competition Paper Democratic Values and the Status of Women in Ukraine: and group structure will affect how organizations arrive at their Moving towards Congruence? priorities. Jill N. Wittrock, University of Iowa Paper The Curvilinear Nature of Race and the Welfare State: James Krueger, University of Iowa Rethinking the Linear Assumption Vicki L. Hesli, University of Iowa Robert R. Preuhs, University of Colorado, Boulder Andriy Gorbachyk, Taras Shevchenko National University Overview: This paper argues for a need to re-evaluate the Overview: Previous work in post-Soviet states suggests support common linear functional shape of racial determinants of for democratic values legitimizes democratic institutions. This welfare policy. Several recent studies are re-analyzed with a paper builds on this literature and links it with support for curvilinear form with increasing explanatory power. socioeconomic gender equality using survey data gathered in Disc. Melissa Harris-Lacewell, University of Chicago Ukraine. Disc. Dawn E. Nowacki, Linfield College 24-3 THE AMERICAN FOUNDING Room TBA, Thur 1:45 23-3 ETHNIC POLITICS IN ASIA Chair Ann Davies, Beloit College Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Paper The Rhetorical Construction of Crisis in Thomas Paine’s Chair Loren Ryter, Cornell University Common Sense Paper Minority Portrayal in Chinese Official Media, 1949-1995 Benjamin H. Ponder, Northwestern University Diqing Lou, Texas A&M University Overview: This paper explores the ways in which Paine used Matthew Hoddie, Texas A&M University language to create a moment of urgent decision and to shape Overview: The paper examines the portrayal of ethnic public opinion in early 1776. minorities in Chinese official news media—People’s Daily Paper The Relevance of John Adams: Combining Liberal and since 1949. We find that ethnic minorities are largely deprived Republican Ideals in Early American Political Thought of their individuality and subjectivity in Chinese official news John C. Evans, University of Wisconsin media. Overview: This essay examines the political thought of John Paper Ethnic Triangle: Majority, Minority, and State in Southeast Adams with particular attention the idea of virtue in his writing. Asia A primary goal of the essay is to demonstrate his contemporary Tsai-wei Sun, National University of Singapore relevance in efforts to hybridize liberal and republican thought. Overview: This paper examines the causal link between the Paper Reading the Founding Documents in the "Culture Wars" state-majority-minority relations on one hand and ethnic conflict Carl M. Dibble, University of Michigan, Dearborn in Southeast Asia on the other. The impact of both formal

30 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: An explication of texts could break new ground and Presenter The Appearance Standard and Good Government help resolve some of the specific issues in the long-standing Jerry Herbel, Georgia College and State University general controversy over the relationship between the Overview: The apprearance of corruption is seen by many to be Declaration of Independence and the U.S. Constitution. as dangerous, or even more dangerous, than actual corruption. Paper Redefining the Founding: Recent Scholarship on Multiple This view ignores fundamental ideas of democratic theory and Traditions, Popular Ideologies, and Forced and Forgotten may inadvertently hinder efforts to foster good government. Founders Alan R. Gibson, California State University, Chico 27-301 POSTER SESSION: FORMAL MODELING Overview: Unlike previous accounts of the question “how Room TBA, Thur 1:45 democratic was the Founders’ Constitution?,” this paper pursues Presenter The Agenda Setter Model an apolitical assessment by judging the original design against Allen Brierly, University of Northern Iowa core democratic values and comparing it to several democratic Overview: This study demonstrates the conditions under which systems. equilibria exist, are unique, and converge to a Nash equilibrium Disc. Steven Wulf, Lawrence University in the agenda setter model.

25-10 LANGUAGE AND THE POSSIBILITY OF 29-1 INTEREST GROUPS AND ELECTIONS HUMAN ACTION Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Chair John Green, University of Akron Chair John Bokina, University of Texas Paper Big Dollars, But How Much Change? A Comparison of Soft Paper Max Weber and the Linguistic Turn Money Donors Pre- and Post-BCRA Ivan A. Ascher, TBA Casey B. K. Dominguez, University of California, Berkeley Overview: Strict adherence to the written word is, on Weber’s Kathryn L Pearson, University of Minnesota account, a feature that accounts for bureaucracy’s efficiency. Overview: Comparing donations made to parties and 527s Yet writing carries a risk that the linguistic sign might arrest the before and after the enactment of BCRA, we analyze the extent gaze, introducing contingency and ambiguity in administration. to which large soft-money donors have found indirect and less Paper Is a Heideggerian Environmentalism Possible? accountable ways of financing federal campaign activities in the Brian D. Solis, University of Maryland, College Park post-BCRA era. Overview: Recently, there have been efforts made to label Paper The New Stealth PACs: Political Activities of 501(c) Non- Heidegger a supporter of the environmental movement. These Profit Groups interpretations are misguided due to his unenvironmental Craig B. Holman, Public Citizen anthropocentric descriptions of the origins of Dasein as Overview: Discusses the legal obligations of 501(c) non-profit expressed in Being and Time. groups when it comes to political activity and documents the Paper Why Wittgenstein is not Conservative: Conventions and extent of electioneering activities by 501(c) non-profit groups. Critique Paper The Role of the NRA in House Elections: Endorsements, Christopher C. Robinson, Clarkson University Members, and Turnout Overview: This is a paper on contemporary political theory that Christopher B. Kenny, Louisiana State University explores why Wittgenstein has not had much influence on Michael McBurnett, RBC Centura theorizing today and seeks to show the potential of his David Bordua, University of Illinois philosophical insights for a new critical political theory. Eric Jenner, Louisiana State University Paper Modernity and Constructivism: Is There An Alternative Overview: This paper examines the ability of the National Rifle That Saves Modern Politics and Ethics? Association to affect turnout in House races in 1994, 1996, and Gregory Bruce Smith, Trinity College 1998. We construct models of turnout in congressional Overview: The paper deals with an alternative to modern elections that include NRA candidate endorsements and constructivism that saves the modern moral and political yield membership numbers. without a descent into self-invalidating anti-foundationalism. Paper Electoral Turnout and the Influence of Interest Groups in Disc. Joanna Vecchiarelli Scott, Eastern Michigan University the United States Tim C. Wegenast, Pompeu Fabra University 26-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PLURALISM Overview: The paper will analyze the relationship between Room TBA, Thur 1:45 electoral turnout and the influence of interest groups within the Presenter Nationalism or Pluralism: Who Decides? US states. The leading hypothesis is that interest groups are Burke A. Hendrix, Cornell University stronger in states with lower turnout. Overview: This paper focuses on questions about the Disc. David Kirchner, Hamline University "authenticity" of minority nations, suggesting that we face difficulties in recognizing real cultural differences from 29-3 ADVOCACY FOR IDEOLOGICAL CAUSES: manipulated or self-interested nationalisms. ABORTION AND THE FAMILY Presenter The Old Friends of Pluralism: When They Go Too Far Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Paul Schumaker, University of Kansas Chair Margaret Carne, Rhodes College Overview: Rawls’ idea of an overlapping consensus within Paper Across the Great Values' Divide: A National & State Level pluralism is developed and applied to conservative, liberal, and Analysis of Family Policy Focused Interest Groups socialist doctrines to identify when these old friends of Brent D. Lollis, Lander University pluralism pursue ideals that are at odds with that consensus. Overview: The growth and proliferation of groups focused upon a growing diversity of "the family" has grown dramatically. 26-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POWER, Today, this values' conflict is increasingly sharp and populated COERCION AND CORRUPTION by numerous and focused groups defending their many Room TBA, Thur 1:45 approaches. Presenter Coercion and the Role of the Original Position in Paper Evolving Strategies: Interest Groups and the Abortion Issue Overcoming the Violation of Rights Jessica C. Gerrity, Indiana University Mandi E. Boyd, University of Texas, Austin Overview: In this paper I examine the evolution of PAC activity Overview: Political theory confronts differing ideas of coercion surrounding the abortion issue. I posit that as the abortion issue by the state. Using examples from the modern welfare state and grew increasingly more partisan and more salient that interest voting incentives, I will examine the connection between state group strategies changed in response. coercion and the power to limit/expand the force of political Paper The Campaign Finance Strategies of Ideological Interest opinion Groups

Updated 03-01-05 31 Margaret Carne, Rhodes College Jennifer N. Victor, University of Pittsburgh Overview: This paper examines why interest groups concerned Overview: Using a cross-sectional time-series dataset of the with abortion issues disproportionately use independent legislative activity of House members elected in the 1970s, I expenditure campaigns, and how they strategically use these analyze the careers of 380 members in order to determine when expenditures to accomplish their organizational and political and how higher office seekers change their congressional goals. behavior. Disc. David Karol, University California, Berkeley Disc. David Rohde, Michigan State University Antoine Yoshinaka, University of California, Riverside 30-3 THE IMPACT OF THE BIPARTISAN CAMPAIGN REFORM ACT (BCRA) 31-3 EXPLAINING PARTY COHESION AND Room TBA, Thur 1:45 POLARIZATION Chair David B. Magleby, Brigham Young University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Florida Presidential Chair Jon R. Bond, Texas A&M University Election Paper Safety in Numbers? Seat Shares and Discipline in Robert E. Crew, Florida State University Legislative Parties Terri Susan Fine, University of Central Florida Robin Best, Binghamton University Susan MacManus, University of South Florida William B. Heller, Binghamton University Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 Florida presidential Overview: We will test the effect of party legislative seat shares election campaign. on party discipline, focusing in particular on the question of Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Iowa Presidential Election whether potential rebels might be able to play pivotal roles in Art Sanders, Drake University some aspect of legislative decision making. Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 Iowa presidential Paper Polarization, Leadership, and “Partisan Moments” in the election campaign. United States Congress Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 New Mexico Presidential Matthew N. Green, Yale University Election Overview: The paper examines whether, and to what extent, Lonna Rae Atkeson, University of New Mexico assertive acts of legislative leadership by the majority party Nancy Carrillo, University of New Mexico explain changes in party polarization in the U.S. Congress since Mekoce Walker, University of New Mexico the late nineteenth century. Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 New Mexico Paper Managing Conflict in the U.S. House of Representatives: presidential election campaign. The Role of the House Speaker Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Ohio Presidential Election Scot Schraufnagel, University of Central Florida Stephen Mockabee, University of Cincinnati Overview: The case is made for two-dimensional legislative Michael Margolis, University of Cincinnati conflict in the House of Representatives. The research tests the Dan Birdsong, University of Cincinnati role of the Speaker in the management of the two distinct forms Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 Ohio presidential of discord. election campaign. Paper The Institutional Explanation for Party Polarization in Disc. Brian S. DiSarro, University of Iowa Congress Lucinda Deason, University of Akron Sean Theriault, University of Texas, Austin Overview: Changes within the institutional rules are a major 31-2 CONGRESSIONAL CAREERS: AMBITION, explanation for why the parties are more polarized. PARTISANSHIP, AND POSITIONING Disc. Jon R. Bond, Texas A&M University Christian Grose, Lawrence University Room TBA, Thur 1:45

Chair David Rohde, Michigan State University Paper Party Defection in Congress: Why Do They Stay, Why Do 31-7 LEGISLATIVE COMMITTEES: They Go? ASSIGNMENTS AND COMPOSITION Jennifer A. Cooper, Emory University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: This paper tests a model of party switching by Chair Christopher Deering, George Washington University comparing the behavior of party switchers to legislators who Paper A New Look at Committee Theories in the States experience high levels of ideological dissonance, yet did not James Battista, University of North Texas defect. Overview: I discuss and model the representativeness of Paper Roll Call Voting of United States Senate Majority Leaders committees in all 99 state legislative chambers to test theories of Andrea C. Hatcher, Vanderbilt University legislative organization. Overview: This paper reports findings about effects of Paper Descriptive Representation, the Redistribution of Campaign leadership on roll call voting among Senate Majority Leaders. Funds, and Institutional Advancement in the U.S. House of It treats leadership as an explanatory factor, not as an outcome. Representatives, 1990-2002 Findings fit other theoretical studies of Congress. Eric S. Heberlig, University of North Carolina, Charlotte Paper Leaving the House: Explaining the Higher Retirement Rate Bruce A. Larson, Fairleigh Dickinson University of Republicans Overview: We analyze movements into prestige committee Michael H. Murakami, University of Calfornia, Berkeley assignments and extended leadership positions to assess the Overview: This paper examines why Republican members of relative influence of the amount of campaign funds redistributed the U.S. House of Representatives continue to retire at a higher by the member of Congress versus his or her descriptive rate than their Democratic colleagues, even though they have characteristics. been the majority party for a decade. Paper Conference Committees in the United States and European Paper Progressive Ambition and Legislative Organization: The Union in a Principal-Agent Perspective House Judiciary Committee as Senate Incubator Anne Rasmussen, University of Copenhagen Gregory Robinson, Michigan State University Overview: The paper uses the principal-agent model to develop Stewart L. French, Michigan State University and test hypotheses about when conference committee Overview: We propose a theory that views progressive ambition delegations can be expected to act autonomously in the US and as an important factor shaping the internal structures of the EU. Congress. We focus on the House Judiciary Committee as an Paper Self Selection by High-Demanders to Informational ‘incubator’ for progressively ambitious members. Committees: Ideology and Committee Outliers Paper “Hey, Congressman, want a promotion?” Getting Busy in Jesse T. Richman, Carnegie Mellon University the House

32 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: I synthesize the informational and distributive 33-7 JUDICIAL INDEPENDENCE AND models to illuminate the boundaries of the informational ‘no LEGITIMACY outliers’ prediction. As expected, when there is more Room TBA, Thur 1:45 (ideological) uncertainty, more state legislative committees are Chair Tom Clark, Princeton University outliers. Paper Institutional Viability and High Courts: A Comparative Disc. Glenn R. Parker, Purdue University Analysis J. Mark Wrighton, University of New Hampshire Kirill M. Bumin, University of Kentucky

Kirk Randazzo, University of Kentucky 32-4 ISSUES AND ISSUE SALIENCE IN Lee Walker, University of Kentucky CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS Overview: By considering temporal changes in judicial Room TBA, Thur 1:45 influence in a number of cases in Eastern Europe and Latin Chair Robert Dion, University of Evansville America, we explain when the courts become viable political Paper Midterm Elections and Issue Salience: A Conditional Model actors and why some courts assume an important policy-making of Voting Behavior role faster than others. Ryan L. Schoen, George Washington University Paper Judging a Court by its Cover: Compositional Diversity and Mitchell Killian, TBA the Perception of Court Legitimacy Aaron Dusso, TBA Karen D. Halperin, Florida State University Overview: We propose a conditional model of midterm voting Jeffery J. Mondak, Florida State University behavior in which individual vote choice is influenced by the Overview: Experimentally tests if demographically diverse interaction of issues salient to an individual and his or her courts are perceived as more legitimate, in both court decisions evaluations of those issues. and as an institution. 2x2x3 test manipulates diversity; source Paper Issue Avoidance Among Candidates for the United States cue (court, legislative committee, or none); and nature of the House of Representatives case. Gretchen S. Carnes, Pennsylvania State University Paper The Legitimacy of African Courts: An Analysis of Public Overview: This paper examines position-taking and issue Trust avoidance by candidates for the U.S. House. Using information Lee R. Remington, University of Kentucky gathered from in-depth interviews with members of the House I Overview: This paper examines the factors that drive trust levels explain how characteristics of congressional districts affect in African courts, leading to a better understanding of the issue avoidance. relationship that trust can have upon legitimacy within countries Disc. Tracy Sulkin, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign possessing varying economic and democratic levels. Paper Institutional Models of Judicial Independence 33-4 LEGAL ACTORS IN THE COURTS Julio Rios-Figueroa, New York University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: In this paper, I identify eight institutional models of Chair Bradley Canon, University Kentucky judicial independence and propose a set of variables that allow Paper So, What Do You Think? Inviting the Solicitor General to us to classify countries according to their model. I also show Participate how this classification make meaningful comparisons possible. Michael J. Bailey, Georgetown University Disc. Tom Clark, Princeton University Forrest Maltzman, George Washington University Kevin Scott, Texas Technical University Overview: We look at the causes and motivations that lead justices to invite the Solicitor General to file an amicus brief. 34-7 PRIVACY RIGHTS AND FAMILY RIGHTS Paper Why the Supreme Court Cannot Make Liberal Economic Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Policy Chair Dennis J. Goldford, Drake University Vanessa A. Baird, University of Colorado Paper Machines Racing Past the Law; How Advanced Overview: Profit minded litigants are discouraged from Technologies in an Age of Anti-Terrorism Challenge litigating when the Supreme Court has handed down liberal Existing Understandings of Privacy Rights economic decisions. This prevents the Supreme Court from Wayne McIntosh, University of Maryland, College Park getting the cases necessary to build on previous liberal Steve Simon, University of Maryland, College Park economic decisions. Overview: Privacy jurisprudence balances privacy interests Paper Amicus Participation by Congress in the Unitd States against governmental ends; this paper explores why that Supreme Court approach is inadequate in an age of anti-terrorism, and advanced Darryn C. Beckstrom, University of Wisconsin, Madison technologies which unsettle the line between public and private. Overview: This paper examines the motivations of legislators Paper Tales from the Blackmun Papers: The Stubborn Persistence when they file amicus briefs before the Supreme Court. The of the Constitutional Right to Privacy and the Legacy of goal of is to further discern when and why groups engage in Harry A. Blackmun" amicus participation and to better understand the behavior of Joseph F. Kobylka, Southern Methodist University legislators. Overview: When the Blackmun papers opened to the public, Paper Attorneys, Information, and Judicial Decision Making abortion dominated their press coverage. This missed Susan Haire, University of Georgia Blackmun’s marginal role in “saving” the privacy right. I Todd A. Collins, University of Georgia examine how ROE and the privacy right survived the demise of Bill Gillespie, Kennesaw State University their strongest advocate. Overview: To assess the informational role played by lawyers in Paper Redefining Due Process Analysis: Justice Anthony Kennedy “ordinary” appellate cases, this paper examines whether judges and the Concept of Emergent Rights are more likely to adopt the positions of litigants represented by Lisa K. Parshall, Daemen College attorneys with more experience and expertise. Overview: The paper argues that Justice Kennedy's recent gay- Paper Group Decisions: Amicus Curiae in the United States rights rulings reflect an alteration of the Court's traditional due Courts of Appeals process approach to include a middle-ground approach for the Wendy L. Martinek, Binghamton University recognition of new, emergent rights. Overview: This research examines interest group decisions to Paper The Price of Victory: Goodridge and the Struggle Over participate as amicus curiae in the U.S. Courts of Appeals Same-Sex Marriage Disc. Bradley Canon, University Kentucky Ellen A. Andersen, Indiana University-Purdue University Corey A. Ditslear, University of North Texas Indianapolis

Updated 03-01-05 33 Overview: This paper examines the impact of Goodridge v. argue that political institutions interact with competition to Dept of Public Health on the struggle by LGBT people to obtain affect local government size. the right to marry. Paper Interlocal Agreements as an Urban Management Tool: Disc. Susan Mezey, Loyola University Chicago Applicability of Network Analysis to Understanding Judith Baer, Texas A&M University Interlocal Cooperation Simon A. Andrew, Florida State University 35-2 STATE LEGISLATIVE INSTITUTIONS AND Overview: This paper argues that interlocal agreement is INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT another form of formal contractual arrangement between cities. Network analysis is used to determine patterns of interlocal Room TBA, Thur 1:45 cooperation, where interlocal agreements are treated as ties that Chair Christopher A. Cooper, Western Carolina University link cities. Paper Bureaucracies and Budgets: Government Growth and Disc. Nicholas G. Bauroth, North Dakota State University Professionalism in United States State Legislatures

Neil A. Malhotra, Stanford University Overview: This paper analyzes the determinants of 37-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PREVENTING professionalization in American state legislatures. Two-wave YOUTH ACCESS TO DRUGS AND panel analyses find that increases in professionalism are TOBACCO inversely related to bureaucratic expansion yet directly related Room TBA, Thur 1:45 to expenditure growth. Presenter Reducing Youth Access to Tobacco: Variations in Paper Ripping the Heart out of the People's House: The Impact of Regulatory Effectiveness Term Limits on Balance of Power Between State Houses of Michael J. Licari, University of Northern Iowa Represenatives and State Senates Overview: This paper analyzes the variations across states in William T. Horner, University of Missouri, Columbia regulatory effectiveness regarding youth access to tobacco. Overview: An examination of the new strength gained by state Hypotheses from public policy and public administration are senates as a result of term limits, primarily as a result of the tested to provide information on these variations. shifting emphasis of lobbyists and others trying to influence Presenter An Advocacy Coalition Approach to Youth Substance policy at the state level. Abuse Policy Paper How Important are Parties in Legislatures? Legislative Angela Yancik Baldasare, The Partnership Behavior in Partisan and Non-Partisan Settings Patricia E. Campie, University of Arizona Eric W. Manning, University of Iowa Robert Done, The Partnership Overview: This paper tests the effects of partisanship on Charles Palm, The Partnership legislators that served in both a nonpartisan and partisan setting. Overview: This paper (1) acts as an empirical test of how I find that partisan effects are pronounced and strong in a policy beliefs develop; (2) provides a test of the ACF in a socio- partisan setting. political setting; and (3) adds to the case study literature on the Paper Term Limits and Career Choice in U.S. State Legislatures ACF in a new policy domain (youth substance abuse). Jerome Maddox, University of Pennsylvania Overview: TBA 37-206 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: BUDGETS AND Paper Who Sets the Size of State Government? Comparing Models of Interbranch Conflict PUBLIC POLICY Justin H. Phillips, University of California, San Diego Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Thad Kousser, University of California, San Diego Presenter The Federal Budget and Low-Income Housing Overview: This paper compares three competing theories of Keith Smith, University of California, Berkeley interbranch conflict – formal models applied to state budgeting Overview: Federal low-income housing policy has undergone a by Alt and Lowry (2000), Primo (2002), and Kousser (2004) – shift from a system of direct provision to a system of private- using a new data set of enacted revenue measures. market subsidies. The argument advanced is that this shift is, in Disc. David W. Prince, Bellarmine University part, a result of changes in congressional budget rules. Presenter Deficits R Us: Can Budgeting Save Us from Policy? 36-11 COOPERATION VERSUS COMPETITION: James L. True, Lamar University Overview: Examines growth in national spending and deficit CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES financing to evaluate potential for near-term change in macro- Room TBA, Thur 1:45 policy. Chair Rick Feiock, Florida State University Paper Cooperate or Die: Interlocal Contracting in Metropolitan 37-207 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLICY Detroit Kelly LeRoux, Wayne State University CHANGE ON THE PUBLIC LANDS Jered B. Carr, Wayne State University Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Overview: This paper reports findings from a study of interlocal Presenter The Dynamics of Incrementalism: Subsystems, Politics, and cooperation among the 127 general purpose local governments Public Lands in SE Michigan. Robert S. Wood, University of North Dakota Paper Assessing the Micro-Foundations of the Tiebout Model: A Overview: This paper examines why challengers are able to Four Metro-Area Study of Citizen Preferences for break down policy subsystems in one area but not another Residential Mobility through a study of policy change in two areas of environmental Kenneth N. Bickers, University of Colorado policy: timber policy in national forests and grazing policy on Lapo Salucci, University of Colorado public lands. Robert M. Stein, Rice University Presenter Stakeholder Incentives in Collaborative National Forest Overview: This paper argues that there are distinct life cycle Planning: A Question of Carrots or Sticks phases of households influencing the weights assigned to Nancy Manring, Ohio University bundles of public and private goods. We empirically estimate Overview: This paper examines the incentives for voluntary weights assigned to bundles of goods and their impact on participation in collaborative national forest planning. The residential mobility. analysis explores the implications of eliminating appeals ? Paper Taming the Local Leviathan: Political Institutions and the adding a stick? as an incentive for participation in collaborative Incentive to Exploit planning. Michael C. Craw, Case Western Reserve University Overview: Prior tests of the Leviathan hypothesis focus on interjurisdictional competition’s impact on government size. I

34 Updated 03-01-05 38-1 RACE, ETHNICITY, AND SOCIAL POLICY Presenter Organizational Culture, Employee Morale and Turnover in Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Wisconsin Municipal Governments Chair Robert C. Lieberman, Columbia University Douglas M. Ihrke, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Paper Can Multicultural Societies Effectively Sustain Policies of Kate F. Scheurer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Egalitarian Redistribution Among Their Citizens? Ethnic Overview: This study examines the relationship between and Religious Fragmentation and Their Effects on the organizational culture, employee morale, and turnover. Our Provision of Welfare findings indicate the different ways in which organizational Ulises Carrillo, University of Oxford culture influences municipal governments in Wisconsin Overview: The political economy literature provides evidence Presenter Public Support for E-Government at the Local Level: on ethnic diversity as an important determinant of economic Evaluating Self-Interest and Symbolic Politics Explanations growth. This essay extends some propositions to try to assess Denis A. Rey, Texas Tech University whether ethnic diversity affects the commitment to welfare Overview: We examine possible explanations for citizen spending. preferences on e-government use and preferences on computer Paper The Effect of Growing Income Inequality on Public Support access and training. Our analysis shows that self-interest and for Redistribution to Racial Minorities in the United States ideological disposition account for the use of and support for Duncan C. MacRae, University of California, Los Angeles such services. Overview: I find that growing income inequality reduced Presenter Let’s Shake Things Up a Bit: Factors That Lead to support for redistribution to racial minorities in the United Organizational Change States. Inequality accounted for almost 30 percent of the total Gregory C. Hill, Texas A&M University decline in support for these programs in NES surveys between Overview: This analysis looks at the factors that lead to 1985 and 2000. organizational change in terms of managerial succession from Paper Legacies of Slavery and the Implications for the Effects of both the organizational perspective and the managerial Ethnic Heterogeneity on Social Spending perspective. It builds upon and adds to the emerging public Melissa D. Mason, Yale University management literature. Overview: This paper examines the interaction effect of slavery Presenter Variations in Administrative Culture Between Local Offices and heterogeneity on social spending. It specifically tests the – How Do They Arise, are Being Reproduced and Changed? hypothesis that a history of African chattel slavery conditions Helena B. Stensota, Goteborg University, Sweden the negative relationship between heterogeneity and social Overview: The paper develops an analytic framework which spending. aims at specifying how administrative standard-operating Paper Medicare and the Politics of Race, 1957-1965 procedures develop on the local level within social Gerard W. Boychuk, University of Waterloo administration, paying attention to the individual decision- Overview: The dynamics generated by the politics of race were processes and interactions. crucial in shaping the political struggles over the adoption of Presenter The Ontology of Red Tape in English Local Government Medicare in the 1957-1965 period. These dynamics were Gene A. Brewer, University of Georgia critical in shaping the key characteristics of the programs. Richard M. Walker, University of Hong Kong & Cardiff Disc. Robert C. Lieberman, Columbia University University, Wales Overview: Red tape is an important theme in governmental 39-301 POSTER SESSION: A POTPOURRI OF reform. This study utitilizes a large-scale survey of English local governments, 2001-2003, to investigate the ontology of PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION RESEARCH red tape, identify its antecedents, document its prevalence, and Room TBA, Thur 1:45 more. Presenter Public Service Motivation: Attitudes and Organizational Presenter Modeling the Determinants of Civil Service Reform Commitment Ellen V. Rubin, University of Georgia David J. Houston, University of Tennessee Overview: This paper explores the causes of civil service reform Overview: The relationship between public service motivation by studying the experiences of six federal agencies. attitudes and organizational commitment is examined. Logistic Opportunities for comprehensive reform at the federal level are regression will be used to study public service attitudes and considered in light of the lessons learned from the case studies. organizational commitment of public and private employees Disc. Alisa Hicklin, Texas A&M University using GSS data. Morris A. Taylor, Southern Illinois Unversity Presenter Accountability in Liberalized Market: Electricity and Gregory D. Saxton, SUNY, Brockport Telecommunication in Europe Justin Marlowe, University of Kansas Dorit Rubinstein, University of California, Berkeley Overview: comparing strategies used by NRAs in Sweden, the 40-2 CAMPAIGNS IN AMERICAN POLITICAL U.K. and France to handle the complex accountability situation facing them following deregulation of the electricity and DEVELOPMENT telecommunication markets in relation to setting interconnection Room TBA, Thur 1:45 prices. Chair G. Patrick Lynch, Liberty Fund Presenter States' Adoption and Implementation of Innovative Policy Paper MUD: The Top 25 Negative Campaigns of All Time Programs in Water Pollution Control: Water Pollution Kerwin Swint, Kennesaw State University Permit Trading in the United States Overview: A ranking of the diritest political campaings in Felix K. G. Anebo, Southern Illinois University American history. Overview: This paper analyzes the adoption of innovative Paper A Legacy of the 1964 Civil Rights Act: Analyzing Political environmental policy in water pollution control in the United Participation in the South 1920-2000 States. A logistic regression model is employed to test the Melanie J. Springer, Columbia University factors that influence the adoption of such innovative policy Overview: Utilizing extensive time-series cross-sectional data instruments. and a historical institutionalist framework, I will evaluate the Presenter Municipal Budget Variance Redux: A Longitudinal Test of effect of changing electoral institutions on voter turnout rates in Three Explanations Southern states after the passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Justin Marlowe, University of Kansas Paper Resources, the New Media, and the Race for the U.S. Senate Overview: This paper provides an empirical test of three during the “Golden Age of the Candidate”, 1940-1960 proposed explanations for municipal budget variance. It tests David C. W. Parker, DePauw University these propositions using data from a sample of 145 local Overview: I investigate the role of television and radio on the governments in Minnesota from 1990-2001. development of candidate-centered politics, finding that a

Updated 03-01-05 35 state’s per capita number of television and radio stations reflectiveness is essential for addressing pressing environmental increases support for the party on the Senate floor. problems. Paper Selection of the Vice-Presidential Nominee at National Party Disc. John C. Berg, Suffolk University Conventions William D. Adler, Hunter College Overview: Vice presidential selection has changed significantly Thursday, April 7 – 3:45 pm – 5:30 pm since the 19th century. Instead of focusing on geographical considerations, ideology has become the primary factor. 1-2 MICROFOUNDATIONS OF CONFLICT: Paper State Autonomy and American Political Development: How TERRORISM Mass Democracy Promoted State Power. Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Samuel DeCanio, Ohio State University Chair Barbara Walter, University of California, San Diego Overview: Many claim high rates of 19th century voter turnout Paper Intergroup Conflict, Belief Systems, and Public Support of ensured democratic control of public policy. As such studies Violence ignore evidence that elections turned on ethno-religious issues, Eric Dickson, New York University not economic policy, they underestimate state autonomy in this Overview: TBA period. Paper Games of Quick Detection Disc. G. Patrick Lynch, Liberty Fund Barry O'Neill, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: TBA 44-9 RELIGION AND POLITICAL Paper On Terrorism and Electoral Outcomes: Theory and MOBILIZATION AROUND THE WORLD Evidence from the Israeli-Palenstinian Conflict Claude Berrebi, Rand Corporation Room TBA, Thur 1:45 Esteban F. Klor, TBA Chair Eldon Eisenach, University of Tulsa Overview: TBA Paper The Catholic Church and Democrary: A Case Study of an Paper Politics and the Suboptimal Provision of Counterterror Archdiocese in Northeastern Brazil Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Washington University, St Louis Matthew T. Kenney, Austin Peay State University Overview: TBA Overview: This paper analyzes the Catholic Church’s role in Disc. Barbara Walter, University of California, San Diego promoting social justice and democracy in a the Brazilian state

of Rio Grande do Norte. Paper Voices of the Faithful: Religion and Political Participation in 1-114 ROUNDTABLE: RETROSPECTIVE ON THE Indonesia 2004 ELECTIONS Jennifer L. Epley, University of Michigan Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Overview: This paper will examine the political participation of Chair Nolan McCarty, Princeton University "ordinary" religious citizens in Indonesia. The focus is on the Panelist Larry Bartels, Princeton University forms, frequencies, and determinants of political participation Robert Erikson, Columbia University pre- and post-Suharto. J. Mark Hanson, University of Chicago Paper The Politicization of Religion in Brazil and Its Implications Overview: TBA for the Faithful in Brazil Marilene Barros, Florida International University 2-13 POLICY FORMATION Patricia M. Rodriguez, University of Notre Dame Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Rollin Tusalem, University of Missouri, Columbia Chair Saundra Schneider, Michigan State University Overview: Evangelical churches in Brazil has been shown vivid Paper Framing Assisted Reproduction: Feminist Voices and Policy interest in politics and the outcome of elections. Outcomes in Germany and the U.S. Paper Changing Social Attitudes Towards Islam and Politics in Irene J. Barnett, Kent State University Post-Soviet Central Asia Trudy A. Steuernagel, Kent State University Kathleen Collins, University of Notre Dame Overview: The major focus of this investigation is to examine Overview: This paper asks two central questions: 1) how and to how feminist voices did or did not impact ART-debates and what extent is Islam becoming politicized in Central Asia since related policy outcomes in Germany and in three U.S. states. the Soviet collapse? and, 2) what explains this politicization. Paper Women and Children First? The Comparative Political Disc. Mirjam Künkler, Columbia University Economy of Family Policy Muqtedar Khan, Adrian College Priscilla Lambert, Western Michigan University Overview: What explains the variation in family policies across 51-1 LEFT, RIGHT OR FRONT? countries? I create an index of family policy and test competing Room TBA, Thur 1:45 hypotheses drawn from the welfare state literature and from Chair James R. Simmons, University of Wisconsin recent business-centered explanations. Paper Surviving Nader: The Future of the Green Party of the Paper Governance of Early Childhood Education and Care: A United States Comparative Policy Analysis John C. Berg, Suffolk University Michelle J. Neuman, Columbia University Overview: The Green Party hitched its wagon to the Nader Star Overview: This paper provides a comparative analysis of the in 2000, but split with him in 2004. Can the party return to a role of governance in shaping early childhood education and local emphasis and still maintain its growth? care policy in France, Sweden, and the U.S. during the 1990s Paper The Nader Factor: The Rest of the Story with attention to decentralization, privatization, and Solon J. Simmons, University of Wisconsin, Madison administration. Overview: This paper explores, once again, the impact of the Paper How Dynamics of Increasing Returns Shape Industrial imfamous Nader presidential campaign of 2000 in light of the Adjustment: The Case of Canada’s ‘Third Option’ results of the 2004 election, with information drawn from Prosper M. Bernard, City University of New York survey data and news coverage. Overview: This paper seeks to explain why the Canadian Paper Environmentalism and Sustainability: A Critical government in the 1970s and early 1980s failed to implement Reappraisal effectively the programs of the ‘Third Option.’ Hugh E. Bartling, DePaul University Paper The Empathetic State. The Effects of Increasing Equality on Overview: This paper addresses debates in environmental Kindergarten and Law Enforcement in Sweden 1950 – 2000 policymaking relating to the efficacy of “sustainability” by Helena B. Stensota, Goteborg University, Sweden arguing that an approach influenced by critical theory and self- Overview: The argument is that changing living patterns of men and women in Sweden into more equal patterns, contributed to a

36 Updated 03-01-05 normative change. The hypothesis finds support within care- itself is conditional on the level of development. We use oriented policies, however only partly in Law Enforcement instrumental variables and quantile regression to provide policy. evidence for this claim. Disc. Saundra Schneider, Michigan State University Paper Incentives that Work: Explaining Regional Economic Policy Johannes Lindvall, Goteborg University and Performance in Post-Transition Russia. Anton Rushakov, University of California, Los Angeles 3-13 POLITICS OF IDENTITY, RELIGION, AND Overview: This paper explores the relationship between CULTURE federal—regional fiscal relations and Russian regional economic policy to demonstrate that changes in subnational Room TBA, Thur 3:45 fiscal incentives can help to account for shifts in regional Chair Fragano S.J. Ledgister, Clark Atlanta University economic policy. Paper A Matter of Life and Death: the Capital Punishment Debate Disc. William Mishler, University of Arizona and the Politics of Uncivil Society in Nigeria

Ebenezer B. Obadare, London School of Economics and Political Science 4-19 DEMOCRATIZING CHALLENGES Overview: This paper interpretes the capital punishment debate Room TBA, Thur 3:45 in Nigeria as an expression of the struggle for the identity of the Chair Andrew P. Miller, Butler University Nigerian state Paper Interest Groups and Interests in Non-Pluralist Regimes, Paper How Does God Create Civil Society?: Denomination and Transitional Democrats and Developing Societies: Religiosity in the Political Culture of Nicaragua Components for a Theoretical Framework John G. Poffenbarger, West Virginia University Clive S. Thomas, University of Alaska, Juneau Overview: This research examines religious denomination and Overview: The paper identifies common elements and levels of religiosity on the creation of civil society in Nicaragua differences in interest group activity in non-pluralist, to determine the affects of the growing Evangelical movement transitional democracies and developing systems to provide an on civic participation. explanation of the development of interest groups in these Paper Religious Parties in India and Pakistan: The Contrasting systems. Political Fortunes of the BJP in India and the Jama‘at-I Paper Do Failed Coups Affect Regime Stability ? Islami in Pakistan Naunihal Singh, University of Notre Dame P. Pushkar, Concordia University Overview: Political scientists usually treat failed coups as non- Madhvi Gupta, McGill University events. Yet failed coups, like the 1991 failed coup in the Soviet Overview: In this paper, we ask two questions: 1) Why are Union, can have a powerful impact on a country by revealing some religious parties more successful than others in coming to important information about political actors. power? 2) Are moderate religious parties more successful than Paper Democracy and Authoritarianism: Regime Development in extremist parties? Bangladesh and Pakistan Paper The Construction of the Muslim Minority Identity in India Haroon K. Ullah, University of Michigan by the Rashtriya Swayamsewak Sangh (RSS). Overview: Why have the political systems of Pakistan (West Vasundhara Sirnate, University of California, Berkeley Pakistan) and Bangladesh (East Pakistan) evolved differently Overview: The paper deals with the process of 'othering' of since 1971, despite similar institutional legacies, economic Muslims in India through a planned process of vilification development, and colonial history? executed by Hindu right wing organizations like the RSS. Disc. Mariano J. Magalhaes, Augustana College Paper Identities, Migration and the Making of the Asian Global Cities 5-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: EUROPEAN Vera Zambonelli, Johns Hopkins University POLITICS II Overview: Is the global city a site “of alternative voices” to the Room TBA, Thur 3:45 nation-state interpretation of political identity? I address this Presenter Representation of East Germans in the Standing and linked questions examining Japanese, Chinese and Korean Committees of the Bundestag migration to Shanghai, Tokyo, and Singapore in the last two Melanie Kintz, Western Michigan University decades. Overview: Being part of a larger research project on the Disc. Fragano S.J. Ledgister, Clark Atlanta University representation of East Germans in German political institutions and especially in elite positions, this paper will look at the 4-3 DEMOCRATIZATION AND ECONOMIC representation of East Germans in the permanent committees of OPPORTUNITY STRUCTURES the Bundestag. Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Chair Maryjane Osa, Northwestern University 5-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: EUROPEAN Paper The Impact of Patterns of Economic Growth on POLITICS III Democratization Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Chin-en Wu, Academia Sinica Presenter Devalue or Defend? Varieties of Capitalism and Exchange Overview: This paper argues that different growth patterns Rate Policies entail distinct state-society relations. Those differences Jana Grittersova, Cornell University contribute to different income thresholds of democratic Overview: Why some countries do defend the exchange rate transitions and democratic consolidation, respectively. peg, while other devalue and shift to a float? I argue that Paper Revisiting Endogenous Democratization: Do International “corporatist” economies are more willing to defend the Factors Matter? exchange rate peg. Cristina Corduneanu-Huci, Duke University Overview: The paper re-analyses the relationship between 6-3 POWER OF LATIN AMERICAN economic performance, democratization and political stability across 90 political regimes (1945-1990), by including EXECUTIVES international context variables. Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Paper Endogenous Democratization: Evidence from IV and Chair Leslie Schwindt-Bayer, University of Mississippi Quantile Regression Paper Executive discretion in Argentina Marcus Alexander, Harvard University Juliana Bambaci, Stanford University Matthew C. Harding, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Overview: Executive discretion vis-à-vis the legislature varies Overview: We provide evidence that democratization and extensively. This paper explains why legislatures cede development are endogenous, and that the causal relationship constitutional prerogatives to the executive and tests it

Updated 03-01-05 37 empirically by analyzing data on budget legislation for James Garand, Louisiana State University Argentina since 1983. Paper Executives, Legislatures, and the Political Economy of 8-301 POSTER SESSION: AFRICAN POLITICS Market Reforms in Latin America (1985-1999) Room TBA, Thur 3:45 German J. Lodola, University of Pittsburgh Presenter Regional Integration in West Africa: Challenges and Overview: A Pooled Time-Series Cross-Sectional data for 13 Prospects on the Road from Regional Rhetoric to Regional Latin American countries between 1985 and 1999 is used to Reality analyze whether or not the spatial (ideological) location of Regina J. E2615 Martyn, University of Toronto presidents and legislatures shaped the adoption of market Overview: Many observers view regional integration in West reforms in the region. Africa as the only way to reverse the region’s economic Paper Presidential Leadership and Legislative Committees: An marginalization in the global economy. This paper examines Exploration of Gatekeeping in Latin America the viability of West Africa’s state-driven institutional approach Gregg B. Johnson, University at Buffalo, SUNY to integration. Overview: This paper seeks to test the potentially important gatekeeping role of legislative committees in the success or 9-301 POSTER SESSION: POLITICS OF failure of executive-initiated legislation in presidential systems beyond the American system. COMMUNIST AND FORMER COMMUNIST Paper Legislative Oversight in Separation of Powers Systems: COUNTRIES Evidence from Argentina Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Valeria Palanza, Princeton University Presenter Opinion of the Russian Foreign Policy Elites on the War on Overview: The paper analyzes legislative oversight in Chechnya: Selection Bias in Refusal to Give a Definite Argentina. MLE shows that divided government, legisltor Answer experience and certain parties systematically affect the strategic Natalia Matukhno, Ohio University game between legislators and executive. Overview: Heckman selection model was applied to analysis of Disc. Brian Crisp, Washington University, St. Louis respondents who declined to provide an opinion whether they Leslie Schwindt-Bayer, University of Mississippi supported or opposed the war in Chechnya. Presenter Individual Assessments of Democracy in Post-Communist 6-11 FACTORS AFFECTING VOTER TURNOUT Europe and Support for the European Union IN LATIN AMERICA David O. Rossbach, Texas A&M University Overview: This paper examines the effect that satisfaction with Room TBA, Thur 3:45 the progress of democratization in East Central Europe has on Chair Jose A. da Cruz, Armstrong Atlantic State University an individual’s views towards joining the European Union. Paper Voters as Fiscal Liberals: Fiscal Behavior and Electoral Presenter Why So Few Loyalists to the Right? The Balkanization of Performance in the Argentine Provinces the Right-Wing Party Space in Eastern Europe Mark P. Jones, Rice University Denitza A. Bojinova, University of Houston Pablo Sanguinetti, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Overview: The paper identifies patterns and causes of Mariano Tommasi, Universidad de San Andrés fragmentation in the right-wing party space of 14 Cental and Overview: The structure of Argentina's fiscal institutions Eastern European countries. suggests voters will not hold governors accountable for poor Presenter The Russian Trade Policy Since the Collapse of the Soviet fiscal behavior. We test this hypothesis via analysis of the effect Union of a governing party's fiscal behavior on its electoral Kursad Aslan, Kent State University performance. Overview: This paper analyzes transnational relations with a Paper Ethnicity in Elections: Indigenous Influence in Latin special focus on the Russia. The main concern here is the America reform movement in the Russian government at a state level Karleen A. Jones, University of Iowa with regard to the trade policy in order to access the World Robert J. McGrath, University of Iowa Trade Organization. Overview: This paper explores the party ties of the indigenous Presenter Party Competition in Serbia: Between Conflict and in Ecuador and Bolivia from democratization to 2002. Using Consensus district-level data from lower house elections, we run a count Slavisa Orlovic, University of Belgrade (Serbia) model to reflect indigenous influence on total seats earned by a Overview: The paper assesses party system development in the party. post-communist world, focusing on the case of Serbia. Paper Voter Turnout in the Latin American and East European Presenter The Fourth Branch of Government: A Case Study of the Democratic Transitions Procuracy in Post-Soviet Ukraine Timothy J. Power, Florida International University Andrey A. Meleshevich, Allegheny College Tatiana Kostadinova, Florida International University Dominic Randazzo, Allegheny College Overview: We study turnout levels in parliamentary elections Overview: Our paper examines the Ukrainian public during democratic transition by testing the effects of prosecutor’s office as a case study of post-Soviet procuracies institutional, socio-economic, and political factors with data struggling with a mandate to uphold democratic legal standards from Latin America and East Europe. while retaining the broad authorities that characterized their Paper The Effect of Open Presidential Primaries on Partisan Vote socialist past. and Election Turnout: The Case of Chile Presenter Liberal Imperialism and International Intervention in Post- Patricio D. Navia, New York University/Universidad Diego Dayton Bosnia Portales John W. Hulsey, Graduate Student Indiana University Overview: I test the hypothesis that holding open primaries has Overview: This paper is an analysis of the debate over the a negative effect on the presidential election support for the powers of the High Representative in Bosnia and Herzegovina primaries’ winner. with a focus on the formulations of the problem and of the Paper Do the Poor in Latin America Vote? future state of Bosnia used by actors and the connection to Michelle M. Taylor-Robinson, Texas A&M University proposed solutions. Nicolai Petrovsky, Texas A&M University Presenter Electoral Incentives and Post-Communist Economic Reform Overview: Why do Latin American politicians ignore the poor? Tanya G. Bagashka, University of Rochester This would be rational if the poor did not vote. We examine Overview: In this paper I investigate whether electoral rules, in whether the poor vote in all Latin American democracies and particular, the extent to which they encourage legislators to whether SES or dependence on patrons explain turnout. develop a personal vote can help us explain the great variation Disc. Elizabeth Zechmeister, University of California, Davis of economic reform success in the post-communist countries.

38 Updated 03-01-05 Presenter Creeping Authoritarianism: Exploring the Demand for Overview: In this paper, I explore the incentives of international Authoritarian Rule in Russia organizations in peacekeeping missions and how these Robert Person, Yale University incentives influence the conflict as well as the resulting peace. Overview: This paper seeks to explain the gradual re- Paper United States Humanitarian Interventions in Somalia and authoritarianization of Russia under Putin by focusing on Sudan: Why is There a Difference? demands for authoritarianism by citizens. Under what Ipshita Gupta, Marquette University conditions will citizens willingly (but perhaps unknowingly) Overview: The focus of my paper would be the nature of U.S. cede power to an autocrat? humanitarian intervention in Africa, particularly in Sudan and Presenter Legitimacy in the Russian State: Post Socialism- Crisis or Somalia. It would trace this difference in approach of United. Democracy? States in tackling the two areas of ethnic conflicts. Harry L. Humphries, Pittsburg State University Disc. Darren Hawkins, Brigham Young University Overview: This research examines the relationship between the fall of the Soviet Union and the rise and creation of Russian 11-4 POLICY DIFFUSION IN THE WORLD Nationalism. ECONOMY

Room TBA, Thur 3:45 10-2 THE POLITICS OF MILITARY Chair Dennis Quinn, Georgetown University INTERVENTION Paper Who Liberalizes? Explaining Cross-Country Variations in Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Trade Protection Though International Networks Chair Michael Gilligan, New York University Alexandra G. Guisinger, University of Notre Dame Paper Selecting the Targets of Military Interventions Overview: Expanding from previous quantitative work on the Elizabeth Nathan Saunders, Yale University international determinants of trade liberalization by developing Overview: This paper investigates empirically how leaders countries, this paper characterizes trade policy diffusion select targets for military interventions. I examine this process mechanisms and tests their explanatory power in four case in the Eisenhower period, using both the intervention in studies. Lebanon in July 1958 and the non-intervention in Iraq in the Paper Modeling Spatial Interdependence in Capital Tax Policy same month. Jude Hays, University of Michigan Paper Economic Ties and War Expansion: A Liberal Theory of Overview: TBA Intervention Paper Globalization, Policy Diffusion, and Welfare State Aysegul Aydin, International Peace Research Institute, Oslo Retrenchment in the Capitalist Democracies Overview: War diffusion is a neglected topic in the trade- Duane H. Swank, Marquette University conflict debate. I draw on the insights from the economic Overview: In the proposed paper, I build on my past work, liberalism literature and show that trading partners of the extend recent theorizing, and utilize newly available data to participants in an ongoing war, are more likely to intervene to develop and assess a model of the international and domestic settle the conflict. origins of contemporary trajectories of the welfare state. Paper Interrelated Third Party Interventions into Civil Wars Paper How do Policy-makers learn? The Case of Swedish Michael G. Findley, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Stabilization policies 1970-2000 Tze Kwang Teo, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Lars Jonung, DG ECFIN, European Commission, Brussels Overview: We statistically model third party intervention in Overview: Sweden changed its approach to stabilization policy ongoing civil wars, highlighting strategic interests of potential several times 1970-2000. These policy switches are examined in interveners, as opposed to the wars’ structural factors. A key detail using a policy learning perspective, concluding that nuance is the interrelationship between interventions in the policy-makers as well as economists applied a backward- same war. looking perspective. Paper Munich and Intervention Disc. Dennis Quinn, Georgetown University Maarten G. Rothman, Royal Dutch Military Academy Overview: The interpretation of Munich 1938, particularly the 11-6 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS AND TRADE omission of Czechs and Slovaks, reveals much about the POLICYMAKING contemporary interventionism. Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Disc. Michael Gilligan, New York University Chair Marc Busch, Queen's School of Business

Paper Democracy and Trade: Money, Votes and Seats 10-3 HUMANITARIAN INTERVENTION: PAST, Doces A. John, University of Southern California PRESENT, AND FUTURE B. Peter Rosendorff, University of Southern California Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Overview: We consider presidential versus parliamentary Chair Darren Hawkins, Brigham Young University democracies and trade openness. Our model and empirical Paper Humanitarian Intervention and Moral Hazard results show that parliamentary democracies have higher levels Vincent A. Auger, Western Illinois University of trade openness. Overview: This paper develops and tests a conceptual Paper Institutional Determinants of Agricultural Support framework based on the theory of "moral hazard" to examine Jong Hee Park, Washington University, St. Louis difficult choices third-party interveners face in situations of Overview: Institutional Determinants of Agricultural Support humanitarian intervention, using Kosovo and Macedonia as Paper Rules of Trade: Democracy and Legalism in Preferential heuristic cases. Trade Agreements Paper Humanitarian Military Intervention: A Critical Jon Pevehouse, University of Wisconsin Examination of a Debate Renee Buhr, University of Wisconsin Cristina G. Badescu, University of Western Ontario, Canada Overview: We examine the determinants of institutional design Overview: This paper is a critical examination of the debate on choices in trade agreements using a new data set of legal rules humanitarian military intervention. Apart from the key moral, specified in PTAs from 1950-2000. legal and political concepts related to intervention, it also Paper The Political Economy of Agricultural Protection Across the discusses the contentious issue of the right authority to OECD intervene. Cameron G. Thies, Louisiana State University Paper The Incentives of International Organizations in Schuyler Porche, Louisiana State University Peacekeeping Overview: We build upon earlier work on agricultural Susan Hannah Allen, University of Missouri protection by developing a statistical model that incorporates political institutional characteristics, alongside traditional

Updated 03-01-05 39 structural economic variables, for 15 OECD countries over the 14-5 BARGAINING AND CONFLICT period 1986-2001. Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Disc. Marc Busch, Queen's School of Business Chair Kristopher W. Ramsay, Princeton University Paper Military Coercion in Interstate Crises 12-3 DOMESTIC INFLUENCES ON Branislav L. Slantchev, University of California, San Diego INTERNATIONAL CONFLICT Overview: I examine the coercive role of strictly military Room TBA, Thur 3:45 measures and find an explanation for war that accounts for some Chair David H. Clark, Binghamton University deficiencies in existing ones. Paper Domestic Costs, Interdependence, and International Paper Conflicts and Commitments Conflict Konstantin Sonin, Institute for Advanced Study Joe Clare, Texas A&M University Michael Schwarz, University of California, Berkeley Overview: I examine how domestic (institutional) and Overview: The bargaining power of an aggressor increases international (strategic interdependence) factors interact to dramatically if he is able to make the threat divisible. In provide incentives, or disincentives, for leaders to initiate and particular, a blackmailer can extract a positive stream of escalate international conflicts. payments from the victim even if exercising the threat is costly Paper Transparency as the Source of Democratic Credibility in to him. Interstate Conflict Paper Bayesian Equilibria and Shifting Power Bargaining Games Peter M. Li, University of California, Los Angeles Joseph Gochal, New York University Overview: This paper is an empirical test of whether one can Jack S. Levy, Rutgers University use the argument that democracies are better able to send Overview: Using incentive compatibility, we examine Bayesian credible signals of their willingness to fight to explain the equilibria of a wide set of bargaining games with shifting power overall observed patterns of war. where one of three variables could be privately known to the Paper Riding the Peace Train? Marketization, Democratization, rising state: costs of fighting, initial power, and speeds of shifts. and Militarized Interstate Disputes Paper The Tangled Web: Coercive Diplomacy in Context Zachary M. Mears, Ohio State University Robert F. Trager, Columbia University Overview: To date, most studies of democratization and Overview: Because of what they reveal about intentions, threats international conflict have ignored the impact of domestic often run the risk of being provocative and bringing about a market-oriented reforms on both democratization and general breach in relations. As a result, costless communication international conflict. This paper examines these processes and occurs in the equilibria of a sufficiently rich deterrence game. their interactions. Disc. Ahmer Tarar, Texas A&M University Paper Why Don't You Trust Me? Power Preponderance and Kristopher W. Ramsay, Princeton University International Conflict Mark Souva, Florida State University 15-1 COMPARATIVE FOREIGN POLICY: Brandon Prins, Texas Tech University EUROPE Overview: Why does conflict occur in dyads with an imbalance Room TBA, Thur 3:45 of power? We theorize that conflict happens in imbalanced Chair R. Michael Smith, Glenville State College dyads because the stronger state is not able to credibly commit Paper High Politics’ after the EU: Greek Foreign Policy Towards to uphold a deal. Turkey Disc. David H. Clark, Binghamton University Akis Kalaitzidis, Central Missouri State University Overview: This paper addresses the shift of Greek foreign 13-3 THE DYNAMICS OF PROLIFERATION policy towards an integrationist approach vis-à-vis Turkey’s Room TBA, Thur 3:45 entrance into the EU. Chair Michael Horowitz, Harvard University Paper Toward A New North Atlantic Alliance Paper Does Proliferation Matter? Evaluating the Empirical Alex Schulman, University of California, Las Angeles Impact of Weapons of Mass Destruction Overview: A proposal, incorporating elements of classic Michael Horowitz, Harvard University political as well as International Relations theory, of a reformed Overview: This paper evaluates the empirical impact of Western Alliance to replace NATO acquiring weapons of mass destruction on the initiation and Paper Yes, Prime Minister: Power, Personality, and the Blair escalation of armed conflict, utilizing both case studies and Administration's Iraq Decisions quantitative methods. Stephen B. Dyson, Saint Olaf College Paper The Dynamism of Proliferation: A Quantitative and Brianna K. Lawrence, Washington State University Qualitative Approach Overview: I develop a framework for the explanation of foreign Alexander H. Montgomery, Stanford University policy decisions in Britain based upon a model of institutional Overview: Since nuclear proliferation is a dynamic, contingent structure, the resources of key decision makers, and the endeavor, it must be studied as such. The paper uses both individual characteristics of the prime minister. quantitative and qualitative methods to develop a framework for Paper Irish Foreign Policy with Post-Cold War Europe: The understanding the decision to acquire weapons of mass Transformation of Irish Peacekeeping Policy in the 21st destruction. Century Paper The Use and Abuse of Organization Theory in the Terry M. Mays, The Citadel Proliferation Debate Overview: Ireland has nearly abandoned its traditional role as a Todd Sechser, Stanford University major contributor to UN peacekeeping and now concentrates its Overview: The paper examines the application of organizational efforts in support of the EU and NATO. This paper examines theory to the study of proliferation, drawing on previous this transformation from a global to European-centered policy. research to develop a more realistically grounded organizational Disc. Oya Dursun, University of Texas, Austin model of proliferation. Paper The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, Counter- 15-2 U.S. FOREIGN POLICY IN THE MIDDLE Proliferation, and Non-Proliferation: Determining EAST American National Interests Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Christopher McIntosh, University of Chicago Chair Donald D.A. Schaefer, University of Washington Overview: This paper will use international relations theory to Paper U.S. Foreign Policy and the Development of Islamic Identity build a conceptual model for understanding US interests. The Philip W. Barker, University of Colorado model is applied to the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty in light William J. Muck, University of Colorado of concerns about counter-proliferation and non-proliferation

40 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This paper examines the current relationship between Tom M. Holbrook, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee U.S. foreign policy and Islamic nationalism in the Middle East, Scott D. McClurg, Southern Illinois University drawing parallels between previous intractable religious Overview: We investigate the impact of soft money conflicts and the evolving conflict between the US and the expenditures in the states on political behavior. Using Islamic world. combined FEC and survey data we examine three indicators of Paper Foreign Policy Prediction: A Decision Making Model to the individual voter mobilization: activation, re-activation, and Crises Between Iran and the United States party loyalty. Cengiz Erisen, Stony Brook University Paper Turnout and Citizen Initiatives: Are All Initiatives Created Overview: This paper scrutinizes the crises between Iran and the Equal? United States via utilizing decision-making models. Main John A. Grummel, West Virginia State University objective is to predict an empirical foreign policy analysis for Overview: This research examines whether controversial ballot current (i.e., negotiations on nuclear power) and future events. initiatives lead to higher voter turnout when such initiatives are Paper Anti-Americanism in Conservative Saudi Arabia and on the ballot. Jordan Paper Mobilizing Voters: Shaping the Electorate with Direct Abdalla M. Battah, Minnesota State University Democracy Overview: This paper provides an analysis of the root causes of Daniel Smith, University of Florida anti-Americanism in Saudi Arabia and Jordan, America’s Caroline J. Tolbert, Kent State University closest Arab allies. We will consider alternative perspectives Todd Donovan, Western Washington University generally employed to explain anti-Americanism in the Middle Overview: This research tests whether ballot measures mobilize East. people who resemble regular voters (partisans) or episodic Disc. Marijke Bruening, Truman State University voters (non partisans) in the 2004 presidential elections using survey data from five states. 16-3 IDENTITY Paper Reaching Out Through Redistribution: Competition, Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Mobilization, and Public Policy Chair Deborah J. Schildkraut, Tufts University John Sides, University of Texas, Austin Paper For Whom is Individualism Racialized? Education, Racial Andrew Karch, University of Texas, Austin Cues, and the Activation of the Protestant Work Ethic Overview: We examine the connection between electoral Christopher M. Federico, University of Minnesota competition and redistributive public policy, arguing that this Overview: I demonstrate that individualism is not only more link depends on candidates’ campaign messages and on how likely to predict negative evaluations of welfare recipients when those messages mobilize certain groups of voters. they are described as Black, but that this interaction between Disc. Keith W. Reeves, Swarthmore College individualism and racial cues is stronger among well-educated Andrea Campbell, Harvard University whites. Paper Benefitting the National Group – At Least Some of It: The 17-12 INDIVIDUAL AND CONTEXTUAL Consequences of Limiting Who Counts as an American DETERMINANTS OF VOTER TURNOUT Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Overview: Using a national survey and three experiments, I Chair Samantha Luks, University of Minnesota analyze how people treat fellow Americans who criticize the Paper Estimating the Casual Effect of Policy Informaiton on Voter U.S. and people’s willingness to be generous with fellow group Turnout: An Internet-based Randomized Field members depending on their prototypical or marginalized status Experimment in Japan in the group. Yusaku Horiuchi, Australian National University Paper Critical Takes on American Identity: Poor and Minority Kosuke Imai, Princeton University Identity Responses to September 11, 2001 Naoko Taniguchi, Teikyo University, University of Michigan Erin E. O'Brien, Kent State University Overview: Do voters cast their ballots based on policy Overview: “United We Stand.” This suggests Americans information? We empirically test this fundamental question of identified as such following 9/11 and did so regardless of their democratic process using the data from a randomized field race, class, or gender. This paper uses in-depth interviews experiment during Japan's 2004 Upper House election. conducted in the 3 months before and after 9/11 to evaluate Paper Social Embeddedness and Voting: The Paradox of Voter these claims. Turnout Revisited Paper Testing Huntington: The Impact of the New Immigration Samuel J. Abrams, Harvard University American Identity Torben Iversen, Harvard University Jack Citrin, University of California, Berkeley Overview: Given the failure of instrumental rat choice models Amy Lerman, University of California, Berkeley to explain turnout, we propose an alternative socially embedded Michael Murakami, University of California, Berkeley logic of turnout. Our socially embedded framework of Overview: Huntington's WHO ARE WE NOW? asserts that the participation predicts turnout and reintroduces rationality into current pattern of immigration is eroding American national participation. identity. This paper uses a range of surveys to test this Paper Residential Effects on the Presidential Election: A Multilevel proposition. Analysis of the 2000 Election Disc. Deborah J. Schildkraut, Tufts University Jonghoon Eun, Univeristy of Texas, Austin Overview: This paper examines the question whether and how 17-4 THE FIRE THIS TIME: HOW CAMPAIGNS residential factors at the county level affect individual voting AND INITIATIVES MOBILIZE VOTERS decision. For the empirical analysis, I rely on multilevel analysis Room TBA, Thur 3:45 of the 2000 election using multilevel data. Chair Keith W. Reeves, Swarthmore College Paper The Effect of Primary Group, Living Arrangement and Paper The New Search for Campaign Effects: Candidates, Parties, Immigration Status On Electoral Turnout and Effects on Voters Iris Hui, University of Calfornia, Berkeley Brian J. Brox, The University of Texas at Austin Overview: This paper examines how living arrangement Overview: In this study of campaign effects in Congressional interacts with immigration status in affecting individual's elections from 1992 to 2002, I use resource allocation data for electoral turnout. candidates and parties to describe what they spend money on Paper Military Service and Turnout: The Impact of Veteran and how those activities affect voting behavior. Status on the Decision to Vote Paper The Mobilizing Effects of Soft Money in American William G. Dubyak, United States Naval Academy Presidential Elections

Updated 03-01-05 41 Overview: This paper examines the impact of military service Chair Nancy Burgoyne, Seattle University on turn out; does a military background make voters more likely Paper Reform, Rescue, or Run out of Money? Patterns of Political to vote relative to demographically similar voters who lack Communication in the Debate over Social Security military experience? Jennifer Jerit, Southern Illinois University Disc. Keiko Ono, University of Michigan Overview: This study examines patterns of political Samantha Luks, University of Minnesota communication during the 1998-1999 debate over Social Security reform in 10 prominent media sources and the political 18-10 PARTISAN AND COALITION EFFECTS OF transcripts of elected officials. ELECTORAL SYSTEMS Paper Media Message Flows and Interpersonal Communication: The Conditional Nature of Effects on Public Opinion Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Claes H. deVreese, University of Amsterdam Chair Sona N. Golder, University of Iowa Hajo G. Boomgaarden, University of Amsterdam Paper Determinants of Party Systems: Comparing Established and Overview: Study of simulatenous effects of different media New Democracies messages and interpersonal communication on change in public Michael G. Huelshoff, University of New Orleans opinion. Marc Rosemblum, University of New Orleans Paper The Partisan Dynamics of Political Issues: The Role of Overview: Earlier research has demonstrated that the Interest Groups and the Mass Media in the Contestation of conventional wisdom regarding the determinants of the number Abortion and Crime of political parties in a system does not hold for many new Edward G. Carmines, Indiana University democracies. This paper explores three rival interpretations for Jessica C. Gerrity, Indiana University this pattern. Michael W. Wagner, Indiana University Paper Electoral Coalitions in a Mixed-Member Electoral System: Overview: What role do interest groups and the mass media The Case of Post-Communist Hungary play in the process of politicizing or depoliticizing issues? This Csaba Nikolenyi, Concordia University paper analyzes this question by examining media coverage of Overview: Hungary’s electoral system provides political parties interest groups organized around two issues, abortion and crime. with incentives both to compete and cooperate. The paper Paper Issue News in Presidential Campaigns: The Interaction of adopts Tsebelis’ model of electoral coalitions to explain how Candidate Messages, Journalistic Norms, and Issue political parties respond to these incentives. Ownership Paper Portuguese Party Politics and Local Government Coalition Danny Hayes, University of Texas, Austin Formation Overview: This paper develops and tests a theory of “issue Pedro J. Camões, University of Minho - Portugal news” in presidential campaigns. Using candidate and media Sílvia M. Mendes, University of Minho, Portugal data from the 1996 and 2000 elections, I examine how candidate Overview: Using a unique survey level dataset from the 308 messages, journalistic norms, and issue ownership shape issue municipalities and the Laver and Shepsle portfolio allocation news coverage. model of government, this paper seeks to explain coalition Disc. Nancy Burgoyne, Seattle University formation of local governments in Portugal throughout the Valerie Hunt, Southern Methodist University democratic regime.

Paper Changes in Party Structure: Origins and Implications Matthew C. Falvey, Creighton University 21-12 TRUST IN THE MEDIA--CREDIBILITY OF Overview: Qualitative and quantitative analysis is used to seek THE MEDIA an explanation for cases in which a democracy’s number of Room TBA, Thur 3:45 viable political parties has undergone a lasting change. Chair Erika King, Grand Valley State University Disc. Sona N. Golder, University of Iowa Paper Media Coverage of Scandal and Declining Trust in Emily Clough, University of North Texas Government: An Experimental Analysis of 9/11 Commission Testimony 20-8 WHO CONTRIBUTES? Christopher A. Cooper, Western Carolina University Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Anthony J. Nownes, University of Tennessee Chair Bruce Larson, Farleigh Dickinson University Overview: We use an experimental design to determine the Paper Consumption or Investment? Campaign Contributions and effect of contentious, partisan coverage of government on the Structure of Executive Compensation citizen evaluations of government. We also test whether Sanford C. Gordon, New York University citizens make distinctions among levels of government when Catherine Hafer, New York University assigning blame. Dimitri Landa, New York University Paper Fact-checking and Media Performance in the 2004 Overview: Corporate executives perceive government policy Presidential Campaign affects firm profitability. Those whose compensation varies Robert Dion, University of Evansville with corporate earnings should contribute if they believe it Overview: This paper examines the collision between the makes favorable policy likely. We test this with data on S&P demands of a 24-hour news cycle and the desire by professional 1500 executives. journalists to provide meaningful context for news consumers. Paper Friends and Money: Candidates, Social Networks and the Paper Attitudes toward the News Media and Voting Behavior Search for Campaign Contributions Jonathan Ladd, Princeton University Meredith Rolfe, University of Chicago Overview: I find that those who with more negative attitudes Overview: In this paper, I examine the direct and indirect effects toward the press as an institution are more influenced by their of political mobilization and personal requests on campaign party identification and less influenced by current economic contributions. conditions when making voting decisions. Paper Post-Incorporation Inequality: Evidence from a Phiadelphia Paper Politics by Another Medium: The War for Hearts and Case Study Minds on the New York Times Bestseller List Hillard W. Pouncy, Princeton University Janet L. Donavan, University of Puget Sound Overview: This study seeks to determine whether electoral data Overview: This paper explores the claims and evidence in also supports Dawson’s racial heuristic hypothesis. recent books about the Iraq war, compares the arguments and Disc. Bruce Larson, Farleigh Dickinson University evidence to those found in the traditional media, and assesses the impact of these books on the information environment. 21-1 CONTENT AND EFFECT OF ISSUE Disc. Erika King, Grand Valley State University

COVERAGE Room TBA, Thur 3:45

42 Updated 03-01-05 21-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: MINORITIES Overview: Under what conditions do female legislators provide IN ADS AND NEWS COVERAGE substantive representation for women in the populace? This paper examines political women’s roles in getting conceal and Room TBA, Thur 3:45 carry firearm legislation passed in the MN state legislature. Presenter Citizens or Consumers: Minority Images in the Public Disc. Elizabeth A. Bennion, Indiana University, South Bend Sphere

John R. Arnold, Wayne State University Overview: TBA 23-14 LATINO REPRESENTATION Presenter Wal-Mart is Coming vs. Hold the Line On Health Care: Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Media Coverage of the Southern California Grocery Chair Henry Flores, St. Mary's University Lockout Paper Who Evaluates a Presidential Candidate Using Non-Policy Mark Q. Sawyer, University of California, Los Angeles Campaign Messages? Hector Perla, University of California, Los Angeles Marisa A. Abrajano, New York University Overview: This paper examines coverage in the Los Angeles Overview: This paper tests the hypothesis that low-information Times and La Opinion of the Southern California Grocery voters are more likely to evaluate a candidate using personalistic Lockout or non-policy campaign messages than voters with greater levels of stored political knowledge. 21-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Paper Latino Representation in Congress and State Legislatures: Assessing Roll Call Voting Patterns INTERNATIONAL COVERAGE OF THE Jason P. Casellas, Princeton University UNITED STATES Overview: This paper addresses the issue of Latino substantive Room TBA, Thur 3:45 representation by examining roll-call votes in the U.S. House, as Presenter Respected in the World: America's Image in The well as a some state legislatures in order to determine if Latino International Mass Media legislators vote differently than their non-Latino counterparts. Monica Postelnicu, University of FLorida Paper Proximity and Responsiveness to United States House Hyun J. Yun, University of Florida Members in Racially and Ethnically Mixed Congressional Overview: The study is a framing analysis of how international Districts media covered the 2004 US presidential campaign. Newspaper Brad Jones, University of Arizona articles from six countries were analyzed to identify how the Regina Branton, Rice University media in Canada, Europe, Asia and Middle East portray the two Jennifer Byrne, University of Arizona candidates. Overview: In this paper, we will use pooled survey data Presenter Curse or Blessing?: The Impact of Candidate Image in (primarily the NES) to examine how minority constituents Evaluation of United States Policy Messages in Europe (black, Latino, and Asian) evaluate and perceive their U.S. Tereza Capelos, Leiden University House representatives. Marloes Stammen, Leiden University Paper Latino Electoral Participation: Can Changing the Vote Michiel Hendrix, Leiden University Question Reduce Over-Reporting? Anna Den Otter, Leiden University David L. Leal, University of Texas, Austin Danieal Piccio, Leiden University Robert D. Wrinkle, University of Texas, Pan American Lorena Buijs, Leiden University Jerry L. Polinard, University of Texas Pan American Overview: In an experimental study we evaluate the impact of Overview: This paper tests whether a new voting question the image of George W. Bush and John F. Kerry on the way (originally developed by Belli, Traugott, Young, and European citizens understand policy issues as they appear in the McGonagle 1999) can reduce the over-reporting of voting by news media Latinos. It uses a validated 2004 survey of 1,200 Latino respondents in Texas. 22-4 WOMEN AND POLITICS AT THE STATE Disc. Henry Flores, St. Mary's University AND LOCAL LEVELS Room TBA, Thur 3:45 23-15 LATINO POLITICS Chair Janet K. Boles, Marquette University Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Paper Ghettoization and Glass Walls: Prevalence of Women in Chair Manny Avalos, Arizona State University Local Elected Office Paper Dual Citizenship among American Latinos: What Are the Ethan M. Bernick, University of Illinois at Springfield Implications for Political-Connectedness? Leslie Rossman, University of Illinois, Springfield Robert A. Jackson, Florida State University Overview: This research attempts to determine the reasons for Damarys Canache, Florida State University the large presence of women in the offices such as county and Jeffrey K. Staton, Florida State University circuit clerk. Women dominate these elected offices as a result Overview: Focusing on Latinos, this paper will assess of the traditional views of what constitutes a “women’s empirically Samuel Huntington’s recent, provocative claim that occupation.” dual citizenship inhibits connectedness to the American political Paper A Woman’s Work is Never Done? Female State Legislative system. Candidates’ Perceptions About and Effort Devoted Towards Paper Religious Traditionalism and Latino Politics in the United Fundraising States Shannon Jenkins, University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth Nathan Kelly, University at Buffalo, SUNY Overview: This paper examines the differences between female Jana Morgan Kelly, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill and male state legislative candidates’ perceptions about and Overview: In this paper we examine the role of religious effort devoted to fundraising, with the goal of understanding traditionalism in Latino politics. We find that while the level of whether or not such differences contribute to the lack of female religious traditionalism among Latinos is similar to that of non- candidates. Latinos, its political impact is somewhat different. Paper Gender, Ambition and the Judiciary Paper The Effects of Perceived Discrimination on Voting Behavior Margaret S. Williams, James Madison University Simran Singh, New York University Overview: This study examines survey data of attorneys and Overview: This paper explores the impact of perceived judges in the state of Texas to determine if women and men discrimination on voting and participation beyond voting. I find differ in their ambition for the judiciary. that perceived discrimination has a significant effect on voting, Paper The Passage of Conceal and Carry Firearm Legislation in signing petitions, and contributing money. the Minnesota State Legislature: Political Women in Action Julie Dolan, Macalester College

Updated 03-01-05 43 Paper The Impact of Post-September 11, 2001 Counter-terrorism Paper Time is on Our Side (though we might be running out of it): Policies on the U.S. Latino Population: We are Americans Temporal Aspects of Democracy at War Too Sigal R. Ben-Porath, University of Pennsylvania Jeanette Tejeda de Gomez, University of Arizona Overview: When a democracy is involved in war, various Overview: How have post-September 11, 2001 counter- tensions emerge in its social order. One of those is the terrorism policies affected the civil liberties of the U.S. Latino conception of emergency time, based on a notion of ‘progress,’ population? This study contributes by quantifying the which pulls both in the direction of immediate action and in that relationship between counter-terrorism policy and civil liberties. of stagnation. Disc. Manny Avalos, Arizona State University Paper Political Torture and the National Security State Anthony D. Lott, University of Glasgow 25-3 AUTONOMY Overview: Tracing the modern use of political torture to proto- Room TBA, Thur 3:45 fascist writings, anti-democratic movements, and a conception Chair Penny A. Weiss, Purdue University of the 'national security state', this paper argues that modern Paper Rousseau's Desire to Extend Our Being forms of torture grow out of a particular view of the 'body Steve R. McCarl, University of Denver politic'. Overview: A critical analysis of Rousseau's "desire to extend Paper Two Conceptions of Emergency being," which places it in the context of the history of political Jennifer Rubenstein, University of Chicago thought. Overview: This paper develops a conception of “emergency” Paper Kantian Personal Autonomy that is more useful for analyzing humanitarian crises than the Robert S. Taylor, University of California, Davis conception dominant in the existing literature, and asks whether Overview: I argue that Kant's Doctrine of Virtue contains a the power to designate emergencies should be wielded more conception of personal autonomy, a discovery that highlights democratically. previously unnoticed features of Kant's moral theory and Paper Democracy and Exclusion provides an essential line of defense against two critiques of Jeff Spinner-Halev, University of Nebraska Rawlsian agency. Overview: This paper discusses why democracies are often Paper Hegel's Critique of Modernity: The Individual and exclusive in various ways, particularly when they first emerge Community and in times of threat. Timothy C. Luther, California Baptist University Disc. Suzanne Dovi, University of Arizona Overview: The paper discusses Hegel’s conception civil society Mariah Zeisberg, Brown University as a key to particularity and explores his notion of the state as the key to universality. It assesses his attempt to overcome 28-4 QUANTITATIVE METHODS AND modern alienation. COMPARATIVE POLITICS OF Paper Autonomy and Freedom as Distinct Concepts DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (Co-sponsored Maria G. Kowalski, Columbia University Overview: The concepts of autonomy and freedom have been with Comparative Politics-Developing used interchangeably in many debates. By engaging the Countries, see 3-22) arguments presented by Hegel in "Philosophy of Right," I argue Room TBA, Thur 3:45 that autonomy and freedom are distinct–but related–concepts. Chair Augustine Hammond, University of Akron Paper The Subject that Binds: Getting Over Our Romance with Paper Cooptation and Coercion of Workers under Dictatorship Autonomy Jennifer Gandhi, Emory University Claire E. Rasmussen, University of Delaware Wonik Kim, Louisiana State University Overview: Autonomy is a central concept in modern political Overview: How do dictatorships treat labor under dictatorship? thought. I suggest a critical re-engagement with the concept We employ statistical analysis to determine whether different that will enable us to both rethink autonomy and how we types of dictatorships during the post-war period provide greater approach political theorizing more generally. compensation to workers or engage in greater labor suppression. Disc. John Christman, Pennsylvania State University Paper The Political Effects of a Social Transfer Program: PROGRESA and the PRI in Mexico 26-12 RETHINKING POLITICAL INQUIRY (Co- Tina R. Green, University of California, Berkeley sponsored with Political Culture, see 42-4) Overview: This paper tests for political effects of PROGRESA, a social transfer program in Mexico. To estimate an effect, we Room TBA, Thur 3:45 use instrumental variables to exploit a discontinuity in the Chair Keith Topper, Northwestern University probability that a community received assistance through the Paper Consequences of Pragmatism: A Pragmatist Assessment program. James Johnson, University of Rochester Paper The Impact of Private Sector Development on Overview: I argue that positivism has had baleful practical Democratization in Developing Countries: A Time-Series consequences for research in the discipline and debates over Cross-Sectional Analysis on Democracy and Capitalism how that research is assessed. My aim is to identify those Ji-Hyang Jang, University of Texas, Austin consequences as a first step toward figuring out how we might Overview: The failure of democratization in most developing rectify them. countries is due to the lack of private sector development, and Paper Rethinking Political Inquiry thus incumbent regimes could keep their vested interests Lisa Wedeen, University of Chicago without the challenges of political changes from independent Overview: TBA entrepreneurs. Paper The New Biological Turn: Nature’s Constraints on Social Paper Ethnic Violence-Growth Matters! An Empirical Action and Social Inquiry Investigation of Hindu-Muslim Riots in India Mika LaVaque-Manty, University of Michigan Ernest J. Sergenti, New York University Overview: My paper explores the renewed turn to biology social Anjali Thomas, New York University inquiry. I argue that there are multiple ways that nature can be Overview: Within the Literature on ethnic violence in India, few conceptualized in social inquiry and that a Kantian model offers scholars hae regarded growth as pertinent. We examine the advantages that political scientists should find appealing. effect of growth on the incidence of Hindu-Muslim riots in Disc. Keith Topper, Northwestern University India. We also address endogeneity concerns by instrumenting

for growth. 26-16 THREAT AND DEMOCRACY Disc. Augustine Hammond, University of Akron Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Chair Suzanne Dovi, University of Arizona

44 Updated 03-01-05 29-2 INTEREST GROUP COALITIONS AND Paper Unlikely Bedfellows: When and How Federal Agencies Use NETWORKS Congressional Oversight to Constrain the President During the Regulatory Process Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Erik Godwin, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Chair Beth Leech, Rutgers University Overview: I empirically demonstrate that, contrary to existing Paper Strange Bedfellows or the Usual Suspects? Spatial Models principal-agent assumptions, federal agencies may prefer to of Ideology and Interest Group Coalitions. have their policy-making authority constrained by Congress in Richard Almeida, Southeast Missouri State University order to increase the agencies’ bargaining power with the Overview: TBA President. Paper Agendas and Organizational Change in Interest Groups: Paper Legislative Strategies of Bureaucratic Interaction The Break-up of the German Pharmaceutical Industry Sarah Poggione, Florida International University Association Christopher M. Reenock, Florida State University Andreas Broscheid, University of North Carolina, Pembroke Overview: Using survey data on 2,500 state legislators, we test Overview: This paper presents a formal model of organizational hypotheses on legislators’ decisions to adopt one of four change in interest groups, combining theories of agenda change strategies of interaction with respect to bureaucratic oversight: and conditional cooperation. The results are illustrated in a case activists, pragmatists, designers, and abdicators. study. Paper An Analysis of Party Dynamics in Congressional Control of Paper Partisanship and Collective Action Inside Interest Group Bureaucratic Institutions: A Study of Party Voting on Coalitions Statutes Instructing the Environmental Protection Agency Michael T. Heaney, Yale University Ryan J. Vander Wielen, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: Interest groups care about the partisan composition Overview: I explore the manner in which congressional of their lobbying coalitions. Coalitions that have a Republican decisions to modify the activities of the Environmental tilt or a bipartisan balance are more effective in overcoming Protection Agency (EPA) are shaped by a critical institutional their collective action problems than coalitions that lean mechanism – the political party. Democratic. Disc. Jason A. MacDonald, Kent State University Paper The Structure of Interest Group Issue Networks in DC Lawrence Becker, California State University, Northridge Suzanne M. Robbins, George Mason University

Overview: When do groups share specialized information to achieve common and disparate goals? This paper investigates 32-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PRIMARIES how groups trade information in informal networks to improve AND GENERAL ELECTIONS IN their credibility with decision makers and influence policy. CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS Disc. Andrew McFarland, University of Illinois, Chicago Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Presenter The Relationship Between Divisive Primaries and General 29-12 PARTIES AND ELECTIONS Election Results: Evidence from State Level Elections Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Jeffrey Lazarus, Georgia State University Chair Johannes Moenius, Northwestern University Overview: The relationship between primary divisiveness and Paper The Dynamics of the “Invisible Primary” in Presidential general election results is spurious. Previous work has shown Nominations, 1980 to 2004 this in House races, but different factors are at work at the state Marty Cohen, University of California, Los Angeles level. I perform a test with data from Senate and Governor’s David Karol, University of California, Berkeley races. Hans Noel, University of California, Los Angeles John Zaller, University of California, Los Angeles 32-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PRIMARIES Overview: Previous work has that shown high profile AND GENERAL ELECTIONS IN endorsements in the invisible primary are an excellent predictor of the performance of presidential candidates in the actual CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS primaries. This paper attempts describes the dynamics of the Room TBA, Thur 3:45 invisible primary. Presenter A Joint Model of a Primary and General Election Paper The Nationalization of Party Systems: Conceptual Issues Michael Tofias, Duke University and Alternative District-Focused Measures Overview: The relationship between primaries and general Johannes Moenius, Kellogg School of Management elections is considered by building a game-theoretic model Yuko Kasuya, Keio University (solved computationally) with insights from previous sequential Overview: New measures of party competition with a spatial models. The model is then tested on congressional data. demonstration of their usefulness in the case of the United States. 33-5 COMPARATIVE COURTS Paper The Electoral Roots of Congressional Parties Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Jeremy C. Pope, Brigham Young University Chair Jeremy Buchman, Long Island University Overview: Positive party theorists suggest that party reputation Paper Experienced Advocates and Litigation Outcomes: Repeat is a very relevant factor in voter decision-making. Empirical Players in the South African Supreme Court of Appeal work finds a party reputation effect for recent elections, but not Stacia L. Haynie, Louisiana State University earlier periods when parties were less ideologically distinct. Overview: This paper seeks to evaluate the relationship between Disc. Barbara Trish, Grinnell College litigation outcomes and the experience of the advocate in cases before the South African Supreme Court of Appeal. 31-4 LEGISLATIVE OVERSIGHT Paper Do American Theories Travel Well Down Under? Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Exploring Institutional Cohesion in the Australian High Chair Charles Shipan, University of Iowa Court Paper Information, Capacity, and Control: Delegation and the Jason L. Pierce, University of Dayton Government Performance and Results Act, 1993-2003 Overview: As part of a larger project comparing institutional Matthew Dull, University of Wisconsin, Madison cohesion in courts of final appeal, this article tests the Overview: Drawing on contemporary scholarship on the role of exportability of concepts and conclusions about U.S. Supreme information in institutional politics, this paper examines the Court cohesion in the High Court of Australia. emergence and congressional use of information generated by Paper An Analysis of the Russian Constitutional Court and its the Government Performance and Results Act (1993). Role in Resolving Issues of Federalism in the Russian Federation for the Period 1995-2003 Sabrina L. Pinnell, University of California, Santa Barbara

Updated 03-01-05 45 Overview: This paper statistically tests propositions that the Paper State Promotion of International Trade in the Post 9/11 Russian Constitutional Court favors some levels of government Environment: A Case Study of Massachusetts and Ohio over others in making decisions on federalist issues. Jacqueline DeLaat, Marietta College Paper High Court of Justice and Separation of Powers in Israeli Overview: The paper compares Ohio and Massachusetts in their Democracy promotion of international trade, before and after 9/11, using Ehud N. Sommer, SUNY Stony Brook previous theories and data gathering about "best practices" in Jeffrey A. Segal, SUNY Stony Brook trade promotion as a baseline for the comparison. Overview: We examine decision making in the Israeli Supreme Court sitting as High Court of Justice across the disparate areas 36-2 EXPLAINING POLICY CHOICE IN URBAN of national security and religious freedom. AREAS Paper Jury, Judges, and Corruption – A Cross National Analysis Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Stan Wong, University of California, Los Angeles Chair Fred A. Meyer, Ball State University Overview: This paper examines the effects of the judicial Paper Dimensions of the Global City -- Looking Beyond institutions pertinent to the British common law on corruption. Economics Disc. Jeremy Buchman, Long Island University Daniel E. Bliss, University of Illinois at Chicago Royu B. Flemming, Texas A&M University Overview: A study of five US metropolitan areas encompassing

some 60 counties provides empirical support for the argument 34-102 AUTHORS MEET CRITICS: LOVELL'S that urban globalism encompasses more than the global "LEGISLATIVE DEFERRALS" AND economy or the central city, with immigration in particular PICKERILL'S "CONSTITUTIONAL proving to be important. DELIBERATION IN CONGRESS" Paper Measuring and Explaining the Anti-Poverty Policies of Cities: The Value of Actual and Hypothetical Cases Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Paul D. Schumaker, University of Kanas Chair Thomas M. Keck, Syracuse University Marisa Kelly, University of the Pacific Presenter Lee Epstein, Washington University Overview: Interview data are use to examine how the moral Gerald Rosenberg, University of Chicago principles of city officials affect anti-poverty policies, Georg Vanberg, University of North Carolina independent of contextual factors. We also assess the uses of Rogan Kersh, Syracuse University hypothetical and actual cases in researching such questions. J. Mitchell Pickerill, Washington State University Paper Cultural Change, Economic Security, and Local Policy George Lovell, University of Washington Choices: Explaining Progressive Politics Overview: In these recent books, George Lovell and Mitch Donald L. Rosdil, Northern Virginia Community College Pickerill examine the interaction of the Supreme Court and Overview: The paper examines the contribution of religiosity, Congress. Students of these two institutions from a variety of nontraditional cultures, and economic security to the adoption of disciplinary perspectives offer their assessments. progressive measures by US cities.

Paper Metropolitan Institutions and Policy Responsiveness in 35-8 STATE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT American Cities POLICY Christine A. Kelleher, University of Michigan, Dearborn Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Overview: I specifically examine how the degree of political Chair Willard B. Stouffer, Texas State University fragmentation or regional consolidation within an area Paper For the Common Good: Intergovernmental Community influences policy responsiveness. Development Efforts that May or May Not Provide Disc. Armando Xavier Mejia, University of Wisconsin, Madison Economic Development Benefits Anne F. Peterson, University of Washington, Bothell Donna M. Handley, University of Alabama, Birmingham Overview: Study evaluates implementation of Community 36-101 ROUNDTABLE: THE NEW CHICAGO Development Block Grant in 20 states, and evaluates grant POLITICS administrators' perceptions regarding why $ is/is not utilized for Room TBA, Thur 3:45 economic development activities. Panelist Costas Spirou, National-Louis University Paper Economic Development Activities of Missouri Cities: A Terry Clark, University of Chicago Discussion of Survey Results William Grimshaw, Illinois Institute of Technology David L. McLaughlin, Northwest Missouri State University Dennis Judd, University of Illinois, Chicago Kevin Buterbaugh, Southern Connecticut University David Perry, University of Illinois, Chicago Overview: Discussion of the results of a survey of 220 Missouri Dick Simpson, University of Illinois,Chicago municipalities with a population of greater than 2000. This Overview: This session brings together Chicago scholars survey, conducted in the Spring of 2004, is the third in a series engaged in a project that aims to describe and analyze new of surveys. directions in Chicago politics. The impact of globalization, Paper Institutional Collective Action, Social Capital and the economic restructuring, consumption, the effect of national Formation of Regional Partnerhship for Economic policies is addressed. Development in U.S. Metropolitan Areas

Hyung Jun Park, Florida State University Overview: This paper investigates one kind of collective action, 37-3 EDUCATION POLICY the formation of regional partnerships in governmentally Room TBA, Thur 3:45 fragmented metropolitan areas and role of diverse social capitals Chair James E. Anderson, Texas A&M University through applying ICA framework. Paper Electoral State Education Policy Density and its Paper A Contextual Analysis of TIF, Economic Development, and Consequences Culture David J. Webber, University of Missouri, Columbia Nicholas P. Guehlstorf, Southern Illinois University, Overview: One measure of “policy density” is the ratio of Edwardsville school board members per state legislators. It is expected that Andrew J. Theising, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville states with a high ratio of school board members to state Overview: State TIF laws and local projects should be analyzed legislators will provide a higher portion of K-12 from state as a cultural framework of institutional behavior because it revenue. captures important values not represented in the old economic Paper Towards a Better Understanding of the Origins and manner of assessing economic development. Consequences of Inequality in Public School Funding: Measuring the Consequences of Fixed Per-Pupil Funding Formulas on Small, Rural Schools

46 Updated 03-01-05 Gregory R. Thorson, University of Minnesota, Morris Overview: A critique of the two models of human behavior Overview: This paper examines the disparities created by underlying much of public administration theory, and a sketch funding public schools with a fixed per-pupil funding formula. and an empirical test of an alternate model. Small rural schools are disproportionately disadvantaged. Paper When Bureaucracy's Mission Changes: The Department of Paper International Students: Why do They Choose the United Homeland Security States as a Study Abroad Destination? Richard W. Waterman, University of Kentucky Mee Young Han, American University Jeff Gill, University of California at Davis Overview: The main question this paper investigates is why Overview: James Q. Wilson has noted that bureaucracy's are international students go to the US to study abroad. motivated by their mission and a critical component of Paper State and Federal Policy and Regulatory Framework for bureaucratic behavior. We examine the role of mission in For-Profit Degree Granting Institutions: How Did We Get relationship to the new Department of Homeland Security. Where We Are and Where Are We Going? Paper The Motivation Crowding Effect and the Federal Carol Everly Floyd, Independent Consultant Bureaucrat Overview: The public policy accountability framework for for- Anthony Bertelli, University of Georgia profit colleges is examined: state licensing, accreditation, and Sung Joo Choi, University of Georgia federal student financial aid eligibility. Ways that public Overview: Do performance incentives such as GPRA and the accountability expectations might evolve are categorized. President’s Management Agenda crowd-in or crowd-out the Paper Church, State and Market: Toward a Typology of Post- intrinsic motivations of federal bureaucrats? Secondary Education Paper We Make the Rules: Policymakers in Executive Agencies David C. Paris, Hamilton College Ryan T. Rynbrandt, University of Michigan Overview: This paper develops a typology for analysing Overview: I develop and test a model of agency rulemaking in postsecondary educational policies and practices and applies it which entrepreneurial bureaucratic behavior is a function of rule to everal policy issues. maker preferences and the positions of veto players. Disc. Scott Abernathy, University of Minnesota Disc. Doo-Rae Kim, Michigan State University Neal D. Woods, University of South Carolina 38-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: IDEOLOGY AND SOCIAL POLICY 40-11 DEMOCRATIC DEVELOPMENT: Room TBA, Thur 3:45 PHILOSOPHICAL APPROACHES Presenter "Second Chances" in American Social Policy: An Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Examination of Political and Social Thought Chair Ajay K. Mehrotra, Indiana University, Bloomington Dan A. Lewis, Northwestern University Paper Education and Technology: Their Roles in a Democratic Melissa A. Rudd, Northwestern University Society Overview: We examine the ways in which social theorists and Kenann McKenzie-Thompson, Teachers College, Columbia policymakers have come to understand the role of “second Overview: In our relatively new knowledge-based society, chances” in American social policy and explore alternative technology in the classroom has been equated with offering visions of the reigning paradigm, using the welfare debate as a more opportunities for engagement in civic society and overall, case study. promoting a more democratic society. Presenter From Radical to Conservative: The Political Construction of Paper Representation, Cooperation, or Co-Optation? American Civil Unions and Changing Public Attitudes Political Development and the Control of Communication Kenneth W. Cimino, Drake University Michael D. Duenes, University of Minnesota Gary N. Segura, University of Iowa Overview: I offer a new view of political development by Overview: Few opinions have changed as radically and as coherently combining the study of political participation, quickly as those regarding the appropriateness of civil unions representation, accountability, cooperation, network theory, & for lesbians and gays. cooptation to analyze American political development and culture. 38-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: SOCIAL Disc. Ajay K. Mehrotra, Indiana University, Bloomington POLICY IMPLEMENTATION Room TBA, Thur 3:45 41-301 POSTER SESSION: THE PRACTICE OF Presenter An Analysis of the Implementation of the Child Care POLITICS Development Fund in Mississippi and the Resulting Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Program Impact on Parents, Childcare Directors and Presenter Campaign Effects in the 2004 Presidential Election Children Kelly Patterson, Brigham Young University Denise Keller, Mississippi State University Overview: How do voters respond to campaign messages Overview: This research examines the implementation of the specifically targeted at them? The research uses a three-wave Child Care Development Fund in Mississippi by looking at panel survey to assesses voter attitudes during the 2004 administrative decisions, the role of non-profit organizations campaign and combines it with different types of advertising in and the impact on parents, childcare directors and children. the election. Presenter Administrative Machinations or Why the Family Cap Presenter Back to the Future: The 2004Ground War in Ohio Undermines Welfare Reform Anne Hanson, University of Akron Melissa Buis Michaux, Willamette University Overview: This paper examines the intense battle to get voters Overview: This paper examines the implementation problems to polls in the 2004 presidential election. Using over Ohio 100 associated with family cap policies that exclude additional informants, we examine the campaign messages received to benefits to women (and men) for children conceived while on discover how the ground war was seen by voters. welfare. Presenter Policy Entrepreneurs and Policy Change: Examining the Linkages between TANF, Domestic Violence and the FVO 39-3 THEORETICAL APPROACHES TO THE Tera McCown, Marshall University STUDY OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION Overview: Examining strategies used by policy entrepreneurs can enhance our understanding of how policy changes occur in Room TBA, Thur 3:45 the policy making process. I offer a theory for how policy Chair Gregory C. Hill, Texas A&M University entrepreneurs select their strategies when pursuing policy Paper Darwin's Bureaucrat: Reexamining the Microfoundations of change. Public Administration Theory

Kevin B. Smith, University of Nebraska, Lincoln

Updated 03-01-05 47 43-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RACE AND Brian D. Roberts, Principia College THE CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT Overview: This paper is a case study of the application of the teaching concept of project-centered learning. Project-centered Room TBA, Thur 3:45 learning is an enhancement of active learning theory and service Presenter Giving with One Hand, Taking with the Other: Race, learning concepts. Crime, and the Politics of Punishment Paper Service Learning in a Partisan Context Vesla M. Weaver, Harvard University David Kirchner, Hamline University Overview: This paper examines the foundations of state Overview: Paper explores the advantages and disadvantages of variation in crime policy, finding a persistent relationship requiring service learning for partisan campaigns, with a case between racial makeup and punitiveness and only a weak study of a fall 2004 class. correlation with actual crime rates. Paper Go as Metaphor of Organizational Complexity Presenter British Political Culture and United States Racial Attitudes Ryan M. Taylor, SUNY-Albany Rockefeller College of Public Paul Kriese, Indiana University Administration and Policy Overview: This paper will focus on how British ideas and David R. Connelly, Western Illinois University groups that focus on race helped to form United States attitudes Overview: The oriental strategy game Go is presented as a on race and racist practices. metaphor of organizational complexity. Political scientists can

use this model to explain the behavior of political actors and 44-1 RELIGION AND POLITICAL organizations. MOBILIZATION IN THE AMERICAN Disc. Bruce Caswell, Rowan University CONTEXT Room TBA, Thur 3:45 46-101 ROUNDTABLE: THE POLITICS OF Chair Gerald Pace, University of Denver STUDYING GENDER (Co-sponsored with Paper The Politics of Gay Rights: A Clergy Perspective Gender and Politics, see 22-103) Melissa M. Deckman, Washington College Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Sue E.S. Crawford, Creighton University Chair Susan Carroll, Center for American Women and Politics Laura R. Olson, Clemson University Tracy Osborn, Bridgewater State College Overview: We propose to examine how clergy are dealing with Ange-Marie Hancock, Yale University gay rights within their own communities and congregations. Mala Htun, New School for Social Research Paper Ministerial Alliances and Local Political Activism: Assessing Christina Wolbrecht, University of Notre Dame the Influence of Organizational Characteristics and Aili M. Tripp, University of Wisconsin, Madison Community Context Overview: This panel will address the professional challenges Franklyn C. Niles, John Brown University faced by scholars whose research is focused on the role of Paul A. Djupe, Denison University women in politics. Panelists will also share strategies to Overview: Using a national survey of ministerial associations overcome or circumvent these challenges. collected during 2004, we investigate the organizational and

community-level influences that drive ministerial alliance political activism in America. 50-1 PANEL: ESTIMATION OF THEORETICAL Paper Clergy and Controversy: A Study of Clergy and Gay Rights MODELS OF LEGISLATIVE POLITICS in Columbus, Ohio Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Paul A. Djupe, Denison University Chair Jeffrey Grynaviski, University of Chicago Anand E. Sokhey, Ohio State University Paper Jointly Estimating Party Effects and Ideologies Overview: This paper examines how the issue of gay marriage Fang-Yi Chiou, Princeton University has played out in Columbus, Ohio. The authors survey clergy Overview: We use information from twelve major Taiwanese within the city, asking about the organizations that have been newspapers to measure party pressure and then jointly estimate active in mobilizing religious interests. preferences and party effects in the Taiwanese Legislative Paper The Effects of Urban Sprawl on Social Capital in Detroit Yuan. Lara C. Rusch, University of Michigan Paper Checks and Balances in a Two-Party System Overview: This paper will analyze opportunities for political Michael Peress, Carnegie Mellon University mobilization in a divided urban context, through the eyes of Overview: We develop a theory of legislative outcomes that Catholic leaders and grassroots organizers. A primary goal is to incorporates the filibuster, bicameralism, and the presidential realistically assess faith-based mobilization capacity in poor veto. We show that supermajority requirements can be used to areas. reduce ‘over-responsiveness’ of policy outcomes. Paper Religious Conservatives in State Republican Parties: Paper Selling Favors in the Lab: Experiments on Campaign Evidence from the 2004 Election Finance Reform Kimberly H. Conger, Iowa State University Daniel Houser, George Mason University Overview: This paper reports new survey data from the 2004 Thomas Stratmann, George Mason University election cycle measuring the strength and importance of the Overview: This research sheds light on the issues surrounding religious conservative movement and its constituent groups in this debate by providing a novel experimental design to test the state-level Republican parties. Coate (2003) model of campaign finance policy. Disc. Beverly Ann Gaddy, University of Pittsburg Disc. Joan Serra, University of Chicago Douglas Koopman, Calvin College Jeffrey Grynaviski, University of Chicago

45-2 LEARN BY DOING Room TBA, Thur 3:45 Friday, January 8 – 8:30 am – 10:15 am Chair Eric Heberlig, University of North Carolina, Charlotte 1-113 AUTHOR MEETS CRITICS: DEMOCRACY Paper Debate Watch: Using Presidential Debates to Teach Methods AT RISK: HOW POLITICAL CHOICES Brian D. Posler, Millikin University UNDERMINE CITIZEN PARTICIPATION, Overview: This semester-long, real-world activity helped AND WHAT WE CAN DO ABOUT IT students learn to be political scientists. Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Developing A FEMA Hazard Mitigation Plan: Practical Chair Stephen Macdeo, Princeton University Project-Centered Learning for Undergraduates Panelist Leslie Lenkowsky, Indiana University John W. Williams, Principia College Margaret Levi, University of Washington

48 Updated 03-01-05 Robert Putnam, Harvard University 4-4 ECONOMIC POLICY AND Theda Skocpol, Harvard University DEMOCRATIZATION IN ASIA Overview: The report of APSA’s Committee on Civic Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Education and Engagement argues that our political system Chair TBA dampens citizen involvement, sharpens the disparities between Paper Democratization Effect on Political Business Cycle in rich and poor, and discourages attention to politics. Developmental States Jin Seok Bae, University of Texas, Austin 2-6 POLITICAL CORRUPTION: CAUSE AND Overview: This paper provides empirical evidence that the EFFECT impact of democratization on political business cycle in developmental states is not significant unlike the widespread Room TBA, Fri 8:30 concerns about the negative consequences of democratization Chair Kunicova Jana, California Tech University on economic policy. Paper Corruption as a Feature of Democratic Consolidation: Do Paper The Military in Democratizing Asia: Evidence from South the Nature of State Institutions and Regulation of Civil Korea and Taiwan Society Participation Matter? Fiona Yap, University of Kansas Rollin F. Tusalem, University of Missouri, Columbia Overview: The paper evaluates the factors that influences the Overview: My paper will explore and investigate empirically military's restraint in democratizing South Korea and Taiwan. the impact of bicameralism, democratic age and civil society in Disc. Edmund J. Malesky, Harvard University determining the prevalence of corruption in European nations.

Paper The Impact of Political Corruption on Voter Turnout in Industrial Democracies 5-3 ACCESSIONING AND VOTING: Tetsuya Fujiwara, Michigan State University EXAMINING THE NEW EUROPEAN UNION Overview: This paper attempts to analyze the impact of political AND THE 2004 EU PARLIAMENTARY corruption on voter turnout in industrial countries by using ELECTIONS Bayesian methods. My hypothesis is the rates of political Room TBA, Fri 8:30 participation are lower in the democracies with high levels of Chair Jürgen Maier, University of Jena corruption. Paper Untying the Social Bond: Picturing Online Candidates in the Paper Higher Corruption - More Development Aid? To the Broad Finnish EP Campaign 2004 Discussion on Aid Effectiveness. (cross-country approach) Juri Mykkänen, University of Helsinki Olga A. Agaponova, Ball State University Overview: This study juxtaposes two kinds of candidate Overview: The paper examines whether the higher volumes of websites, those on which the candidates appear within some development aid still associate with higher level of corruption in kinds of social coordinates (context) and those on which this developing countries and mainly concludes “yes”. The aspect is missing (candidates are without social environments). outcomes of anti-corruption policies performance remain Paper United States Media Framing of the EU Expansion and 2004 questionable. Elections Disc. Kunicova Jana, California Tech University Andrew Paul Williams, Virginia Tech University

Lynda Lee Kaid, University of Florida 3-5 FISCAL AND REGULATORY FEDERALISM Overview: The purpose of this study was to determine to what UNDER AUTHORITARIAN RULE: extent, and how, the United States news media covered and EXPLORING CENTRAL-LOCAL framed the 2004 EU Parliamentary Elections. RELATIONS IN CHINA Paper Does the Reception of European Election Campaign Spots Foster Political Involvement? Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Jürgen Maier, University of Jena Chair Erik Wibbels, University of Washington Michaela Maier, University of Koblenz-Landau, Germany Paper The Nature of Regulatory Federalism in China Overview: Televised campaign spots are designed to inform and Martin Dimitrov, Dartmouth College mobilize the public. Using an experimental study we analyze Overview: This paper analyzes the variation in regulatory the impact of spots of the two major German parties on the centralization by examining the enforcement of three subtypes political involvement of young German voters in the EU of intellectual property rights laws: copyrights, patents, and elections. trademarks. Paper News Coverage of EU Expansion in the Middle East Paper Intended and Unintended Consequences of China's Fiscal Justin D. Martin, University of Florida Programs to Assist Poor and Minority Counties Overview: This Study Examines an Arabic Perspective the Gang Guo, University of Mississippi European Union's Expansion from 15 to 25 Countries in 2004 Haixin Hu, University of Mississippi Disc. Sylvia Fedeli, La Sapienza University Overview: This paper examines some of the fiscal and public

policy consequences of the Chinese government's effort to help the poor and minority areas through transfer payments. 5-4 NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL Paper Decentralization and Investment in Human Capital in China DIMENSIONS OF SPANISH POLITICS Pierre Landry, Yale University Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Overview: Using education finance, census, and budgetary data Chair Kerstin Hamann, University of Central Florida at the county level, this paper shows that both strategic thinking Paper Federalization and Institutionalized Bilateral about spillovers and budget constraints affect public good Intergovernmental Interaction in Spain: The Comisiones provision at the county level. Bilaterales de Cooperación (1984-2002) Paper “Eating Budget”: Credible Information and Fiscal Juan A. Ramos, Rey Juan Carlos University Transfers under Predatory Fiscal Federalism Overview: The paper examines the creation, design and Victor Shih, Northwestern University operation of the Comisiones Bilaterales de Cooperación Mingxing Liu, Beijing University (Cooperation Bilateral Commissions) as an institutionalized Qi Zhang, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences omponent of the intergovernmental system in Spain Overview: This paper shows that under an authoritarian political Paper Multilateral Cooperation in Spanish Decentralised State. system, the central government has a strong incentive to only The Conferencias Sectoriales and the Participation of distribute as much as necessary to keep grassroots governments Internal Levels of Government in the European Union functioning. Alfredo Gonzalez, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Disc. Erik Wibbels, University of Washington Distancia (Spain)

Updated 03-01-05 49 Overview: This paper analyzes the multilateral part of Overview: In this paper, I derive a theory to assist in explaining intergovernmental relations in Spain. It examines the design and the process of changing the internal rules of a chamber when performance of the Sectorial Conferences and the participation electoral rules have been modified in attempt to increase of both Central Government and Autonomous Communities in popular support for democracy. the European Union. Paper Legislator Behavior during Institutional Reform Paper Globalization, the State, and Industrial Relations: Spanish Leslie A. Schwindt-Bayer, University of Mississippi Unions in Comparative Perspective Brian F. Crisp, Washington University, St. Louis Kerstin Hamann, University of Central Florida Overview: What explains behavior of rational actors when they Overview: Analyses of the effects of globalization have pointed are in the process of changing the institutions that structure their to union decline. This paper focuses on the role of the state in future actions? We develop a theory and test it in a setting of industrial relations and shows how Spanish unions succeeded in constitution-making – the 1991 Colombian Constituent regaining strength contrary to expectations. Assembly. Disc. Pablo Toral, Beloit College Paper Electoral Competition, Policy Insulation, and Scheduling Rules in the Legislature. The Argentine Case. 5-15 ENVIRONMENTAL POLITICS IN OECD Natalia Ferretti, University of California, Berkeley COUNTRIES Overview: Cox & McCubbins argue that the majority party in the U.S. congress monopolizes the legislative agenda. This Room TBA, Fri 8:30 paper shows and explains why a different arrangement emerged Chair Debra Holzhauer, Southeast Missouri State University and persisted in Argentina. Paper Party Identity and Environmental Policy in the British Disc. Michael Mezey, DePaul University Liberal Democratic Party Erika Moreno, University of Iowa Debra Holzhauer, Southeast Missouri State University

Overview: An examination of the party identity of the UK Liberal Democrats as expressed in their environmental policies 7-4 CHINA-JAPAN RELATIONS Paper Tides of Change:Shifting Elite Alliances and Concomitant Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Changes in Environmental Group Activities in the United Chair Christine Fair, US Institute of Peace Kingdom, France and Germany Paper China as Mirror: How Japanese Newspapers Watch China, Lori M. Poloni-Staudinger, Indiana University 1972-2003 Overview: This paper examines how changes in the opportunity Jing Sun, University of Wisconsin, Madison structures, in terms of elite alliances, in the UK, France and Overview: My paper examines Japan’s top two newspapers’ Germany influence changing activity patterns of environmental portrayals of China since the two countries normalized relations groups. in 1972. It argues that the image of China has been constructed Paper Environmental Governance in the European Union: to answer questions of “who we are” and “what we stand for”. Institutional Cooperation and the Enforcement of Directives Paper The Role of Public Opinion and the Media in Japanese Joseph Jozwiak, Texas A & M University, Corpus Christi Foreign Economic Policymaking Overview: The EU's Commission has used legal remedies to Mary M. McCarthy, Columbia University force member state conformity, but it requires ECJ approval in Overview: In this research paper, I seek to test the claim that this efforts. Using environmental cases the paper will analyze negative public opinion and media coverage have had a inter-institutional cooperation to explain task expansion. significant impact on Japanese ODA policymaking, by Paper Problems of Legitimacy in the Case of Canadian Nuclear examining their effect on Japanese aid policy towards China Waste Management Policy since 1989. Genevieve F. Johnson, University of Montreal Paper Rivalry over Southeast Asia: Three Aspects of Competition Overview: I examine the legitimacy of Canadian nuclear waste between China and Japan over Regional Hegemony management policy. This analysis is important since many Hee-jin Han, Northern Illinois University policies carry risk and uncertainty for existing and future Overview: The paper asks which among China and Japan will generations yet are made in ways that are exclusionary of the gain more leadership and influence over the Southeast Asia in broader public. the future. Paper Measuring Trade Sensitivity: Explaining Sino-Japanese Economic and Political Relations 6-4 ORGANIZATION AND CHANGE IN LATIN James R. Masterson, University of Cincinnati AMERICAN LEGISLATURES Overview: How can the trade relationship between Japan and Room TBA, Fri 8:30 China be measured? What are the strengths/weakness of Chair Michael Mezey, DePaul University existing models? Is there a more accurate model that can Paper From Difference to Disadvantage: Men and Women in Latin describe trade relations between nations? If so, what is it? American Legislatures Paper Boomerang Effect of Chinese Internet Nationalism: A Case Mala Htun, New School for Social Research Study of an Anti-Japan Incident in China Mark P. Jones, Rice University Liu Lican, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Overview: This paper studies gender differences in policy Dong Dong, University of Minnesota attitudes among legislators and the mass electorate as well as Overview: The radical anti-Japan sentiment in the Chinese the ways in which sex discrimination in congress thwarts cyberspace becomes a landmark of “Internet nationalism” in effective performance of legislative duties. China. It leads to a boomerang effect on China’s foreign policy Paper Law-Making in a Presidential Bicameral System: Evidence making. However, such effect is still limited. from Brazil Taeko Hiroi, University of Pittsburgh 8-1 RETHINKING GENOCIDE IN RWANDA Overview: This paper tests the impact of bicameralism and Room TBA, Fri 8:30 various decision rules on legislative capacity and outcomes in Chair Sandra F. Joireman, Wheaton College Brazil using legislative data I collected for the period 1988- Paper Anatomy of a Genocide: Understanding Neighbor-on- 2004. Neighbor Violence in Rwanda Paper Incompatible Institutions: The Combined Effects of Lee Ann Fujii, George Washington University Electoral Rules and the Organization of the National Overview: This paper analyzes neighbor on neighbor violence Legislature on Party Leadership and Backbenchers in Latin that occurred during the Rwandan genocide of 1994. The paper American Democratizing Countries seeks to understand the form that participation took, e.g., why Roseanna Michelle Heath, Texas A&M University some killed while others did not.

50 Updated 03-01-05 Paper The International Coffee Agreement, the World Bank, and Noha Shawki, Carleton College the Rwandan Genocide Overview: This paper explores the potential role of networks of Isaac A. Kamola, University of Minnesota national human rights institutions in international human rights Overview: I argue that the Rwandan genocide resulted in part politics and processes of democratic transitions. It highlights from the International Coffee Agreement’s collapse which their significance in the context of global governance. destroyed Rwanda’s economy and undermined Habyarimana’s Paper Strategies and Effectiveness of Transnational Advocacy political control. The crisis was further fueled by IMF and Networks in Policy Changes towards North Korean Refugee World Bank intervention. Rights Paper The Post-Genocidal Political and Constitutional Order in Sun-Young Kwak, University of Southern California Rwanda: An Attempt of Ethnic Democracy Alex Liu, University of Southern California Jack Mangala, Grand Valley State University Overview: The overly-generalized postulations on the Overview: The 2003 Rwandan constitution establishes a form of effectiveness of horizontal, internet communication-based ethnic democracy whose primary goal is to ensure that neither transnational advocacy network patterns are refuted by social of the two main ethnic groups can wholly dominate the other. network analysis of the interviews with North Korean human The paper seeks to analyze this innovative experiment. rights advocates. Paper Rwanda's Ordinary Killers: Interpreting Civilian Paper Internationalizing Nonviolence Participation in Rwanda's Genocide Amentahru Wahlrab, University of Denver Omar S. McDoom, Harvard University Overview: The goal of this paper is to set the parameters for a Overview: This paper asks why so many ordinary Hutu larger work on international nonviolence that looks both at state participated in genocidal killing of Tutsi in Rwanda.We find to state relationships, non-state to state relationships, as well as mass mobilisation the result of an interaction between an transnational elements. instilled Hutu mindset & the legitimisation of anti-Tutsi action Disc. Jeremy R Youde, University of Iowa by the State’s authority Disc. Victor T. LeVine, Washington University 11-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLITICAL ECONOMY OF INTERNATIONAL 10-6 ECONOMIC SANCTIONS IN THEORY AND SPORTING EVENTS PRACTICE Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Presenter Bread, Circuses, and FDI: The Political Economy of Chair Susan Allen, University of Missouri International Sporting Events Paper The Implementation of United States Economic Sanctions Dan Corstange, University of Michigan Janelle S. M. Williams, Florida Memorial College Sarah E. Croco, University of Michigan Jeffrey Berejikain, University of Georgia Claire Adida, Stanford University Overview: This research intends to assess two hypotheses to Overview: Why do some countries bid to host international determine the primary motivation for U.S. Economic Sanctions. sporting events, but not others? In this paper we present a Firstly, the U.S. imposes economic sanctions to defend and signaling model to motivate hypotheses examining the political protect international law and secondly to pursue its own logic and the development effects of hosting international economic interests. sporting events. Paper Economic Sanctions and Repression: The Chicken or the Egg? Dierdre L. Wendel, Collin County Community College 12-4 QUIP: QUANTITATIVE ANALYSES OF Overview: This paper examines the causal direction of the INTERNATIONAL PROCESSES complex relationship between economic sanctions and Room TBA, Fri 8:30 repression using various methodological techniques for a Chair Carmela Lutmar, American University sample of 20 Latin American countries for 1976-1998. Paper When is a Threat Threatening? The Domestic Economic Paper Strengthening Saddam: Economic Sanctions and the and Political Determinants of American Military Empowering of a Dictator Intervention Nimah Mazaheri, University of Washington Benjamin O. Fordham, Binghamton University (SUNY) Overview: This paper examines the effects of economic Overview: This paper will test the effects of prior trade and sanctions policy towards Iraq since 1990 and argues that the investment on American decisions to intervene in civil and policy directly strengthened Saddam Hussein's leadership and interstate wars. allowed him to expand his domination over the Iraqi people. Paper Alliance Reliability and Duration: Is an Old Ally More Paper A Unified Theory and Test of Economic Sanctions Reliable? Outcomes Hoon Lee, University of Iowa Taehee Whang, University of Rochester Overview: This paper looks into the question of whether Overview: I test two competing accounts on the outcomes of alliances become less reliable over time. Due to changing economic sanctions: symbolic politics and credibility and circumstances and declining efficiency, it expects that an old uncertainty. I examine the effects of sanctions on the sending ally will become less reliable. By using a hazard model, it tests leader’s tenure. I also test the latter account using the LQRE the argument. choice model. Paper Domestic Legal Systems and Reliability of Alliance Disc. Susan Allen, University of Missouri Partners: An Alternative Explanation Stephen C. Nemeth, University of Iowa 10-18 TRANSNATIONAL NETWORKS IN Overview: Previous research on the reliability of alliance INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS partners has focused on regime type as an explanation. I seek to Room TBA, Fri 8:30 augment this explanation by showing that domestic legal Chair Jeremy R Youde, University of Iowa systems provide an effect independent of regime type. Paper Exposing the Small Arms Movement:The Failures of a Disc. Michael Colaresi, Michigan State University Transnational Network Suzette R. Grillot, University of Oklahoma 13-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RESOURCES Molly E. Hanna, University of Oklahoma AND CENTRALIZATION Overview: Why has the International Action Network on Small Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Arms failed? Presenter The Politics of Defense Acquisition: Defense Resource Paper National Human Rights Institutions: A New Actor in Allocation and Congressional Attention Trends International Human Rights Politics? Brent M. Eastwood, West Virginia University

Updated 03-01-05 51 Overview: Paper tests a disaggregated defense resource Overview: In the beginning stages of the twenty-first century, allocation hypothesis with issue trends data on Congressional China, Russia and India are all transforming their economies hearings from the Baumgartner and Jones Policy Agenda and, to some extent, their political systems to play an active Project. political role in this globalized world. Paper South Korea's Anti-Americanism 13-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: ALLIANCES Haesook Chae, Baldwin-Wallace College AND INTERNAL UNREST Overview: This study examines the common, and often untested, assumptions, beliefs, and reasonings about the Room TBA, Fri 8:30 resurgence of South Korea’s anti-Americanism offered in the Presenter Balances, Bandwagons, and Power Transitions: A Dynamic existing literature, using data collected from a 2004 survey of View of Alliance Formation Korean college students. Gregory D. Miller, College of William & Mary Paper Constructivistic Approaches to Engagement Policy: with Overview: I propose that international relations scholars can Special Reference to the Identity of North Korea gain a better understanding of state behavior in forming Kuyoun Chung, University of California, Las Angeles alliances by incorporating power transitions into our definitions Overview: This paper examines Engagement Policy of South of balancing and bandwagoning. Korea and Identity of North Korea as a target. In analyzing Presenter Georgia and the Caucuses: Transformation in a Post-9/11 deadlock between two Koreas, it is necessary to look inside World North Korea of ‘coldwar identity’ and ‘semisovereignty’ John D. Hoeveler, Marquette University between two Koreas and US. Overview: This paper will discuss the implications of Georgia's Paper Opening the Black Box: Domestic Sources and China's closer ties with America. I will discuss how Georgia is Human Rights Foreign Policy positioning itself as an ally of America and what role this will Dingding Chen, University of Chicago play in the War on Terrorism. Overview: This paper first develops a theory of state agency and then applies it to the case of China's human rights foreign 14-3 INTERVENTION AND PEACEKEEPING policy. I find that China's HR policy can be better explained by Room TBA, Fri 8:30 domestic factors rather than international factors. Chair Paul Diehl, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Disc. Young Kihl, Iowa State University Paper Re-evaluating the Success of UN Peacekeeping missions Frank Le Veness, St. John’s University Michael J. Gilligan, New York University Overview: Evaluations of the effect of UN intervention in a 16-1 THE PSYCHOLOGY OF POLITICAL civil war conglomerate very different kinds of missions that COMMUNICATION should be judged by different criteria. In this paper I evaluate Room TBA, Fri 8:30 the missions using more mission-appropriate criteria for Chair Paul Brewer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee success. Paper Unanimity, Discord, and the Diffusion of Public Opinion: Paper Ending Interventions: The Grim Historical Record, 1816- How Opinion Variance Affects Political Communication 2004 among Citizens J. David Singer, University of Michigan Robert Huckfeldt, University of California, Davis Overview: A quantitative view of major power interventions Overview: This paper is concerned with the political into civil wars, and consequences. communication of opinion through social networks. Attention Paper When (and Why) Do Brokers Have to Be Honest? focuses on opinion variance within populations and networks, Impartiality and the Effectiveness of Third-Party Support and how this variance conditions communication among for Peace Implementation After Civil Wars, 1945-1999 individuals. Holger Schmidt, Columbia University Paper The Bias from Endogeneity in Estimates of Priming Effects: Overview: Argues that the relationship between intervener bias The Problem and a Proposed Solution. and the success of third-party support for negotiated civil war Gabriel S. Lenz, Princeton University settlements varies with the type of commitment problem faced Overview: I formally express this bias and show that a past by combatants and whether the intervener acts as monitor or attempt to deal with it did so incorrectly. I propose an enforcer. instrumental variables estimator that requires 3+ waves of panel Paper Bringing the Ex-Combatant Back In: A Comparison of data and find that the usual test often finds priming when none Post-Intervention DDR Projects occurred. Sven Gunnar Simonsen, International Peace Research Paper Coded Communication and Candidate Appeals Institute, Oslo Bethany L. Albertson, University of Chicago Overview: This paper investigates disarmament, demobilisation Overview: This paper examines the effect of coded and explicit and reintegration (DDR) of ex-combatants in post-intervention religious appeals in candidates’ speeches. The effects are tested ‘nationbuilding’, drawing on fieldwork in Kosovo, Afghanistan experimentally, on both highly religious and non religious and East Timor. subjects. Implications of coded communication are discussed. Paper IGO Participation in Dyadic Disputes: Follow the Leader or Paper Consensus and Polarization in Small Group Deliberations Follow the Rules? Robert C. Luskin, University of Texas, Austin Michelle A. Benson, University at Buffalo, SUNY James S. Fishkin, Stanford University Overview: Using a sample of conflicts with security IGO Overview: We use evidence from more than a dozen participation, I ask if IGOs are likely to intervene in int’l Deliberative Polls to examine and explain the extent to which disputes to maintain global peace or to support the SQ. Overall, the members of randomly assigned, moderated small groups IGOs tend to aid in conflicts with SQ states but use force to converge on the same more extreme view, following balanced maintain peace. discussion. Disc. Paul Diehl, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Disc. Paul Brewer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee

15-3 COMPARATIVE FOREIGN POLICY: ASIA 16-4 THE POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY OF RACE Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Chair Frank Le Veness, St. John’s University Chair Christopher M. Federico, University of Minnesota Paper The Growing Transformation of China, Russia, and India: Paper Is There a ‘Norm of Ingroup Favoritism’? Understating Implications for United States Foreign Policy Feelings of Closeness Towards Racial Outgroups Brent Garrett, Computer Sciences Corporation Thomas C. Craemer, Stony Brook University

52 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Explicit and implicit measures of closeness towards Disc. Geralyn M. Miller, Indiana University-Purdue University Fort racial groups are compared. Subconsciously people feel closer Wayne towards racial outgroups than they are willing to admit in a survey ('norm of ingroup favoritism'). 18-7 PARTY POSITIONING AND Paper Mere Mention? How Black Elites Shape Black Group POLARIZATION Identification Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Harwood K. McClerking, Ohio State University Chair Kenneth Janda, Northwestern University Overview: Previous work suggests that Black institutions (Black Paper The Logic of Party Polarization media, etc.) work to maintain group identity. My research George Rabinowitz, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill project moves to the next important and understudied question: Stuart E. Macdonald, Univ. of North Carolina at Chapel Hill How do these institutions make a difference in Black group Overview: We explore the logical implicatioins of various identification? theories of polarization in two-party systems. We then consider Paper Blurring the Lines: Race, Issue Placement, and Uncertainty the theories in light of empirical evidence drawn from the U.S. Tasha S. Philpot, University of Texas, Austin Congress from 1960-2000. Overview: This paper examines how campaign exposure affects Paper Multi-Dimensional Multi-Party Competition: A Stochastic individuals’ ability to place the two parties on particular issues. Equilibrium Analysis Paper Race, Skin Color, and Candidate Preference Thomas Plümper, University of Konstanz Vesla M. Weaver, Harvard University Christian W. Martin, MPI Jena Overview: Using an internet-based survey experiment, we Overview: We study a model of multi-party multi-dimensional explore the influence of race and skin color on evaluations of electoral competition. The model accounts for empirically black candidates. observed features of political systems despite the lack of Nash Disc. Christopher M. Federico, University of Minnesota equilibria in models with more than two parties or more than

one dimension. 17-6 COUNTING VOTES: THE EFFECTS OF Paper Parties’ Policy Programmes and the Dog That didn’t Bark: ALTERNATIVE VOTING SYSTEMS AND No Evidence that Proportional Systems Promote Dispersed TECHNOLOGIES Party Positioning Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Lawrence J. Ezrow, University of California, Santa Barbara Chair Geralyn M. Miller, Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Overview: I explore the connections between the degree of Wayne party policy dispersion in 15 party systems, and two important Paper The Impact of Voting Systems on Residual Votes, system-level variables: the electoral laws used to select Incomplete Ballots, and Other Measures of Voting Behavior representatives to the national legislature, and the number of Michael W. Traugott, University of Michigan political parties. Michael J. Hanmer, Georgetown University Paper PR, the Contagion Effect and Green Politics (Or How the Won-Ho Park, University of Michigan European Center Came to Love the Environment) Overview: This paper looks at the impact of changing voting Bedriye A. Kolemen, University of Georgia technology on intended and unintended consequences measured Christopher S. Allen, University of Georgia through different forms of voting behavior. Overview: This paper makes the case that PR systems are likely Paper The Politics of Voting Reform: Why Alternative Voting to generate more environmentally responsive policies than Methods Exist in Some States and Not in Others? Plurality/Majority systems-even in the absence of Mary Fitzgerald, James Madison University environmental legislative parties- as a result of the contagion Overview: I explore the decision-making process and political effect they induce. dynamics underlying the diversity of voting procedures existing Disc. Tatiana Kostadinova, Florida International University in the U.S., in light of recent voting reforms instituted in the Ryan J. Vander Wielen, Washington University states such as early voting procedures and Election Day registration. 18-9 METHODOLOGICAL INNOVATIONS IN Paper Voters’ Evaluations of Voting Machines: Results from Field ELECTORAL STUDIES Experiments Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paul Herrnson, University of Maryland Chair R. Keith Gaddie, University of Oklahoma Michael Hanmer, Georgetown University Paper Interactive Ballots: Contamination and Party Choice in New Richard Niemi, University of Rochester Zealand's Mixed Electoral System Michael Traugott, University of Michigan Federico Ferrara, Harvard University Benjamin Bederson, University of Maryland Overview: This paper provides a systematic treatment of how a Fred Conrad, University of Michigan voter’s party choice in the proportional component of the Overview: Results from field tests of 6 electronic voting election is affected by party competition in the majoritarian tier. machines. Tests with 1000 people at shopping malls, senior Paper Assessing Variation in Mixed Electoral Systems Using centers, and workplaces in 3 states. Comparisons include time Agent-Based Models to vote, correcting mistakes, changing votes, beliefs about Herron S. Erik, University of Kansas system accuracy. Paul E. Johnson, University of Kansas Paper Voting By Mail: Whose Ballots Are Counted? Overview: The paper uses agent-based modeling to assess the Michael Alvarez, California Institute of Technology effects of institutional variation in mixed electoral systems. Overview: Absentee voting, especially voting by mail, is Paper Pushbutton Gerrymanders? -- How Computing has growing in popularity throughout the nation. Little is known Changed Redistricting about the resolution of ballots cast by mail, a question this paper Micah Altman, Harvard University seeks to answer. Michael P. McDonald, George Mason University, Brookings Paper How Much is Enough? The "Ballot Order Effect" and the Karin MacDonald, University of California, Berkeley Use of Social Science Research in Election Law Disputes Overview: In this paper, for the first time in print, we offer Betsy Sinclair, California Institute of Technology systematic qualitative and quantitative evidence of the nature, R. Michael Alvarez, California Tech University extent, and impact of computer technology in redistricting. Rick Hansen, Loyola Law School Paper A Standard for Detecting and Remedying Gerrymanders Overview: Previous empirical research holds that candidates Michael D. McDonald, Binghamton University--SUNY listed first on an election ballot gain additional votes. We Overview: I show how the difference between a party's mean examine whether or not California's randomization and rotation versus median district vote percentages indicates the difference system should equalize the effects of order across candidates.

Updated 03-01-05 53 between the individual vote weights of partisans. Any nonzero conducted by the Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental difference is a gerrymander, intentional or otherwise. Relations between 1972 and 1994 (and replicated in 1999 and Disc. Burt L. Monroe, Michigan State University 2001). R. Keith Gaddie, University of Oklahoma Disc. John Transue, Duke University

19-3 EUROPEAN AND COMPARATIVE PUBLIC 20-9 RACIAL AND ETHNIC GROUPS AND OPINION VOTER PARTICIPATION Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Chair James McCann, Purdue University Chair Paul R. Abramson, Michigan State University Paper Personal Values in Political Opinions of the Mass Public Paper Arab American Political Participation in the Post 9-11 Era H. Whitt Kilburn, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill James Gimpel, University of Maryland Overview: In this paper, I extend and test a prominent theory of Wendy Cho, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign values (from the social psychologist Shalom Schwartz) for Overview: This project will be among the first to document the western European citizens' attitudes toward immigration policy. surge in Arab American voter registration and political Paper Support for European Integration in EU Members and participation following the 2000 election, and in reaction to the Candidate Countries: An Opportunity Cost Perspective. policy aftermath of 9-11 Thomas A. Christin, St. Gallen University Paper Racial Context and Political Participation Overview: Relying on macro and individual level datasets, this Jan Leighley, University of Arizona paper examines in a comparative perspective the determinants Tetsuya Matsubayashi, Texas A&M University of citizens’ attitudes towards the EU in the member states and Overview: Recent literature on political participation applicant countries. The analyses are based on an opportunity demonstrates mixed evidence regarding how, why, and to whom cost model. local racial heterogeneity matters. This paper offers a new Paper A New Cleavage in Western Europe? An Examination of theoretical perspective and empirical evidence to the puzzles. Perceptions of Inter-Group Conflict between High and Low Paper Religion and Race: Different Strokes for Different Folks? Education Groups as an Element of a Cleavage over Tatishe M. Nteta, University of California, Berkeley Authoritarian-Libertarian Values. Overview: An examination of the impact of religiousity and Rune Stubager, University of Aarhus moral values on individual participation, partisanship, and Overview: Using specially developed measures, the existence of policy preferences among African Americans, Latinos, and perceptions of conflict between groups with high and low levels Whites. of education is examined and related to individuals’ levels of Paper Does Turnout Matter?: Black Mobilization and Substantive education and positions on authoritarian-libertarian values. Representation in Congress Paper Globalization and Global Identities: An Over-time and James M. Avery, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale Cross-National Comparison from the World Values Surveys Jeffrey Fine, University of Kentucky in 1981-2001 D. Steven Voss, University of Kentucky Jai Kwan Jung, Cornell University Overview: We examine the influences of a black constituency – Overview: This paper examines whether there has been a long- understood as population, voting-age population, turnout, or term change in public opinion towards national vs. winning coalition – on multiple indicators of the representation supranational identities and how the structural transformation of black interests. resulting from globalization affects citizens’ territorial Disc. Paul R. Abramson, Michigan State University attachments. Disc. William Zimmerman, University of Michigan 21-6 COVERAGE OF THE WAR IN IRAQ AND ITS EFFECTS 19-7 CONFIDENCE AND TRUST IN Room TBA, Fri 8:30 GOVERNMENT Chair Matthew Baum, University of California, Los Angeles Paper Cyber Power? Anti-Iraq War Networks and News Agendas Room TBA, Fri 8:30 During the Lead-up to War Against Iraq(October 2002- Chair Eric Waltenburg, Purdue University March 2003) Paper Did Confidence in Institutions Decline from 1973 to 2000 Montague Kern, Rutgers University Paul Gronke, Reed College Saman Talib, Rutgers University Timothy Cook, Louisiana State University Overview: Post 9/ll journalists presented administration inspired Overview: In this paper, we examine the purported decline in news despite the efforts of Internet activist organizations institutional confidence from 1973-2000. We test among a leading large demonstrations. Patterns of coverage reprised series of competing claims about "dimensions" of confidence Cold War news. Exceptions were CNN Web News, and the and explain over time movement in these dimensions. Washington Post. Paper Citizen Confidence in State-Level Governmental Institutions Paper Iraq War Debate: Substantive and Procedural Arguments Jennifer Wolak, University of Colorado, Boulder For and Against Use of Force. Christine A. Kelleher, University of Michigan, Dearborn Kevin D. Navratil, University of Illinois, Chicago Overview: We investigate the sources of citizen satisfaction Greg G. Holyk, University of Illinois, Chicago with state governmental institutions, considering how personal Overview: Following the work of Robert Entman (2004), we connections to government, information levels, and institutional conducted a content analysis of NYT articles from 9/12/02 until realities drive citizen evaluations of subnational institutions. 3/19/03. We investigate differences within and between pro and Paper Approval of Governmental Institutions and Party anti war arguments, based upon Entman’s coding categories. Government Paper More than a Difference of Language: A Comparative Study Stephen P. Nicholson, Georgia State University of the U.S. and Arab Coverage of the War in Iraq Gary M. Segura, University of Iowa Salma I. Ghanem, University of Texas, Pan American Overview: We investigate the relationship between approval of Overview: A comparative examination of the frames used for the President and Congress across periods of party control of coverage of the war in Iraq in American and Arabic newspapers government, finding no support for policy-balancing arguments to illustrate that media coverage is a function of ideology and that predicts that the public prefers divided government. culture. Paper American Federalism and Public Opinion Over Time Paper The Impact of Media on Perceptions of Threat and Opinions Andrea L. Campbell, Harvard University about Militant Internationalism Overview: Examination of trends in opinion on taxes, spending Shana A. Kushner, Princeton University and trust across levels of government utilizing a series of polls

54 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Using NES data, I show that heightened threat and examine the estimated white vote for the flags as a function of TV watching increases support for aggressive foreign policy - high black population and urban population, with the county as favoring the Iraq War. In comparison, increased exposure to the unit of analysis. newspaper reading decreases the probability of supporting the Disc. Caroline Tolbert, Kent State University Iraq War. Paper War, News, and Public Opinion 24-4 HOBBES AND HIS INTERPRETERS Trevor Thrall, University of Michigan, Dearborn Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Overview: I test four major theories from two traditions that Chair Eldon J. Eisenach, University of Tulsa explain public support for war against the case of Iraq. None of Paper The Two Gods of Hobbes: Rethinking Sovereignty and the theories explains as much as a more complete model that Political (Dis)obligation in the Leviathan's Theological accounts for both real world cues and the dynamics of news Politics coverage. Thamy Pogrebinschi, Disc. Matthew Baum, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: The paper analyzes Hobbes's account of political obligation and disobligation taking seriously the religious and 22-3 GENDER AND POLITICS IN INDIA natural law aspects of his thought. Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper The Gift of Honor: Hobbes's Social Contract as a Practice of Chair Elora Shehabuddin, Rice University Honor Giving. Paper The Kashmiri Woman: Identity and Politics Monicka B. Tutschka, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Ayesha Ray, University of Texas, Austin Overview: This paper argues that Hobbes's description of the act Overview: This paper deals with analyzing issues of identity of sovereign-designation is similar to his description of the and politics surrounding the Kashmiri woman in India. It practice of honor-giving. The theoretical consequences of attempts to examine the identity of these women not only as understanding sovereign-designation as an act of honor-giving victims of armed conflict but also as challengers to the state. are explored. Paper Women’s Militancy and the Politics of Urban Space: Paper Ferdinand Toennies's Rediscovery of Hobbes Women of the Shiv Sena in India Jenna Silber Storey, University of Chicago Tarini Bedi, University of Illinois, Chicago Overview: I will explain how Toennies’ work on Hobbes should Overview: This paper explores the political militancy of women be regarded as a prototypical work of the branch of political in right-wing movements in urban India by focusing specifically theory that Leo Strauss called the history of political on women of the Shiv Sena in Mumbai. philosophy. Paper Gender and Political Participation in India: The Effects of Paper Hobbes is a Horticulturalist, Nature is a Garden: Three Quotas in Local Councils. Steps in Creating a Pre-Political World. Aparna Thomas, Cornell College Craig R. Ewasiuk, Cornell University Overview: The paper examines the effects of gender quotas in Overview: Hobbes met 3 demands with his state of nature: the Panchayati Raj (Local Government Councils)in India on provide the necessary proofs expected in mathematics, provide women's participation. observational evidence as marshaled by the natural sciences, Disc. Elora Shehabuddin, Rice University and generate the affective responses associated with political Rina Williams, University of Virginia rhetoric. Disc. David L. Williams, University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point 23-6 RACE AND PUBLIC POLICY AMONG THE STATES 25-4 NIETZSCHE & THE PERSPECTIVE ON Room TBA, Fri 8:30 POLITICS Chair Caroline Tolbert, Kent State University Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Opposition to Interracial Marriage and Race: An Chair William Winstead, George Washington University Examination of Constitutional Referenda in Three Deep Paper Redeeming "The Antichrist" South States Paul F. Glenn, American University Douglas G. Feig, Mississippi State University Overview: I argue that Nietzsche's "The Antichrist" deserves to Overview: In the late 20th century, three Deep South states held be taken seriously because of its discussion of Christian referenda to repeal state constitutional provisions banning morality. interracial marriage. This project uses voting and Census data Paper Between Past and Future: The Politics of Nietzschean to explore the racial dimensions of the voting in these referenda. Affirmation Paper The Politics of Unreported HIV/AIDS Cases in The United C. Heike Schotten, University of Notre Dame States: Who Benefits? Overview: This paper argues that Nietzsche’s struggle with Jose Angel Gutierrez, University of Texas, Arlington death exemplifies the political tension between conservatism Britt Rios-Ellis, California State University, Long Beach and progressivism. Nietzschean affirmation is the crucial Overview: 29 states do not report some HIV/AIDS cases to the corrective to the excesses of either perspective. Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Texas and Paper Nietzschean Plenitude or How to Create A Lawgiver (or at California, for example. Who benefits from this non-reporting. Least a Strong Poet) Paper Multiculturalism and Welfare Policies Across the States of Fiona Miller, Colgate University the United States: Do They Vary Inversely, or Together Overview: Nietzsche’s psychic ideal consisted of a cycle of Rodney E. Hero, University of Notre Dame plenitude and squandering. While many have emphasized the Robert R. Preuhs, University of Colorado, Boulder moment of squandering, I show plenitude to be key in Andrew Thangasamy, University of Colorado--Boulder understanding Nietzsche’s future lawgivers. Overview: We present the first yearly state-level summary Paper Nietzsche's Genealogy: Critical Reflections measure of Multiculturalism policies in the American states, and Roberto Alejandro, University of Massachusetts examine the claim that multiculturalism policies undermine the Overview: TBA liberal coalition, resulting in a reversion from public welfare Disc. William Winstead, George Washington University programs. Paper A Tale of Two Flags: An Analysis of The Confederate Flag 26-1 ETHICS OF POLITICAL Referenda in Georgia and Mississippi REPRESENTATION D'Andra Orey, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Peter Hatemi, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Chair Rehfeld Andrew, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: This paper compares the two flag referenda in Paper Representing Redskins: Professional Sports and the Ethics Georgia and Mississippi. Using Ecological Inference we of Native American Team Names

Updated 03-01-05 55 Peter L. Lindsay, Overview: This paper compares the performances of different Overview: This paper examines the ethical obligations America statistical methods of ecological inferences by applying them society has with respect to the representation of Native with actual datasets. American culture. Presenter Guideline for Specification and Estimation of Panel Data Paper “Reflexive Mistrust” and Multidimensional Representation Models in Political Science Andrew M. Tucker, Georgetown University Piotr R. Paradowski, Loyola University, Chicago Overview: I examine the twin roles of trust in democratic Overview: Numerous publications about proper specification representation: skepticism and reflexivity. I use this to examine and estimation of panel data have failed to give comprehensive four non-traditional practices currently found in representation directives to common analysts of panel data. This paper is a and so offer a normative account of “reflexive mistrust”. practical guideline for those who commonly use panel data in Paper Authenticity, Virtue, Expertise: Ethical Being and Becoming their analysis. Ethical Presenter New Cases in Using Quasiexperimental Inquiry Based Christian D. Dean, Dominican University of California Methods in Public Policy Analysis: Assessing Immigration Overview: Three models of ethics (Justice, Virtue, Care) are and Illicit Drugs Policies evaluated according to Hubert Dreyfus’ phenomenology of Adrian S. Petrescu, University of Texas, Brownsville ethical expertise (becoming ethical) and according to John C. Jones, University of Texas, Brownsville Heidegger’s notion of authenticity (ethical being). Overview: In this paper we apply the pragmatic eliminative Paper Political Representation and Moral Discretion induction (PEI) technique to test “the approximate completeness Eric A. Beerbohm, Princeton University of the set of rival hypotheses” in two more cases, namely Overview: The most fundamental variable in an ethics of assessing impacts on and by immigration and illegal drugs representation is the normative autonomy accorded to elected policies. officials. Mapping accounts of political representation this way Presenter Who is the Best Connected Congressperson? A Study of helps illuminate the values at stake in a role morality for elected Legislative Cosponsorship Networks officials. James H. Fowler, University of California, Davis Disc. Christian D. Dean, Dominican University of California Overview: This paper uses large-scale network theory to answer the question "Who is the Best Connected Congressperson?" 27-3 STRATEGIC CONTROL OF LEGISLATIVE DECISION MAKING 30-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: CAUSES OF Room TBA, Fri 8:30 PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL Chair John Patty, Carnegie Mellon University Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Proposal Rights and Political Power Presenter Presidential Approval, Economic Evaluations and the Rally Tasos Kalandrakis, University of Rochester Phenomenon Overview: Every ex ante division of a good can be sustained in Laura K. Frey, University of California, Santa Barbara a stationary Nash equilibrium in pure strategies in a sequential Overview: In this project, 25 rally events are chosen following bargaining game by appropriate assignment of proposal rights specific criteria. When controlling for rallies, the results show independent of the voting rule, or the level of players' that prospective evaluations as opposed to retrospective have impatience. the greatest influence on individual assessments of the Paper Legislative Bargaining Over Two Dimensions under the president. Demand Bargaining Approach Presenter A Brave New World: Changes in the Effects of Economic Johanna Goertz, Ohio State University and Foreign Policy Considerations on Presidential Approval Overview: We examine decisions of legislators over the Since September 11th division of a budget and a policy under demand bargaining. Andrew H. Sidman, Stony Brook University Legislators prefer separating issues except for large asymmetry Overview: This study examines the relationship between in ideal points, when at most one legislator prefers bundling. economic, foreign policy, and overall presidential approval. Paper Information Aggregation in Bicameral Legislatures Analyses will focus on testing whether this relationship Matias J. Iaryczower, University of California, Los Angeles fundamentally changed after September 11th. Sebastian M. Saiegh, University of Pittsburgh Overview: Voting of bills in bicameral legislatures has a sequential structure. Since the distribution of votes in the 30-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: COMPARING originating chamber can transmit information to members of the TYPES OF CHIEF EXECUTIVES second chamber, this feature alters voting incentives in both Room TBA, Fri 8:30 chambers. Presenter The US/EU Chief Executives In A Constitutional Paper Modeling Legislative Obstruction in the United States Framework: A Comparative Analysis Senate Leman Canturk, TBA Fang-Yi Chiou, Princeton University Overview: This paper explores the differences and similarities Overview: This paper constructs a dynamic game of incomplete between US and EU chief executive powers in a constitutional information to examine how the filibuster rule in the U.S. framework. A major premise of the paper is that the US chief Senate affects policy outcomes and what factors might have executive is endowed with more power than the EU chief impact on the effect. executive. Disc. John Patty, Carnegie Mellon University Scott Ashworth, Princeton University 31-16 MAJORITY PARTY CONTROL AND 28-301 POSTER SESSION: METHODOLOGY AGENDA SETTING Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Presenter Evaluating Financial Performance of Hospitals Chair Scot Schraufnagel, University of Central Florida Dogan S. Koyluoglu, Eastern Michigan University Paper Party Power in the United States Senate: Shaping the Overview: This paper attemts to explore effectiveness of neural Ideological Content of the Legislative Agenda networks in evaluating the financial performance of hospitals Andrew A. Bargen, University of Iowa and compares it to more traditional approaches. Overview: This paper examines whether partisan control of the Presenter The Fear of Ecological Fallacy and the Methods to Conquer U.S. Senate affects the ideological character of public policy. I It: An Empirical Test use 40 years of roll call votes to test the empirical predictions of Baodong Liu, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh my spatial model. I find strong evidence of party effects.

56 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Mechanisms of Majority Party Control over the Ideological Stephen L. Wasby, University at Albany Character of Enacted Bills: the House of Representatives, Overview: An examination of voting patterns in en banc 1955-1994 decisions, particularly in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Cary R. Covington, University of Iowa Ninth Circuit. Andrew A Bargen, University of Iowa Disc. Eileen Braman, Indiana Univeristy Overview: Paper tests for mechanisms of majority party control over the ideological direction of policy change produced by bills 34-1 DEMOCRACY, ELECTION, AND JUDGES enacted by the House of Representatives. Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Partisan Control of the Legislative Agenda Chair Nancy Scherer, Ohio State University David R. Jones, Baruch College, City University of New York Paper Caught Between the Cracks? Reconciling the Tensions Overview: Using a new dataset, this study analyzes the effect of Between Racial and Partisan Interests in Vieth v. Jubelirer partisan control of U.S. government on the degree to which one Christina R. Rivers, DePaul University party is able to get more if its proposals on the agenda, and then Overview: This paper will examine the tensions between racial to enactment, than the opposition party. and political interests at issue in the recent partisan Paper Partisan Deadlocks and Agenda-Setting in American State gerrymandering case of Vieth v. Jubelirer. Legislatures Paper Election 2004 in the Courts Henry A. Kim, University of California, San Diego Daniel N. Hoffman, Johnson C. Massachuettes Institute of Overview: This paper examines the role of agenda-setting Technology institutions in legislative outcomes using partisans deadlocks in Overview: Paper will describe presidential election-related state legislatures as "natural" experiments. litigation and its impact Disc. Edward Hasecke, Cleveland State University Disc. Nancy Scherer, Ohio State University Scot Schraufnagel, University of Central Florida Stephen S. Meinhold, University of North Carolina, Wilmington 32-7 STRATEGIES, TACTICS AND EFFECTS IN CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGNS 35-3 ISSUES, AGENDAS, AND ELECTORAL Room TBA, Fri 8:30 ACCOUNTABILITY IN THE US STATES Chair Stephen Frantzich, United States Naval Academy Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Measuring the Campaign Message: Comparing Chair Carl E. Klarner, Grinnell College Congressional Candidate Rhetoric in Press Releases, Paper Different Faces, Different Priorities: Agenda-Setting Political Advertisements, and Media Coverage Behavior in the Misssissippi House of Representatives, 2002- Kristin Campbell, McKendree College 2004 James Cottrill, Santa Clara University Kimberly S. Adams, Lock Haven University of Pennsylvania Overview: This paper will address two basic questions: (1) Does Overview: This paper explores the agenda setting behavior of it matter how scholars measure campaign messages? (2) And if African American state legislators, female state legislators, and so, what is the best method for measuring campaign messages? African American female state legislators in the Mississippi Paper Using a Rolling Cross Section Survey to Detect Campaign House of Representatives from 2002-2004. Effects in House Elections Paper Issue Liability: Party Image and the Unintended Susan Banducci, Texas Tech University Consequences and Local Campaign Strategies in American Nathan Mitchell, Texas Tech University Federalism. Overview: Using a unique rolling cross section survey in Graeme T. Boushey, University of Washington Texas's 19th congressional district, this paper examines Overview: This paper advances a theory of issue liability to campaign effects in competitive House elections. model how candidates become unintentionally identified with Paper Connecting to Congress: The Adoption of Web Technologies inconvenient policy positions. Specifically it explores the among Congressional Offices evolution of gay marriage and anti-immigrant policies in recent Kevin M. Esterling, University of California, Riverside elections. David M. Lazer, Harvard University Paper Suburban Coalitions in State Legislatures Michael A. Neblo, Ohio State University Keith Boeckelman, Western Illinois University Overview: Examines new data to uncover the conditions that Overview: This paper will examine state legislators' behavior in lead House members to adopt innovative web-based information supporting or opposing state regulation of local land-use. and technologies for their web sites. Voting patterns of legislators from inner and outer suburbs will Paper Managing Campaign Crises: Strategies and Tactics be compared. R. Sam Garrett, American University Paper Electoral Competition and Committee Assignments: Lessons Overview: This paper uses original, in-depth interview data to from the American States explore how House and Senate campaigns make strategic and Andrew Karch, University of Texas, Austin tactical decisions in managing campaign crises. Overview: When legislators win close elections, do they behave Disc. John McAdams, Marquette University differently from their colleagues who face limited or no opposition? This paper examines the impact of close elections 33-301 POSTER SESSION: JUDICIAL POLITICS on committee assignments in the Minnesota and Texas state legislatures. Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper The Ties that Bond: Policy Congruence between State Presenter Appellate Court: Decision Making During a Majority Legislators and Their Constituents Political Environment Nathan S. Bigelow, University of Maryland Jennifer L. Barnes, University of South Carolina Overview: This paper examines the relationship between the Overview: An analysis of US Court of Appeals decisions during roll-call activity of individual state legislators and the divided and unified government explores the possibility that the underlying opinion of their districts. To explain this policy court will rule opposite the political majority in unified congruence, a number of electoral and institutional hypotheses government. are examined. Presenter Human Subjects at the Federal Bench: The Social Science Disc. Shannon Jenkins, University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth that Justices Do

Jesse D. Covington, University of Notre Dame Overview: This critically assesses the factual claims that judges 35-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE ON CONGRESS make about psychological and sociological functions when AND THE POLITICS OF FEDERAL adjudicating rights in speech, religion, and privacy cases. CHANGE Presenter En Banc Decisions in the Courts of Appeals

Updated 03-01-05 57 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Overview: An examination of New York City's system of Presenter Bounded Government: Slavery and the Devolution of public financing of political campaigns after 15 years of American National Authority (1815-1836) operation. Daniel M. Mulcare, New School University Paper Tax Policy and Yardstick Competition in Flemish Municipal Overview: The politics surrounding slavery and race helped to Elections limit the power of the national government during the Jan Vermeir, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Antebellum era. Bruno Heyndels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Presenter Politics, Law, and the Federal Principle: Revisiting the Overview: Recent theoretical papers develop yardstick Legitimating Role of Congressional Activism competition models in which voters compare tax policy with Kenneth K. Wong, Vanderbilt University that in neighbouring jurisdictions. We analyse municipal Warren E. Langevin, Vanderbilt University elections in Flanders (Belgium) and find empirical evidence for Overview: This paper examines the role of national legislators yardstick voting. in legitimating the exercise of state policy leadership over the Paper Urban Empires: Strategies for Biasing Electoral Arenas past two decades through an analytical framework and formal Jessica L. Trounstine, Princeton University quantitative models to explain dynamic changes in American Overview: Politicians desire to ensure reelection can undercut federalism. democracy when they bias the system in their favor. A game theoretic model, statistical tests, and narrative evidence are used to explore this tendency toward monopoly and biasing 35-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE ON strategies. GUBERNATORIAL RECRUITMENT AND Paper The Wild, Wild West of the South: The Abnormal Struggle POWER to Find a Leader in the City of Richmond, 1947 - 2004 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Thomas J. Shields, University of Richmond Presenter The Performance of Political Amateurs in the Statehouse Overview: This paper examines the historical figures and the from 1974 to 2004: A Test of Recruitment and Socialization context of policies that have been utilized to govern Richmond, Theory Virginia over the past 57 years. There is also a theoretical John A. Hamman, Southern Illinois University framework for other cities contemplating an at-large mayoral Overview: Tenure and job performance ratings of amateur and system. politically experienced governors test recruitment and Disc. Andrew D. McNitt, Eastern Illinois University socialization theories. Differences in amateur career Megan Mullin, University California, Berkeley backgrounds are also tested for effects on career effectiveness. Presenter More or Less Charisma: Comparing the Formal and 37-4 INNOVATIONS IN EDUCATION Informal Powers of State Governors and Canadian Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Provincial Premiers Chair Michael C. Craw, Case Western Reserve University Brendan F. Burke, Bridgewater State College Paper Parent Information and Education Choices Overview: This paper assesses the appropriateness and utility of Paul E. Teske, University of Colorado, Denver Beyle's measures of gubernatorial power for the Canadian Overview: This paper will assess current work on how parents, provincial setting. especially low-income parents, learn about education choices, the information they gather, the media they utilize to gather information, and the matching results they obtain. 36-3 REGIME THEORY AND BEYOND Paper Diffusion of Charter Schools in Florida Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Yahong Zhang, Florida State University Chair Karen Mossberger, Kent State University Overview: The purpose of this study is to empirically explore Paper Beyond Regime Theory: Political Culture and Public the charter school diffusion pattern across districts in Florida Opinion in Urban Politics through Heckman selection regression approach. Neil Kraus, Valparaiso University Paper Charter Schools: Hype or Hope? Overview: This paper prsents an approach to the study of urban Mark Schneider, Stony Brook University politics that is distinct from regime theory by incorporating Jack Buckley, TBA political culture and public opinion into the analysis. It is based Overview: This paper will investigate patterns of parental on ongoing reserarch into the cases of Minneapolis and Gary. satisfaction and parental involvement in the schools over time to Paper Community Development 'Whose Business is it Anyway: identify any value added by charter schools and whether any of Institutional Change in Community Development this value added endures over time. Corporations Paper School Choice, No Child Left Behind, and the Problem of Susan E. Baer, San Diego State University Educational Production Daniel Hajdo, Temple University Scott F. Abernathy, University of Minnesota Overview: This paper seeks to contribute to the positive theory Overview: Using original survey data collected from Minnesota of urban politics by examining the potential of an Institutional public school principals, I examine the bureaucratic responses to Analysis and Development framework to help address both school choice and No Child Left Behind. conceptual and practical problems in urban politics research. Paper Selection and Competition Effects in a Large Scale School Paper Governing the Regimeless City: The Frank Zeidler Voucher System Administration in Milwaukee, 1948-1960 Simon Calmar Andersen, University of Aarhus Joel Rast, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Overview: The paper examines both the question of segregation Overview: This paper examines development policy in and the question of relative academic performance of private Milwaukee from 1948-1960, a period when Milwaukee was and public schools. It analyzes new data on performance and governed without a functioning regime. It asks how the absence socioeconomic status of 42,813 students in a nationwide of a regime affected development policy and the exercise of voucher system. power in postwar Milwaukee. Disc. Paul Manna, The College of William and Mary Disc. Robyne Turner, University of Missouri, Kansas City

36-4 LOCAL ELECTORAL SYSTEMS 38-301 POSTER SESSION: SOCIAL POLICY Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Chair Andrew D. McNitt, Eastern Illinois University Presenter Globalization, Workfare, and Welfare Recipients in the Paper Campaign Finance Reform Reconsidered: New York City's United States Public Finance Program After 15 Years Sherrow O. Pinder, Hobart and William Massachuettes Jeffrey F. Kraus, Wagner College Institute of Technologyh Colleges

58 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This study examines globalization and the welfare Overview: I build a theory of corporation law necessary for state in the United States. It will show that globalization is industrial development by examining debates recorded in state creating many low-paying jobs which must be filled. Welfare constitutional conventions in America from 1865-1900. recipients are the new reserve army of labor for global Paper Property Rights and Democracy in Nineteenth-Century capitalism. Municipalities Presenter The Largest Social Insurance Program in the World: A Steven E. Horn, University of Southern California Comprehensive Accounting of Federal Expenditures on Overview: What is the relationship between property rights and Disability in the United States democracy? This paper attempts to historicize this question Scott Szymendera, Rutgers University through a close examination of the way property rights shaped Overview: This project will examine the total expenditures of the governance of nineteenth-century American municipalities. the federal government on disability related programs and Disc. Martin Gruberg, University of Wisconsin benefits. 44-10 TENSION, COMPETITION, AND CONFLICT 39-4 GENDER, RACE, AND THE THEORY OF AMONG RELIGIOUS GROUPS REPRESENTATIVE BUREAUCRACY Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Chair Franklyn C. Niles, John Brown University Chair Lysa Burnier, Ohio University Paper The Origins of Left-Wing Anti-Semitism in Europe Paper Glass Ceilings and Glass Walls: The Implication of William I. Brustein, University of Pittsburgh Departmental Function on Gender and Race Based Overview: The paper will explore the evolution of left-wing Occupational Segregation anti-Semitism from its origins in Utopian Socialism to the Bethany Sneed, Eastern Michigan University present. The research argues that left-wing anti-Semitism Overview: This paper examines the extent and effects of derived largely from the allegation of Jewish opposition to occupational segregation in state bureaucracies by gender and communitarianism. race. It utilizes Lowi’s typology of departmental functions as Paper Religious Violence and the Way to a Theocracy expanded by Newman. Nachman Ben-Yehuda, Hebrew University Paper Gender, Race and the Theory of Representative Overview: The paper examines how the use of violence by ultra Bureaucracy orthodox Jews in Israel serves the purpose of moving Israel Lael R. Keiser, University of Missouri, Columbia closer to a theocracy. Marvin Overby, University of Missouri, Columbia Paper Rebellion, Religion, and Rational Choice Institutionalism: Kenneth J. Meier, Texas A&M University Towards an Integrated Framework for Analysis Daniel Hawes, Texas A&M University Michael D McGinnis, Indiana University Overview: We generate and test hypotheses that the link Overview: Religious leaders and organizations participate at all between passive and active representation in bureaucracies stages of violent political conflict. Rational choice models producing policy outputs that distribute harms differ for race generate implications concerning which types of faith-based and gender. organizations have incentives to intervene in conflict processes. Paper How Much Diversity is Needed to Affect Organizational Paper The Non-Secularization of Christianity in the Global South: Performance? Political and Sociological Implications of a Major Religious Sharon H. Mastracci, University of Illinois, Chicago Movement Kenneth J. Meier, Texas A&M University Benjamin H. Ponder, Northwestern University Overview: How diverse must an organization be to affect Overview: This paper traces the political and sociological performance? This paper links organizational diversity and significance of the unprecedented expansion of Christianity in outcomes, applies a model of network participation, and draws Africa, Asia, and Latin America. upon diversity and group learning frameworks. Disc. Robert Dowd, University of Notre Dame Paper Realizing a Representative Bureaucracy in South Africa: Success or Failure? 48-101 ROUNDTABLE: LGBT'S IN THE 2004 Katherine C. Naff, San Francisco State University ELECTION Frederik Uys, University of Stellenbosch Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Overview: This paper assesses the South African government’s Chair LGBTS in the 2004 Election efforts to achieve a government that reflects the nation’s Kenneth Sherrill, Hunter College, CUNY diversity following the dismantlement of apartheid. It examines Panelist Ellen Andersen, Indiana University-Purdue University the measures undertaken and the results that have been Indianapolis obtained. Jeffrey Edwards, Roosevelt University Disc. Lysa Burnier, Ohio University Steven Haeberle, University of Alabama, Birmingham Holly T. Goerdel, Texas A&M University Douglas Strand, University of California at Berkeley

Dorian T. Warren, University of Chicago 40-4 STATES AND LOCALITIES IN AMERICAN Mark Wojcik, John Marshall School of Law POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT Overview: We will examine lgbt people both as voters and as Room TBA, Fri 8:30 objects of hostility in the 2004 elections. Topics will include the Chair Martin Gruberg, University of Wisconsin lgbt vote, the presidential campaigns, state referenda. Paper The City and the State in American Political Development Robert C. Lieberman, Columbia University Overview: A birds-eye view of the place of cities in the 49-2 INEQUALITY AND DEMOCRACY American governing regime from the Founding to the present. Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Paper Mangaing the Periphery: Writing Constituions in the Chair William Keech, Carnegie Mellon University Western States Paper Bones of Contention: Political Economy of Height Amy B. Bridges, University of California, San Diego Charles Boix, University of Chicago Overview: Explains the character and politics of constitution Frances Rosenbluth, Yale University writing in the Rocky Mountain and West Coast States Overview: The paper employs the distribution of heights within Paper The Corporation Question in the States, 1865-1900: Debates male populations and between males and females in pre- in the Constitutional Conventions historic, agrarian and industrial societies to measure inequality Jonathan J. Chausovsky, University of Texas, Austin and to examine its economic and political sources. Paper Voter Preferences and Growth Raymond Duch, University of Houston

Updated 03-01-05 59 Overview: The paper explores whether voters in developing Overview: TBA economies have growth-compatible policy preferences—the Paper Contention All the Way Down: Exploring the Rival empirical results are based on public opinion surveys conducted Microfoundations of Civil War in Argentina, Colombia, and Venezuela. Christian Davenport, University of Maryland Paper Polarized America: The Dance of Political Ideology and Mark Lichback, University of Maryland Economic Inequality David Armstrong, University of Maryland Nolan McCarty, Princeton University Overview: TBA Keith T. Poole, University of Houston Paper Conceptions of Democracy in the Study of Civil War Howard Rosenthal, Princeton University Harvard Hegre, Center for the Study of Civil War, PRIO Overview: The paper examines the link between political Kaare Strom, University of California, San Diego polarization and economic inequality in the United States. Overview: TBA Paper Which Beliefs Matter for Redistributive Politics? Target- Paper Democratic Governance and the Risk of Civil War Specific versus General Beliefs About the Causes of Income Leonard Wantchekon, New York University Christina Fong, Carnegie Mellon University Overview: TBA Overview: The paper presents consequential refinements of the Disc. Will Moore, Florida State University widely accepted finding that beliefs about the causes of income are associated with preferences for income redistribution. 1-115 AUTHOR MEETS CRITICS: CULTURE Disc. William Keech, Carnegie Mellon WARS? BY MORRIS FIORINA Room TBA, Fri 10:30 51-2 RETHINKING SOVEREIGNTY Chair Gary Jacobson, University of California, San Diego Room TBA, Fri 8:30 Panelist Jeff Stonecash, Syracuse University Chair Eben J. Christensen, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Keith Poole, University of California, San Diego Paper Exception, Decision, and Concrete Order in Carl Schmitt Marc Hetherington, Vanderbilt University Farid S. Benavides-Vanegas, University of Massachusetts, Morris Fiorina, Stanford University Amherst Overview: TBA Overview: This paper analyzes Schmitt’s concept of the state of exception and argues that what Agamben regards as the paradox 2-302 POSTER SESSION: COMPARATIVE in this concept is in fact a result of not having taken into account POLITICS OF ADVANCED the Schmittian notion of the concrete order. INDUSTRIALIZED DEMOCRACIES Paper Neo-liberal Governance and State Transformation Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Asli Calkivik, University of Minnesota Presenter Assessing the Reliability of Content Analysis Data In Social Overview: This paper addresses the challenges posed by Movement Research Foucauldian understandings of the constitution of political order Lori M. Poloni-Staudinger, Indiana University under global capitalism and uses the concept of “political Overview: The purpose of this paper is to assess the reliability administration” to rethink the state in the process of neoliberal of using content analysis as a method for gathering data for restructuring. social movement research by comparing data collected through Paper Continuous Incorporation: Sovereign Power and the content analysis to data collected through group surveys. Hobbesian Body Politic in View of the Exception Presenter Veto Points in Institutional Design: Relationship to Quality David Leon, University of Minnesota of Democracy Overview: This paper advances the view that Hobbes’ concept Laura C. Lucas, University of Kansas of incorporation is a fluid process by which sovereign power is Overview: This study demonstrates that a positive relationship reproduced through decisive decisions on the condition of exists between the number of veto points in an institutional normality and terms of inclusion in the collective body politic. system and existing measures of democracy: higher numbers of Paper Border, Refugee—Camp: Implications of Recent Critiques veto points are associated with a higher quality of democracy. of the State for Radical International Relations Theory Presenter Either/Or: The Distribution of Female Ministers in Kartik Raj, University of Minnesota European Cabinets Overview: This paper draws on recent Marxist and post- William D. Mac Millan, University of Iowa structuralist critiques of the state and sovereignty, and evaluates Overview: The shift from a low percentage of female ministers their radical democratic potential through a consideration of to a higher percentage is not a slow gradual increase. Instead, contemporary ‘detention centers’ for undocumented migrants in there is a more rapid shift; states either have a low percentage of Europe. female cabinet members or a high percentage. Paper Identities, Migration and the mMaking of the Asian Global Presenter E-government in the Federal Republic of Germany: How Cities the German Model is Coping with G2G and G2B Vera Zambonelli, Johns Hopkins University Technologies Overview: Is the global city a site “of alternative voices” to the Mark Cassell, Kent State University nation-state interpretation of political identity? I address this Overview: This paper explores: 1) how Germany is using and linked questions examining Japanese, Chinese and Korean electronic technologies to improve intra-governmental migration to Shanghai, Tokyo, and Singapore in the last two connections; 2) the institutional challenges posed by electronic decades applications; and 3) how Germany is coping with those Disc. Margot Morgan, Rutgers University challenges. Presenter Comparing Core Executive Coordination: Different Patterns of Formulating National European Negotiation Friday, April 8 – 10:30 am – 12:15 pm Positions 1-1 MICROFOUNDATIONS OF CONFLICT: Michael Stoiber, University of Darmstadt Paul W. Thurner, University of Mannheim CIVIL WARS Overview: Extending the concept of the core executive by Room TBA, Fri 10:30 including issue domains as essential elements linking the actors Chair Sunita Parikh, Washington University and by applying social network analysis we want to analyse the Paper Conflict Termination in Government/Rebel Group national intragovernmental coordination processes of EU- Relationships Member States. Christopher Butler, University of New Mexico Presenter Having Their Cake and Eating it Too? A Closer Look at the Scott Gates, Center for the Study of Civil War, PRIO Effects of Economic Interdependence and Partisanship on Michele Leiby, University of New Mexico Government Policy Choices

60 Updated 03-01-05 Nicholas Charron, Florida State University 4-9 DEMOCRATIZATION: GAME THEORETIC Overview: Neither the convergence nor partisan explanations APPROACHES can aptly explain the empirical trends in corporate taxation and Room TBA, Fri 10:30 overall government public spending. Partisan effects on Chair Gina Yannitell Reinhardt, Washington University taxation and public spending diminish as economic openness Paper The Transition to Democracy in Estonia and the Collapse of increases. the Soviet Union: Mechanisms and Counterfactual Presenter Unholy Alliance or a Match Made in Heaven? The Political- Possibilities Economy of Religion and the Logic of Conservative Politics Henry E. Brady, University of California, Berkeley as Explanation for Cross-National Differences in Cynthia S. Kaplan, University of California, Santa Barbara Government Provision of Social Services Overview: Using methods such as formal models, opinion Jeffrey M. Cavanaugh, University of Illinois, Urbana- surveys, and events coded from newspapers, we argue that an Champaign independence movement was not inevitable in Estonia between Overview: I present a model suggesting religious groups view 1986-1991 and that initially public opinion favored reform, not government as a competitor, giving them an interest in allying independence. with the forces of the economic right in order to reduce Paper Political Wars of Attrition: A Theory of Political government provision of social services. Transitions, Civil Wars and Third Party Interventions G. Jiyun Kim, University of Michigan 3-6 GLOBALIZATION AND DOMESTIC Overview: This paper uses a modified war-of-attrition model COMPLIANCE with two outside options or with one outside and one inside option to derive a unifying theory of political transitions, civil Room TBA, Fri 10:30 wars and third party interventions in transitional conflicts. Paper Gender and Nationality Laws Worldwide Paper Transition to Democracy Under Threat: A Game Theoretic Fariel M. Cherif, New York University Model Overview: Despite international efforts, women still face Byung-Jae Lee, University of Texas, Austin discrimination in nationality law, prompting questions about the Overview: This paper explains the paths of democratic efficacy of these efforts and why some states are more transitions when the possibility of the military or the outside successful in respecting citizenship rights. force is still present (after withdrawl), and harsh transitional Paper Development Sustainability, Capabilities, and Foreign Aid justice is real possibility by using a game theoretic model. in Sub-Saharan Africa Paper Democratic Stability Under Uncertainty: A Comparative Julian C. Westerhout, Carleton College Statics Analysis of Weingast’s Sovereign-Constituency Overview: Efforts to implement sustainable development in Coordination Game Sub-Saharan Africa are hampered by and perverse incentives, Neil A. Malhotra, Stanford University but new approaches inform programs that may hold promise for Matthew Carnes, Stanford University the future of development in the region. This paper evaluates Overview: This paper relaxes the informational assumptions of these efforts. Weingast’s (1997) model of democratic stability by applying Paper A Grand Illusion? The Relationship between Foreign the solution concept of quantal response equilibrium (QRE). Economic Penetration and Human Rights in Less Developed Case studies of El Salvador, Mexico, and China illustrate the Countries findings. Ronald D. Gelleny, Rhodes College Paper Federalism and Incentives for Success of Democracy David L. Richards, ETS Roger B. Myerson, University of Chicago Overview: In this paper, we examine whether a less developed Overview: Success and failure of democracy are interpreted as country's (LDC) ability to attract foreign capital is influenced by different equilibria of a dynamic political game. its level of governmental respect for human rights. Disc. Mona Lyne, University of South Carolina Disc. Frank P. Le Veness, St. John’s University

5-5 PARTY SYSTEMS IN THE EUROPEAN 4-5 DEMOCRATIC CONSOLIDATION UNION Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Chair Michael McIntyre, DePaul University Chair Michaela W. Richter, University of New York Paper Government Types and Democratic Consolidation Paper Party Polarization in the New EU Member States Feng-yu Lee, University of Texas, Austin Bojan M. Petrovic, University of California, Irvine Overview: Challenging the pervasive doubt about the influence Overview: Responses of political parties and other actors to of government types on democratic consolidation, this paper sustained EU adaptive pressures during the CEE countries’ argues that government types do matter. A pooled time-series accession negotiations with Brussels. cross-sectional data set will be used to unravel the relationship. Paper European Integration and the Formation and Success of Paper Consolidation of Internationally Imposed Democracy: The Regional Parties Case of Cambodia Seth K. Jolly, Duke University Kheang Un, Northern Illinois University Overview: I argue that deeper EU integration encourages more Overview: This paper analyzes the imbalance between state and regional party entry as well as greater success in national society arguing that such imbalance hinders democratic elections. Building from a formal model, I test this using a two consolidation because it blocks the creation of the rule of law, stage statistical model on a dataset of regions in the EU-15 from independent institutions, government accountability and 1950-97. transparency. Paper EU Policy Constraints and the Volatility of European Party Paper Effective Opposition: Political Environment and Democratic Systems Consolidation Eric H. Hines, University of Iowa Gregory J. Love, University of California, Davis Overview: Party politics in Europe has become more volatile. Overview: The paper develops a new approach to explaining the Parties require flexibility to respond to this volatility, but the EU causes of democratic deepening by examining incentives and constrains the behavior of parties. This paper examines how structures that develop effective opposition parties. The this contributes to the volatility of the European party space. implications derived from the theory are empirically tested and Paper Fickle Parties or Changing Dimensions? Testing the supported. Comparability of Party Manifesto Data across Time. Disc. Judith S. Kullberg, Eastern Michigan University Ryan Bakker, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Erica Edwards, University of North Carolina, Chapel HIll Catherine Netjes Catherine Netjes, TBA

Updated 03-01-05 61 Overview: We will demonstrate that modeling a party's pro/anti Clemente Quinones, University of Connecticut EU position as a time-series based on party manifestos can be Overview: Description of the evolution of Mexico's electoral problematic. We test the comparability of manifesto-based system since 1940 and the poloitical (democratic) consequences measures across time and show that dimensions change, not of this evolution. party positions. Paper Affecting Citizen Satisfaction: Transitions to Mixed- Paper The Party System and the Personal Vote: Revisiting Carey Member Electoral Systems in Latin America and the Effects and Shugart on Citizen Satisfaction Martin Battle, Washington University, St Louis Jason A. Eichorst, Texas A&M University Overview: This paper examines the effect of the number of Overview: Legitimacy of democracy is problematic without the parties in a system on incentives to cultivate a personal vote. support of the citizenry. This research will investigate the Empirical tests are conducted on data from British General hypothesis that citizen satisfaction will increase after the Elections since World War Two. adoption of a Mixed-Member Electoral system. Disc. Jeannette Money, University of California, Davis Disc. John Bailey, Georgetown University Eduardo R. Gomes, BCC/UFF

5-7 THE CHALLENGES OF EUROPEAN UNION 6-14 DEMOCRATIZATION IN MEXICO Room TBA, Fri 10:30 ENLARGEMENT Chair Douglas S. Thornton, Texas A&M University at Qatar Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Paper Party Politics and Political Management in Mexico’s Fiscal Chair Palle Swensson, University of Aarhus Decentralisation Paper The European Union or the European-Atlantic Alberto L. Peredo, London School of Economics Community? Overview: The paper analyses what impact did each political Darius Furmonavicius, University of Bradford actor of the Mexican political system had on “fiscal Overview: Why not to encourage the transformation of current decentralisation” as a result of the new political arena? bureaucratic EU institutions for a wider European-Atlantic Paper Relations Between the State and Independent Unions in Community of Europe and North America, where the United Mexico Since 2000. States and Canada eventually could be invited to join? Jean F. Mayer, Concordia University Paper The Myth of Turkey’s Future Power in the European Union Overview: What has been the effect of Mexico's process of Robert Pahre, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign democratic transition on relations between the state and Burcu Ucaray, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign independent unions? My study relies on an analysis of the Overview: We argue that concerns about Turkey’s influence on country's legal framework and original interviews to answer this the future of the Union are unwarranted. Turkey will likely have research question. preferences outside the European mainstream on most Paper Rules to Avoid Rules: Candidate Selection Changes in the dimensions and always be outvoted by QMV. Revolutionary Institutional Party (PRI) in Mexico Paper Boom or Bust: Impact of the EU Enlargement on Future Frederic K. Cady, University of Texas, Austin Integration of Europe Overview: I discuss how the PRI in Mexico has reformed the Marian Tupy, Cato Institute way that it selects candidates for public office. I argue that Overview: Boom or Bust: Impact of the EU enlargement on loopholes in the new rules often allow party elites to avoid using future integration of Europe open procedures in favor of closed ones, thus avoiding reform. Paper Media Effects on Public Opinion about the Enlargement of Paper Political Parties and the Quest for Effective Democratic the European Union Governance: The Case of Mexico Claes H. deVreese, University of Amsterdam Yomara A. Guerra Aguijosa, Georgetown University Hajo G. Boomgaarden, University of Amsterdam Overview: This paper examines the relationship between Overview: Effects of media exposure and other predictors on political parties' performance in government and effective support for the enlargement of the European Union democratic governance. It provides a theoretical framework for Paper Europeans and Democracy the study of governance. Palle Svensson, University of Aarhus Paper Poverty of Democracy: Neoliberal Reforms and Political Overview: The paper deals with an aspect of European political Participation of the Poor in Mexico culture that is vital for the legitimacy of democracy. On the Claudio Holzner, University of Utah basis of data from the 1999 European Value Survey the attitudes Overview: This paper argues that neoliberal reforms in Mexico of Europeans towards democracy is explored. have eliminated many of the traditional channels of Disc. Teresa Cierco, Lusiada University of Oporto participation and representation available to lower-class groups, restricting the voice of many marginal groups despite 6-1 CITIZEN SATISFACTION IN LATIN democratic reforms. AMERICAN DEMOCRACIES Disc. Douglas S. Thornton, Texas A&M University at Qatar Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Tina Hilgers, York University Chair Jorge Bravo, Duke University Paper Are Women like Indians? A Comparative Analysis of the 7-5 LOCAL POLITICS IN CHINA Causes and Consequences of Descriptive Representation in Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Latin America Chair Chung-Hee Lee, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies Mala N Htun, New School for Social Research Paper A New Broom Sweeps Clean"? Turnover of Chinese County Overview: This paper explains the Latin America trend toward Mayors and Fiscal and Economic Performance 1996-2002 quotas for women and minorities, paying particular attention to Gang Guo, University of Mississippi the differences between gender and ethnicity. Overview: This paper examines the causal relationship between Paper Mixed-Member Proportional Electoral Systems and the turnover of mayors and fiscal and economic performance of Regional Cleavages in New Democracies: The Bolivian Chinese counties, based on the analysis of a panel data from Experience mainland China Miguel Centellas, Western Michigan University Paper Peasant Community and Its Leadership Characteristics: Overview: An empirical study of the Bolivian experience with Evidence from Rural China mixed-member proportional representation and the increasingly Wei Shan, Texas A&M University polarized regional cleavages it fostered. Overview: Based on a typology of peasant communities, this Paper Explaining the Origin, Evolution, and Consequences of the paper attempts to argue that environmental factors have a Mexican Electoral System significant impact on the characteristics of community leaders.

62 Updated 03-01-05 Theoretical discuss on causal mechanism and empirical 11-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: ECONOMIC evidence are provided. INTERDEPENDENCE AND CONFLICT Paper The Effect of Local Governments in China on the Inflow of Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Foreign Direct Investment: Rent Seeking or Diffusion of Presenter Liberal Theory and the Origins of the Pacific War 1931- Liberal Norms? 1941: An Examination of the Effects of the Great Hyochan Ju, University of Texas, Austin Depression, the Collapse of International Trade, and the Overview: In China, global economic linkage can be a way for Rise of Protectionism on Japan’s Road to World War II local officials to augment power and economic rent. Thus, local Mark Elder, Michigan State University governments, requesting more integration into the world Overview: This paper argues that Japan’s decisions to go to war economy to the center, are likely to oppose liberalization of against China in the 1930s and the US in 1941 cannot be Chinese economy. primarily explained by the Great Depression, the worldwide Paper Township Officials on Township Elections in China increase in protection, or the collapse of international trade in Lianjiang Li, Hong Kong Baptist University the 1930s. Overview: Using a 2003 survey conducted in six Chinese Presenter Designing for Peace: Variation in Regional Integration provinces, this paper examines township officials’ perspectives Arrangements and Intramural Violent Conflict of the desirability and feasibility of direct township elections. Yoram Z. Haftel, Ohio State University Disc. Young C. Kim, University of Evansville Overview: This paper examines the effect of institutional

variation across regional integration arrangements on intramural 10-4 THE POLITICS OF MILITARY ALLIANCES violent conflict in the 1980s and 1990s. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Chair Brian Lai, University of Iowa Paper Alliance Politics During the Cold War: Aberration, New 11-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: JUST WAR World Order, or Continuation of History? THEORY Brett Ashley Leeds, Rice University Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Michaela Mattes, Rice University Presenter On the Volatility of Economic Growth Overview: This paper examines the propensity of states to form Sergio Bejar, Florida State University alliances, the kinds of alliances they form, and the effects of Overview: This paper asks why volatile rates of economic those alliances on behavior. It addresses whether the nature of growth exist and vary among different democracies and what is alliance politics fundamentally changed during the Cold War the role of democratic institutions in this empirical finding. era. Paper Dyadic Dependence Structures and the Modeling of International Alliances 12-6 REDEFINING DOMESTIC & T. Camber Warren, Duke University INTERNATIONAL INTERESTS: Overview: This paper will show that interstate alliances can be EMPIRICAL STUDIES OF MEXICO productively modeled using p* autologistic regressions Room TBA, Fri 10:30 combined with MCMC estimation techniques, thereby allowing Chair Celia Toro, El Colegio de Mexico the researcher to avoid the statistical assumption of dyadic Paper The Tradeoffs Between Private Rights and State Autonomy independence. in Trade and Investment Agreements: The Case of NAFTA Paper Regime Change and Alliance Change: Democratization and Gustavo Vega-Canovas, El Colegio de Mexico the Weakening of Alliance. Overview: TBA Jongseok Woo, University of Texas, Austin Paper Human Rights and Mexican Foreign Policy Overview: This research demonstrates how the regime change Ana Covarrubias, Center for International Studies of democratization in a state results in a weakening of alliance Overview: TBA commitment with its counterparts. Paper Kosovo and Iraq: Explaining Mexico's Responses Disc. Brian Lai, University of Iowa Monica Serrano, El Colegio de Mexico Overview: TBA 10-21 THE INTERNAL DYNAMICS OF Paper The United States and Mexico Against Transnational INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS Organized Crime: Exploring Changes in Sovereign Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Prerogatives and Capacities Chair Rashida Hussain, Wright State University Celia Toro, El Colegio de Mexico Paper WTO Disputes and Non-State Actors Participation: Overview: TBA Assessing Incentives Through the Selectorage Model. Paper Assessing the Influence of Non-State Actors in North Cristiane Carneiro, Arcadia University/ New York University America Overview: This paper offers a multimethod analysis of support Blanca Torres, El Colegio de Mexico for non-state actor participation in WTO disputes. I appropriate Overview: TBA notions from the Selectorate Theory to explain opposition to Disc. Laura MacDonald, Carleton University non-state actor participation in the WTO. Paper Japan’s Quest for Leadership in the Bretton Woods 13-4 GETTING THE JOB DONE RIGHT Institutions: A Standards Approach Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Phillip Y. Lipscy, Harvard University Chair J. Michael Greig, University of North Texas Overview: I endogenize path dependence by reformulating Paper When Push Comes to Shove: The Positives and Negatives of international institutions as standards of cooperation. Japan’s Nation Building effort to secure a leadership role in the Bretton Woods Andrea K. Talentino, Tulane University institutions provides a useful case study. Overview: This paper will analyze nation building to show how Paper The United Nations: Smoke-Filled Rooms or "We the international attempts to jumpstart state development often People"? undermine the state and strengthen non-state actors. Thomas D. Zweifel, Columbia University Paper Soldiers, Statesmen, and Strategy: The Influence of Civil- Overview: Paper examines the democracy (accountability and Military Relations on Military Effectiveness independence) of the United Nations -- a key issue for the 21st Dessie Zagorcheva, Columbia University century. Overview: This article analyzes how relations between top Disc. Rashida Hussain, Wright State University civilian and military officials affect decision-making on the use of force and the military's performance on the battlefield.

Updated 03-01-05 63 Paper Normative Blowback: The Unintended Consequences of Overview: This paper looks at whether uses of military force American Ideals. divert media coverage away from adverse economic conditions William J. Muck, University of Colorado and toward the use of force situation. Overview: This project chronicles the history of overt and Paper Why Should We Care? Why Should We Fight?: covert military interventions by the United States during the Justification of American Military Intervention in 1898 and Cold War, attempting to gauge the degree to which these 1991 interventions were structured and constrained by the self- Sarah J. Thelen, American University determination norm. Overview: Examining the debates building up to the War of Paper United States Initiatives Against Cocaine and Heroin: The 1898 and the 1991 Persian Gulf War, this paper analyzes the Displacement of the Drug Economy as a Side Effect of patterns of rhetorical analogy used in Senate debates over Foreign Policy “authorizations to use force.” Cornelius Friesendorf, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Paper Policy Blunders: Some Dynamic Fallacies of the Zurich 'Democracies Don't Fight Each Other' Dogma Overview: This paper examines whether US foreign policy Steven T. Seitz, University of Illinois initiatives against illicit drug production and trafficking causes Charles Hulin, University of Illinois the geographical displacement of the drug industry. It first Overview: That and why 'democracies don't fight one another' develops a causal mechanism and then applies it to three has become an important justification for imposing democracy historical cases. in Iraq and elsewhere. Reasonably simple computational models Disc. J. Michael Greig, University of North Texas show the tenuous grounds on which these claims rest. Disc. Nehemia Geva, Texas A&M University 14-14 THE PERPETUATION OF CONFLICT Room TBA, Fri 10:30 16-5 TERRORISM AND WAR Paper The Ideological Peace? Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Mark Souva, Florida State University Chair Milton Lodge, Stony Brook University David Lektzian, University of New Orleans Paper Trust in Government and Emotional Responses to 9/11 Overview: Why are states not able to resolve their disputes Paul Brewer, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee short of costly conflict? Fear. Sean Aday, George Washington University Paper Enduring or Diminishing? An Analysis of Conflict Kimberly Gross, George Washington University Probability and Recurrence Overview: This study uses panel survey data to examine Michelle C. Anderson, Princeton University whether emotional responses such as fear, worry, hope, and Overview: Enduring rivalries suggest that conflict begets pride shaped and were shaped by trust in government in the conflict while information revealed during fighting should make aftermath of September 11, 2001. recurrence less likely. Hypothesis testing using logit and hazard Paper The Geography of Fear: Public Opinion and the Contextual models finds mixed support for both of these claims. Reactions to Terrorism Paper On Clausewitz: Rationalist Explanations for Irrational Darren W. Davis, Michigan State University Behavior in War Brian D. Silver, Michigan State University Scott A. Helfstein, University of Michigan Moshe Haspel, TBA Overview: Much of the best work in IR relies on Clausewitz’s Overview: This paper examines the connection between threat famous dictum that war serves political ends. A lack of of terrorism and the local context. formalization often relegates dissenters to the background. This Paper Standing on Shakey ground?: Assessing Political Support in paper will utilize audience costs and SCE to formalize that the Aftermath of 9/11 position. Christopher S. parker, University of California, Santa Paper “I Can’t Get No Satisfaction”: Does the Kantian Peace Barbara Extend to Relative Power Parity? Mark Q. Sawyer, University of California, Los Angeles Laron K. Williams, Texas A&M University Overview: In this paper, we examine the bases of support for Overview: Can the Kantian triad be extended to measure the American political system (diffuse) and American political satisfaction in great power dyadic interaction? institutions (specific). Paper Mediating Civil Wars Settlements and the Duration of Peace Paper The Gender Gap During Times of War: The Case of Iraq. Mehmet Gurses, University of North Texas Guy C. Dalto, Birmingham-Southern College Patrick McLeod, University of North Texas Robert Slagter, Birmingham-Southern College Nicolas Rost, University of North Texas Overview: Women are less likely to favor military solutions to Overview: In this study, we examine the effects of different international conflicts because they have greater fear or war and types of mediation on the duration of peace after civil war. its consequences. This paper tests the hypothesis that one cause Specifically, we distinguish between effective and ineffective of fear is "domestic" violence. mediation where effective mediation leads to a longer duration Disc. Milton Lodge, Stony Brook University of peace. Disc. Brian M. Pollins, Ohio State University 16-8 VALUES AND IDEOLOGY Room TBA, Fri 10:30 15-4 DIVERSIONARY THEORY AND FOREIGN Chair David A. Peterson, Texas A&M University Paper Value Choices in the Mass Public: Ambivalence Versus POLICY BEHAVIOR Hierarchical Structure Room TBA, Fri 10:30 William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University Chair Brent Strathman, Ohio State University Overview: This analysis tests for hierarchical structure in Paper The Diversionary Theory of Foreign Policy?: American citizens' value preferences. Most people make transitive choices Presidents and Public Opinion. among values, intransitivity is mainly due to uncertainty, and Ann Fishback, University of Wisconsin, Madison value preferences affect subsequent issue attitudes. Overview: This project attempts to expand diversionary theory Paper Overcoming Land Injustices: An Experimental to include a wider range of foreign policy actions. The ultimate Investigation Into the Justice and Injustice of Land goal is to gain a greater understanding of the role of public Squatting in South Africa opinion on foreign policy selection. James L. Gibson, Washington University, St. Louis Paper The Diversionary 'Use of Force,’ Assessing Media Coverage Overview: Results of 2004 national survey in South Africa on of Economic Conditions land conflict, and the psychological principals underlying. Uses Wayne P. Steger, DePaul University an experiment to address the psychology of land justice. Matt Wolski, DePaul University

64 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Constraint in Mass Belief Systems: Political Brand Names using interrelated rhetoric linking states’ rights with social as Signals policies of the welfare state, crime and race-conscious policies. Michael R. Tomz, Stanford University Paul M. Sniderman, Stanford University Overview: Political parties attach brand names to issues, thereby 17-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RAIN OR giving citizens the signals they need to respond coherently to an SHINE? THE EFFECT OF WEATHER ON array of questions. When we offer such signals in surveys, TURNOUT preferences exhibit far more constraint than previously Room TBA, Fri 10:30 recognized. Presenter Should We Talk About the Weather? Who Stays Home Paper Vilification and Value Disparagement When It Rains: Examining the Impact of Inclement Thomas E. Nelson, Ohio State University Weather on Voter Turnout. Overview: Two experiments examined the consequences of Patrick N. Hultman, Iowa State University associating issue positions with particular groups. Attaching Overview: This paper will test the relationship between weather group labels to issue positions undermined support for the events and voter turnout in hopes of furthering understanding of position, apparently by influencing the priority attached to the perceived relationship and determine if it is little more than competing values. a random event or something worthy of additional study. Disc. David A. Peterson, Texas A&M University Presenter The Linkage Between the Weather and Voter Turnout: Fact or Fiction? 17-7 THE EFFECT OF VOTING RULES AND Brad T. Gomez, University of South Carolina ELECTORAL ARRANGEMENTS ON Thomas G. Hansford, University of South Carolina TURNOUT George A. Krause, University of South Carolina Overview: The relationship between the weather and voter Room TBA, Fri 10:30 turnout is frequently treated as a truism of political behavior, but Chair Michael P. McDonald, George Mason University it has been accepted with virtually no empirical validation. We Paper An Unfettered Electorate: Redistricting and the Political test they hypothesis using county-level data from 28 U.S. Behavior of ‘New Voters’ elections. Seth C. McKee, University of Texas Danny Hayes, University of Texas Overview: We examine the impact of redistricting on political 18-301 POSTER SESSION: REPRESENTATION participation and vote choice. Specifically, we evaluate whether AND ELECTORAL SYSTEMS being drawn into a new district affects turnout and vote Room TBA, Fri 10:30 preference in Texas congressional elections from 2000 to 2004. Presenter How to Measure Electoral Systems: Comparing Different Paper For What It's Worth: Presidential Primary Value and Voter Categorization and Measurements for Electoral Systems. Turnout Jae Woo Hong, University of Missouri-Columbia Tyler Johnson, Texas A&M University Overview: The paper examines the problems of exiting Overview: This paper attempts to discover whether factors such categorizations and measurements of electoral systems. I as the Presidential primary calendar and state delegate count, propose theoretical guideline to develop new measurements and traditionally used by candidates to determine where and how provide potential alternatives. strongly to compete, are predictors of primary voter turnout. Paper Voting in American Elections: Does Making it Easier, Make a Difference? 19-4 GENDER GAP IN PUBLIC OPINION (Co- James T. Smith, Catholic University of America sponsored with Gender and Politics, see 22-12) John C. Comer, University of Nebraska Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Overview: Using a classic pooled-time series design, and Chair Richard L. Fox, Union College controlling for known factors, models tease out the impact of Paper Partisanship, Religion, and Gay Rights: Another various state policies that allow for early voting and unrestricted Perspective on the Gender Gap absentee voting on state level electoral turnout. Laurie A. Rhodebeck, University of Louisville Paper Rehabilitated but Not Fit to Vote: A Comparative Racial Overview: This study examines gender differences on cultural Study of Disenfranchisement Laws issues, finding the sharpest are linked with gay rights. It Keesha M. Middlemass, Vera Institute of Justice analyzes the partisan implications of these gender differences Overview: This manuscript compares turnout differentials and and explores the role of religion in mediating their partisan the political ramifications of disenfranchisement laws of three impact. populations – African Americans, Latinos and Whites – using Paper Salient Issues and Gender Gap Justice Department statistics, Census data and election returns. Hye-Jin Oh, SUNY-Stony Brook Paper Straight Ticket Scapegoat? An Examination of Partisan Overview: How men and women are different in their voting Strength, Down-Ballot Participation and the Straight Ticket behavior? Utilizing multivariate estimation with a NES data Voting Option from 1956 to 2000, we show that men and women differently Michael A. Lewkowicz, University of Illinois weight salient issues. Overview: This study will show that the elimination of the Paper Aging, Marital Status and the Gender Gap in Political straight ticket voting option is likely to affect weak partisans the Preferences most, as they will become more likely to engage in down-ballot Tassili Pender, Harvard University abstention. Overview: Gender gap theory implies the phenomenon is Disc. Michael P. McDonald, George Mason University limited to a certain age group and gender. However in Brian McKenzie, Texas A&M University preliminary estimations, marital status has a significant effect on

preference expression. 17-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: RACE AND Paper Changing Times, Changing Partisan Attachments: THE GOP Explaining the Gender Gap in Participation from 1953 to Room TBA, Fri 10:30 2003 Presenter Racial Rhetoric in Republican Presidential Campaigns: Heather L. Ondercin, Pennsylvania State University Nationalization and Continuity in the Post-Civil Rights Era Overview: I analyze the critical question: why has the gender Carey L. Powers, City University of New York gap in partisanship changed directions over time. I explain Overview: The racial code has enabled the presidential changes in the gender gap as a function of changes that have Republican Party to nationalize the “Southern Strategy” by occurred socially, political, and economically over this time period.

Updated 03-01-05 65 Disc. Karen M. Kaufmann, University of Maryland 21-101 ROUNDTABLE: WHERE MEDIA MESSAGES COME FROM AND WHY IT 19-14 POLITICAL INTEREST AND MATTERS SOPHISTICATION Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Panelist Diana Mutz, University of Pennsylvania Chair Joanne Miller, University of Minnesota Matthew Baum, University of California, Los Angeles Paper Explaining Trends in Political Interest: The Salience and John Zaller, University of California, Los Angeles Artifact Hypotheses Revisited W. Russell Neuman, University of Michigan Elmer R. Block, Ohio State University Matthew Gentzkow, University of Chicago Overview: This project uses NES data to revisit competing Markus Prior, Princeton University hypotheses explaining fluctuations in levels of political interest Overview: Media effects research mostly treats messages as over time. One attributes the fluctuations to changes in the exogenous. But economic incentives, technological constraints, political environment, the other, to differences in questionnaire and political motivations all affect what type of media messages design. people see. Do we have to consider this when we study media Paper Electoral Systems and the Political Sophistication (Post- effects? Materialism) of Publics Salomon E. Orellana, Michigan State University Overview: I hypothesize that proportional representation 22-104 ROUNDTABLE: POLITICS AND GENDER: electoral systems should lead to higher levels of public political THE NEW JOURNAL sophistication vis-à-vis single-member-district-plurality Room TBA, Fri 10:30 electoral systems. Panelist Karen Beckwith, The College of Wooster Paper Political Sophistication and Policy Mood: Opinion Movers Lisa Baldez, Dartmouth College in the United States, 1972 – 2002 Nancy Burns, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Paul M. Kellstedt, Texas A&M University Barbara Cruikshank, University of Massachusetts, Amherst Overview: Although public opinion moves predictably over Kathleen Dolan, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee time, we know little about who moves it. Is it the opinion elite Joni Lovenduski, Birbeck College or the uninformed? In this paper, I break down the Mood Overview: This roundtable features the editors of Politics and measure by political sophistication to see who moves when Gender, the official journal of the Women and Politics research Mood moves. section of the APSA. They will discuss the journal’s goals and Paper Minding Cues: Elite Endorsements and the Citizen the types of scholarship they will review for publication. ‘Follower Josh Maxwell, University of California, Davis Overview: I examine how elite endorsements influence public 23-4 INTER-GROUP RACISM opinion, through an experimental design, where likeability, Room TBA, Fri 10:30 knowledge, and trust are randomly assigned. I will show how Chair Fred Slocum, Minnesota State University, Mankato the influence of political sophistication serves as a moderating Paper Principled Conservatives or Covert Racists: Disengtangling variable. Racism and Ideology through Implicit Measures Disc. Christopher N. Lawrence, Millsaps College Inna Burdein, Stony Brook University Overview: To address several themes in the inter-group conflict 20-4 PREDICTING VOTER TURNOUT literature, namely Principled Conservatism, Social Dominance Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Theory, and Symbolic Racism, I employ implicit and explicit Chair Chris T. Owens, Texas A&M racial measures to disentangle ideology from racial Paper Predicting Voter Turnout: Testing New Tools considerations. Brian J. Brox, University of Texas, Austin Paper Symbolic Racism of Color: How Asians and Latinos View Richard D. Hoppe, Hoppe & Associates Race-Targeted Policies Overview: This paper looks at the different ways political Mingying Fu, University of California, Las Angeles scientists and political consultants predict turnout. Using data Overview: This paper presents a critical advancement of from a statewide voter file, we create three models of turnout symbolic racism theory by arguing Asians and Latinos do and test their predictive power with validated turnout data. possess this theoretically white-only hostility against African Paper “Why Do People Vote?” Rationality and the American Americans. Voter Paper Plus Change? An Examination of the Racial Attitudes of Steven E. Galatas, Georgia Southwestern State University Asian and Latino Immigrants in the U.S. Chapman Rackaway, Fort Hays State University Tatishe M. Nteta, University of California, Berkeley Overview: An experimental study into the effects of teaching Overview: An examination of the racial attitudes of Asian and rational choice theory to undergraduate students on political Latino immigrants towards Blacks that tests the utility of orientation and political efficacy. existing theoretical models that purport to account for the racial Paper Subcultural Effects on Voting Turnout in U. S. Presidential attitudes of White Americans towards Blacks using the 1992-94 Elections MSCUI. Joel Lieske, Cleveland State University Overview: The prevailing view in the turnout literature is that culture does not matter. However, our analysis of state, county, and individual-level data shows that subcultural differences Paper Maps and “Pictures in Our Heads”: The Political Effects of account for statistically significant differences in voting turnout Perceptions of Communities Paper Stay in School, Don't Get Pregnant: The Impact of Teen Cara Wong, University of Michigan Life Transitions on Voter Turnout Overview: In this paper, we discuss whether racial threat theory Eric Plutzer, Pennsylvania State University applies to blacks, whether people “see” their context such that Julianna Sandell, Pennsylvania State University self-reports reflect Census data, and what the consequences for Overview: Family transitions - e.g., parental divorce when an the theory are if perceptions do not match objective reality. adolescent, teen pregnancy - are more powerful predictors of Disc. Fred Slocum, Minnesota State University, Mankato turnout than most standard SES and resources variables. Disc. Chris T. Owens, Texas A&M 23-18 IMMIGRANT POLITICAL PARTICIPATION Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Chair Melissa R. Michelson, California State University, East Bay

66 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Varying Conceptions of Civic Voluntarism Among Disc. Melissa A. Schwartzberg, George Washington University Immigrants in the United States Karthick Ramakrishnan, Public Policy Institute of California 26-4 THE POLITICAL REPRESENTATION OF Overview: Based on focus groups and in-depth interviews, this MARGINALIZED GROUPS paper argues that existing survey research fails to adequately Room TBA, Fri 10:30 capture the informal civic participation of immigrants and its Chair Suzanne Dovi, University of Arizona relationship to political participation. Paper Varieties of Participation in Democratic Governance Paper Analyzing the Gender Participation and Motivation Gaps in Archon Fung, Harvard University Voting Turnout among Native-Born and Foreign-Born Overview: This paper explores the relationship between Populations in New York City deliberation and representation. Merih Anil, The Graduate Center-City University of New York Paper Citizen Juries’ and Other Forms of Descriptive Overview: The proposed paper examines the gender gap in Representation as Additions to the Electoral System voting turnout among the foreign-born and native-born Jane Mansbridge, Harvard University populations in NYC. It is informed by the literatures on the Overview: This paper examines citizen juries’ and other forms gender gap, immigrant political incorporation, and migration of descriptive representation as additions to the electoral system and settlement. Paper Affirmative Representation Paper Why Immigrants Participate in Politics: The Case of Dara Z. Strolovitch, University of Minnesota Korean Americans in the Los Angeles Metropolitan Region Overview: This paper examines how well the interest group Mira Jang, University of California, Los Angeles system represents intersectionally marginalized sub-groups. Overview: This paper will examine a minority of immigrants Paper Social Movements, Social Bodies and Social Representation: who are politically active in order to improve our understanding The Limits of Descriptive Representation and the Potential of why some immigrants participate in political life when most of Some Overlooked Alternatives do not. S. Laurel Weldon, Purdue University Paper Modeling Cubans: Social Scientists and the Study of Overview: This paper critically assesses descriptive Immigrant Incorporation representation as a mechanism for representing marginalized Gaston Alonso, Brooklyn College, City University of New York groups in comparison to social movements and other informal Overview: Emphasizing social scientists’ role as cultural mechanisms of political representation. brokers, the paper argues that the neo-conservative and ethnic Disc. Iris M. Young, University of Chicago enclave models dominant in the literature on processes of

immigrant incorporation obscure the role state policies play in such processes. 27-4 RHETORIC AND DELIBERATION Paper Party Identification of Ethnic Chinese Immigrants Room TBA, Fri 10:30 P. See Lim, Texas A&M University Chair Jaehoon Kim, Northwestern University Overview: This paper looks at the party identification of Paper Clubs and Securities Where Deliberation Fails:Designing Chinese immigrants by their nationality. Although they are Institutions to Aggregate Private Beliefs and Values more likely to self-identify as Democrats, Southeast Asian Adam H. Meirowitz, Princeton University Chinese are significantly more Democratic. Overview: We take a mechanism design approach to the study Disc. Melissa R. Michelson, California State University, East Bay of aggregating beliefs and values. In informational environments where deliberation performs poorly it is possible 25-5 LIBERAL DEMOCRACY: INSTITUTIONAL to decentralize efficient mechanisms in simple maners Paper Deliberation As Self-Discovery and Group Polarization AND NORMATIVE REQUIREMENTS Catherine Hafer, New York University Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Dimitri Landa, New York University Chair Alexander Moon, Cornell University Overview: Robust evidence points to the presence of the Paper Piero Gobetti's Agonistic Liberalism phenomenon of post-deliberative group polarization. We James Martin, University of London develop a model of deliberation as self-discovery that yields Overview: An overview of Gobetti's thought and practice and an equilibrium behavior consistent with this evidence. evaluation of his 'revolutionary liberalism'. Paper Rhetoric and Arguments: Justification and Stability in Paper Democratic Autonomy and the Challenge of the Spectacle Political Choice James A. Buccellato, Wayne State University John W. Patty, Carnegie Mellon University Overview: Democratic autonomy requires a public space in Overview: I provide a model of public choice in which which the demos can reflect, participate, and deliberate. Yet, the decisions are justified using first principles and "reasons," or circulation of spectacular media imagery has penetrated the arguments linking decisions with these principles. The model is public space of democracy challenging the politics of autonomy. applied to the prediction of constructed majorities. Paper The Centrality of Bureaucratic Administration in the Disc. Jaehoon Kim, Northwestern University Democratic Theory of Jurgen Habermas' Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Washington University, St Louis Forrest V. Morgeson, University of Michigan Overview: This paper examines the centrality of bureaucracy to 28-11 AN ASSORTMENT OF NEW the democratic theory of Jürgen Habermas, both as a means for recasting and defending this theory, and as prescriptive of a DEVELOPMENTS IN POLITICAL model useful for conceiving a more democratic type of METHODOLOGY administration. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Paper Inclusion and Democratic Ethic: Accountability and Agency Chair Kevin Quinn, Harvard University in Iris Young’s Political Theory Paper Is Partial-Dimension Convergence a Problem for MCMC Timothy Dale, Notre Dame University Algorithms? Overview: This paper considers the writings of Iris Young on Jeff Gill, University of California, Davis the issues of accountability and agency in democratic inclusion Overview: No attention has been given to the problem of and political ethics. Attention is given to the underlying moral evidential convergence amongst a subset of the dimensions of a assumptions that inhere in her depiction of democratic politics. Markov chain in MCMC work. We address this lack of Paper Richard Rorty and the Problem of Liberal Dignity attention with an analysis of the problem, simulation results, and Jeffrey Metzger, University of Toronto an application. Overview: This paper investigates Rorty's liberalism to see Paper Unifying Political Metrology: A Probabilistic Model of whether it comprises the rich spiritual resources he sometimes Measurement claims it does, or if it is, at its heart, simply procedural justice. J. Tobin Grant, Southern Illinois University

Updated 03-01-05 67 Overview: Political science needs a unified measurement Jeremy F. Duff, Michigan State University theory. I present a probabilistic model of measurement Overview: We build upon Ragsdale’s theory of presidential grounded in axiomatic measurement theory. I then apply the speech by incorporating theories derived from the election model to the measurement of macropolicy, survey questions, timing literature, specifically the political surfing hypothesis. and democracy scores. We use both real & perceived economic conditions as a means Paper Measuring Political Knowledge as Latent Trait: Markov to predict speech Chain Monte Carlo and Monotone Spline Smoothing Paper On the Road Again: The Impact of Going Public on Local Yulei Wang, Southern Illinois University Newspaper Coverage of Presidential Legislative Proposals Yuan Chen, Southern Illinois University Jeffrey S. Peake, Bowling Green State University Overview: Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to Andrew W. Barrett, Marquette University measure political knowledge results in a loss of significant digit Overview: We examine three instances of presidents going (LSD) problem. We construct latent class models with public locally in support of legislative proposals, focusing on hierarchical priors and propose monotone spline interpolation to the effects of this strategy on local newspaper coverage. correct for it. Disc. Justin S. Vaughn, Texas A&M University Paper An Evaluation of Heteroskedastic Limited Dependent Dorian Warren, University of Chicago Variable Models Kwang-Il Yoon, University of Michigan 31-6 INSTITUTIONAL RULES AND Overview: This paper examines the implications of modeling PROCEDURES: STRATEGY AND CHOICE heteroskedasticity in limited dependent variable models. The Room TBA, Fri 10:30 method is problematic because it is too sensitive to a model Chair Jason M. Roberts, University of Minnesota specification, outlier cases and optimization methods in ML Paper Partisanship or Protection: Examining the King of the Hill estimation. Rule Disc. Walter Mebane, Cornell University Brian W. Bough, University of Missouri, Columbia David Nixon, Georgia State University L. Marvin Overby, University of Missouri, Columbia

Overview: The conventional wisdom regarding the "King of the 29-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THEORIES OF Hill" rule, that it merely served to protect Democratic PARTIES AND PARTISANSHIP representatives from damaging votes while supporting the party, Room TBA, Fri 10:30 is incorrect. Instead, the rule was an incumbent protection Presenter Role of Party in the Russian Federation: What Do Political mechanism. Candidates Want? Paper The Dynamics of Filibustering in the Senate Raminta Stockute, Texas Tech University Gregory Koger, University of Montana Overview: Examining party switching patterns in Russia Kathleen Bawn, TBA suggests that successful prediction of political candidates’ Overview: We develop a strategic model of filibustering and preferences is essential in understanding political outcomes, test its predictions for the use of cloture and the number of such as candidates’ affiliation with electorally less viable filibusters over time. parties. Paper Policy-Making through Appropriations in the United States Presenter Towards a New Party System: Political Parties as Franchise House of Representatives, 1995-2004 Organizations Jason A. MacDonald, Kent State University Brian R. Nottingham, SUNY, Buffalo Overview: Congressional appropriations bills have been used as Overview: The paper builds on the franchise party model policy-making vehicles frequently over the last decade. I assess sketched by Carty (2004) by incorporating relevant literature explanations for this use by examining House rules governing from the field of business management, constructing explicit the consideration of appropriations legislation. hypotheses, and empirically testing these hypotheses via logistic Disc. Jason M. Roberts, University of Minnesota regression. Ken W. Moffett, University of Iowa

29-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: 32-301 POSTER SESSION: LEGISLATIVE PARTISANSHIP AND POLICY POLITICS: CAMPAIGNS AND ELECTIONS Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Presenter Is There a (New) Trend to Sanction Consensual Politicizing Presenter Bargaining and Vetoing in Switzerland? Hankyoung Sung, Ohio State University Tobias Schulz, University of St. Gallen Overview: This paper gives thereotical and empirical Thomas Christin, University of St.Gallen justification on the effect of division of government on the Overview: For the last three elections in Switzerland, we number of bill produced, enacted, and vetoed. confront MPs positions (derived from roll-call votes) with 30-6 CAUSES, CONSEQUENCES AND TRENDS survey-data to find out if chances to be reelected decrease IN PRESIDENTS' PUBLIC STATEMENTS particulary for MPs that have moved towards the center during a Room TBA, Fri 10:30 legislature. Chair Sean J. Savage, Saint Mary's College Presenter Pandering, Politics, and Popular Culture in the 1992 Paper Presidential Going Public in an Age of New Media Presidential Election. Jeffrey E. Cohen, Fordham University Matthew P. Taylor, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overview: Presidential going public has changed as a result of Overview: This historical analysis examines the role of popular changes in the news media envirionment. Presidents are more culture as a symbolic reference point for candidates in the 1992 likely to target narrow groups than the broad mass public. I test presidential campaign and reveals how two major newspapers this notion on data from the late 1940s through 2000. incorporated these discussions into the election narrative. Paper Explaining the Trends in Presidential Language Matthew J. Flynn, University of Notre Dame Overview: This paper seeks to explain the trends in presidential 33-6 ADMINISTRATIVE COURTS language in terms of the changing electorate, contending that Room TBA, Fri 10:30 the language of the presidency has shifted from elite to common Chair Ralph E. Baker, Ball State University in order to speak to a likewise shifting electorate. Paper Examining Judicial Independence: Article I v. Article III Paper Predicting Presidential Speechmaking in the United States: Courts Drawing on Comparative Theories of Election Timing Scott A. Hendrickson, Washington University Sara Margaret Gubala, Michigan State University

68 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This paper utilizes the history of the Customs Overview: In this paper I will argue that, in certain important Court—established as an Article I court, then later converted to yet understudied respects, unwritten constitutional rules play a an Article III court—to conduct a quasi-experiment examining similar role in the U.S. constitutional structure as they do in the questions related to institutional structure and judicial decision constitution of the United Kingdom. making. Paper Judicial Visions of Democracy in Established and Paper Court Control of the Internal Revenue Service: Differences Transitional Regimes between the Tax Court and the United States District Court Shannon Smithey, Westminster College Robert M. Howard, Georgia State University Overview: This paper compares the different ways in which Overview: There has no existing research on the responsiveness constitutional courts interpret democratic rights and influence of the IRS to the differences in the responsiveness of the IRS to the development of democratic institutions. different courts. This paper examines the different responses by Paper Beyond Countermajoritarianism in Constitutional Theory the agency to the Tax Court and the Federal District Court Michael Comiskey, Penn State Fayette Paper Decision makig on the United States Tax Court Overview: The paper asks theoretically whether Chad M. King, University of Texas, Dallas countermajoritarianism is a problem, and suggests ways to Overview: This research addresses how judges on the United reframe the question. States Tax Court decide tax deficiency cases. Paper The Politics of Property Rights: How Lawyers for Causes Paper When Judges Influence Lawmakers: The Politics of Reshaped Property Rights Bankruptcy Court System Reform Laura J. Hatcher, University of Wisconsin John Winkle, University of Mississippi Overview: This paper explores the importance of lawyers' Overview: This study in reform politics concentrates on arguments to the judicial decision-making process through a lobbying by the federal judiciary to influence Congressional study of the strategies employed by environmental and property efforts to restructure the bankruptcy court system after a 1982 rights advocates in two important U.S. Supreme Court cases. Supreme Court ruling struck down the 1978 federal bankruptcy Paper The Formation of Federalism: The Founders’ Views of the code. Tenth Amendment Disc. Sean Farhang, University California, Berkeley Michael Fine, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire Disc. Jason L. Pierce, University of Dayton 33-19 HIERARCHY AND AGENDA SETTING IN THE JUDICIAL SYSTEM 35-4 EDUCATION POLITICS IN THE U.S. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 STATES Chair Gregory A. Huber, Yale University Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Paper A Comparision of Agenda Change in the U.S. Supreme Chair Duane D. Milne, West Chester University of Pennsylvania Court and Courts of Appeals Paper The Crisis in Higher Education: State Budgetary Health Mark S. Hurwitz, University at Buffalo, SUNY and Spending on Higher Education Overview: Comparison of Agendas in the federal appellate J. Theodore Anagnoson, California State University, Los courts, including systematic influences for the dynamics of Angeles agenda change Jolly A. Emrey, California State University, Los Angeles Paper Panel Composition and Compliance: A Formal Model and Overview: We examine trends in state budget authorizations for Empirical Test of Whistleblowing on the United States public higher education across the 50 states during recent crisis Courts of Appeals periods and compare with other trends in state expenditures. Jonathan P. Kastellec, Columbia University Paper State Governance and Educational Outcomes in the United Overview: I present a formal model and preliminary empirical States test of Cross and Tiller's (1998) "whistleblower" theory, Paul Manna, College of William and Mary illustrating how ideological diversity on federal circuit court Diane O'Hara, College of William and Mary panels increases the likelihood of compliance with Supreme Overview: We organize our paper around one primary research Court doctrine. question: How do state governing institutions and the contexts Paper Systematic Policy-Making by the Lower Courts--the Case of in which they operate influence student learning in the Regulatory Takings American states? Wayne McIntosh, University of Maryland, College Park Paper Measuring Standards-Based Education Reform in Ohio: A Ken Cousins, University of Maryland, College Park SEC pilot Steve Simon, University of Maryland, College Park J. Christopher Woolard, Ohio Department of Education Overview: Using the high-stakes issue of "regulatory takings" as Overview: Ohio conducted a pilot of the Surveys of Enacted a testing ground, and employing innovative computer Curriculum (SEC) to analyze the effects of standards-based technologies, this paper examines how the lower courts respond education reform. This paper is a first look at the results from systematically when asked to create policy without High Court Ohio including findings and a blueprint for a systematic, long- guidance. term study. Paper The Affect of Career Structure on Judicial Decisionmaking Disc. Olugbenga Ajilore, University of Toledo Gavin J. Reddick, University of Virginia Overview: Do lower-court judges make decisions that they 36-5 THE POLITICS OF BUDGETS: PAYING FOR think will further their careers? How does this affect their LOCAL SERVICES relationship with reviewing courts? Do different methods of Room TBA, Fri 10:30 promotion encourage different types of behavior in lower-upper Chair Robert Stein, Rice University court interactions? Paper Decision Roles and Orientations in Local Budget Offices: Disc. Scott E. Graves, Georgia State University Comparison of Examiners in Three Cities in the United Gregory A. Huber, Yale University States

Katherine Willoughby, Georgia State University 34-3 COMPARING COURTS AND THEIR Kurt Thurmaier, Iowa State University CONSTITUTIONS Deborah Carroll, University of Tennessee Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Overview: An examination of the budget roles and decision Chair Jason L. Pierce, University of Dayton orientations of budgeteers in three city governments in the Paper America's Unwritten Constitutional Rules: Their Existence, United States. Enforceability, and Stabilizing Effects Paper Municipal Responses to Fiscal Stress David Rezvani, Harvard University Craig S. Maher, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh Steven Deller, University of Wisconsin, Madison

Updated 03-01-05 69 Overview: This paper attempts to assess those factors, including Thomas A. Bryer, University of Southern California management structure, that help explain responses to local Overview: This paper proposes a descriptive stakeholder theory government fiscal stress. of bureaucratic responsiveness that is rooted in an Paper Demographic Change and Municipal Expenditure understanding of responsiveness as a complex web of Barbara L. Neuby, Kennesaw State University relationships between stakeholders. Overview: This study examines the expenditure changes in sun Paper Control or Representation: Investigating the Causes of belt and rust belt cities from 1980 to 1997. Bureaucratic Behavior Paper The Impact of Public Opinion, Urban Disorder and the Sean Nicholson-Crotty, University of Missouri, Columbia News Media on English Urban Budgets, 1966-2003 Jill Nicholson-Crotty, University of Missouri-Columbia Peter C. John, Manchester University Michael Pennington, Stephen F. Austin University Overview: The paper uses annual records of public opinion, and Overview: This paper explores the interactive nature of top- media attention to inner city issues and urban violence, to down and bottom-up explanations for bureaucratic behavior. examine changes in budgets in English urban policy. Paper Applying the Attitudinal Model to Administrative Law Paper Welcome to the Real World: The Impact of Demographic Judge Decision Making: The Case of the NLRB 1935 – 2004 and Economic Variables Upon Special District Policies Cole D. Taratoot, Georgia State University Nicholas G Bauroth, North Dakota State University David C. Nixon, Georgia State University Overview: This paper uses demographic and economic Overview: This research investigates factors that influence the measures to examine the fiscal policies of special districts. By initial decision voting of Administrative Law Judges in unfair focusing on districts with borders coterminous with a county or labor practice cases within the National Labor Relations Board municipality, this paper gives a new perspective on district from 1935 - 2004. behavior. Paper The Politics of Results: The Dilemmas of Performance in the Disc. Anirudh Ruhil, University of Illinois, Chicago Internal Revenue Service Matthew Dull, University of Wisconsin, Madison Overview: Drawing from scholarship on the role of information 37-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE GENETIC in administrative politics, this paper examines the impact of MODIFICATION CONTROVERSY mandated outcomes measurement on the Internal Revenue Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Service, tracing developments in two measurement concepts: Presenter Policy Choice and Information Effects: The Case of service and accuracy. Genetically Modified (GM) Foods in the European Union Paper Comparative Bureaucratic Governance Jerome S. Legge, University of Georgia Holly T. Goerdel, Texas A&M University Robert F. Durant, American University Overview: In a system of multilevel governance, how do Overview: Through the use of heteroskadastic probit analysis, national bureaucracies respond to supranational policy we examine the effects of both chronic (general) information demands? and domain specific information on opposition to Genetically Disc. Anthony Bertelli, University of Georgia Modified (GM) foods among respondents in European Union Kaifeng Yang, Florida State University nations. Presenter A Study on Genetic Modification Policy Change in U.K.with 40-5 INSTITUTIONAL TRANSFORMATION: New-Institutionalism and Constructivism as a Main THE 19TH CENTURY US Approach Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Myong Hwa Lee, Northern Illinois University Chair Joseph Luders, Yeshiva University Overview: The main purpose of this study is to analyze Genetic Paper The Riker Thesis Reconsidered: Political Instability and the Modification (GM) policy change in the United Kingdom from Emergence of the Slavery Issue 1996 to 2004, with New-Institutionalism and Constructivism as Steven Kautz, Michigan State the main approach. Randall W. Strahan, Emory University Overview: In Liberalism Against Populism, Riker proposes a 37-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: DYNAMICS OF theory of how issues emerge as a result of political ENERGY POLICY disequilibrium. We reconsider the Riker thesis as applied to the emergence of the slavery issue in 19th century America. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Paper Republican Party Factions in the Gilded Age Presenter Synthetic Fuels Development As Part of an Energy Policy: Daniel DiSalvo, University of Virginia Four Scenarios for a Technological Fix with a Historic Overview: A study of the rise and fall of four factions—the Record of Failure and Rejection Liberal Republicans, Stalwarts, Halfbreeds, and Mugwumps— Mike Musulin, II, University of Kentucky in the GOP from 1870-1888. Analyzes the properties and Overview: Interest in synthetic fuels development since WWII strategies of each intra-party faction and their effect on the created a cycle of mobilization and stagnation in various historic GOP’s policy preferences. energy policies. Four scenarios, ranging from success for Paper Instability, Institutional Change, and the American synfuels to conservation and alternate fuels use, are explored. Statehood Process: Mechanisms of Coping with American Presenter A Handshake Deal Just Isn't What It Used To Be: Split- Expansion, 1776-1860 Estates and The Development of Oil and Gas in the West Matthew Glassman, Yale University Robert E. Forbis Jr., University of Utah Overview: This paper explores three institutional mechanisms - Steven L. Nelson, University of Utah the balance rule, increased state sizing, and the territorial system Overview: Our paper argues that the leasing of federal – used by Congress in an attempt to stabilize the inherently subsurface mineral estates to private industry in order to fulfill a destabilizing process of political expansion in the 19th century. governmental intent creates a relationship that leaves Paper Understanding the Institutional Development of the unanswered who is responsible for due compensation to surface Nineteenth Century Supreme Court property owners. Mark Alcorn, TBA Overview: The nineteenth century Supreme Court lacked the 39-2 BUREAUCRATIC RESPONSIVENESS TO power commonly presumed upon Marbury v Madison and its THE POLITICAL AND POLICY own claims therein. Battles with other government branches and issues it faced shows it as less than a co-equal branch of ENVIRONMENT government. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Chair Thomas A. Bryer, University of Southern California Paper Stakeholder Theory of Bureaucratic Responsiveness

70 Updated 03-01-05 Paper What Matters for the Constitution?: Examining the Notion focusing on four case studies of either cinematic or televisual of Constitutional Continuity via Six Different representations in the post-September 11th environment. Historiographies of the Reconstruction Era Disc. John Mearsheimer, University of Chicago Daniel H. Kato, New School University Overview: By examining historiographies of the 44-8 FAITH-BASED GROUPS IN POLITICS AND Reconstruction, I will attempt to broaden the scope of POLICY (Co-sponsored with Social Policy, see constitutional continuity beyond that of legal interpretation and demonstrate the normative political aspects surrounding issues 38-6) of legality and legitimacy. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Disc. Joseph Luders, Yeshiva University Chair Amy L. Cavender, Saint Mary's College Paper Religious Interest Groups and the Creation and Promotion 40-8 ADMINISTRATIVE POWER AND POLITICS of Morality-Based Arguments in Policy Debates Katherine E. Stenger, University of Washington IN THE UNITED STATES Overview: This paper looks at the role of religious interest Room TBA, Fri 10:30 groups in creating, maintaining and possibly opposing morality- Chair Amy B. Bridges, University of California, San Diego based argument frames in policy debates. Paper Credibility Gaps and Interpreter Autonomy: The Non- Paper The Evangelicals are Coming! The Increasing Involvement Electoral Origins of Divided Government of Evangelical Protestants in Providing Human Services and Douglas B. Grob, Univeristy of Maryland its Public Policy Consequences Overview: In assessing the origins of divided government in the Stephen V. Monsma, Calvin College post-New Deal period, I show theoretically how the expansion Overview: This paper presents mounting evidence that of agency and judicial policy making creates conditions for evangelical Protestant organizations are becoming more active divided government independently of other, more commonly in providing needed human services than are mainline cited factors. Protestant organizations, and explores the public policy Paper Crisis and the Emergence of Economic Regulation: The implications of this trend. Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act of 1938 Paper "Faith-Based" Social Services in Rural Areas Daniel Carpenter, Harvard University Clifford A. Grammich, RAND Corporation Gisela Sin, University of Michigan Overview: This paper explores “faith-based” social services in Overview: We study one of the most important policy reforms rural areas, specifically whether there are adequate matches in U.S. history: the creation of gatekeeping power by the Food between religious bodies able to provide social services and and Drug Administration over the pharmaceutical marketplace. rural communities of greatest need. Paper Waiting for Policy Expertise: Institutional Choice and the Paper The Gospel of Government Shaping of the U.S. Interstate Commerce Commission Stephen A. Sargent, Texas A&M University Hiroshi Okayama, University of Tokyo Overview: This paper examines the potential benefits of faith- Overview: The paper seeks to explain how policy expertise based initiatives for both government and religious began its penetration into policymaking process in the U.S. organizations. Politics in the 1880s, especially the Congressional process, that Paper Global Partnerships: Secular and Sectarian Initiatives for led to the creation of the Interstate Commerce Commission will Humanitarian Affairs be analyzed. Jennifer S. Bekemeier, Regent University Paper Explaining the At-Will Employment Law in the United Overview: This paper examines questions related to the States: A Political Economic Perspective emergence of these religious NGOs, including their impact on June Park, University of Pittsburgh culture, efficiency in service and overall effectiveness in Overview: How did the United States establish the most laissez- meeting social needs. faire system of employment protection among industrial Disc. Mary C. Segers, Rutgers University countries? The stock-market dominant financial system and the Emily R. Gill, Bradley University federal political structure produced the employment-at-will labor regime. 45-301 POSTER SESSION: TEACHING POLITICAL Paper Sexual Desire and Punishment in Early America Mark Kann, University of Southern California, Los Angeles SCIENCE Overview: TBA Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Disc. Amy B. Bridges, University of California, San Diego Presenter A Comparison of Student-Response Keypad Systems for Classroom Teaching and Learning 42-6 POLITICAL VIOLENCE Roger C. Lowery, University of North Carolina, Wilmington Overview: This poster session gives an overview of the teaching Room TBA, Fri 10:30 and learning objectives enhanced by student-response keypad Chair John Mearsheimer, University of Chicago systems as well as a comparison of the features, pricing, and Paper The Asymmetric Strategy of Suicide Bombing performance offered by competing systems. Micheal Struemph, University of Kansas Presenter Using Adult Learning Theory in the Classroom Overview: This paper discusses the asymmetric strategy of Lee Rademacher, Purdue University Calumet suicide bombing in the Israeli conflict. The paper shows the Overview: A successful teacher can no longer lecture and difficulty of defining an optimal strategy for dealing with the assume that students are learning effectively. Using scholar Jack "unfair" advantage of suicide attacks. Mezirow's theory of transformation, active learning techniques Paper Divided America: Conflicting Views of Equality, will be demonstrated to improve students' learning potential Democracy, and Capitalism in Presidential Vote Choice Gabriella Paar-Jakli, Kent State University Overview: American society is more divided than ever. Two of 47-3 GODS, LAWS, AND EMPIRE IN GREEK the major traditions, capitalistic and democratic value-systems THOUGHT seem to clash in a unique way. The present study sheds light on Room TBA, Fri 10:30 some of the underlying reasons. Chair Catherine Zuckert, University of Notre Dame Paper Counterterror Culture: 24, The X-Files, The Agency, and Paper The Politics of Aristotle's Metaphysics the Matrix Reloaded, Subversion, Commodification of Elliot Bartky, Indiana-Purdue University Ft. Wayne Anxiety, or Security Apparatus Recruitment Campaigns? Overview: TBA Christian W. Erickson, Roosevelt University Paper Socrates' Intention in Plato's Crito Overview: In this paper I examine the themes of terrorism and Svetozar Minkov, Kenyon College counterterrorism in the popular culture of the United States by

Updated 03-01-05 71 Overview: This paper attempts to explain away the apparent Kevin M. Morrison, Duke University differences between the Socrates of the Apology (a radical Overview: A statistical analysis of a formal model linking tax revolutionary) and the Socrates of the Crito (an obedient and non-tax revenue to regime stability in democracies and pietist). authoritarian regimes. Paper Democracy and Empire in Herodotus' Histories Presenter Fate of Leaders and Economic Growth Ann Ward, University of Nevada Carmela Lutmar, American University Overview: In the HISTORIES, democractic Athens stands at the Overview: The focus in this paper is on whether the way leaders peak of the political possibilities that Herodotus explores. end their tenure in office has an effect on the levels of economic Athens has the potential for philosophy and possesses a superior growth in their country. form of courage. Yet Athens also faces the dangers of empire. Presenter A Game Theoretic Account of Congressional-Judicial Disc. Sean Mattie, Ave Maria College Interaction Marlene Sokolon, West Texas A&M University Joseph Ura, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overview: TBA 49-101 ROUNDTABLE: THE FUTURE OF Presenter Locating Authority: Domestic Politics and Delegation to WELFARE International Institutions Byoung-Inn Bai, University of Washington, Seattle Room TBA, Fri 10:30 Overview: By elaborating the model of international delegation, Chair Lawrence Mead, New York University this paper argues that delegation to supranational bodies is more Overview: The panel will focus on accessing the impact of the likely as the policy preferences of domestic political actors Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconcitiation diverge given high level of economic interdependence. Act of 1996 and discuss and debate needed improvements. Presenter A Joint Model of a Primary and General Election Panelist Welfare After Welfare Reform Michael Tofias, Duke University Lawrence Mead, New York University Overview: The relationship between primaries and general Overview: TBA elections is considered by building a game-theoretic model Measuring the Devolution Revolution: State Performance (solved computationally) with insights from previous sequential Under PRWORA spatial models. The model is then tested on congressional data. Harrell Rodgers, University of Houston Overview: This paper examines several ways of ranking the states on their performance in carrying out the provisions of the 52-1 LATINO IMMIGRATION AND Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation INCORPORATION Act of 1996. Room TBA, Fri 10:30 How Well Has Welfare Fared? Chair Jessica Perez Monforti, University of Texas, Pan American Mark Rom, Georgetown University Paper Transverse Across the Borderlines: Economic Determinants Overview: TBA on Immigration The Shift to a Service-based Welfare System José D. Villalobos, Texas A&M University Scott Allard, Brown University Overview: I analyze economic determinants on immigration and Overview: This paper will discuss the shift from a system of issues of reciprocal causation using data for 1986-2000. I cash assistance under AFDC to a service-based system of expect that positive economic growth supports increases in welfare assistance under TANF. admitted and naturalized immigrants, who, in turn, help to sustain the economy. 50-301 POSTER SESSION: EMPIRICAL Paper The Effects of Family Capital on the Political Alienation and INVESTIGATION OF THEORETICAL Participation of Latino Immigrants in the United States Iffigenia Barboza, Michigan State University MODELS Overview: In this paper, I investigate how length of residence Room TBA, Fri 10:30 contributes to the decline of the family among Latino Presenter Strategic Anticipation in the U.S. Courts of Appeals immigrants and how this decline affects levels of political Kirk A. Randazzo, University of Kentucky participation and alienation with respect to the American Overview: This paper empirically tests a formal model of political system. strategic interaction between judges on the U.S. Courts of Paper Reconsidering Mendez: Mexican-American Segregation and Appeals and the Supreme Court. the NAACP’s Brown Strategy Presenter Congressional Voting Behavior in Response to Changing Angelica Bernal, Yale University District Boundaries Overview: This paper reconstruct the history and politics of the Michael H. Crespin, Michigan State University Mendez v. Westminster School District (1946) case and its Overview: This paper will show that members alter their voting impact on the NCAAP's strategy in the Brown case. behavior on final passage, but not procedural votes in congress Disc. Benjamin Marquez, University of Wisconsin, Madison in response to changes in district boundaries and the addition or subtraction of constituents after redistricting. Presenter Measuring Ethnic Diversity: Lots of New Options, But Are Any Winners? Friday, January 8 – 1:45 pm – 3:30 pm Dan Corstange, University of Michigan 1-109 ROUNDTABLE: IN THE BATTLEGROUND: Overview: Measurements of ethnic diversity have mushroomed THE CONSULTANTS' VIEW (Co-sponsored recently. This paper analyzes their statistical properties, and with Practice of Politics, see 41-101) then compares how well the various coding rules approximate Room TBA, Fri 1:45 the “true” level of diversity found in simulated artificial Chair Costas Panagopoulos, New York University societies. Panelist Andrew Franks, i-Political Strategies, LLC Presenter Speculative Currency Attacks Before, During and After Jack Metzel, American Association of Political Consultants Elections: Theory and Evidence Jeff Timmer, Sterling Corporation Stefanie Walter, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Mark Weaver, Communications Counsel, Inc. Overview: This paper theoretically explores the link between Overview: Four leading campaign consultants from two elections and policy responses to speculative attacks by battleground states (Ohio and Michigan) will present their view integrating a political business model with an economic model of the 2004 Presidential race. They will share their perspective of currency crises. The implications of the model are tested as consultants on the successes and failures of the candidates’ quantitatively. campaigns. Presenter Revenue and Regime Stability: An Empirical Analysis

72 Updated 03-01-05 2-301 POSTER SESSION: COMPARATIVE David S. Brown, University of Colorado at Boulder POLITICAL ECONOMY (Co-sponsored with David Leblang, University of Colorado, Boulder Overview: We contend that important characteristics of International Political Economy, see 11-301) globalization, in addition to domestic factors, explain welfare Room TBA, Fri 1:45 outcomes. Specifically, our study determines whether both the Presenter Skill Development in Advanced Industrial Welfare States level and type of international debt constrains the provision of Peter K. Enns, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill public goods. Overview: This paper examines the determinants of education Presenter Partisan Politics and Income Distribution under attainment in advanced industrial welfare states from 1960 to Globalization 2000. Eunyoung Ha, University of California, Los Angeles Presenter Renewable Energy in the European Union: Understanding Overview: The ideological position -- left, central, or right -- of Policy Implications the government still strongly influences income inequality both Faon C. Carpenter, Northern Illinois University in developed and developing countries even in the midst of Overview: Examination of renewable energy policies in order globalization. to: 1) determine why certain policies are implemented across Disc. Jude C. Hays, University of Michigan different types of states; 2) understand why specific policies are Chris Adolph, University of Washington, Seattle more likely than others to successfully promote renewable energy use. 3-7 GLOBALIZATION: CROSS-BORDER AND Presenter Receiving Economic Migrants: Political Economy of Economic Migration COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVES Kyung Joon Han, University of California, Las Angeles Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: I’ll examine the effects of economic conditions on Chair Young C. Kim, University of Evansville the inflows of foreign workers to developed countries. I’ll argue Paper The Political Economy of Mexico-United States Migration: whether the conditions affect the inflows seems to largely Migration and Inequality in Mexican Sending Communities depend on historical, political and institutional factors of each (A View from the Source Country) country. Jorge Bravo, Duke University Presenter Democratic Politics and Growth Through Innovation Overview: The Political Economy of Mexico-US Migration: Joel W. Simmons, University of Michigan Migration and Inequality in Mexican Sending Communities (A Overview: Here I explore some political underpinnings of View from the Source Country). economic innovation. Specifically, I show how domestic Paper Globalization Electoral Laws and Ethnic Conflict' political competition and government time horizons determine John Ishiyama, Truman State University government preferences toward stimulating growth through Overview: This project proposes to empirically examine the economic innovation. interaction between international economic integration, electoral Presenter Can the New Economic Geography Explain Inequality rules and ethnic conflict for 34 developing countries and 102 Between the Great Plains and Great Lakes? minority groups, data from the Minorities at Risk (MAR) Scott E. Hoaby, University of California, Lo+H3561s Angeles database. Overview: Why do poor regions exist within rich countries? Paper The Survey of Online Privacy Policy in the US, EU, & The new economic geography offers a reason, but it has not Korea: Leapfrogging South Korea from the Tangle of the been tested. Test results show it fails to comprehensively APEC explain the Great Plains and Great Lakes core-periphery Yong Jin Park, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor dynamic. Overview: The paper examines patterns of policy responses to Presenter Germany and Italy Compared: Different Patterns of online privacy in three nation-states. Lessons is drawn for South Resistance to Welfare Reform. Korea for her strategic positioning in the APEC where the Ariel F. Ivanier, Boston University notion of privacy is new, challenging its regulatory framework. Overview: This paper argues that, contrary to assertions that Paper Intersecting Capitalism, Patriarchy, and the Environment: only countries with advanced organizational schemes –such as Looking at the NAFTA through a Gendered Lens Germany- can resist globalization pressures for welfare reform, Kristen L. VanHooreweghe, University of Tennessee, the Italian case shows an alternative pattern. Knoxville Presenter Reconciling the Debate on Decentralization and National Overview: This research seeks to examine the intersections of Budgets: The Relationship between the Number of capitalism, patriarchy, class, labor, and the environment by Jurisdictions and the National Debt analyzing the impacts of the NAFTA on the women of North Amy H. Liu, Emory University America. Clifford J. Carrubba, Emory University Disc. Young C. Kim, University of Evansville Craig Volden, The Ohio State University Overview: Contrary to Wildasin (1997) and Rodden and 3-19 STATE-ECONOMY RELATIONS: MARKET Wibbels (2002) who argue linearity between the number of REFORM, CORRUPTION, AND CONFLICT subnational governments and the aggregate national debt, we Room TBA, Fri 1:45 demonstrate in a formal model that this relationship is more Chair Abu T. R. Rahman, Baruch College, CUNY quadratic in nature. Paper Village Governance, Social Conflict, and Consequences of Presenter A Comparative Analysis of the Impacts of Modern Farming Reform in Rural China on Agricultural Productivity and Economic Development in Huisheng Shou, University of Illinois, Champaign and Urbana NAFTA Countries Overview: Reforms affect village governance in two ways: Nicholas P. Guehlstorf, Southern Illinois University, exacerbate social conflict while erode social cohesion that Edwardsville would normally solve the conflict. The dilemma is rooted in the Yaw O. Owusu, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville nature of market and requires political measures to restore social Overview: This study investigates the rate of agricultural integration. growth of the three nation-states that comprise the North Paper Does Natural Resource Wealth Spoil and Corrupt American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in order to Governments? A New Test of the Resource Curse Thesis determine what input factor(s) increased economic productivity. Nicolai Petrovsky, Texas A&M University Presenter The Consequences of International Debt and Domestic Overview: Does the natural resource curse extends to regulatory Political Institutions: Welfare Outcomes in Developing quality and to corruption? This paper’s theory is tested with Countries interactive random effects models using cross-national panel Erin C. Mewhinney, University of Colorado, Boulder data. Whether nature corrupts or not depends on a country's Jessica Teets, University of Colorado, Boulder institutions.

Updated 03-01-05 73 Paper Corruption, Job Patronage, and Human Capital Formation Overview: In this paper we examine and compare the accession Mustafa B. Ozturk, University of Chicago negotiations with regard to the institutional changes and the new Overview: In this paper, I investigate the determinants of human processes of policy making that have emerged in three of the capital investment. Conducting panel data analysis and survey smaller new EU member states: Slovenia, Hungary and Estonia. research, I show that corruption and job patronage have a strong Paper Explaining Support for European Union Membership in the negative impact on individuals' educational investment Candidate Countries: Economics, Culture, and Domestic decisions. Politics Paper The Politics of the Central and Eastern European Anti- Erik R. Tillman, Emory University Corruption Strategies Ozlem Elgun, Emory University Monica Dorhoi, Michigan State University Overview: We examine citizen support for EU membership in Overview: This project investigates the content of the latest the candidate countries. Using the Candidate Country Central and Eastern European ACS and the factors that have Eurobarometer series, we test hypotheses relating economic brought about their initiation. judgments, domestic political orientations, and national identity Paper The Dilemma of Constructing a Neoliberal State in the to support for the EU. Presence of Acute Distributional Conflicts: The Case of Paper Engendering European Politics: The Influence of the Turkey European Union on Women in Central and Eastern Europe Ilke Civelekoglu, University of Virginia Amanda L. Sloat, Queen's University Belfast Overview: This paper argues that in Turkey in the absence of Yvonne Galligan, Queen's University Belfast structural reforms particularly in the public sector liberalization Overview: The paper will assess how the EU as an additional can not eliminate state patronage. actor can help to shape the gender configuration of the new Disc. Abu T. R. Rahman, Baruch College, CUNY politics in CEE, examining women’s electoral presence, the growth of women’s NGOs, and national responses to EU 4-14 DEMOCRATIZATION AND equality legislation. INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE Disc. Darius Furmonavicius, University of Bradford

Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Chair William J. Crotty, Northeastern University 5-14 THE EFFECTIVENESS OF EUROPEAN Paper Resolving the Paradox of Federalism in Iraq UNION INSTITUTIONS Lawrence M. Anderson, University of Wisconsin, Whitewater Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: This paper explores problems associated with the Chair Akis Kalaitzidis, Central Missouri State University adoption of federalism in Iraq. I argue that federalism may calm Paper Secrets and Lies About EU Policy-Making: Are the conflict in the short term, but that it may facilitate the successful European Institutions Delivering Efficient Laws under the development of a secessionist movement over the long term. New Codecision Procedure? Paper Constitution-making, Institutional Change, and Conflict Dimosthenis N. Mammonas, EU Council - Legal Service Resolution in New States and New Democracies Overview: The paper based on legal, institutional and political Vanessa R. Krasner, Louisiana State University arguments tries to provide a response to the criticism often Overview: Under varying conditions of militarized conflict, this expressed against the EU institutions for their lack of paper assesses claims regarding the relationship of international democracy and transparency when delivering European forces as an enforcer of democratization, constitution making as legislation. a mechanism of peace making, and democratic consolidation. Paper Networking with National Authorities:The Power of Paper Towards a Theory of Impunity Information, the European Ombudsman, and the European Mark Ensalaco, University of Dayton Court of Auditors in the Service of Bureaucratic Overview: This paper examines the factors that sustain impunity Accountability in the European Union and the forces that undermine impunity over time. Kostas Kourtikakis, University of Pittsburgh Paper The Missing Link in the Transition Literature: Overview: In this paper, I argue that the accountability of Congressional Legitimacy in Peru And the Fall of Fujimori national bureaucrats when they fail to enforce European Union in 2000 legislation is enhanced by the creation of informal networks of Julio J. Aguayo, University of Florida national and supranational officials. Overview: In order to explain the most recent transitions, Paper Legislative Anticipation of Supranational Courts: The particularly the Peruvian in 2000, it is necessary to revise the German Bundestag and the European Court of Justice current literature in order to include issues of institutionalization Tracy H. Slagter, University of Iowa and legitimacy. Overview: Can legislators anticipate the rulings of a Disc. Melissa Scheier, University of Houston supranational court in the same way they anticipate rulings of their own national courts? Does this anticipation shape national 5-6 EUROPEAN UNION ENLARGEMENT: legislation? This research examines the Bundestag’s reaction to DETERMINANTS AND EFFECTS the ECJ. Paper Constructing Compliance: Explaining the Origins and Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Settlement Practices of Treaty Violations in the European Chair Diane Payne, University College Dublin Union Paper Enlargement of the EU Poland's Case: Fiscal Policy Scott N. Siegel, Cornell University Assem M. Dandashly, University of oklahoma Overview: This paper explains the variation in both the origins Overview: This study deals with the enlargement of the and settlement practices of infringements of EU law by testing Europoean Union taking Poland as a case study. I will compare conventional political economic and comparative institutional Poland to Italy and focus on the fiscal policy of both countries. variables in a first-of-its-kind database of over 1200 violations. Paper So that Accession Will be No Question: Ontologies in Paper Decision-Making Power in the European Union’s Council of Promotional EU Accession Materials in Hungary Ministers: New Empirical Findings and Suggestions for a Melinda Kovacs, Concordia College Research Agenda Overview: This project is a qualitative discourse analysis of Sara Hagemann, London School of Economics and Political materials produced to educate the Hungarian public prior to the Science referendum on EU accession and identifies the leading Overview: This paper empirically explores voting situations in ontologies that impact conceptualizations of the EU. the Council at all stages of the legislative process and proposes Paper Negotiating EU Membership: Policy Making or Policy a new and testable theory for further investigations into Taking? decision-making power. Diane B. Payne, University College, Dublin, National Disc. Francisco Forte, ELITEL University of Ireland

74 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Using the Afrobarometer survey data on attitudes 6-6 NEOLIBERALISM: ADOPTION AND toward democracy for Lesotho, this research shows that CONSEQUENCES electoral system mediate the relationship between citizens’ political status (majority or minority) and their political support Room TBA, Fri 1:45 in the country. Chair Claudio Holzner, University of Utah Paper Determinants of Partisan Affiliation in Ghana's Fourth Paper Partisanship and Economic Reform in Latin America's Republic Neoliberal Era Jeffrey K. Krutz, Columbia University Mekoce T. Walker, University of New Mexico Overview: This project seeks to advance beyond conventional Overview: This study examines the effect of partisanship (on a wisdom that African elections are primarily about ethnicity and left-right spectrum) on market-oriented economic reforms in patronage in order to identify the extent that class, evaluation of Latin America’s neoliberal era, concluding that economic the incumbent, ideology, and other variables affect party factors alone cannot explain the decision to undertake such support. reforms. Paper Who Votes in Africa? An Examination of Electoral Turnout Paper Private Profits from Common Lands: The Neoliberal in 12 African Countries Market in Land and the Rural Poor in Ecuador Michelle T. Kuenzi, University of Nevada Emilia Gioreva, University of Florida Gina M. S. Lambright, George Washington University Overview: The paper examines the adverse effect on rural Overview: Based on Afrobarometer survey data for over 20,000 inequality following the arrival of the neoliberal market in land voting age adults in 12 African countries, this paper identifies a remote Ecuadorian community. the factors associated with political participation in Africa. Paper Workers and Welfare in Latin America Paper Issue Salience and Vote Choice in the 2000 Ghanaian Michelle Dion, CIDE-Mexico City Presidential Elections Overview: This paper compares the political development and Roxanne M. Weber, Southern Illinois University neoliberal reform of welfare in Mexico, Argentina, Brazil and Felix K.G. Anebo, Southern Illinois University Chile in the 20th centry. Overview: Ghanaian presidential elections often point to Paper Neo-Institutionalism as a New Paradigm of Development. regional block voting patterns. We employ a computer Consequences for Latin America simulated model to indicate the changing nature of this trend. Alba M. Ruibal, Flacso, México Disc. M. Anne Pitcher, Colgate University Overview: The paper examines some neo-institutionalist

conceptions about economic and institutional development, comparing it with developmental paradigms of the past, and 9-10 THE SECOND IMAGE REVERSED IN analyzes its implications for political reform programs in Latin POSTCOMMUNIST POLITICS America. Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Disc. Claudio Holzner, University of Utah Chair Jacek Lubecki, Millikin University Paper Enough About Democratization: The Implications of 7-6 MONEY POLITICS IN EAST ASIA Exporting 'EU Liberalism' to Central Europe Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Lynn M. Tesser, American University Chair Jeeyang Rhee Baum, University of California, San Diego Overview: This paper aims to shift scholars' overwhelming Paper Feeding the Pig while Paying the Piper: Presidents, Pork, focus on democratization in post-cold war Central Europe and Budgetary Policy in the Philippines towards problems associated with international institutions' Allen Hicken, University of Michigan efforts to export a particular kind of liberalism to the region. Stephan Haggard, University of California, San Diego Paper Digital Divide in Central Asia: Comparing ISP Policy Amado Mendoza, University of Philippinwa Eric M. McGlinchey, Iowa State University Overview: We argue that whether pork barrel expenditures Erica J. Johnson, University of Washington displace or supplement spending on national public goods Overview: We explore the effect of regime type on ISP policy depends on the interaction of legislative and presidential in Central Asia. We find authoritarianism does not predict preferences. We draw on the case of the Philippines to test this government control. Regardless of regime type, poor countries argument. have freer, more developed digital policies than their rich Paper Electoral Reform and the Costs of Personal Support: How counterparts. the Liberal Democratic Party Still Rules Japan Paper Why are the Eu Latecomers so Late? Building a Balkan Matthew M. Carlson, Norwegian University of Science & Model of Support for European Integration Technology Michael L. Ardovino, Catholic University of America Overview: TBA Overview: I theorize that persons in societies which are more Paper American Political Machines and Japanese Koenkai: A heterogenous such as Bulgaria and Romania will vary in their Comparison of the Similarities and Differences in Two support of joining the European Union from persons living in a Distinct Patron-Client Institutions. more ethnically and linguistically homogenous society such as Howard B. Sanborn IV, University of Iowa Slovenia. Overview: This paper uses a comparison of Japanese koenkai Paper State-Image Construction in Post-Communist Countries: and American political machines in order to build an analytical The Impact of Leaders framework with which to better understand reciprocal Ausra Park, U niversity of South Carolina relationships between those in power and their constituents. Overview: Image building has been one of the post-communist Paper The Institutionalized Party System in Taiwan states’ key foreign policy concerns. This paper examines Chia-yin Wei, University of Texas, Austin national image building in Estonia and Lithuania (1992-2000 Overview: Taiwan’s weakly-institutionalized party system can period), focusing on how leaders of these states have affected be attributed to the short period of time of competition, the image construction. personalization of campaigns and intra-party factionalism. Disc. Paula M. Pickering, College of William and Mary Disc. Jeeyang Rhee Baum, University of California, San Diego 10-7 DOMESTIC POLITICS AND 8-2 VOTING IN AFRICA INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Chair James E. Pryor, TBA Paper Domestic Political Institutions and International Trade Paper Political Support and Electoral System in Lesotho Agreements Wonbin Cho, Michigan State University JungIn Jo, Mississippi State University

Updated 03-01-05 75 Overview: The puzzle scholars face is why so many countries Yingying Na, New York University have rushed to enter a free trade agreement by lowering trade Overview: The research question is that why democracy is more barriers at this historical juncture. likely to pursue free trade than an autocracy? I will develop a Paper Choosing Friends Wisely: Economic and Political formal model which will incorporate both preferences and Cooperation in the World System, 1886-1996 institutions. Then I will test my model by means of regression Andrea Little Limbago, University of Colorado, Boulder analysis. Overview: I investigate the dyad-specific factors behind the Presenter Trade Sanctions and Coercive Diplomacy: Measuring formation of PTAs, currency unions and alliances, as well as Foreign Policy Goals which countries are more prone to form each type of agreement Dursun Peksen, University of Missouri, Columbia together. Overview: Using the Boolean method, we measure the impact Paper Democracy and Data Dissemination: The Effect of Political of different foreign policy goals on the outcome of trade Regime on Transparency sanctions. Our empirical findings suggest that international and B. Peter Rosendorff, University of Southern California domestic symbolism are the most successful foreign policy James R. Vreeland, Yale University goals. Overview: Are democracies more transparent than other types of political regimes? We investigate the willingness of 12-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: DOMESTIC policymakers to provide data on inflation and unemployment, DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN POLICY and show that the availability of that data is correlated with Room TBA, Fri 1:45 regime type. Presenter From Economic Sanctions to Military Intervention in the Paper Private Interests, Bureaucratic Coherence, and Former Yugoslavia: Domestic Determinants on Foreign Postcommunist States: Exposing Built-in Assumptions in Policy-Making in France, Germany and Italy Theories of International Cooperation Pietro Pirani, University of Western Ontario (London, Neil Abrams, University of California, Berkeley Ontario, Canada) Overview: Theories of international cooperation make prior Overview: The paper explores which factors influence conflict assumptions about the structure of the state that prove unreliable propensity when countries decide to escalate from economic to once applied beyond the advanced-industrialized countries. I military coercion. rely on postcommunist case study evidence to illustrate this

point. 12-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: MILITARY 11-17 INTERESTS AND IDEAS IN MONETARY SPENDING: THE TAIWANESE CASE POLICYMAKING Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Presenter Threats, Alliances, and Electorates: The Political Economy Room TBA, Fri 1:45 of Military Spending in Taiwan Chair Michael G. Hall, University of Northern Iowa Kharis A. Templeman, University of Michigan Paper Political Actors and ECB Policy-Making Thomas E. Flores, University of Michigan Madeleine O. Hosli, Leiden University Overview: Our paper investigates how elevated threat, Christine Arnold, Free University Amsterdam democratization, and alliance politics have brought about falling Overview: We analyze, on the basis of the full set of electronic military expenditures in Taiwan since the early 1990s, even as contributions submitted to the Convention on the Future of the military threat from mainland China has intensified. Europe, whether differences can be seen regarding preferences of political actors in old and new EU states for specific ECB 13-5 POLARITY AND NUCLEAR WEAPONS policies. POLICY Paper Credibility Lost, Credibility Regained?: The Political Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Economy of Exiting from a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime Chair Robert W. Walker, University of Rochester Michael A. Pisa, University of Calfornia, San Diego Paper Nuclear Proliferation During Unipolarity Overview: This paper looks to measure the degree to which David H. Sacko, United States Air Force Academy governments lose their credibilty in maintaining low-inflation Christopher Peterson, United States Air Force Academy when they either choose, or are forced, to move from a rigid Overview: This paper assesses nuclear proliferation during the exchange rate to a more flexible one. unipolarity. Paper Government Reactions to Speculative Attacks in Paper Preventive War and Nuclear Deterrence: Proliferation in Democracies the Unipolar World. Thomas Sattler, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) Yevgeniy Kirpichevsky, Harvard University Zurich Amit Modi, TBA Overview: The signaling model of speculative attacks Overview: We present a game theory model of strategic emphasizes the role of politics. Econometric evidence shows interaction between a hegemon capable of launching wars and a that 1) governments tend to defend more often when popularity group of states capable of developing a deterrent. We specify is high; 2) exchange rate defenses tend to fail when the deficit the conditions under which proliferation of deterrent weapons increases too much. becomes likely. Paper Speculative Currency Attacks, Politics, and the Private Paper Hear No Evil, See No Evil: U.S. Nonproliferation Policy Sector Towards De Facto Nuclear States Stefanie Walter, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich Karen Van Essen, University of Oregon Overview: This paper investigates the private sector’s Overview: This paper evaluates contending explanations for the preferences with regard to policy responses to speculative security policies of de facto nuclear weapons states, Israel, India attacks, as well as the transmission of these preferences into the and Pakistan, by assessing the relative validity of international, policymaking process. The findings are illustrated with three domestic, and cultural hypotheses. case studies. Paper Stopping the Spread: Containing Nuclear Proliferation in Disc. Michael G. Hall, University of Northern Iowa the 21st Century Jonathan R. Strand, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Andrew C. Richter, University of Windsor Overview: Nuclear proliferation remains an enormous problem 11-302 POSTER SESSION: INTERNATIONAL in international relations, and threatens global peace and POLITICAL ECONOMY stability. This paper will identify strategies to control it. Disc. Robert W. Walker, University of Rochester Room TBA, Fri 1:45

Presenter Why is Democracy More Likely to Pursue Free Trade than

an Autocracy?

76 Updated 03-01-05 14-11 PROTEST, STATE INSTITUTIONS, AND Disc. Darren Schreiber, University of Pennsylvania STATE REPRESSION Room TBA, Fri 1:45 16-9 POLITICAL PREFERENCES Chair Christian Davenport, University of Maryland Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Paper The Dynamics of Protest and Repression Chair William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University Ron Francisco, University of Kansas Paper The Source of Political Attitudes and Behaviors: Assessing Overview: This paper considers numerous sophisticated Genetic and Environmental Contributions modeling techniques on new data to explore the relationship John R. Hibbing, University of Nebraska between dissent and repression. Carolyn L. Funk, Virginia Commonwealth University Paper A License to Kill": Political Threats and the Repressive John R. Alford, Rice University Response to Dissent in the US Overview: Using data drawn from twins we analyze the extent Christian Davenport, University of Maryland to which political attitudes are genetically or environmentally Overview: I examine the relative importance of behavioral as influenced and find that the portion traceable to genetics is opposed to political "threats" in the US from 1948 to 1982. I surprisingly large. also examine the difference between general threats (e.g., Reds) Paper Political Inequality, Perceptions of Representation, and as opposed specific threats (e.g., students). Democratic Accountability: Do Underrepresented Citizens Paper Woe is Democracy: Institutional Design and The Regulation "Throw the Bums Out?" of Political Conflict Greg M. Shaw, Illinois Wesleyan University Claudia Dahlerus, Albion College Overview: TBA Overview: The paper adopts a rational-institutional approach to Paper Representation and Efficacy: Are Citizens Rational in Their explain why federal and unitary institutional designs influence Perceptions that Government Ignores their Preferences? the level of state coercion and targeting practices of police in Patrick J. Flavin, University of Notre Dame democratic states. Overview: Are citizens’ perceptions of government Paper Explaining Political Protest: State Institutions and State irresponsiveness grounded in fact? I examine the link between Response underrepresentation and low levels of efficacy using National Tavishi Bhasin, Emory University Annenberg Election Survey data, NOMINATE scores, and Overview: This paper investigates contentious politics in interest group ratings. democratic states, investigating why some claims made against Paper Equality, Hierarchy, and Policy Preferences democratic governments take the form of non-violent protests Elisabeth R. Gerber, University of Michigan while others take violent forms. Charles Ballard, Michigan State University Paper Explaining Muslim Mobilization in the United States: Jeremy Duff, Michigan State University Government Repression and Accommodation in the Post- Overview: We propose to develop and test a theory of opinion 9/11 Era formation in which individuals’ normative beliefs about equality Neha Sahgal, University of Maryland and hierarchy in economic and social relationships Helma Devries, University of Maryland fundamentally affect their preferences for specific government Overview: The Bush government’s policies on terrorism and policies. subsequent wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have generated high Paper Predicting Who Will Be Confused On Abortion level of domestic anti-war protest. We investigate why the Carolyn S. Carlson, Georgia State University American Muslim diaspora has been inconsistently active in the Overview: This paper proposes the best order for questions on anti-war protest. abortion, based on a national survey that tests four possible Disc. The presenters are serving as the discussants. orders. It examines the demographics of ideologically conflicted respondents to predict those most likely to be confused on 16-7 METHODS AND MEASURES MATTER abortion. Disc. Tereza Capelos, Leiden University Room TBA, Fri 1:45 William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University Chair Darren Schreiber, University of Pennsylvania

Paper Questioning Our Competence: Tasks, Institutions, and the Limited Practical Relevance of Common Political 17-9 THE MICRO-FOUNDATIONS OF PARTISAN Knowledge Measures ELECTORAL CHANGE Arthur Lupia, University of Michigan Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: My goal is to improve how political scientists and Chair Vincent Hutchings, University of Michigan practitioners conceptualize and measure civic competence. Paper Who Floats? Explaining Voter Change During Presidential Paper Mass Belief Systems in the American States: Constraint and Campaigns, 1972-2000 the Components of Self-Reported Ideology Steven E. Finkel, University of Virginia Martin Johnson, University of California, Riverside Overview: I develop a model that predicts two kinds of Kevin Arceneaux, Yale University campaign-period change -- conversion to an opposing candidate Overview: We test explanations for issue-consistency based on and dropping out of the electorate -- and test the model using individual education, the salience of politics, and polarizing multinomial probit on pooled National Election Study (NES) issues across the American states, as well as alternative data from 1972-2000. hypotheses rooted in institutional structure and mass-elite Paper Conversion, Mobilization, and the Mechanisms of Electoral linkages. Change Paper Just Thinking: Inattention versus Ignorance in the Robert D. Brown, University of Mississippi Distortion of Political Preferences Harvey D. Palmer, University of Mississippi Mathieu Turgeon, University of Texas, Austin Overview: An examination of the relative impact of conversion Overview: Some authors have claimed negative consequences and mobilization on electoral change for the quality of democracy due to unsophisticated masses, Paper Political Change and Information: Who Decides Which while others don't. Here, I argue that citizens can do “better” Party Occupies the White House and How Closely Do They simply by spending more time thinking about politics. Follow Politics? Paper Expanding the Measurement of Political Interest Ryan L. Claassen, University of California, Davis Debra A. Horner, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Overview: I investigate an alternative source of interelection Overview: This paper examines an expanded battery of change: floating activists. Unlike floating voters, I expect that questions that attempts to capture several dimensions of floating activists follow politics avidly and respond to the political interest, including politics as entertainment, as political environment by adjusting their level of participation. oversight of government, and of stake in political outcomes.

Updated 03-01-05 77 Paper Courting the Faithful: Selective Mobilization and Polarized Marc Kilgour, Wilfrid Laurier University Electorate Remzi Sanver, Istanbul Bilgi University Keiko Ono, National Election Studies Overview: A new voting procedure for electing committees, Overview: This paper demonstrates the selective voter called the minimax procedure, is described. Based on approval mobilization undertaken by strategic elites further polarizes the balloting (AB), it chooses the committee so as to minimize the electorate by reinforcing the existing gap in turnout propensity maximum “Hamming distance” to all voters (minimax (more partisan voters are being contacted while independents outcome). are not). Disc. Vincent Hutchings, University of Michigan 19-5 FOREIGN POLICY OPINIONS Room TBA, Fri 1:45 17-13 VOTER MOBILIZATION IN THE 2004 Chair Richard Sobel, Harvard University ELECTIONS Paper Exploring the Empirical Robustness of Predicted Foreign Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Policy Mood Indicators, 1824-70 Chair Jan Leighley, University of Arizona Jack E. Holmes, Hope College Paper Increasing Voter Turnout in the Hispanic Community: A Kurt Pyle, Hope College Field Experiment on the Effects of Canvassing, Leafleting, Overview: This paper inquires into the ability of a variety of Telephone Calls, and Direct Mail. military, economic, and consensus indicators to predict the Gregg R. Murray, University of Texas, Brownsville existence of a foreign policy mood dichotomy between 1824 Richard E. Matland, University of Houston and 1870. Overview: We evaluate methods to increase turnout generally Paper An Integrative Perspective of Public Opinion on Foreign and Hispanic turnout specifically. Get-out-the-vote messages, Policy with nonpartisan or Hispanic group solidarity themes, will be Dukhong Kim, Northwestern University delivered to registered voters prior to the upcoming election. Overview: This paper examines how the mass public makes Paper How Effective are Voter Registration Drives in Getting decisions on foreign policy during the post-Cold War era. It Young People to the Polls? will show that humanitarianism and strategic considerations Tina Ebenger, Calumet College of St. Joseph play a central role in shaping the public’s foreign policy Tracey McCabe, Calumet College of St. Joseph choices. Overview: Following the 2004 general election, a questionnaire Paper Moving the Public: Presidents, John Q. Public, and will be distributed to all students at Calumet College of St. Decisions to Use Force Joseph to gauge the success of a voter registration drive and Zachary M. Mears, Ohio State University other assumptions regarding youth and voting. Overview: This paper investigates the conditions under which Paper Local Party Organizations and GOTV Activities Presidents can move public opinion to support the use of force Tim Hundsdorfer, University of Colorado for humanitarian intervention. Overview: I surveyed 350 local party organization leaders in Paper Understanding the "Hall of Mirrors": Perceptions and Illinois from both major parties. Local parties still consider Misperceptions in the Congressional Foreign Policy Process GOTV an important activity, but important schisms are Clay Ramsay, University of Maryland developing between local parties and their national and state Overview: The CCFR/PIPA study of cross-perceptions between counterparts. public and the foreign policy elite raised as many questions as it Disc. Jan Leighley, University of Arizona answered. Hypotheses to explain high misperceptions and low Melissa Michelson, California State University, East Bay awareness of political opportunity are proposed and evaluated. Disc. Mariya Omelicheva, Purdue University 18-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: REPRESENTATION IN THE STATES 19-6 PUBLIC OPINION AND CONTEMPORARY Room TBA, Fri 1:45 ISSUES Presenter Do Minorities Benefit from Having Minority Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Representatives? – Minority Representation and its Impact Chair Patrick J. Egan, University of California, Berkeley on State Policy Outcomes Paper The Formation of Nativism through Incorporation: Asian Michiko Ueda, Massachusetts Institute of Technology American Attitudes toward Immigration Control Overview: This paper examines whether increased minority Shang E. Ha, University of Chicago representation in state legislatures in the last 30 years has Overview: This paper examines how Asian Americans in the changed policy outcomes. It shows that the presence of United States formulate public opinion toward immigration minority representatives had notable effects on policies. control, using the 2000-2001 Pilot National Asian American Presenter Changing Patterns of Representational Roles in a Study (PNAAPS). Nonpartisan Setting Paper Does Symbolic Racism Cause Opposition to Immigration? Rhonda J. Saferstein, University of Nebraska at Omaha Peter J. Loewen, Universite de Montreal and University of Overview: A survey of Nebraska Legislators reveals a shift in Rochester the predominant representational role orientations chosen by Jessica Fortin, McGill University Nebraska legislators, away from Trustee and State orientations Overview: Symbolic politics explanations of restrictive opinions toward Politico and State/District. on immigration are plagued by endogeneity and overestimates effects. We present evidence of this and estimate a cleaner 18-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: DESIGNING model of immigration opinion explained by economic insecurity. ELECTORAL MECHANISMS Paper The Dynamics of Public Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage and Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Civil Unions Presenter Are Competitive Elections Socially Optimal? Wallsten J. Kevin, University of California, Berkeley Justin M. Buchler, Oberlin College Overview: This paper uses the results of 61 surveys conducted Overview: While many normative theorists assume that since 1996 to assess the impact that major elite messages have competitive elections are necessary for democracy, they are had on the level of support for same-sex marriage and civil frequently socially suboptimal. This paper shows the conditions unions in different partisan, racial and religious groups. under which competitive elections produce uniquely socially Paper From Radical to Conservative: The Political Construction of optimal outcomes. Civil Unions and Changing Public Attitudes Presenter A Minimax Procedure for Electing Committees Kenneth W. Cimino, Drake University Steven J. Brams, New York University Gary N. Segura, University of Iowa

78 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Few opinions have changed as radically and as Rosalee A. Clawson, Purdue University quickly as those regarding the appropriateness of civil unions Overview: We draw from an extensive content analysis of over for lesbians and gays. 2600 congressional news stories from the New York Times and Disc. Mark Lindeman, Bard College CBS Evening News to assess the dominant frames that emerge in national media coverage of Congress. 20-7 DETERMINANTS OF CIVIC ENGAGEMENT Paper Ideological Identification Bias in Media Coverage of the Room TBA, Fri 1:45 United States Congress Chair Scott D. McClurg, Southern Illinois University Vincent J. Strickler, Stanford University Paper Education and Civic Engagement: Mounting Evidence from Overview: I combine ADA & ACU scores to create an objective an Experimental Perspective measure of the ideological positions of members of Congress. I Rachel Milstein, Yale University then compare this to the ideological labels applied by media Overview: Despite concordance on the existence of the sources, to discover whether there is systematic bias through relationship between education and participation, little can be mislabeling. agreed upon as to its root cause. I aim to better answer this Paper Elite Discourse and Policy Making: How, When and Why question by analyzing the relationship with an experimental Media Elites Influence Policy Choices. approach. Philip D. Habel, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Paper “Rally ‘Round the Flag”: American Wars and Civic- Overview: This study examines the role of media elites, Engagement particularly newspaper editors, in policy making. Wayne A. Thornton, Harvard University Disc. Adam J. Schiffer, Texas Christian University Theda Skocpol, Harvard University Overview: Our statistical analysis of membership data for large 22-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: GENDER AND voluntary civic associations during the period 1815 to 1964 CANDIDATE CHOICE reveals definitive evidence that wars have strengthened Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Americans’ civic engagement. Presenter When Gender and Gender Stereotypes Collide: An Paper Community Organizations, Gender and the Development of Experimental Examination of the Effects of Gender and Political Capital Gender Stereotypes on Candidate Choice Jessica Wintringham, Syracuse University Christopher J. Lewis, Florida State University Heidi Swarts, Syracuse University Mary R. Anderson, Florida State University Overview: This paper explores how grassroots community Overview: Continuing with the experimental approach organizations act as a space in which men and women become developed in our previous work, we examine candidate choice politically empowered. among candidates running with stereotypically feminine or Disc. Scott D. McClurg, Southern Illinois University masculine issues that reinforce or crosscut that candidate’s gender. 20-101 ROUNDTABLE: COLLABORATIVE Presenter Candidate Gender as an Information Shortcut: A Cross- POLICY AND DEMOCRACY: BUILDING National Analysis of the Effects of Political Environments CAPABLE INSTITUTIONS OF Melody Ellis Valdini, University California, San Diego Overview: Using a comparative analysis that includes GOVERNANCE FOR NETWORK SOCIETY democracies in Europe and Latin America, I demonstrate that Room TBA, Fri 1:45 gender-based shortcuts do function outside of the US, and that Panelist Collaborative Policy and Democracy: Building Capable their function and power varies in different political Institutions of Governance for Network Society environments. Bill Leach, Center for Collaborative Policy Archon Fung, Harvard University 22-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: WOMEN AND John Scholz, Florida State University David Booher, Center for Collaborative Policy THE TURKISH GOVERNMENT Iris M. Young, University of Chicago Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: Scholars in political science, public administration, Presenter Turkish Women as Conflict Resolvers and planning are converging around issues of deliberative Umut Ozkaleli, Syracuse University democracy and collaborative policymaking. This Overview: Turkey, difference feminism, equality feminism, interdisciplinary panel will review insights from recent and conflict resolvers, women's agency, Islamism, secularism. ongoing research. Presenter Women’s NGOs Role in the Middle Eastern Democratization Process: A Case Study of Turkish 21-7 COVERING CONGRESS: CONTENT AND Women’s NGOs. Zeynep Sahin, TBA BIAS Overview: In this paper,I will examine women’s NGOs role in Room TBA, Fri 1:45 the democratization process of Middle Eastern countries as Chair Adam J. Schiffer, Texas Christian University taking Turkish women’s NGOs as a case study. Paper Members of Congress and the Presentation of Self in Washington and at Home 23-5 BLACK PARTISANSHIP Girish J. Gulati, Bentley College Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: To fully understand presentation of self, this study Chair Phillip J. Ardoin, Appalachian State University examines the presentation styles of members of Congress both Paper Who's Really Black? A Theory of African American at home and in Washington by comparing the campaign and Authentic Appeals official web sites of members of the 108th Congress. Stephen Maynard Caliendo, Avila University Paper What’s the News that Fit to Print? Charlton D. McIlwain, New York University Margaret M. Young, Albion College Overview: An analysis of 2002 and 2004 congressional races Overview: This paper looks at local newspaper coverage of where both candidates were African American. congressional politics in a sample of districts for each of the Paper Urban Black Voters v. Black Middle Class Voters: Is a congressional elections since 2000. The districts chosen include Second Realignment Possible to the Republican Party a range of “fits” (good, middling and poor) with television Steven D. Day, University of Houston markets. Sarah Neal, University of Houston Paper Mainstream Media Frames of Congress: Issues, Parties, and Overview: The paper examines conditions that would be Personalities necessary for urban black middle class voters to switch back a Jonathan S. Morris, East Carolina University strong allegiance to the GOP and considers causal factors.

Updated 03-01-05 79 Paper GOP Efforts to Win African American Votes" Michael K. Fauntroy, George Mason University 26-3 REPRESENTATION AND PARTICIPATION Overview: This paper examines GOP efforts to increase its IN DEMOCRATIC THEORY share of African American votes in presidential and Room TBA, Fri 1:45 congressional elections. Chair Andrew Rehfeld, Washington University, St. Louis Paper Black Partisanship, Hostility, and the Republican Party Paper Rethinking Representation: Seven Theoretical Issues Marvin P. King, Jr., University of North Texas Mark E. Warren, University of British Columbia Overview: This paper examines the relationship between black Dario Castiglione, Georgetown University partisan identification, socioeconomic status and historical Overview: Owing to a number of changes in modern politics, it animosity towards the GOP. is no longer possible to represent and aggregate the interests, Paper Party Perceptions and Black Party Identification opinions, and values of the citizens through simple (territorially- Maruice Mangum, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville based) electoral mechanisms Overview: This investigation explains party identification and Paper Representation and the Forms of Democratic Participation party perceptions by Blacks of the two major parties by Nadia Urbinati, Columbia University examining perceptions of the parties’ ability to handle policy Overview: Representation depends upon and includes issues. participation by those represented. Disc. Phillip J. Ardoin, Appalachian State University Paper Representation is Democracy

David Plotke, New School University 24-5 FROM ROUSSEAU TO MARX Overview: I propose a view of representation which differs in Room TBA, Fri 1:45 crucial ways from the main views advocated during the Cold Chair Peter Busch, Villanova University War. Paper Ideas and Actuality in the Social Contract: Rousseau and Disc. Dario Castiglione, Georgetown University Kant David L. Williams, University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point 26-8 GLOBAL ISSUES IN POLITICAL THEORY Overview: Social contracts have long been characterized as Room TBA, Fri 1:45 appealing to either actual consent (e.g., Hobbes & Habermas) or Chair Carol C. Gould, George Mason University Ideas (e.g., Kant & Rawls) for legitimacy. Jean-Jacques Paper A Liberalism of Commitment Rousseau, however, appeals to both, hence gaining the benefits Steven A. Kelts, George Washington University of two approaches. Overview: Liberalism now suffers from excess individualism. Paper "So-called Gift in the [im]proper Sense": Gifts and Citizens believe they owe nothing that they did not contract to Alienation in Hegel’s Philosophy of Right give. I argue that our obligations to our fellow citizens arise not Andrew T. Dilts, University of Chicago from individual contract, but from systemic commitments. Overview: This paper argues that gifts, whose status is Paper Guestworkers and Exploitation presented as unproblematic in Hegel’s Philosophy of Right, are Robert Mayer, Loyola University Chicago potentially problematic on his own terms because they, unlike Overview: This paper uses the case of guestworker programs to other forms of contract, continue to reflect the will of the giver. identify a more sensitive standard of exploitation than can be Paper Colonization or Revolution? Hegel and Marx Confront the found in egalitarian or neoclassical theory. It also identifies the Problem of Poverty conditions when exploitative transactions should be tolerated. Sharon Vaughan, Morehouse College Paper Global Justice and Two Concepts of Impartiality Overview: My paper identifies how G.W. F. Hegel and Karl Ryan Pevnick, University of Virginia Marx formulated their understandings of the causes and Overview: Recent articles attempt to collapse the distinction remedies to poverty. between cosmopolitans and nationalists by arguing that an Paper Freedom as a Right impartial principle – properly interpreted – justifies preferential Maria Kowalski, Columbia University treatment towards compatriots. I refute this notion of Overview: TBA impartiality. Disc. Leonard R. Sorenson, Assumption College Paper State Consent and the Obligation to Obey International Law

Alex Tuckness, Iowa State University 25-6 RETHINKING THE FOUNDATIONS OF Overview: In some cases state consent does generate a prima PLURALISM facie moral obligation to obey international law despite the Room TBA, Fri 1:45 problems of coerced consent, consent by previous generations, Chair Rob Reich, Stanford University consent given by illegitimate governments, and global Paper Authenticity and Toleration: The Duty to Protect Moral inequalities. Space and the Conditions of Perceived Freedom Disc. Carol C. Gould, George Mason University Stephen W. Moore, University of North Carolina at Chapel Gillian Brock, University of Auckland Hill Overview: This paper examines the dynamic relationship 27-2 ELECTIONS, INFORMATION, AND between the areas of group life and identity we set apart from ACCOUNTABILITY the authority of society and the psychological aspects of the Room TBA, Fri 1:45 perceived freedom of individuals. Chair Adam Meirowitz, Princeton University Paper Berlinian Pluralism Revisited Paper Political Motivations Dimitri Landa, New York University Steven Callander, Northwestern University Overview: I propose a novel account of Berlinian value- Overview: A formal model of electoral competition with pluralism that resolves some of the long-standing ambiguities in heterogeneous candidates where type is private information. the ontology of value-pluralism itself and in the justificatory Empirics are restricted to stylized facts. arguments for liberalism that have been advanced on its Paper Valance Competition and Platform Divergence grounds. Scott Ashworth, Princeton University Paper Must Liberals Value Respect and Recognition? Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Washington University Alexander Moon, Cornell University Overview: We study electoral competition when parties first Overview: Demands for recognition are often either requests for choose platforms, and then compete to produce valance. Even respect in Hegelian dress or they are demands on others to hold though parties are office-seeking, platforms can be divergent. different values. If the latter, they conflict with the requirement We discuss several applications to campaign spending and party of respect. discipline. Disc. Jason Scorza, Fairleigh Dickinson University

80 Updated 03-01-05 Paper The Consequences of Commitment when Candidates have 28-9 DYNAMIC MODELS OF PUBLIC OPINION Private Information AND CONFLICT Carlos Maravall, Carlos III University Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: If candidates are informed of the realization of a Chair Jonathan Wand, Stanford University state variable that affects all players' utility, I show that if they Paper Two Steps Back: Isolating the Impact of Objective cannot commit, their information is of no consequence for the Economic Factors on Presidential Approval strategies of voters. This is not the case when they can commit. Daniel R. Cassino, Stony Brook University Paper Policy Transparency and Political Posturing Matthew Lebo, Stony Brook University Justin Fox, Yale University Overview: With an ARFIMA analysis of presidential approval Overview: This paper identifies conditions under which voters for Republicans, Democrats and Independents from 1977 to are better off not knowing their incumbent's policy choices: we 2003, we show that objective economic factors impact approval show that government transparency can actually reduces voter differently based on the party ID of the president and the group welfare. evaluating him. Disc. Adam Meirowitz, Princeton University Paper Advances in Bayesian Time Series Modeling and the Study Michael Ting, Columbia University of Politics: Theory Testing, Forecasting and Policy Analysis

John R. Freeman, University of Minnesota 27-10 MAYHEM Patrick T. Brandt, University of North Texas Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: We show how to construct proper Bayesian shape Chair Catherine C. Langlois, Georgetown University error bands for causal inference, review and implement a Paper On the Virtues of War: War, Fairness and Democracy reference prior for political forecasting, and show how Bayesian Krishna Ladha, New York University time series methods can be used in policy (counterfactual) Overview: Despite the criticism of wars, wars can promote analysis fairness by enhancing the bargaining power of the Paper Multilevel, Stratified, Frailty Models and the Onset of Civil disadvantaged. Moreover, wars can serve as the basis for the War rise of democracy as in ancient Athens. This paper formalizes Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, Ohio State University the above ideas. Suzanna L. De Boef, Pennsylvania State University Paper Incentive Schemes for Private Militaries under Moral Kevin J. Sweeney, Joint Warfare Analysis Center Hazard Overview: We examine civil war onset with a multilevel, Gochal Joseph, New York University stratified, frailty event history model to capture 1)sources of Overview: I present a principal-agent model where a heterogeneity and 2)nesting of countries within regions--both of government chooses whether to deploy a more efficient but which can make countries more/less susceptible to civil war. financially motivated private military in addition to a Disc. Jonathan Wand, Stanford University government run military and must develop an optimal reward scheme for each forced deployed. 29-6 ORGANIZED INTERESTS AND GENDER Paper The Politics of Rumors: Information, Ethnicity, and Violence (Co-sponsored with Gender and Politics, see 22- Ravi Bhavnani, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign 13) Michael G. Findley, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Room TBA, Fri 1:45 James H. Kuklinski, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Chair Lisa Baldez, Dartmouth College Overview: We examine the role of rumors in ethnic violence Paper Woodrow Wilson's Conversion Experience: The President, using an agent-based model of rumor diffusion and survival. Woman Suffrage, and the Extent of Executive Influence Our modeling effort is supported with narrative evidence from Beth A. Behn, United State Military Academy episodes of interethnic violence in India. Overview: Between 1912 and 1918, Woodrow Wilson radically Disc. Catherine C. Langlois, Georgetown University altered his stance on the federal woman suffrage amendment. Tarah M. Wheeler, University of Michiga, -Ann Arbor This paper examines the role played by suffrage interest groups in bringing about that change. 28-6 NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN MATCHING Paper Women in State Legislatures and the Diversity of Interest TECHNIQUES Group Populations Across Time Andrew J. Civettini, University of Iowa Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: I examine the population of interest groups Chair Henry Brady, University California, Berkeley registered to lobby the government on behalf of women's issues, Paper Attributable Effects and Full Matching for Binary health care, education, and welfare as a function of the Outcomes in Field Experiments and Observational Studies proportion of female state legislators over time. Jake Bowers, University of Michigan Paper Accounting for Inaction: Feminist Organizations and the Ben Hansen, University of Michigan Politics of New Reproductive Technologies Overview: We introduce attributable effects and full matching Danielle R. Gougon, Rutgers University to political scientists as a way to estimate treatment effects for Overview: The paper examines feminist organizations’ failure binary dependent variables in field experiments and to respond to the next generation of challenges to the feminist observational studies. movement.I will discuss the ability of existing theories to Paper Quantile Treatment Effects in Observational Studies account for this phenomenon using studies of nine feminist Alexis J. Diamond, Harvard University organizations. Overview: This paper resolves a longstanding debate about the Disc. Maryann Barakso, American University reliability of matching and regression methods of causal

inference by testing the accuracy of estimates of various quantile treatment effects. 29-8 COMPARATIVE PARTY PLATFORMS AND Paper Balance Tests for Matching Estimators PROGRAMS Jasjeet Sekhon, Harvard University Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: I propose a family of tests which is significantly Chair Robert Harmel, Texas A&M University more powerful than the tests usually used to assess balance for a Paper Policy Convergence in the Cartel Era and the Influence of matched dataset and which is shown to have correct coverage the Populist Right. and to be consistent. Karin A. Bottom, GIPP University of Manchester Disc. Henry Brady, University California, Berkeley Overview: Utilising data from the Comparative Manifesto Project, this paper measures the policy convergence that took

Updated 03-01-05 81 place between western European established parties in the time presidents' decisions in making nominations to the executive period 1970-1998. branch. Paper A Theory of Party Mergers. Disc. Russell D. Renka, Southeast Missouri State University Jean-Francois Godbout, Northwestern University Eric Belanger, McGill University 31-11 LEGISLATIVE PARTY SWITCHING Overview: This study develops a unifying theory of party Room TBA, Fri 1:45 merger based on an industrial organizational framework and on Chair Maria Escobar-Lemmon, Texas A&M University the theory of the firm. Paper Electoral Cycles and Party Switching: Opportunistic Paper De-radicalization of the Communist Parties in Developed Partisan Realignment in Legislatures Countries: Comparative Studies of the Role of the French Mershon Carol, University of Virginia and Japanese Communist Parties in the Social Movements Olga Shvetsova, Binghamton University and California in 1968 Institute of Technology Yutaka Okuyama, University of Alabama Overview: We view party strategy as fitting the compound Overview: Communists’ behavior in the social movements in imperatives of the entire "political business cycle"—from one the 1960s confirmed that the communist parties recognized that election to the next—and focus on the legislative stage of that party action must be thorough parliament. The degree of cycle. Our empirical cases are Russia and Italy. intensity also neither influenced party activities. Paper Subnational Politics and National Party Switching Paper What Do Parties Want? An Analysis of Programmatic Scott W. Desposato, University of Arizona Social Policy Aims in Austria, Germany, and the Overview: I build a multi-level model where state level political Netherlands shocks work their way up the political ladder, as evidenced in Martin Seeleib-Kaiser, University of Oxford party switching in local parties, state assemblies, and national Overview: The core argument of the paper is that the parliaments. I illustrate with data from Brazil. differences between Social Democrats and Christian Democrats Paper Theoretical and Empirical Models of Cascades in Party in regards to programmatic social policy aims have largely Switching faded away in Austria, Germany, and the Netherlands. William B. Heller, Binghamton University Paper Change in the Social Democratic Parties: The Influence of Carol Mershon, University of Virginia the Left-Libertarian Parties on Social Democratic Overview: This paper develops a formal model of party Manifestos switching and specifies the testable hypotheses implied by the Zeynep Somer, Texas A&M University model. Innovative features include a focus on the nature and Overview: The question of how the rise of the left-libertarian dynamics of cascades in switching. Data come from Italy, parties has influenced the Social Democratic manifestos is Spain, and Norway. answered. It is found that the emphases on libertarian issues Paper Party Switching in Democratizing and Re-Democratizing have changed rather than the positions of the Social Democrats. Democracies Disc. Hans C. Noel, University of California, Los Angeles Marcus Kreuzer, Villanova University Vello Pettai, University of Tartu, Estonia 30-5 BUREAUCRATIC APPOINTMENTS AND Overview: Scholars debate whether frequent switching among RECRUITMENT post-communist politicians is temporary or permanent. We Room TBA, Fri 1:45 examine this question by comparing party switching in the Chair Russell D. Renka, Southeast Missouri State University newly democratizing Baltics with the patterns of switching in Paper Politicization, Professionalism, and Bureaucratic post-war Germany. Competence: Organizational Balancing and Gubernatorial Paper Party Switching and the Procedural Party Agenda in the US Tax Revenue Forecasts in the American States House, 1953-2000 George A. Krause, University of South Carolina Timothy P. Nokken, University of Houston David E. Lewis, Princeton University Overview: I study the behavioral consequences of party James W. Douglas, University of South Carolina defection on three sets of roll call votes: final passage, Overview: We propose that a proper balance between amendment, and procedural votes. I posit that switchers exhibit politicized and professionalized personnel systems across the greater changes on procedural and amendment votes than on executive and staff levels of an organization will best foster final passage votes. bureaucratic competence. We test our thesis using gubernatorial Disc. Maria Escobar-Lemmon, Texas A&M University tax revenue forecasts. Lucio R. Renno, Stony Brook University Paper Latino/Latina Political Appointees and the Policymaking Process: An Examination of their Impact on Executive 31-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: CONFERENCE Decision making in the Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon, Ford, COMMITTEES Carter, Reagan, Bush and Clinton Administrations Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Frances Marquez, Gallaudet University Presenter To Confer or not to Confer: An Event Count Analysis of Overview: TBA the Use of Conference Committees in the US Congress Paper Recruiting American Governing Elites: Temporality, State- Eric H. Hines, University of Iowa Building and Democratic Governance Overview: There is no established rule for the frequency of William McAllister, Columbia University conference committees in Congress. This paper uses findings Cecilia Martinez-Gallardo, Centro de Investigación y about conference outcomes to develop an informal theory of Docencia Económicas their use. The theory is tested using data from the 75th-107th Graeme Robertson, University of North Carolina Congresses. Overview: Federal adm orgs are vital sites of policymaking. Presenter Staff Turnover and Partisanship in the US House of Theory, data & methods for analyzing recruitment to top Representatives: Any Correlation? positions are underdeveloped. Using state-building theory, new Joumana Moukarim, American University data & latent variable mixture modeling, this paper addresses Overview: This paper examines staff turnover in the House of these issues. Representatives and asks, what do staff of departing members Paper Presidential Appointment Strategies and Executive Branch do in a more partisan Congress? Officers Kevin J. Parsneau, University of Minnesota 31-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Overview: A study of how previously identified political and institutional variables related Senate environment affect CONTEMPORARY PATTERNS IN LEGISLATIVE STAFFING

82 Updated 03-01-05 Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Michael Abramowicz, George Washington University School Presenter Homestyle Choices: House Members and the Distribution of of Law Their Representational Allowances Overview: In this article, the authors apply rational choice Garry Young, George Washington University theory to explore the relationship between stare decisis and Overview: The Representational Allowance system lets holding versus dicta, critique existing definitions of these terms, members of the House allocate their office funds according to and offer and defend their own. their own individual goals and constraints. In this paper I will Disc. Steven Puro, St.Louis University analyze member "homestyles" based on how they allocate their Sara C. Benesh, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee allowances. 34-9 TORTS, LIABILITY, AND THE LAW 32-11 THE DEVELOPMENT AND DYNAMICS OF Room TBA, Fri 1:45 CAMPAIGN FINANCE LAWS Chair Lynda G. Dodd, University of Ohio Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Paper The Constitution in Two Dimensions: A Transaction Cost Chair Robin Kolodny, Temple University Analysis of Constitutional Remedies Paper A First Look at Outside Ads After Reform Eugene Kontorovich, George Mason University Jonathan Bernstein, University of Texas, San Antonio Overview: While constitutional rights are normally thought of Overview: This paper uses new data from a survey of House as protected by property rules, this Article shows that many are candidates in the 2004 elections to look at the effects of in fact protected by liability rules. campaign finance reform on House candidacies. Paper Harm, Duty and Tort Law in America: Why are Bad Paper Electronic Campaign Finance Disclosure Laws: Explaining Samaritan Laws so Rare? Adoption and Implimentation Differences Across States Eric R. Boehme, College of Wooster Ramona S. McNeal, Kent State University Overview: What impact has federalism had on the rarity of duty Mary Schmeida, Kent State University to rescue laws in the U.S.? Overview: We examine factors contributing to early adoption of Paper Fruits of the Tort Reform Movement: Is Anyone Reaping e-disclosure laws, differences in scope of implementation, and the Benefits? the impact of adoption on the ease of public accessibility to Mathew S. Manweller, Central Washington University campaign finance records. Jason Hartwig, University of Oregon Paper Cutting Down the Money Tree: Congressional Alignments Overview: This paper will examine the effects of state-level tort and the Development of Campaign Finance Regulation reform policies upon consumer medical costs and doctor Christopher B. Mann, Yale University liability insurance rates. Overview: Passing legislation to regulate money in politics has Disc. Lynda G. Dodd, University of Ohio proven to be among the most daunting tasks for political Anne L. Draznin, University of Illinois, Springfield reformers. This paper examines how the alignment of US political institutions shapes the development of campaign 35-5 FISCAL POLICY AND FISCAL finance regulation. FEDERALISM Disc. Kristin Kanthak, University of Arizona Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Chair Michael W. Hail, Morehead State University 33-8 THE POLITICS OF LEGAL DOCTRINE Paper The Impact of Federal Matching Formulas and State Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Expenditures on the Interstate Variation of Public Chair Steven Puro, St.Louis University Assistance Benefits Paper Discretion and Downward Departures: Explaining Robert A. Peters, Western Michigan University Variation under the Federal Sentencing Guidelines Overview: An analysis of public assistance benefit data for the Jeffrey R. Lax, Columbia University period 1940 to 1970 indicate federal matching formulas Jonathan P. Kastellec, Columbia University exacerbated interstate variations in average benefits. However, Brent Nibecker, Pepperdine University the formula’s impact was reversed state expenditures. Overview: Explaining variation in sentences under the federal Paper Testing for Asymmetry in the Flypaper Effect sentencing guidelines. Craig S. Maher, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh Paper Institutions, Interests, and Judicial Outcomes: The Politics Steven Deller, University of Wisconsin, Madison of Federal Diversity Jurisdiction Overview: In this applied research study we test for asymmetry Brett W. Curry, Ohio State University in changes levels of state aids to local governments within the Overview: This paper examines the politics of diversity framework of the flypaper hypothesis. jurisdiction from a cross-institutional perspective, emphasizing Paper The Effects of the Fiscal Factors on the Interstate Migration the impact of judicial workload, outside interests, and in US dissatisfaction with case outcomes on the development of that Shiyuan Chen, Georgia State University jurisdiction. Overview: The article investigates the effects of the fiscal Paper Testing a Case On Its Own Terms: An Examination of factors on the net migration after controlling the other factors. Taxpayer Lawsuits We find that the tax and expenditure structure have significant Matthew M. Schneider, Washington University, St. Louis effects on migration, while the gross tax revenue and Overview: In this paper, I will test whether Flast v. Cohen was a expenditure not major shift in the Supreme Court's view on taxpayers lawsuits, Paper Legislative Tax Changes: A Dynamic Panel Data Estimation as many scholars believe, or if it was merely a clarification of Olugbenga Ajilore, University of Toledo the law, as the Court states in its majority opinion. Overview: This paper uses advanced econometric techniques to Paper The Supreme Court's Administrative Law Decisions: An analyze state fiscal policy. Institutional and Hierarchical Perspective Paper Charter Agencies: A Case Study of “Innovative” Budget- Joseph L. Smith, University of Alabama Cutting Measures in Iowa. Overview: This research examines the Court's administrative Catherine A. Simmons, University of Northern Iowa law decisions to determine whether the Court is acting in a Overview: This paper (1) describes the creation of Iowa charter sophisticated way to steer the lower courts toward its preferred agencies, (2) uses a “reinvention matrix” to examine their use as policy outcomes. a reinvention tool, (3) evaluates their first-year performance, Paper Michael Abramowicz and Maxwell Stearns, Defining Dicta and (4) provides considerations if expanding their use. (forthcoming Stanford L. Rev. 2005). Maxwell L. Stearns, George Mason University

Updated 03-01-05 83 36-6 SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF URBAN POLITICS Jasmine Farrier, University of Louisville Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Overview: Legislative history shows how and why Congress Chair Brady Baybeck, University of Missouri, St. Louis suffers from an institutional culture of ambivalence about its Paper Urban Space and Political Power: Spatial Theory and representative duties. Delegation is followed by regret after the Spatial Data Analysis of Los Angeles Mayoral elections, power shift fails to solve the policy problem and the cycle 1993 and 2000 begins again. Jason A. McDaniel, University of Southern California Paper Congress and the Construction of International Governance Overview: This article examines the significance of urban space in the World War II Era and place to voting behavior in local elections using aggregate Nancy Beck Young, McKendree College ecological data of Los Angeles mayoral elections and spatial Overview: My paper examines the role of Congress generally econometric methods of analysis. and Senators Tom Connally and Arthur Vandenberg specifically Paper Casting the Vote for Public Goods: The Case of the Seattle in the creation of the United Nations and other international Monorail Referendum organizations important to the postwar collective security Anne F. Peterson, University of Washington, Bothell arrangements. Barbara S. Kinsey, University of Central Florida Paper Comparing Military Performance in World War II: An Hugh Bartling, DePaul University Application of Public Administration Theory Brady P. Baybeck, University of Missouri, St. Louis Michael J. Licari, University of Northern Iowa Overview: This paper examines electoral behavior of Seattle Overview: This paper uses public administration theory to voters who supported a monorail costing $1.75 billion in compare the performance of armies in World War II. As public November, 2002 with no state or federal support. This paper organizations, armies during war must learn and innovate in tests voter behavior using spatial analytic techniques order to succeed, and have other traits identified in the PA Paper Aggregating Conflict: The Impact of Municipal Boundaries literature. on Local Electoral Politics Disc. Lilly J. Goren, Lake Forest College Mike Latner, University of California, Irvine Overview: Municipal regions in California are examined in 42-2 MODERNITY, TRUST, AND CULTURE IN order to determine how the spatial characteristics of cities CHINESE POLITICS mediate competition for mayoral and city council seats and the Room TBA, Fri 1:45 use and support for local initiatives. Chair Mary Gallagher, University of Michigan Disc. Annette Steinacker, Claremont Graduate University Paper Defining China’s Modernity and Nationalism in 1934 Grace C. Huang, University of Chicago 37-11 DETERMINANTS OF SOCIAL POLICY Overview: Chiang Kaishek's images of nationalism and Room TBA, Fri 1:45 modernity for China within the context of threats to China's Chair Donald P. Haider-Markel, University of Kansas sovereignty Paper Agenda Setting and the United Kingdom: The National Paper Dynamics of Trust in Chinese Local Politics Health Service and the Community Care Act of 1990 Ning Zhang, University of California, Santa Barbara Paul D. Jorgensen, University of Oklahoma Overview: This paper analyzes 30 interviews conducted in three Overview: Applying John Kingdon's agenda setting model to major cities in China in summer 2004, and tests hypotheses on the political/policy process of The National Health Service and the changes in trust generating mechanisms, and the influence Community Care Act of 1990, resulted in model changes of expectations embedded in one’s trust on her political accounting for strong party discipline and the British cabinet behaviors. structure. Paper Title: Analyzing Public Policies in Modern China from a Paper Welfare Politics in Congress Cultural Perspective—A Case Study on Sichuan Province in Lawrence M. Mead, New York University the Southwest of China Overview: We code witnesses in Congressional hearings during Mei Jiang, University of Oregon six episodes of welfare reform between 1962 and 1996. We Overview: This paper looks into Sichuan culture,national find that over time positions shift to become more conservative, culture, and the relationship between them, and analyzes their but also that disputes become less ideological and more cultural implications on political decision-making processes and practical. outcomes in the Chinese government. Paper Local Discretion and the Implementation of Welfare Disc. Mary Gallagher, University of Michigan Reform: An Analysis of Sanctioning Outcomes in the Florida TANF Program 45-3 LEARNING IN (AND OUT OF) THE Richard C. Fording, University of Kentucky CLASSROOM Sanford F. Schram, Bryn Mawr College Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Joe Soss, University of Wisconsin Chair Rebecca Deen, University of Texas, Arlington Overview: In this study we examine the impact of second-order Paper Research This! Using Undergraduate Research Projects to devolution and the broadening of local discretion on the Teach Political Inquiry implementation of welfare reform in the state of Florida. Mary T. Hallock Morris, University of Southern Indiana Disc. Craig Ramsay, Ohio Wesleyan University Overview: Does active learning improve student retention of Scott W. Allard, Brown University course materials? This paper is a case study pertaining to

undergraduate research as a tool for improving student retention 40-6 DEVELOPMENTAL PERSPECTIVES ON US of course materials in a course on political science research FOREIGN AND MILITARY POLICY methods. Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Paper Active Learning through Reading and Writing in Online Chair Lilly J. Goren, Lake Forest College Discussion Boards: Assessing the Effects on Learner Paper Military Intervention and Wilsonian Ideals: Race and the Outcomes Historically Contingent Nature of Democratic Reformism in Kerstin Hamann, University of Central Florida American Foreign Policy Bruce M. Wilson, University of Central Florida Connie Anthony, Seattle University Philip H. Pollock, University of Central Florida Overview: The call to Wilsonian ideals in promoting democracy Overview: We assess the impact of discussion postings and in the Third World forgets the actual Wilsonian legacy in both a number of postings read in online courses on learner outcomes. policy and philosophical respect. This builds on the literature emphasizing the importance of Paper Institutional Ambivalence and Delegation of Power: discussion as an active learning tool. Congress Post-9/11

84 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Assessment of On-Line Interaction and Learning through Panelist Jacob Hacker, Yale University Discussions at an Urban HBCU Mark Rank, Washington University S.Suzan J. Harkness, University of District of Columbia Ben Page, Northwestern University Overview: The literature finds that gender impacts online Overview: TBA discussion behavior. My data suggests that gender runs contrary to existing evidence and that overall differences between male 1-116 ROUNDTABLE: THE APSA REPORT ON and female discussion styles are more similar than different. CIVIC ENGAGEMENT Paper TBA Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Duane Milne, West Chester University of Pennsylvania Panelist Stephen Macedo, Princeton University Overview: TBA Margaret Levi, University of Washington Disc. Washington M. La Trice, Otterbein College Overview: TBA R. Michael Smith, Glenville State College

46-102 ROUNDTABLE: SUCCESS IN GRADUATE 2-9 PARLIAMENTARISM AND SCHOOL AND IN FINDING ACADEMIC PRESIDENTIALISM Room TBA, Fri 3:45 EMPLOYMENT: LESSONS FROM Chair Kaare Strom, University of California, San Diego CURRENT RESEARCH Paper "Engineered" Instability: How Prime Ministers use Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Reshuffles to Control Government Chair Success in Graduate School and in Finding Academic Christopher J. Kam, University of South Carolina Employment: Lessons from Current Research Overview: Prime Ministers use counter-cyclical reshuffles of Jacqueline DeLaat, Marietta College ministers and bureaucrats to undercut a variety of agency losses. Vicki Hesli, University of Iowa This argument is tested against data on the Canadian cabinet Barbara Burrell, Northern Illinois University and civil service from 1950-2000. Jeanette Mendez, University of Houston Paper Cabinet Portfolios vs. Coalition Governments: Who Has the Helena A. Rodrigues, University of Iowa Power in Welfare Policy Decisions? Overview: This panel will discuss results of recent national Christine S. Lipsmeyer, University of Missouri, Columbia survey on graduate retention. Overview: Little is known about the relationship between the party that holds a ministry and the public policy outcomes. 54-1 THE NEW DIMENSION OF ASIA: THE Which one influences policy more—the political party in charge POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT AND of a policy area or the coalitional government as a whole? Paper Government, Opposition, and Legislative Activity INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS IN THE Thomas J. Bräuninger, University of Konstanz 21ST CENTURY Marc Debus, University of Konstanz Room TBA, Fri 1:45 Fabian Wüst, University of Konstanz Chair The-Kuang Chang, Ball State University Overview: We develop a non-cooperative model that relates the Paper Political Instability in Nepal: Factionalism and Polarization heterogeneity of government coalitions to their potential to Among Political Parties initiate policy change. The statistical analysis uses data on over Arijit Mazumdar, Miami of Ohio University/Bangalore 15000 bills in Belgium, France, Germany, and the UK in 1982- University, India 2002. Overview: TBA Paper The Effects of Presidential Power on Government Paper The Consequences and Legality of Israel's Wall Formation in Semi-Presidentialism Jeff Barnum, Ball State University Shin-Goo Kang, University of Rochester Overview: TBA Overview: The goal of this paper is to empirically test the Paper Dokdo: The Starting Point of Invasion of Korea by Japan effects of presidential power on three different aspects - (1) type Chan Yung Jung, Ball State University/Kyunghee University, of government, (2) government membership, and (3) portfolio South Korea allocation - of government formation in semi-presidentialism. Overview: TBA Disc. Kaare Strom, University of California, San Diego Paper Democratic Transition in Mongolia Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Washington University Gerelt-Od Bayantur, University of Saskatchewan, Canada Overview: TBA 2-14 LE PETIT GARS: THE LEGACY OF JEAN Paper The Impact of Bunche on Peace in the Middle East: A 21st CHRÉTIEN Century Perspective Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Olufunmbi Elemo, Ball State University Chair Tony L. Hill, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Overview: TBA Paper Canadian Liberalism, Party Politics and the Chrétien Paper Tuva: The Political Development and International Legacy Relations during the 20th-21st Centuries Steve Patten, University of Alberta The-Kuang Chang, Ball State University Overview: This paper traces the Chrétien legacy by examining Overview: TBA key policy debates within the Canadian party system during the Disc. Olga Anatolyena Agaponova, Khabarovsk State Pedagogilcal 10 years Chrétien was prime minister and the 13 years he was University, Russia Liberal leader. Tayyab Mahmud, John Marshall Law School Paper Boy Scouts or Boys with Toys: Canadian National Defence Haroon Khan, Henderson State University under Chrétien

Christopher Ankersen, Carleton University

Overview: Chrétien had an ambivalent relationship with Friday, April 8 – 3:45 pm – 5:30 pm national defence while PM. He committed the military often, 1-107 ROUNDTABLE: INCOME INSECURITY but at the same time starved it of resources. An evaluation of AND THE FUTURE OF THE WELFARE his actions reveals that while his impact is significant, it is not unique. STATE (Co-sponsored with Political Sociology, Paper The Chrétien Effect: Assessing The Personal Electoral see 43-101) Impact of a Canadian Party Leader Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Tony L. Hill, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Chair Monica Prasad, Northwestern University

Updated 03-01-05 85 Overview: Jean Chrétien was the first Canadian leader since Overview: This paper uses an information diffusion model to Laurier to win three consecutive majorities. This paper consider factors that serve to constrain the selection and analyzes aggregate election data from before, during, and after processing of information in democratic countries. the Chrétien era to assess Chrétien’s personal impact on the Paper What does Civil Service Reform has to Do with Democratic electoral process. Transition? The Case of Post-Soviet Russia. Paper Advance Polls as a Measure of the "Late Switch" in the Anna Gregg, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale 2004 Canadian Federal Election Overview: Analyzing the dynamics of the ongoing civil service Barry Kay, Wilfrid Laurier University reform implementation in Russia, its challenges, and Overview: Many assume that poll inconsistency with the final preliminary results, I argue that major change in the results reflects poll error. This paper examines the difference administrative apparatus is an important component of any between advance polls and election day voting with aggregate democratic transition. data to consider whether many voters changed their minds in the Paper Regime Change and Survival in the Post-Communist ‘Gray interim. Zone’: The Rise of Electoral Revolutions Paper Canada and Human Security: From the Axworthy Doctrine Klara A. Sogindolska, Johns Hopkins University to Middle Power Internationalism Overview: The paper presents the theory of Electoral Prosper M. Bernard Jr., City University of New York Revolutions as a distinct model of hybrid regime Overview: This paper considers Canada's contribution to the transformation. It then demonstrates it through the instances of promotion of human security. In particular, it compares and recent regime change in Serbia (2000), Georgia (2003) and the contrasts the approaches used by Prime Ministers Jean Chrétien ‘failed’ case of Armenia (2003) and Paul Martin to ensure the security and well-being of Paper The Role of Cultural Legacies in Hungarian Healthcare individuals. Reform Disc. J. W. Justice, Texas Tech University Diana Z. Boros, University of Maryland Jane Arscrott, Athabasca University Overview: This paper views the struggling Hungarian healthcare system through a culturalist lens. It explores the 4-7 INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION AND impacts of cultural legacies of Communism on current reform DEMOCRATIC DEVELOPMENT efforts and calls for an emergence of civil society to create lasting change. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Disc. Cynthia Kaplan, University of California, Santa Barbara Chair Melissa Scheier, University of Houston

Paper Promoting Democracy? International Efforts to Build Civil Society and Strategies of Participation 6-8 PARTIES AND PARTY SYSTEMS IN LATIN Carew Boulding, University of California, San Diego AMERICA Overview: What is the effect of efforts to aid NGOs and civil Room TBA, Fri 3:45 society in developing democracies? I examine the effect of Chair Peter Siavelis, Wake Forest University international support to NGOs on the political strategies through Paper The Length of Legislative Coalitions: Explaining Variation which activist leaders mobilize citizens to participate in politics. in Latin America Paper Election Boycotts, Election Observers, and Competition: Do Marisa Kellam, University of California, Las Angeles International Observers Give Parties an Incentive to Overview: This paper provides an explanation for the shortness Boycott Elections? of multiparty coalitions in some Latin American countries. It Susan D. Hyde, University of California, San Diego shows that short-lived and shifting legislative coalitions are Emily A. Beaulieu, University of California, San Diego more likely in regionally-fragmented party systems. Overview: If international observers are a signal that the Paper An Institutional Explanation for Chile’s Unique Political election will be objectively evaluated according to international Stability in the Latin American Context standards, and are associated with free and fair elections, why Patricio D. Navia, New York University do opposition parties boycott the election even when they are Cristobal Aninat, Universidad Adolfo Ibanez present? Overview: Chile’s two-party system is the result of institutional Paper Haiti and the Democratic Regime of the Americas. setting and internal political developments. In the absence of David M. Goldberg, College of Du Page either, the outcomes would have been much less stable. Overview: Haitian crisis of 2004 and the democratic regime of Paper The Collapse of Party Systems in Comparative Perspective: the Americas. The Case of Venezuela (1998-2000) Paper Civil Society, Environmental NGOs, and Democratization in Edurne Zoco, University of Notre Dame China Overview: This paper proposes an explanatory model of party Shui-Yan Tang, University of Southern California system collapse that can be applied to explain the collapse in a Xueyong Zhan, Uniersity of Southern California comparative perspective. Second, the paper applies this Overview: This paper traces the origins, structures, and explanatory model to understand the collapse of the Venezuelan functions of three types of environmental NGOs in China. It party system. examines how various political and resource constraints have Paper Human Rights Policies in Latin America: Contrasting shaped their impact on civil society and democratization in Divergent Outcomes China. Rebecca Evans, Ursinus College Disc. Steven Majstorovic, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire Overview: This paper examines similarities and differences in the human rights policies adopted by Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil 4-20 POLITICS IN POST-COMMUNIST SOCIETY and Chile, arguing that these policies have been shaped by Room TBA, Fri 3:45 electoral calculations and party system dynamics. Chair Andrew Konitzer-Smirnof, Baylor University Disc. Peter Siavelis, Wake Forest University Paper Committee Strength in Legislative Politics of Developing Legislature: the Case of the National Parliament of Ukraine. 7-7 THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF CHINESE Irina S. Khmelko, Indiana University DEVELOPMENT Charles R. Wise, Indiana University Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Overview: The paper contributes to the literature in the fields of Chair Xun Liu, University of Buffalo, SUNY democratic institution building, legislative studies, and post Paper Bureaucratic Structure and Industrial Development in communist politics. China Paper Information Diffusion and the Structure of Political Zhou Fang, University of Michigan Sentiment in Romania Calvin J. Mouw, University of Illinois, Springfield

86 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: The paper explores how the different institutional Overview: We analyze a game-theoretic model of audience context in China influence the development pattern of two costs with bargaining to examine how public commitments can industrial sectors -- automobile and telecom manufacturing. be used to generate bargaining leverage in international crises. Paper The Rise of the Developmentalist Concept of "Culture" in Paper Perception, Signaling, and War: A Noisy Information Model China of Crisis Bargaining Jungmin Seo, University of Hawaii, Manoa Shuhei Kurizaki, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: This paper is a thorough examination of the concepts Overview: I study a model of crisis with noisy information, of 'cultural industry' and 'cultural market' in China in the age of where misperception can occur. Signals can be fully globalization. informative, thereby reducing the war probability, in the noisy Paper The Politics of Cooling China's Overheated Economy environment, but they can be only partially informative without Zhiyue Bo, Tarleton State University noise. Overview: The central-local relations in 2004 were complicated Disc. William Reed, Rice University by factional politics. Paper The Impact of E-Government on Authoritarian Rule in 10-22 POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY AND China INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Xia Lollar, University of Wisconsin, Whitewater Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Overview: TBA Chair Steven B. Redd, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee

Paper Control of Affect in International Interactions 9-4 CONTEMPORARY ISSUES IN CHINESE David R. Heise, Indiana University POLITICS Overview: Multivariate studies employing the COPDAB dataset Room TBA, Fri 3:45 support an interpretation of international interactions as being Paper A Top-Down Reform or Continuous Adaptations? China’s governed in part by participants' efforts to maintain sentiments Private Enterprise Control Policy under Jiang Zemin about national identities and about international actions. Yayoi Kato, University of Southern California Paper Learning Peace: Testing the Effects of Experience on the Overview: The paper investigated, using survey data of private Acqusition of Democratic Norms enterprises and Communist Party documents, if China’s private Gary M. Sarli, University of North Texas enterprise control policy or liberalization process in Jiang Overview: A learning theory of state behavior is tested using Zemin era (1992-2002) was top-down or bottom-up. territorial disputes data and the choice of third-party dispute Paper Subterranean Values and Juvenile Delinquency in China: resolution. Results confirm learning hypotheses, including the Evidence from Birth Cohort Surveys imitation of observed behavior and the repetition of past David Drissel, Iowa Central Community College behavior. Overview: The paper will examine birth cohort longitudinal Paper Framing and Power in the Global Aging Movement data for evidence of subterranean values in China, based on the Jennifer D. Sciubba, University of Maryland theory that elevated rates of juvenile delinquency have been Overview: The global aging advocacy movement provides the fueled from above by de facto capitalization. chance to test our theories on framing and power. This paper Paper Rights Consciousness, Economic Interests, and the 2003 looks at how the movement aligns its internal and external District-level People’s Congress Elections: Middle Class frames, and what roles material and identity-based constructs Motivations and Democratic Implications play. Xinsong Wang, Georgia State University Paper Terrorism, Negative Emotions and Sensitivity to Quality of Overview: This thesis studies the motivations of the members of Information in Foreign Policy Decision Making Chinese middle class who sought candidacies and ran Nehemia Geva, Texas A&M University campaigns in the 2003 District-level People’s Congresses Katrina N. Mosher, Texas A&M University (DPCs) elections in Shenzhen and in Beijing. Overview: An experimental study of how negative emotions Paper Who Joins the Chinese Communist Party? Changes In influence the way reliability of information is treated on route to Response to The Emergence of the Market Economy 1988 - foreign policy choices. 1995. Disc. Steven B. Redd, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Jay K. Dow, University of Missouri - Columbia Byong-Kuen Jhee, University of Missouri, Columbia 11-5 POLITICAL ECONOMY OF FOREIGN Overview: This study uses the 1988 and 1995 CHIP to trace DIRECT INVESTMENT (Co-sponsored with demographic changes in Chinese Communist Party Membership in response to market liberalization. Comparative Politics-Developing Countries, see Disc. Pierre Landry, Yale University 3-21) Room TBA, Fri 3:45 10-8 CRISIS BARGAINING AND WAR Chair Layna Mosley, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper Puzzling Through: The Impact of Regime Type on Inflows Chair William Reed, Rice University of Foreign Direct Investment Paper The Effects of Economic Interdependence on Conflict Seung-Whan Choi, University of Illinois, Chicago Bargaining Yiagadeesen Samy, Carleton University Rosa E. Sandoval-Bustos, Rice University Overview: Current scholarship provides puzzling theoretical Overview: This paper tests several implications derived from linkages and evidence wrt the impact of regime type on inflows the explanation that states do not fight because they do not want of foreign direct investment. Our cross-national, time-series to suffer costs from trade disruption. analysis over 20 years shows that democratic regimes attract Paper The Effect of Coercion on Crisis Escalation and the Onset of more FDI. Interstate War Paper Understanding Democracy, Democratic Consolidation, Kwang-Jin Kim, University of Missouri, Columbia Foreign Direct Investment, and Developing Countries Overview: This study attempts to apply existing war studies John A. Doces, University of Southern California focusing on societal and systemic approach to national coercion Overview: This paper considers how the level of democracy and study composed of coercive diplomacy, economic sanctions, democratic consolidation influence the amount of foreign direct and airpower coercion. investment for developing countries. Its principal finding is that Paper Public Commitment in Crisis Bargaining democratic consolidation increases FDI for developing Bahar Leventoglu, Stony Brook University countries. Ahmer Tarar, Texas A&M University Paper The Politics of Expropriation Nathan M. Jensen, Washington University

Updated 03-01-05 87 Overview: In this paper I empirically examine the determinants Burcu Ucaray, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign of expropriation in a large sample of developed and developing Overview: This paper focuses on the norm of CBI and the countries. relationship between the IMF as “norm promoter” and client Paper Institutional Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment and countries as “targets”. I argue that there is interdependence Capital Flight between compliance behaviors chosen by governments and CBI Irfan Nooruddin, Ohio State University levels. Overview: Increasing attention is being paid to the determinants Paper APEC, Alter-APEC, and the Building of the Asia Pacific of FDI flows to developing countries. Less has been given to the Community determinants of capital flight from these countries. This paper Vera Zambonelli, Johns Hopkins University provides a joint framework for understanding these capital Overview: This is a study of APEC through unexpected flows. processes it originated. It has indirectly provided a political Disc. Monica Arruda de Almeida, University of California, Los space to emerging alter-APEC communities which presented Angeles alternative discourses on how to define and identify the Asia Layna Mosley, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Pacific region. Paper Foreign Policy and Interstate Cooperation in Latin America 11-16 EMPIRICAL STUDIES OF TRADE Randall Parish, Texas A&M University POLICYMAKING Overview: This paper uses institutional analysis to explore why some countries in Latin America have been able to overcome Room TBA, Fri 3:45 longstanding rivalries to develop cooperative relations over the Chair Alexandra Guisinger, University of Notre Dame last twenty years, while others failed in similar efforts. Paper Protecting While Liberalizing? Understanding Non-tariff Disc. Michelle Benson, University at Buffalo, SUNY Trade Protection in Developing Nations, 1990-2003

Jeffrey Drope, University of Miami Overview: This paper models empirically the levels of non- 13-7 SECURITY AND FINANCE tariff trade policy use in developing nations by examining the Room TBA, Fri 3:45 impacts of domestic interests, nations’ relative positions in Chair Carol Atkinson, Command and Staff College, United States world trade, and institutional arrangements within and between Air Force nations. Paper The Power of the Market: How Markets Inform Expected Paper The Sinews of Interdependence: State Infrastructure and Utility of War Models Interstate Trade, 1950 – 1993. Jason Brozek, University of Wisconsin, Madison Christopher E. Housenick, Pennsylvania State University Overview: I look at the mechanism through which financial Overview: I pose the research question of how does markets anticipate interstate conflict and how a state's decision- infrastructure influence and shape interstate trade? I find that makers can use market signals to their advantage. these domestic systems play a vital role in increasing interstate Paper The Asian Financial Crisis and ASEAN's Concept of trade and interdependence. Security Paper Demand-Side and Supply-Side Theories of Trade Policy: Yongwook Ryu, Harvard University Competing, Complementary, or Interdependent? Overview: The financial crisis changed ASEAN's approach to Daniel Y. Kono, University of California, Davis regional security by enabling ASEAN to intervene in the Overview: This paper presents a cross-national, cross-sectoral domestic affairs of its member states. It reflects a change in analysis of nontariff barriers that examines simultaneously the ASEAN's organizational identity. impact of sectoral demand-side variables, national supply-side Paper Integration is a Double Edged Sword variables, and interactions between the two. Shane Smith, University of Colorado Paper Globalization versus Regionalization? A Comparative Overview: This paper argues that while transnational integration Analysis of NAFTA, EU, and ASEAN may bring peace among in-group countries it has negative Anthony S. Marcum, Purdue University effects on non-members. Melissa J. Buehler, Purdue University Paper Nuclear Restraint in North Korea: Economic Liberalization Overview: We argue that globalization and regionalization as a Tool of Nonproliferation complement each other, but an endogenous correlation between Keith R. Hagan, University of Cincinnati the trends complicates the separation of their affects. To display Overview: Studying North Korea's recent policy of economic this relationship, we compare three trade agreements on five liberalization along side its nuclear policy reveals an inversely variables. proportional shift - as liberalization increases, its maintenance Disc. Alexandra Guisinger, University of Notre Dame of nuclear weapons as a form of aggression uniformly Eunyoung Ha, University of California, Las Angeles decreases. Disc. Carol Atkinson, Command and Staff College, United States 12-5 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC Air Force

COOPERATION 14-7 DYNAMICS OF REBELLION Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Chair Michelle Benson, University at Buffalo, SUNY Chair Ron Francisco, University of Kansas Paper East Asian Regionalism: South Korea-Chile Free Trade Paper Rebel Group Dynamics: Cooperation or Competition Agreement and Its Implications Christina Furtado, University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign Youngshik Bong, Wellesley College Overview: This paper focuses on rebel groups as key actors and Heon Joo Jung, University of Pennsylvania explores conditions under which rebel groups cooperate or Overview: This research examines how external factors and compete. It presents a formal model of credibility in alliances institutional changes in domestic politics can affect the political among rebel groups and explores implications for civil war feasibility of FTA formation and its implications to regional dynamics. economic cooperation in East Asia with a case study on South Paper Reinventing Anti-Globalization: Competing with the Post Korea. 9/11 Anti-War Movement Paper From the Inside Out: The Domestic Sources of International Helma G. E. de Vries, University of Maryland, College Park Cooperation Ingrid Kvam, George Washington University Andrea Little Limbago, University of Colorado, Boulder Overview: Protest event analysis and interviews help to explain Overview: I analyze the domestic factors that contribute to a how competition with anti-war movements and institutional state’s propensity to form currency unions, PTAs and alliances. reforms spurned tactical repertoire shifts by increasingly Paper Sorting Out Two-Way Causal Relationships: Central Bank Independence and Compliance with IMF Conditions

88 Updated 03-01-05 reformist activists and thus decreased anti-globalization protest Overview: The field of marzinalization can be reviewed in mobilization. terms of many types of stratification that occur. Traditionally, Paper Predation, Production or Presents? The Money Logic of concepts of class and caste have been of central importance of War the description of corporate society and politicalization of health Jennifer J. Ziemke, University of Wisconsin, Madison care. Overview: What explains the fluctuation in violent episodes Presenter The Operational Code of Al-Qaida across time and space? I posit and test using both macro-level P. M. Picucci, University of Kansas data and field research in Angola that how insurgents obtain Overview: This paper documents the process of deriving an their revenue helps shape incentives for war or peace in a given operational code from public statements of the Al-Qaida moment. organization and places the derived code in the context of Paper Explaining Insurgent Consolidation at the Level of the previously existing operational codes of state leaders. Region Presenter Passive Reconciliation Sergio Alexis Koc-Menard, Carleton University Rafi Nets, Tel Aviv University Overview: The paper examines why insurgent organizations Overview: This paper confronts the current dominant view of succeed in consolidating their authority in some regions of a the (active) reconciliation as the exclusive process for tending country but fail to do so in others. It concludes that the main the aftermath of intractable conflicts. Passive reconciliation is determinant of rebel consolidation is police and proposed, which evolves out of the influence of time and counterinsurgent weakness. interests. Paper "All Hell Broke Loose": A Comparative Approach to Presenter We Have Cognition: Grappling with Neuroscience in American Race Riots From the Progressive Era to World Democratic Theory War II Francis VanderValk, College at Oneonta Ann V. Collins, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: This paper addresses the challenges that will be Overview: This paper examines the causes and effects of faced by the next generation of political theorists as a result of American race riots from the late nineteenth century to the early recent advances in neuroscience and cognitive theory. The 1940s. It includes both an overarching analysis of broad trends, paper focuses on the question of “tempo” in contemporary as well as an in-depth examination of particular riots. society. Disc. Ron Francisco, University of Kansas

16-10 CANDIDATE IMAGE AND SOURCE 17-10 THE ROLE OF ISSUES IN VOTE CHOICE EFFECTS Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Chair TBA Chair Michael D. Parkin, University of Minnesota Paper Candidate Agendas, Public Perceptions, and Public Paper The Elusive “C”: Causes and Consequences of Charismatic Priorities in Presidential Campaigns Political Leadership Michele P. Claibourn, University of Virginia Jennifer Merolla, Claremont Graduate University Overview: Do citizens accurately perceive the focus of Jennifer Ramos, University of California, Davis candidate issue discussions? Do the candidates’ issue emphases, Elizabeth Zechmeister, University of California, Davis as relayed in advertising, TV and newspaper coverage, increase Overview: Within the context of the upcoming US elections and the priority citizens give to the emphasized issues during the the national security crisis, we examine the determinants and campaign? effects of charismatic political leadership, including the Paper Issue Proximity and Issue Priority: How Much does Each consequence of perceived charismatic leadership for candidate Influence the Voting Decision? evaluations. Ronald B. Rapoport, College of William & Mary Paper Shield or Stinger: The Role of Party Bonds and Competence Walter J. Stone, University of California, Davis Evaluations in Political Predicaments Overview: We will examine how voters’ and activists’ issue Tereza Capelos, Leiden University priorities, and their correspondence of with those of parties and Overview: This paper presents an experimental study that candidates influence candidate choice and involvement examines the contribution of competence evaluations and party independent of issue proximity effects. affiliation as mitigators of the effects of harmful political Paper Nonseparable Preferences and Issue Voting in the 2004 US predicaments. Presidential Elections Paper Candidate Appearance, Traits, and Feeling Thermometer Dean Lacy, Ohio State University Ratings: The Roots of Likeability Overview: A panel survey of voters’ decision-making during Margaret Ann Curran, Weber State University the 2004 election reveals that many voters’ preferences on James N. Schubert, Northern Illinois University issues depend on the outcomes they expect on other issues. Overview: This paper extends our APSA 2004 paper using Such complex preferences are not captured in studies of issue- ANES feeling thermometer information to include experimental oriented voting. data to assess the impact of subjects' evaluations of appearance Paper Issue Salience, Issue Ownership and Issue-Based Vote and leadership traits to predicet to political success. Choice: Evidence From Canada Paper How Issues and Emotions Mediate a Candidate's Bonnie M. Meguid, University of Rochester Credibility: Campaign Messages in Political Advertising Eric Belanger, University of Twente Brian K. Arbour, University of Texas, Austin Overview: We explore the role of issue ownership in individual Overview: I develop a theory of campaign message, holding vote choice in the 1997 & 2000 Canadian federal elections. As that candidates disseminate campaign messages that a correction to the original model, we find that issue demonstrate their policies are based on the common, as opposed ownership’s effect on vote is conditional upon the salience of to their personal interest, by connecting their record to the issues the issue. of the campaign. Paper The Structure, Meaning, and Influence of Political Ideology Disc. Michael D. Parkin, University of Minnesota Shawn A. Treier, University of Georgia Sunshine Hillygus, Harvard University 16-301 POSTER SESSION: POLITICAL Overview: Using an item response model (IRT) to estimate a measure of individual-level ideology, we examine the structure PSYCHOLOGY and meaning of ideology and its relationship to party Room TBA, Fri 3:45 identification and the vote. Presenter Historical Perspectives of the Marginalization of Nursing in Disc. Caroline Tolbert, Kent State University the Labor Market Susan del Bene, Pace University

Updated 03-01-05 89 17-20 POLIMETRIX 2004: 1 MILLION district dominated electoral system, which has increased the INTERVIEWS electoral costs associated with the former, more opaque disclosure regime. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper Disclosure of Political Contributions and Expenditures in Chair Donald Green, Yale University the United Kingdom: New Regulation - Continuing Paper What Springfield Really Wants? Tax Preferences in 2004 Problems Doulas Rivers, Stanford University Keith D. Ewing, King's College, University of London Overview: This paper examines voters' preferences over tax Navraj Singh Ghaleigh, Edinburgh Law School policy. Overview: This paper assesses campaign finance reform Paper The Effects of Advertising in 2004 using CMAG, Nielsen, legislation introduced in the United Kingdom in 2000. It and Polimetrix Panel Data analyzes the origins, content and operation of the funding Lynn Vavreck, University of California, Las Angeles disclosure regime within the context of a system with no Overview: Polimetrix, CMAG, and Neilsen data combine to contribution limits. show effects of ads. Paper 'No Worries Mate': Disclosure Regulation in Australia's Paper Understanding Elections: Policy, Character, Party Laissez-Faire Political Finance Law Brian Gaines, Stanford University Graeme D. Orr, Griffith University Overview: I illustrate which of these factors has more bearing Overview: This paper describes Australia's laissez-faire and on vote choice. clubbish political finance system. One of the few accountability Paper The Basics of Proximity Matching on Large Datasets mechanisms built into the system, donation disclosure law has Jeffrey B. Lewis, University of California, Las Angeles had little impact beyond sporadic embarrassment. Overview: What is proximity matching? Disc. Joe Doherty, University of California, Lo+H4409s Angeles Paper Making Predictions and Understanding the Campaign:

How Close Did Polimetrix Come? Drew LInzer, University of California, Las Angeles 19-8 OPINIONS ABOUT 9/11 AND THE IRAQ Overview: Where the shifts in public opinion occured and what WAR effect they had on the outcome. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Disc. Donald Green, Yale University Chair Deborah Schildkraut, Tufts University Jake Bowers, University of Michigan Paper Saddam and September 11th: A Model for Predicting the 17-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE POLITICS Belief that Saddam Aided in the September 11th attacks OF PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES Russ Tisinger, University of Pennsylvania Overview: The paper draws on John Zaller's model of Room TBA, Fri 3:45 persuasion to help explain and predict the belief that Saddam Presenter Momentum and Presidential Primary Campaigns Hussein aided in the attacks of September 11th, 2001. Luke Keele, Nuffield College, Oxford University Paper Political Events and Priming in the Shadow of 9/11 David K. Park, Washington University Cindy D. Kam, University of California, Davis Overview: Presidential primary campaigns are, by conventional Donald R. Kinder, University of Michigan wisdom, about momentum. Despite this preoccuption with Overview: Our paper examines the impact of 9/11 in priming momentum, our understanding of it is limited. some considerations over others. We use the NES 2000-2002 Presenter The 2004 Presidential Primaries: Typical or Atypical Year panel study to examine the impact of 9/11 on foreign policy for Democrats? opinions and evaluations of the president. D. Jason Berggren, Florida International University Paper Psychological Predispositions Underlying Americans’ Overview: 2004 was more typical year than atypical for post- Support for, and Opposition to, the Second Iraq War and 1968 Democratic nomination contests. Unlike Republican the War on Terror contests, Democratic contests are comparatively more dynamic, Elizabeth A. Suhay, University of Michigan volatile, and unpredictable. Overview: Drawing on NES panel data from 2000 and 2002,

this paper seeks to understand how individual differences in 17-206 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: EXPLAINING psychological predispositions among Americans contributed to THE GENDER GAP their attitudes toward the Iraq war and the “war on terror.” Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper The Public, The President, and the War in Iraq Presenter The Gender Gap: Does it Still Exist? Gary C. Jacobson, University of California, San Diego Celia M. Stacey, Belmont University Overview: Partisan differences in support for the war in Iraq are Overview: Female voters seem to be identifying with more now greater than for any previous war for which we have data. I conservative political candidates rather than more liberal ones. explain why party divisions on the war have grown so wide and This article will examine the correlation between marriage, how this has affected the public’s response to the Bush motherhood, and a more politically conservative female presidency. population. Disc. Suzanne Parker, Purdue University Presenter The Effect of Economic Vulnerability and Autonomy Between Men and Women 19-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: PUBLIC Hye-Jin Oh, SUNY-Stony Brook OPINION AND ENERGY POLICY Overview: How men and women are different in their voting Room TBA, Fri 3:45 behavior? Utilizing multivariate estimation with a NES data Presenter Windmills and Free Rides? U.S. Public Opinion on Energy from 1956 to 2000, the result shows that economic vulnerability Policy and autonomy explain the difference between men and women. Mark Lindeman, Bard College

Overview: This paper reviews evidence from recent surveys, as 18-1 THE CAMPAIGN DISCLOSURE PROJECT: well as research dating back to the energy crisis of the 1970s, to JAPAN, AUSTRALIA AND THE UNITED delineate public thinking on energy issues related to greenhouse KINGDOM gas emissions. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Chair Daniel H. Lowenstein, University of California, Los Angeles 19-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: IDENTITY Paper Disclosure Rules: How Institutions Influence Campaign AND OPINIONS Finance Regulation Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Ross Schaap, Eurasia Group Overview: Preferences over campaign disclosure requirements in Japan were altered by the adoption of a single-member

90 Updated 03-01-05 Presenter The Dual spiral of Silence: The Intensity of In-Group Presenter Media and Politics: Comparative Analysis of the Internet, Identity in Expressing Polarized Political Issues in the Spiral Print and Broadcast Media in the Presidential Election 2004 of Silence Serajul I. Bhuiyan, Texas A & M University,Texarkana Hyun J. Yun, University of Florida Overview: This paper will present an in-depth comparative Overview: On most of political issues, two spirals of opinions analysis of the effects of the Internet, Print and Broadcast Media exist. Regardless external opinion climates, individuals adopt on the US Presidential Election in 2004. the attitudes of a valued group and people with strong in-group identity tend to speak out their opinions strongly and 22-102 ROUNDTABLE: SEX AND GENDER consistently. DIFFERENCES: OF WHAT SIGNIFICANCE? Presenter Who Prefers What? The Impact of Identity on Constituent Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Evaluations Panelist Sex and Gender Differences: Of What Significance? Robin M. Lauermann, Messiah College Leslie F. Goldstein, University of Delaware Overview: Demographic characteristics and political Steven E. Rhoads, University of Virginia predispositions of constituents affect the relevance of various Caryl Rivers, Boston University measures of responsiveness on constituent evaluations. This Overview: Rivers(Same Difference:How Gender Myths Are study assesses the impact of constituent identity in the formation Hurting Our Relationships Our Children and Our Jobs-coauthor of perceptions. with Barnett)and Rhoads(Taking Sex Differences Seriously)will

discuss their opposing views about gender, power, children and 20-3 EXPLAINING VOTER TURNOUT work/family policy. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Chair Peter W. Wielhouwer, USJFCOM 23-16 ENVIRONMENTAL RACISM Paper Class and Turnout: New data and New Evidence from Room TBA, Fri 3:45 United States Presidential Elections in the 1920 and 1930s Chair Ben Marquez, University of Wisconsin, Madison J. Kevin Corder, Western Michigan University Paper Where do you live? Environmental Inequality within the Uisoon Kwon, Western Michigan University Denver Metro Area Christina Wolbrecht, University of Notre Dame Veronica R. Crespin, University of Colorado, Boulder Overview: Using a combination of new data and methods, we Overview: I used quantitative methods and spatial mapping to estimate turnout of lower and upper class Americans in the analyze the Denver metro area which is missing from current 1920s and 30s. We report how the gap between lower and research. upper class turnout varies over time and compares to current Paper Organizing the Urban Poor for Environmental Justice in elections. Multi-ethnic Southern California Paper On the Government Size and Voter' Turnout Armando Xavier Mejia, University of Wisconsin, Madison Tugba Guvenc, University of Rochester Overview: This paper examines the politics of three successful Overview: This paper explores the endogenous relationship environmental justice advocacy organizations in poor between government size, income distribution and voter turnout communities in Southern California. Case studies provide modifying the Meltzer-Richard model by introducing a cost of Lessons for other ethnically-diverse global city-regions. voting. Paper Housing and Hazards: A Look at Exposure in Phoenix, AZ Paper Age, Education, and Voter Turnout: An Analysis of Youth Marilyn Dantico, Arizona State University Turnout and Organizational Efforts to Increase It Manuel Avalos, Arizona State University - West Sarah V. Sponaugle, University of Arizona Alvin Mushkatel, Arizona State University - East Overview: This paper analyses youth voter participation by Overview: This paper integrates census track data with data on educational attainment as well as many of the current efforts to environmental hazards to examine the possibility of exposure increase it. It demonstrates that many of the organizational resulting from segregated housing patterns. efforts to increase youth participation are aimed at the wrong Disc. Ben Marquez, University of Wisconsin, Madison groups.

Disc. Peter W. Wielhouwer, USJFCOM 24-6 POLITICAL THEORY AND 21-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: LOCAL INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS COVERAGE OF LOCAL CAMPAIGNS Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Chair David K. Moore, University of Northern Iowa Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper The Function of Necessity in Political Rhetoric: A Presenter Invisible Campaigns: How Capital City Newspapers Comparison of 5th Century Athens and the Contemporary Covered Elections for Lieutnenat Governor in 2002 United States Eric Freedman, Michigan State University Dan Skinner, CUNY Graduate Center Daniel Thai, Michigan State University Overview: In this paper I look at two different frames of Overview: This study uses content analysis and interviews to imperial rhetoric in 5th century Athens and the contemporary examine how capital city daily newspapers in seven states United States. I argue that the way in which empire is reported on campaigns for lieutenant governor. conceptualized hinges on the how the concept of necessity is

used and understood. 21-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLITICAL Paper Locke on the Moral Basis of International Relations COMMUNICATION AND THE Lee A. Ward, University of Regina POLICYMAKING PROCESS Overview: Locke's understanding of the moral basis of Room TBA, Fri 3:45 international relations rests on the fundamental tension between Presenter Political Communication and the Policymaking Process: An two potentially conflicting ideas: the law of nature and the Integrative Model principle of national sovereignty. Mark A. Smith, University of Washington Paper Constitutional Theory of Montesquieu: Applications to Overview: Drawing insights from both social science and Current Problems of Democratization humanistic approaches, this paper offers a model of the Peter M. Levine, National-Louis University policymaking process that highlights the role of communication. Overview: This paper focuses on establishing democracy in societies with few democratic traditions from the perspective of 21-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: MEDIA Montesquieu’s constitutional theory. Moderate government is justifiable as an intermediate step if democracy is initially COVERAGE OF CAMPAIGN 2004 unattainable. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper Pluralism and International Moral Norms

Updated 03-01-05 91 Carmen Pavel, Brown University Disc. Eric Macgilvray, University of Wisconsin, Madison Overview: The normative grip of the liberal state seems to be Melissa A. Schwartzberg, George Washington University slowly fading in the face of institutional pluralism. Does institutional pluralism make room for substantive cosmopolitan 27-5 AGENCY PROBLEMS moral norms, or rather a modus vivendi? Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Disc. Mark S. Kremer, Kennesaw State University Chair David Epstein, Columbia University Paper Oversight, Delegation, and the Political Importance of 25-7 CRITIQUE, SOCIAL MOVEMENT, AND Administrative Law REFORM Sean Gailmard, Northwestern University Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Jeff Milyo, University of Missouri Chair Stephen Chilton, University of Minnesota, Duluth Overview: We integrate several legislative tools to influence Paper The Liberal Socialism of Jean Jaurès bureaucratic policy making into one model, and analyze Geoffrey Kurtz, Rutgers University strategic use of them. We empirically test several key results, Overview: Jean Jaurès’s (1859-1914) synthesis of themes from and discuss their implications for some crucial administrative the liberal and socialist traditions sheds light on contemporary law cases. debates about radical reform, internationalism, and the Paper Dictators and Their Viziers: Agency Problems in relationship between class and new social movement politics. Dictatorships Paper The Public Role of Political Inquiry Konstantin Sonin, Institute for Advanced Study Maurice J. Meilleur, University of Illinois, Urbana- George Egorov, New Economic School/CEFIR Champaign Overview: Dictators have to trade-off the loyalty and Overview: John Dewey’s understanding of “problem-driven” competence of their close subordinates. Unable to commit to a inquiry suggests a way past the debates between traditional and mild punishment for a traitor, an insecure dictator cannot “engaged” views of political science towards a more provide a subordinate with an optimal incentives structure. constructive view of the public role of political inquiry. Paper The Institutional Foundations of Delegation: Legislative Paper Communication vs. Strategy?: Habermas and the Social Monitoring Regimes in Weak and Strong Party Systems Dynamics of Political Action Rene Lindstaedt, Washington University Keith R. Haysom, New School for Social Research Overview: Do electoral/party systems determine the monitoring Overview: A critical inquiry into Habermas' understanding of regime a legislature will put in place to control the bureaucracy? the dynamics of political action within liberal democracies, with My model shows that legislatures in strong-party systems can emphasis on the role played by social movements in the public device more efficient monitoring than those in weak party sphere, and the constitutive role of strategy therein. systems. Paper Norm and Utopia Revisited. Discourse Ethics as an Paper Principal-Agent Negotiations with Teams of Agents Instrument of Critique? Andrew B. Whitford, University of Georgia Luis J. Romero Leon, New School for Social Research LeAnne Ochs, University of Kansas Overview: I explore the theory of morality presented by Jürgen Overview: We offer an experiment where a principal negotiates Habermas as contested by Wellmer, Taylor, Bernstein and with two agents over a contract’s terms, the agents Benhabib, and posit that the deliberative model of moral independently choose an effort level, and the principal and the judgementis a powerful instrument for immanent social critique. two agents are paid on the basis of the asset value and the Disc. Stephen Chilton, University of Minnesota, Duluth contract. Paper Side-Effects of Campaign Finance Reform 26-2 REPRESENTATION AND LIBERALISM Matthias Dahm, Northwestern University Overview: Considerable progress has been made in ABROAD understanding the lobbying instruments political pressure and Room TBA, Fri 3:45 informational lobbying separately. However, this literature falls Chair Eric Macgilvray, University of Wisconsin, Madison short of integrating both activities and explaining the choice of Paper Liberalism’s Failure: The Origins of Political Homelessness interest groups. D. Christopher Brooks, Saint Olaf College Disc. David Epstein, Columbia University Overview: This paper explores the origins of the modern Alan Wiseman, Ohio State University problem of political homelessness and identifies the source in Liberalism's traditional emphasis on property and place as a 29-4 DIMINISHING DEMOCRACY IN GROUPS prerequisitive for citizenship. Paper Transnational Representation: Extending Participation in AND PARTIES Cross-border Decision Making Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Carol C. Gould, George Mason University Chair Theda Skocpol, Harvard University Overview: This paper addresses the global democratic deficit by Paper Voting Alone: Do Weak Parties Diminish Civic analyzing a range of proposals for introducing (or increasing) Engagement? democratic representation within the institutions of global Zachary C. Courser, University of Virginia governance as well as in new cross-border communities at the Overview: A comparative survey of states with weak and strong local level. party systems, exploring the linkage between party organization Paper Being Liberal Abroad: An Elaboration and Defense of and civic engagement. Rawls's Argument for Toleration Paper Diminished Democracy? Comparing Opportunities for Margaret Jenkins, McGill University Participation in Women’s Voluntary Associations Overview: Does being liberal abroad require toleration or Maryann Barakso, American University rejection of nonliberal societies? This paper defends Rawls's Overview: Opportunities for membership representation and argument for toleration, countering claims by Pogge and others participation in women’s groups are compared by analyzing the that Rawls's international and domestic theories of justice are financial, electoral and policymaking components of ethnic, inconsistent. partisan and multi-issue women’s rights organizations (n=28). Paper Speaking for the Homeland: The Legitimacy of Diaspora Paper Constituency Representatives or Strategic Entrepreneurs? Involvement in Homeland Politics Cooperation, Competition and Representation in Interest Ashwini Vasanthakumar, University of Toronto Group Sectors Overview: This paper questions the legitimacy of diaspora Matt Grossmann, University of California, Berkeley involvement in homeland politics by scrutinising its claims of Jill Hammerbeck, University of California, Berkeley representation. I examine theories of political representation, Overview: I analyze the activities of political organizations that identify a core criteria, and apply these to diasporas. speak on behalf of large social groups. Using data on their

92 Updated 03-01-05 prominence and tactics, I show that they act as sectors B. Dan Wood, Texas A&M University responsive to their constituencies rather than independent Overview: I address the question posed in the title using time strategic leaders. series data on the relative optimism/pessimism of presidential Paper Professionalized Interest Groups: Can They be Justified? remarks about the economy through time. Alexandra E. Hoerl, Rutgers University Disc. Sara Margaret Gubala, Michigan State University Overview: Working from Skocpol’s (2003) conclusions about Brandon J. Rottinghaus, University of Idaho interest group professionalization I examine the inequalities in interest group participation from the standpoint of political 31-5 REPRESENTATION: VOTES, BEHAVIOR, theory and conclude that liberalism does not provide a satisfying AND POLICY OUTCOMES solution. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Disc. Michael T. Heaney, Yale University Chair L. Marvin Overby, University of Missouri, Columbia

Paper Explaining Sponsorship and Cosponsorship Behavior in the 29-7 GROUPS AND PARTIES IN CAMPAIGN U.S. House, 1974 to 2002 FINANCE Kelly Burke, Louisiana State University Room TBA, Fri 3:45 James C. Garand, Louisiana State University Chair Clive S. Thomas, University of Alaska, Juneau Overview: In this paper we use data for U.S. House members Paper The Puzzy of Soft Money: Replacement or Access Strategy? from 1974 to 2002 to test a series of models of sponsorship and Michael M. Franz, University of Wisconsin, Madison cosponsorship behavior. Overview: This paper investigates the party soft money Paper Does Descriptive Representation Lead to Equal contribution strategies of organized interests between 1992 and Representation? 2002, before the changes imposed by McCain-Feingold. John Griffin, University of Notre Dame Paper The Effects of Electoral Context and Legal Restrictions on Brian Newman, TBA Financial Contributions by Individuals to Candidates, Overview: Does the face of government bias against the Parties and PACs interests of racial minorities and women? We examine the Robert C. Lowry, Iowa State University relative representation of minorities compared to whites, and Overview: I analyze FEC data to determine whether and how women compared to men, when these groups are descriptively hard money contributions raised by candidates, parties and represented. PACs from individuals depend on electoral circumstances in Paper Why do Legislators Take Positions Contrary to their districts where donors live, and federal and state laws that limit Constituents? An Examination of Homeland Security and contributions. Domestic Policy and Legislators’ Conflicting Positions Paper Do 527's Add Up to a Party? Thinking About the Christian R. Grose, Lawrence University "Shadows" of Politics Keesha M. Middlemass, University of Kansas Richard M. Skinner, Bowdoin College Overview: Did legislators in the 107th Congress take positions Overview: Examination of the so-called "527" organizations on homeland security in order to diverge from their through the perspective of theories of political parties and constituents’ preferences on domestic policy? We present interest groups comparable estimates of MC and constituency ideal points in Paper Ask and then Ask Again: Party Finance Laws and the Rise the 107th. of Fundraising in Canada and the United States Paper Constituency Interests and Congressional Behavior: Whose Claire M. Smith, University of Notre Dame Interests are Represented? Overview: How do changes in finance laws impact development Kris Miler, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign of fundraising? This paper examines how party finance laws, Overview: This paper examines congressional representation by such as contribution limits, have encouraged fundraising on the focusing on which constituencies in a district are represented. I national and sub-national level in Canada and the U.S. from offer an empirical analysis and find that legislators are more 1980 to 2003. likely to act on behalf of certain subconstituencies than others. Disc. Chapman Rackaway, Fort Hays State University Disc. L. Marvin Overby, University of Missouri, Columbia Jennifer N. Victor, University of Pittsburgh 30-7 PRESIDENTIAL RHETORIC Room TBA, Fri 3:45 31-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Chair Sara Margaret Gubala, Michigan State University CONGRESSIONAL HEARINGS AND MEDIA Paper What Citizens Learn from Presidential State of the Union ATTENTION Addresses Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Jason Barabas, Harvard University Presenter Media Attention to Issues, Legislative Hearings, and Overview: Citizens learn important facts from State of the Legislative Outcomes Union addresses, but increases in knowledge are conditional Holly Brasher, University of Alabama, Birmingham upon levels of individual attention and media coverage devoted Overview: This paper addresses questions about sources of to the speeches. influence on the issues considered in congressional hearings, the Paper Presidential Rhetoric and Leaderhip Following American relative influence of various sources of agenda setting, and the Tragedies in Space consequences of these sources of influence for the legislative Gary L. Gregg, University of Louisville process. Randall Adkins, University of Nebraska, Omaha Presenter We Are Like You: The Rhetoric and Treatment of Overview: How have American presidents performed their Celebrities in Congressional Hearings leadership role as "Healer" following tragedies that have Harry Neil Strine IV, Bloomsburg University befallen the American space program? How did their actions Overview: In a mostly exploratory and descriptive study, I and words affected their standings in the polls and their compare the rhetorical strategies and treatment of celebrities subsequent policy proposals? and non-celebrities by members of Congress in committee Paper "The Blood of the Lamb"-Religious Rhetoric in Presidential hearings. State of the Union Messages

Ted Ritter, University of Oklahoma

Overview: The paper examines the use of subtle and overt

religious rhetoric, symbolism and metaphors by Presidents in

the State of the Union address.

Paper How Does Presidential Rhetoric on the Economy Affect Presidential Approval?

Updated 03-01-05 93 31-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: HISTORY OF builds rules into a statute to mobilize private enforcement CONGRESSIONAL INSTITUTIONS litigation. Paper Influencing Policy? The Role of the Supreme Court in Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Shaping the Congressional Agenda Presenter Frozen at 435: The Size of the United States House of Lara A. Grusczynski, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Representatives and the Impact upon Legislative Overview: This paper examines the influence of Supreme Court Representation. attention on the congressional agenda. Results suggest that Brian Frederick, Northern Illinois University Supreme Court attention may play an important role in Overview: This paper seeks to trace the institutional history of influencing the congressional agenda. the size of the US House and develop a series of measures to Paper Judicial Review in the Rehnquist and Burger Courts: A estimate the effects upon legislative representation of capping Comparative Analysis the number of seats apportioned amongst the states at 435. Stefanie A. Lindquist, Vanderbilt University Presenter Congress and the Quest for Stability: A Perspective on the Rorie S. Solberg, Oregon State University First 70 Years of the American Experiment Overview: This paper presents a model of decisions by the Jason S. Kassel, University of Florida United States Supreme Court involving challenges to the Overview: In this paper, I present a perspective that accounts for constitutionality of federal, state and local legislation in the the internal coherence of the legislative branch during the Rehnquist and Burger Courts. antebellum period (1789-1865). Paper Supreme Court Counter-Majoritarianism Revisited: Cases

Invalidating State Laws (1946-2003) 32-3 FINANCING CONGRESSIONAL Thomas A. Schmeling, Rhode Island College CAMPAIGNS Overview: Examining cases invalidating state laws shows the Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Court rarely overturns laws if similar laws exist in a majority of Chair Sanford Gordon, New York University states. Cases where the Court invalidates a “majority position” Paper Candidate Divergence and Campaign Contributions law are most likely to lead to adverse congressional responses. Daniel E. Bergan, University of Notre Dame Disc. Tobias T. Gibson, Washington University in St. Louis Overview: In this paper I test the theory that campaign Thomas G. Hansford, University of South Carolina contributions lead to candidate divergence using survey data of individual campaign contributors and campaign finance data. 33-20 POLICY MAKING IN THE COURTS Paper Investing in Influence: Exploring the Transfer of Campaign Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Funds between Members of the House of Representatives Chair Joseph L. Smith, University of Alabama Shelley L. Conroy, Cornell University Paper Models of Judicial Behavior and the Courts’ Impact on Sophia C. Jordan, Cornell University Environmental Policies Overview: Candidates are depicted as vote- and money- Joice Y. Chang, Indiana University maximizers.Yet there is empirical evidence that some Overview: This paper examines whether or not courts can be representatives funnel their own campaign funds to other considered policymakers in the environmental arena. It legislators in the House.This paper explores under what discusses the two predominant models of judicial behavior and circumstances such transactions occur. how they are applicable to environmental policies in the United Paper Winning Friends and Influencing People: Why the Pattern States. of Campaign Contributions Changes During Legislative Paper Deciding to Reach the Merits: An Examination of Supreme Careers Court and Circuit Court Judicial Power Cases Stacy B. Gordon, University of Nevada, Reno Erin B. Kaheny, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Overview: I characterize campaign contributions as gifts rather Overview: In this paper, I investigate the Supreme Court’s than “legal bribes,” lending a longer-term perspective to the activity with respect to judicial power cases and examine the contributions/behavior relationship. Using the gift analogy extent to which these trends are a function of the access patterns provides new insight to various aspects of contributions and ideology of the circuit courts. behavior. Paper Economic Conditions and Death Penalty Outcomes Paper A Insurance Model of Campaign Finance Isaac Unah, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Ken Kollman, University of Michigan Overview: This paper examines American death row statistics Sang-Jung Han, University of Michigan (from 1973 to 2000)to analyze the role of economic conditions Overview: Using a new data set on industry-level campaign on death penalty outcomes. contributions Paper The Judicial Response to Joint Custody Statutes: Do Disc. Anthony Gierzynski, University of Vermont Twenty Years Matter? Gwyneth I. Williams, Webster University 33-9 THE COURTS AND THE SEPARATION OF Overview: This paper compares the current attitudes of family POWERS (I) court judges toward joint custody of children following divorce Room TBA, Fri 3:45 with the responses of judges in the early 1980s, when joint Chair Tobias T. Gibson, Washington University in St. Louis custody statutes were first enacted. Paper And Take Their Robes Too? Modeling Congressional Paper Laws of the Jungle and Sea: The Legal Struggle of Zoos and Court-Stripping Attempts Aquariums in the United States Lauren C. Bell, Randolph-Macon College Jesse C. Donahue, Saginaw Valley State University Kevin M. Scott, Texas Tech University Erik K. Trump, Saginaw Valley State University Overview: In this paper, we collect and analyze individual-level Overview: This is a thorough study of court cases involving data on a variety of congressional court-curbing measures, and zoos and aquariums in the United States.. the members who championed them, over the last several Disc. Joseph L. Smith, University of Alabama decades, in order to assess members’ motivations. Paper Congressional Control of Private Litigation to Achieve 34-301 POSTER SESSION: PUBLIC LAW Regulatory Enforcement: The Case of the Civil Rights Act Room TBA, Fri 3:45 of 1991 Presenter Caste Bias and Bench Assignemnts on the Indian Supreme Sean Farhang, University of California, Berkeley Court Overview: Examining the legislative history of the Civil Rights Shyam K. Sriram, Georgia State University Act of 1991, and a statistical model of its effects on Overview: This paper attempts to show the effect of caste on the employment discrimination litigation, I show how Congress Chief Justice's bench assignments over five decades with a random sample of cases on the Indian Supreme Court.

94 Updated 03-01-05 35-11 STATE ENVIRONMENTAL AND Overview: This paper reports the results of twenty years of REGULATORY POLICY research/consulting in over 50 suburban municipal governments regarding how city councils make decisions. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper The Professionalization of Town Governments Chair Colin Provost, Oxford University Terri Johnson, University of Wisconsin, Green Bay Paper Unintended Consequences: Systems of Politics, Politics of Overview: Developing a modified theory of professionalization, Systems, and Atlanta's Air Quality the determinants of local legislative professionalization in town George W. Meals, Georgia State University governments is attempted using data from surveys, interviews, Overview: Systems theory has had a lackluster impact on audited financial reports, and the Census. Political Science. Previous failed attempts started at the wrong Disc. Timothy B. Krebs, University of New Mexico end of the problem. This paper addresses those shortcommings.

Paper Shall We Gather at the River? Assessing the American Heritage Rivers Initiative 36-301 POSTER SESSION: URBAN AND LOCAL Theodore J. Eismeier, Hamilton College POLITICS Overview: AHRI seeks to create partnerships among Room TBA, Fri 3:45 governments and NGOs This paper examines the politics Presenter Independent Candidatures in the Spanish Local Elections: A surrounding AHRI assesses its effects on designated rivers, Case Study About Independent Groups in the Local with special attention to the case of the Hudson River. Elections in the Canaries. Paper Enforcing the Clean Water Act: State Bureaucratic Jose A. Garcia-Rojas, Universidad de La Laguna Behavior Under Differing Institutional Rules: Variance Overview: The process is characterised by favouring the party Analysis candidatures.In local elections conditions are given for the Larry B. Handlin, Washington University running of independent candidatures. Overview: Using variance analysis, I attempt to determine what bureaucratic designs lead to greater variance building on an 37-6 KNOWLEDGE, INNOVATION, AND PUBLIC earlier paper that determines the general causal mechanisms POLICY affecting state bureaucratic behavior. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper Public Construction Contracting Choosing the Right Project Chair Michael J. Licari, University of Northern Iowa Delivery Paper A Model of Bureaucratic Policy Innovation, or Why Pure Valerie R. Riecke, Georgia Institute of Technology Food and Drug Regulation Is Like Strategic Employment Overview: Procurement – The Impact of Cultural Differences Doctrine and Systems on Construction Performance. Wayne A. Thornton, Harvard University Paper Rethinking Deregulation in the Transitional Era: Case Overview: I propose a model of bureaucratic policy innovation. Studies of American Utilities Industry My paper first develops the model, and then demonstrates its Junseok Kim, Dongguk University, Korea plausibility by explaining historical cases from two disparate Overview: rethinking regulatory reforms, failure, and their areas of U. S. policy— agriculture and national defense. effects through the cases of electricity deregulation in Montana Paper The Diffusion of Local Anti-Smoking Policies and of telecom deregulation in american states. Craig Volden, Ohio State University Paper Unintended Consequences: Systems of Politics, Politics of Charles R. Shipan, University of Iowa Systems, and Atlanta's Air Quality Overview: We explore policy diffusion in the area of anti- George W. Meals, Georgia State University smoking restrictions across all localities in the United States Overview: Systems theory has had a lackluster impact on with populations above 50,000. Political Science. Previous failed attempts started at the wrong Paper The Politics of Innovation: Fostering New Approaches to end of the problem. This paper addresses those shortcommings. Small Community Air Service

Scott E. Tarry, University of Nebraska, Omaha 36-1 ISSUES IN LOCAL GOVERNANCE Overview: The USDOT’s Small Community Air Service Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Development Grant program, designed to foster innovative Chair Terry Nichols Clark, University of Chicago strategies to improve small community air service, has produced Paper Career Patterns, Motivations and Goals of Elected County little innovation. Political influences have limited the program’s Executives potential impact. Jennifer M. Jensen, University at Albany, SUNY Paper The Role of Knowledge in the Policy Transfer Process Kristofer Frederick, University at Albany, SUNY David P. Dolowitz, University of Liverpool Overview: This paper analyzes the career backgrounds, job Overview: While there has been much discussion of policy satisfaction levels, career motivations and goals of elected transfer in recent years little of this literature has looked into the county executives. role knowledge actually plays in this process. This paper hopes Paper The Chanaging Role of City Government: Are There any to begin addressing some of these issues. Differences between Mayor-Council Government and City- Paper Community Decision-Making and Policy Innovation Manager Government? Michele Hoyman, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Eunro Lee, TBA Jenn Weaver, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overview: The studies using the type of city government as a Audrey Sprung, University of North Carolina - Chapel Hill dummy variable lead to the wrong conclusion. Mayor-Council Overview: This paper address how the opinions and decision and Council-Manager governments are consistently government calculi of leaders impact a community's decision to pursue a efficiency and political supports simultaneously. policy innovation, in this case an economic development Paper Who Governs Suburbia? strategy centered around the siting of a state prison. Robert Rodgers, Princeton University Disc. Jeffery C. Talbert, University of Kentucky Overview: This paper examines the evolution of community Donald P. Haider-Markel, University of Kansas power structures in six municipalities located on the urban fringe as they were suburbanized over the past twenty-five years 38-2 CROSS-NATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON in order to extend the community power literature to non-urban places. SOCIAL POLICY Paper Suburan City Councils and Small Group Behavior: Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Rethinking the Design of Political Decision-Making Chair Gerard W. Boychuk, University of Waterloo Groupsin a Democratic System Paper Health Sector Reform in Turkey: Old Policies New Politics Gerald T. Gabris, Northern Illinois University Tuba I. Agartan, Binghamton University Trenton J. Davis, Northern Illiois University

Updated 03-01-05 95 Overview: This paper assesses both the domestic and John H. Bing, Heidelberg College international actors that have impacted on the changes in the Overview: Policy choices of Park and Recreation Departments Turkish health care reforms. More particularly, EU and the can provide settings for social capital development. Park and international donors play different roles in policy transfer at Recreation Advisory Boards can facilitate these choices by particular stages. broadening the base of park and recreation advocacy within the Paper Controlling the Welfare Mix: Historical Review on the community. Changing Contour of the State-Voluntary Relations in the Paper Reflections on Doing Phronetc Social Science: A Case Study Korean Welfare Context Corey S. Shdaimah, Bryn Mawr College Taekyoon Kim, Johns Hopkins University Roland Stahl, Bryn Mawr College Overview: The explosive growth and entailing political powers Overview: Engaged social scientists need not abdicate their of civic organizations in the Korean society since the 1987 professional roles. The authors use a multi-method study democratization movement influenced the changes of the conducted with housing advocates as a case study to examine government’s welfare strategy: from ‘naked regulator’ to dilemmas arising from the praxis model of social science. ‘hidden regulator’. Disc. Melanie J. Blumberg, California University of Pennsylvania Paper Family Policies and the Fertility Crisis in Conservative Countries: A Comparison of Italy, Spain, and Japan. 43-3 SOCIAL MOVEMENTS IN SOUTH AFRICA Priscilla A. Lambert, Western Michigan University (Co-sponsored with African Politics, see 8-6) Merike Blofield, Grand Valley State University Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Overview: This paper examines political explanations for Chair Michelle Kuenzi, University of Nevada different family policy outcomes in three conservative welfare Paper Relocating Labor: Movement Maturity and Social Change regimes: Italy, Japan, and Spain. in South Africa Paper Voluntary Work and the Welfare State Crisis: Have Liberal Robyn K. Autry, University of Wisconsin, Madison Virtues been Resuscitated? Overview: This research focuses on the South African labor Tobias Schulz, University of St.Gallen movement during a period of political transition. The changing Ursula Häfliger, University of St.Gallen social landscape of the 1990s meant the future of the labor as a Overview: Is there is a substitutive relationship between driving political force for national restructuring was uncertain. voluntary work and social welfare spending? Our test builds on Paper Explaining Protest Potential in South Africa: An Analysis of cross-national and subnational data (Switzerland) and considers Competing Approaches additional institutional- and socio-economic factors (femal Young C. Kim, University of Evansville employment). Overview: This study attempts to explain the determinants of Disc. Gerard W. Boychuk, University of Waterloo unconventional forms of political participation (peaceful Dana L. Brown, Massachuettes Institute of Technology political protest) in South Africa in the 1980s and 1990s using

data set from the first, second, and third World Values Surveys. 40-7 INDIVIDUALITY IN INSTITUTIONAL Paper From Club to Movement: The African National Congress, SETTINGS 1912-1949 Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Ambrous Jacobs, Bennett College for Women Chair Michael T. Gauger, Independent Scholar Overview: This paper explores and attempts to explain Paper Asia First and American Conservatism: The Career of Sen. relationships between socio-economic change, social William F. Knowland, 1945-1958 mobilization, political participation, and ANC membership from Joyce Mao, University of California, Berkeley 1912 to 1949. Overview: Utilizing the US Senate career of William F. Disc. Michelle Kuenzi, University of Nevada Knowland (R- CA) as a lens, this paper examines the post- WWII American Right and its relationship to Asia within the 44-301 POSTER SESSION: POLITICS AND spheres of Republican Party ideology, foreign policy, and RELIGION electoral strategy. Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Paper Donald O. Peterson, Eugene McCarthy, and New Politics Presenter Religion & Politics in India Liberalism in Wisconsin Sreeranjani S. R. Khasunaveesu, Andhra University Jeffrey H. Bloodworth, Ohio University Overview: Indian politics has been closely associated with Overview: Donald Peterson’s work as a party activist in religion. The thrust of the present paper is to study the relation Wisconsin, typifies how New Politics liberals emerged and between Indian politics and religion during the pre and post gained dominance within the Democratic Party. His activism independent India. and political career reveals the mode and consequence of New Presenter Tracing Religious Norms to Institutional Design: Christian Politics liberalism. Political Thought and National Parliamentary Scrutiny of Paper Ronald Reagan's Journey: Democrat to Republican European Union Affairs Edward M. Yager, Western Kentucky University Ivy Orr Hamerly, University of California, San Diego Overview: The paper examines former President Reagan's Overview: This paper traces the progression from religions earlier political development from New Deal Democrat to norms to institutional design in European national parliaments. conservative Republican and argues that this transforming Ideas from the Protestant Reformation shape attitudes toward experience in Reagan's life is important to understanding his supranational organizations, which affect parliamentary presidency. responses to the EU. Paper Death from the Air

Martin Gruberg, University of Wisconsin Overview: The author looks at a number of aviation deaths of 46-106 ROUNDTABLE: HONORING PIPPA political leaders to see what consequences there were for the NORRIS, WINNER OF THE WOMEN'S political process. CAUCUS OUTSTANDING PROFESSIONAL Disc. Michael T. Gauger, Independent Scholar ACHIEVEMENT AWARD

Room TBA, Fri 3:45 41-2 CREATING GOOD POLICY: THE Panelist Mdwest Women's Caucus: Outstanding Professional PRACTICE OF POLICY ANALYSIS Achievement Award Room TBA, Fri 3:45 Rosalee A. Clawson, Purdue University Chair Richard Helldobler, California University of Pennsylvania Pippa Norris, Harvard University Paper Role of Park and Recreation Advisory Boards in Developing Susan Carroll, Rutgers University Social Capital in Mid-Size Midwest Communities. Doris Graber, University of Illinois, Chicago

96 Updated 03-01-05 Ronald Inglehart, University of Michigan Richard L. Fox, Union College Marion Just, Wellesley College Susan A. MacManus, University of South Florida Jane Mansbridge, Harvard University Kira Sanbonmatsu, Ohio State University Overview: The panel is organized in honor of the recipient of Wendy Smooth, Ohio State University the Outstanding Professional Achievement Award from the Overview: Panelists will share their observations about the Midwest Women's Caucus. short- and long-term implications of the 2004 elections for women's political participation and influence. 47-2 ARISTOTLE'S POLITICAL THOUGHT Room TBA, Fri 3:45 2-4 INSTITUTIONS: FORMAL MODELS AND Chair Thornton C. Lockwood, Sacred Heart University EMPIRICAL IMPLICATIONS Paper Political Faction and the Passions in Aristotle: Rhetoric Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Book II’s Significance for Politics Book V. Chair Roger B. Myerson, University of Chicago Gregory B. Sadler, Ball State University Paper The Argentine Federal Intervention: Explaining its Use and Overview: Aristotle's discussions of the passions in Book II of Effect the Rhetoric inform his discussion of stasis in Book V of the Jenna Bednar, University of Michigan Politics Gisela Sin, University of Michigan Paper Political Rhetoric in Ancient Greece and Beyond: An Overview: Argentine federal interventions are severe Application of Aristotle’s Proofs of Persuasion to Political disruptions of the normal democratic process. With a strategic Speech model and original data we explore the limits of the intervention Marlene K. Sokolon, West Texas A & M University as an instrument to restrain provincial action within the Overview: This paper applies Aristotle’s analysis to significant federation. speeches in democratic politics and evaluates the validity of his Paper Institutional Determinants of Bureaucratic Lobbying: An position that rhetoric is not simply morally irresponsible, but Empirical Evaluation necessary in behalf of just and moral political action. Feldmann Sven, Northwestern University Paper Aristotle on the Household as the Pattern for Regimes Overview: The paper tests a formal model of bureaucratic Sean Mattie, Ave Maria College lobbying by empirically analyzing the effectiveness of interest Overview: Rule in household compared to political systems. group lobbying from a comparative institutional perspective. Disc. Gregory B. Smith, Trinity College Paper The Political Power of Business: Environmental Regime Thornton C. Lockwood, Sacred Heart University Stringency and Information Asymmetry in Thirty-five Capitalist Democracies 50-2 PANEL: MODELS AND EXPERIMENTS OF Patrick Bernhagen, University of Aberdeen INSTITUTIONAL POLITICS Overview: I develop and test a simultaneous equation model of Room TBA, Fri 3:45 corporate lobbying in democratic capitalism. Using data on 35 Chair Robert J. Franzese, University of Michigan countries, my results show that business’ informational and Paper The Allocation of the US Federal Budget to the States: structural privileges jointly affect the early stages of policy Evidence on the Power of the Purse formation. Valentino Larcinese, London School of Economics and Paper Democratic Institutions and Political Corruption: What are Political Science the Strongest Constraints on Politicians' Graft? Leonzio Rizzo, University of Ferrara Jana Kunicova, California Institute of Technology Cecilia Testa, Royal Holloway College London Overview: This paper analyzes, both theoretically and Overview: This paper provides new evidence on the empirically, the effect of democratic institutions on corruption. determinants of the allocation of the US federal budget to the Disc. Jonathan Rodden, Massachuettes Institute of Technology states. We find that the president has a strong influence, while David Epstein, Columbia University support for theories that give prominence to the Congress is rather weak. 3-8 IMPACT OF COLONIALISM: Paper A Location Game with Public Goods: Coalition Formation COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVES in a Tiebout Model Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Allen B. Brierly, University of Northern Iowa Chair Matthew R. Cleary, Princeton & Syracuse University Overview: The project involves an empirical test of models with Paper Politics, Economics, Society, and Subservience: How to variables controlled in an experimental setting. The design tests Democratize a Country the Tiebout model of local public good provision through voting Ezequiel A. Barragan, California State University, Northridge and location decisions. Overview: Modern State Development as a result of, and Paper Reconciliation after Communism? Analyzing New Survey through, current economic global strucutres by completing an Data to Uncover the Mechanism of Transitional Justice anaylsis of political theory to establisht he best alternative for Procedures the uneven power structure. Monika Nalepa, Columbia University Paper Curse or Blessing? The Impact of British Colonial Rule on Overview: TBA Democracy in Africa and the Caribbean. Disc. Robert J. Franzese, University of Michigan Kunle P. Owolabi, University of Notre Dame Overview: This essay reopens the unresolved debate on the impact of British colonial rule on democratization, comparing experiences in the Anglophone Caribbean and Africa. Disc. Matthew R. Cleary, Princeton & Syracuse University Saturday, April 9 – 8:30 am – 10:15 am 1-112 ROUNDTABLE: GENDER AND THE 2004 4-11 SOCIAL ACTIVISM AND POLICY ELECTIONS (Co-sponsored with Gender and Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Politics, see 22-101) Chair Gunes Murat Tezcur, University of Michigan Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Paper Democracy and Economic Justice: Labor Activism & Panelist Gender and the 2004 Elections Contemporary Turkish Politics Susan J Carroll, Rutgers University Brian Mello, University of Washington Barbara Burrell, Northern Illinois University Overview: This paper argues that labor activism in the 1960s Dianne Bystrom, Iowa State University and 70s has shaped the current political landscape in Turkey. Georgia Duerst-Lahti, Beloit College Labor movement activism, for instance, helps explain why

Updated 03-01-05 97 political Islam in Turkey differs from Islamist mobilization in peaceful settlement involving minority interests, avoiding the other countries. spread of instability. Paper Democratic Decay Through Democratizing Success: The Paper Principal or Agent Theory Applied to the European Union Limits of Social Movement Unionism in Brazil Model of Governance: The Case of the Common Foreign Jeffrey B. Sluyter-Beltrao, Wayne State University Security Policy Overview: This paper examines the evolution of Brazil's New Vivien Exartier, West Virginia University Unionism in the context of regime consolidation. Changes in Overview: Applying the principal agent theory to the European democratic practice are understood as by-products of factional model of governance.As a case study, I will choose the responses to challenges posed by broad economic and political Common Foreign Security Policy. transitions. Paper The Politics of Support for European Monetary Integration Paper Environmental Causes and Environmental Effects: Public Karl Kaltenthaler, Rhodes College Policy Preferences and Civic Engagement in the United Overview: This paper seeks to expain individual level support States and Mexico for monetary integration in the EU since the launch of the Melissa M. Goldsmith, University of Utah monetary union in 1999. Overview: Using 2000 World Values Survey data from the U.S. Paper Penetrating the Fortress? The Impact of Pro-Migrant NGO and Mexico, this paper argues that contextual variables are more Coalitions on the Migrant Inclusion Policy Agenda in the influential than policy preferences on environmental issues in European Union explaining levels of civic engagement in environmental Melissa Schnyder, Indiana University, Bloomington organizations. Overview: This project researches the effects of pro-migrant Disc. Michael McIntyre, DePaul University alliances on achieving policy goals which may deepen EU integration in migrant inclusion. It develops a model of 4-17 CONFIDENCE IN POLITICAL European policy integration based on the collaborative activities INSTITUTIONS of NGOs. Paper Europeanization of Public Accountability Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Cristina E. Parau, Westminster University, United Kingdom Paper Cross-national Analyses of Popular Support for Political Overview: The paper argues that the EU empowers those Institutions member state players, both civil societary and bureaucratic, who Myunghee Kim, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville are the best positioned to ‘network’ with Brussels and with each Overview: This research explores public support for other through Brussels. governmental institutions in relation to ideological ties between Disc. Georgios Kritikos, EUROPA the governed and the governing officials by analyzing the WVS

and EVS (Inglehart et al., eds. 2004). Paper Let the People be the Judge: Public Confidence in Judicial 5-9 POLICY AND POLICY MAKING IN THE Institutions in Chile and Uruguay EUROPEAN UNION: DOMESTIC Jason L. Morin, Baylor University DIMENSIONS Overview: In this study of judicial reform in Chile and Uruguay, Room TBA, Sat 8:30 the success of judicial reform is measured as public confidence Chair Michael Koch, University of California, Davis in judicial institutions, arguing that as public confidence Paper Europeanization and Policy Adaptation: Employment in increases, democracy will be seen as legitimate. Italy and France. Paper Procedural Effects and Ideological Divides in Mexico’s Valerie J. D'Erman, University of Oklahoma Instituto Federal Electoral, 1994-2003 Overview: Looking at changes in policy-making in Italy and Federico Estevez, ITAM France stimulated by proposals at the EU level, this paper Eric Magar, ITAM examines various labor-market reform strategies to illustrate the Guillermo Rosas, Washington University, St. Louis effects of voluntary reforms in social policies. Overview: How did members of Mexico’s election authority Paper Implementing EU Regulations in Old and New EU Member coalesce during the crucial years when elections became the States – The Case of Organic Farming. only game in town? We answer this with a Bayesian estimation Johannes Michelsen, University of Southern Denmark of members’ positions on all the issues the Council decided Overview: Variation in outcomes of implementing specific EU from 1994 to 2003. regulations in Western and Eastern member states appears to be Paper From Worse to Bad but Good Enough for Now: A Time- explained better by variation in the interaction of national sector Series Analysis of the Russian Transition specific institutions than by variation in history or culture. William Mishler, University of Arizona Paper Regulating the Information Economy in the New Europe: Overview: This paper uses data from the New Russian Who Regulates the Regulators? Barometers I-XIII to track public support for the regime in Kirsten Rodine, University of California, Berkeley Russia from the collapse of the USSR through Putin's re- Overview: Why did European countries form two separate yet election. overlapping networks of independent telecommunications Paper The Willingness to Protest: Trust, Concerns and Collective regulators? I argue that these networks constitute an importance Action in Post-Communist States compromise between governance on the European level and Michaelene D. Cox, Illinois State University within member states. Overview: This study tests extended hypotheses on social Paper Communication and Mobilization Strategies and Their capital and political participation in East and Central European “Europeanization” in the Field of Agricultural Policy. A countries, and demonstrates that interpersonal trust plays a role Comparative Analysis of Six European Union Countries and in the willingness to engage in militant and nonmilitant protest. Switzerland. Margit Jochum, McMaster University 5-8 POLICY AND POLICY MAKING IN THE Overview: Using a comparative perspective, this paper EUROPEAN UNION: INTERNATIONAL investigates the reasoning behind the communication and DIMENSIONS mobilization strategies political actors in the field of agriculture use, at the national and the EU level, in order to promote their Room TBA, Sat 8:30 policy options. Chair Georgios Kritikos, EUROPA Disc. Dimosthenis Mammonas, EUROPA Paper The EU in the Former Yugoslavia: Kosovo as a Case-Study

Teresa Cierco, Lusiada University of Oporto

Overview: This paper deals with the activities of the EU in

Kosovo and the extent to which these may contribute to a

98 Updated 03-01-05 6-15 DETERMINANTS OF PUBLIC POLICY IN whenever specific economical and political necessary LATIN AMERICAN DEMOCRACIES conditions are met. Disc. Hyeok Y. Kwon, Texas A&M University Room TBA, Sat 8:30

Chair Michelle Dion, CIDE, Mexico City Paper Tax Administration Reform in Chile and Argentina in the 8-4 SOCIAL MOVEMENTS AND CITIZENSHIP 1990s IN AFRICA AND LATIN AMERICA (Co- Omar Sanchez, Iowa State University sponsored with Political Sociology, see 43-2) Overview: This paper compares anti-evasion and tax Room TBA, Sat 8:30 administration reform efforts in Chile and Argentina during the Chair Frances B. Henderson, Washington University, St. Louis 1990s. Paper Zapatismo Glue: Social Movements in Age of Globalization Paper Tax Policy Centralization and Veto Players: Argentina and Timothy E. Durant, William Paterson University Brazil in the 1980's & 1990's Overview: This research analyses the 1994 Zapatista uprising Hiram J. Irizarry, Ohio State University using Aldon Morris’s theory regarding human agency, as Overview: This paper provides an explanation of changes in tax explained in his “Reflections on Social Movement Theory: policy centralization taking the Argentine and Brazilian Criticisms and Proposals” (2000). experiences during the 1980s and 1990s as the cases of analysis. Paper New Voices, Enduring Interests: Women and Citizenship in I base my explanation on a contingent application of veto Mozambique players theory. Frances B. Henderson, Washington University, H2918St. Paper Political Participation After Reform: Pension Politics in Louis Latin America Overview: This paper seeks to examine the way that citizenship Shannon K. O'Neil, Harvard University and political rights are being re-conceptualized by women's Overview: This paper focuses on the dynamics of political organizations in Mozambique to include demands for social and participation after institutional reforms. It derives a four- economic rights. dimensional theoretical framework for understanding these Paper Human Rights and the Politics of Militancy in dynamics over time, applying it to pension policymaking in Contemporary Kenya: The Mungiki Movement beyond the comparative perspective. Allure of Culture Paper The Devil is in the Details: Statutory Content and the Fine Mutuma Ruteere, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Art of Delegation in Brazil Overview: This paper examines the politics of the Mungiki Sylvia Gaylord, Northwestern University movement in Kenya within the context of state repression and Overview: The paper analyzes the use of statutory language as deterioration of human security in Kenya. an instrument of delegation. It explores the use of agenda- Disc. Gina M. S. Lambright, George Washington University setting motions by coalition parties and the role of opposition parties in constraining the Executive’s discretion to execute 9-8 PARTIES AND PARLIAMENTS IN THE policy. Disc. Michelle Dion, CIDE, Mexico City POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD Rose Spalding, DePaul University Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Chair D. Christopher Brooks, Saint+H221 Olaf College 7-8 PUBLIC POLICY IN EAST ASIA Paper Identity-based Parties in Post-communist Goverment: The Politics of Elite Incorporation and Coalition Maintenance Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Carol S. Leff, University of Illinois Chair Hyeok Y. Kwon, Texas A&M University Florin N. Fesnic, University of Illinois Paper Constitutional Reform and Budgetary Politics in Thailand Overview: We explore the inclusion in governance of ethnic Allen Hicken, University of Michigan minority or integral nationalist parties in seven post-communist Overview: In this paper I draw on the institutional political states, 1990-2004; and the frequency, costs/benefits, stability economy literature to construct and test an argument about what and electoral success of such coalitions. the recent constitutional reforms in Thailand should mean for Paper Coinciding Interests? Promoting Party Development and the budgetary process. the Success of United Russia during the 2003 Duma Election Paper Health Care Politics in Korea and Thailand Bryon Moraski, University of Florida Eunsook Jung, University of Wisconsin, Madison Overview: The paper investigates effects of Russia's 2001 law Overview: This paper will explain variations among on political parties. Specifically, did the types and number of democracies concerning the timing and degree of health care registered parties across Russia's regions influence the success expansion by examining two countries which democratized at of the party of power? the roughly same time: Korea and Thailand. Paper Legislative Party Institutionalization in New Democracies: Paper Ramos' CTRP: The Politics of Tax Reform in the Evidence from Poland Philippines Natalie A. Kistner, Ohio State University Amado Jr. Mendoza, University of the Philippines Overview: This paper examines the process of legislative party Overview: An analysis of the Comprehensive Tax Reform institutionalization using evidence from in-depth interviews Program (CTRP) undertaken by President Fidel Ramos with political party elites in Poland, including Deputies in the indicates that executive-legislative relations could be modeled lower house of Parliament, the Sejm, and high-ranking party as a bargaining game with a pre-ordained compromise. officials. Paper Strides Toward Equality: Equal Employment Opportunity Paper Parliamentary Party Switching in the Ukrainian Rada, and the Future of Japanese Society. 1998-2002 Tomoaki Nomi, Southeast MIssouri State University Frank C. Thames, Texas Tech University Overview: This paper analyzes the reasons behind the recent Overview: The statistical results of my analysis of party change in the Japanese government’s policy toward gender switching in Ukraine reflect a mixed pattern of influences on equality in relation to the demographic change in the country switching behavior which, in many ways, mirror those found in and economic stagnation. studies of other legislatures. Paper Conditions and Causes of Rapid Unplanned Development in Paper Communist Successor Parties and Coalition Formation in Seoul Metropolitan Area: Case Study of Urban Sprawl in Eastern Europe Yong-in City Andrew Roberts, Northwestern University Sue Kyung Shin, Korea University James Druckman, University of Minnesota Overview: The case study of Yong-in city provides an insight Overview: We explore whether communist successor parties into urban sprawl in Korea. This study suggests that urban (CSPs) in Eastern Europe are treated differently than other sprawl in Korea is an inevitable social phenomenon that occurs parties in government formation. We find that they are

Updated 03-01-05 99 discriminated against both in entering government and in the Overview: I argue that countries with strong parties tend to allocation of ministries. produce freer trade policies. A quantitative analysis of Disc. Ellen Carnaghan, Saint Louis University democracies from 1975-2000 provides support for the theory and highlights an understudied institution in the making of trade 10-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: LESSONS AND policy. IMPLICATIONS OF IRAQ Paper Left, Right and Center: Partisanship,Taxes and the Welfare State Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Jeffrey F. Timmons, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de Presenter Thinking Beyond War: Civil-Military War Planning in México Northern Iraq Overview: Greater left wing political power translates into more Isaiah Wilson III, United States Military Academy social spending and higher taxes on the poor, not the rich. Overview: This paper explores the organizational flaws in Greater right wing influence translates into less social spending operational civil-military planning that has contributed to th and lower taxes on the poor. current "muddling through" in the War in Iraq. Paper Globalization, Partisanship, and the Welfare State in Presenter The Arab Reaction toward the American Invasion to Iraq in Developing Countries 2003 Jungkeun Yoon, Claremont Graduate University Ibrahim Mahmood AL-Nahas, West Virginia University Overview: This paper tests a thesis "partisanship matters" in the Overview: I will examine the Arab reaction toward the globalization era in the context of "developing countries" American invasion to Iraq in March 2003. I will examine the through an examination of the welfare state in 37 developing Period from the November 2003until April of 2004. countries from 1976 to 1997.

Disc. Sean D. Ehrlich, University at Buffalo, SUNY 10-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE ENGLISH SCHOOL IN IR THEORY 11-14 MONETARY POLICYMAKING IN THE Room TBA, Sat 8:30 GLOBAL ECONOMY Presenter Re-Reading Martin Wight: Re-Thinking the English School Room TBA, Sat 8:30 of IR Chair David Bearce, University of Pittsburgh Eric Grahn, Queen's University, Canada Paper Testing the Hollowing-out Thesis Overview: This paper re-assesses aspects of Martin Wight’s Michael G. Hall, University of Northern Iowa work. In the process, it questions many of the common Overview: Quantitative tests of the hollowing-out thesis, and interpretations of his texts. In doing so, it also forces IR to re- discussion of how capital mobility may affect exchange rate evaluate the English School of IR. regime policy. Presenter Non-violence in the English School: the Case of Third-Party Paper A Theory of Financial Authority: Contract Theory, Non-violent Intervention Distributional Conflict and the Politics of Global Financial Sarah Bania-Dobyns, University of Denver Crisis. Overview: This paper uses the English School to incorporate Ashraf M. Ismail, Cornell University non-violence into IR; I use the case of third-party non-violent Overview: In this paper, I explain the spread of banking crises intervention to consider how 1) non-violence is a norm in IR among the developing economies in terms of a contractual and 2) non-state actors contribute to the development of norms. negotiation within each country over the social distribution of

the costs and benefits of financial regulation. 10-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Paper Can Collective Action Decrease the Likelihood for GLOBALIZATION AND IDENTITY International Financial Crises? Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Monika A. Klimek, University of Colorado, Boulder Presenter Economic Globalization and State Control in Different Overview: This paper addresses the effectiveness of collective Cultures; Testing the Clash of Civilizations Thesis. action clauses in restructuring sovereign debts between 1988- Kunihiko Imai, Elmira College 2000, as employed under UK, US and other governing laws. Overview: This is an empirical test of Samuel Huntington's Paper The Effects of Government Forms on Exchange Rate Clash of Civilizations thesis. Devaluations Presenter Where do I Belong? De- and Re-territorializaton in an Era Taehee Whang, University of Rochester of Globalization Overview: I test how presidential system, as one feature of Wendy Rahn, University of Minnesota formal constitution, affects the decisions on exchange rate Overview: In this paper I investigate claims that the forces of devaluations. Based on the government forms of 31 developing globalization undermine individuals’ attachment to nation-states countries, I use the ordinary logit model with temporal by combining cross-national survey data and indicators of dependence variables. globalization in a multi-level modeling framework. Disc. David Bearce, University of Pittsburgh

11-7 POLITICAL PARTIES AND ECONOMIC 12-7 CAUSES & CONSEQUENCES OF TERROR POLICYMAKING (Co-sponsored with Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Comparative Politics-Industrialized Countries, Chair Brian Lai, University of Iowa Paper Terror’s Externalities:Violent Events, Media Frames, and see 2-17) Anti-Arab American Backlash Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Bethany A. Barratt, Roosevelt University Chair Sean D. Ehrlich, University at Buffalo, SUNY Christian W. Erickson, Roosevelt University Paper The Politics of Dis-Inflation: The Role of Social Transfers Overview: The following paper examines how intolerance for and of Political Partisanship on Inflation in the OECD immigrant groups is affected by vivid events. We test whether Countries. government’s and the public’s sensitization to threat from an Despina Alexiadou, European University Institute immigrant group – Arab-Americans - impacts intolerance for it. Overview: The paper looks at the role of heterogeneous Paper Balancing the Clausewitzian Trinity: Leadership, Just War preferences on inflation. Based on a model of low inflation as a Claims, and Interdependence in the War on Terror public good I test empirically the hypotheses that social John P. Gallagher, United States Military Academy transfers and partisanship matter for inflation. Overview: The paper addresses the relationship between Paper Party Strength and International Trade: A Cross-National strategic goals, military execution, and popular support in the Analysis “war on terror” with leadership’s claims of justness as both Charles R. Hankla, Emory University

100 Updated 03-01-05 Islamism’s and the US’s center of gravity. Provides a and explain neighborhood level variation in ethnic violence in framework for US policy. Bombay. Paper Acts, Objectives, Excesses, and a Real Anti-Terrorism Paper The Onset of Ethnic Conflict and Economic Liberalization: Policy Selective Incentives, Political Entrepeneurs and Gerry Gendlin, Edinboro University of Pennsylvania Mobilizational Resources Overview: The focus on terror acts in current thinking on Nikolaos Biziouras, Harvard University homeland security leads to excesses that threaten civil liberties. Overview: Utilizing a unique dataset of ethnic conflict cases, Instead, the objectives of potential terrorists should be addressed logit model techniques, and case study evidence from Sri Lanka, by a new foreign policy that actually decreases the danger. Malaysia, Bulgaria and Ethiopia, we argue that economic Paper Predicting Threat and Fear Through Trust: The Dynamics liberalization is non-linearly related with the onset of ethnic of International Terrorism as a Function of Trust in conflict. Government and Mass Media Paper Coalitions, Distributive Politics, and Ethnic Conflict: Re- David J. Levin, University of Texas, El Paso Assessing the Political Sources of Inter-Group Conflict Nathalie Frensley, University of Texas, Austin Terrence L. Chapman, Emory University Overview: The American public has rated international Overview: This paper presents a new model of ethnic conflict terrorism as a major threat for over a decade. Yet subsections of that builds on critiques of existing work and extends work on the American public have not viewed international terrorism as distributive politics. Case illustrations and quantitative evidence a major threat or pressing goal. Are these subsections are included. generalized trusters? Paper Ethnic Group Alliance Formation During Civil Wars: The Paper Terrorism and the Strategic Provision of Social Goods Cases of Bosnia and Afghanistan Justin H. Magouirk, University of Michigan Fotini Christia, Harvard University Overview: Terrorist groups are able to more credibly commit to Overview: My paper attempts to identify how ethnic groups future provision of public goods after a revolution/civil war if form alliances during civil wars. It looks at the cases of Bosnia they provide social goods before the conflict. This social and Afghanistan to determine whether groups ally solely based provision mechanism ameliorates the cheap talk problem groups on power considerations or whether elements of ethnic distance face. matter. Disc. Brian Lai, University of Iowa Disc. Naunihal Singh, University of Notre Dame

13-206 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: CHINA 14-8 HUMAN RIGHTS, CONFLICT, AND SECURITY POLICY CONFLICT RESOLUTION Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Presenter The U.S. and the Taiwan-China Relations, 1987-1997 Chair George Lopez, University of Notre Dame Eugene Kuan, University of Texas, Austin Paper Human Rights and Conflict Regulation in the Northern Overview: This paper tries to look at the interactions between Ireland Peace Process the U.S., Taiwan, and China in the period of 1987-1997. It will Steven T. Engel, Georgia Southern University test two hypotheses that explain conflicts and cooperation Overview: An analysis of the role human rights has played in between two regional rival states. the peace process in Northern Ireland forcing a reconsideration Presenter Making Self-Restraint Credible: China's Taiwan Dilemma of McGarry and O’Leary’s taxonomy of ethnic conflict and Prospects for Political Integration. regulation. Chad Rector, George Washington University Paper Perceiving the Need to Change: The Role of Perception in Scott L. Kastner, University of Maryland Explaining the Effects of US Foreign Economic Assistance Overview: China’s threats to punish Taiwan for delaying in Limiting Human Rights Abuses Abroad reunification undermine the PRC’s commitment to Taiwanese Amanda Cooper, University of Kentucky autonomy if it joins. China currently lacks the ability to make Douglas M. Gibler, University of Kentucky credible any institutional mechanisms it could use to make both Overview: We examine the effects of US foreign economic promises at once. assistance on respect for human rights abroad. Paper Transitional Justice and Reconciliation Politics on the Thai- 13-207 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: EAST ASIAN Burma Border SECURITY ISSUES Cindy L. Kleinmeyer, Northern Illinois University Overview: This paper analyzes the recent transitional justice Room TBA, Sat 8:30 and reconciliation strategies of various groups working on the Presenter South Korea's Rapprochement with China: Choice or Thai-Burma border, and compares their ideas with some of the Necessity? current scholarly literature in support of political amnesties. Tae-Hyung Kim, University of Kentucky Disc. Claudia Dahlerus, Albion College Overview: This paper will examine the surprisingly rapid George Lopez, University of Notre Dame process of South Korea's rapprochement with China in the last

decade. 16-6 FEAR AND ANXIETY 14-6 ETHNIC CONFLICT Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Chair Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Paper Politics and the Equilibrium of Fear: How Strategies and Chair William Reno, Northwestern University Emotions Interact Paper Mass Ethnic Violence in Sudan and Rwanda: A Preliminary Arthur Lupia, University of Michigan Comparison Jesse O. Menning, University of Michigan Scott Straus, University of Wisconsin, Madison Overview: Using new models and insights from previous Overview: The paper presents a first-cut comparative analysis empirical research, we offer a constructive argument about how of the dynamics driving mass ethnic violence in Sudan (2003-4) integrating the study of emotions and game theory yields and Rwanda (1994). improved inferences about important political contexts. Paper Peaceful Corners In Violent Bombay: Explaining Paper Exploring the Dynamics of Threat: The Consequences of Neighborhood Level Variation in Ethnic Violence Personality and Affect for Threat Perception and Policy Ravi Bhavnani, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Preferences Amit Ahuja, University of Michigan Erin Cassese, Stony Brook University Overview: Arguing that causal explanations for ethnic violence Stanley Feldman, Stony Brook are sensitive to the level of analysis, this paper will establish

Updated 03-01-05 101 Overview: This study examines the process by which people Paper Social Class and Party Identification: Examining Three make risk assessments and evaluate government policies Theories designed to control these risks. At the heart of this process, we John McAdams, Marquette University argue, are emotional responses to threat. Overview: Traces the relationship between social class and Paper Candidates for Elected Office and the Causes of Political partisanshi p from the 1950s through 2000 in terms of (1.) the Anxiety: Differentiating between Threat and Novelty in "democratic class struggle," (2.) a "class inversion" and (3.) the Candidate Messages theory of the New Class, which posits a divide among the R. Andrew Holbrook, Ohio State University affluent. Overview: While much research has explored the effects of Paper Rich State, Poor State; Red State, Blue State: Who's Voting anxiety on politics, little has examined the causes of political for Whom in Presidential Elections? anxiety. This paper examines what candidate characteristics Boris Shor, Princeton University cause anxiety, differentiating between threatening and novel Andrew Gelman, TBA characteristics. Overview: Poorer voters support the Democrats in presidential Paper The Paradoxical Effects of Anxiety on Political Learning elections; at the same time, poorer counties and states Leonie Huddy, Stony Brook University increasingly vote Republican. Using a multilevel model of Stanley Feldman, Stony Brook University individual, county, and state level data, we reconcile this Overview: We examine the effects of anxiety on political paradox. learning about the Iraq war, using data from a 3-wave panel Paper The Link between Growing Income Inequality and survey of US residents’ opinions on terrorism and Iraq. Findings Conservative Party Identification in the United States confirm that anxiety heightens attention to news but worsens Duncan C. MacRae, University of California, Las Angeles learning. Overview: Growing inequality increased Republican Party Disc. Elizabeth Theiss-Morse, University of Nebraska, Lincoln identification in the United States over the past two decades in NES survey data. Increased inequality also softened strong 17-5 THE DETERMINANTS OF STRATEGIC support for the Democratic Party. VOTING Disc. Jeff Stonecash, Syracuse University

Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Chair Philip Paolino, University of North Texas 18-3 POLICY REPRESENTATION: Paper Do Citizens Vote Sincerely (If They Vote at All)? Theory DETERMINANTS AND EFFECTS and Evidence from U.S. National Elections Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Arianna Degan, University of Quebec, Montreal Chair Kevin Arceneaux, Yale University Antonio Merlo, University of Pennsylvania Paper Majority Rules for Minority Gains: The Institutional Overview: We propose and estimate a unified model of turnout Determinants of Interest Group Power and voting to assess the extent to which sincere voting can Lorelei K. Moosbrugger, University of California, Santa explain observed patterns of participation and voting in U.S. Barbara presidential and congressional elections. Overview: Contrary to the conventional wisdom, the theory Paper Identifiability of Coalitions and District Magnitude as offered here argues that majoritarian voting rules advantage Determinants of Strategic Voting particularistic interests over those of the public at large. Thomas Gschwend, University of Mannheim Paper Parties, Policy Representation, and Public Support for the Overview: I test a theory that proposes two factors (district Political System in Established and New Democracies magnitude, pre-election identifiability of coalitions) to Aida Paskeviciute, Binghamton University, SUNY determine the types of strategies employed and the number of Overview: This study explores the role of accurate policy strategic voters that can be observed across 30 different election representation and winning or losing as the two mechanisms by studies. which political parties shape citizens’ attitudes towards their Paper Strategic Behavior In and Out of the Voting Booth political system in established and newer democracies. Emily Clough, University of North Texas Paper Information and the Quality of Representation: an Overview: This paper examines why individuals do not appear Experiment in Local Governance to act strategically when choosing whether to vote or abstain, Matthew Potoski, Iowa State University but do appear to act strategically when asked to place a vote for Tom W. Rice, University of Iowa a candidate. Bronwyn Beatty-Hansen, Iowa State University Paper The British Paradox: Strategic Voting and the Failure of Overview: This study presents a direct test of how information Duverger's Law affects the quality of legislative representation through a unique Betsy Sinclair, California Institute of Technology study of 99 Iowa communities and the elected members of their Overview: This paper connects the formal theory surrounding city councils. Duverger's Law with an empirical specification and test to Paper Electoral Systems, Descriptive Representation, and examine the empirical evidence for strategic voting in the 2001 Substantive Representation on American School Boards General Election in the UK. Michael B. Berkman, Pennsylvania State University Paper Why Voters Desert Their Favorite Candidate: Voting Eric Plutzer, Pennsylvania State University Behavior in 3-Candidate Plurality Elections Overview: We extend research on race & electoral Daniel M. Kselman, Duke University representation: Representation gains at other governments were Emerson Niou, Chinese University of Hong Kong & Duke duplicated in school boards. The reforms not only enhanced University descriptive representation but substantive representation, policy Overview: In this paper we analyze and begin to empirically test responsiveness, too. an amendment to the calculus of voting, an expected utility Disc. Kevin Arceneaux, Yale University model of voter behavior. Both STRATEGIC and PROTEST Eric Juenke, University of Colorado voters may rationally choose a candidate other than their most- preferred. 19-1 IDEOLOGY AND VALUES Disc. Philip Paolino, University of North Texas Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Guy Whitten, Texas A&M University Chair Kyle Saunders, Colorado State University Paper Idealogical Identification and Core Values 17-11 LET THEM EAT CAKE: SOCIOECONOMIC Paul Goren, Arizona State University CLASS AND VOTE CHOICE Overview: This paper uses data from the 1992-94-96 NES panel Room TBA, Sat 8:30 to explore competing hypotheses about the relationship between Chair Jeff Stonecash, Syracuse University ideological identification and the core values of equal

102 Updated 03-01-05 opportunity, limited government, traditional family values, and Paper Does Referendum Increase Political Participation? An moral tolerance. Analysis of State-Level Referenda’s Impact on Voting Paper The Libertarian and Communitarian Values and Political Deborah A. Carroll, University of Tennessee Attitudes of Moderates and Independents Krissy W. Gladders, University of Tennessee Brendon Swedlow, Northern Illinois University Overview: We present a formal model of voting behavior in Mikel Wyckoff, Northern Illinois University elections with referenda. We then test this theoretical model Overview: More than 60 percent of moderates and independents with an empirical analysis using state-level referenda have libertarian and communitarian not liberal and conservative divisiveness and voter turnout rates for all 50 states over a ten political attitudes. Our analysis of how respondents value year time period. liberty, order, and equality/caring generally reinforces these Paper Explaining the Failure of Recent Election Reforms findings. Chris T. Owens, Texas A&M University Paper Applying More Statistical Information Helps Explain the Overview: Recent federal and state reforms aimed at increasing Instability in People’s Political Values. voter turnout. Scholars generally agree, however, that reforms Antoine J. Banks, University Of Michigan such as early voting, motor voter, and vote by mail have failed Overview: My argument is that values are not as stable as to increase turnout. scholars have claimed and the proof lies in the misspecification Paper Once Reformed, Soon Forgotten: The Impact of Limiting of their models. The justification for people’s instability derives State Legislative Terms of Service on Voter Turnout in from how values are acquired. Intra-Party Contests Paper From "Family" Values to "Family Values:" Understanding Neil A. Pinney, Western Michigan University Red/Blue Ideology in the United States. George Serra, Bridgewater State College David C. Barker, University of Pittsburgh Overview: The purpose of this research is to discern more James P. Tinnick, TBA explicitly how electoral reforms that limit terms of service Overview: This paper examines whether visions of the proper impact voter turnout in state legislative primary elections. relationship between parents and children engender different Paper Disentangling the Effects of Political Fragmentation on beliefs about the nature of morality, which are called upon and Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections used as heuristics when considering various political questions. Benny Geys, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Paper Operational and Symbolic Ideology in the American Bruno Heyndels, Vrije Universiteit Brussel Electorate: The Paradox of “Conflicted Conservatives” Overview: We empirically disentangle the impact of two James A. Stimson, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill dimensions of fragmentation on voter turnout: the number of Christopher R. Ellis, University of North Carolina, Chapel parties and their size. This is important to assess the size, Hill significance and direction of both elements separately. Overview: Macro-level studies of public opinion often show Disc. Michael P. Bobic, Emmanuel College that the American public is operationally liberal, but ideologically conservative. We explore the micro-foundations of 20-301 POSTER SESSION: POLITICAL the disconnect between “operational” and “symbolic” PARTICIPATION liberalism. Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Disc. William G. Jacoby, Michigan State University Presenter Freedom of Information and Citizen Participation

Deborah M. Spigner, Rutgers University 19-301 POSTER SESSION: PUBLIC OPINION Overview: The paper will attempt to answer the question: What Room TBA, Sat 8:30 is the relationship between transparency and citizen Presenter The Effects of Interracial Friendship on Public Attitudes participation, and how do FOI laws facilitate this relationship? toward Immigrants Presenter Evaluating the Effects of Kids Voting Mock Election Shang E. Ha, University of Chicago Activities on Adult Voter Turnout Overview: This study aims to elucidate the impact of personal Roxanne Weber, Southern Illinois University contact with Latinos or Asians on public attitudes toward Overview: The effects of Kids Voting mock election activities immigrants in the United States on adult voter turnout using a newly developed variable to Presenter Political Attitudes and Participation of West Point Cadets capture the effects of Kids Voting mock election efforts. Craig P. Cummings, United States Military Academy Jason K. Dempsey, United States Military Academy 21-3 NEWS & ENTERTAINMENT 1: EFFECTS OF Robert Y. Shapiro, Columbia University Overview: We examine the political preferences of West Point LATE NIGHT COMEDY cadets by analyzing the results of an online survey. We Room TBA, Sat 8:30 compare their political preferences to those of their civilian peer Chair Doris A. Graber, University of Illinois, Chicago group and to those of the active duty Army force. Paper Arnold and Jay's Excellent Adventure: Media Bias in the Presenter Public Support for the Supreme Court: Testing Procedural California Governor's Recall Election Justice and Policy Output Agreement Craig L. Brians, Virginia Tech University Mark D. Ramirez, Texas A&M University Katherine Blake Hite, Virginia Tech University Overview: This research utilizes an experimental design to test Overview: This paper is a case study of the Tonight Show and the degree procedural perceptions (as characterized in theories the 2003 California Gubernatorial Recall election, focusing of procedural justice) and satisfaction with policy outputs affect specifically on Jay Leno’s characterization of Arnold public support for the Supreme Court across issue domains. Schwarzenegger as a legitimate candidate. Presenter Political Efficacy in Authoritarian and Democratic Taiwan: Paper News as Comedy or Politics as Comedy: Civic Cues in How Political Institutions Affect Political Efficacy Comedy Central's Daily Show Jingjing Huo, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Paula L. O'Loughlin, University of Minnesota, Morris Overview: This paper argues that political institutions from Geoffrey Sheagley, University of Minnesota different regime types reward political participation at different Matt Croaston, University of Minnesota, Morris stages of the policy process, leading to difference in the source Overview: This paper presents a content analysis of the civic of political efficacy. cues offered in the 'news' programming most watched by voters 30 and younger today, Jon Stewart's Daily Show, during the 10 20-6 SUBNATIONAL PARTICIPATION weeks preceding Election 2004. Paper Priming Image on Late Night: How Late Night Candidate Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Appearances Affect the Relative Weight of Image Chair Michael P. Bobic, Emmanuel College Considerations Michael Parkin, University of Minnesota

Updated 03-01-05 103 Overview: This is an experimental study looking at how advocacy coalitions to explain the variation in the candidate appearances on late night television talk shows affect implementation of women’s rights policies in Italy. the relative saliency of image considerations in candidate Paper From the Fields to the City: The Political Empowerment of evaluations and vote choices. Women in the Caribbean Paper Comedy Shows, Political News, and Belief Change Martha S. Thomas, William Paterson University Diana C. Mutz, University of Pennsylvania Overview: This paper analyzes the political empowerment of Kelli E. Lammie, University of Pennsylvania women in the Caribbean. It uses the measure of female electoral Overview: As people rely on comedy shows for news, it success as an indicator of political development. The paper also becomes important to understand the effects on viewers’ compares empowerment in the Caribbean with other regions of political beliefs. In two experiments we test alternative the world. theoretical models for understanding viewer processing of the Paper Springing into Politics? How Have Women Been Engaged synthesis of news and comedy in the Renewal of Democracy in Northern Ireland? Disc. Doris A. Graber, University of Illinois, Chicago Linda Racioppi, James Madison College, Michigan State University 22-5 MEDIA, FRAMING AND Katherine O. See, Michigan State University REPRESENTATIONS OF WOMEN Overview: Drawing from feminist scholarship, this paper explores a transition from extended ethnic conflict, Northern Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Ireland, to assess the springboard hypothesis that women can Chair Kristi Anderson, Syracuse University parlay community activism into formal politics Paper Personalities, Dress Sizes and Body Shapes: Media Disc. Katherine A. R. Opello, Hollins University Coverage of Women and Men in Statewide Political Races

Nicole Krassas, Eastern Connecticut State University Dena Levy, SUNY, Brockport 23-8 INTERGROUP RELATIONS AT THE Overview: This paper focuses on the way the media presents LOCAL LEVEL (Co-sponsored with Urban and Senate candidates personally and physically to answer the Local Politics, see 36-15) question, does news media rhetoric present female candidates Room TBA, Sat 8:30 differently than male candidates? Chair Reuel Rogers, Northwestern University Paper Framing Gender in Statewide Elections; Female Candidates Paper Ethnic Propinquity and Intergroup Prejudice for Statewide Elective Office and the Press David Darmofal, Ohio State University Abby G. Hendren, University of Florida Wendy K. Cho, University of Illinois Overview: A content analysis of print media coverage of six Overview: We examine how differing contextual environments male and female candidates for statewide elective office affected intergroup prejudice in Los Angeles following the examining differences in framing. Rodney King verdict and subsequent riots. Paper Where Is She? A Content Analysis of Online News Paper NIMBY’s Newest Neighbors: Bureaucratic Constraints, Magazines’ Coverage of Women Community-Based Organizing and the Day Laborer Hyun J. Yun, University of Florida Movement in Suburbia Monica Postelnicu, University of Florida Lorrie A. Frasure, University of Maryland/Cornell University Nadia Ramoutar, University of Florida Michael Jones-Correa, Cornell University Overview: This content analysis of 4 online magazines from Overview: Employing qualitative data collected (consisting of US, Korea, Canada and Mexico studies the extent online media over 100 in-depth interviews) in the Washington, DC cover women in leadership roles. This study focuses on how metropolitan area, we explore the intersections of suburban women in power are portrayed in different countries and in institutions (bureaucratic and non-profit) and immigrant comparison with men. incorporation in the US. Paper Representing the Third Wave: Print Media Framing of a Paper The Missing Rainbow: Understanding Inter-minority New Feminist Movement Conflict in the Local Political Arena Carolyn Bronstein, DePaul University Zoltan Hajnal, University of California, San Diego Overview: This study compares the dominant news frames that Overview: I examine voting patterns in mayoral elections in the journalists have used to describe the second and third waves of nation’s largest 50 cities to determine which institutional American feminism. It yields insight into the role of mass features of the local political environment encourage coalition media in the social construction of public opinion of social building among minority voters in mayoral elections. movements. Paper Residential Heterogeneity and Stereotyping in the Paper Connollizing Feminist Cartoons Multiracial Context Sushmita Chatterjee, Pennsylvania State University Jonathan Hoffman, University of California, Berkeley Overview: My paper examines the use of cartoons and Overview: Relying on quantitative and qualitative data to caricatures by the Women's movement in the late 1960's and examine interminority stereotyping patterns, this paper early 1970's to illustrate the political potentials of satiric challenges the hypothesis that neighborhood-level residential imagery. heterogeneity reduces stereotyping by fostering intergroup interaction. 22-11 COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVES ON Disc. Reuel Rogers, Northwestern University WOMEN'S POLITICS Room TBA, Sat 8:30 25-8 POLITICAL ECONOMY AND Chair Jennifer Disney, Winthrop University DEMOCRATIC THOUGHT Paper Institutionalism, Constitutionalism, and Actor Strategies: Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Explaining Variation in Paid Parental Leave Policies in Chair Dario Castiglione, Georgetown University Canada and the United States Paper Was Kant a New Urbanist?: Property Rights, Urban Design, Linda A. White, University of Toronto and Kantian Moral Theory Overview: Analyzes the reasons for cross-national differences Brian J. Shaw, Davidson College in the policy and legal regimes related to maternity and parental Overview: Debates between New Urbanist critics of suburban leave in Canada and the United States. sprawl and its libertarian defenders reveal contrasting Paper Implementing Women's Rights in Italy conceptions of moral agency and property rights, conceptions Celeste M. Montoya Kirk, Washington University, St. Louis both illuminated by and illustrative of key controversies in Overview: This paper uses a two dimensional framework that Kantian moral theory. incorporate issue interactions with culture and the formation of Paper Perfectionism in J.S. Mill’s Economic Thought Yvonne Chiu, University of California, Berkeley

104 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Mill’s seemingly inconsistent writings can be unified Overview: A study of Montesquieu’s assessment of Rome’s by his teleological notion of “man as a progressive being,” as greatness and decline, this paper shows how his account of evidenced in his economic views of the value of work, ancient history serves more as an indication of modernity’s competition, and the economically stationary state. unique potential for progress, than as a eulogy of a republican Paper Richard T. Ely and the Progressive Critique of Private pagan politics. Property Presenter Giving to Caesar What is God’s: Machiavelli’s Conversion Luigi Bradizza, University of Dallas of Christianity in An Exhortation to Penitence Overview: Richard T. Ely accepts key premises of Locke’s view Rebecca J. McCumbers, University of Notre Dame of the individual, thereby undercutting his own argument for the Overview: In An Exhortation to Penitence Machiavelli preaches social control of property. a form of Christianity that is inconsistent with both the Gospel Paper The Political Economy of John Dewey message and the popular Christian movements of his time but Adam J. Fowler, University of Arkansas that is consistent with his greater political project. Overview: This project investigates John Dewey’s Presenter The Logic of Transparency in the Political Architecture of understanding of economic problems in relation to important Modernity political questions. Dewey's writings and comments regarding Ishita Menon, Georgetown University political-economic relations have not been vigorously explored Overview: In this paper, I explore the normative essence of in the literature. transparency embedded in the history of political thought and Disc. Dario Castiglione, Georgetown University conduct a critical analysis of the logic of transparency in its political form/forms. 25-12 WHAT DOES ART TELL US ABOUT Presenter Zarathustra and Socrates on the Meaning of Political POLITICS? Philosophy: The Images of the Cave and the Sun in thus Spoke Zarathustra and the Republic Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Jeffrey Metzger, University of Toronto Chair Lilly Goren, Lake Forest College Overview: The paper compares the relationship between Paper The Arithmetic of Compassion': Rethinking the Politics of philosophy and politics and the status of nature for both Photography thinkers, as well as the influence of Christianity on Nietzsche's James Johnson, University of Rochester political thought. Overview: I link theoretical analysis of compassion to the Presenter History in the Lower Case: Aesthetics and the Case of F. R. practice and criticism of documentary photography to argue Ankersmit against the common view that documentary ought to aim to James M. Pattesron, University of Virginia elicit compassion in viewers. Overview: Using F.R. Ankersmit, I center political theory on Paper Nature and Social Construction in Dystopian Literature history. Political solutions create unintended consequences Nivedita Bagchi, University of Virginia history records and from which political theory must create new Overview: I examine dystopian texts’ positions on what is terms for solving the new political problems the old resolution natural. I argue that dystopias examine the debate between the caused. natural and constructed human and demonstrate both man’s

potential to create change and his natural limits making some changes impossible. 27-6 ELECTORAL COMPETITION Paper Creating Mr. Kurtz: Conrad and the American Empire Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Debra Candreva, Wellesley College Chair Justin Fox, Yale University Overview: Joseph Conrad’s fiction offers us a unique way of Paper The Electoral Control of Local and National Politicians thinking about the problems of empire in today’s world. They Scott Gehlbach, University of Wisconsin, Madison confront some of the most difficult issues, which are regularly Overview: I use a novel career-concerns model incorporating ignored or obscured by contemporary advocates of “American voter ideological heterogeneity to (re)examine the question of imperialism.” whether local or national politicians are more subject to Paper Goethe’s Achilles: On The Sufferings of Young Werther and electoral control. the Political Teaching of Romanticism Paper Modelling Challenger Entry Kenneth M. De Luca, Hampden-Sydney College Jay Goodliffe, Brigham Young University Overview: Goethe’s Werther is built on the age-old conflict Overview: I present a theoretical model where multiple between nature and convention, which also lies at the root of potential challengers make interdependent decisions about Homer’s Iliad. What does it mean that the book which heralds running against the incumbent, and test this model empirically the age of romanticism is written in response to Homer? using U.S. House data from 1982-2002. Paper Politics and the Spartacus Movies Paper Electoral Poaching and Party Identification John Bokina, University of Texas, Pan American Brian A. Roberson, Purdue University Overview: This paper will examine the political contents and Dan Kovenock, Purdue University contexts of the fifteen extant films about Spartacus and the Overview: This paper studies electoral competition in a model Servile War. of redistributive politics with deterministic voting and Disc. William M. Downer, Thiel College heterogeneous voter loyalties to political parties. In equilibrium candidates “poach” a portion of the opposition party's loyal 26-301 POSTER SESSION: POLITICAL voters. Paper Securing the Base: Electoral Competition under Variable PHILOSOPHY: APPROACHES AND Turnout THEMES Michael Peress, Carnegie Mellon University Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Overview: We consider the incentives that Presidential Presenter The Straussian Origins of the Concept of "Regime Change" candidates in the U.S. have for taking off-center positions. Angel Jaramillo, New School University Among valence advantages, abstention due to alienation, and Overview: The term "Regime Change" and its applications third-party competition, only valence advantages provide internationally can be traced back to the original translation Leo significant incentives. Strauss made of the Aristotelian concept of "politeia" in Book Disc. Justin Fox, Yale University three of "The Politics". Scott Moser, Carnegie Mellon University Presenter Becoming Accustomed to the Spectacle of Gladiators in Combat: Montesuieu's Selective Appropriation of Greatness 29-9 PARTY ORGANIZATION AND PARTY for the Attainment of Goodness in his Considerations ACTIVISTS Benjamin Lundgren, Michigan State University Room TBA, Sat 8:30

Updated 03-01-05 105 Chair William J. Crotty, Northeastern University Paper Presidential Management of International Crises: Paper Political Party Development: Issues and Challenges in Structured Managed Approaches and Crises Learning' Emerging Democracies Brian R. King, Muskingum College Denise L. Baer, George Washington University Overview: This paper examines presidential management of Overview: This paper analyzes the results of a set of interviews international crises to determine the impact of crisis on parties and political finance conducted by the National management experiences on subsequent management efforts, Democratic Institute in 2003 with over 400 political civil and and the role of a structured management approach in influencing party leaders and elected officials in 22 emerging democracies. such institutional learning. Paper The German Greens and the Iron Law of Oligarchy: Paper A Critical Juncture: Defining the Space for Presidential Implications of Organizational "Normalization," 1980-2005 Leadership in Foreign and Domestic Policy Making Gene Frankland, Ball State University Constantine J. Spiliotes, Saint Anselm College Robert Harmel, Texas A&M University Overview: This paper studies the intersection of foreign and Overview: The Greens' founders sought 25 years ago to repeal domestic policy making, in order to understand how the Michels' iron law of oligarchy as a grass-roots democratic party. demands of one domain may constrain or expand the potential This paper considers whether the Greens have fallen prey to the for presidential leadership in the other. iron law, and the implications. Paper The White House Chief of Staff : A Predictive Model As a Paper May’s “Special Law of Curvilinear Disparity” Reconsidered Foreign Policy Advisor Thomas Quinn, University of Essex, United Kingdom Shirley Anne Warshaw, Gettysburg College Overview: This paper re-examines the ‘law of curvilinear Erin J. Gustafson, Gettysburg College disparity’ that party activists are more radical than voters and Overview: A discussion of the expanding role of the White leaders. It shows the model is relevant once its notion of party House Chief of Staff as a foreign policy advisor focusing on competition is reconstructed on a rational-choice basis. Andrew Card and the Bush Administration. Paper Mobilizing the Choir: Party Activism in Advanced Paper The President as Commander in Chief: A Case Study in Industrial Democracies Two Failures-James Madison in The War of 1812 and Steven A. Weldon, University of California, Irvine Lyndon Baines Johnson in Vietnam Overview: Why are some political party members more active Robert M. Yonkers, Wayne State University than others? Employing member surveys from 33 political Overview: This paper compares and contrasts the conduct of parties in 6 advanced democracies, the multi-level analysis James Madison in the war of 1812 and Lyndon Baines Johnson examines the individual and contextual roots of member in the Vietnam conflict. activism. Disc. Jeffrey S. Peake, Bowling Green State University Disc. William J. Crotty, Northeastern University Roger P. Rose, Benedictine University

29-14 INTEREST GROUP VENUES AND TACTICS 31-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Room TBA, Sat 8:30 CONGRESSIONAL POLICYMAKING I Chair Mark Smith, University of Washington Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Paper Patterns of Interest Group Lobbying Across Venues: Presenter Can Parties Change Their Positions When They Want To?: Administrative and Legislative Lobbying Expenditures A Case of Defense Spending in Congress from the 1890s to Frederick J. Boehmke, University of Iowa the 1980s Sean Gailmard, Northwestern University Jungkun Seo, University of Texas, Austin John W. Patty, Carnegie Mellon University Overview: Party members' distributive concerns often conflict Overview: We study how variation in patterns of legislative with parties' electoral strategies. The case of defense spending delegation to the bureaucracy across issue areas influence the decision in Congress shows that strategic politicians use the rule relative amount of interest group activity devoted to legislative of "divide-and-conquer" to win and retain the presidency. versus administrative lobbying. Presenter Was it the Members or the Laws? A Reexamination of the Paper The Legislative Structuring of Interest Group Changing Nature of Congressional Support for Civil Right Enfranchisement through Agency Design Legislation from the 1960’s through the 1980’s. Brian Gerber, Texas Tech University Bill Radunovich, Univsersity of Florida Christopher M. Reenock, Florida State University Overview: I hold that it was the changing nature of civil rights Overview: We test whether legislatively designed discretionary legislation, not more conservative members, that was environments in two arenas of air pollution control, policy responsible for weakening support for civil rights in Congress production and implementation, influence the access that from the 1970’s-80’s, even among members who held office the various interest groups report within a state’s policy community. entire time. Paper Changing Business Preferences for National Health Care Reform 31-206 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Joseph Corrado, Slippery Rock University Overview: This paper is the first chapter of my completed CONGRESSIONAL POLICYMAKING II doctoral dissertation (Temple University, May 2004)entitled: Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Ideology Matters: Business Preferences for National Health Presenter Congressional Role Orientations and the Veteran's Care Reform 1990-1994. Millennium Health Care Actof 1999 Paper Assessing the Power of Ethnic Lobbies La Trice M. Washington, Otterbein College David M. Paul, Ohio State University, Newark Overview: The paper addresses the use of positve power and Rachel A. Paul, Ohio State University, Newark negative power in Congress through a study of role orientations Overview: While the power of ethnic lobbies has been widely of members of Congress. accepted, little quantitative data exist to measure the ordinal Presenter Keeping the Coalition:The Ryan White Care Act and AIDS influence of these groups. We surveyed policymakers to Appropriation Politics develop an index of ethnic group power. This paper presents our Glenn Beamer, Rutgers University findings. Overview: Using models of Congressional coalition building we Disc. Suzanne M. Robbins, George Mason University analyze the means by which AIDS activists, medical professionals, and urban politicians developed support for ththe 30-8 PRESIDENTS AND FOREIGN POLICY Ryan White Comprehensive CARE Act.

Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Chair Jeffrey S. Peake, Bowling Green State University

106 Updated 03-01-05 32-6 INCUMBENCY ADVANTAGE AND government’s ongoing War on Terror and how the executive PROGRESSIVE AMBITION IN branch has responded to this decision. Disc. Lauren C. Bell, Randolph-Macon College CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS Room TBA, Sat 8:30 33-17 JUDICIAL APPOINTMENTS (I) Chair Richard Forgette, University of Mississippi Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Paper Cohort Replacement and the Incumbency Advantage Chair Robert Bradley, Illinois State University Eric M. McGhee, University of Oregon Paper Half-empty or Half-full? Do Vacant Judgeships Matter? Overview: This paper argues that cohort replacement accounts Sarah A. Binder, George Washington University and for part of growth in the incumbency advantage in U.S. Brookings Institution elections: older, highly partisan voters were replaced by Forrest Maltzman, TBA younger voters more inclined to support incumbents. Overview: The politics of confirming federal judges often leave Paper The Termed-Out Incumbency Advantage: How Strategic judgeships vacant for extended periods of time. Do such Opponents and Public Information from Term Limits vacancies matter? This paper explores the impact of vacant Increase Last-Term Margins of Victory judgeships on the performance of the federal bench over the Tammy M. Frisby, Harvard University past thirty years. Overview: Term-limited legislators running for final terms in Paper Explaining the Length of Tenure of United States Supreme state Houses win by larger margins of victory than fellow Court Justices incumbents. The main source of the advantage seems to be Christopher D. Martin, West Virginia University high-quality strategic opponents, who wait for the upcoming Overview: Personal considerations of justices, political climate open seat race. on the Supreme Court, and the political environment existing in Paper Communication Networks, Opinion Heterogeneity, and Washington, D.C., will be addressed as those variables predict Incumbents’ Advantages: A Study on the United States 2000 the length of tenure of Supreme Court justices. Congressional Election Paper Regulating Turnover on the Supreme Court Cheng-shan Frank Liu, University of Kansas Terri L. Peretti, Santa Clara University Overview: Communication networks and the news media Overview: A mechanism for regularizing turnover on the account for voters’ choices in congressional elections. It Supreme Court in order to insure that each president receives discusses how interacting with homogeneous strong-tie appointment opportunities is a vitally important area for networks and accessing the news media affect voters’ choices scholarly inquiry and reformers' efforts. for House and Senate incumbents. Disc. Robert Bradley, Illinois State University Paper Progressive Ambition in the U.S. House Melinda Gann Hall, Michigan State University Scott J. Lasley, Western Kentucky University

Overview: Members of the U.S. House have two options to pursue their progressive electoral ambitions. I explore how a 34-8 EVALUATING RELIGION UNDER THE House member’s background, experience, and preferences help CONSTITUTION shape whether a member is more likely to run for the Senate or Room TBA, Sat 8:30 governor. Chair Joseph F. Kobylka, Southern Methodist University Disc. Richard M. Skinner, Bowdoin College Paper The Problem of Mixed Motives: Towards Clarity in First Amendment Jurisprudence 33-10 THE COURTS AND THE SEPARATION OF Jesse D. Covington, University of Notre Dame POWERS (II) Overview: This paper critically assesses judicial treatment of Establishment Clause cases in which there appear to be both Room TBA, Sat 8:30 religious and secular reasons for a given policy. Chair Lauren C. Bell, Randolph-Macon College Paper The Concept of Coercion in Religion-Clause Jurisprudence Paper The Effect of War on Judicial Deference to the Executive Dennis J. Goldford, Drake University Branch at the Courts of Appeals Overview: The Supreme Court has said that while coercion is Tom Clark, Princeton University both a necessary and sufficient condition of a Free Exercise Overview: The effect of a state of war on deference to the claim, it is not necessary to an Establishment claim. This paper executive branch by federal appellate judges is examined. This begins to think through the concept of coercion in the religion study concludes the mid-level federal courts are actually more clauses. skeptical of the executive in non-criminal cases during wartime. Paper Do the Religion Clauses Guarantee States' Rights? The Paper Judicial Restraint of Presidential Action Evidence from the First Few Decades after their Drafting Tobias T. Gibson, Washington University, St. Louis Ellis M. West, University of Richmond Overview: With interviews of former lawyers in the OLC, I Overview: This paper challenges the jurisdictional interpretation show that the Court restraints presidential action before the of the religion clauses, which holds that at least one, if not both, action occurs. A strategic president will account for the of the clauses protects states' rights and not individual rights preferences of the Court and self-restrain his actions. Disc. Joseph F. Kobylka, Southern Methodist University Paper A Culture of Crisis: Judicial Decision-Making and the Shannon Smithey, Westminster College Scope of American Civil Liberties in the Era of Threat

Linda M. Merola, Georgetown University Overview: This project examines the contours of Supreme 35-6 STATE-LOCAL INTERGOVERNMENTAL Court and lower federal court decision-making in eras of POLITICS (Co-sponsored with Urban and prolonged crisis. Local Politics, see 36-16) Paper The Chilean Supreme Court: Political Isolation vs. Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Interaction—Implications for Judicial Decision-Making Chair Michael E. Greenberg, Shippensburg University Druscilla L. Scribner, University of California, San Diego Paper State Resructuring of Local Politics Overview: Using a separation of powers approach to judicial Richard C. Hula, Michigan State University decision making this paper challenges the accepted explanation Belinda Davis, Michigan State University for Chilean Supreme Court behavior and presents a test of both Chelsea Haring, TBA explanations using rulings concerning presidential power. Overview: This paper considers three specific arenas in which Paper Seeking a Role: The Rehnquist Court, Government states have attempted to re-engineer local policy: education, Detainees and the War on Terror environment and social welfare. It examines outcomes, changes Darren A. Wheeler, Northwest College in key local stakeholders, and emerging local coalitions Overview: This paper will examine how Hamdi v. Rumsfeld (2004) established a role for the Rehnquist Court in the

Updated 03-01-05 107 Paper Unplug the Jukebox? Fiscal Centralization, Local David M. Konisky, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Autonomy, and School Finance Reform Stephen M. Meyer, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Bryan T. Shelly, Harvard University Overview: We review the literature on community-based Overview: I use multivariate regression analysis to determine environmental protection (CBEP), develop hypotheses to guide whether centralization of public school finance at the state level future research on CBEP outcomes, and test these hypotheses is an important causal factor in determining whether states will with evidence from town-level implementation of wetlands adopt reforms that compromise local school board discretionary. protection in Massachusetts. Paper Local Government Autonomy, Regionalism, and Special- Paper Distributing the Costs of Growth: The Influence of Local Purpose Governments Governing Structures Jered B. Carr, Wayne State University Megan Mullin, University of California, Berkeley Overview: This paper presents an empirical analysis of the Overview: This paper time-series, cross-sectional data on public effects on the fiscal health of local governments in Michigan in water utilities in California to evaluate the effects of water post-Proposition A period. governing structure on the use of connection fees to fund Paper Initiatives, State Mandates, and the Persistence of Local infrastructure expansion for new development. Politics Paper Politics, Institutions, and the Implementation of Growth Max Neiman, University of California, Riverside Management Policy in Florida Cities Kenneth Fernandez, University of Nevada, Las Vegas In-Sung Kang, Florida State University Garrick Percival, University of California, Riverside Overview: This paper focuses on how government institutions Overview: Based on measuring county policies, the study shape policy actions to restrict development and manage growth examines the implementation of California counties' by identifying variation in the exercise of growth management implementation of three policies enacted by statewide ballot powers across cities with fiscal reports and land use initiatives. management survey. Paper Education Finance Reform and Public School Expenditures Paper The Challenges of Governing Groundwater: A Comparative Sarah A. Hill, California Institute of Technology Institutional Analysis of U.S. Western States D. Roderick Kiewiet, California Institute of Technology Edella Schlager, University of Arizona Overview: The results of Murray et al. (1998) indicate that Overview: US states have devised rules to address surface but court-ordered spending equalization across school districts not ground water dilemmas. Using common pool resource & within a state increases education expenditures. Our results transaction costs theories ground & surface water dilemmas are challenge these findings. explored & hypotheses deduced. Data from western states is Disc. Olugbenga Ajilore, University of Toledo used for testing. Bryan T. Shelly, Harvard University Disc. Mark N. Lubell, University California, Davis Mary T. Hallock Morris, University of Southern Indiana 36-7 PLACE AND PARTICIPATION Room TBA, Sat 8:30 37-7 SOCIAL POLICY AND ITS REFORM Chair J. Eric Oliver, University of Chicago Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Paper Being “Spaced,” It’s a Good Thing: The Influence of Chair Saundra K. Schneider, Michigan State University Geographically Dispersed Decision-Making Structures on Paper The Political Future of Social Security in Aging Societies Urban Political Participation Vincenzo Galasso, Università Bocconi Johanna L. Dunaway, Rice University Overview: Aging reduces the returns from PAYG pension Gavin M. Dillingham, Rice University systems; yet an aging electorate increases the relevance of Overview: This paper argues that different levels of urban pension spending to office-seeking policy-makers. Simulations decision-making structures have varying influences on the for six countries suggest the political aspect to dominate leading efficacy of participation. to more pensions Paper Understanding the Influence of Subcultures on Urban Paper Echoes of Catastrophic Care? The Passage of the Medicare Political Participation Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act Gavin Dillingham, Rice University and Subsequent Controversy Surrounding It Overview: Because previous studies have examined contextual Richard Himelfarb, Hofstra University factors separately, we do not know how city size, density and Overview: Paper examines factors leading to passage of diversity operate together to influence political participation. prescription drug legislation in 2003. Despite efforts to avoid Paper The Dynamics of Neighborhood Councils: A Case Study of the pitfalls of catastrophic care 15 years earlier, new legislation Neighborhood Councils in the City of Los Angeles appears to be equally unpopular among the elderly. HyeYoung Chang, University of Southern California Paper Patients vs. HMOs: Learning from the States Young Joo Chi, University of Southern California Sorina O. Vlaicu, University of Western Ontario Overview: This paper will focus on why some neighborhood Overview: This paper will provide valuable insights into the councils in the City of Los Angeles are more active than others. history of the debate, discuss major policy alternatives, and Through case studies, two hypotheses will be examined. assess the future of a federal patients’ bill of rights. Paper Community Learning: Rethinking Public Participation from Paper Who's Minding Our Knees? Sham Surgery, Medical a Community Perspective Evidence, and the Representation of Diffuse Interests in Rick Morse, Iowa State University Health Policy Overview: This paper outlines a concept of community learning Alan Gerber, Yale University based on the relationship between processes of collective Eric Patashnik, University of Virginia learning and the social structure of community. Six postulates Overview: We examine the health care system’s response to a are presented along with illustrative examples from landmark study finding that a common surgical procedure is no participatory practice. more effective than a placebo. We discuss implications for Disc. Jill Tao, University of Oklahoma professional self-regulation, “policy learning,” and political Kenneth J. Heineman, Ohio University, Lancaster representation. Paper The Un-Politics of Health Care Reform 37-5 THE ENVIRONMENT AND GOVERNMENT Richard Kronick, University of California, San Diego INSTITUTIONS Overview: This paper describes the political coalition that supported the enactment of the Health Insurance Act of 2003 in Room TBA, Sat 8:30 California, a landmark piece of legislation requiring medium Chair Paul J. Culhane, Northern Illinois University and large-size employers to either provide health insurance or Paper Community-Based Environmental Protection: A Status pay a fee. Report and Some New Evidence Disc. Sorina O. Vlaicu, University of Western Ontario

108 Updated 03-01-05 Anne M. Gurnack, University of Wisconsin, Parkside Chair Matthew Moen, University of South Dakota Paper The New Idealogy? Accessibilty, Religiosity, Issue 42-1 INSTITUTIONAL INTERACTIONS AND Preferences and Political Partisanship in American Politics CULTURE Eric S. Zeemering, Indiana University Michael W. Wagner, Indiana University Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Overview: We argue that citizens are able to use their Chair Dave Miller, University of Pittsburgh religiosity, that is, the degree of their religious orthodoxy, to Paper Institutional Impositions and Local Articulations: Exploring provide an organized set of cues that inform their issue the Analytics of Market Formations and State Retraction in preferences and partisan choices. Rural Africa Paper Does a Candidate's Religion Matter? Parakh Hoon, American University Stephen T. Mockabee, University of Cincinnati Overview: The paper traces local embedding of global market Overview: This paper uses data from surveys and experiments and community oriented conservation and development to examine how the religion of political candidates impacts strategies. Findings speak to recent theorizing on informal voters' evaluations. I find that in certain cases the candidate's institutions especially the articulation of market with non- religion does exert a significant influence on vote choice. market informal relations. Paper Exploring County-Level Changes in Presidential Voting and Paper Cultural Variations and Understandings of Public Service Religious Adherence George W. Dougherty, University of Pittsburgh, GSPIA Clifford Grammich, RAND Corporation David Y. Miller, University of Pittsburgh Bryan Shepherd, University of Texas, Austin Overview: This paper uses semantic differential techniques to Chris Ellison, University of Texas, Austin determine the relationship between political culture and views Overview: This paper will explore county-level changes in of public service areas (public & nonprofit administration, religious adherence and presidential voting in 1980 and 2000, volunteering, political participation, & corporate responsibility). with some preliminary analyses of presidential voting by county Paper State in Mind: The Republican Bases of American State- in 2004. led Social Reform and Development: 1877-1900 Paper Catholic Bishops and Catholic Voters in the 2004 Jonathon S. O’Hara, University of Southern California Presidential Campaign Overview: The following proposed research proposal attempts Mary C. Segers, Rutgers University to explain the impetus toward late 19th century American Overview: This paper examines the Catholic church's reaction political institutional change at the national level from a to John Kerry's candidacy in the 2004 presidential campaign and republican ideological perspective. how Catholics actually voted in the 2004 election. Disc. Dave Miller, University of Pittsburgh Paper The Case of Bush’s Reelection: Did Gay Marriage Do It?

Quin Monson, Brigham Young University 43-4 THE STATE AND SOCIAL INSTITUTIONS David E. Campbell, University of Notre Dame Room TBA, Sat 8:30 Overview: Was Bush's reelection helped by the gay marriage Chair Jeff Manza, Northwestern University issue? Paper A Comparative Study of Inequality and Corruption Disc. J. Matthew Wilson, Southern Methodist University Jong-sung You, Harvard University Sanjeev Khagram, Harvard University 53-101 ROUNDTABLE: THE POLITICIZED Overview: We propose theoretical reasons why income inequality increases corruption. Our comparative analysis of PRESIDENCY: A TWENTY YEAR 129 countries, using instrumental variables method, shows that PERSPECTIVE inequality increases corruption and affects norms and Room TBA, Sat 8:30 perceptions about corruption. Panelist Burt Rockman, Ohio State University Paper Institutional Class Positions: Recasting Weberian Terry M. Moe, Stanford University Stratification Theory for the Study of Modern Institutions William Howell, Harvard University of Social Provision David Lewis, Princeton University Olena M. Prokopovych, Cornell University Richard Waterman, University of Kentucky Overview: The concept of class is rethought through Matthew Dickinson, Middlebury College engagement with Weber, stratification theory, and feminist Overview: A roundtable discussion that assesses the merits, critiques to yield a novel theoretical framework for impacts, and implications of Terry M. Moe's "The Politicized understanding the structure and politics of private organizations Presidency", published twenty years ago, and considers the involved in social provision. theoretical and empirical issues that surround the study of the Paper Networks of Political Action and Socio-Technical institutional preside Coordination: Business Associations in the U.S. Information and Communications Sector Johannes M. Bauer, Michigan State University Saturday, April 9 – 10:30 am – 12:15 pm Volker Schneider, University of Konstanz Overview: This reports the findings of a theoretical and 1-102 ROUNDTABLE: BECOMING FACULTY: empirical analysis of the associational structures and patterns of TRANSITION TO THE FIRST YEAR (Co- competition, cooperation and coordination between important sponsored with Midwest Women's Caucus, see business associations in the U.S. information and 46-103) communications sector. Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Paper Stealthy Wealth: The Untold Story of Welfare Privatization Chair Becoming Faculty: Transition to the First Year Michelle Brophy-Baermann, University of Wisconsin Jeanette Mendez, University of Houston Andrew J. Bloeser, University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point Candice Ortbals-Wiser, Pepperdine University Overview: Welfare reform was a high profile issue until Tracy Osborn, Bridgewater State College PRWORA of 1996 ended welfare as we knew it. Yet one piece Tasha Philpot, University of Texax, Austin of reform, privatization, was/is all but ignored by elected Jennifer Lawless, Brown University officials, media and the public. We investigate the politics of Andrea McAtee, Indiana State University welfare privatization. Overview: This roundtable will discuss and provide advice on Disc. Jeff Manza, Northwestern University the transition from graduate student to junior faculty.

44-5 RELIGION AND AMERICAN ELECTIONS Room TBA, Sat 8:30

Updated 03-01-05 109 “nationalization,” a party trait tied to democratic function and 2-5 ELECTORAL POLITICS OF MULTI-LEVEL stability. GOVERNANCE (Co-sponsored with Disc. Bingham Powell, University of Rochester Orit Kedar, University of Michigan Representation and Electoral Systems, see 18- 11) 3-15 SOCIAL MOVEMENTS AND Room TBA, Sat 10:30 MOBILIZATION Chair Brian Gaines, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Paper Electoral Externalities in Federations Paper Why Ethnic Parties? Evidence from Sri Lanka, Bulgaria Erik Wibbels, University of Washington and Malaysia on Mobilizational Resources, Political Jonathan Rodden, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Entrepreneurs and Selective Incentives Overview: We do an analysis of the link between federal and Nikolaos Biziouras, Harvard University regional elections in federations. We explain the links between Overview: Multiethnic countries have experienced politics the two and analyze a new data set that includes regional-level along ethnic lines. We argue that this type of mobilization is the results of both federal and regional elections in federations. result of political entrepreneurs attempting to solve free rider Paper Voting in EU Parliamentary and National Parliamentary problems while utilizing existing organizational networks. Elections: A Test of Stategic Sequential Voting Paper Student Movements and State Capacity in Authoritarian Joshua A. Tucker, Princeton University Regimes: Cases of Burma and the People’s Republic of Adam Meirowitz, Princeton University China Overview: We consider the incentives for strategic voting in Hee-jin Han, Northern Illinois University sequential elections, and test the propositions of this model on Jason Johnson, Northern Illinois University an original dataset covering all EU parliamentary elections and Overview: This paper explains why student movements of related national elections. Burma (1988) and China (1989) failed in producing a Paper Party Aggregation and Political Institutions: Moving democratic transition based on each country’s state capacity and Beyond Electoral Systems each states use of structural power. Heather Stoll, Stanford University and University of Paper Muslim Separatist Movements in Thailand and the California, Santa Barbara Philippines Overview: The paper argues that party aggregation should be Jason Johnson, Northern Illinois University explained by both the vertical and the horizontal structures of Overview: This paper assesses Muslim separatist movements in government. Hypotheses are tested using an original time-series Thailand and the Philippines. cross-section data set. Paper The Degeneration of the Party-State in the Age of Reform: Paper The Role of National Party Systems in the Success of the Local Government in China's Central Provinces in the European Integration 1990s Olga Shvetsova, Binghamton University and California Wu Zhang, Cornell University Institute of Technology Overview: The 1990s saw increased peasant protest in central Mikhail Filippov, Washington University China. This was caused by the degeneration of the disciplined Overview: We identify the pattern of competition among major party-state into a corrupt and predatory local bureaucracy. domestic parties in Europe as an important condition of the EU Dis. Christian Rivers, Depaul University integration success, and argue for the inclusion in the analysis of Bandita Sijapati, Syracuse University integration variables that characterize domestic party systems

Disc. Brian Gaines, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Thomas Gschwend, University of Mannheim 3-20 STATE-SOCIETY RELATIONS, DEVELOPMENT, AND CONFLICT 2-7 PARTY SYSTEMS I Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Chair Maqsood A. Choudary, Delta College Chair Bingham Powell, University of Rochester Paper The Crisis of Governance and Maoist Insurgency in Nepal: Paper Ideological Linkage between Districts of Mixed Electoral Will Nepal be a failed State? Systems Pramod K. Kantha, Lincoln University, Jefferson City Susumu Shikano, University of Mannheim Overview: The paper will examine the trajectory that derailed Overview: The paper examines the reinforcing effect of mixed Nepal's newly crafted democratic process and faced the country electoral systems on the linkage between electoral districts. The with a widespread Maoist insurgency that claim to be paper analyzes the linkage from the view of ideological effectively controlling more than half of the country. constellation using survey data from Germany, New Zealand, Paper Development Organizations as Interest Groups: Grassroots and Japan. Entrepreneurship and Social Capital Formation Paper Institutional Rules and Opposition Fragmentation in Laura A. Locker, Johns Hopkins University Parliamentary Democracies Overview: In this paper I suggest that debates about the relative Ko Maeda, Michigan State University success of development organizations and the associated the Overview: I empirically assess the effects of institutional rules-- concept of “bridging” social capital can be linked and be both electoral and parliamentary--on the degree of opposition enriched by insights from the literature on interest groups. party fragmentation in Parliamentary Democracies. Paper Rethinking Repression: Political Unions and Economic Paper Major Electoral Reforms and Party Position-Taking Development in South Asia Salomon E. Orellana, Michigan State University Emmanuel J. Teitelbaum, Cornell University Yael Shomer, Michigan State University Overview: The paper examines how political responses to Overview: We use cases of major electoral reforms and organized labor affect economic development in South Asia. manifesto data to test the impact of electoral systems--and the Paper Dependency and Efficacy: An Analysis of the Influence of centripetal versus centrifugal incentives they give rise to--on State Interventions on NGO’s Efficacy in China party promulgation behavior. Yaping Wang, National University of Singapore Paper Reexamining the Nationalization of Parties Overview: This research tries to discover how NGO’s Scott Morgenstern, Duke University dependency and efficacy covariate and what are the Stephen Swindle, Lee University mechanisms that work through state interventions on NGOs’ Luigi Manzetti, Southern Methodist University efficacy. Overview: This paper uses district-level electoral data from 30 Paper Opening Spaces: The Construction of Political countries to analyze the consistency of parties’ support across a Opportunities Along Mexico’s Northern Border country. The paper thus contributes to the study Daniel M. Sabet, Indiana University

110 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This study seeks to explain variation in civil society – government relations and the creation of political 6-202 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: STATE opportunities for civil society organizations to address problems FORMATION AND STATE POWER of water and sanitation along Mexico’s northern border. Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Disc. Maqsood A. Choudary, Delta College Presenter Marginal Publics: Reconsidering the Legacy of Liberalism

and State Building in Late XIXth Century Latin America 4-8 STUDIES OF SOCIAL CAPITAL Luis J. Romero Leon, New School for Social Research Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: I propose an investigation of the process of State Paper Community Heterogeneities, Social Capital, and Political formation in Latin America to explore the causes and effects of Institutions the centralization of authority after 1860 in Argentina, Brazil Satoshi Machida, University of Kentucky and Mexico. Overview: This study shows that consensus types of democracies are more effective than majoritarian democracies 8-3 AID AND INVESTMENT IN AFRICA in producing bridging social capital in heterogeneous Room TBA, Sat 10:30 environments. It also incorporates the effects of regime Chair John J. Quinn, Truman State University longevity into the analysis. Paper American Promotion of Investment for the Enhancement of Paper The Adverse Consequences of Trust in Government Power in Africa Nathan F. Batto, University of California, San Diego Roshen Hendrickson, Northwestern University Overview: Most literature on trust in government focuses on the Overview: This paper provides a historical analysis of measures benefits of high levels of trust. This paper uses a delegation taken to promote American investment in Sub-saharan Africa model and survey data from East Asia to argue that there are since 1960 and argues that this was a response to shifts in the also severe adverse consequences of trust in government. global economy rather than domestic pressures or party politics. Disc. Herrigel Gary, University of Chicago Paper Trade and Development: Has the African Opportunity and

Growth Act Promoted Economic Development in Africa? 4-10 DEMOCRATIZATION: CULTURAL Rhonda M. Horried, Syracuse University & US Government APPROACHES Accountab lity Office Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: This policy analysis assesses the U.S. government’s Chair Andrew P. Miller, Butler University trade and development strategy to promote economic growth Paper Ghosts of the Past. The Politics of Memory in Democratic using the African Opportunity and Growth Act. Transitions: Italy, Germany and the New Europe. Paper Explaining State Crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa : An Analysis Roberto A. Ventresca, King's University College of the Transformation of the Cameroonian State through Overview: I will explore the relationship between history, Privatisation. public memory, national identity and public policy in Italy and Ta-Mbi Nkongho, University of Sussex Germany after 1945. I will consider how this complex Overview: Sub-Saharan Africa is at crossroads. Despite relationship influences Italian and German attitudes and policies persistent reforms for 2 decades, is glaring as confirmed now by today. Oxfam that the region is worst-off than 20 years ago, when the Paper The Formation of the Modern Public Sphere in the Middle crisis began. The need to reassess the crisis and the East and the Dialectics of Modernization: Reflections on transformation process. Installed Democratization Paper From Conditionality to Commitment: Assessing Ashraf N. El Sherif, Boston University Government Ownership of Neoliberal Reforms in 16 Overview: This paper will explore the formation of the modern African Countries, 1992-2000 public sphere in the Middle East product of social conflicts for M Anne Pitcher, Colgate University hegemony. Focus of research will be on the modern legal Overview: The paper measures government commitment to system and discourse and the case studies will be Egypt, Turkey neoliberal reforms in 16 African countries from 1992-2000. The and Iran. index shows considerable divergence in commitment levels and Paper The Diffusion Hypothesis: Exporting Democratic Values via challenges claims that African governments lack the will to International Media. reform. P. Matthew Loveless, Indiana University, Bloomington Disc. John J. Quinn, Truman State University Overview: This is an empirical examination of the diffusion hypothesis in Central and Eastern Europe. The influence of 9-5 MASS BEHAVIOR AND PARTIES IN THE international media is analyzed at the micro-level during POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD democratization. The findings suggest an alternative to the Room TBA, Sat 10:30 diffusion hypothesis. Chair David R. Foley, Canisius College Disc. Andrew Roberts, Northwestern University Paper Social Capital as a Catalyst For Poliltical Participation:

Testing the Mobilization Hypothesis in Romania 6-201 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: Paul E. Sum, University of North Dakota IMMIGRATION - MYTHS AND FACTS Overview: I ask whether members of civil society in Romania Room TBA, Sat 10:30 participate in larger numbers proportionately relative to the rest Presenter “Separating Myth from Fact in the Debated Over the of society, and if so, what causal mechanisms explain this Impact of Mexican Immigrants on Border Wages outcome. Richard D. Shingles, Virginia Tech University Paper Revisiting Russian and Polish Elite Value Orientations: Are Overview: Contrary to popular opinion non-Mexican-origin the Ruling Elites Still Committed to the Original Goals of wage earners do not suffer from competition with Mexican Post-Communist Transitions? immigrants. The "border-wage" in Southern California and Katia M. Levintova, Texas A&M University, Texarkana Texas is a "Mexican" wage that actually privileges Non- Overview: This paper explores the evolution of political, Hispanic Whites economic and foreign policy value orientations of the Russian Presenter The Political Economy of Mexico-United States Migration: and Polish ruling elites throughout the post-Communist period Migration and Electoral Competition at the Sub-National and discusses the differences between the two cases. Level (A View from the Source Country) Paper Political Party Institutionalization and Distrust Among East Jorge Bravo, Duke University European Voters Overview: The Political Economy of Mexico-US Migration: Joseph W. Robbins, Texas Tech University Migration and Electoral Competition at the Sub-National Level Overview: This study examines voter trust in East European (A View from the Source Country). countries to assess the prevalence of split-ticket voting. I

Updated 03-01-05 111 hypothesize that voters who distrust political parties split their Room TBA, Sat 10:30 ticket to mitigate the possible effects of electing one dominant Presenter Will Future Wars be Justly Fought? Assessing Future party. Warfighting Concepts in Light of Jus in Bello Principles Paper Changing Rule Between the Danube and the Tatras: Peter W. Wielhouwer, US JFCOM Political Culture in Independent Slovakia 1993 - 2003 Overview: Assessment of whether future US wars will be James W. Warhola, University of Maine conducted according to ‘jus in bello’ principles. Evidence Overview: This study examines the political culture of comes from the author’s unique access to experiments contemporary Slovakia, focusing particularly on the patterns of conducted by US Joint Forces Command’s Concept mass attitudes, beliefs, values, and behavior regarding political Development & Experimentation directorate. matters in the first decade of Slovakia's independence (1993- Presenter Some Suggestions on Pre-emptive War from Medieval Arab 2003). Political Philosophy Paper The Content and Organization of Mass Political Ann C. Wyman, Missouri Southern State University Predispositions in the Czech Republic and Slovakia Overview: The writings of Alfarabi suggest revisions of just Lisa M. Pohlman, University of Pittsburgh war criteria for pre-emptive war that are both consistent with Overview: I examine which predispositions matter to citizens’ Islam and pertinent to modern conditions. The suggestions are political decision-making [and how], the extent to which these primarily derived from his concepts of right authority and self- predispositions are cognitively organized, and their longevity in defense. Czech and Slovak political culture since before the communist period. 11-8 POLITICAL ECONOMY OF Disc. Carol S. Leff, University of Illinois INTERNATIONAL TRADE

10-10 THE DESIGN OF INTERNATIONAL POLICYMAKING Room TBA, Sat 10:30 ORGANIZATIONS Chair Andy Baker, Northeastern University Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Paper Patterns of Import Tariff Setting in Brazil: An Empirical Chair Lilach Gilady, Yale University Investigation of the Grossman-Helpman Trade Model Paper Dispute Settlement Design for Unequal Partners: A Game Monica Arruda, University of California, Los Angeles Theoretic Approach Overview: "What Prevents Economic Liberalization? The Catherine C. Langlois, Georgetown University Political Economy of Trade Protectionism Jean-Pierre P. Langlois, San Francisco State University Paper How Common is the Common External Tariff? Domestic Overview: This research explores and compares alternative Influences on European Union Trade Policy designs for the settlement of disputes between unequal treaty Sean D. Ehrlich, University at Buffalo-SUNY signatories. Overview: This paper examines the extent to which domestic Paper Information Mechanisms in International Cooperation: political and economic factors affect the setting of EU-level Sources of Non-Compliance and Value of External trade policy, focusing on the role of domestic institutions and Information Devices interest groups. Hyeran Jo, University of Michigan Paper Learning to Love Globalization: The College Effect on Overview: This paper considers the role of information systems Individual Attitudes Toward International Trade of international institutions in the presence of differing sources Jens Hainmueller, Harvard University of non-compliance. Michael J. Hiscox, Harvard University Paper A Climate for Change: Uncertainty, Flexibility and the Overview: This paper re-examines the link between education Rational Design of the Kyoto Regime and attitudes towards trade. Using various surveys, we show Alexander Thompson, Ohio State University that in contrast to the interpretation proposed in prior research, Overview: This paper analyzes international climate this relationship is not primarily a product of distributional negotiations to test rational institutional design hypotheses concerns. regarding flexibility as a solution to uncertainty problems. Paper The Political Economy of Subnational Protectionism: Policy Paper Opening the Black Box: What International Relations Can Responses to Globalization by American State Governments Learn from Public Policy Pierre Martin, Universite de Montreal Maryam Z. Deloffre, George Washington University François Vaillancourt, Universite de Montreal Overview: This paper argues that theories of public policy can Overview: We seek to assess and explain levels of state-level inform IR scholarship on organizations. By reviewing the public responses to globalization in the US, focusing on Buy-American policy literature and transferring the insights to IR, I offer a regulations and policies addressing offshore outsourcing. We method for opening and examining the black box of develop and test political-economy models adapted to state- organizations. level politics. Disc. Lilach Gilady, Yale University Disc. Andy Baker, Northeastern University

10-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: POLITICAL 11-13 REGULATING INVESTMENT IN ISLAM DEVELOPING COUNTRIES Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Presenter Islam and Liberalism: Incompatible Imperatives Chair Kenneth Scheve, University of Michigan Tseggai Isaac, University of Missouri, Rolla Paper Government Courtship of Migradollars: International Overview: This paper intends to define the points divergence Migrants’ Remittances and Policy Intervention in the Case between Islam and liberalism. Liberalism cherishes universal of Contemporary Mexico freedoms. Islam rejects universal freedoms for the sake of Els de Graauw, University of California, Berkeley community and faith solidarity. Overview: This paper describes and analyzes various national Presenter The Effect of Islamic Fundamentalism on State Power and bi-national policies initiated by the Mexican government in William R. Torrance, Northern Arizona University attempts to stimulate the flow of international migrants’ Overview: An investigation into the effect of Islamic remittances to Mexico and to incentivize their productive fundamentalist movements and organizations on state investment at home. government power. Paper The Political Economy of Capital Inflow and Outflow Controls in Developing Countries 10-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: JUST WAR Steven R. Hall, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill THEORY Overview: This paper explains differences in capital inflow and outflow regulation in developing countries. A cross sectional

112 Updated 03-01-05 time series analysis demonstrates that interest group preferences Paper UN Peacekeeping: Treaties, Signaling, and the Impact of vary over these dimensions. International Norms Paper Firmly Invested: The Determinants of Cross-Industry Timothy A. Carter, Notre Dame University Variation in FDI Restrictions Overview: How can the UN use treaties as signals when they Sonal S. Pandya, Harvard University are often tactical ploys? Using a signaling game, I show that the Overview: I seek to explain cross-industry variation in UN can use peace treaties as signals because it likes them. With restrictions on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow using a this, however, comes a greater likelihood of failed model of FDI’s domestic distributional effects to derive peacekeeping. hypotheses and an original dataset of FDI restrictions to test Disc. Patrick Bratton, Catholic University of America these hypotheses. Paper Incentive Structure behind Diasporic Transnational Capital 14-1 TERRORISM AND ELECTIONS IN Flows WESTERN DEMOCRACIES (Co-sponsored Michael J. Popovic, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: I examine international capital flows and investments with Elections and Voting Behavior, see 17-23) that originate in diasporas and conclude that transnationalism Room TBA, Sat 10:30 and the identity of the investing individual have a significant Chair Brian D. Silver, Michigan State University impact on investment decisions in addition to economic Paper Terrorism and Israeli Elections considerations Eric M. Uslaner, University of Maryland Disc. Charles R. Hankla, Emory University Daphna Canetti-Nisim, University of Haifa Kenneth Scheve, University of Michigan Ami Pedahzur, University of Haifa Overview: Effects of terrorism, social trust, and political 12-8 THE POLITICS OF ECONOMIC orientations on Israeli elections. Paper Terrorism and the 2004 Election in Spain LIBERALIZATION Valentina A. Bali, Michigan State University Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: Effects of the Madrid bombings, concern about Chair Gina Yannitell Reinhardt, Washington University terrorism, foreign policy attitudes (including the Iraq War), Paper Party Ideology and Policy Choices in Latin America domestic policy attitudes and partisanship on the vote in the Daniela Campello, University of California, Los Angeles 2004 Spanish election. Overview: I intend to investigate the determinants and Paper Terrorism and the 2004 U.S. Election conditions that affect the widespread adoption of neoliberal Darren W. Davis, Michigan State University policies by left-wing governments in Latin America, occurred in Brian D. Silver, Michigan State University the last two decades. Overview: Effects of the threat of terrorism, foreign policy Paper Endogenous Coalitions: The Effect of Liberalizing attitudes (including support for the Iraq War), domestic policy International Agreements on Domestic Coalition Formation attitudes, and partisanship on voter decisions in the 2004 Nathan Gallagher, University of California, San Diego Presidential election. Overview: Liberalizing international agreements decrease the Disc. Michael S. Lewis-Beck, University of Iowa probability a government will later provide protection for uncompetitive industries, encouraging holders of capital to 14-9 ECONOMIC FACTORS AND CIVIL reallocate, at a cost, to competitive industries. Paper Globalizing Liberalization: International Economic CONFLICT Integration and Political Reforms in Developing Countries Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Moonhawk Kim, Stanford University Chair Brian Pollins, Bellarmine University Overview: I argue that market and institutional mechanisms of Paper The Impact of Economic Factors on Civil War Duration international economic integration constrain non-liberal political Dagmar Radin, University of North Texas leaders’ ability to maintain their support base. This constraint Amber R. Aubone, University of North Texas facilitates political liberalization in developing countries. Madhav Joshi, University of North Texas Paper Financial Transfers for the Environment: A Strategic Model Overview: This study proposes that two specific economic of Interaction between Domestic and International Actors factors impact the duration of civil war: loans from international Elena V. Plaxina, University of Rochester organizations and trade. Overview: This paper examines the strategic interaction Paper Economic Liberalization & Its Impact on Civil War, 1870- between donors of financial environmental aid, national 1997 governments and NGOs to show that international institutions Mohammed R. Abouharb, Binghamton University can be successful in attracting countries' support for Meggan Fitzgerald, Binghamton University environmental protection. Overview: Does economic liberalization increase the probability Disc. Martin Edwards, Texas Tech University of civil war? Findings indicate that governments’ choosing to liberalize reduces the probability of civil war, while 13-8 INSTITUTIONS, ORGANIZATIONS AND liberalization under the supervision of the World Bank and IMF increases it. SECURITY Paper The Nature of Political Protest: A Continuum for Developed Room TBA, Sat 10:30 and Developing Countries Chair Patrick Bratton, Catholic University of America Charity K. Butcher, Indiana University Paper Determinants of UN Peacekeeping Operations Overview: This paper is an attempt to synthesize the various Alexander Kuo, Stanford University findings from previous political protest literature into a multi- Overview: What explains variation in the characteristics of UN level model that can account for the theoretical differences in peacekeeping operations (UNPKOs)? I use data on UN missions protest behavior between developed and developing countries. and civil wars to account for variation in the function, mandate Paper Examining the Causal Mechanisms Leading to Civil specificity, and resources of UNPKOs. Conflict: A Dynamic Test of the Greed Versus Grievance Paper The Conditions shaping NATO’s Enlargement Theories of Civil War Ivan D. Ivanov, University of Cincinnati Clayton L. Thyne, University of Iowa Overview: The paper argues NATO’s eastern enlargement can Overview: This study examines the “greed” versus “grievance” be explained by the interaction of realist and liberal variables. theories of civil war using two competing dynamic models: The realist variables interact on the economic principle of predator/prey versus predator/predator. Competing hypotheses complementarities, whereas liberal – on the principle of are tested using spectral analysis of events data in Colombia compatibility. from 1945—1993. Disc. Ravi Bhavnani, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign

Updated 03-01-05 113 Travis N. Ridout, Washington State University 15-6 PUBLIC OPINION, MEDIA, AND FOREIGN Michael M. Franz, University of Wisconsin-Madison POLICY Overview: I assess the impact of ad tone--whether negative ads or positive ads are more persuasive--by examining U.S. Senate Room TBA, Sat 10:30 races. I also ask whether the impact of ad tone depends on Chair Richard Sobel, Harvard University viewer characteristics, specifically their partisanship and Paper Iraq 2004: Countervailing Messages and Public Support for sophistication. the President's Handling of Iraq in the 2004 Election Paper Opinion Effects: Timing versus Tone in Campaign Dunia Andary, Texas A&M University Advertising Overview: Using time-series, I evaluate support for the David Greenwald, Univresity of California, Davis president’s handling of Iraq during the 2004 election. I examine Overview: This paper seeks to independently examine the how success or failure, defined by members of the political and effects of timing and tone of campaign ads on voter choice. media elite, influence public evaluations of the president’s Iraq Controlling for timing of an ad, does its tone matter? policy. Controlling for the tone of ads, are there independent effects for Paper The Influence of Public Attention in American Foreign when it is aired? Policy Disc. Jeffrey W. Koch, SUNY, Geneseo College Tom Knecht, University of Denver John Sides, University of Texas, Austin Overview: This paper assesses the relationship between public

opinion and American foreign policy. The interaction of mass preferences and issue salience can provide variation in 17-15 UNDERSTANDING PARTY presidential responsiveness to public opinion within the same IDENTIFICATION AND POLARIZATION policy case. Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Paper Measuring Soft Power: Presidential Framing of September Chair Geoff Layman, University of Maryland 11th and Australian Press Coverage Paper Sorting, Not Polarization: The Changing Nature of Party ID Nathalie J. Frensley, University of Texas, Austin and Ideology in the American Electorate Gregory Brown, University of Texas, Austin Matthew S. Levendusky, Stanford University Nelson Michaud, École nationale d’administration publique Overview: Journalists claim the American electorate is divided, Overview: We content analyze Bush’s 9/11 speeches and yet academics studies reveal little to no support for that Australian newspaper coverage to assess whether foreign media conclusion. It is better ideological sorting of partisans rather were receptive to frames the Bush administration invoked in than electoral polarization that explains American electoral early problem definitions and response justifications for the War behavior. on Terrorism. Paper Formalizing V.O.Key: Retrospective Voting as Adaptive Disc. Richard S. Flickinger, Wittenberg University Behavior Jonathan Bendor, Stanford University 16-102 ROUNDTABLE: THE POLITICAL Sunil Kumar, Stanford University PSYCHOLOGY OF SURVEYS David Siegel, Stanford University Overview: We formalize retrospective voting by positing that if Room TBA, Sat 10:30 an incumbent’s performance exceeds voter A’s aspiration then Chair James N. Druckman, University of Minnesota A becomes more likely to vote for the incumbent; otherwise, Panelist Arthur Lupia, University of Michigan less likely. We prove that this endogenously generates partisan Kathleen Jamieson, University of Pennsylvania voting. Diana Mutz, University of Pennsylvania Paper Mandates for “Maytags”? Jon Krosnick, Stanford University Michael E. Greenberg, Shippensburg University Overview: "The Political Psychology of Surveys" with Gordon S. Bergsten, Dickinson College representation from NES, TESS, and the Annenberg study. It Overview: This paper modifies the retrospective voting model will a forum to inform the audience of the latest developments to incorporate the approach of economists studying durable with the respective surveys and discuss psychological issues. goods. We posit a relationship with the incumbent party that is

similar to consumers’ relationship with durable goods. 17-14 TALKING TO VOTERS: ADVERTISING AND ELITE RHETORIC IN POLITICAL Paper Alternative Measures of Partisanship: Post-Soviet Russia CAMPAIGNS Tassili M. Pender, Harvard University Room TBA, Sat 10:30 George Soroka, Department of Government, Harvard Chair John Sides, University of Texas, Austin University Paper Campaigning Against Washington: An Analysis of Senate Overview: Self identification of partisanship may be a measure Candidates Running as Washington Outsiders suited to a specific institutional context. Behavioral indicators Matthew L. Bergbower, Southern Illinois University may better predict consistent partisanship in other contexts. We Overview: I examine Senate candidates utilizing a Washington test the robustness of this conclusion using new survey data. outsider campaign strategy. My analysis seeks to understand Paper The Partisan and Ideological Consequences of Partisan and why certain candidates will pursue this strategy. Ideological Legislation Paper Post-election Depolarization: The 2000 Presidential Contest Matthew G. Jarvis, University of California, Berkeley David J. Hadley, Wabash College Overview: This paper explores the voting behavior and public Justin Grimmer, Wabash College opinion consequences of the ideological or partisan direction of Overview: Analysis of opinion polarization, as measured by the legislative record of Congress. differences in candidate thermometer ratings, after the 2000 Disc. Laura Stephenson, University of Western Ontario presidential election finds elite rhetoric and official resolution of Geoff Layman, University of Maryland the conflict to be key determinants of postelection depolarization. 18-4 CONGRESSIONAL REPRESENTATION Paper The Role of Sponsorship in Negative Political Advertising AND RESPONSIVENESS Yanjun Zhao, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: This experiment examines the role of sponsorhip in Chair Craig Goodman, Kennesaw State University negative political advertising. Specifically, this study compares Paper Responsiveness and Congressional Representation: The the effectiveness of negative political ads sponsored by Myth of Salience candidates with effects of third-party sponsored ads. Benjamin G. Bishin, University of Miami Paper Are Advertising Tone and Campaign Tone the Same?

114 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Scholars have long puzzled over why studies of Overview: Late night comics engage in a unique form of legislators’ roll call votes reach conflicting results. political punditry. This project offers a textual analysis of Paper Policy Representation in the U.S. Congress, 1982- monologue jokes about the 2004 presidential debates, 2002:Testing a Signalling-Learning Model of Roll-Call highlighting themes and exploring implications on viewers’ Responsiveness perceptions. Phillip Ardoin, Appalachian State University Paper The Effects of 'The Daily Show' On Young Americans' Ronald J. Vogel, Southern University Evaluations of Presidential Candidates Overview: This research proposes and tests a signaling-learning Jody C. Baumgartner, East Carolina University model of legislative representation. Results show support for Jonathan S. Morris, East Carolina University several aspects of the signaling-learning model which have Overview: Our project examines the effects of exposure to Jon significant implications for legislative representation and Stewart's "Daily Show" on young people's evaluations of the redistricting. 2004 presidential candidates. Disc. Craig Goodman, Kennesaw State University Paper Priming through Parody: The Collective Influence of Non- Traditional Political Information and Presidential Debates 19-9 ISSUE FRAMING on Young Voters Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Justin D. Martin, University of Florida Chair Thomas Nelson, Ohio State University Lynda Lee Kaid, University of Florida Paper A Question of War: Question Wording, Framing, and Kristen Landreville, University of Florida Support for the Two Gulf Wars Overview: This study, conducted at a large, southeastern Stephen A. Borrelli, University of Alabama university, analyzes the collective influence of non-traditional Brad Lockerbie, University of Georgia political communication messages and presidential debates on Overview: An empirical analysis of the impact of variations in young voters. question wording on aggregate public support for the Gulf Wars Paper The Mocking of America: How Satire Influences the of 1991 and 2003 prior to their commencement. Political Opinions of New Voters Paper More than Weighting Cognitive Importance: A Dual- Rachel Paine Caufield, Drake University Process Model of Issue Framing Effects Overview: Using survey methods and focus groups, this paper Rune Slothuus, University of Aarhus, Denmark seeks to understand how modern political satire influences the Overview: Issue framing effects on citizens’ opinion formation attitudes of new voters (aged 18-21). is not only mediated through a process of changing importance Disc. R. Andrew Holbrook, Ohio State University of beliefs. For some, also belief change mediates the effect. This Keena Lipsitz, University of California, Berkeley dual-process model is supported by experimental data. Paper Ethnocentric Framing Effects on United States Third-Party 22-6 CONTEMPORARY FEMINIST Interventions THEORIZING Gaye B. Muderrisoglu, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: The study contributes towards questions of Chair Penny A. Weiss, Purdue University ethnocentric manipulation of the evaluation of intervention Paper Sex in the Bourgeois City: Tocqueville and Rousseau on the choices of the U.S. via cost-benefit framing. Role of Women in Modern Society Paper "Cultural Resonance" as a Variable Mediating the Susan Hamilton, Harvard University Influence of Issue Frames Overview: An examination of Tocqueville's reliance on and Jesse H. Rhodes, University of Virginia modification of Rousseau's controversial sexual politics. Overview: I conduct a framing experiment to test whether the Paper The Feminist (Re)Construction of Equality "resonance" of the values expressed in the frame with dominant Hee-Kang Kim, University of Chicago cultural narratives and values impacts the ability of the frame to Overview: My paper provides an outline of a new theory of influence opinions about alterative welfare benefits policies. equality that is compatible with a feminist Disc. Thomas Nelson, Ohio State University perspective. Zoe Oxley, Union College Paper Rethinking Parallel Tracks: The Politics of Feminism and Masculinity 20-14 INDIVIDUAL FINANCIERS OF Jennifer Gaboury, CUNY Graduate Center PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Overview: While the study of masculinity has increased Room TBA, Sat 10:30 dramatically, such work has not served to reconceptualize the Chair John C. Green, University of Akron ways in which feminist politics are practiced. In this paper, I Paper Individual Presidential Giving: Innovation and Choice examine how feminist politics might foster changes in Alexandra Cooper, Duke University masculinity. Overview: This paper describes and models inidivual Paper Fetishes of Empowerment contributions to presidential campaigns using new survery data Ann Wilson, Texas A&M University Paper The Day After Reform: Presidential Contributors After Overview: the arguments, the confusions about "empowerment" BCRA in contemporary feminist theory Michael Malbin, Campaign Finance Institute and SUNY Paper Constructing a Woman-Friendly State: Bringing Albany Reproductive Labor Back-In Overview: TBA Eileen McDonagh, Northeastern University Paper The Presidential Donor Pool: Significant Donors Over Time Overview: This paper uses theoretical, historical, and Clyde Wilcox, Georgetown University contemporary perspectives to analyze the impact of labor Overview: This paper describes the pool of significant foundations of the state on women’s access to national political individual donors to presidential campaigns overtime. office. Disc. John C. Green, University of Akron Disc. Penny A. Weiss, Purdue University

21-8 NEWS & ENTERTAINMENT 2: APPEALING 23-301 POSTER SESSION: ETHNIC AND RACIAL TO THE YOUNG? POLITICS Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Chair Keena Lipsitz, University of California, Berkeley Presenter Undergraduate Views on Affirmative Action: Empirical Paper Political Punditry in Punchlines: Late Night Comics’ Evidence from the Hoosier State Treatments of Presidential Debates Matthew T. Bradley, Indiana University, Kokomo Josh Compton, Southwest Baptist University Karl W. Besel, Indiana University, Kokomo

Updated 03-01-05 115 Overview: This paper will investigate views regarding John R. Wallach, Hunter College & The Graduate Center, affirmative action from undergraduates at Indiana University CUNY Kokomo and the implications for American public policy. Overview: A critical evaluation of John Dewey's work on Presenter Measuring the Success of Social Movement Organizations democratic education, in relation to the task of building Mitchell Brown, University of Maryland cosmpolitan community. Overview: This paper reviews and critiques the major outcome Paper Carl Schmitt’s Nomos of the Earth: Global Anti-liberalism measures of social movements and proposes three measures. and the Ubiquity of Politics Presenter Why They Don’t Put Their Money Where Their Mouth Is: Kam Shapiro, Illinois State University Institutional Layering and Modern Swedish Immigrant Overview: This essay critically examines some contemporary Policy adaptations of Carl Schmitt's analysis and critique of global Carl J. Dahlström, Göteborg University juridical and institutional forms. Overview: The purpose of this paper is to propose a model that Paper Becoming Good Europeans: Globality, the EU and the takes institutional layering into account and to use this model to Potential to Realize Nietzsche’s Idea of Europe explain the puzzling discrepancy between rhetoric and practice Michael J. McNeal, Graduate School of International Studies in Swedish immigrant policy. Overview: Nietzsche's vitalist conception of the political is Presenter Ethnic Identity as a Determinant of Political Outcomes in applied to the EU (understood in the context of globalization) to Ukraine adduce how "good Europeans" may exploit globality's abstract Holley Hansen, University of Iowa potential to become more authentic and realize their idea of Vicki L. Hesli, University of Iowa Europe. Overview: This paper considers the degree to which Ukraine Paper Post Cold War Public Spheres: Neither National Nor has been successful in integrating seven different ethnic groups Transnational: A Theory of Transgressive Public Spheres into a common political culture. Richard P. Gilman-Opalsky, New School University Presenter Making Change from Abroad: Transnational Political Overview: Some post Cold War public spheres challenge the Activism in American Cuban and Jewish Communities view that globalization requires a transition from state-bounded Brett S. Heindl, Syracuse University to transnational politics. I show this through an analysis of J. Overview: This paper compares the efforts of American Jewish Habermas’ public sphere theory and the case of the Mexican and Cuban political activists to make change in Israel and Cuba, Zapatistas. respectively. Paper Universal Ethics Without Subjectivity: The Situated Self Presenter Litigating Salvation: Race, Religion and Innocense in the and the Foundation for Global Democracy in the Work of Karla Faye Tucker and Gary Graham Cases Seyla Benhabib Melynda J. Price, University of Michigan Timothy Dale, Notre Dame University Overview: This paper discusses the role of concrete cases on the Overview: This paper examines the work of Seyla Benhabib narratives surrounding the death penalty in Texas. In this paper, suggesting the possibility of a universal political ethic without I analyze the various ways religious and racial narratives are reliance on the notion of a universal subject, assessing its used to sanitize the perception of death row inmates. viability and its ability to hold participants accountable to it. Presenter The Effects of Race, Class, and Ethnicity on Government Disc. Brian J. Shaw, Davidson College Agencies: Deciding Who Gets What, When, and How Roger A. Richardson, University of Southern Indiana 26-5 SOCIAL THEORY: RECOGNITION, Overview: Government agencies that are made up of individuals DEMOCRACY AND GROUP PERSPECTIVE with homogeneous life experiences lack the ability to perceive Room TBA, Sat 10:30 conditions in other communities and develop as well as Chair Michael Neblo, Ohio State University implement policy to address those conditions. Paper Translating ‘Civil Society’ Across Cultures: The

Importance of Recognition 24-8 AUGUSTINE, ARENDT, AND CONNOLLY Aspen Brinton, Georgetown University Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: This paper examines how engaging the Hegelian Chair Robert Pirro, Georgia Southern University notion of ‘recognition’ in contemporary theories of civil society Paper Political Judgment and Moral Activism in Augustine and can illuminate the potentialities and difficulties of translating Arendt what we in the West know as ‘civil society’ to other cultures. Jeffrey A. Becker, University of California, Davis Paper Rethinking Social Group Perspective Overview: This essay argues that the desire for moral Michael R. James, Bucknell University perfection/purity within religious fundamentalism presents an Overview: This paper resolves a debate over the status of eternal threat to the stability of democratic rule. This essay groups based on race, ethnicity, or gender through a addresses Augustine and Arendt probabilistic theory of group perspective and identifies Paper Rebel versus Proletarian: Arendt, Marx, and the Politics of institutions enabling group representation. Action Paper Where to Start: Conceptions of Democracy in Democratic Anita S. Chari, Theory Overview: This essay examines Arendt’s critique of Marx’s David J. Watkins, University of Washington theory of labor and relates that critique to problems in Arendt's Overview: This paper examines the method and content of the theory of action. “starting points” of contemporary democratic theories, and Paper William Connolly’s Democratic Resistance to Augustinian articulates and defends an alternative conception of democracy Theology as the struggle for fairer and more equitable social relations. Peter Busch, Villanova University Disc. Stephen K. White, University of Virginia Overview: This paper investigates William E. Connolly's Michael Neblo, Ohio State University critique of "The Augustinian Imperative." I argue that Connolly's critique is best understood as an act of political 26-17 NATURE AND POLITICAL THEORY resistance rather than as a theological argument. Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Disc. Alexandra Kogl, University of Northern Iowa Chair Leslie F. Goldstein, University of Delaware

Paper The Constitution's Take on Natural Law: Towards the 25-9 GLOBALIZATION & COSMOPOLITANISM Resolution of an Old Debate Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Paul R. DeHart, University of Texas, Austin Chair Brian J. Shaw, Davidson College Overview: In order to figure out the Constitution's theory of Paper John Dewey, Democratic Education, and Cosmopolitan natural law, I suggest using an argument form called inference Community to the best explanation to analyze the Constitution's design.

116 Updated 03-01-05 Paper On 'Nature' as a Standard: Books VII to X of Aristotle's Overview: Using surveys of lobbyists who acted on 80 different Nicomachean Ethics policy proposals, I use the scope and nature of competitive Kathryn E. Sensen, Harvard University lobbying on each proposal to predict lobbyists' strategies, their Overview: It is widely assumed that Aristotle's political success, and the policy outcome. philosophy relies upon "nature" as a standard. What does this Paper When Does Interest Group Policy Information Matter? A mean? And to what extent is it the case? This paper explores Dynamic Study of New Technology Interest Groups’ Use of these questions by analyzing Books VII through X of the Information in Congressional Hearings Nicomachean Ethics. Bryan S. McQuide, University of Illinois at Urbana, Paper We Have Cognition: Grappling with Neuroscience in Champaign Democratic Theory Overview: This paper seeks to evaluate the information theory Francis VanderValk, College at Oneonta of interest group influence by examining the use of political and Overview: This paper addresses the challenges that will be policy information by new technology interest groups in faced by the next generation of political theorists as a result of Congressional hearings over an extended period of time. recent advances in neuroscience and cognitive theory. The Paper Counteractive Lobbying? Assessing the Policy Effects of paper focuses on the question of “tempo” in contemporary Competing Interests society. Susan W. Yackee, University of Michigan Disc. Corey Abel, Metropolitan State College of Denver Overview: I assess whether competitive lobbying takes place in the policy area of medical malpractice reform at the state level. 28-8 ISSUES, IDEOLOGY, AND IDEAL POINTS: I then test for whether competitive lobbying, if present, affects STRATEGIES FOR ESTIMATING MODELS policy outcomes. Disc. Richard Almeida, Southeast Missouri State University WITH UNOBSERVABLE TRAITS (Co- sponsored with Empirical Investigation of 29-10 REPRESENTATION THROUGH PARTIES Theoretical Models, see 50-4) Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Chair Sarah M. Morehouse, University of Connecticut Chair Joshua Clinton, Princeton University Paper Reversal of Fortune: Explaining the Republican- Paper The Endogenous Estimation of Issue Public Measurement Democratic Shift on States Rights Jeffrey D. Grynaviski, University of Chicago Scott C. Pandich, University of Vermont Bryce Corrigan, University of Michigan Overview: This paper seeks to determine whether the American Overview: Our paper examines the possibility of using mixture parties have changed their positions on federalism in response to models as a solution to the problem of heterogeneity in the their control of the national government. regression coefficients, with an application to issue public Paper Poor Representation? Elite Party Representation of Poor membership. Partisans Paper The Determinants of Congressional Behavior: A "Weighted Jason Pigg, Louisiana Tech University Averages" Model of Party and Constituency Influence on Overview: This paper examines how well Democratic and Members' Votes Republican elite represent their poorest partisans, finding Stephen A. Jessee, Stanford University different patterns of representation for poor (compared to Overview: I model representatives’ voting behavior as a wealthy) partisans. weighted average of constituency and party positions. These Paper Are Parties Listening? Public Policy Mood and Party Issue weights can then be used to investigate hypotheses about the Emphasis Change components of member behavior, its causes, and its David O. Rossbach, Texas A&M University consequences. Tyler Johnson, Texas A&M University Paper Are They Asking the Right Questions? Assessing Interest Overview: This study cross-nationally combines the public Group Scores Using Item Response Theory policy mood and issue emphasis concepts to empirically test the Michael S. Lynch, Washington University, St. Louis responsiveness of both American and European political parties Overview: This paper uses an item response model to assess the to public opinion in terms of changing party manifesto content. appropriateness of the votes used in interest group scores, in Disc. Michael M. Franz, University of Wisconsin, Madison much the same way that educational testing methods assess the appropriateness of questions used in standardized tests. 31-9 INSTITUTIONAL REFORM: WHEN, HOW Paper The Multidimensional Independent Regulatory Commission AND WHY? David C. Nixon, Georgia State University Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Eric Hurst, Georgia State University Chair C. Lawrence Evans, College of William and Mary Overview: I present multiple tests of dimensionality of voting Paper When Losers Win: Institutional Change in Japan and the decisions on the Federal Communications Commission, 1975- United States 2000. Raymond Hicks, Princeton University Disc. Jeffrey Lewis, University of California, Los Angeles Celia Carroll, Washington & Lee Shawn A.Treier, University of Georgia Overview: We examine changes in institutional rules governing

the relationship between actors in the legislature by comparing 29-5 LOBBYING COMPETITION AND the experience of Japan and the US in the early 1990s. In both COOPERATION cases, reform-minded governments replaced very long-lived Room TBA, Sat 10:30 parties. Chair Kevin M. Esterling, University California, Riverside Paper Choosing to Lose? Filibustering and Institutional Choice in Paper Leaders and Advocates: Linking Outreach to Policy the Senate, 1918-1948 Deliberation Gregory Koger, University of Montana Christine A. DeGregorio, American University Overview: This paper explores why the Senate did not Overview: This paper examines the degree to which lawmakers strengthen the weak cloture rule adopted in 1917. I find the and their lobby-group allies similarly frame problems and initial rule matched their preference for a weak cloture process solutions. I examine the participants' respective speech on five and served as a bulwark against subsequent institutional change. initiatives of the 107th Congress. Paper Minority Rights in the House of Representatives: Special Paper Competitive Lobbying in Policymaking: Does it Matter Who Rules and the Motion to Recommit Wins? Kevin A. Roust, California Institute of Technology Amy McKay, Duke University Overview: In 1995, Republicans changed the rules of the House to guarantee Democrats the final amendment on each bill, free

Updated 03-01-05 117 from the restrictions of special rules. The effects of this change Paper Electoral Competition and Bipartisanship in the U. S. are considered in an analysis of bills from before and after. Congress Paper How the Senate and President Affect the Organization of the Kristin Kanthak, University of Arizona House When the Majority Party Does Not Change: A Test Brian F. Crisp, Washington University in, St. Louis of the Constitutional Theory of Legislative Organization Overview: We explore the relationship between electoral Gisela Sin, University of Michigan competition and cosponsorship in Congress, finding that Overview: Theoretically and empirically I find that the members of Congress gravitate toward the partisan identity of President and Senate affect the balance of power in the House. their stiffest electoral competition when they decide with whom While changes in House members trigger new organizational to cosponsor. schemes their directionality and characteristics depend on the Paper The Representational Costs of Nonvoting: The Influence of President and Senate District Participation on Policy Responsiveness Paul S. Martin, University of Virginia Disc. E. Scott Adler, University of Colorado, Boulder Overview: This paper examines the influence of voter turnout C. Lawrence Evans, College of William and Mary and voter support for incumbent members of Congress on policy responsiveness. 31-207 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: WHEN AND Disc. Eric McGhee, University of Oregon WHY LEGISLATURES RELINQUISH POWER 33-11 ELECTING JUDGES AND JUDGING Room TBA, Sat 10:30 ELECTIONS Presenter Explaining Expedited Procedures in Congress Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Dong-hun Kim, University of Iowa Chair Chris W. Bonneau, University of Pittsburgh Andrew A. Bargen, University of Iowa Paper Election Litigation in the Federal System: State Courts and Overview: Commonly referred to as “fast track legislation," Vote Choice in the Federal Judicial Hierarchy Congress sometimes passes legislation governing a certain Scott E. Graves, Georgia State University policy area that restricts Congress' ability to deliberate. We Overview: In this paper, I examine ballot access, voter examine the factors that lead Congress to restrict its own registration, and election conduct litigation in the states to powers. discover whether personal attributes and legal and political Presenter Referees of Their Own Game: Understanding When and contexts affect the decisions of state supreme courts regarding Why State Legislators Relinquish Authority voter choice. Melissa C. Anderson, University of California, Berkeley Paper The Costs of Judicial Elections in Wisconsin: the Case of the Overview: Under what conditions do legislatures concede to Circuit Courts reforms that harm them? I will examine the effects of the David M. Jones, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh economy, public opinion, and party and interest group strength Overview: This paper will examine trends in expenditures in on state-level efforts to adopt the direct initiative in the 1910s contested circuit court elections in Wisconsin over the past and 1920s. quarter century to determine whether there have been significant increases (in real terms) in such expenditures 31-208 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: COMMITTEES Paper Court Influence on the Redistricting Process, 1964-2000 Jonathan N. Katz, California Tech University AND INFORMATION Gary W. Cox, University of California, San Diego Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Overview: We examine all litigation involving congressional Presenter Explaining Committee Dissents redistricting conducted in the period from 1964 to 2002. James H. Cox, California State University, Sacramento Paper The Suits that Counted: The Judicialization of Elections Kathleen Bratton, Lousiana State University After Bush V. Gore Overview: This paper examines dissenting opinions in the Charles A. Smith, University of Miami reports accompanying bills voted out of committee. We Christopher Shortell, California State University, Northridge examine the characteristics of members who file dissents and Overview: We consider whether Bush v. Gore judicialized the the impact of those dissents on whether the bill passes the election process. We focus on pre and post BvG litigation in House. Florida. Presenter The Comparative Advantage of Congressional Committees Paper Changing Party Labels in Texas Judicial Races Christopher G. Faricy, University of North Carolina, Chapel Ronald W. Sullivan II, University of Texas, Arlington Hill Overview: This study will provide an overview of judges and Overview: I formulate a ' comparative advantage' theory of justices in Texas changing party labels between 1980 and 2000. committees to address major empirical limitations of Krehbeil's It will address the Texas district courts, Texas court of appeals, informational theory of Congress. Texas Supreme Court and Texas Court of Criminal Appeals. Disc. Matthew M. Roberts, University of Minnesota 31-209 ROUNDTABLE: TBA Chris W. Bonneau, University of Pittsburgh Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Presenter Senate Influence over Foreign Policy 34-103 AUTHOR MEETS CRITICS: McMAHON'S Linda Fowler, Dartmouth College "RECONSIDERING ROOSEVELT ON Overview: TBA RACE" 32-8 LINKING CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Panelist Christopher S. Kelley, Miami University AND INSTITUTIONS Kevin J. McMahon, SUNY Fredonia Room TBA, Sat 10:30 David M. O'Brien, University of Virginia Chair Jamie L. Carson, University of Georgia Shirley Anne Warshaw, Gettysburg College Paper Does a House Divided Really Fall? A Test of the John Forren, Miami University Consequences of Party Unity Around Primary Candidates Overview: Author explains Roosevelt's Constitutional Vision Casey B. K. Dominguez, University of California, Berkeley Overview: I ask whether a party's general election chances 36-9 POLICY CHALLENGES IN THE POST- suffer because of contested primaries using a new and more appropriate measure of the divisiveness of the primary: the INDUSTRIAL CITY observed unity or disunity of party elites prior to the primary Room TBA, Sat 10:30 date. Chair Neil Kraus, Valparaiso University

118 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Local Governments, National issues: Addressing Nuclear Overview: This research investigated the composition, Power, Anti-Semitism and Gay Marriage in the Hudson membership characteristics, and activities of two drug law Valley reform organizations in an attempt to better understand the Eugenia K. Guilmartin, United States Military Academy larger social movement advocating drug policy reform. Overview: Using three 2003-04 New York Hudson Valley cases Disc. Sílvia M. Mendes, University of Minho, Portugal – New Paltz’s gay marriages, the Indian Point nuclear power 37-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: HEALTH controversy, and charges of anti-Semitism in Kiryas Joel – I CARE SUPPLY examine the ability of local officials to govern in the shadow of Room TBA, Sat 10:30 large issues. Presenter Health Care Access for Rural Senior Citizens Paper Race, Concentrated Poverty and the Digital Divide T. R. Carr, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville Karen Mossberger, Kent State University David R. Feig, Southern Illinois University, Edwardsville Caroline J. Tolbert, Kent State University Mickey Stanley, School of Nursing, SIUE Michele A. Gilbert, Kent State University Overview: Poster Presentation: This study identified barriers to Overview: Using hierchical linear modeling, this study finds health care access of senior citizens in four Illinois counties and that racial segregation and concentrated poverty explain the identified the role that nurse practitioners can fill to reduce paradox that African-Americans have more positive attitudes those barriers. toward information technology, but lower rates of access and

skill. Paper The Impact of Structural Factors on High School Dropout 37-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: CORPORATE Rates in the City of Detroit ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND PUBLIC Dana D. Thomas, Wayne State University POLICY Overview: Students in urban high schools are continuing to Room TBA, Sat 10:30 forego education by dropping out prior to earning a diploma. Presenter Citigroup: A Case Study in the Current State of Banking Probable causes associated with this social phenomenon will be Regulatory Policy examined in this empirical study. Erik M. Filipiak, Cornell University Paper Recovering subject, Neoliberal Subject?: Governmentality, Overview: As an instance of policy driving politics, what is Social Welfare Enterprise and the Politics of Everyday Life Citigroup's impact on public policy? My paper examines what in the Kensington Recovery House Movement influence this recent conglomeration in the FSI has on struggles Robert P. Fairbanks, II, University of Chicago within the regulatory sector and on regulatory policy. Overview: This paper conceptualizes informal, unlicensed Presenter Corporate Voluntary Initiatives: Do State Regulatory recovery houses in the Kensington section of Philadelphia as Regimes Matter? sites of governmentality that become able partners for the Seong-gin Moon, University of Colorado, Denver neoliberal welfare state. Peter DeLeon, University of Colorado, Denver Disc. Thomas J. Shields, Jepson School of Leadership Studies Overview: This paper examine how state environmental regulatory regimes can influence firms' decisions to undertake 37-8 CRIME AND ITS REFORM voluntary environmental initiatives. Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Chair Joseph Hinchliffe, University of Illinois 39-5 SUBNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND Paper A Dilemma For Law Enforcement? Assessing Racial POLICY ADMINISTRATION Profiling from the Perspective of Citizens Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Donald P. Haider-Markel, University of Kansas Chair Michael A. Card, University of South Dakota Charles Epp, University of Kansas Paper Legislative Influence in State Administration Steven Maynard-Moody, University of Kansas Lilliard Richardson, University of Missouri Overview: We analyze survey responses of over 2,000 drivers Anthony Bertelli, University of Georgia to assess the role of driver and vehicle characteristics, driver Overview: We test for legislative control of agencies in Arizona behavior, and extent of driving on the likelihood of being and California. We use survey data on bureaucratic preferences stopped by police and the likelihood of receiving a citation. as the dependent variable and estimated ideal points of Paper Making it Happen: The Case for Compromise in the Federal legislators as independent variables along with various control Cocaine Law Debate variables. Kevin A. Sabet, Oxford University Paper Industry Influence on State Regulatory Enforcement Overview: This paper shows how it is both justified and Neal D. Woods, University of South Carolina politically viable to repeal the divisive mandatory minimum Overview: This study uses pooled cross-sectional time series sentence for crack possession, but that reforming the sentencing analysis of OSHA and OSM enforcement to assess the laws for powder and crack cocaine trafficking fails this two- responsiveness of state regulatory enforcement to industry pronged test. political power. Paper Capital Punishment on Trial: The Issues of Cost, Paper New Forms of Local Governance: A Theoretical and Deterrence, and Race Empirical Analysis of Portuguese Public Municipal Markus S. Smith, University of Central Oklahoma Corporations Overview: The purpose of this study is to identify the most Antonio F. Tavares, University of Minho important public policy implications of the death penalty. The Pedro S. Camoes, University of Minho study focuses on aspects found most often in public discussion Overview: The paper questions the reasons for the increase in and policy analysis – cost, deterrence, and the significance of the delegation of service delivery to Portuguese municipal race. corporations, largely replacing the direct provision role of Paper Physician-Assisted Suicide and the Unique Success of public bureaus. Oregon’s Death with Dignity Act Disc. Sean C. Nicholson-Crotty, Texas A&M University Matthew R. Cleary, University of California, Irvine

Overview: This paper examines the process by which Oregon's Death with Dignity Act was passed and later sustained, while 40-9 POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY AND similar initiatives legalizing physician-assisted suicide in other AMERICAN POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT states have failed, and why such a policy innovation is worth Room TBA, Sat 10:30 studying. Chair Christopher M. Curtis, Iowa State University Paper The Drug Law Reform Movement:An Analysis Paper American Exceptionalism and the Present Discontents Norma S. Thompson, College of Charleston Roger P. Hamburg, Indiana University, South Bend

Updated 03-01-05 119 Overview: I will examine "American exceptionalism" escalate – the ground war, despite their inability to adequately historically,update it post Cold war with Clinton and Bush 2 and gauge the effectiveness of it. contrast it wih an opposing Islamic worldview. Disc. Stephen Maynard Caliendo, Avila University Paper Political Science, History, and the Founding of the American Andrew Todd, E.L.E.C.T. Inc. Republic Craig H. Grau, University of Minnesota, Duluth 42-7 RACE, RIGHTS, AND THE DISOUCRSES OF Overview: Political scientists often retell an historical story of IDENTITY the creation of the United States Constitution. They could add to Room TBA, Sat 10:30 it by employing a comparative approach and the study of voting Chair Michael Dawson, Harvard University behavor in decision-making bodies. Paper Corruption and Inequality as Correlates of Social Trust: Paper Race and Culture in Interwar American Political Science Proposing Fairness Explanation as Opposed to Similarity Jessica Blatt, New School for Social Research Explanation Overview: This paper examines the role of racial thought in the Jong-sung You, Harvard University development of American political science, focusing on the Overview: I argue and show empirical evidence that fairer Chicago School and the earliest stages of the behavioral societies in terms of “formal justice” (freedom from corruption), movement. “procedural justice” (political equality), and “distributive Paper Human Rights Overlooked: An Untold Story of 19th justice” (income equality) produce higher levels of social trust. Century Rights Discourse Paper British Political Culture and United States Racial Attitudes: Martin J. KIfer, Univeristy of Minnesota Racism at Home and Abroad - A Two-Way Street Overview: This paper is a preliminary attempt at setting the Paul Kriese, Indiana University record straight on the content of the “human rights” concept in Overview: A political cultuural overview of the links between 19th century American political thought. Many scholars have British and United States racial attitudes. overlooked its full history. Paper Cultural and Social Determinants of Political and Civil Paper Thucydides and the Critical Construction of Historical Human Rights Status (A Cross-National Study) Narrative: The Importance of the Past in Shaping Political Woo Paik, TBA Judgment Overview: This paper explains a much less pursued subject: Keith Mataya, University of California, Las Angeles cultural (religion/colonial experience) and social influence Overview: This paper approaches Thucydides’ development of (corruption/education) on Political & Civil Human Rights, a critical thinking about history as a political project that is an fundament and proxy of democratization, with statistical cross- important alternative in ancient political thought to both national method. philosophy and public ways of re-constituting the past. Paper Reading Crisis Narrative Texts: Agency, Intersectionality, Disc. Christopher M. Curtis, Iowa State University and Identity in the Discourse on Marginalized Black Men

Lindsay Keisha, University of Chicago 41-1 SUCCESSFUL CAMPAIGNING: THE Overview: TBA PRACTICE OF CAMPAIGN POLITICS Disc. Gaston Alonso, Brooklyn College, CUNY Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Chair William C. Kling, Illinois Institute of Technology 44-2 INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON Paper Professionalizing Campus Campaigns: A Lesson in Civic CHURCH AND STATE Engagement Room TBA, Sat 10:30 Melanie J. Blumberg, California University of Pennsylvania Chair Frank S. Ravitch, Michigan State University Emily M. Sweitzer, California University of Pennsylvania

Richard J. Helldobler, California University of Pennsylvania Paper Two Conceptions of Religious Neutrality Greg Harrison, California University of Pennsylvania Laurence Thomas, Syracuse University Margo Wilson, California University of Pennsylvania Overview: I propose to examine France's conception of Michele Pagen, California University of Pennsylvania religious neutrality embodied in the principle laïcité, with the Jesse G. Hereda, California University of Pennsylvania conception of religious neutrality that is constitutive of Robert Mehalik, California University of Pennsylvania American democracy. Overview: The case study documents the creation, activities, Paper Nationalism and Religion: A Comparative Study of and impact of an innovative, multidisciplinary organization Secularism in France and Turkey established to give students practical experience in designing Zana A. Citak Ayturk, Middle East Technical University and managing political campaigns. Overview: My paper examines the development of secularism Paper Applying Integrated Marketing Communication Principles in France and Turkey. I argue that it is the crucial relationship to a Local Election Campaign between nationalism and religion in the two countries that has Thomas Kim Hixson, University of Wisconsin, Whitewater determined their respective model of secularism. Overview: The use of Integrated Marketing Communication Paper Politics and Religion in Secular States: The United States, (IMC) in a local election campaign is explored. Detailed will be France, and Turkey the application of IMC principles and tools to successfully Ahmet T. Kuru, University of Washington “brand” an unknown candidate to three different voter Overview: This paper analyzes current state policies toward segments. religion in schools in three self-professed secular states, the Paper Telling Voters What They Want To Hear: Exploring the United States, France, and Turkey. It explains the reasons for Impact of Micro-Targeting Through a Field Experiment. policy diversification between these cases. C. Daniel Myers, Allegheny College Center Paper The Headscarf Affair in France: Republicanism, Overview: Microtargeting involves delivering personalized Multiculturalism, and the Relation between Generality and messages to voters on a large scale. New technology makes use Particularity in the Definition of French Identity of this tactic easier, changing candidate-voter contact. This field Leila Ibrahim, Cornell University experiment explores the impact of microtargeted GOTV calls on Overview: This paper situates the highly contestedaffair of the turnout. headscarf in France in the broader frame of the relation between Paper The "Groundwar": Politics, Political Science, and Political generality and particularity in the definition of French identity Professionals built with republicanism and secularism as its keynotes. Barbara Trish, Grinnell College Disc. Donald Kommers, University of Notre Dame Overview: This paper examines the logic of decision making Gordon Babst, Chapman College undertaken by political practitioners who undertake – even

47-4 PHILOSOPHY AND STATESMANSHIP

120 Updated 03-01-05 Room TBA, Sat 10:30 to the degree of ideological polarization and the development of Chair Robert Phillips, Wheeling Jesuit University par-tisan politics. Paper Machiavelli and Xenophon on the Relationship Between Disc. Christopher Anderson, Syracuse University Theory and Action David Rueda, Oxford University Paul J. Rasmussen, University of Toronto Overview: This paper compares Machiavelli and Xenophon's 3-9 INSTITUTIONS, CULTURE, RATIONALITY: teaching on the relationship between political theory and STRATEGIES FOR REFORM IN THE political action and helps illuminate their disagreement over the status of traditional moral virtue in political life. DEVELOPING WORLD UNDER Paper Leo Strauss, Thucydides and the Conduct of American GLOBALIZATION Foreign Policy Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Bernard J. Dobski, Assumption College Chair Walter Arnold, Miami University Overview: This paper seeks to contribute to current Paper Coping with Change: A Comparative Analysis of the controversies over the political bearing of the thought of Leo Developing States of Latin American Strauss by treating Strauss’s work on Thucydides, the foreign Jon Anzardo, Miami University policy expert. Overview: This essay considers the obstacles facing the Paper In Defense of the Theoretical Character of Political Science: currently developing nations, specifically in Latin America. An Examination of Plato's Statesman 258b-261a The growth and strength of multi-national corporations (MNCs) Xavier Marquez, University of Notre Dame is considered. Overview: I examine the puzzling passages at the beginning of Paper Dynamics and Limitations of FDI Capitalism in China and the Statesman where Plato classifies political knowledge as a Latin America: Corporatism, Neoliberalism, and "theoretical" form of knowledge, and argue that this Implications of Policy on the Developmental State classification actually makes a great deal of sense. Tony Frye, Miami University Disc. Donald J. Matthewson, California State University, Fullerton Overview: China is a case of the successful use FDI to spur Robert Phillips, Wheeling Jesuit University economic growth. However, its relative success is balanced by the general failure of liberalization and FDI in much of Latin America. Saturday, April 9 – 1:45 pm – 3:30 pm Paper Comparative Democratic Institutions in Fourteen African Regimes: The Implications for Democratic Performance 1-104 ROUNDTABLE: NEWS YOU CAN USE: TIPS Jennifer Hamilton, Miami University FOR A SUCCESSFUL POST-TENURE Overview: This study examines the contending democratic CAREER (Co-sponsored with Midwest institutional choices of fourteen nascent African democracies Women's Caucus, see 46-105) and the resultant quality of democracy within those countries over a period of fourteen years. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper The Overseas Chinese: The Regional Impact of Asia’s “New Chair Kira Sanbonmatsu, Ohio State University Emperors” Linda Fowler, Dartmouth University Mark Keida, Miami University James Gimpel, University of Maryland Overview: The purpose of this paper is to fill a void in Michael Jones-Correa, Cornell University international relations literature by highlighting the substantial Janet Martin, Bowdoin College economic and political influence of the Overseas Chinese in Diana Mutz, University of Pennsylvania Mainland China, Taiwan, and the Pacific Rim. Robert Franzese, Jr., University of Michigan Paper The Political Dynamics of Developmental Strategies in Overview: Roundtable will address the professional Northeast Asia Putting South Korea’s Proposed ‘Free development issues, challenges, and opportunities facing Economic Zones’ in Context recently tenured faculty. Francis Schortgen, Miami University

Overview: The core argument of this paper questions the long- 2-15 EQUALITY, LABOR, AND term sustainability of economic competitiveness for the South GLOBALIZATION: RECONSIDERING THE Korean economy, as based on an embrace of the 'Free Economic POLITICAL ECONOMY OF Zone' model. INDUSTRIALIZED DEMOCRACIES Disc. Walter Arnold, Miami University

Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Chair Christopher Anderson, Syracuse University 3-17 STATE BUILDING AND DISINTEGRATION Paper Embracing Change: New Labor Preferences and Unions' II: COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVES Role in Representation Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Robin Best, SUNY, Binghamton Chair Emmanuel J. Teitelbaum, Cornell University Steve Lem, SUNY Binghamton Paper States in Transition: Realigning the Economic Overview: We propose that unions face a tradeoff between Bureaucracies in South Korea, China, and Japan preserving their numerical strength and representing Joo-Youn Jung, Stanford University homogenous preferences. Overview: My paper analyzes the dramatic dismemberments of Paper Political Foundations of Market Inequalities the pilot state economic agencies in three “Bureaucratic Pablo Beramendi, Syracuse University Nonliberal Capitalist Countries”—Korea, China, and Japan— Overview: This paper argues that the distribution of market and compares the transformations of states’ economic roles in income inequality is essentially political. three cases. Paper Globalization, Economic Insecurity, and Voter Transition Paper Weak States in Latin America: Towards a Better Hyeok Kwon, Texas A&M University Understanding of State Capacities Overview: This paper examines the link between globalization Ludovico Feoli, Tulane University and voter transition in advanced democracies. Overview: The paper surveys the condition of the state in Latin Paper Ideological Polarization and the Resilience of Corporatism America by contrasting the dimensions of its scope and Mette Anthonsen, Göteborg University strength, as proposed by Fukuyama (2004). It then discusses Johannes Lindvall, Göteborg University potential causal explanations of the relative institutional Overview: We explain the varying fates of corporatist weakness found. institutions in six European countries (Austria, Denmark, Paper Nation and State Building in a Fragmented Society: Some Finland, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland) with reference Reflections on Afghanistan

Updated 03-01-05 121 Maqsood A. Choudary, Delta College Jennifer McEwan, University of Texas, Austin Overview: The developments in Afghanistan lead one to Overview: We explore the extent to which constitutional design conclude that it is a failed state. This paper argues that mirrors the demands of a transitional society, specifically the Afghanistan has the potential to develop into a viable political effect of popular mobilization on written constitutions in the entity but requires patience and effort on the part of all cases of Mexico and Turkey. involved. Paper Democratic Transition in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Paper Why Do Some Oil-Exporting States Break Down and Others Uzbekistan Do Not? Robin N. Merritt, University of Central Florida Miriam R. lowi, College of New Jersey Overview: This paper examines the internal and external factors Overview: A comparative study of 6 oil-exporting states: 3 that necessary for successful democratic transition and consolidation descended into domestic political violence -- Algeria, Iran, and in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, and why democracy Indonesia, and 3 that appeared to be stable -- pre-Gulf War Iraq, is important in Central Asia. Saudi Arabia, Mexico Disc. Gunes Murat Tezcur, University of Michigan Disc. Emmanuel J. Teitelbaum, Cornell University 5-10 CONSTRUCTING THE EUROPEAN UNION 4-12 DEMOCRACY AND INSTITUTIONAL Room TBA, Sat 1:45 DESIGN Chair Nathan D. Griffith, Belmont University Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Actors Preferences regarding Economic and Social Chair David I. Lublin, American University Governance in European Constitution Building Paper Does Consensus Democracy Generate Political Stability in Christine Arnold, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Plural Societies? Madeleine O. Hosli, Leiden University Pippa Norris, Harvard University Overview: This paper quantitatively analyzes the recent Overview: This research tests the Lijphartian thesis that discourse in EU constitutional politics to uncover policy consensus institutions (particularly PR electoral systems) preferences of actors and the degree to which each one managed promote the accommodation of ethnic interests and thereb to shape the issues of economic and social governance in the political stability and good governance) in plural societies. constitutional treaty. Paper Determinants of Democracy: Institutional Performance and Paper Winners and Losers of the Constitutional Convention: An the Quality of Democracy Empirical Analysis of European Constitution Building Angelica Ghindar, University of Illinois at Urbana, Thomas E. Koenig, German University Speyer Champaign Jonathan Slapin, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: This paper argues for the necessity of shifting our Overview: This study examines the determinants for winning attention in the study of democracy from the simple assessment and losing of the about 100 delegates of the Laeken Convention, of democratic institutions to examining the relationship between which has adopted a draft text to reform the European Union. differential institutional performance and democratic quality. Paper Who is Powerful? Examining Preferences and Testing Paper Political Knowledge and Issue Voting in South Korea Sources of Bargaining Strength at European Do-Kyung Kim, University of Tennessee Intergovernmental Conferences Junghyoun Kim, University of Tennessee Jonathan B. Slapin, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: The study will examine the effects of political Overview: I examine the bargaining strength of European Union knowledge on issue voting in Korean presidential elections. The (EU) member states at EU intergovernmental conferences. I find hypothesis that the higher the level of political knowledge,the that large member states do not have as much power as many more likely voters make vote choice based on their issue believe and that domestic political constraints may confer preferences. bargaining power. Paper Institutional Design and Democracy in Post-Communist Paper Public Commitment in Bargaining on the European Countries Constitution Florin N. Fesnic, University of Illinois Hartmut Lenz, University of Essex Overview: The relationship between development and Han Dorussen, University of Essex democracy across Orthodox post-Communist countries is Overview: The paper studies the impact of public commitments negative. I offer an institutional explanation for this paradox: on the EU Constitution. We argue they are efforts to improve the less developed countries have made better institutional the terms of the bargain and have the objective to muster choices. popular support. We analyze the negotiations by using costly Disc. David I. Lublin, American University signaling models. Paper The Constitutional Economics of European Regulatory 4-16 POLITICAL, TERRITORIAL, AND Integration Nathan D. Griffith, Belmont University CULTURAL CLEAVAGES Overview: This article applies constitutional economics to Room TBA, Sat 1:45 regional integration in the area of prudential supervision of Chair Thomas D. Bundenthal, Miami University banking activity and tests its predictions against data on cross- Paper The Dangers of Decentralization: Regional Boss Politics in border banking and data from interviews with relevent public Developing and Transitional States officials. Andrew Konitzer, Baylor University Disc. Burcu Ucaray, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Overview: Through a comparison of subnational politics in Mexico and the Russian Federation, this paper identifies a set of conditions contributing to regional boss politics in developing 6-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: MONITORING and transition states. Paper A Prize Too Large to Share: Opposition Coalitions and the ELECTIONS Kenyan Presidency, 1992 – 2002 Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Kimuli K. Kasara, Stanford University Presenter Failure of Electoral Judicial System in Mexico: the Case of Overview: Why did Kenyan opposition parties fail to form a Yucatan 2001 State Elections coalition that could have toppled the government before 2002? I Akira Watanabe, Yale University argue that broad presidential powers created a commitment Overview: This presentation analyzes the complicated judicial problem for any candidate selected by opposition groups. process before and after the 2001 Yucatán Gubernatorial Paper The Effect of Popular Mobilization on Constitutional elections and shows that even after the historical 2000 Design: An Analysis of Mexico and Turkey Presidential Elections Mexican electoral system has flaws at Jennifer Bean, University of Texas, Austin local level.

122 Updated 03-01-05 Olga V. Shvetsova, Binghamton University 6-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: EFFICIENCY Overview: We present a model of the strategic uses of decrees AND POWER OF LATIN AMERICAN and laws and apply the model to the Russian case to explain key features of policy making. COURTS Paper Nested Game Orange: 2004 Ukrainian Presidential Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Elections, Revolution and Constitutional Change Presenter Making the Case for Stare Decisis in Latin American Alexander Baturo, Trinity College Judicial Systems Overview: 2004 Elections in Ukraine are presented as a nested Joseph L. Staats, Boise State University game. The electoral contest is nested within the constitutional Overview: In this paper I explore how the absence of the transformation into parliamentary-presidential system, 2002- doctrine of stare decisis in Latin American jurisprudence 2006. contributes to the relative weakness and lack of autonomy of Disc. Scott Gehlbach, University Wisconsin, Madison judicial systems throughout the Latin American region. 10-11 MODELS OF CONFLICT AND WAR 7-9 EAST ASIAN FOREIGN POLICY Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Chair Brett Ashley Leeds, Rice University Paper Having One’s Cake and Eating it Too: Explaining Recent Paper Foreign Policy Preferences, Bargaining, and the Changes in South Korea’s Threat Perception of North Distribution of Power Korea William Reed, Rice University Susan M. Suh, Georgetown University David H. Clark, Binghamton University Overview: Despite the lack of abatement in military threat of Timothy Nordstrom, University of Mississippi DPRK why does ROK see DPRK as less of a threat? Success of Overview: We illustrate the relationship between foreign policy US deterrence in the Korean peninsula combined with the preferences and the distribution of power that follows from changes in interests of Seoul explain this perplexing behavior. bargaining theory. We expect a strong positive correlation Paper China’s Rise in Peace: An Imperfect Triangulating Peace between the distribution of power and foreign policy De-Yuan Kao, University of Chicago preferences. Guanyi Leu, University of Virginia Paper Into Ruin With Eyes Wide Open: War of Attrition with Overview: In this paper we try to borrow Bruce Russett and Resource Constraints John Oneal’s argument to discuss whether China can rise Bahar Leventoglu, Stony Brook University peacefully. We argue that China’s rise would be an imperfect Branislav Slantchev, University of California, San Diego triangulating peace since it is not a democracy. Overview: We obtain and study war in a model of war of Paper Global Security v. Nationalism: Shifts in Philippine Foreign attritions with complete information . Policy Paper Diplomacy and Military Coercion in International Crises Priscilla Tacujan, Atlas Economic Research Foundation Shuhei Kurizaki, University of California, Los Angeles Overview: This paper is an attempt to examine the nature and Overview: I study an endogenous-offer model of crisis purpose of current Philippine foreign policy vis-à-vis the bargaining where states can use diplomacy and military Philippine leadership’s perceptions of nationalism in relation to coercion. Inefficient resort to military coercion occurs due to security interests. informational barriers and electoral incentives. Paper The Taiwan Problem and China’s Taiwan Policy Disc. Brett Ashley Leeds, Rice University Qiang Yan, Mr/MA Overview: This paper wants to study how the PRC perceive the 10-19 NEW PERSPECTIVES IN INTERNATIONAL Taiwan Problem and explain how it made and implemented Taiwan policy incrementally from three perspectives(individual RELATIONS actors,domestic structures, and contextual constraints). Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Anti-Americanism and Electoral Politics in Korea Chair Jelena Subotic, University of Wisconsin Byong-Kuen Jhee, University of Missouri Paper Solidarity, Tolerance and Fear: The Idea of Collective Overview: Based on the 2003 East Asian Barometer Survey, International Security this paper examines whether and how anti-Americanism Christian Bundegaard, Programme for Strategic and threatening the “brotherhood” between Korea and the U.S. for International Security Studies (PSIS), Geneva more than fifty years affected vote choice in the 2002 Overview: Rethinking international security with regard to the presidential election. notion of a responsibility to protect prompts a discussion of normative ideas underpinning such an enterprise. This paper 9-6 FORMAL THEORY AND INSTITUTIONS IN suggests how it can be done with pragmatist and communicative tools. THE POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD Paper Beyond Deception and Cruelty: A Machiavellian Alternative Room TBA, Sat 1:45 to Amoral Realism Paper Electoral Rules and Distributive Politics: Evidence from the Alison E. J. McQueen, University of Toronto Russian DUMA Overview: By engaging with classical realist theory, this paper Jana Kunicova, California Institute of Technology argues that ethics and power can be conceptually united by Overview: Examination of the legislative voting behavior in the bringing out normative aspects of national security that have Russian Duma 1993-2003 with a focus on the effect of the been depreciated in contemporary accounts of the international mandate (SMD or PR) on distributive legislation. system. Paper Judging Transitional Justice: Evaluating Truth Revelation Paper The Iraq War, Sprial Theory, and Constructivism Procedures David M. Mislan, Rutgers University Monika A. Nalepa, Columbia University Overview: This paper seeks to understand the origins of the US Marek Kaminski, University of California, Irvine invasion of Iraq using a constructivist approach. More Overview: We demonstrate why the traditional understanding of generally, it is an attempt to integrate constructivism into the rule of law is ill-suited for evaluating transitional justice mainstream empirical-rationalist framework that dominates IR institutions and show why the level of false conviction and false theory. acquittal errors are more adequate normative criteria. Paper Towards a Materialist Ecofeminist Perspective in IR Paper Strategies of Law Making and Decree Making in the Anupam Pandey, Carleton University Russian Federation Overview: This paper aims at developing a critique of Orthodox Steven S. Smith, Washington University IR theory i.e. Realism, Neo-Realism and Neo-Liberalism by Thomas F. Remington, Emory University using a materialist ecofeminist perspective.

Updated 03-01-05 123 Paper Before the Leviathan: Alternatives to Absolute Sovereignty that the 2004 election was undoubtedly the main influential Julian J. Ouellet, University of Colorado, Boulder force. Overview: Rather than question whether or not globalization is Paper Why has the United States not Lifted the Ban on eroding sovereignty or not this paper asks whether sovereignty Assassinations? as it is commonly understood is a valuable concept for Hastie Kargar, Georgetown University understanding international order today and in the past. Overview: In the context of today’s war on terror it is Disc. Jelena Subotic, University of Wisconsin interesting to note that the US has not yet lifted the ban on assassinations. This paper will examine why this ban has not 11-9 POLITICS OF FISCAL POLICYMAKING been lifted and why it should continue to stay in affect in the Room TBA, Sat 1:45 future. Chair Timothy Hellwig, University of Houston Paper American Exceptionalism and International Institutions Paper Fiscal Policy and Capital Flows in North and South Srini Sitaraman, Clark University John S. Ahlquist, University of Washington Overview: This paper examines why United States has chosen Overview: I examine the reciprocal effects of macroecomic to exempt itself from the very same institutions that it helped to policies on captial flows and find poorer countries have a harder develop? I refer to this practice as American Exceptionalism, time attracting investment that wealthier ones which reflects deeper normative concerns about global Paper The Politics of the Budgetary Process in Eastern Europe institutions. and the former Soviet Union Paper Educating Congress on Peace and Security: The Need For Cristina Bodea, University of Rochester Academic Knowledge Brokers After 9/11 Overview: This paper aims to connect political institutions to Elizabeth Turpen, Henry L. Stimson Center the evolution of public finances in transition economies. I am Lorelei E. Kelly, Henry L. Stimson Center particularly interested in uncovering the emergence of formal Overview: The authors of "Policy Matters: Educating Congress and informal fiscal institutions that help moderate spending. on Peace And Security" will discuss how to get today's most Paper Ripples in a Rising Tide: Why Some EU Regions Receive important foreign policy and defense issues onto the agenda of More Structural Funds than Others the US Congress. How might the academic community help Thilo Bodenstein, Free University, Berlin achieve this goal? Achim Kemmerling, Free University Berlin Disc. Benjamin Fordham, Binghamton University Overview: We investigate the distribution of EU structural funds across EU regions on level one and two of the NUTS 12-14 CIVIL WAR: INTERVENTIONS, MASS classification. Our empirical results suggest that swing voters KILLING, REGIONAL EFFECTS & crucially determine the allocation of structural funds. RESOLUTION Paper How Does IMF Conditionality Work? Austerity and Fiscal Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Policymaking in Democracies, 1979-1995 Chair Scott Gates, TBA Martin S. Edwards, Texas Tech University Paper A Bargaining Model of External Intervention in Civil Overview: Building on the literature regarding fiscal policy Conflicts making in democratic systems, I argue that IMF conditionality Stephen E. Gent, University of Rochester has greater effects on government expenditure in presidential Overview: I develop a bargaining model in which an external systems than parliamentary ones. power can intervene in an ongoing civil conflict. I then examine Disc. Timothy Hellwig, University of Houston the conditions under which intervention will occur and how the

threat of intervention affects the onset and duration of a civil 11-205 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: war. PERSPECTIVES ON DEVELOPMENT Paper Peace by Design: Institutional Choices and the Risk of Civil Room TBA, Sat 1:45 War in Anocracies and Democracies Presenter Pathologies of Neoliberalism: Whither the Can Opener? Matthew C. Ingram, University of New Mexico Jon D. Carlson, Rockford College Overview: Democratic institutional arrangements affect the risk Overview: The foundations of neoliberalism as a development of civil war in anocracies and democracies. doctrine is examined, with special attention given to Paper Killing the Citizenry: State Violence as Domestic Policy preconditions necessary in order for free-market "reforms" to Stephanie McWhorter, University of California, San Diego function. Assumptions, often unquestioned, of neoliberal Overview: Why do governments kill their civilian populations? development are questioned. I present preliminary results that suggest the onset of 11-206 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: CORPORATE government violence may be most strongly correlated with new INFLUENCE IN ECONOMIC threats to the existing government's selectorat by land reform programs. POLICYMAKING Paper Transnational Rebels and the Regional Dynamics of Civil Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Conflict Presenter Strategy as Power: A Framework for the Study of Idean Salehyan, University of California, San Diego Corporate Power Overview: Civil wars are not purely domestic phenomenon. Dennis M. Ray, University of St. Thomas This paper examines the transnational operations of rebel Overview: This paper identifies and describes five-forces that organizations. describe the exercise of corporate power within its larger Disc. Will Moore, Florida State University political and economic environment. These include government, media, investment community, NGOs, and 13-9 COPING WITH AND COUNTERING international regulatory regimes. TERRORISM 12-9 U.S. FOREIGN POLICY Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Chair Christian W. Erickson, Roosevelt University Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Coping And Countering Terrorism – The Defensive Chair Chris Sprecher, Texas A&M University Dimension Paper Steel Tariffs and the 2004 Presidential Election Arie Perliger, University of Haifa Mark Belgen, University of California, Los Angeles Ami Pedahzur, University of Texas, Austin Overview: A President would never publicly admit that they are Overview: The current study map the different defensive influenced by electoral concerns. Why then did President Bush counter terrorism measures implemented by the state of Israel decide to impose steel tariffs in 2002? The findings will show and her municipalities in order to analyze and asses there effectiveness.

124 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Divergent Paths to Justice: A Study of the U.S. War on paper argues that the Neoconservative contribution to reform Terrorism and Drug Policies stands essentially alone as the only viable plan for Michael R. Sheets, Marquette University democratization. Shuchi Wadhwa, Marquette University Paper Moralism as Realism: Jimmy Carter's Human Rights Overview: Should the U.S. continue to pursue homeland Policies security measures when they are completely ignoring Stoyan S. Stoyanov, Columbia University fundamental drug policy problems that, if fixed, would have a Overview: Carter’s human rights policies were not naïve or positive impact on the war on terrorism internationally? idealistic. They were applied against the USSR as part of a Paper Stopping the Other Shoe: Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and broader ideological assault on it. Allies weren’t pressured on the Road to Homeland Security human rights, while Latin America was targeted because of Skyler J. Cranmer, University of California, Davis Congress's activism. Overview: This paper presents a formal model of resource Paper The Bush Administration and Visions of the Post-Cold War allocation in the interaction between a government and a Order terrorist group; it yields predictions as to when investment in Bradley R. Gitz, Lyon College violence will be most advantageous as well as implications for Overview: The paper analyzes the Bush Administration's 2002 security policy. National Security Strategy of the United States as a means of Paper When Do Statesmen Matter? Turkey’s Alliance Behavior in highlighting the crucial ideas behind such innovations as First and Second World Wars "preemption" and "regime change." Ramazan Kilinc, Arizona State University Disc. Ryan Hendrickson, Eastern Illinois University Overview: When external environment is marked by structural \ ambiguity, statesmen become the most important variable in 16-101 THE EDITORS MEET: ASSESSING THE alliance decisions. If the leaders are risk-tolerant, then war STATE OF POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY becomes more likely; if they are more prudent, then war becomes less likely. BASED ON RECENT EDITED Disc. Christian W. Erickson, Roosevelt University COLLECTIONS. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 14-10 GEOGRAPHY, DEMOGRAPHY, AND Chair James Druckman, University of Minnesota CONFLICT Panelist James Kuklinski, University of Illinois Kristen Monroe, University of California, Irvine Room TBA, Sat 1:45 David Sears, University of California, Los Angeles Chair Charity Butcher, Indiana University Leonie Huddy, Stony Brook University Paper "Head for the Hills!" or This Hard Land? Estimating the Peg Herman, Syracuse University Direct and Indirect Effects of Rough Terrain on Civil Overview: The roundtable will address questions such as what Conflict Onset did your volume reveal about what political psychology is, what Cullen S. Hendrix, University of California, San Diego are the strengths and weaknesses, what is its relationship with Overview: I estimate both the tactical and indirect-economical political economy… and political-effects of rough terrain on civil conflict onset.

Rough terrain is significant more for its effects on state capacity rather than the tactical considerations of insurgents. 17-1 INFORMED CONSENT: HOW VOTERS Paper Sustainable Society and Peace: Socio-Economic Structure REASON ABOUT POLITICS and Violent Conflict Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Jong-Han Yoon, University of North Texas Chair Dean Lacy, Ohio State University Overview: This paper develops and examines a theory that Paper The Institutional Determinants of Political Sophistication: explains the relationship between the environmental How Voter Information Needs Shape Political Campaigns sustainability of socio-economic structures and violent conflicts. Lorelei K. Moosbrugger, University of California, Santa Paper Putting on the Pressure: The Conditional Marginal Effects Barbara of Population Pressure on the Outbreak of Militarized Overview: Low levels of political information are rational only Interstate Conflict in two party systems. Greater information needs, and the need Katharine M. Floros, University of Pittsburgh to organize information within competing ideologic frames, Overview: Interstate dispute; population pressure; environment; engenders greater political sophistication in multiparty systems. causes of war Paper Candidates vs. Parties: How Electoral Systems Shape Voter Paper The Origin of Institutional Design Decision-making Neda A. Zawahri, Cleveland State University Christina R. Maimone, Stanford University Overview: Through an analysis of institutions for managing Jeremy C. Pope, Brigham Young University international rivers, I examine the forces influencing invest in Overview: Using national election studies and CSES data, we institutional design. The underlying premise is that design show that electoral rules affect individual vote functions; the matters and it is necessary to consider the origin of this design. emphasis voters place on candidate versus party characteristics Disc. Samuel S. Stanton, University of Wisconsin, Stevens Point varies with the type of electoral system in which voters participate. 15-8 PRESIDENTIAL DOCTRINES AND Paper Motivated Reasoning and Voting in Advanced Industrial AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY Democracies Michael R. Wolf, Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Wayne Chair Denis A. Rey, Texas Tech University Overview: This paper expands on the experimental findings of Paper 'Lessons' of History': Myths of U.S. Foreign Policymaking the motivated reasoning literature to numerous election studies Sheldon R. Anderson, Miami University in the U.S., Britain, and Germany. Conclusions inform both the Overview: This paper examines the evolution of the most information processing and campaign effects literatures. important historical myths of twentieth-century diplomatic Paper Learning Democracy: The Decision-making Capacities of history. The "lessons of history" they have spawned often Mass Citizens Amidst Crisis--The Evidence from Three misguide U.S. foreign policy thinking today. Presidential Elections in Nicaragua, 1990-2001 Paper Virtuous Muslims?: Neoconservatives and the Greater Leslie E. Anderson, University of Florida Middle East Lawrence C. Dodd, University of Florida Timothy J. Lynch, University of Leicester Overview: In-depth study of public opinion and vote choice in Overview: An assessment of American Neoconservative policy the Nicaragua’a 1990, 1996 and 2001 presidential elections prescriptions for altering the course of Middle East politics. The

Updated 03-01-05 125 demonstrates that mass citizens can engage in reasoned, Presenter Electoral Effects of Presidential Candidates' Emphases on responsible and responsive decision-making even in crisis- Their Military Records ridden new democracies. John M. Fulwider, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Paper Policy, Performance, Preference, and Participation in the Overview: This paper answers two questions about presidential 2004 Election candidates' emphases on their military records. It finds higher Merrill J. Shanks, University of California, Berkeley veteran prestige for Republican presidents and greater Douglas A. Strand, University of California, Berkeley attentiveness to prestige among military-veteran voters. Edward G. Carmines, Indiana University Henry E. Brady, University of California, Berkeley 17-208 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: SOCIAL Overview: This paper will provide an early, but comprehensive, NETWORKS AND VOTING analysis of the role that policy-related controversies appeared to Room TBA, Sat 1:45 play in shaping voters’ choices and participation levels in the Presenter Social Context and Voting over Taxes: Evidence from a 2004 presidential election. Referendum in Alabama Disc. Paul Goren, Arizona State University Michael Rushton, Georgia State University Dean Lacy, Ohio State University Christine Roch, Georgia State University

Overview: This paper uses precinct-level voting results from a 17-16 AMBIVALENCE AND UNCERTAINTY IN 2003 Alabama referendum over a comprehensive reform of the POLITICAL DECISION-MAKING state tax system to investigate whether factors conducive to the Room TBA, Sat 1:45 formation of social networks influenced voting patterns. Chair John Brehm, University of Chicago Presenter Communication Networks and Partisan Defection: An Paper Ambivalence in Context: Party Polarization and the Inspection of the 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Dynamics of Ambivalence Cheng-shan Frank Liu, University of Kansas Marco R. Steenbergen, University of North Carolina, Chapel Overview: Swinging voters are critical in a close election. Hill Focusing on the partisan defectors and the circumstances under Howard Lavine, SUNY, Stony Brook which partisan defection occurs, this paper presents the findings Christopher Ellis, UNC Chapel Hill consistent with Zuckerman et al’s structural theory of vote Overview: We study the determinants of ambivalence toward choice. parties and candidates. Combining individual level and contextual (i.e. party polarization) factors, we develop a 18-8 ELECTORAL SYSTEMS AND comprehensive multilevel explanation of ambivalence, which INFORMATION we test with NES data. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Ambivalence toward Presidential Candidates and Electoral Chair Lynn Vavreck, University of California, Los Angeles Choice Paper Faithful Incumbents and the Informational Role of Sung Jin Yoo, Stony Brook University Challengers Yoonjung Lee, Stony Brook University Sanford C. Gordon, New York University Overview: Does candidate ambivalence lead voters to another Gregory A. Huber, Yale University option available? Using National Election Studies data in 1992, Overview: We consider "strategic auditing" by challengers and 1996, and 2000, I examine the effects of ambivalence on its effect on incumbents. To test the theory, we rely on a natural electoral choice in election where the third candidate is experiment in Kansas district court elections: Some districts available to choose. have competitive elections, while others non-competitive ones. Paper Party Differentiation and the Decision to Vote Paper The Demand for Information: The Effects of Electoral Ian C. Ostrander, University of Kansas Institutions on the Types of Information Shortcuts Overview: The paper explores a link between the levels of Employed by Voters, and the Resulting Impact on Party perceived party differentiation and the levels of voter turnout. Strategy The Downsian hypothesis of party convergence and the Melody Ellis Valdini, University of California, San Diego consequential decrease in the benefits of voting are tested Overview: I hypothesize that the use of information shortcuts through survey data. will vary by electoral rules: if the voter requires a great deal of Paper Spatial Uncertainty and Electoral Turnout information in order to cast a vote, he/she will be more likely to Joan Serra, University of Chicago employ certain types of information shortcuts. Overview: Observed abstention is inconsistent with standard Paper Effect of Political Institutions/Electoral Systems on Correct electoral models. Here I use a model that allows for voters to be Voting: A Comparison Across 30 Democracies uncertain about their own ideal points on the electoral space that Richard R. Lau, Rutgers University solves this problem. Parina Patel, Rutgers University Paper Does Negative Campaigning Reduce Uncertainty? Dalia Fahmy, Rutgers University Takeshi Iida, University of Texas, Austin Robert Kaufman, Rutgers University Overview: I examined the power of negative campaigning to Overview: TBA reduce voters' uncertainty of candidate issue positions. I found Paper Electoral Systems: Context Effects on Political that voters had less uncertainty of a challenger's ideological Sophistication and Attitudes position in the states that feature negative campaigning. Laura C. Lucas, University of Kansas Disc. Adam Berinsky, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Overview: This study of five European democracies finds that, John Brehm, University of Chicago in the context of PR and certain mixed electoral systems,

individual citizens are more likely to possess political 17-207 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: VETS AND sophistication than their counterparts in countries with plurality VOTES: MILITARY APPEALS IN systems. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Paper Thinking Outside the (Ballot) Box: Gauging the Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Psychological Effects of Electoral Systems on Parties, Presenter Swift Boats and Swing Votes: The 2004 Presidential Election Partisans and Partisanship in Old and New Democracies and Military Veterans Andrew J. Drummond, University of California, Irvine Jeremy M. Teigen, University of Texas, Austin Overview: Applying a broader understanding of Duverger’s Overview: Paper evaluates political behavior of the recurringly psychological effect and hierarchical linear modeling, we salient military veterans in the 2004 presidential election examine the psychological effects of electoral systems on regarding participation, candidate affect, and party ID & partisans and partisanship in twenty-six older and newer ideology. democracies.

126 Updated 03-01-05 Disc. Karen Long, University of Michigan Chair Sunshine Hillygus, Harvard University Lynn Vavreck, University of California, Los Angeles Paper The Electoral Effects of Party Conventions in the Short and Long Run 19-10 PRE- AND POST-ELECTION POLLING (Co- Michael G. Hagen, Temple University sponsored with Elections and Voting Behavior, Richard Johnston, University of British Columbia Overview: In its broad contours, the convention “bounce” in see 17-24) presidential vote intentions is well established, but many Room TBA, Sat 1:45 questions remain open. The 2000 National Annenberg Election Chair Barry Burden, Harvard University Study offers an unparalleled foundation for addressing those Paper The 2004 Pre-Election Polls: A Total Survey Error Analysis questions. Herb Weisberg, Ohio State University Paper Is Seeing—or Hearing—Believing? Reactions to Listening to Overview: The accuracy of the 2004 pre-election polls will be the 2004 Presidential Debates With and Without Video examined from a total survey error perspective. Differences Michael D. Dorsher, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire between polls will be examined, along with questioning of the Overview: A total of 175 participants were split into two rooms: extent to which actual results provide a "gold standard" for Half watched the Bush-Kerry and Cheney-Edwards debates on validation. TV; the other half listened without video. Paper Misreporting the Vote: Re-Examination of an Old Question Paper Talk Soft and Carry a Big Stick? Candidate Quality and Using New Data Communication Strategy Antoine Yoshinaka, University of California, Riverside Costas Panagopoulos, New York University Overview: I reexamine the issue of vote misreport using newly Overview: This paper investigates the impact of challenger available cross-sectional time-series data from the 2000 quality on camapign communications strategies. National Annenberg Election Survey (NAES), in a setting Paper Buy One, Get One Free? The Impact of Advertising on where the winner of the presidential contest was not known Senate Campaign Coverage until mid-December 2000. Michael W. Wagner, Indiana University Paper Can You Hear Me Now?: Differences in Cellular and Brian F. Schaffner, American University Landline Users in the Self-Report of Voting Behavior Overview: Do candidates’ issue agendas (reflected in their Tarek Baghal, University of Maryland, Westat advertising) influence the content of their earned media? An Overview: This is a study of differences in self-report voting analysis of the WiscAds data set and 40 markets of television amongst cell and landline telephone respondents. Noncoverage news coverage of 19 Senate races shows that candidates impact of this population in data collection will lead to differences in media coverage. understanding in the voting distribution of the American public. Disc. Sunshine Hillygus, Harvard University Paper Using Internet Polls to Survey Political Activists: Problems and Solutions 22-301 POSTER SESSION: GENDER AND Lonna Rae Atkeson, University of New Mexico Lori Tafoya, University of New Mexico POLITICS Overview: Using an internet survey of caucus voters that Room TBA, Sat 1:45 allowed voters the option of a mail survey we examine the Presenter Responsibility in Terminology? The Case against "Ethnic success of our methodology and detail problems voters Cleansing" encountered and consider potential solutions. Matthew J. Flynn, University of Notre Dame Disc. Kent L. Tedin, University of Houston Overview: There are conceptual problems in our use of the term "ethnic cleansing," with dehumanizing and sexist consequences 20-10 E-POLITICS that follow. This paper prescribes the replacement of "ethnic cleansing" with more precise language in describing atrocities. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Presenter Politics in the Private Sphere: Exploring Gendered Forms of Chair Richard M. Skinner, Bowdoin College Social Capital Paper Internet and Political Participation in USA: Hype, Hope and Jillian Evans, University of Illinois-Urbana Champaign Reality: By Dr. Serajul I. Bhuiyan Assiciate Professor and Allison Harell, McGill University Program Director, Mass Communications and Journalism Overview: In this paper, we use Canadian survey data to Serajul I. Bhuiyan, Texas A & M University, Texarkana examine gender differences in both types and levels of social Overview: This paper will examine the effects of the Internet on capital and how these differences affect men and women's political participation and mobilization in USA. political participation. Paper The New Activist: Is the Internet Creating a New Political Presenter Race, Gender, and Comparative Social Policies Elite? Kati A. Anderson, Belmont University Brian P. Levey, University of Arkansas Overview: A comparative analysis of the Civil Rights Overview: The purpose of this paper is to examine the central Movement of the 1960s and the Gay Rights Movement since question: is the internet creating a new political elite class by 1969. opening up new channels of participation. Presenter Women, Welfare Dependency, and Work in the United Paper E-government and Public Trust States Ramona S. McNeal, Kent State University Sherrow O. Pinder, Hobart and William SMassachuettes Lisa J. Dotterweich, Kent State University Institute of Technologyh Colleges Overview: This research will analyze the impact of e- Overview: This study discredits welfare dependency as a lack of government on citizen trust. work ethic. It examines the family ethic. The family ethic Paper Blogs and the Bloggers Who Blog Them: An Analysis of the which saddles women with child care responsibilities makes Who, What and Why of Blogging workfare without child care unrealistic. Kevin J. Wallsten, University of California, Berkeley Presenter Domestic Violence an Overlooked Social Phenomenon Overview: This paper uses a random sample of political “blogs” Joy Klein, California State University, Fullerton and their authors to answer three distinct sets of questions. First, Overview: Domestic violence is a widespread social what is the content of political “blogs”? Second, who “blogs”? phenomenon. Historically viewed as a private problem in Finally, what are the motivations of those who “blog”? patriarchal societies, a philosophical examination should be Disc. Richard M. Skinner, Bowdoin College prepared for the future formation of public policy.

Presenter Bodily Integrity, Reproductive Liberty and Legal 21-9 CAMPAIGN EFFECTS: CONGRESSIONAL Personhood AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Julie D. Lane, University of Texas, Austin Room TBA, Sat 1:45

Updated 03-01-05 127 Overview: This paper contains a comparative analysis of Paper Theorizing the Transition from Violence to Politics: Insights Supreme Court doctrine in two contrasting frameworks: the from the International Criminal Court. right to bodily integrity as it pertains to physical punishments Giunia Gatta, University of Minnesota and Ohio State and personal searches and the right to decisional reproductive University privacy. Overview: The International Criminal Court provides an internationally negotiated definition of cruelty through 23-9 RACIAL AND ETHNIC GROUP IDENTITY discursive practices marked by asymmetries of power among Room TBA, Sat 1:45 actors. I assess the meaning of the Court for these important Chair Mark Q. Sawyer, University of California, Los Angeles themes in political theory. Paper Political Economy of Identity Formation: An Overlapping Disc. Alexander Moon, Cornell University Generations Model Marcus Alexander, Harvard University 25-11 THE POLITICS OF LIBERAL Overview: We take a new approach to theorizing the DEMOCRACY: ELITES AND ZERO-SUM construction of identity. The OLG general equilibrium model COMPETITION allows us to study the dynamics of integration, deriving and Room TBA, Sat 1:45 testing hypotheses about the shape of the political economy in Chair Donald J. Maletz, University of Oklahoma diverse societies. Paper Killing the Sons of Brutus: Machiavelli and Modern Paper Racial Affect among African Americans and Non-African Democracy Americans. An Implicit "Dolls Test" Eric S. Petrie, Michigan State University Thomas C. Craemer, Stony Brook University Overview: Machiavelli's Discourses are examined to uncover a Overview: This is a priming study to investigate implicit racial regime much like modern liberal democracy, with a ruthless affect among African American students. Clark’s (1963) competition for power kept in check by a democratic people hypothesis that pro-black pronouncements may reflect a "norm who understand themselves to have eliminated traditional elites. of racial pride" rather than genuinely held feelings is supported. Paper Machiavelli, Hobbes, Clausewitz and Foucault: Four Paper Intra-racial Differences in an Increasingly Inter-racial Variations on the Zero-sum Theme World: Native-born Black American and African and Afro- James Read, College of St. Benedict/St. John's University Caribbean Interests in Government and Participation in the Overview: Four authors are examined to determine whether a U.S. case can be made for a concept of power under liberal Christina M. Greer, Columbia University democracy that is more than zero-sum. Overview: This study aims to unfold and determine the Paper Foundational and Anti-foundational Liberalism: What’s the attitudinal similarities and differences between the three ethnic Difference? groups as well as seek to better understand the future of black Folke B. Lindahl, Michigan State University racial classification in the U.S. Overview: The debate between Fish, Connolly, Rorty and Gray Paper Latino Group Consciousness: Examining its Measurement regarding the "foundations" of liberal democratic theory are Across Surveys critically examined for the political consequences regarding Natalie Masuoka, University of California, Irvine elite competition. Overview: This paper compares measurements of Latino group Disc. Donald J. Maletz, University of Oklahoma consciousness across different public opinion surveys. We

examine for any variables that consistently strengthen or weaken group consciousness to come to a clearer understanding 26-6 TOLERATION AND TRUST of its dynamic. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper The Challenges of Building a Pan-Black Afro- Paper The Distinctive Paradox of Religious Tolerance Latino/African American Identity: Dominican Views of Emile Lester, College of William and Mary Blackness Patrick S. Roberts, University of Virginia Richard T. Middleton IV, University of Missouri, St. Louis Overview: The empirical literature on tolerance treats religion Overview: An investigation into Afro-Latino and African in much the same way as it treats tolerance toward other groups. American black identity that conducts a survey of 100 We argue that religious tolerance poses distinct challenges Dominicans in two cities in the Dominican Republic. The which deserve to be addressed. survey questions measure the degree of intensity of Dominican's black identity. Paper The Idea of Trust in a Surveillance Society Disc. Mark Q. Sawyer, University of California, Los Angeles Richard A. Moushegian, Jr., University of California, Los Angeles 24-9 THEORETICAL PUZZLES Overview: What’s wrong with a “surveillance society?” It erodes trust. Surveillance inherently assumes the party under Room TBA, Sat 1:45 surveillance is not sufficiently trusted. At what point then can Chair William A. Gorton, St. Olaf College and does surveillance undermine socially constructive Paper Enclosure and Exclusion: The Invention of Private Property cooperative behavior? Alexandra M. Kogl, University of Northern Iowa Paper Sources of Political Authority: Between Legitimacy and Overview: This paper offers an intellectual history and critique Trust of one of the most naturalized notions in American political and Yordanka Nedyalkova, Washington University, St Louis economic life: the right to private property. Overview: The paper explores the conceptual relationship Paper From Distributive Justice to Lotteries: Closing the Gap between political legitimacy and generalized trust and its Peter C. Stone, Stanford University implications for theories of political authority. Overview: Political theorists believe that in many situations a Paper The Distinctive Paradox of Religious Tolerance lottery is a fair method for distributing goods. They tend, Patrick S. Roberts, University of Virginia however, to assume this claim without arguing for it. The truth Overview: Religious tolerance is distinctive because we have a of this claim is, however, not as obvious as they suggest. greater obligation to be sensitive and tolerant towards parts of Paper A Non-Consequentialist Defense of Torture people’s identities that they particularly value and that are Yvonne Chiu, University of California, Berkeley fundamental to being human. Overview: This paper constructs a non-consequentialist defense Disc. Mark Warren, University of British Columbia of interrogational torture, drawing from the social contract

tradition. Violations of the hypothetical agreement to a particular political and social system result in loss of its 27-8 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS IN protections. COMPARATIVE PERSPECTIVE

128 Updated 03-01-05 Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Chair Konstantin Sonin, Institute for Advanced Study Chair Steven Callander, Northwestern University Paper Can Political Parties Work as a Source of Electoral Paper Robust Constitutions: Voting and Delegation under the Cleavage? Lack of Enforcement Junghwa Lee, University of Michigan Milan Svolik, University of Chicago Overview: This paper claims that political parties play an Overview: This paper relates two general features of political independent and active role in mobilizing and ‘politicizing’ a organization: the extent of pooling of joint decision making latent cleavage, where no territorial configuration of social through voting, and the extent of delegation within political cleavages is expected to bring about a regionally divided institutions. electoral split. Paper Cheap-talk and Legislative Bargaining in the European Paper Money, Efforts, and Votes: The Non-Emergence of a Union’s Codecision Procedure Political Party Bjørn K. Høyland, School of Public Policy, University College Konstantin Sonin, Institute for Advanced Study London Overview: We analyze the link between sources of party finance Overview: I apply the Crawford-Sobell model of strategic and structure of parties to explain why and how high wealth and information transmission to legislative politics in the EU. I income inequality and significant discretionary authority of the derive predictions for successful policy locations, adoption state has led to a multiplicity of weak parties in Russia. stage, voting behaviour and allocation of Codecision reports in Paper Electoral Instability and Party System Instability: What is the EP. the Nature of the Link? Paper Patronage, Ideology, and Policy Decentralization Margit Tavits, University of Oxford Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, Columbia University Overview: Electoral instability is assumed to be linked to party Overview: This paper develops a theoretical model of policy system instability. I show that fluctuation in turnout is related to decentralization that explicitly accounts for the fact that national only some and electoral volatility to none of the different and local governments may have preferences over patronage measures of party system stabilization in Eastern Europe. distribution, as well as over policy outcomes. Paper Party Dominance in Africa’s Multiparty Elections Paper A Coalition Dominance Approach to Party Behavior Daniel J. Young, University of California, Los Angeles Gerald Pech, National University of Ireland, Galway Overview: In this paper I examine the puzzle of parties winning Overview: Explain that proportional representation results in large seat shares in African democracies despite unfavorable outcomes closer to the median voter than majority voting. conditions to do so. I test existing theories, find them Majoritarian intra-party decisions moderate outcomes in insufficient to solve the puzzle, and offer an alternative coalition governments. Model party formation as coalition of explanation. politicians. Disc. Jae-Jae M. Spoon, University of Michigan Disc. Steven Callander, Northwestern University Gilles Serra, Harvard University 30-9 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND CONTINUITY IN THE PRESIDENCY 28-5 NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN TIME SERIES Room TBA, Sat 1:45 CROSS-SECTIONAL MODELS Chair Sean J. Savage, Saint Mary's College Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Post-FDR Politics: The Triumph of Ambition and the Chair Kosuke Imai, Princeton University Collapse of Statesmanship Paper Efficient Estimation of Rarely Changing Variables in Fixed Jeffrey A. Becker, University of California, Davis Effects Models Overview: This essay argues that since the presidency of FDR, Thomas Plümper, University of Konstanz hierarchies of political leadership have opened to average Vera E. Troeger, Max Planck Institute Jena citizens in key ways, but not in ways conducive to democratic Overview: We discuss a 3-stage estimator that reduces the control over government. inefficiency of fixed effects models in estimating rarely Paper The Flying White House: Presidential Travel as an changing variables. MC experiments demonstrate the method’s Emerging Institution superiority if the between variance is 2.5 times larger than the Michael J. Burton, Ohio University within variance. Overview: Examines contemporary presidential travel as a part Paper A Bayesian Multilevel Modeling Approach to Time Series of the White House institution and as a symbolic expression of Cross-Sectional Data executive power. Boris Shor, Princeton University Paper Hamilton's Executive Government Andrew Gelman, Columbia University Benjamin A. Kleinerman, Virginia Military Institute David Park, Professor, Washington University Overview: Provides something of a correction to the Joseph Bafumi, Columbia University conventional wisdom that the Constitution proscribes Luke Keele, Oxford University presidential leadership by examining the political thought of Overview: The analysis of time series cross-sectional data has Alexander Hamilton. become increasingly popular. We consider a Bayesian Paper Contracts of Normalcy: How Presidents Reconcile Changing multilevel model, using simulations and diverse data Commitments and Political Disruption applications to benchmark this approach against the popular Gregg D. Lindskog, University of Virginia Beck-Katz PCSE procedure. Overview: I show how presidents describe the opportunity to Paper Which Time-Series Cross-Section Estimator Should I Use effect change and compare this with the historic record to Now? Guidance from Monte Carlo Experiments explain presidential action. I argue these presidents have to Sven E. Wilson, Brigham Young University respond to new commitments, and socio-political disruption and Daniel M. Butler, Stanford University change. Christopher Adolph, University of Washington Disc. Sean J. Savage, Saint Mary's College Overview: We discuss common problematic features of time series cross-section data typically analyzed in political science. 31-10 LEGISLATIVE DECISION MAKING AND Using Monte Carlo experiements, we compare the relative DISTRIBUTIVE POLICY performance of various proposed estimators in coping with Room TBA, Sat 1:45 these challenges. Chair TBA Disc. Patrick T. Brandt, University of North Texas Paper The 'Law of 1/n,' Legislature Size, and Government

Spending 29-11 COMPARATIVE PARTY SYSTEMS David M. Primo, University of Rochester Room TBA, Sat 1:45 James M. Snyder, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Updated 03-01-05 129 Overview: A central finding of the distributive politics literature Carroll G. Robinson, Texas Southern University is that large legislatures engage in more wasteful "pork barrel" Overview: By 2050, fifty percent of the nation’s population will spending than smaller counterparts. Utilizing a formal theory be people of color. Preserving special provisions of the Voting and data from the U.S. states, we challenge this result. Rights Act will be crucial. I say a “protect-maximize & swing” Paper Explaining Oversized Coalitions. Empirical Evidence from redistricting strategy best protects minority political power. Local Goverments Disc. Justin M. Buchler, Oberlin College Soeren Serritzlew, Aarhus University Asbjoern Skjaeveland, TBA 32-9 CONGRESSIONAL CANDIDATES COMING Jens Blom-Hansen, TBA AND GOING Overview: The paper tests a number of prominent theories of Room TBA, Sat 1:45 oversized legislative coalitions using 300 Danish local Chair Jeffrey Lazarus, Georgia State University governments as the empirical testing ground. Paper Causes of Challenger Quality in U.S. House Elections, 1946- Paper Testing Theories of Distributive Politics and Pork Barrel 2002 Spending in Legislatures Robert B. Arseneau, Independent Researcher Alan E. Wiseman, Ohio State University Overview: This paper tests the proposition that national level Michael C. Herron, Dartmouth College electoral forces are a contributing cause of challenger quality in Overview: We analyze the manner in which monies were U.S. House elections. Using data from the 1946-2002 elections, distributed under the FIRST grant program in Illinois to test this analysis provides only modest support for this proposition. competing theories of distributive politics. Paper Money, Entry, and Retirement: Reassessing Candidate Paper The Distributive Consequences of Congressional Seniority Investment in U.S. House Elections in Budgetary Politics Walter J. Stone, University of California, Davis Kenneth K. Wong, Vanderbilt University Sarah Fulton, University of California, Davis Warren E. Langevin, Vanderbilt University Sandy Maisel, Colby College Overview: Our paper documents the regional shift in formula- Cherie Maestas, Florida State University based distributions under the Elementary and Secondary Overview: Explores the effect of spending, candidate entry by Education Act through an analytical framework and quantitative experienced challengers and incumbent retirement by models to explain the concurrent transformation of introducing an explicit, exogenous measure of incumbent congressional representation. prospects. Disc. Thomas J. Bräuninger, University of Konstanz Paper The Impact of Candidate Motivations on Campaign Rob Salmond, University of California, Los Angeles Resources, Organization and Outcomes

Douglas D. Roscoe, University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth 31-210 ROUNDTABLE: TBA Shannon Jenkins, University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Alan Gitelson, Loyola University Chicago Presenter Cue Taking Without Parties John Frendreis, Loyola University Chicago Rhonda Saferstein, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Overview: Using data from a nine state survey of state Overview: TBA legislative candidates, this paper develops a candidate typology based on motivations for seeking office and relates this typology 32-5 LEGISLATIVE REDISTRICTING AND to campaign resources, organization and election outcomes. REPRESENTATIONAL BOUNDARIES Paper When and How do Legislators Leave a Legislature? Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Electoral Loss, Voluntary Exit, and Death Chair Gregory Koger, University of Montana Kentaro Fukumoto, Harvard University Paper Crossing the Line: Electoral Consequences of Redistricting Overview: How long legislators serve in a legislature depends Across County Boundaries on how they exit from the assembly, namely, through election Laura E. Miller, Stanford University loss, retirement or death. I construct a survival analysis model Overview: Court-ordered reapportionment of congressional taking competing risks and repeated failures into consideration. districts in the 1960s positively impacted the incumbency Disc. Allan Cigler, University of Kansas advantage by disrupting previously stable political jurisdictions, reducing the power of local party organizations to challenge 33-12 THE COURTS AND THE PUBLIC incumbents. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Paper Economic Performance and Electoral Tides: When and Chair Elliot E. Slotnick, Ohio State University Why Does Redistricting Matter? Paper Challenging the Status Quo: Interest Mobilization, Popular Richard Forgette, University of Mississippi Initiatives and the Courts Harvey Palmer, TBA Jolly A. Emrey, California State University, Los Angeles Overview: We propose a model of redistricting effects under Rorie Solberg, Oregon State University different political and economic contexts. Redistricting effects Overview: In direct democracy states courts not only perform have become more pronounced in recent cycles and that these judicial review, but also provide opportunities for increased growing effects are decreasing electoral party turnover. political participation. Paper The Role of State Characteristics on Gerrymandering and Paper The Supreme Court in American Democracy: Unraveling Congressional Policy Outcomes the Linkages between Public Opinion and Judicial Decision- Jason A. Reifler, Duke University making Overview: I examine how state characteristics, such as the Micheal W. Giles, Emory University number of districts or distribution of ideal points of the Richard L. Vining, Emory University population, determine how much gerrymandering in a state can Bethany R. Blackstone, Emory University affect national policy outcomes. Overview: We distinguish the causal chain that directly links Paper Beyond the District and the State: Reconceptualizing public opinion to Supreme Court decision-making. Employing Representational Boundaries a measure of case salience for analytic leverage, we are able to Justin T. Gollob, Temple University differentiate the effects of attitude change and strategic Overview: The purpose of the paper is to move beyond what I behavior. believe is a static view of representational boundaries. The Paper Judicial Decision Making and Public Opinion: A State-Level argument will be forwarded that there are alternative ways to View view representational boundaries beyond the district and the Kenneth L. Manning, University of Massachusetts, Dartmouth state. Robert A. Carp, University of Houston Paper Preparing Now for the 2010 Redistricting Cycle

130 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: A state-level study of public opinion and decision- Rex L. LaMore, Michigan State University making in the federal disitrict courts which addresses the Faron Supanich-Goldner, Michigan State University question: "Do the courts follow public opinion?" Overview: In 1992, the mayors of twelve of Michigan's central Paper Judicial Decisions and Compliance: The Electoral cities established a forum in which to share local strategies and Connection speak with one voice about their common concerns. This paper Thomson W. McFarland, University of Colorado discusses the experience of this group over the past dozen years. Vanessa Baird, University of Colorado Disc. Jered Carr, Wayne State University Michele Buckley, University of Colorado Overview: Our paper examines why elected officials comply 37-301 POSTER SESSION: PUBLIC POLICY with judicial decisions. Using an experimental design, we find Room TBA, Sat 1:45 that levels of diffuse support and political knowledge among Presenter A Matrix for Understanding Groundwater Policy in the 50 citizens create an electoral incentive for officials to comply. US States Paper An Appeal to the People: Testing the Empirical Foundations Grenetta Thomassey Fink, University of Minnesota, Duluth of Popular Constitutionalism This work provides, among other things, a current, up to date Joseph D. Ura, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill reference table listing groundwater doctrines in all 50 US states, Overview: I examine the empirical foundations of popular which fills a gap in existing literature. constitutionalism by asking: Does the mass public Presenter Examining the Performance of Fiscal Policy in the Context systematically react to Supreme Court decision-making? I find of Private Sector Determinants of Economic Performance that the public can and does respond in the aggregate to John Bohte, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Supreme Court decisions. Uk Heo, University of Wisconsin,Milwaukee Disc. Elliot E. Slotnick, Ohio State University Overview: This study examines the relative impact of fiscal Eric N. Waltenburg, Purdue University policy on economic performance, controlling for private sector determinants of performance. 34-101 ROUNDTABLE: SPECIALIZED LAW- Presenter Does Information Matter? A Study of State-level RELATED JOURNALS Implementation Efforts to Facilitate Local Drug Court Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Programs Panelist Luke Bierman, North Carolina State University Kathleen Hale, Kent State University Ted Eisenberg, Cornell University (Journal of Empirical Legal Overview: This study examines whether states that are more Studies) informed by national networks are more likely to take actions at Herbert M. Kritzer, University of Wisconsin-Madison the state level in support of local programs. The study employs (Law & Society Review) data from 1103 drug courts established between 1989 and 2003. Lynn Mather, University at Buffalo (Law and Policy) Presenter Annexation and Conditional Land Transfer Agreements Wayne McIntosh, University of Maryland (Law and Politics Cynthia Jackson-Elmoore, Michigan State University Book Review) Overview: Local autonomy and service delivery are key issues Laura Beth Nielsen, American Bar Foundation (Law and in municipal boundary change. With this in mind, the Social Inquiry) advantages and disadvantages of conditional land transfers are David Richert, American Judicature Society (Judicature) discussed with suggestions for policy reforms transferability Stephen L. Wasby, University at Albany (Justice System across states. Journal) Presenter Matrimonial Mandates: The Government’s Role in Overview: The editors of law-related journals will discuss the Regulating Marriage domains and foci of their journals, and will entertain questions Loan K. Le, University of California, Berkeley from the audience. Alison L. Gash, University of California, Berkeley Overview: We pinpoint the origin and evolution of government 36-12 THE POLITICS OF REGIONAL policies on marriage and examine anti-miscegenation laws, welfare reform marriage incentives and the components of the COOPERATION same-sex marriage debate. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Presenter Policy Framing, Risk Amplification, and the Debate over Chair Dennis Judd, University of Illinois, Chicago Electronic Voting Paper Regional Solutions to Urban Problems: Camden and New Thad E. Hall, University of Utah Jersey’s Municipal Rehabilitation and Recovery Act of Michael Alvarez, California Tech University 2002. Overview: This paper examines the factors affecting changes in Daniel Dougherty, Temple University the framing of the debate regarding election reform from being Overview: I argue that recent state policy in New Jersey about enfranchising people with disabilities to focusing on reconceptualizes the city as an anchor for regional economic fraud, using unique survey data and media coverage analyses. redevelopment and this process provides insights into how and Presenter Policy Flow in the United States (1789-2002) why regional political solutions to urban problems take place. J. Tobin Grant, Southern Illinois University Paper Choosing Sides: Formation of Regional Partnership for Nathan Kelly, SUNY, Buffalo Economic Development in Metropolitan Area and Overview: We propose new concept, policy flow. We provide a Landscape Theory of Aggregation methodology for measuring policy flow that combines measures In Won Lee, Florida State University of budgets and major lawmaking from 1789 - 2002, discuss its Hyung Jun Park, Florida State University dynamics, and model it. Overview: We applied this landscape theory to explain why Presenter Contracting Out in American Local Governments: The some metropolitan area success formation of regional Politics of Good Times partnership of for economic development, and other Thomas Pallesen, University of Aarhus metropolitan area are failure. Overview: TBA Paper The Metropolitan Mayors Caucus: The Effectiveness of Ad Hoc Regionalism 38-3 HISTORY AND TEMPORALITY IN US Bonnie J. Lindstrom, Northwestern University Overview: The research will analyze the reasons for the region- SOCIAL POLICY wide policy successes and failures of the Metropolitan Mayors Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Caucus, a new ad hoc regional institution comprised of the city Chair Stephen Pimpare, Yeshiva University of Chicago and 270 suburbs. Paper The Unintended Impact of Social Security Coverage on the Paper Michigan's Urban Core Mayors: Studies in Local Establishment of Medicare and Medicaid Programs Leadership and Cooperation Robert A. Peters, Western Michigan University

Updated 03-01-05 131 Keon-Hyung Lee, Western Michigan University Overview: The paper argues that ethnic cleansing in Europe can Overview: The exlusion of farm labor from Social Security best be explained by the interaction between institutional history coverage led southern lawmakers to block Medicare and and competing border setting policies. substitute an expansion of indigent health care. The program's Paper Variations on a Theme: A Comparison of the Development cost delayed Medicare's enactment for an additional five years. of the United Nations and the United States Disc. Stephen Pimpare, Yeshiva University Lenora J. Stiles, American University Overview: A comparative analysis of the similarities between 39-6 POLICY STABILITY (Co-sponsored with the current United Nations and the United States under the Public Policy, see 37-12) Articles of Confederation Disc. Robert Mickey, University of Michigan Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Pedro J. Camoes, University of Minho, Portugal Chair Lilliard Richardson, University of Missouri

Paper Participation in Policy Garbage Cans - How Separate Are the Streams of Problems and Solutions? 44-4 RELIGIOUS BELIEFS IN U.S. POLITICS Scott E. Robinson, University of Texas, Dallas Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Warren Eller, Texas A&M University Chair Ted G. Jelen, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Overview: Keywords: Garbage Can Models, Participation in Paper Righteous Roll-Call Voting: Religion, Choice, and Morality Administrative Decision Making, Education Policy, Crime and Politics in the U.S. House and Senate, 1999-2002 Violence Policy David W. Mariott, University of Arizona Paper Stability and Punctuations in Public Policy: A Comparative Overview: This study modifies Haider-Markel's morality Study of Long-Term Policy Effects of Institutional Choices politics model to analyze the relationship between morality Peter B. Mortensen, University of Aarhus issues and the U.S. House and Senate with an emphasis on Overview: This paper examines institutional effects on the member religious affiliation. frequency of policy punctuations. It does so by using the Paper The Confessional Congress: Religion, Partisanship and theoretical framework of Baumgartner and Jones in a Legislative Behavior comparative study of Danish civil defense and Danish national James L. Guth, Furman University home guard policy 1949-2003. Lyman A. Kellstedt, Furman University Paper Understanding the Multiple Dimensions of Policy Equilbria Overview: This paper examines the relationship between the Jeff S. Worsham, West Virginia University religious affiliations and behaviors of U.S. House members and Viviane Foyou, West Virginia University their legislative voting. Overview: This paper examines the multiple sources of Paper Congressional Voting on Religious Issues: Partisan disequilibria—group, institutional, and individual—that account Influences or Personal Beliefs? for the evolution of the coal policy subsystem over the course of Tara W. Stricko-Neubauer, University of Pittsburgh the 20th century. Overview: This study examines the effect of religion on Paper The Dynamics of Incrementalism: Subsystems, Politics, and Senators’ votes on conscience issues. As religious beliefs are Public Lands likely to be a core component of an individual’s basic outlook, it Robert S. Wood, University of North Dakota is important to understand how those beliefs affect elite Overview: This paper examines why challengers are able to decision-making. break down policy subsystems in one area but not another Paper The Political Cohesion of Churches through a study of policy change in two areas of environmental Paul A. Djupe, Denison University policy: timber policy in national forests and grazing policy on Christopher P. Gilbert, Gustavus Adolphus College public lands. Overview: We investigate the attributes of churches that Disc. Dana L. Baker, University of Missouri, Columbia promote political cohesion, including effects from clergy, church members, and the community. Are political minorities 40-10 ALTERNATIVE PATHS OF less active as their minority status grows more pronounced? Paper Race, Religion and Partisanship: The Role of Biblical INSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT Literalism in Shaping Towards the Republican Party. Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Eric L. McDaniel, University of Texas Chair Robert Mickey, University of Michigan Chris Ellison, University of Texas Paper 100% (Non)Natural: Those Who Walked Away from Overview: The purpose of this paper is to examine the role of Stratification and Statehood religion in African American public opinion. In addition, the Adam Waldie, York University paper will also examine the role of race in how much of an Overview: A study of two cultures that countered the historical effect religion has on their attitudes. trend of ever-more complex and stratified societies by, Disc. Geoffrey C. Layman, University of Maryland consciously and of their own volition, overthrowing Marie Eisenstein, Indiana University Northwest stratification and statehood in favour of simpler, more egalitarian societies. 48-1 NEW PERSPECTIVES ON LGBT'S AND Paper "Monsters and Freaks": Mao Zedong, The Qianlong Emperor, and the Pursuit of Political Control POLITICS Steven R. Duke, University of Washington Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Overview: Comparison of the political campaigns of Mao Chair Kenneth Sherrill, Hunter College, CUNY Zedong and the Qianlong Emperor to identify enduring Paper We Are (Or Are We) Family (?):The Failings of elements of Chinese political culture and to explain the broader Communitarian Gay Politics nature of ruling China. Patrick Y. Lagua, University of Michigan Paper Politics as Property: The Undemocratic Peace and the Overview: This paper analyzes the failings of contemporary Origins of Modern Europe communitarian oriented gay politics, and why a more "queer" or Vivek S. Sharma, New York University anti-assimilationist politics is not only more tenable, but George W. Downs, New York University neccessary in the current political climate. Overview: This paper examines the impact of domestic Paper An Emergent Electorate: Gays. Lesbians, and Bisexuals in institutional organization upon international politics in a the United States historical context. Megan E. Osterbur, University of New Orleans Paper Border Setting and Ethnic Cleansing in Europe between Overview: This paper simultaneously questions the application 1900-1950 of public policy categories developed by Lowi and Tatalovich H. Zeynep Bulutgil, Yale University and Daynes examining gay policy formation in France and the United States and the subsequent impact on public opinion

132 Updated 03-01-05 Paper The Role of the Slovenian Gay Rights Movement in Overview: Does the political agenda vary across time and Challenging the Communist Ideology of Uniformity space? This paper provides evidence that both the number and Nenad Senic, Western Michigan University the nature of the fundamental conflicts that underpin political Overview: The paper examines the role of the first gay rights competition differ in advanced industrial democracies. movement in Eastern Europe in the pluralization of Slovenian Paper The Crisis of Western Communist Parties: Going Beyond communist society in the late 1980s by challenging the official Social Determinants. ideology of uniformity. Luis J. Ramiro, University of Murcia, Spain Disc. Jason Pierceson, St. Norbert College Overview: This paper analyses the various possible determinants of the crisis of Western Communist parties. It 49-3 POLITICAL TERRORISM AND AMERICAN explores the validity of both social and political factors as POLITICS explanations to this crisis. Paper Corporatism and Party System Stability Room TBA, Sat 1:45 Margit Tavits, University of Oxford Chair William Crotty, Northeastern University Overview: New parties are more frequent when the institutional Paper Values, Elections, and Terrorism structures are permissive (cost is low), the corporatist John K. White, Catholic University of America arrangements are weak (benefit is high), and the electoral Overview: How to deal with terrorism was the campaign issue histories of the incumbents are short (electoral viability is high). of the 2004 presidential election. This paper extrapolates Paper Globalization’s Effect on Parties’ Policy Positions possible policy consequences resulting from the electoral Andrea B. Haupt, University of California, Santa Barbara outcome and the degree to which they reflect the values divide Overview: I examine the impact of the international economy in society. on parties’ policy positions cross-nationally Paper The Presidency and the Struggle to Protect the Homeland: Disc. Ken Kollman, University of Michigan Political Consequences and Policy Realities Matt Golder, University of Iowa John S. Jackson, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale

Overview: This paper discusses how the institutional structure of the United States has handled the threat of terrorism, and how 2-10 PARTICIPATION AND COLLECTIVE the role of the Chief Executive in recent years has been ACTION transformed by terrorist acts. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper Terrorism in a Political Context: 9/11 and Related Events in Chair Jason Wittenberg, University of Wisconsin, Madison American History Paper Study on Japanese Citizen Movements: The Environmental Jerome M. Mileur, University of Massachusetts, Amherst NPOs Since 1990s Overview: This paper will place September 11th in a continuum EuiSuok Han, University of Southern California of events which have threatened the security of the United Haruhiko Furumura, University of Southern California States, and then analyzes how political actors responded to these Overview: Scholars pointed out the weakness of environmental threats from an institutional perspective. movements in Japan without enough evidence. This study will Disc. James Scott, Indiana State University show the plausible factors which draw the “weak” perception, and provide empirical data on Japanese environmental NPOs since 1990s. Saturday, April 9 – 3:45 pm – 5:30 pm Paper Accede or Not to Accede: Analysis of the Impact of Protests and Concessions on Future Concessions 1-101 ROUNDTABLE: NESTING EXPLANATIONS: Taehyun Nam, University of Kansas MULTI-LEVEL ACCOUNTS IN Justin A. Tucker, University of Kansas COMPARATIVE POLITICS (Co-sponsored Overview: We study the effect of protest level on concessions with Comparative Politics-Industrialized from government and business. We examine how the level of protest affects the likelihood of a concession and that Countries, see 2-101) concession’s impact on future concessions. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper The Stalemate Between Environmentalists and Industry in Chair Rob Franzese, University of Michigan the United States - Viewed in the Light of Norwegian Panelist Phil Shively, University of Minnesota Offshore Oil Policies. Wendy Rahn, University of Minnesota Frank T. Manheim, George Mason University John Huber, Columbia University Overview: Comparisons between the offshore oil industry in the Raymond Duch, University of Houston U.S. and Norway show that each side in the U.S.conflict can Overview: Scholars in this session will hold a discussion about thwart the other but not achieve own goals, whereas Norway has multi-level explanations in comparative politics (e.g., how no gridlock. New insights for an old U.S. conflict? institutional context affects citizen attitudes or behavior). Paper Social Capital, Civil Society, and Collective Action: What Makes Some Publics More ‘Civic’ than Others? 1-108 ROUNDTABLE: AGENT BASED MODELING Ronald Inglehart, University of Michigan OF CULTURE (Co-sponsored with Political Christian Welzel, International Univeristy, Bremen Culture, see 42-101) Overview: This paper demonstrates that participation in spontaneous mass action is much more closely linked with Room TBA, Sat 3:45 democracy and other positive effects, at both the individual Panelist Scott Page, University of Michigan level and the system level, than is membership in voluntary Panelist Michael Dawson, Harvard University associations. Rhavi Bhavnani, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Paper Democratic Inclusiveness and Gender: Perceptions of Meri Rolfe, University of Chicago Discrimination and Their Effects on Democratic Support Overview: TBA Christine S. Lipsmeyer, University of Missouri, Columbia

Cigdem Kentmen, University of Missouri, Columbia 2-8 PARTY SYSTEMS II Overview: If democracy promotes inclusiveness, then Room TBA, Sat 3:45 individuals that feel excluded may have less favorable views of Chair Ken Kollman, University of Michigan democracy. Women who encounter more discrimination at the Paper What's On the Political Agenda? Cleavage Salience in individual level or perceive more in society may express a Comparative Perspective negative view of democracy. Heather M. Stoll, Stanford University and University of Disc. Benjamin L. Read, University of Iowa California, Santa Barbara Jason Wittenberg, University of Wisconsin, Madison

Updated 03-01-05 133 Room TBA, Sat 3:45 3-10 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS AND Chair Lisa Baldez, Dartmouth College ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE I Paper Popular Mobilizations, Civil Society, and Democracy in Latin America Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Eduardo O. Frajman, University of Maryland, College Park Chair Ira Parnerkar, University of Chicago Examines the effect that popular mobilizations of civil society Paper Political Institutions and Economic Development: The and social movements have on Latin American democracy. Context-Dependent Effects of Political Institutions Criticizes conceptions of civil-society-based “participatory Jonathan Hanson, University of Michigan democracy” as disconnected from available empirical evidence. Overview: This paper tests the proposition that a fuller Paper New Politics in Argentina? The Piqueteros, Policy Change understanding of the relationship between political institutions and the Demands of the Unemployed and economic performance is gained by thinking about the Melissa Scheier, University of Houston effect of institutions given a country's stage in the development Isabella Alcaniz, University of Houston process. Overview: This paper traces the development, strategies and Paper Explaining Human Capital Accumulation: The Interaction goals of the Piqueteros movement in Argentina. We argue that of Economic Factors and the Type of Political Regime the Piqueteros are a powerful new political actor which can Dulce Manzano, New York University bridge the gap between social movement and political party. Overview: The political economy literature on human capital Paper Nonviolent Politics in Action: A Comparative Analysis of typically stresses the impact of per capita income and wealth the Mothers of the Plaza de Mayo and the Brazilian inequality on education. In this paper, I argue however that the Relentless Resistance effects of both variables are contingent on the type of political Khalil M. Marrar, Loyola University regime. Overview: This is a comparative examination of two non- Paper Market Reforms as Collective Action Problems: An violent movements in Argentina and Brazil. Ontological Obstacle? Paper Unemployment and Opportunism: The “Piqueteros” of M. Ines Valdez, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Argentina Overview: This paper examines the adequacy of the collective Aldo F. Ponce, University of Connecticut action framework in the literature on market reforms, and shows Overview: This paper sheds light on the possible explanations that many underlying assumptions are not warranted in the that produced the emergence and consolidation of the actual processes, thus creating an ontological obstacle to “piqueteros” social movement in Argentina from a comparative theorization. perspective, based on Latin America. Disc. Ira Parnerkar, University of Chicago Disc. Lisa Baldez, Dartmouth College Mustafa B. Ozturk, University of Chicago Benjamin Goldfrank, University of New Mexico

4-13 EU EXPANSION Room TBA, Sat 3:45 6-10 EXECUTIVE POWER IN LATIN AMERICA: Chair Lee D. Walker, University of Kentucky Paper Elites and Democratic Policy: 10 Years of European CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES Integration Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Lars K. Hallstrom, St. Francis Xavier University Chair Carlos Guevara Mann, Florida State University Overview: Due to policy integration, elites in the Czech Paper Power Distribution and Government Performance - The Republic and Poland have shifted their orientations toward the Political Economy of Financial Crisis Management and EU. This has happened at the expense of the participatory and Resolution civil elements of democratic political life in these states. Gabriela Nava-Campos, Northwestern University Paper I’d Buy that for a Dollar: Consumption and Support for the Overview: This paper examines the link between government European Union. performance and the institutional structures framing decision- Kevin P. Allen, University of Houston making. The results show that performance is negatively Overview: This paper looks at the role of consumption of both affected by more dispersed distributions of power and a highly small and big ticket items in regards to support for the European restricted executive. Union. Paper The Executive Assault Problem: Resisting Predatory Paper Party Alternation as Limit to Corruption: State-business Presidents in Latin American Democracies Relations and the Promotion of Economic Development in William T. Barndt, Princeton University Post-Socialist Eastern Europe Overview: The essay analyzes attempts by presidents to restrict Roger Schoenman, Columbia University political liberties in Latin America. Why do presidents attempt Overview: Schoenman examines the impact of state - business these executive assaults? Why do some assaults succeed, while elite relations on outcomes of state intervention in the economy others fail? What are the best strategies for defeating assaults? in Poland, Romania and Bulgaria. Paper Executive-Legislative Relations and Economic Policy Design Paper The Road to Europe – Legacies, Strategies, Norms and the Leonardo Gatica, University of Texas Development of the Rule of Law in Hungary and Bulgaria Overview: The paper studies the institutional determinants that Aneta B. Spendzharova, University of North Carolina, Chapel shape the relationship between executive and legislative, and Hill their effect over the stabilization strategies in Latin America. Overview: This study argues that through the pre-accession Paper One for All and All for One? A Theory of Presidents and conditionality process the European Union has influenced Their Parties with Application to Privatizations in Latin positively the quality of the rule of law in Hungary and America (1980s-1990s) Bulgaria. Vidal Romero, Stanford University Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: I develop a theory explaining when and how Paper Solving Kosovo: A European Union Integrative Approach presidents and their parties collaborate. Given positive Steven Majstorovic, University of Wisconsin, Eau Claire transaction costs, collaboration is not straightforward; presidents Overview: This paper a presents a conflict resolution process for obtaining their parties’ support results from these actors being Kosovo that utilizes the expansion of the European Union and able to exchange. its integrative capacities as the engine of resolution. Paper Squeeky Wheels and Unequal Policy: Executive Authority Disc. Claire V. Kramer, Duke University and Education Reform in Latin America Clayton L. Thyne, University of Iowa 6-9 SOCIAL MOVEMENTS AND Erika Moreno, University of Iowa DEMOCRATIZATION

134 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: The World Bank has long promoted controversial Beken Saatcioglu, University of Virginia education reforms in Latin America. This paper seeks to Overview: This paper examines the impacts of the EU's political explain how variations in democratic governance and executive conditionality on the democratization of Turkey to argue that power can either help or hinder the passage of these reforms. compliance with the admission criteria requires not just Disc. Gregg B. Johnson, University at Buffalo, SUNY legislation but more significantly, implementation of democratic Carlos Guevara Mann, Florida State University measures. Disc. Amanda Kirk, University of Massachusetts 9-7 PARTIES AND PARTISANSHIP IN THE Mark E. Wojcik, John Marshall School of Law POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD

Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Chair David S. Mason, Butler University 10-20 CAUSES OF WAR Paper It's a Family Affair: Party Systems in East-Central Europe Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Adrian P. Hull, Jackson State University Chair David Clark, Binghamton University Overview: Statistical analysis delineates the families of party Paper The Democratic Peace Argument Extended: Absence of systems in East-Central Europe, challenges historical Balancing Under Democratic Hegemony institutionalism of Kitschelt et al. 1999, and offers micro-level Lucrecia García Iommi, University of Notre Dame examination of parties and electorates. Includes Bulgaria as case Overview: Under Balance of Threat theory, and considering study. offensive intentions as a function of domestic alikeness, we find Paper Rise of Populism in Post-Communist Poland in A that democracies not only don’t fight each other, but they Comparative Perspective balance each other to a lesser extent. Jacek Lubecki, Millikin University Paper Alignment amid Enmity: Why Warm Peace Eludes Greece Overview: The paper will examine, in a comparative and Turkey perspective, conditions leading to the rise of two most important Rebecca Murphy, Columbia University populist movements in post-communist Poland: Andrzej Overview: Our study seeks to explain variations in relations Lepper's Samoobrona (Self-Defense) and the League of Polish between former military rivals. It examines constructivism, Families. institutionalism, and a realist-based alternative -- alignment Paper The Battle Over Privileges and Pension Reform in Central interconnections against the case of Greece and Turkey. and Eastern Europe - Evidence from legislative Roll Call Paper The Role of Relative Salience in Territorial Conflict: Analysis Differentiating Between Initiator and Target Oana I. Armeanu, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign Nazli Avdan, Duke University Overview: Party spatial positions can predict coalitions that Joshua D. Rubinstein, University of Illinois, Urbana- support pension reform. A roll call analysis of voting in Poland Champaign and Slovakia suggests that reform is more likely where multiple Overview: By reconceptualizing territorial salience as a relative pro-reform coalitions can form and there is left-right consensus. concept, our study extends recent scholarship first through a Paper The Evolution of the Former Dominant Parties in Marxist directional argument in differentiating between initiator and Leninist Regimes in Sub Saharan Africa target; second by taking a longitudinal perspective. John Ishiyama, Truman State University Disc. David Clark, Binghamton University Overview: This paper offers an examination of how the ruling parties in the avowedly Marxist Leninist regimes in Angola, 11-10 POLITICAL ECONOMY OF ECONOMIC Benin, Congo-Brazzaville, Guinea-Bissau, Ethiopia, and GROWTH Mozambique adjusted to the changed circumstances of the post Room TBA, Sat 3:45 cold war period. Chair Nathan M. Jensen, Washington University Paper Making and Breaking the Radical Right in Central and Paper A Model of Military Spending, Endogenous Investment, and Eastern Europe Economic Growth David C. Art, College of the Holy Cross Muhammet A. Bas, University of Rochester Dana Brown, TBA Overview: A formal model of the relationship between military Overview: This paper argues that the variation in the success of spending, investment and economic growth is presented. far right parties in Poland, the Czech Republic, can be explained Empirical test of the implications from the model is provided. by the different responses of mainstream political parties to Paper Democracy and Economic Growth: The Importance of them. Regional Context Disc. Mariusz Ozminkowski, California State Polytechnic Jonathan T. Krieckhaus, University of Missouri, Columbia University, Pomona Overview: The paper moves beyond aggregate cross-sectional tests of a central hypothesis in the literatures and examines 10-12 NEW APPROACHES TO INTERNATIONAL instead if democracy might influence growth differently LAW AND ORGANIZATION depending upon the regional political context. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper Complements of Human Capital in Technological Catch- Chair Amanda Kirk, University of Massachusetts Up: Openness, Capital and Technology Transfer in East Paper Toward a Constructivist Theory of Soft Law Asia Patrick Cottrell, University of Wisconsin, Madison Matthew Shapiro, University of Southern California David M. Trubek, University of Wisconsin Overview: This study advances study of the crucial links among Overview: This paper will draw upon constructivist approaches technological change, human capital accumulation and openness to develop a theory of soft law, analyze its use and operation in and their impact on growth in per capita income in East Asia. Europe, and suggest ways in which how soft law might usefully Paper The Effect of Multilateral Borrowing on Economic be coupled with hard law. Development: Evidence from 46 African Countries Paper War Within Law? Adjusting Quantitative International Jonathan R. Strand, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Relations to International Law Tina F. Mueller, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Lisa M. Danish, SUNY, Buffalo John P. Tuman, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Overview: This paper argues that war databases are flawed Overview: We use three models pooling data from 46 African because they do not account for the international legal status of countries to test the effect of borrowing from the World Bank conflicts. It reviews the legal status of conflicts since 1945 and on national wealth. shows how this redefinition would effect existing scholarship. Disc. Nathan M. Jensen, Washington University Paper EU-Induced Democratization? The Case of Turkey on the Road to Membership

Updated 03-01-05 135 12-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: LEGITIMACY Overview: In this paper we study how rationality and various AND CRISIS forms of uncertainty influence the prospects for designing international institutions that settle international disputes Room TBA, Sat 3:45 peacefully. Presenter Interaction between the Internal and the External State Paper Putting the “Up” in Bottom-Up Peacebuilding: Aiding the Legitimacy Crises: A Recipe for the Interstate Conflict Process of Credibility-Building for Civic Peacebuilding Waheed A. Khan, Purdue University Organizations Overview: States are mainly legitimacy-seeking actors in the Bruce W. Hemmer, University of California, Irvine international system. In this paper, I ask the question, “How do Overview: Theory and empirical study show that linking the external and internal legitimacy crises of states interact to grassroots peacebuilding to the political level is a crucial lead to the interstate conflicts?” element of bottom-up peacebuilding. This study examines

impediments to forming this linkage, and develops a theory of 12-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: how they can be overcome. GLOBALIZATION Paper Encouraging the Moderates, Enabling the Militants: Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Selective Engagement in British Responses to Irish Presenter Globalization and Immigration: The Golden Rush of Nationalism Indians to the Silicon Valley Devashree Gupta, Cornell University Shibani Chattopadhyay, University of Florida Overview: This paper explores how selective engagement Overview: This paper explores the impact of globalization on strategies by governments as a response to nationalist pressures the immigration through the study of the Indian Diaspora affect prospects for successful negotiations in the near future Presenter Unleashed Global Capital and the movement’s long-term internal balance of power. Majid K. Sharifi, University of Florida Disc. Landon E. Hancock, Conflict Analysis & Resolution Overview: I argue that global capital has increasingly freed itself from the constraints of its territorial and sociopolitical 15-9 PUBLIC OPINION AND FOREIGN POLICY: forces. I suggest that this is an unprecedented historical EXTENDING THE STATE OF THE ART. phenomenon with grave global implications. Room TBA, Sat 3:45

Panelist Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Extending the State of 13-10 STRATEGIES FOR MODERN WAR the Art Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Richard Sobel, Harvard University Chair Ashley Leeds, Rice University Eric Shiraev, George Washington University Paper Sight Unseen: A Reexamination of the Influence of Third Dunia Andary, Texas A & M Parties on the Conduct and Duration of Interstate Wars Wilhelm Vosse, International Christian University Alex Weisiger, Columbia University Jack Holmes, Hope College Overview: I argue that third parties often can influence Gaspare Genna, University of South FLorida interstate wars without intervening directly, while those that do Overview: Theory of opinion in foreign policy develops in intervene are disproportionately unlikely to have a major effect. “Opinion & Intervention Crises”; “Countervailing Messages & Paper A Bridge Over Troubled Waters or a Bridge to Nowhere? Support for President Handling Iraq Election”; "Surveying on Britain and Rapid Reaction Forces for Europe Global Engagement" & “Robustness of Predicted Foreign James J. Marquardt, Lake Forest College Policy Mood Indicators” Overview: This paper studies Britain's support for NATO and EU rapid reaction forces. Emphasizing the interoperability of 17-17 THE DYNAMICS OF PARTY these forces, Britain seeks to bridge the widening strategic divide between America and Europe. REALIGNMENT Paper The Role of Military Strategy in Modern "Hybrid" Wars Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Erin M. Simpson, Harvard University Chair Jim Stimson, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overview: This paper is an initial investigation into the Paper White House or Capitol:The Focus of Electoral dynamics of these hybrid conflicts with particular emphasis on Realignments the effects of war-fighting and war-termination strategies on Helmut Norpoth, Stony Brook University eventual victory Jerrold Rusk, University of Illinois, Chiacgo Paper Diasporadic Minorities, Terrorism, and Great Powers' Overview: We test for realignment effects in elections for the National Security Strategies House and President, going back as far as 1828. Our analysis Richard W. Chadwick, University of Hawaii employs a new data and highly accurate source on House Overview: Great powers' national security, antiterrorism elections: Rusk’s 2001 Statistical History of the American policies often focus on migrant and other ethnic minorities. Electorate. Refocusing on classical diasporadic minorities, and perceived Paper The Politics of Realignment: Wattenberg Revisited social injustices, is suggested to avoid costly if not fatal policy Jonathan L. Williamson, Lycoming College errors. Kyle L. Saunders, Colorado State University Disc. Ashley Leeds, Rice University Matthew Gunning, Emory University Overview: In 1981 Wattenberg argued the decline in party 14-12 PROSPECTS FOR CONFLICT RESOLUTION strength was caused by the movement of voters towards a neutral independent position. We reevaluate his hypothesis in Room TBA, Sat 3:45 light of the twenty years of additional survey data. Chair Landon E. Hancock, Conflict Analysis & Resolution Paper Redefining Realignment -- Regional Changes in the 1990s Paper Getting the Moderates to the Table... And Keeping Them Daniel E. Bliss, University of Illinois, Chicago There Overview: This paper argues that political realignment is an Eric N. Budd, Fitchburg State College aggregation of regional shifts, and that the cultural/ideological Overview: In each phase of conflict resolution (pre-negotiation, realignment long predicted already occurred a decade ago negotiation, and implementation), success or failure in large part Paper Realignment, Punctuated Equilibrium Modeling, and the rests on the role of the moderates. The paper examines the role Meaning of the Elections of 1994 and 2004 of the Israeli-Palestinian moderates in the peace process. Curtis W. Nichols, University of Texas, Austin Paper Engineering Peace through Institutional Design Overview: Using factor analysis and punctuated equilibrium Kristopher W. Ramsay, Princeton University modeling I reinvigorate realignment theory. I develop a Mark Fey, University of Rochester narrative that attempts to place the elections of 1994 and 2004

136 Updated 03-01-05 within the context of an empirically verifiable pattern of Paper Reluctant Incumbents: Partisan Conflict, Electoral realignment. Competition, and Motor Voter Reform Disc. Karen Kaufmann, University of Maryland Kaori Shoji, Columbia University Jim Stimson, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Overview: This paper investigates the impact of partisanship and district-level competitiveness on the timing and path of 17-21 IMPACT OF THE BIPARTISAN CAMPAIGN state-level motor voter reform between 1975 and 1993 using REFORM ACT IN COMPETITIVE U.S. survival analysis, specifically competing risks models. Paper Ranked-Choice Voting in San Francisco: The Ease and SENATE CONTESTS Impact of Electoral Reform to a Preferential Voting System Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Francis Neely, San Francisco State University Chair Kelly D. Patterson, Brigham Young University Corey Cook, San Francisco State University Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 South Dakota Senate Overview: In 2004 San Francisco will use preferential voting. Election Concerns about voters understanding the new ballot are Elizabeth Theiss Smith, University of South Dakota examined through an exit poll and mail-in survey of absentee Rich Braunstein, University of South Dakota voters. Interviews with candidates gauge their impressions of Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 South Dakota U.S. the system. Senate election. Paper An Institutional Analysis of the California Recall Election Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Florida Senate Election Johnny Goldfinger, Indiana University-Purdue University Robert E. Crew, Florida State University Indianapolis Teri Susan Fine, University of Central Florida Margaret Ferguson, Indiana University-Purdue University Susan A. MacManus, University of South Florida Indianapolis Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 Florida U.S. Thomas Schlatter, Indiana University-Purdue University Senate election. Indianapolis Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Alaska Senate Election Overview: This paper examines the normative implications and Clive Thomas, University of Alaska Southeast practical consequences of the election rules used in the Carl E. Shepro, University of Alaska,Anchorage California recall, along with several possible variations Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 Alaska U.S. Senate involving the choice set and the voting procedures. election. Paper Troubling Elections, Changing Electoral Structures, and Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 North Carolina Senate Presidential Election Reform Election Gary Bugh, Texas A&M University Steve Greene, North Carolina State University Overview: Why do intense efforts to reform the Electoral Eric Heberlig, University of North Carolina College rarely occur? This research paper moves beyond Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 North Carolina troubling elections and explores the possibility that the electoral U.S. Senate election. landscape mediates such attempts. Disc. Clifford W. Brown, Union College Paper Mend It or End It: Reforming or Eliminating the Electoral Thad Hall, University of Utah College Paul M. Suckow, Texas Southern University 17-209 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE EFFECTS Carroll G. Robinson, Texas Southern University OF THE INTERNET ON VOTING Overview: Conflict between big states and small states settled Room TBA, Sat 3:45 under foundational compromises in the Constitution that Paper Causal Effects of Internet: Does Internet Cause Voting and established our historic US government and survived a bloody Political Participation other than Voting? civil war. Will Section Two, Article One have failed us now? Hyung Lae Park, Purdue H3017University Disc. Melissa C. Anderson, University of California, Berkeley Overview: Causality of Internet use on political participation Todd Donovan, Western Washington University will be discussed using NES panel data from 2000 and 2002. Paper Internet Voting and the Digital Divide: You Can’t Divide By 19-11 THE PUBLIC OPINION-PUBLIC POLICY Zero RELATIONSHIP Robert S. Done, University of Arizona Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: Opponents of Internet voting typically claim that Chair Rosalee A. Clawson, Purdue University there is a digital divide that would violate the Voting Rights Paper Teasing Out the Linkage Between Public Opinion on Act. Survey data suggest that there is practically no digital Environmentalism and Animal Rights divide between whites and non-whites that would violate this Mahalley D. Allen, University of Kansas law. Overview: The linkage between public opinion on animal rights and the environment must be clarified and understood before we 17-210 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: THE EFFECTS can have a clear idea of how public opinion on these issues OF THE INTERNET ON VOTER influences the policymaking process. INFORMATION AND CHOICE Paper Parallel or Non-Parallel Public Opinion Change? Peter K. Enns, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: Do educated and uneducated citizens’ opinions have Paper Indecision 2004”: The Rise of Non-Traditional Media the same influence on government? This analysis suggests that Sources For Contemporary Voting Behavior the influence of spending preferences on policy outcomes is Eric A. Booth, Texas Tech University nearly identical for the most and least educated segments of the Nathan Mitchell, Texas Tech University population. Joe Robbins, Texas Tech University Paper Dynamic Representiations: Policy Response to the Multiple Overview: In this paper we assess the effects of non-traditional Dimensions of Public Mood media in contemporary voting. Preliminary findings support David Peterson, Texas A&M Univeristy our hypotheses that voters who utilize these sources rely less on Sean Nicholson Crotty, University of Missouri party identification than other factors. Overview: We examine how federal criminal justice policy

responds to the second dimension of Stimson's mood. We show 18-5 AMERICAN ELECTORAL SYSTEMS AND that in this policy domain, it is the second, and not the first REFORMS dimension that the government attends to when setting criminal Room TBA, Sat 3:45 justice policy. Chair Todd Donovan, Western Washington University

Updated 03-01-05 137 Paper Policy Preferences and Congressional Representation: The Overview: This project seeks to link the individual decision to Relationship Between Public Opinion and Policymaking in volunteer to influential contextual factors such as one's social Today's Congress network and the geographic area in which they live. Patrick J. Egan, University of California, Berkeley Furthermore, it seeks to link disparate research across Overview: In this paper, I use the unprecedented power offered disciplines. by the 2000 National Annenberg Election Study to explore the Paper The Impact of Individualism on Community and Political relationship between Congressional district-level opinion and Participation Congressional policymaking. Stephanie M. Walls, University of Cincinnati Disc. Greg Shaw, Illinois Wesleyan University Overview: Robert Putnam documents the decline of individual Rosalee A. Clawson, Purdue University participation, but the causes he cites for this decline fail to account for the ideological shift that has led many toward neo- 19-17 PARTY IDENTIFICATION, CANDIDATE classical liberal individualism and withdrawal from EVALUATION AND VOTE CHOICE participation. Disc. Paul S. Martin, University of Virginia Room TBA, Sat 3:45

Chair Gabriel S. Lenz, Princeton University Paper Party Polarization and Mass Partisan Identification in the 21-301 POSTER SESSION: MASS MEDIA AND United States, 1972-2000 POLITICS Michael J. Ensley, Indiana University Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Edward G. Carmines, Indiana University Presenter Blue Notes: Ownership Intervention at the New York Times, Overview: We analyze the connection between policy 1951-1967 predispositions and partisan identification. The ideological Daniel Chomsky, Temple University consistency of attitudes towards social-welfare and cultural Overview: Chomsky (2004) found numerous notes from the policies mediates citizens’ reactions to the increasing elite Times owner to his editor. This study considers evidence over a partisan polarization. broader period of time. This may reveal a higher rate of Paper The Dynamics of Information Processing and Candidate intervention and provide a more complete measure of ownership Evaluation: a Web-Based Experimental Approach intervention. Beth Miller, Rice University Presenter Does the Media Pick Up Where It Leaves Off? News Randolph T. Stevenson, Rice University Agenda Recovery From the Media’s September 11 “Disaster Overview: In this paper, we examine the implications of the two Marathon” models scholars propose to explain the way individuals process Tim Fackler, University of Texas campaign information using a novel web-based dynamic Nathalie J. Frensley, University of Texas experiment. Overview: How did September 11 affect news agendas beyond Paper Authoritarian Beliefs and Political Choice the crisis events themselves? What factors explain any common Marc J. Hetherington, Vanderbilt University steps in reconstructing the news agenda? We test hypotheses Jonathan Weiler, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill using a content analysis of national news before and after the Overview: Scholars' have forgotten about authoritarianism. attacks. Using data from the 1992 and 2000 NES, we demonstrate that Presenter Comparing the Content of Spanish and English Language authoritarianism both directly and indirectly drives vote choice. Ads in the 2000 Presidential Election Paper Latent Classes in the American Electorate: The Scoial Marisa A. Abrajano, New York University Architecture of Political Segmentation Overview: This paper tests the hypothesis that content of James R. Simmons, University of Wisconsin English-language and Spanish-language ads differ as a result of Solon J. Simmons, University of Wisconsin, Madison the varying levels of political information between Anglos and Overview: In this paper we develop a citizen profile that takes Latinos. the Pew Center's popular typology as a starting point. We use Presenter Online Civic Discourse in the United States: A Qualitative Latent Class Analysis and the Pew Center's 2000 and 2003 Study of Democrats.com. surveys to examine the social fragmentation of the American Joshua N. Azriel, University of Florida Electorate. Overview: This paper examines the online political discourse of Disc. Matthew J. Streb, Loyola Marymount University the members of democrats.com. This qualitative study's results Gabriel S. Lenz, Princeton University indicate the conversational threads are examples of Gabriel Almond's theory of civic culture and Jurgen Habermas's public 20-11 CIVIC LIFE sphere. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Presenter Janet Jackson, Howard Stern, and the FCC: Indecency Chair Paul S. Martin, University of Virginia Violation Response As A Case Study in Political Control of Paper Building Up the Third Leg of the Stool: Community-Based the Bureaucracy Energy and the Reinvigoration of Civic Life B. Jason Barlow, Randolph-Macon College Angela High-Pippert, University of St. Thomas Lauren C. Bell, Randolph-Macon College Steven M. Hoffman, University of St. Thomas Overview: In this paper, we examine the factors that affect the Overview: This paper examines the civic potential of level of activity within the FCC’s Enforcement Bureau. We community-based energy. Through content analyses and seek to determine whether variation in the Bureau’s activities participant surveys, we examine citizens’ motivations for can be attributed to changes in the political environment. joining and participating in such organizations. Presenter Unintended Consequences: the Growing Cooperative Paper “The Art of Associating”: The Central Role of Peers in Civic Agenda of the FTC and NAD, 1973-2003. Life Thomas H. Gould, Kansas State University Casey A. Klofstad, Harvard University Overview: Since 1973, the agenda of the two largest advertising Overview: This project examines the impact that the people regulatory groups have grow closer in some areas and fallen with whom we hold interpersonal relationships (“peers” or further apart in other areas. The result may represent an “social network”) have on how we participate in civil society. unintended extension of advertising decpetion oversight. The analysis makes use of new survey data that were collected Presenter Performance Reporting: Communicating Results to the by the author. Citizenry Paper Civic Volunteerism and the Character of Social Networks Ottalee Schiffel, State University of New York, Geneseo and Milieu Ken Smith, Willamette University Dari E. Sylvester, Stony Brook University Overview: Our study will examine the press coverage of the 1999 state government rankings, based on a series of

138 Updated 03-01-05 performance measures, reported by Barrett and Greene in Overview: As most of the political activity of the Mexican Governing magazine. Our analysis will focus on the "accuracy" communities in NYC and LA has taken place outside the of the reporting. electoral arena it is necessary to examine other aspects that Presenter "Ideal Speech" and the Commons: The Effect of Speech affect the incorporation of Mexican immigrants into the Rules on the Allocation of Common Pool Resources American polity. David V. Schwab, Indiana University Disc. Gustavo Cano, Mexico North Research Network Overview: In this paper, I present a research design which tests the effect that structured communication based on Jurgen 24-7 ISSUES IN MODERN LIBERALISM Habermas's "ideal speech" situation has on the efficiency of Room TBA, Sat 3:45 common pool resource allocation. Chair Sharon K. Vaughan, Morehouse College Paper Absence of Narrative and the Problem of the Agency in 22-7 WOMEN OF THE HILL: CONGRESSIONAL Liberal Political Thought. LAWMAKING AND LOBBYING Eldon Eisenach, University of Tulsa Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: Agency in liberal political thought begins in the Chair Roberta S. Sigel, Rutgers University division between the two halves of Hobbes’s Leviathan. This Paper Representing Women in the U.S. Senate division is reflected in Locke’s moral psychology. Political Michele L. Swers, Georgetown University agency requires reason and motive, and motive requires Overview: I analyze Senators’ bill sponsorship activity and narratives. patterns of original cosponsorship in the 107th Congress to Paper Rawls, Subjective Happiness, and the Just Society determine if female Senators are more committed to advocacy William A. Gorton, St. Olaf College of women’s issue bills than are their male colleagues. Overview: My essay argues that that Rawls’s notion of an Paper More Women Are Running, But Are They Winning? objectively happy life is far from satisfactory. A rational person, Women Candidates for U.S. House Seats in 2004 I contend, would want reasonable assurance that achieving his Melinda A. Mueller, Eastern Illinois University or her major life goals would be a subjectively happy Barbara L. Poole, Eastern Illinois University experience. Overview: This research examines the primary and general Paper The Veil of Particular Ignorance and General Omniscience election experiences of women candidates for the U.S. House in An Epistemic Critique to Rawls’ Theory of Justice 2004. Andrea Pozas-Loyo, New York University Paper Old-Boys Networks and Stereotypes about Women Overview: I present an epistemic critique of Rawls’ deduction Lobbyists in Washington DC: Evidence from the Field. of the principles of justice. I argue that the fact that normative Nidhi Sharma, University of Illinois, Chicago political theories are embedded in an evolving theoretical Overview: The paper will examine through a survey and knowledge takes away the hope for deductivity. interviews the presence of old-boys networks and stereotypes Paper Liberal Feelings: On Respect, Community, and Solidarity about women lobbyists in Washington DC. Both aspects are Christopher H. Anderson, University of Hartford expected to prevent a woman from performing her job in a Overview: Liberal community is bounded by those who feel competent manner. sufficient solidarity to reciprocally answer each other’s claims. Paper Women Transforming or Transformed by Politics? This requires respect, not affection. To promote justice, a Debra L. Dodson, Rutgers University generalized empathy is preferable to feelings of communal Overview: This study uses interviews with members of affection. Congress to explore the increasing questions raised about the Paper Must Liberals Value Respect and Recognition? relationship between descriptive and substantive representation Alexander Moon, Cornell University of women given the rising numbers of conservative women Overview: Demands for recognition are often either requests for serving in office. respect in Hegelian dress or they are demands on others to hold Disc. Jennifer L. Lawless, Brown University different values. If the latter, they conflict with the requirement of respect. 23-1 IMMIGRANT TRANSNATIONALISM Disc. Jocelyn M. Boryczka, Fairfield University

Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Chair Louis DeSipio, University of California, Irvine 26-9 EPISTEMOLOGY AND RESEARCH IN Paper Disentangling Racial Relations in Mexico POLITICAL SCIENCE Rosario Aguilar, University of Michigan Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: A Psychological Approach to the Study of Racial Paper No Place Like Home: The Role of Community and the Relations in Mexico. Studying race in countries lacking a racial Search for Democracy in Political Science discourse. Mike Latner, University of California, Irvine Paper Mexico-United States Migration and the Dynamics of Overview: An evaluation of recent research in political science Gender Roles in Mexico. as it relates to the theory of democratic pluralism and alternative Jorge Bravo, Duke University accounts of democratic politics as objects of social scientific Overview: In this paper I assess the following conjecture: That inquiry. (male-heavy) migration to the US has had the (unintended) Paper Alternative Epistemologies: An Examination of the consequence of expanding the domains where females are Prospects for Epistemological Positions Centered Around decision makers - from farming to managing finances to African-American Particularities. politics. Osei Robertson, Howard University Paper Theoretical Considerations on Political Transnationalism Overview: Given the plethora of critiques advanced toward Gustavo Cano, Mexico North Research Network positivism over the past few decades, the question arises: what Louis DeSipio, University of California, Irvine are the implications for those conducting research on minority Overview: The paper addresses the theoretical development of groups? This study seeks to address these issues. the term “political transnationalism.” It identifies the main Paper But Does It Mean Anything?: An Answer to Some Critics of differences with other disciplines regarding their methodology, Comparative Political Theory working hypotheses, units of analysis and conceptual Sara R. Jordan, Texas A&M University references. Overview: A defense of comparative political theory from the Paper Political Incorporation of Mexican Immigrants in New York charge of irrelevance City and Los Angeles An Examination of Non-Electoral Disc. James Johnson, University of Rochester Politics Alejandro Echegaray, New School University 27-7 PARTIES IN ELECTIONS

Updated 03-01-05 139 Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Lisa Andersen, University of Chicago Chair Elizabeth Penn, Carnegie Mellon University Overview: This paper will assess the distinctive aims and Paper Electoral Control with Political Parties dynamics of third parties in American politics by drawing from Michael M. Ting, Columbia University historical examples. James M. Snyder, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Paper Untangling the Sources of Partisanship: Ideology, Overview: We develop a model of electoral control of Opportunism, and Agenda Leadership politicians in an environment in which potential candidates Frances E. Lee, University of Maryland belong to political parties. Thus, unlike previous models of Overview: In order to disentangle the different sources of party electoral control, we do not assume that all candidates are cohesion, this paper seeks to account for variation in identical ex ante. partisanship by reference to the substantive issues at stake in Paper Primary Elections in Two-Party Systems: The Effects of roll call votes. Party Nominations on Policy Outcomes Paper The Coalition Merchants: Tracing the Origins of Party Gilles Serra, Harvard University Coalitions to Their Ideological Roots. Overview: This paper builds a model of primary elections in a Hans C. Noel, University of California, Lo+H2313s Angeles two-party system with a unidimensional policy space, in which Overview: Why do Republicans and Democrats have the candidates must first compete inside their parties to obtain the coalitions they have? I argue that ideological discussion brings nomination before competing in the general election to get issues into and out of alignment, and that the divisions we see in elected. government are a reflection of coalitions shaped in the Paper Party Polarization and Electoral Accountability discourse. Cecilia Testa, Royal Holloway University of London Paper More than Spoilers: Insurgency Campaigns and the Overview: Parties use polarization strategically to provide Transformation of American Partisan and Electoral Politics incentives to candidates. Polarization arises as a compromise Daniel J. Tichenor, Rutgers University between party’s policy preferences and electoral goals. Under Daniel A. Fuerstman, University of Wisconsin converge to the median voter, electoral accountability is Overview: Scholars of third party and intra-party challenges in compromised. the US focus on the limits of insurgencies in shaping election Paper Multiparty Competition with Policy-Seeking Parties: A and policy outcomes. We highlight a neglected legacy of these Spatial Model with Valence Dimensions campaigns: their episodic capacity to alter the political process. James Adams, University of California, Santa Barbara Disc. Thomas Caiazzo, East Georgia College Overview: We develop a spatial model of multiparty elections with valence dimensions, and explore the characteristics of 30-2 THE PRESIDENCY, REPRESENTATION, party equilibria. AND COMMUNICATIONS OPERATIONS Disc. Elizabeth Penn, Carnegie Mellon University Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Carlos Maravall, Carlos III University Chair Jeffrey E. Cohen, Fordham University

Paper The Geography of Presidential Governance and the 28-7 MEASURING POLITICAL KNOWLEDGE: Electoral College HOW AND WHY? Brendan J. Doherty, University of California, Berkeley Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: I analyze the geography of presidential actions to Chair Larry M. Bartels, Princeton University investigate whether presidents govern as if they represent a Paper Media Driven Variations in Political Knowledge national constituency, or if they govern in ways that reflect the Jason Barabas, Harvard University institutional incentives of the Electoral College. Jennifer Jerit, Southern Illinois University Paper Strategic Collection and Use of Polling Data Overview: Scholars often attribute low levels of knowledge to James N. Druckman, University of Minnesota demographic factors, but we concentrate on the role of media Lawrence R. Jacobs, University of Minnesota messages. We show how variations in the quantity and quality Overview: We use a unique data set consisting of the private of information affect political knowledge. polls from four US presidents. We explore the conditions under Paper Political Sophistication and Political Intelligence which these policy-makers collected and used different types of James H. Kuklinski, University of Illinois at Urbana, public opinion data. Champaign Paper White House Communications Operations: Managing the Overview: I will consider whether politically sophisticated 'Pipe Organ of the Presidency' people, as we normally identify them, also update their beliefs Martha J. Kumar, Towson University and attitudes in reaction to changes in the political environment. Overview: I will explore the value and nature of White House Paper “Don’t Know” Means “Don’t Know”! communications operations through the voices of senior Robert C. Luskin, University of Texas, Austin officials who worked on the White House staffs of Presidents John Bullock, Stanford University Clinton and George W. Bush. Overview: This paper examines the recommendation that Paper Presidential Debates and Campaign Context: How Debate knowledge questions be phrased, framed, and administered so Rhetoric Shapes and is Shaped by the Press and Public as to minimize the frequency of “don’t know” (DK) responses. Justin S. Vaughn, Texas A&M University We experimentally manipulate knowledge items put to a Overview: Candidate rhetoric in presidential election debates is national random sample. shaped by campaign context, measured by trial heat polls and Paper Political Knowledge Under Respondent-Friendly Conditions press coverage. Debate rhetoric also shapes subsequent public Markus Prior, Princeton University opinion, but is mediated by the nature of the press coverage. Arthur Lupia, University of Michigan Disc. Kathy B. Smith, Wake Forest University Overview: We examine if people perform poorly on political knowledge tasks not because they are incapable of answering 30-203 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: STUDYING the questions, but because they are caught unprepared and THE PRESIDENCY unmotivated. Data come from a survey experiment. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Disc. Jasjeet Sekhon, Harvard University Presenter Studying the Presidency: A Levels of Analysis Approach

David P. Houghton, University of Central Florida

Overview: Presidential scholars might well benefit from 29-13 THIRD PARTIES AND PARTY COALITIONS explicitly locating their theories at particular levels of analysis. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Presenter Policy Punctuations in the American Presidency Chair Daniel Tichenor, Rutgers University Heather A. Larsen, University of Washington Paper Third Parties in Historical Perspective

140 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This project examines how the executive branch unique dataset that includes every public statute this period translates policy inputs into policy outputs. Most research (n=38,100). begins with an assumption concerning whether the President is a Paper Stalemate: The Senate, the Labor Law, and the Low Rates rational actor or a cybernetic decision-maker. I test these of Unionization in America assumptions. Tracy Roof, University of Richmond Overview: The weakness of labor, a key part of American 30-204 INFORMAL ROUNDTABLE: exceptionalism, is linked to the Senate, America's most PRESIDENTIAL CHARACTER AND exceptional institution. Representation and supermajority requirements make it hard for organized labor to pass legislation SUPREME COURT NOMINATIONS facilitating organizing. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper Legislative Behavior and Foreign Direct Investment in the Presenter Presidential Character and Judicial Nominations: Using United States Barber's Typology to Explain Presidential Choices of Oleg Smirnov, University of Oregon Judicial Nominees Overview: The U.S. Congress remains a major player which Brian R. King, Muskingum College determines the policy toward foreign direct investment. In the Eric Becker, Muskingum College context of inward FDI, congressional behavior appears to be Overview: This project utilizes Barber’s typology of puzzling. The paper examines economic and political aspects of presidential character to examine parallels between presidents the phenomenon. and their Supreme Court nominations. It endeavors to show a Disc. David R. Jones, Baruch College, City University of New York positive link between presidential character and that of Bruce I. Oppenheimer, Vanderbilt University nominees to the Court. 32-10 THE IMPACT OF THE BIPARTISAN 31-13 LEGISLATIVE INSTITUTIONS AND CAMPAIGN REFORM ACT (BCRA) ON AMERICAN POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT COMPETITIVE U.S. HOUSE CONTESTS Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Chair Keith L. Dougherty, University of Georgia Chair Andrew J. Civettini, University of Iowa Paper Assessing the Incumbency Advantage Across Time: Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 South Dakota At-Large Evidence from the Nineteenth Century U.S. Congress Congressional District Election Jamie L. Carson, University of Georgia Elizabeth Smith, University of South Dakota Jason M. Roberts, University of Minnesota Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 campaign for the Overview: In this paper, we take advantage of newly collected South Dakota at-large congressional district seat. historical elections data to test for the presence of an Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Texas 32nd Congressional incumbency effect in the context of nineteenth century House District Election elections. Matthew Wilson, Southern Methodist University Paper Voting on Slavery at the Constitutional Convention Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 campaign for the Keith L. Dougherty, University of Georgia Texas 32nd congressional district seat. Jac C. Heckelman, Wake Forest University Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Kansas 3rd Congressional Overview: This paper analyzes the motivation of the framers on District Election issues of slavery at the Constitutional convention and analyzes Allan Cigler, University of Kansas which types of constituent interests affected votes on slavery Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 campaign for the issues. Kansas 3rd congressional district seat. Paper The Partisan Impact of Malapportionment on the 19th And Paper The Impact of BCRA in the 2004 Pennsylvania 13th Early 20th Century House of Representatives Congressional District Election Erik J. Engstrom, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Robin Kolodny, Temple University Overview: This paper will examine the causes and partisan Justin Gollob, Temple University consequences of unequal district size (i.e. malapportionment) on Overview: A detailed case study of the 2004 campaign for the the 19th and early 20th century House of Representatives. Pennsylvania 13th congressional district seat. Paper Agenda Control, Majority Party Power, and the House Disc. Cherie Maestas, Florida State University Committee on Rules, 1939-1965

Eric Schickler, Harvard University Kathryn Pearson, University of Minnesota 33-13 RACE AND GENDER IN THE COURTS AND Overview: We study the role played by the Rules Committee ON THE BENCH from 1939-1965. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Disc. Charles Stewart, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Chair Wendy L. Martinek, Binghamton University Calvin Jillson, Southern Methodist University Paper The Impact of Race and Gender at the Supreme Court Bar Corey A. Ditslear, University of North Texas 31-14 EXPLAINING LEGISLATIVE Jenni L. King, University of North texas POLICYMAKING Overview: Analysis of the impact of race and gender on Supreme Court decisions. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper Litigation by Women's Groups in the United States and Chair Bruce I. Oppenheimer, Vanderbilt University Canada Paper Pivots, Parties, and Policy: Testing Pivotal Politics Models Lori Hausegger, Louisiana State University of Appropriations Overview: This project undertakes a systematic analysis of the Sarah Anderson, Stanford University impact of women's interest groups on the policies emerging Overview: This paper tests the pivotal politics models of from the U.S. and Canadian Supreme Courts. It is an attempt to policymaking against party-based models using data on the understand group litigation and the influences on judicial budget and interest group scores to determine whether changes decision making. in policy track with changes in the gridlock interval. Paper Reading Between the Lines: Assessing the Similarities and Paper Congress, the President and Lawmaking, 1877-1996 Differences Between Black and White Newspapers and their John S. Lapinski, Yale University Coverage of Grutter v. Bollinger and Gratz v. Bollinger Joshua Clinton, Princeton University Augustus J. Jones, Miami University Overview: This paper evaulates the role of preferences and Jewerl T. Maxwell, Miami University institutions in the lawmaking process over a 120 year period. Overview: We intend to address the similarities and differences We evaluate competing hypotheses about lawmaking on a between black and white newspapers in their coverage of

Updated 03-01-05 141 Grutter v. Bollinger, 539 U.S. 244 (2003) and Gratz v. assessment of evidence concerning the crime, victim, and Bollinger, 539 U.S. 982 (2003). characteristics of the defendant. I use the model to predict Paper Unscrambling Representation: Race, Gender, Class, and the sentencing outcomes. U.S. Supreme Court Disc. William M. Leiter, California State University, Long Beach Thomas R. Marshall, University of Texas, Arlington Howard Schweber, University Wisconsin, Madison Overview: This paper evaluates the level of representation on the modern U.S. Supreme Court by comparing poll data to 35-7 STATE COURTS AND CRIMINAL JUSTICE Supreme Court decisions. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper A Window of Opportunity: Gender Effects in ADA Appeals Chair Nancy A. Merritt, Rutgers University Vicky M. Wilkins, University of Georgia Paper Federal Oversight, State Policy Making and the Courts: An Laura P. Moyer, University of Georgia Empirical Analysis of Nursing Facility Litigation Under the Overview: In this paper, we examine the behavior of female Boren Amendment judges when discretion is high and case involves the gender- Miller A. Edward, Yale University salient issue area of employment discrimination. Overview: Few examine the role of the courts in federal Disc. Wendy L. Martinek, Binghamton University regulation of state policy decisions in the health sector. This Steven R. Van Winkle, University of Wyoming article reports content analysis of all reported case decisions resulting from nursing facility litigation under the Boren 33-14 LAW AND LITIGANTS Amendment. Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Paper Understanding State Attorneys General and Multi-State Chair Richard L. Pacelle, Georgia Southern University Consumer Protection Litigation, 1989-2004 Paper Recounting the Court? A Linguistic Analysis of United Colin Provost, Nuffield College, Oxford University States Supreme Court Affirmative Action Opinions from Overview: I estimate a pooled model, analyzing the effects of Bakke to Bollinger political and economic factors on each state's multi-state Michael C. Evans, University of Maryland consumer protection lawsuit participation rate from 1989 Cynthia L. Cates, Towson University through 2004. Overview: We employ a simple computer-driven quantitative Paper Revisiting the Politics of Punishment: Which Political Party linguistics technique to generate estimated policy-position- Isn’t Tough on Crime? scores for legal texts associated with the U.S. Supreme Court Christopher W. Larimer, University of Nebraska, Lincoln affirmative action cases from Bakke (1978) to Bollinger (2003). Eric A. Whitaker, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Paper Getting Attention: U.S. Supreme Court Response to Litigant Overview: Using a pooled-time series analysis for the years Demands 1980-2000, we find significant decreases in state incarceration C. Scott Peters, University of Northern Iowa rates when Democrats take control of state legislatures, but fail Overview: Develops model to test competing theories of to find the opposite relationship when Republicans gain control. Supreme Court Attentiveness, including attitudes, actions of Paper Race and the Death Penalty: The Effects of Minority other branches, litigant activity and prior Court decisions. Population Upon States' Capital Punishment Policies Paper An Analysis of How the Language of Positive Law Anita Pritchard, Florida Atlantic University Structures Judicial Choice in Civil Liberties Cases. Michaael Wiatrowski, TBA Sean Wilson, University of Alabama, Birmingham Overview: Rather than studying the effects of capital Overview: Are judges influenced by law? Yes they are. punishment upon individuals, this study is interested in whether Paper Justifying Outcomes?: An Experimenal Look at How Legal- the presence of minorities influences state policies. The Decision Makers May Get to Where They Want to Go decision to execute is examined as a three-step process. Eileen Braman, Indiana University Paper The U.S. State Legislatures: International, Sub-national, Overview: This study looks at what authority legal decision- National Counter-terrorism Activities. makers cited to suppport thier outcome choices in a relitivley Victoria A. Doyon, George Mason University closed system where law students participants were given mock Overview: Recent studies shed light on the increasing role of legal brief to make a standing decison. the U.S. state legislatures in international policy making. This Disc. Richard L. Pacelle, Georgia Southern University paper explores the U.S. state legislatures' engagement in counter terrorism legislation. 34-6 HISTORIC AND CONTEMPORARY Disc. Nancy A. Merritt, Rutgers University PROBLEMS IN CRIMINAL LAW Room TBA, Sat 3:45 36-13 TRANSPORTATION POLICY IN URBAN Chair David Schultz, Hamline University AREAS Paper Does CSI Lie? The New Institutionalism and the Treatment Room TBA, Sat 3:45 of Forensic Evidence by Federal Courts under Daubert. Chair Allen Brierly, University of Northern Iowa Robert R. Robinson, Rhodes College Paper Political Mobilization around Access to Work Programs: Overview: By coding civil liability and forensic evidentiary Chicago and Kansas City opinions from federal district courts for existing reliability Eric Petersen, Northwestern University indicators, I test for the presence of a criminal-civil divide in the Kim Hunt, Independent Scholar federal reliability standards for expert testimony. Overview: This paper will explore the relative lack of political Paper Mixed Messages: The Supreme Court's Conflicting mobilization for Access to Work programs in Kansas City in Decisions on Juries in Death Penalty Cases contrast to the strong grassroots support for them in Chicago. Kenneth Miller, Arizona State University Paper Transportation Equity and Access to Jobs in Metropolitan David Niven, Ohio State University Milwaukee Overview: We discuss the implications of a conflicting set of Joel Rast, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Supreme Court holdings which expand the right to a jury in Overview: This study uses GIS to examine how well public death penalty cases without addressing jurors inability to transit in Milwaukee provides residents with access to regional understand judicial instructions. job opportunities. It contributes to the literature on spatial Paper How Do Juries Determine Which Defendants “Deserve” To mismatch by providing empirical evidence from the Milwaukee Die? An Examination of the Predictability and Consistency region. of Capital Juries Decisions. Paper Car-free Housing: If You Build It, Will They Come? Tonya Cropper, Harvard University Sherman Lewis, California State University, Hayward Overview: I develop a model that incorporates former capital Overview: Rapid bus could connect Cal State Hayward to urban jurors’ attitude toward the criminal justice system and rail trasnit and a thirty acre building site is on the route.

142 Updated 03-01-05 Designed for walking with business on site, lower rent, and free Disc. Dana L. Baker, University of Missouri, Columbia use of frequent trasnit, would a car-free project have enough renters? 43-102 AUTHOR MEETS AUTHOR: THE CIVIL Disc. Robert R. Rodgers, Princeton University RIGHTS MOVEMENT AND AFFIRMATIVE

37-9 PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS: ACTION Room TBA, Sat 3:45 LEARNING FROM INTERNATIONAL Chair J. Eric Oliver, University of Chicago EXPERIENCE Panelist Taeku Lee, University of California, Berkeley Room TBA, Sat 3:45 John Skrentny, University of California, San Diego Chair Graeme A. Hodge, Monash University Nancy McLean, Northwestern University Paper Public-Private Partnerships: An International Performance Dennis Chong, Northwestern University Review Overview: TBA Graeme A. Hodge, Monash University Carsten Greve, Copenhagen Business School 45-101 ROUNDTABLE: THANK YOU FOR Overview: PPP are today an international phenomenon. The LAUGHING: THE PEDAGOGICAL UTILITY objective of this paper is to review the empirical experience of PPPs globally and learn from the outcomes achieved across a OF CHRISTOPHER BUCKLEY'S range of different experiments to date. POLITICAL SATIRE Paper Privatisation of Government Services: Policy Choice or Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Inevitable Consequence? Panelist Clyde Brown, Miami University Lawrence L. Martin, University of Central Florida Caroline Koop Berry, Walsh University Graeme A. Hodge, Monash University John P. Forren, Miami University Overview: TBA Chris Kelley, Miami University Paper Social Service Contracting with Nonprofit Organizations: David M. Paul, Ohio State University, Newark Examining the Stability Hypothesis Mark Sachleben, Miami University Jocelyn M. Johnston, University of Kansas Kevan M. Yenerall, Clarion University Barbara S. Romzek, University of Kansas Overview: Christopher Buckley’s novels (LITTLE GREEN Overview: Social service delivery contracts between the State of MEN, THANK YOU FOR SMOKING, NO WAY TO TREAT Kansas and community nonprofit agencies are examined. The A FIRST LADY, FLORENCE OF ARABIA and THE WHITE objective is to assess the impact of contractor network stability HOUSE MESS) will be evaluated for their classroom value in on the state’s implementation and management of the contracts. teaching American politics and government.

38-4 SOCIAL POLICIES IN THE AMERICAN 47-5 POLITICS, PHILOSOPHY, AND THE ARTS STATES (Co-sponsored with State and Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Intergovernmental Policies, see 35-12) Chair Ann Ward, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Paper The Political Philosophy of Aesop's Fables Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Edward W. Clayton, Central Michigan University Chair Dana L. Baker, University of Missouri, Columbia Overview: Aesop’s fables are referenced in the writings of Paper Making Work Pay: State Creation of Refundable Tax Plato, Aristotle, and Aristophanes but are largely ignored by Credits in the Post-Welfare Reform Era political theorists. This paper aims to show that Aesop’s fables Glenn Beamer, Rutgers University deserve more attention as political writings than they have Overview: Using event history analysis and measures of state- received. to-state differences, this paper investigates the diffusion of state Paper The Wisdom of Dionysus: The Relationship Between Politics tax credits and estimates how institutions, policy interactions, and Art In Nietzsche’s The Birth of Tragedy: Out of the and politics have encouraged state policy innovation. Spirit of Music Paper The Myth of Two Party Convergence?: Party’s Strategic Robert A. L'Arrivee, University of Winnipeg Deviation on State Child Education Policy Overview: Political scientists primarily concentrate on justice. Joohyun Kang, Florida State University Yet, for their science to be complete and practical they need to Overview: The purpose of paper is to offer theoretical turn to Nietzsche’s reflection on Greek tragedy and its relation refinements on previous works studied the relationship between to the human soul. interparty competition and policy change by testing the joint Paper Musical Education and Free Thought in Plato’s Republic effects of electoral competition and party strength on child Elizabeth A. L'Arrivee, Notre Dame University education policy. Overview: Current scholarship misconstrues the education in Paper Partisan Balance of State Government and Unemployment “music” in Plato’s Republic. This education is better understood Insurance Policy: Taking Institutional Context Into Account as providing people with the self-knowledge and ordering of Carl E. Klarner, Grinnell College soul that are pre-requisites of free thought. Overview: Paper looks at the partisan, institutional, and Disc. Ann Ward, University of Nevada, Las Vegas economic determinants of Unemployment Insurance policy over Jeffrey Church, University of Notre Dame time in the U.S. states.

Paper Federal Government Interventions and State Welfare Policy Choices 51-3 ORDER AND SOCIAL JUSTICE Kyounghag Lee, West Virginia University Room TBA, Sat 3:45 Overview: Using logistic and ordered logistic regression Chair Martin Gruberg, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh methods, this study expects to find the effectiveness of federal Paper Toward a New Policy History interventions in determining state policy choices under the Stephen Pimpare, Yeshiva University devolution revolution. Overview: This paper offers an examination of the implications Paper Representation in State Legislatures: Consequences for of retelling American welfare state history by honing in on Policy policy outputs and outcomes -- charting welfare state Elizabeth Rigby, Columbia University development by examining its varied impact over time upon its Overview: Examining the relationship between elected officials targets. and the policies they choose, this paper tests the effects of Paper The Contexts of Obligations: David Miller and changes in the partisan and gender composition of state-level Cosmopolitanism elected officials on state child care and preschool policy. David J. Watkins, University of Washington

Updated 03-01-05 143 Overview: David Miller's recent work contains several Overview: The purpose of this essay is to demonstrate and criticisms of cosmopolitanism. This paper responds to Miller's compare the impact of the autism narrative construction on criticisms and show that some of Miller's theories about federal autism policy in the United States and Canada. obligation and duty actually support a cosmopolitan position. Paper Securing Our Children: A Comparative Analysis of Paper Policing and Protesting Juvenile (In)Justice American and Russian Preparedness Policies in Response to Sekou M. Franklin, Middle Tennessee State University School Targeted Terrorism. Overview: This paper looks at how grassroots activists and Tabitha Alissa Warters, Francis Marion University advocates attempted to combat racial disparities in the juvenile Gerald Robert Pace, University of Denver justice system. Overview: By comparing American and Russian responses to Paper International Human Rights Law in America: Case Studies school targeted terrorism this paper analyzes comparative of Organizations That Think Globally and Act Locally preparedness policies and dissemination techniques practiced. Mark F. Massoud, University of California, Berkeley Disc. Priscilla Lambert, Western Michigan University Overview: This paper assesses political strategies of interest Tony E. Wohlers, Eastern Illinois Univeristy groups that seek to bring international law into local government politics in this country. The paper evaluates effects 3-11 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS AND on compliance by local governments. ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE II: Paper Domestic Violence an Overlooked Social Phenomenon Joy Klein, California State University, Fullerton FINANCIAL LIBERALIZATION AND Overview: Domestic violence is a widespread social CENTRAL BANKS phenomenon. Historically viewed as a private problem in Room TBA, Sun 8:30 patriarchal societies, a philosophical examination should be Chair Victor C. Shih, Northwestern University prepared for the future formation of public policy. Paper Finance Ministers and Economic Reforms in Latin America Disc. David M. Jones, University of Wisconsin, Oshkosh Moises Arce, Louisiana State University Ashley D. Ross, Louisiana State University 53-102 THE HERBERT SIMON LECTURE Overview: While controlling for several competing Room TBA, Sat 3:45 explanations, the paper evaluates the effects of the tenure of finance ministers on the expansion of market reform across 15 Latin American countries for the 1980-2000 period. Paper The Politics of Central Bank Reform in Developing Sunday, April 10 – 8:30 am – 10:15 am Countries: Brazil, Mexico, and Thailand 1-111 ROUNDTABLE: LATINOS AND THE 2004 Raymond Hicks, Princeton University Overview: I examine central bank reform efforts in Brazil, ELECTIONS (Co-sponsored with Midwest Thailand, and Mexico, arguing that more veto players inhibit Latino Caucus, see 52-101) reform and that competition over the benefits of policy Room TBA, Sun 8:30 innovation can prevent reform, even if most players agree it Chair Jason Casellas, Princeton University would be beneficial. Panelist Efrain Escobedo, NALEO Educational Fund Paper Delegation’s Constituents: Central banks, the Banking Louis DeSipio, University of California, Irvine Sector, and Inflation David Leal, University of Texas, Austin Alexander Kuo, Stanford University Melissa R. Michelson, California State University, East Bay Overview: What explains variation in the development of Elaine Rodriquez, Northeastern Illinois University central bank independence (CBI) and inflation? I argue CBI Overview: Turnout, vote choice, and impact of Latino voters in should only be effective in the presence an anti-inflationary the 2004 presidential and congressional elections constituency, or a developed banking sector. Paper Exploring Political Determinants of Financial Liberalization 2-11 COMPARATIVE PUBLIC POLICY (Co- in the Developing World sponsored with Public Policy, see 37-13) Sawa Omori, University of Pittsburgh Overview: My paper examines political determinants of the Room TBA, Sun 8:30 degree, the pace and the timing of financial liberalization in Chair Tony E. Wohlers, Eastern Illinois Univeristy developing countries by looking at the IMF, political parties Paper Focusing Events and Public Policy: The Role of Gun within the executive branch, and interest groups. Violence in Creating New Policy in Four Democracies Disc. Victor C. Shih, Northwestern University Anthony Fleming, West Virginia University

Paul Rutledge, West Virginia University Korok Biswas, West Virginia University 4-15 POLITICAL PROCESS AND REGIME Overview: We look at how focusing events(school shootings, VARIATION massacres, and assassinations)play a significant role in creating Room TBA, Sun 8:30 new gun control policy in pariamentary systems, and why they Chair Maryjane Osa, Northwestern University play less a role in presidential systems. Paper Wealth Source and Regime Type: Economic Origins of Paper The Conflict Between Environmentalists and Industry in the Democracy and Authoritarianism United States: New Perspectives from Comparison Between Mehmet Gurses, University of North Texas United States and Norwegian Offshore Oil Industries and Overview: Cross sectional time series analysis shows that land National Policies. based economic resources are associated with authoritarian Frank T. Manheim, George Mason University regimes while a large manufacturing sector is associated with Overview: Stalemate in offshore oil leasing reflects an old democratic regimes. conflict between U.S. environmentalists and industry. Paper International Inequality and Integration: Explaining Comparison with Norway suggests that the conflict is Regime Type Variation in Eastern Europe anachronistic. New paradigms could yield advantages to all Nikola Mirilovic, University of Chicago sides. Overview: Cross-national wealth inequality is a determinant of Paper When Bad Science Makes Good Politics: A Comparative whether countries will integrate internationally. Furthermore, Study of United States' and Canada's Federal Autism Policy the poor dictatorships that have realistic prospects for Dana L. Baker, University of Missouri integration with rich countries are more likely to democratize. Trudy A. Steuernagel, Kent State University Paper Gerrymandering – Vietnamese Style: The Clientelist Motivations behind the Creation of New Provinces in Vietnam.

144 Updated 03-01-05 Edmun J. Malesky, Harvard University their political use, under an authoritarian regime or a Overview: I demonstrate that the creation of new provinces is democratically elected government. part of a systematic clientelism played by factions in the Paper Regional Differntiation in the Argentine Electorates: Vietnamese central government, as new provincial leaders Analyzing the Peronist Vote become loyal supporters in voting blocs of subsequent Party Carlos M. Lisoni, University of Notre Dame Congresses. Overview: This paper attempts to explain the Peronist vote and Paper Superpower-Client Relations and Democratization: The behavior of the Peronist Party by focusing on the socioeconomic Cases of South Korea and Poland, 1980-1989 diversity among the regions in Argentina, the autonomies of Andrew I. Yeo, Cornell University local leaders and the ideological ambiguity that characterizes Overview: Examining the interaction of international and the party. domestic factors in democratic transitions, I demonstrate how Disc. Mark Jones, Rice University the U.S. and the Soviet Union, through their role as Scott Desposato, University of Arizona superpowers, influenced democratic transitions in South Korea and Poland. 7-1 JAPANESE PARTY POLITICS (Co-sponsored Disc. Cristina Corduneanu-Huci, Duke University with Comparative Politics-Industrialized

5-12 THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT Countries, see 2-16) Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Rob Weiner, Cornell University Chair Juri Mykkänen, University of Helsinki Paper Comparative Analysis on Generation Gap in East Asia: Paper The Constitutional Power of the Voting Owners in the Public Opinion of South Korea and Japan European Parliament Kuyoun Chung, University of California, Los Angeles Silva Fedeli, University of Rome "lLa Sapienza" Overview: This paper examines generation gaps of public Francesco Forte, University of Rome "la sapienza" opinion in East Asia, especially in terms of anti-US sentiment in Overview: The claim that the distribution of votes in the EP is cognitive, affective and behavioral dimensions. This generation unfair (because it favours the electors of big countries voting for gap originated from differential social experiences between big parties) is assessed on the basis of voting powers and generations. weights of the electors as related to those of their Paper The Japanese Partisan Gender Gap: Why are Women Less representatives. Likely to Support the Ruling Party than Men? Paper Legislative Organization in the European Parliament Natsu Matsuda, Yale University Julie J. Won, Stanford University Overview: The purpose of this paper is to explain the long term Overview: By testing theories of legislative organization, this trends of Japanese partisan gender gap, especially the fact that paper seeks to understand how the European Parliament women are less likely to support the ruling party, the LDP, than functions and what incentives drive its Members. Primary men, using aggregate time-series data. results show that EP committees maintain an informational role. Paper Accountability, Economics, and Party Politics in Japan Paper Multi-level Representation, European Citizens' Electoral Barry C. Burden, Harvard University Choice and MEPs' Voting Behavior Overview: This paper explores the connection between national JeongHun Han, University of Rochester economic performance and success of the Liberal Democratic Overview: The paper analyzes the multi-level structure of Party. In particular, I investigate why the public continued to political representation in the European Union. Using a support the LDP after the economic downturn of the 1990s. simultaneous equation model, it shows the linkage between Paper Seemingly Irrational Position-Taking in the Japanese Party- European citizens’ choices in the EP elections and MEPs' System responsive voting behavior. Akitaka Matsuo, Michigan State University Paper Representation and Committee Assignments in the Etsuhiro Nakamura, Kyoto University (Japan) European Parliament Overview: This paper examines the puzzle in the Japanese Pierre Hausemer, London School of Economics and Political politics: Why the SJP could not overcome the decline of the Science support in the 1970s, while the LDP could. Using VARFIMA Overview: Develops and tests a model of committee model, we show the decline was related to voters’ rightward assignments in the EP. There is a trade-off between shift in foreign policy. representation and policy influence. Different factors govern the Paper An Irrational Party Made by Rational Members: A New composition of regulatory and redistributive committees. Explanation of the Immobility of the Japan Socialist Party

Ko Maeda, Michigan State Universtiy 6-13 FEDERALISM: CAUSES AND Overview: I demonstrate how Japan's electoral system gave an CONSEQUENCES incentive to some socialist politicians to wish their party not to Room TBA, Sun 8:30 become larger and hence to resist the proposed change to their Chair Mark Jones, Rice University leftist platform. Paper Brazilian Federalism After Cardoso: The End of the Disc. Rob Weiner, Cornell University Governor's Politics Andre Regis de Carvalho, AESO 8-5 PROMOTING GOOD GOVERNANCE IN Overview: This paper shows why Cardoso was able to change NIGERIA the Brazilian federalism in a way that put an end of the so-called Room TBA, Sun 8:30 governor's politics. Chair John Harbeson, City College of New York Paper The Adoption of Gender Quotas in the Argentine Provinces: Paper Power, Territoriality and the Discourse of Marginal- Analyzing Diffusion at the Sub-National Level Dominant Ethnic Groups’ Clashes in Nigeria Adriana M. Crocker, Northern Illinois University Wale Adebanwi, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom Overview: This paper seeks to explain the diffusion of a gender Overview: Examines media discourses of the violent clashes quota legislation-originally adopted for candidates in Argentine between a dominant ethnic group (Hausa-Fulani) and a marginal congressional elections- to 22 of 24 Argentine provinces in less ethnic group (Kataf) in Nigeria from the perspective of than a decade. discursive territoriality. Paper Federalism and Electoral Manipulation in Social Welfare Paper Dictators, Democrats and Political Coalitions: Regime Type Programs in Mexico: from PRONASOL to PROGRESA and Government Performance in an African Country Gabriela Perez-Yarahuan, Universidad Iberoamericana A. Carl LeVan, University of California, San Diego Overview: The objective of this paper is to see how different Overview: Government performance in Nigeria is best social welfare programs in Mexico compare in the extent of explained through a tradeoff between fairness and efficiency.

Updated 03-01-05 145 Large political coalitions are more geopolitically representative Overview: In the paper, by analyzing the recent debates that but face collective action problems that hinder the delivery of took place on the headscarf issue in France, I address two public goods. questions: How does normative contestation within the Paper Using Indigenous Knowledge to Strengthen Local discourse of human rights occur? And second, which norms Government and Governance in Nigeria matter under what conditions? Geoffrey I. Nwaka, Abia State University Paper Hijacked Justice: Domestic Appropriation of International Overview: The paper questions the uniform, single-tier structure Norms of local government introduced in Nigeria in 1976 for both the Jelena Subotic, University of Wisconsin, Madison rural and urban areas. This arrangement overlooks the Overview: Motivation of states to adopt transitional justice has country’s cultural pluralism and diverse local practices. changed over time. States increasingly use these institutions to Paper Generating Interethnic Trust and Rejecting Violence: achieve international legitimacy, eliminate political opponents, Comparing Liberal and Corporatist Associations in Nigeria obtain international payoffs, or deal with political uncertainty. Kimberly L. Shella, Independent Paper Potemkin Strategies and Hegemonic Order: Southeast Asian Overview: The impact of liberal and corporatist associations on Identities of Self and the United States. interethnic trust in Nigeria are compared. Liberal groups alone Dwayne L. Ledsome, West Virginia University have no impact on trust. Corporatist groups are associated with Overview: Using dramaturgical analysis, this paper will explore greater trust and rejection of violence for some groups. the strategies that states use in their "presentation of self" to Disc. John Harbeson, City College of New York others. Special attention is given to Potemkin strategies designed to deceive the United States. 9-9 INSTITUTIONS AND ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION IN THE 11-11 POLITICS OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC POSTCOMMUNIST WORLD INTEGRATION Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair John O. Norman, Western Michigan University Chair Lui Hebron, Eastern Washington University Paper Evaluating the Tenuous Link between State Autonomy and Paper Building Blocks or Stumbling Blocks: An Evaluation of the State Capacity in Putin’s Russia: Evidence from Three Development of AFTA Micro-Structural Reform Efforts. De-Yuan Kao, University of Chicago S. Mohsin Hashim, Muhlenberg College Overview: This paper reviews the development of the ASEAN Overview: The paper evaluates the state’s capacity to Free Trade Area in the recent years. I’ll ask the question implement structural reforms in natural monopolies, housing, whether AFTA could be a building block or a blocking block to and civil service. a global free and more multilateral trade regime. Paper Tax ‘Em and Hang ‘Em: Explaining Economic Performance Paper The Construction of East Asian Regionalism: The Rise of in the Former Soviet Union New Regionalist Ideas and Policy Networks Aleksandra J. Sznajder, Yale University Yasumasa Komori, University of Pittsburgh Overview: Why have some post-Soviet states done better Overview: This paper examines the formation of the ASEAN economically than others? Comparing Estonia, Moldova and Plus Three (APT) framework by focusing on the rise of new Belarus, this paper argues that state capacity is more important regionalist ideas and policy networks. for economic growth and social cohesion than government Paper The Euro-Mediterranean Partnership: Projecting EU policy. Economic Ideas into the Southern Mediterranean Paper Pathways to Periphery? Baltic Economic Transformations Nivien Saleh, American University Compared Overview: This paper argues that the Euro-Mediterranean Aleksander Lust, Cornell University Partnership has been a tool in the hand of the EU Commission, Overview: Lithuania was the first country in Eastern Europe serving to project EU economic ideas into the Southern where the post-communists returned to power. Estonia and Mediterranean. An analysis of the Partnership is followed by a Latvia have not had a left government. This has had some study of two cases. influence on privatization and trade policies, but not on labor Paper Intersecting Capitalism, Patriarchy, and the Environment: and social policies. Looking at the NAFTA through a Gendered Lens Paper Party System Institutionalization and Economic Reform in Kristen L. VanHooreweghe, University of Tennessee, Post-Communist Eastern Europe: The Advantages of Knoxville Underdevelopment? Overview: This research seeks to examine the intersections of Conor A. O'Dwyer, University of Florida capitalism, patriarchy, class, labor, and the environment by Overview: Does party system under-institutionalization increase analyzing the impacts of the NAFTA on the women of North the probability that state reformers can enact radical and America. comprehensive economic reform? I address this question by Disc. Aslaug Asgeirsdottir, Bates College comparing attempts at tax reform in four post-Communist Lui Hebron, Eastern Washington University countries. 12-10 HUMAN RIGHTS: COURTS, NORMS & 10-13 NORMS AND IDENTITY IN TRAFFICKING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Zaryab Iqbal, University of South Carolina Paper The Influence of International Educational Exchanges on Paper Mixed and Domestic Courts for Prosecution of International Political Identity Human Rights Violations: The East Timor Serious Crimes Carol Atkinson, Command and Stafff College, United States Panel and the Indonesian Human Rights Court Air Force Lilian A. Barria, Eastern Illinois University Overview: The study examines the impact of university-level Steven D. Roper, Air War College educational exchanges on the political identity of states, testing Overview: We examine the rationale, mandate and effectiveness a fundamental claim in the security community literature that of the East Timor Serious Crimes Panel and the Indonesian close social interactions increases trust and convergence of Human Rights Court in addressing violations of international identities human rights during the 1999 UN administered independence Paper From Foulard to Hijab: Islamic Headscarf as a Site of ballot in East Timor. Normative Contestation Paper Internationalizing Post-Conflict Justice: The “Hybrid” Cigdem Cidam, University of Minnesota Special Court for Sierra Leone Lisa M. Danish, SUNY, Buffalo

146 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This paper focuses on a hybrid international criminal to satisfy their own security goals. This paper provides a theory court: the Special Court for Sierra Leone. It reviews the Special of threat inflation, and investigates cases of American Court's creation and assess whether this hybrid model is likely adventurism. to be used more widely. Paper Acceptable Risk and the Cuban Missile Crisis: The Tactical Paper Do the Boomerang Effect and the Spiral Models Apply? The Nuclear Missiles in Cuba Case of Human Trafficking in Central and Eastern Europe. David Coleman, University of Virginia Anita Knotekova-Patel, University of Illinois, Chicago Overview: This paper examines the issuing of calculating Overview: This paper focuses on the activities of various acceptable nuclear risk, a pressing issue for international transnational actors as they seek to diffuse international anti- security policy, by examining the issue of tactical nuclear trafficking norms to domestic level and influence state anti- weapons in Cuba. trafficking policies and initiatives in Central and Eastern Disc. Giray Sadik, University of Georgia Europe. Paper State Soveriegnty and Compliance with International 14-13 VALUES, IDENTITY, AND CONFLICT Human Rights Norms Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Sarah E. Spengeman, University of Notre Dame Chair Christopher K. Butler, University of New Mexico Overview: This paper examines the extent to which sovereign Paper Identity, Nationalism, and Ethnic Conflict in the Russian states within a decentralized system of international relations Federation can be effective in ensuring compliance with international Thomas F. Klobucar, University of Iowa human rights norms. Arthur H. Miller, University of Iowa Disc. Bethany A. Barratt, Roosevelt University Overview: Using data collected over a decade (population surveys 1991 to 2000), we examine the content and intensity of 12-12 INTEGRATION IN EUROPE AND LATIN politically relevant identity repertoires over those ten years AMERICA looking for significant changes over time and differences by Room TBA, Sun 8:30 region. Paper Revisiting the Governance-Interdependence Nexus: Paper Religious Extremism and its Influence on the Outcome in Imperial Transitions and European Regional Integration Ethno-national Conflicts over Territory Matteo Colombi, University of Chicago Tova C. Norlen, Johns Hopkins University Overview: This paper argues for a strong empirical link between Overview: This Paper looks at the disproportional influence that imperial linkages and their re-organization, the Post-WW2 religious extremist groups can have on the prospects of process of restructuring the American and European states, and resolving ethno-national conflicts over territory the emergence of the EEC. Paper Why Territory Matters: The Effects of External Threat on Paper International Police Cooperation Organizations: Beyond Domestic Political Tolerance Mandates, Toward Unintended Roles. Marc L. Hutchison, University of Kentucky Nadia Gerspacher, TBA Douglas M. Gibler, University of Kentucky Overview: This study argues for a sequence of roles that must Overview: Using cross-national survey data, we find that be performed by international police cooperation organisations militarized disputes over territory have a negative impact on a to reach mandate fulfillment. country's political tolerance level while non-territorial disputes Paper National Interests and the Development of the European have no significant impact. Union's CFSP and ESDP: The Role of Domestic Political Paper Ethno-Political Rebellion and Indigenous Populations: A Preferences in Selecting the Level of Action and Institutions Cross National Analysis of North American Indigenous for Advancing Foreign and Defense Policy Groups, 1990-2000 K. P. O'Reilly, University of South Carolina Michael Lerma, University of Arizona Overview: This paper examines why EU member states may or Amanda Driscoll, University of Arizona may not perceive that body as the appropriate level and Overview: Predictions for ethnopolitical rebellion based on institution for advancing national interests in the areas of Gurr’s theoretical model will be compared with actual conflicts, foreign policy and defense and security policy. testing the veracity of the model itself while exploring Paper Subnational Interests and Economic Integration: The indigenous group behavior, which receives little attention in Influence of Local Interests in the Commercial Structure of academia. the Southern Cone Common Market Paper Nationalism Revisited: Globalizing Nationalism to Anthony A. Pezzola, Univeristy of Washington Nationalizing Globalism Overview: I argue that subnational interests directly influenced Hyon S. Kwon, Marquette University the commercial structure of Mercosur. The responsiveness of Overview: Sweeping the international society, globalization Argentine and Brazilian policy-makers to subnational interests exacerbates the potential for conflicts associated with nationalist led to their incorporation to national trade policy decisions. sentiments. Forces of globalization and the state of Disc. Srini Sitaraman, Clark University underdevelopment are analyzed as primary contributors in fueling nationalism. 13-11 THREATS AND SECURITY RISKS Disc. Henry Hale, Indiana University

Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Giray Sadik, University of Georgia 15-7 STRATEGY AND INSTRUMENTS IN Paper The Importance of Moral Entrepreneurs in Emerging FOREIGN POLICY Global Prohibition Regimes: The Case of the United States Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Jonathan S. Miner, University of South Carolina Chair Stephen B. Dyson, Saint Olaf College Overview: This paper is an analysis of the post-9/11 response of Paper How Successful Are Economic Sanctions? American civil society. A content analysis of the national Julia H. Kim, University of California, Las Angeles debate over five international terror attacks investigates the Overview: As one of coercive measures, economic sanctions are effectiveness of moral entrepreneurs in an emerging anti-terror frequently used. This paper analyzes the situations of economic regime. sanctions using game theory and explains the success rate of Paper Threat Inflation, Existential Threat, & Domestic economic sanctions using a logit model. Mobilization for War Paper Nuclear Strategy: It's Greek to Me Brent Strathman, Ohio State University Ron Hirschbein, California State University, Chico Bridget Coggins, Ohio State University Overview: Draws parallels between ancient Greek accounts of Overview: Although threat is central to international security, conflict and the metaphors improvised to render American few works examine how statesmen manipulate external threats nuclear endeavors intelligible and manageable.

Updated 03-01-05 147 Disc. John Gallagher, United States Military Academy 18-6 INFLUENCES ON AND OF ELECTORAL 16-13 POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY AND REFORM CONFLICT Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Shaun Bowler, University of California, Riverside Chair Zachary Elkins, University of Illinois Paper Democratization and Electoral Reform in South Korea: Paper Ethnocentrism, Group Identity, and Public Opinion Actors, Incentives, and Power Relations Towards World War II Dennis P. Patterson, Texas Tech University Adam J. Berinsky, Massachuettes Institute of Technology Sangmook Lee, Texas Tech University Lara Rogers, Masschusetts Institute of Technology Overview: We examine those factors that explain why different Overview: Recent work in public opinion has demonstrated the Korean governments chose to change existing election rules in power of stereotypes and other group-centered attitudes in minor ways under democratic governments. determining political attitudes. In this paper, we examine the Paper Electoral Change in Japan and New Zealand: A Breakdown role of ethnic identity in determining attitudes towards World of the Similarities and Differences of the Switch to a Mixed War II. Member Proportional (MMP) System. Paper Binding Ties and Wartime Lies: Assessing the Political Howard B. Sanborn IV, University of Iowa Attitudes of the Friends and Families Overview: This paper investigates the similarities and Christopher S. Parker, University of California, Santa differences of the change to an MMP system in Japan and New Barbara Zealand and illustrates which effects are specific to MMP and Overview: Comparing Gulf War I with Vietnam, this paper which are related to pre-existing customs and institutions. examines how having a loved one in harms way (in the war) Paper Two Rival Models to Explain the Introduction of affects citizens' support for war. Proportional Representation Electoral Systems Paper Public Responses to Terrorism: Perceiving a Threat vs. John L. Ensch, University of California, Irvine Feeling Threatened Overview: This research note tests the hypothesis that the Ted Brader, University of Michigan degree of disproportionality in electoral systems provides a Overview: I argue that predicting the effects of threat on causal step in explaining the switch of electoral systems from political behavior requires distinguishing between and among majority rule to proportional representation. perceptions and emotions (e.g., fear vs. chronic anxiety). I use Paper Endogenizing Political Participation and Electoral Systems panel survey data conducted after the 9/11 terrorist attacks as Eric Chang, Michigan State University evidence. Ronald Rogowski, University of California, Las Angeles Paper Collective Self Healing Process (CSHP) Overview: Studies of electoral systems have been developed in Rafi Nets, Tel Aviv University two parallel fashions: one considers electoral systems Overview: This paper proposes a Self Healing Process in which exogenous and the other endogenous. This paper seeks to parties to intractable conflicts heal themselves from the offences integrate these two seemingly unconnected researches into a transpired in the course of the conflicts without collaborating unifying framework. with their opponents (as is happening in a reconciliation Disc. Shaun Bowler, University of California, Riverside process). Tatiana Kostadinova, Florida International University Disc. Zachary Elkins, University of Illinois 19-16 MEDIA AND CAMPAIGN EFFECTS (Co- 17-22 A DEFINING ELECTION? THE 2004 sponsored with Mass Media and Political PRESIDENTIAL RACE Communication, see 21-13) Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair William J. Crotty, Northeastern University Chair David Kimball, University of Missouri, St. Louis Paper Policy Consequences and Democratic Values in the Paper The Information Class Structure of the United States and Aftermath of the 2004 Elections the Democracy of Political Judgments John K. White, Catholic University of America Michael MacKuen, University of North Carolina Overview: Democratic values lie at the heart of the 2004 Evan Parker-Stephen, University of North Carolina election, and this paper explores their relevance for Overview: Here we report on an information-class-structural policymaking. analysis of opinion dynamics in the United States. We examine Paper The Geographic Politics of the Presidential Vote 30 years of different time series to assess the extent to which Jerome M. Mileur, University of Massachusetts, Amherst public opinion dynamics are more democratic or more elite in Overview: This paper will analyze the geographic "Red" and character. "Blue" divisions to understand the respective campaign Paper Building Bridges or Blinders: The Interplay between Mass strategies of the presidential candidates. Media and Attitudes Towards Other Countries at the Paper The Congressional Races and Their Consequences Southwestern Edge of the United States John S. Jackson, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale David J. Levin, University of Texas, El Paso Overview: This paper analyzes the outcome of the 2004 Overview: This paper shows that persons who make use of use congressional elections. of binationally shared mass media are more likely to treat other Paper The Presidential Campaign: Strategy, Issues, and Outcomes countries with awareness and respect, than those who restrict Patricia H. Conley, University of Chicago themselves to their home nation mass media. Overview: This paper overviews the presidential campaign; the Paper The Power of Local Political Debates to Influence strategies employed; the use of media; the impact of the Prospective Voters: An Experiment at the Congressional presidential debates and other (unanticipated) events that bear Level on the race and its outcome. John W. Williams, Principia College Paper The Presidential Campaign: Setting and Overview Overview: We know a lot about presidential debates. But, there William J. Crotty, Northeastern University is very little literature on the impact and influence of local Overview: The 2000-2004 Bush administration has been a political debates. This field experiment begins to establish the politically demanding four years, with hotly contested national baseline of knowledge. and international issues. This paper surveys George W. Bush's Paper Shaping Voter Priorities in the 2004 Presidential Election? term as it is directly relevant to the outcome of the 2004 John Aldrich, Duke University election. Jill Rickershauser, TBA Disc. Dan Shea, Allegheny College Alan Gitelson, Loyola University Chicago

148 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: This study asks whether presidential campaign Overview: Do candidates publicize their organizational communications affect citizens' policy priorities, and how endorsements and organizations their candidate endorsements? campaigns decide upon the issues they will emphasize. Is web site attention equal in amount and prominence? Do size, Paper (Re)defining the Relationship Between Party Identification resources, political or strategic factors explain differences in and Core Values: The Power of “Code words” treatment? David Doherty, University of Colorado, Boulder Paper Civil Society and Cyber Society: The Internet and Political Overview: This paper examines the influence of presidential Participation in Local Communities campaign rhetoric on how voters connect core values to party Michael J. Jensen, University of California, Irvine identification. James N. Danziger, University of California, Irvine Disc. David Niven, Ohio State University Alladi Venkatesh, University of California, Irvine David Kimball, University of Missouri, St. Louis Overview: This paper explores if and how the Internet is changing politics in local communities. The central question 20-12 SOCIABILITY AS A DEPENDENT the central question we address is whether conventional models VARIABLE of offline political participation hold for online participants. Disc. Salma I. Ghanem, University of Texas Room TBA, Sun 8:30

Chair Karthick Ramakrishnan, Public Policy Institute of California Paper Political Mobilization and the Organizational Structure of 22-1 WOMEN'S RIGHTS AND HUMAN RIGHTS Civic Associations CHALLENGES Louis J. Ayala, Notre Dame University Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Overview: Paper uses an original survey of 1200 Indiana Chair Judith Baer, Texas A&M University residents to explore the potential mitigating impact of Paper The Politics of Human Rights Practice: Institutionalizing organizational characteristics like membership heterogeneity on “Women’s Rights are Human Rights” in International the relationship between associational mobilization and political Criminal Tribunals participation. Jonneke Koomen, University of Minnesota, Twin Cities Paper Exacerbating Privilege: How Voluntary Organizations Overview: How has the slogan “women’s rights are human Promote Political Participation rights” informed the workings of international criminal Melissa K. Miller, Northwestern University tribunals? How, in turn, have the experiences of these courts Overview: Voluntary organizations are not egalitarian in caused activists to redefine their demands? promoting political participation. Privileged Americans are: 1) Paper Human Trafficking and Women’s Collective Insecurity: A more likely to join voluntary groups; and 2) more likely to Quantitative Analysis of National Response in Countries of benefit from their participation-promoting properties once they Origin, Transit, and Destination join. Amber Ussery, University of Arizona Paper Social Capital and its Influence on Political Participation in Nicole Kayner, University of Arizona America:Theory, Evidence and Implications Overview: Using quantitative methods, this paper addresses the Ira Parnerkar, University of Chicago relationship between national responses to human trafficking Overview: After confirming a strong empirical relationship and women's collective insecurity. between social capital and political participation, this paper Paper Freedom From Violence: A Struggle Between Women's concludes that education is an important causal mechanism, and Rights and Right to Religion and Culture that the relationship operates primarily at the individual level. Archana Agarwal, University of Southern California Paper Exploring the Bases of Democratic Communities Overview: Religion and culture, even though it safeguards, also John L. Anderson, University of Nebraska, Kearney plays a huge role in perpetuating violence against women. Overview: This paper explores the way small, rural However, there should not be allowed any kind of religious or communities create trusting relationships that foster cultural defense to any form of violence that is unacceptable to engagement. women. Disc. Karthick Ramakrishnan, Public Policy Institute of California Paper Magnificent Norms and Modern Values: How Honor Killings Can Be Brought to an End 21-10 NEW MEDIA AND AMERICAN POLITICS Cynthia Pascu, Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Overview: This paper aims to explain the way in which honor Chair Salma I. Ghanem, University of Texas killings can be brought to an end in predominantly Muslim Paper The "Dean for America" Weblog and Civic Involvement countries. The argument is that change must be instituted at the Matthew R. Kerbel, Villanova University local level, by Muslim women and religious clerics, Joel D. Bloom, University of Oregon respectively. Overview: This paper will assess how the Dean for America Disc. Judith Baer, Texas A&M University weblog facilitated civic engagement through discussion of system-affirming topics absent from or unusual in televised 22-8 WOMEN SHAPING POLICY political coverage. Data are from an original content analysis of Room TBA, Sun 8:30 the site. Chair Ange-Marie Hancock, Yale University Paper Minor Parties and the Internet Paper Activism in a Hostile Environment?: Changing Presidential Costas Panagopoulos, New York University Administrations and Feminist Activists in the Federal Overview: This paper assesses the online presence of minor Government parties in America. Lee Ann Banaszak, Pennsylvania State University Paper Mapping the Political Blogosphere: An Analysis of Large- Overview: The paper asks how feminist activists’ access to scale Online Political Discussions government positions and their activism in government is Eszter Hargittai, Northwestern University affected by presidential administrations. When are feminists Jason Gallo, Northwestern University hired, and what happens to these bureaucrats when hostile Sean Zehnder, Northwestern University administrations win? Overview: TBA Paper Pinned Against the Mat: Title IX and the Bush Paper A Comparative Study of How Presidential Candidates and Administration Organizations Treated Their Endorsements in 2004 Leanne Doherty, Simmons College Christine B. Williams, Bentley College Overview: Discusses the DOE's 2002 Commission on Ellen R. Foxman, Bentley College Opportunities for Athletics, its call for major reform to the Jeff Gulati, Bentley College compliance rules of Title IX, and the reasons behind the Bush

Updated 03-01-05 149 Administration’s decision to not make any changes to the and hospitality were not taken seriously. Any society suffers legislation when the voices of women are not allowed to be heard in public Paper Women's Organizing, the Public Sphere and Public Policy spaces. Sirje L. Weldon, Purdue University Paper Domestic Housewives vs. Women monarchs According to Maura Bahu, Purdue University Shakespeare, Should Political Regimes Encourage Women Overview: In this paper we describe the efforts of women's to be Directly Involved in Political Affairs or to Refrain organizations to attract public attention for the issues that from Exerting Any Significant Political Influence? concern them, and we ask how successful they are, and why. Megan Kerr, Northern Illinois University Paper Mamas Against Violence: When the Personal Becomes Overview: Some political philosophers argue that Shakespeare’s Political historical plays can be a “recognized source for the serious Elizabeth A. Bennion, Indiana University study of moral and political problems” and a setting for Tanesha Rutz, Indiana University South Bend “philosophic reflection. Overview: This case study will further our understanding of Paper Rousseau and the Modern Family how personal tragedy becomes political motivation, and shed William J. G. Bewick, Michigan State University light on the potential for and barriers to social change led by Overview: This paper is an examination of why and how poor and working class women of color. Rousseau hoped to persuade us to make family the center of our Disc. Sue Tolleson-Rinehart, University North Carolina, Chapel lives. It situates Rousseau's teaching about love, marriage and Hill parenting in the context of his broader thought. Ange-Marie Hancock, Yale University Paper The Virtues of Vice: How The Lowell Mill Girl Debates Inform Contemporary Feminist Ethics & Activism 23-11 POLICY BATTLEFIELDS: VOTING RIGHTS Jocelyn M. Boryczka, Fairfield University AND AFFIRMATIVE ACTION Overview: The Lowell mill girls, America’s first nearly all- female labor force, engaged in a debate illustrating how the Room TBA, Sun 8:30 virtue-vice paradigm limits women’s full citizenship and Chair Christine T. LeVeaux, University of Houston offering insight into creating a democratic contemporary Paper Grutter v. Bollinger and the Quest for Diversity feminist ethics. Michael W. Combs, University of Nebraska, Lincoln Disc. Kathy Purnell, DePaul College of Law Gwendolyn M. Combs, University of Nebraska, Lincoln

Overview: This paper looks at the impact of the Grutter decision on undergraduate and law school admission, recruitment and 25-13 CONCEPTUAL FOUNDATIONS OF shcolarship policies and decisions in terms of the quest for AMERICAN POLITICAL THOUGHT diversity. Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Paper The Unintended Consequences of Minority Language Chair Ann Davies, Beloit College Voting Rights Paper The Theorist as Architect: John Locke and the Carolina Rodolfo Espino, Arizona State University Constitution Overview: The paper presents survey results of minority Scott C. Pandich, University of Vermont language voters and a survey of all county election officials in Overview: An examination of Locke's largely overlooked foray the country required to provide language assistance. The into real world government design with the Fundamental surveys are supplemented with an analysis of registration and Constitutions of Carolina. voting patterns. Paper The Notion of the Common Good in Early American Paper Assessing Redistricting and Representation in a Multi- Thought Racial Context Nancy L. Bednar, California Staet University, Dominguez Lorn S. Foster, Pomona College Hills Christopher B. Mann, Yale University Overview: This paper explores the notion of the common good Overview: Renewal of the VRA in 2007 and recent political and in early American thought, using the Federalist arguments for demographic developments require revisiting the debate about and the Anti-Federalist arguments against the ratification of the majority-minority districts and representation. We explore Constitution of 1787 as its basis. issues surrounding majority-minority districts in a multi-racial Paper Empiricism and Action: Madison's Contribution to the context. Doctrine of Resistance' Paper Diversity in Public Higher Education: The Role of State Teena Gabrielson, Southwestern University Governments Overview: Essay argues that Madison's "Party Press Essays" are Alisa Hicklin, Texas A&M University best understood as a refinement of Locke's critical doctrine of Overview: This study will consider how state-level influences, resistance. Draws upon the empiricism of each author. combined with university-specific attributes, affect minority Paper The Anti-Federalists Reconsidered student enrollment levels in American public universities. The Peter Schultz, Assumption College data used in this analysis span 1990-2000 for all 50 states. Overview: The purpose of my paper will be to explore some of Paper The New Style African American Member of Congress and the major themes of the Anti-Federalists political thought as the Emergence of Quality Challengers they apply to concerns that animate our political drama today. Christine T. LeVeaux, University of Houston Disc. Ann Davies, Beloit College Steve Day, University of Houston , Overview: In this study we analyze off cycle redistricting in the 26-10 FREEDOM AND RIGHTS mid-1990s. We assert that the African American MCs elected Room TBA, Sun 8:30 in 1992, due to the creation of court ordered majority-minority Chair Michael R. James, Bucknell University districts, became increasingly vulnerable after 1996. Paper Nietzsche, Arendt, and the Psychology of the Political Disc. Christine T. LeVeaux, University of Houston Emily H. Hoechst, Georgetown University Overview: This paper uses psychoanalytic theory to discuss 24-10 PERSPECTIVES ON WOMEN AND THE Arendt's and Nietzsche's notions of freedom. FAMILY Paper The Right to Privacy in Theory and Practice Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Mary McThomas, University of California, Las Angeles Chair Eileen Hunt Botting, University of Notre Dame Overview: My paper examines the right to privacy with the Paper Womanly Aretai and the Greek Polis idea that there are two distinct strains (one based on a Lockean Joyce M. Mullan, Oakton University notion of a right to property and one justified by a Millian right Overview: The typical character of ancient Greek public life to liberty) that leads decisional privacy to be treated differently. was agonistic. Private womanly virtues such as peacefulness

150 Updated 03-01-05 Paper From Leap to Struggle: The Problems and Contribution of Overview: We illustrate the pitfalls and possible remedies for Marx to Political Freedom the analysis of cross-national survey data through a Monte Carlo David Moore, University of Northern Iowa experiments. We find that a Bayesian two-step strategy has Overview: While relegated by many to the dustbin of history, computational and statistical advantages over classical methods. engaging Marx provides valuable insights into a democratic Paper EDA for HLM politics of freedom, both in wrestling with his problems & in Jake W. Bowers, University of Michigan trying to find what of value can be rescued from his thinking Overview: Within-macro-unit regression coefficients provide about freedom. the raw material necessary to justify some of the crucial Disc. Michael R. James, Bucknell University decisions required by a multilevel model. EDA before estimation also may allow analysts to learn new things about 27-9 CITIZEN DECISIONS AND BELIEFS their subject. Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Disc. Brad Jones, University of Arizona Chair Eric Dickson, New York University Kevin Quinn, Harvard University Paper The Welfare of Biased News. John T. Gasper, Carnegie Mellon University 30-10 CHIEF EXECUTIVES' UNILATERAL Overview: We examine why one would expect a new firm to ACTION enter the news industry. This entails examining the firm's choice Room TBA, Sun 8:30 of slanting the news. We then examine the relationship between Chair Wayne P. Steger, DePaul University the number of media outlets and the information the society Paper National Security Executive Orders: Presidential Power receives. from Harry S. Truman to George W. Bush Paper Conditional Choice: Evidence and Results from a Melissa J. Buehler, Purdue University Boundedly Rational Decision Function Richard M. Yon, University of Florida Meredith Rolfe, University of Chicago Anthony S. Marcum, Purdue University Overview: This paper describes, derives propositions from, and Overview: Executive orders have given presidents the ability to provides experimental support for a model of conditional choice circumvent the government safeguards provided by the based on the notion of bounded rationality and repeated constitution. By analyzing executive orders the authors will interactions in social networks. illustrate how the prevalence and types of executive orders have Paper Subjective Mobility, Fairness, and the Demand for evolved. Redistribution Paper The Exponential Executive Agreement: The Necessity of Christina M. Fong, Carnegie Mellon University Understanding the Nature of International Agreement Data Overview: People who believe that their society has few Randall D. Smith, University of Illinois, Chicago impediments to upward mobility tend to oppose governmental Overview: This paper finds that many executive agreements redistributive programs. Is this due to self-interest or fairness? accrue exponentially and discusses subsequent implications for This paper empirically examines which of these views is study. I then test the hypothesis that the annual number of correct. standalone agreements modern presidents conduct has not risen Paper Age and Turnout: A Considerations-Based Model significantly. Nathan A. Collins, Stanford University Paper Rethinking Presidential Power--The Unitary Executive and Overview: I examine the functional form of the relationship the George W. Bush Presidency between age and turnout and propose a simple formal model to Christopher S. Kelley, Miami University explain the relationship. Overview: This paper applies the theory of the Unitary Disc. Krishna Ladha, New York University Executive to the current Bush administration. Eric Dickson, New York University Disc. Wayne P. Steger, DePaul University

28-2 STRATEGIES FOR THE ANALYSIS OF 31-8 EXPERTISE, SPECIALIZATION, AND HIGHLY CLUSTERED AND MULTILEVEL LEGISLATIVE INFORMATION PUBLIC OPINION DATA Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Wendy Schiller, Brown University Chair Nathaniel Beck, New York University Paper Measuring Legislative Specialization: Herfindahl Scores and Paper Reconciliation after Communism? Analyzing New Survey Committee Membership Data to Uncover the Mechanism of Transitional Justice Michael J. Berry, University of Colorado, Boulder Procedures E. Scott Adler, University of Colorado, Boulder Monika Nalepa, Columbia University John Wilkerson, University of Washington Overview: We use mechanism design to demonstrate that it is Overview: This paper empirically measures legislative possibility of transitional justice procedures which by allowing specialization and assess its relationship with committee targets to reveal collaboration with the former authoritarian membership. While Herfindahl Scores improve on prior regime, reduce entirely the error of false acquittal. measures, the link between committee membership and Paper A Two-Step Strategy for the Analysis of Cross-National specialization needs further analysis. Public Opinion Data: Models with Binary Dependent Paper Pockets of Expertise: Careers and Professionalism in 20th- Variables Century State Legislatures Karen L. Jusko, University of Michigan Nancy E. Burns, University of Michigan Overview: Which strategies are best suited for the analysis of Laura E. Evans, University of Washington cross-national public opinion data? We continue our discussion Gerald Gamm, University of Rochester of this question, extending our earlier analysis to models with Corrine M. McConnaughy, University of Texas, Austin binary dependent variables. Overview: We build an account of politics in amateur Paper How Voter Behavior Reflects Institutional Context: A Two- legislatures and a theory of legislative development that rests in Step Approach the details of practice and procedure. We use a new dataset to Orit Kedar, University of Michigan analyze patterns of change in thirteen states since the late 19th Overview: Utilizing a two-step research design in a sample of century. elections in OECD countries, I show that voter strategy reflects Paper When Politics is Personal: The Role of Personal Policy institutional mechanisms of power-dispersion. Interests in Committee Activity Paper Analyzing Cross-Country Survey Data: Results from Monte Lesli McCollum Gooch, University of Oklahoma Carlo Experiments Eduardo Leoni, Columbia University

Updated 03-01-05 151 Overview: This paper expands upon our current understanding compete with one another for volunteers. This paper uses of congressional participation by examining the role of personal survey, interview, and GPS data from local non-profit directors. policy interests in committee activity. Paper Social Capital and the Longevity of Community-Based Paper Floor Debate in Congress Organizations Andrew J. Taylor, North Carolina State University Gregory D. Saxton, SUNY - Brockport Overview: I test two hypotheses: (1) floor debate has Overview: I posit that communities with higher levels of social deteriorated over time, (2) floor debate is better in the Senate capital will have more robust nonprofit sectors. This is tested in than in the House. I find fewer longitudinal and inter-cameral 284 counties using the Social Capital Community Benchmark differences than predicted. Survey, IRS Business Master Files, and other county-level data Disc. Matthew Green, Yale University Disc. Brenda Sullivan, Cheyney University Wendy Schiller, Brown University 37-10 ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTIVENESS AND 33-15 THE SUPREME COURT: PARSING THE ENFORCEMENT VOTE Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Chair Brian J. Gerber, Texas Tech University Chair Chad M. King, Univeristy of Texas at Dallas Paper Collective Action, Environmental Activism, and Air Quality Paper Reexamining the Dimensionality of the Rehnquist Supreme Policy Court Mark N. Lubell, University of California, Davis Robert Anderson, Stanford University Arnold Vedlitz, Texas A&M University Overview: Studies of the Supreme Court have concluded that Sammy Zahran, Texas A&M University the justices organize their voting according to a single “left- Letitia Alston, Texas A&M University right” dimension. We present results suggesting that the Overview: Analyzes a behavioral model of collective action to Rehnquist Court’s decisions exhibit at least two ideological understand citizen air policy activism and support for stricter air dimensions. regulations. Paper Heterogeneity in Supreme Court Decision-Making: Paper Regulatory Competition and Environmental Enforcement: Exploring Variation in the Impact of Policy Preferences Evidence from the U.S. States Brandon L. Bartels, Ohio State University David M. Konisky, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Overview: I analyze the conditions under which Justices’ policy Overview: In this paper, I study a panel dataset of state-level preferences have a greater or lesser impact on their choices. I enforcement of federal environmental regulation to evaluate use hierarchical modeling to test whether certain case-level whether states use their enforcement effort as a competitive factors explain variation in the impact of preferences across instrument vis-à-vis other states. cases. Paper Information Politics, Pollution Geography, and Changing Paper Conceptualizing “Sincere” and “Strategic” Behavior on the Riskscapes U. S. Supreme Court: How Can We Empirically Tell the Troy D. Abel, University of Wisconsin, Green Bay Difference? Mark Stephan, Washington State Universit, Vancouver Chris W. Bonneau, University of Pittsburgh Michael E. Kraft, University of Wisconsin, Green Bay Thomas H. Hammond, Michigan State University Overview: This paper reports on the intermediate findings of a Reginald S. Sheehan, Michigan State University esearch project that examines the effects of information Overview: Strategic behavior on the United States Supreme disclosure policies on environmental decisionmaking. Court. Paper “We know we cannot stop it”. Environmental Decision- Paper Can Supreme Court Justices Predict the Outcome of Cases? Making and Local Biosolids Policy in the Commonwealth of Timothy R. Johnson, University of Minnesota Virginia Paul J. Wahlbeck, George Washington University Celia M. Carroll, Washington and Lee Universities James F. Spriggs II, University of California Davis Overview: Examines the local and state political factors Overview: We use newly discovered data from Justice Harry affecting environmental policy decisions in the state of Virginia. Blackmun's papers to determine the accuracy with which he was Disc. Bill Leach, Center for Collaborative Policy able to predict how his colleagues would vote in all cases where predictions exist betwene 1970 and 1994. 39-7 PRESIDENTS AND BUREAUCRATIC Paper Parsing Conservatism on the Rehnquist Court RESPONSIVENESS (Co-sponsored with J. Mitchell Pickerill, Washington State University Joseph V. Debons, Washington State University Presidency and Executive Politics, see 30-4) Cornell W. Clayton, Washington State University Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Overview: This paper examines differences in conservative Chair Samuel B. Hoff, Delaware State University attitudes on the Supreme Court. Using a political regimes type Paper Politicizing Administration in the United States, 1988-2003 framework, we show how divisions among Rehnquist, Scalia David E. Lewis, Princeton University and Thomas, reflect divisions among conservatives in the Overview: The paper explains why some administrative current political regime. agencies are more politicized than others and why the levels of Disc. Chad M. King, Univeristy of Texas at Dallas politicization change over time. Andrew D. Martin, Washington University Paper Federal Agencies as Principals and Agents in Policy Implementation: Quality Assurance Programs as a Form of 36-14 NON-PROFIT ORGANIZATIONS IN LOCAL Oversight in the Social Security Disability Program. Lael R. Keiser, University of Missouri, Columbia POLITICS Overview: This paper explores the responsiveness of 3rd party Room TBA, Sun 8:30 actors to oversight activities of federal executive agencies and Chair Sherman L. Lewis, California State University, Hayward the mediating role federal agencies play between elected federal Paper Jockeying forVolunteers: Non-Profit Competition for officials and state government agencies. Volunteers in a Second-Class Minnesota Metro-Area Paper Executive Clemency or Bureaucratic Discretion?: Two Scott Granberg-Rademacker, Minnesota State University, Models of the Presidential Pardons Process Mankato Helen A. Erler, Yale University Avra J. Johnson, Minnesota State University Overview: This paper examines the use of the presidents pardon Jacob A. Helton, Minnesota State University power from 1955 to 2002 and argues that the presidents control This paper seeks to determine the scope and nature of over the pardons process is severely limited by the Justice competitive pressures which compel non-profit agencies to Department, the actions of past presidents, and political factors.

152 Updated 03-01-05 Paper Parsing Politicization: Presidents, Responsiveness, and the Paper The New Centrism and the New Economy: Determinants of Office of Management and Budget the National Effort for Competitiveness in OECD Countries Andrew C. Rudalevige, Princeton University Shunta Matsumoto, Florida State University Matthew J. Dickinson, MIddlebury College Overview: The new centrist ideology in Western democracies Overview: This paper documents the efforts of presidents to matters in technology policies since the 1980s. Pooled time- make the Office of Management and Budget to make that series models are employed in analyzing the determinants of agency more responsive to their administrative and political government R&D spending, worker retraining programs, needs. Does "politicization" always mean the same thing? government subsidies, etc. Disc. Samuel B. Hoff, Delaware State University Paper Welfare States and World Markets: Does Economic Openness Really Matter? 49-4 STATES AS POLICY LABORATORIES OF Ian Down, University of Tennessee, Knoxville DEMOCRACY Jason Webb Yackee, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Room TBA, Sun 8:30 Overview: This paper assesses the role of economic “risk” (of Chair Mark Rom, Georgetown University foreign and domestic origin) in the development of the welfare Paper State Responses to the Children's Health Insurance state. It combines models drawn from the economics, political Program science and sociology literatures on welfare state development. Saundra Schneider, Michigan State University Disc. Pablo Beramendi, Syracuse University Overview: TBA William R. Clark, University of Michigan Paper State and Intergovernmental Response to Crisis: A

Comparative Analysis of State & Municipal Responses to AIDS and Homeland Security 3-12 POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS: THEORIES Glenn Beamer, Rutgers University AND COMPARISONS Overview: TBA Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Paper When Do States Pursue Targeted Economic Development Chair Julian Westerhout, Carleton College Policies? The Adoption and Expansion of State Enterprise Paper Interactive Effects of Electoral Rules and Forms of Zone Programs Government on Checks and Balances among Politicians Mark Cassell, Kent State University Gyung-Ho Jeong, Washington University, St. Louis Overview: TBA Overview: I argue that the effects of electoral rules depend on Paper Are States Effective Laboratories of Democracy? forms of government. Electoral rules that encourage strong Mark Carl Rom, Georgetown University parties have negative effects on checks and balances in Overview: TBA presidential systems, while they have positive effects in Disc. Karen Mossberger, Kent State University parliamentary systems. Paper The Game that Sets the Rules: Parties, Military Rulers and the Making of Constitutions in Latin America Gabriel L. Negretto, CIDE Sunday, April 10 – 10:30 am – 12:15 pm Overview: Constitution Making, Presidential regimes, Latin America, Electoral Rules, Presidential Powers 1-103 ROUNDTABLE: RECRUITING AND Paper Bureaucratic Accountability: The Role of Congress in RETAINING WOMEN GRADUATE Emerging Democracies. STUDENTS (Co-sponsored with Midwest Alejandra Rios-Cazares, University of California, San Diego Women's Caucus, see 46-104) Overview: Analysis of legislative control of bureaucracy in presidential regimes. Particular emphasis on the role of electoral Room TBA, Sun 10:30 democracy and the ability of congress to implement instruments Chair Recruiting and Retaining Women Graduate Students of bureaucratic control in developing presidentialisms. Lee Ann Banaszak, Pennsylvania State University Paper Not So Different After All: The Influence of Islamic Law, Yvette Alex-Assensoh, Indiana University Canon Law and Common Law on Women’s Rights in Vicki Hesli, University of Iowa Modern Legal Systems Celeste Montoya, Washington University, St. Louis Catherine E. Warrick, American University Susan Welch, Pennsylvania State University Overview: This paper compares the incorporation of Islamic Overview: This roundtable will discuss strategies targeted at law into Arab and other legal systems to the incorporation of female graduate students, with insights offered by former and canon law in the West, particularly with regard to the effect on current Graduate Directors. women’s rights and the prospects for democracy.

Disc. Julian Westerhout, Carleton College 2-12 MARKETS AND NON-MARKET COORDINATION 3-14 PROSPECTS OF DEVELOPMENT AFTER Room TBA, Sun 10:30 CIVIL WARS, LAND REFORMS, AND Chair Pablo Beramendi, Syracuse University Paper In Whose Footsteps? COUPS Katri K. Sieberg, Binghamton University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: This paper explores divergences in histories of labor Chair Fotini Christia, Harvard University unions in the US and in Scandinavia and creates a formal model Paper Is it the Institution or Institutional Change? A Theoretical to show the differing effects of these unions on wages and the Examination of Civil War Recurrence standard of living. Shawn H. Williams, University of North Texas Paper Measuring Varieties of Capitalism: A New Panel Dataset for Overview: This paper examines the role political institutions the OECD Countries, 1970-2002 play in preventing the return of civil war. It argues that the Daniel Geffen, Columbia University presence of a period of institutional evolution is the best Tom Kenyon, Princeton University indicator of continued peace. Overview: This paper presents a new panel dataset measuring Paper Pressures from Above, Below and Both Directions: The non-market coordination in OECD countries across several Politics of Land Reform in South Africa, Brazil and spheres of the political economy. The paper uses the dataset to Zimbabwe test hypotheses about the origins and maintenance of non- Fodei J. Batty, Western Michigan University market coordination. Overview: This paper will examine the politics of land reform in South Africa, Brazil and Zimbabwe to illustrate the unique

Updated 03-01-05 153 dynamics of land reform processes initiated from different Maria R. Freire, Universidade Lusiada directions in society Overview: This paper analyzes the increasinlgy undemocratic Paper Third World Phoenixes: The Political Economy of Postwar course of Russian politics, questioning principles and Economic Development procedures in both theoretical and operational terms, and Irfan Nooruddin, Ohio State University applying it to the case of Chechnya. Thomas E. Flores, University of Michigan Paper Against Immigration and Against Europe: Rising Social Overview: Our paper seeks to address a general neglect of the Movements in Great Britain security imperatives of economic development by investigating Sara B. Wallace, Georgetown University the causes of economic recovery from interstate and civil war Overview: This paper describes social movements against over the last four decades. immigration in Great Britain. I illustrate that a social group’s Paper Reaching and Consolidating Peace after Civil Wars position on the European project determines their attitude Omur Yilmaz, University of Kansas towards immigration. Overview: This paper introduces a formal model of civil war Paper Keeping Identity at a Distance: Explaining France’s New termination, which illustrates the interaction of institutional Legal Restrictions on the ‘Islamic’ Headscarf power-sharing arrangements with the veto player structure Elaine Thomas, Bard College Paper Designed Underdevelopment: Examining How Political Overview: This paper explores France’s adoption of surprising Development Impacts Public Administration in Rural Areas new legislation against religious signs in public schools. Jermain Griffin, Illinois State University Historical continuities of French political thinking together with Overview: Paper will discuss how political development infuses recent social and legal developments help explain this decision. negligence that spurs the devolution of rural communities. Disc. Michelle C. Boomgaard, Muskingum College Disc. Fotini Christia, Harvard University Scott Strauss, University of Wisconsin 6-12 DECENTRALIZATION: CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES 4-18 ISSUES IN LATIN AMERICAN Room TBA, Sun 10:30 TRANSITIONS Chair Randall Parish, Texas A&M International University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Paper The Politics of Deepening Local Democracy: Chair TBA Decentralization, Party Institutionalization, and Paper What Comes First: Democracy or Corruption? Participation Kathleen R. Barrett, Georgia State University Benjamin Goldfrank, University of New Mexico Paper Stability of Party Identification in Mexico Overview: Comparing three cities in different countries, I Luis M. Estrada, University of California, San Diego explain why only some experiments in participatory government Giuseppe Ragusa, University of California, San Diego succeed in Latin America. I argue that strongly institutionalized Overview: There is a controversy in the Mexican voting parties can undermine decentralization’s benefits for local literature about whether vote choice determines party ID or the democracy. reverse. Using panel data we find that party ID in Mexico is Paper Political Power, Institutions and Decentralization in Latin different from, and more stable than, vote choice. America: Towards a General Explanation? Paper New Wine in Old Bottles: How New Democracies Deal with Lucas I. Gonzalez, University of Notre Dame Inherited Bureaucratic Apparatuses. The Experiences of Overview: This paper develops a model to explain the regional Mexico and Spain variation in the decentralization processes across Latin America Guillermo M. Cejudo, Boston University from a unique explanatory framework and presents the Overview: This paper discusses how new democratic elites deal statistical evidence (for a group of countries between 1982- with bureaucracies inherited from authoritarian past. It is argued 2000) to sustain it. that both old regime trends and new regime agendas explain Paper Decentralization and Funding Changes - The Impact on differences in timing and scope of administrative reform. Family Planning Programs in Latin America Paper Getting Money, Getting Political: The Role of Remittances Sarah M. Wheeler, Indiana University of Pennsylvania on Democratic Transitions. Overview: The IMF's recommendation to decentralize Jose Merino, New York University government services has resulted in some unexpected Overview: A empirical analysis of the effect of remittances on consequences. Rural conservative areas have had an the probability of democratization of recipient countries from opportunity to roll back some of the social advances made in 1970 to 1998 family planning. Paper The Non-Transitions of Cuba and North Korea: The Paper Business as Usual?: Institutional Legacies and New Party- Negative Role of International Factors Business Linkages in Latin America Jennifer Romine, University of Illinois Samuel P. Handlin, University of California, Berkeley Overview: My paper examines the reasons why Cuba and North Overview: This paper examines patterns of party competition Korea, two countries that were heavily reliant on Soviet aid, for the support of organized business and the role of have been able to resist regime change in an international decentralization in opening up possibilities for new party- context that is seemingly conducive to regime change in business linkages. communist states. Disc. Eliza Willis, Grinnell College Disc. William T. Brandt, Princeton University 9-3 STATE AND LOCAL POLITICS IN CHINA 5-13 ETHNICITY IN EUROPE Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Paper Judicial Control of Bureaucracy: Conflicting Preferences Chair Maria R. Freire, Universidade Lusiada and Strategic Interactions within Chinese Courts Paper Mainstreaming Muslims: Islam, Islamic Instruction and the Yi Zhao, Macalester College Religious Identity of Children in French and German Overview: By analyzing the interaction between judges and Schools institutions of Chinese courts, this paper explains why Chinese Sylvia G. Maier, Georgia Institute of Technology courts have made significant progress in adjudicating Overview: This paper discusses the emergence and distinct administrative cases in which overnments are the defendants. character of a new government policy of “mainstreaming Paper Gerrymandering – Vietnamese Style: The Clientelist Muslims” in France and Germany. Islam and Islamic instruction Motivations behind the Creation of New Provinces in in public and private schools will be used as a case study. Vietnam. Paper Politics in Russia: (Un)democratic Practices and the Case of Edmun J. Malesky, Harvard University Chechnya

154 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: I demonstrate that the creation of new provinces is stability in developing countries, regardless of the observable part of a systematic clientelism played by factions in the economic conditions on the ground. Vietnamese central government, as new provincial leaders Paper The Democratic Community and the Expansion of become loyal supporters in voting blocs of subsequent Party International Organizations Congresses. Megan Shannon, University of Iowa Paper Empowering Citizens, Controlling Cadres and Legitimizing Overview: In this paper, I identify systemic conditions that the Authoritarian Leadership: Local Political Reforms in promote enlargement of international organizations. I argue that the People’s Republic of China. as the systemic level of democracy increases, IOs are more John J. Kennedy, University of Kansas likely to expand. Statistical analyses provide support for my Overview: This paper examines leadership motives behind the argument. introduction of local reforms within an authoritarian regime. Disc. Timothy Nordstrom, University of Mississippi The author finds that political reforms can increase citizen participation as well as political legitimacy of the authoritarian 11-18 POLITICAL SOURCES OF ECONOMIC regime. PERFORMANCE AND RISK Paper Socioeconomic Conditions and Political Control in Rural Room TBA, Sun 10:30 China: A Corporatist Perspective Chair Kenneth Scheve, University of Michigan Wei Shan, Texas A&M University Paper Succession in the Temple: Central Banker Careers and the Qi Zhang, The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, Politics of Appointment China Christopher Adolph, University of Washington Mingxing Liu, Peking University, Beijing, China Overview: I link the preferences of elected governments and the Overview: Based on the literature of local corporatism, this types of central bankers they appoint. Using new data and paper attempts to address the socioeconomic determinants to the methods, I show that central bank appointments can be best behavior of the Chinese local state in choosing different understood as a partisan phenomenon. strategies of political control over village governance. Paper Positive Dependencies? FDI, Property Rights, and Paper Judicial Control of Bureaucracy: Conflicting Preferences Enforcement costs in Developing Countires and Strategic Interactions within Chinese Courts John S. Ahlquist, University of Washington Yi Zhao, Macalester College Aseem Prakash, University of Washington Overview: By analyzing the interaction between judges and Overview: We examine the influence of FDI on the costs of institutions of Chinese courts, this paper explains why Chinese enforcing contracts in the developing world. FDI is associated courts have made significant progress in adjudicating with cheaper contract enforcement. This relationship administrative cases in which governments are the defendants. strengthens in interaction with export dependence and Disc. Victor Shih, Northwestern University democratization.

Paper Using Markets to Measure Political Risk 10-14 POWER AND HEGEMONY IN THE Nathan M. Jensen, Washington University INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM Andrew Sobel, Washington University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: Our project will use market measures (such as equity Chair Zaryab Iqbal, University of South Carolina price movements) to predict political risk and political events in Paper Learning from the Past: US Strategies to Stay Restrained large sample of developing countries. Mark E. Schaefer, West Virginia University Paper What Makes Money? Institutions, Risk, and FDI Inflows Overview: What types of strategies can the United States Andreea S. Mihalache, Pennsylvania State University employ to prevent balancing? This work will use lesson drawing Overview: How do institutions affect inflowing FDI? This from past hegemonic actors to describe how balancing can be paper suggests that certain institutional configurations signal prevented with the use of a strategy of hegemonic restraint. stability, altering the uncertainty and decision-making equations Paper A Hegemon at War: What Will the Mice Do While the Cat’s of foreign investors, thus reducing risk and encouraging at War? investment. Lilach Gilady, Yale University Disc. Jennifer Tobin, Yale University Alexandra G. Guisinger, Notre Dame University Overview: Expanding from the logic of hegemonic stability 12-11 WAR: INPUTS & OUTPUTS theory and the role of the hegemon in providing stability, this Room TBA, Sun 10:30 paper explores the implications of a hegemon’s involvement in Chair Sara Mitchell, University of Iowa war on the incidence of conflict elsewhere in the world system. Paper Why Should I Listen to You? Postwar Compliance 1800- Paper The Empirical Analysis of Casual Link Between Hegemony 2000 and Peace Carmela Lutmar, American University Jun Wei, University of Alabama Overview: I am interested in this paper in finding out whether Overview: In this paper, I will exame the role assumed by a states changed their foreign policy behavior after wars, and hegemonic power to maintain peace. whether deposing leaders serves as the mechanism underlying Disc. Zaryab Iqbal, University of South Carolina this process. Paper Democratic Peace Theory and Institutional Variation 10-15 THE DYNAMICS OF IGO MEMBERSHIP David J. Plazek, West Virginia University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: This research examines whether majoritarian Chair Timothy Nordstrom, University of Mississippi democracies pursue more aggressive foreign policies than Paper Beyond Hegemony: Regional Order Construction and IGO consensus democracies and hence contributes to democratic Participation peace theory. Ryan M. Fitzharris, University of Arizona Paper Domestic Unrest, Diversion, and Enduring Rivalries Katharine Petersen, University of Arizona Laron K. Williams, Texas A&M University Overview: Purpose of this paper is to explore the regional Chris Sprecher, Texas A&M University dynamics of IGO participation and constuction in Africa, Asia, Overview: How do the ever-present opportunities present in Latin America, and the Middle East. enduring rivalries affect the diversionary use of force? Paper Membership Has Its Privileges: How Joining International Disc. Mark Souva, Florida State University Institutions Decreases Risk in Developing Countries Sara Mitchell, University of Iowa Julia Gray, University of California, Las Angeles Overview: I show how, in an information-poor environment, 13-12 SECURITY DILEMMAS OF CIVIL WAR membership in constraining institutions can signal future Room TBA, Sun 10:30

Updated 03-01-05 155 Chair William Reed, Rice University 17-8 KEEPING THE FAITH: THE ROLE OF Paper Inter-Ethnic Conflict and the Humanitarian Crisis: The RELIGION, VALUES AND CHARACTER IN Problems with Military Intervention in Ethnic/Civil Warfare during the Post-Cold War Era VOTE CHOICE Jacob F. Englsh, Marquette University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: Military intervention in ethnic/civil war raises Chair James L. Guth, Furman University disturbing questions regarding sovereignty, state building, and Paper Religious Affiliation and Candidate Evaluation the precedent set by using improperly trained combat military Sara Rajan, Wayne State University forces serves to aggravate the situation especially in insurgency Ewa A. Golebiowska, Wayne State University warfare. Overview: We investigate experimentally the impact of Paper Escalating Civil Wars: The Dangers of Weak States candidate's religious affiliation (mainstream v. non-mainstream) Stacy Bergstrom Haldi, Gettysburg College and the level and type of office for which s/he is running on Overview: Civil wars escalate for several reasons, but ideology voters' responses to the candidate. has the greatest potential to draw in outside states. Paper An Empirical Examination of the Role of Religion in Paper Managing Civil Conflict: A Competing Risks Analysis of American Voting Behavior Between 1948 and 2002 the Means of Conflict Management within Civil Wars Marvin K. Hoffman, Appalachian State Univesity J. Michael Greig, University of North Texas James E. Prather, Georgia State University Nicolas Rost, University of North Texas Overview: Religion and its salience to Presidential voters in Overview: A variety of tools are available for managing civil shaping their choices are assessed using NES data. wars including negotiation, mediation, and peacekeeping. In Paper Cultural Politics: Displacement or Addition to Political this study, we use a competing risks approach to study the Divisions? conditions that promote the use of each type of conflict Jeff M. Stonecash, Syracuse University management effort. Mark D. Brewer, University of Maine Paper The Opposing Effects of Mediation on Conflict Settlement Overview: As cultural issues have become more important as a and Durability source of political divisions, have they displaced other sources Scott S. Gartner, University of California, Davis of division (such as class and race) or have they just added to Jacob Bercovitch, University of Canterbury the prior sources of division? Molly M. Melin, The University of California, Davis Paper Moral Victories: The Role of Social Conservatism in the Overview: We develop and test a theoretical framework that Republican Takeover of Congress captures the opposing effects of mediation on settlement Marty Cohen, University of California, Las Angeles duration. Overview: My paper looks at the increasing importance of Disc. William Reed, Rice University moral issues like abortion and gay rights in deciding Congressional elections. This phenomenon has benefited the 16-11 COMMUNICATION EFFECTS Republicans and played a major role in their takeover of the House in 1994. Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Disc. James L. Guth, Furman University Chair Margaret Ann Curran, Weber State University

Paper The Relevant Campaign, 2000: Using Panels to Analyze Campaign Effects and the Emergence of Voters' Judgments 19-12 ATTITUDES TOWARD SOCIAL WELFARE Scott J. Basinger, Stony Brook University POLICY AND POVERTY Todd K. Hartman, Stony Brook University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: We employ systems of simultaneous equations to Chair Joe Soss, University of Wisconsin analyze the 2000 National Annenberg Election Study, to Paper Different Places, Different Perceptions: The Impact of investigate how voters' judgements about the candidates Context on Attitudes Towards Poverty changed during the campaigns, recognizing voter heterogeneity Daniel J. Hopkins, Harvard University Paper Strategic Communication and the War on Terror Overview: Americans’ conceptions of poverty hinge on their Tara M. Kirkpatrick, Indiana University surroundings. Using newly available 2001 survey data, this Heather K. Tillberg, University of Virginia paper shows that respondents in counties that are poor and white Overview: The Bush administration has skillfully used the “War are more likely to adopt structural views on poverty. on Terror” and the fear behind September 11th to build a case Paper Opinion on the Welfare State: Generational and Life-Cycle for invading Iraq while inhibiting dissent by defining a moral Differences agenda for the American People. Hector L. Ortiz, Syracuse University Paper Disagreement and Its Discontents: Reconciling Conflicting Overview: Generational and life-cycle influences on public Findings on the Cross-Pressures Hypothesis opinion about the welfare policies state have remained largely Lilach Nir, University of Pennsylvania unexplored. Using the GSS I analyze the effects these variables Overview: The study proposes an explanation that integrates on opinion about education, health, social security and welfare. conflicting findings on exposure to disagreement and time of Paper Are Citizens More Informed than We Think? Ambivalence voting decision. Cross-pressures are beneficial for some people and Non-Attitude about Social Welfare and detrimental for others. ANES 2000 data supports this Jason Gainous, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale explanation. Overview: This study sets out to determine if inconsistent Paper Media Coverage on Assesments of Who Wins Debates attitudes centered on social welfare are a product of Jason Reifler, Duke University ambivalence as well as non-attitude. Lena Dimas, Duke University Paper A Structural Equation Model of Attitudes toward Domestic David Dyson, Duke University Welfare and Foreign Aid Policy Jeff Goldfarb, Duke University Bon Sang Koo, Stony Brook University Thomas Harris, Duke University Overview: This study presents a structural equation model of Aidan Myers, Duke University mass public’s attitudes toward domestic welfare and foreign aid Overview: Using a simple three-celled experiment, we show the policy based on core values and ideology and finds links effect of media coverage on citizen evaluations who "won" a between attitudes toward the policies included in different political debate. domains. Disc. Margaret Ann Curran, Weber State University Paper Elite Discourse, Public Opinion, and Significant Social Policy Change during the Clinton Administration: The Cases of Welfare and Health Care Hannah Goble, University of Wisconsin, Madison Stacey L. Pelika, University of Wisconsin, Madison

156 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: In this paper, we compare two cases, welfare and Chair Suzan J. Harkness, University of District of Columbia health care, in order to investigate how elite discourse shaped Paper Gender Jeopardy: “What is the Gap in Political Knowledge public opinion in ways that facilitated or discouraged significant between Women and Men, Alex?” social policy reforms during the Clinton Administration. Daniel R. Jones-White, Pennsylvania State University Disc. Lauren Appelbaum, Claremont McKenna College Heather L. Ondercin, Pennsylvania State University Overview: This paper explores two questions important to 20-13 TRUST, EFFICACY, AND PERCEPTIONS OF understanding women’s participation in politics: What is the GOVERNMENT PERFORMANCE impact of women’s lower level of political knowledge? And why do such differences exist? Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Paper Gender Crossfire?: The Political Discussion of Women and Chair Meredith Rolfe, University of Chicago Men Paper Cynical and Conservative: Why Democrats Don't Support Jeanette M. Mendez, University of Houston Democrats Tracy L. Osborn, Bridgewater State College Jeffrey T. Britton, University of Oregon Overview: This paper explores the gender gap in a new area - Overview: Democrats out number Republicans in the US, yet political discussion and political sophistication. We argue many of our legislative bodies have a Republican majority. This women will discuss politics, both in frequency and content, paper argues that cynicism can make liberal democrats behave differently from men, depending on their political like conservatives. sophistication. Paper Citizen Participataion: Pain or Gain? Paper The Deliberating Woman: An Examination of the Social Mary Grisez Kweit, University of North Dakota Forces that Govern Women's Participation (or lack Robert W. Kweit, University of North Dakota thereof)in Public Political Discussions Overview: This paper will examine empirically the impact of Ashleigh S. Powers, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill citizen part cipation on the evaluation of government policy. Overview: This experiment examines whether women are free Paper Deliberative Democracy: The Perceptions of Participants to enter and speak within public political deliberation. The Tina Nabatchi, Indiana University findings suggest that the social presence of men suppresses the Overview: This paper presents results from before and after influence of women within deliberation. surveys of participants in a deliberative democracy forum. It

examines their perceptions about participation, deliberation, civic education, accountability, justice, citizenship, and 23-13 BLACK POLITICS: CLASS, GENDER AND sustainability. NATIONALISM Paper Nothing Succeeds Like Success: The Reciprocal Effects of Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Political Efficacy and Participation Chair Maruice Mangum, Southern Illinois University Timothy Vercellotti, Elon University Paper The Dimensionality of Black Nationalism and Its Impact on George Taylor, Elon University Civic Involvement Overview: This paper examines the reciprocal relationship Tony E. Carey Jr, SUNY, Stony Brook between efficacy and political participation, in that support for a Overview: This research analyzes whether Black Nationalism is successful candidate contributes to greater efficacy. a one or two-dimensional construct and the impact of its Disc. Samantha Luks, University of Minnesota dimensionality on electoral participation and neighborhood involvement. 21-11 MEDIA ABROAD Paper Black Feminism And The Anita Hill-Clarence Thomas Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Hearings: Projecting Multiplicity, Living Oppression Chair David J. Levin, University of Texas, El Paso Christopher B. Lee, University of California, Las Angeles Paper Communication Mediation in a Society in Turmoil: Results Overview: This essay brings to a head competing from the Civic Culture Study epistemological claims regarding the status of race and gender Hernando Rojas, University of Wisconsin and forces us to reconsider the ways in which lived experiences Overview: Findings suggest that under conditions of duress, operate alongside theoretical formulations and grass roots normative evaluations might not be as important for political mobilizations. participation as the mobilizing potential that associational ties Paper Homosexuality and African Americans: Looking Inside the provide. Black Political Church Paper Effects of Press Freedom on Likelihood of Democratization Shannon Sinegal, University of New Orleans Lee Franklin, University of California, Irvine Megan E. Osterbur, University of New Orleans Overview: This research examines the role of the media in Overview: This paper examines the effects of the black political promoting support for democracy. It addresses the contention church on African American opinion towards homosexuality. that freedom of the press must be restricted in new democracies Paper Am I Black Or Rich? The Joint Influence of Race and Class in order to avoid instability. on Political Trust Paper Pressure on the Press: The Decline of Media Freedom in Scott E. Robinson, University of Texas, Dallas Russia and Ukraine Millie Wormley Smith, University of Texas, Dallas Daniel J. Beers, Indiana University Overview: Keywords: Race, Class, Political Trust Overview: This paper examines media-state relations in Russia Paper Two Nations, One Idea: Partnering the U.S./South African and Ukraine, offering a typology of state-sponsored media Black Economic Empowerment Movements coercion and an informal model of coercion escalation to Don-Terry Veal, Sr., Auburn University elucidate the motives and patterns behind the systematic Keenan D. Grenell, Auburn University manipulation of the media. Overview: Growth and economic development are explored Paper Explaining Foreign Conflicts Coverage through partnering Black Empowerment movements in the U.S. Adam J. Schiffer, Texas Christian University and in South Africa. The conceptual ideas are the result of a Overview: I model variation in New York Times coverage of all conference held in Cape Town South Africa on Empowerment civil wars from 1992-1997. The conflict’s actual magnitude Though Entrepreneurship. strongly predicts its coverage. Presidential remarks matter as well, but press-specific news-judgment criteria have no effect. 24-11 ISSUES IN FORMAL THEORY Disc. David J. Levin, University of Texas, El Paso Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Chair Peter C. Stone, Stanford University 22-9 WOMEN'S WAYS OF KNOWING: GENDER Paper Condorcet’s Gamble: Risk, Probability, and Democracy. AND POLITICAL KNOWLEDGE Helene E. Landemore, Harvard University Room TBA, Sun 10:30

Updated 03-01-05 157 Overview: I revisit the criticisms of Condorcet’s “Jury thought and design for a new science of politics in the context Theorem” – which formalizes an old intuitive statistical of emergent developments in contemporary American political argument in favor of majority rule – and show why we should culture. ultimately endorse as a rational gamble Condorcet’s faith in Paper Debating Democratic Republics democracy. David F. Ericson, Wichita State University Paper Elections and American Political Thought Overview: My paper analyzes four American debates in Jay K. Dow, University of Missouri, Columbia representation and democratic theory: the ratification debate, Overview: This paper discusses the expectations of elections in Lincoln-Douglas debates, Lippman-Dewey "debates," and the American Tradition with reference to disciplinary contemporary debates over deliberative democracy. understandings of what elections are capable of achieving in Paper Abraham Lincoln and Judicial Supremacy in the Case of light of contemporary social choice theory. Dred Scott Paper A Political Theory of Endogenous Institutional Change John F. Ryan, University of Nevada, Las Vegas Elif Erisen, Stony Brook University Overview: Through his “Dred Scott” and other speeches, Overview: The paper develops a political theory of Abraham Lincoln defends a more robust place for the executive endogeneous institutional change that emphasizes associational and legislative branches in interpreting the Constitution and relations within families of institutions and the interactive places serious conditions on accepting the Supreme Court’s properties of a given institutional mix. rulings. Paper A New Perspective of Incentive Study in City Government Paper Herbert Croly and Free Speech in the Progressive Era Yahong Zhang, Florida State University Chris Stangl, College of St. Benedict/St. John's University Overview: This study argues: 1) Administrative incentives Overview: This paper is an examination of the political thought should be recognized and distinguished from political of Herbert Croly regarding the First Amendment and the incentives, and these two types of incentives have different centralization of government authority during the Progessive components. 2) Incentives are generated by the interaction Era. between power and supervision. Disc. Dan Engster, University of Texas, San Antonio Disc. Johnny Goldfinger, Indiana University-Purdue University David Ciepley, University of Virginia Indianapol s 27-11 ELECTORAL SYSTEMS: SOURCES AND 25-14 INDIVIDUALISM AND EGOISM REVISITED CONSEQUENCES Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Chair Jacinda M. Swanson, Western Michigan University Chair Mark Fey, University of Rochester Paper Mandeville and Rousseau on the Relationship Between Paper Dynamics of Westminster Parliamentarism Vanity and Commercial Society Tasos Kalandrakis, University of Rochester Michael L. McLendon, California State University, Los Overview: We analyze electoral and policy dynamics in a two- Angeles party parliamentary system. We model the interaction of parties Overview: In the Second Discourse, Rousseau argues amour and electorate as a stochastic game of incomplete information. propre results from the overvaluation of talent. Paper Political Institutions and Social Identity Paper Self Interest Properly Understood Elizabeth M. Penn, Carnegie Mellon Carl P. Stover, Governors State University Overview: I model the interplay between political institutions Overview: Explains that"interet bien entendu" and Tocqueville's and choice of group identity. Institutions affect identity by estimate of what it does for America may have several making it easier or harder for groups to procure resources. meanings--including almost none, which it has to persons under Identities affect the policy induced by institutions by shaping 60 today. preference. Paper Emma Goldman and Ayn Rand: Ethical Egoism and Paper Minorities and Democratization Constraint David Epstein, Columbia University Janet E. Day, St. Joseph’s College Overview: TBA Overview: Emma Goldman’s and Ayn Rand’s theories of Disc. Sven Feldmann, Northwestern University ethical egoism demands unconstrained personal autonomy. Mark Fey, University of Rochester Problematic: need for guidance, excesses of freedom. Corrective: social ethic. Problematic: coercive, precepts and 28-3 QUASI- AND NATURAL EXPERIMENTS IN conveyance of ethic. Paper Egocentrism, Reconciliation and History in Alexandre POLITICAL SCIENCE Kojeve and Emmanuel Levinas Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Glenn D. Clifton, University of Notre Dame Chair Christopher H. Achen, Princeton University Overview: This paper examines the issue of reconciliation in the Paper The Illusion of Learning from Observational Data work of Kojeve and Levinas. It argues that Levinas is better Donald P. Green, Yale University able than Kojeve to account for the experience of guilt and the Alan S. Gerber, Yale University desire for reconciliation. Overview: Using a bayesian statistical framework, this paper Disc. Corey J. Abel, Metropolitan State College of Denver analyzes the relative weight that scholars should place on observational and experimental data when drawing causal 26-11 DEMOCRACY AND THE AMERICAN inferences from research literatures. Paper Randomization Inference with Natural Experiments: An EXPERIENCE Analysis of Ballot Effects in the 2003 California Recall Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Election Chair Dan Engster, University of Texas, San Antonio Kosuke Imai, Princeton University Paper Democracy, Power, and the Constitution Daniel E. Ho, Yale University Yasmin A. Dawood, University of Chicago Overview: We illustrate nonparametric randomization inference Overview: This paper develops a Madisonian theory of power (RI) with natural experiments. Focusing on the 2003 California distribution in a democracy, and explores some of the Recall, we show that RI N1113yields accurate estimates while implications of this theory for the Supreme Court’s voting rights conventional estimators used in political science are highly jurisprudence. model-dependent. Paper Civic Education, C.E. Merriam, and American Democracy Paper Does it Help or Hurt Kerry if Nader is on the Ballot? William M. Downer, Thiel College Walter R. Mebane, Cornell University Overview: C.E. Merriam's writing on civic education in the Israel S. Waismel-Manor, Cornell University inter-war period in the light of his work on American political

158 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Two experiments (1, undergraduates; 2, TESS), explores whether the majority stacked privileged committees analyzed using matching and choice model methodology, show with loyal partisans in order to exercise negative agenda control. Nader's candidacy prompts some voters to choose Kerry Paper Legislative Organization and the Lawmaking Process in the Paper The Costs of Voting: Evidence from a Natural Experiment Partisan Era of the U.S. House Henry E. Brady, University of California, Berkeley Charles J. Finocchiaro, University at Buffalo, SUNY John E. McNulty, University of California, Berkeley Overview: This project examines the development of the Overview: This paper uses the consolidation of polling places in House’s legislative agenda setting mechanisms during the Los Angeles County during the gubernatorial recall election to period of heightened partisanship beginning in the late 1800s study the costs of voting. Increases in distance to the polls and and extending to the early 1900s. deficits in information both adversely affect turnout. Paper Institutional Change and Position Taking in the Senate: The Disc. Rebecca Morton, New York University Impact of the 17th Amendment Christopher H. Achen, Princeton University Scott R. Meinke, Bucknell University Overview: Examines the effect of direct election on senatorial 29-15 PARTY RESPONSE TO ELECTORAL behavior, focusing on individual dynamics in bill sponsorship CHANGE and roll-call voting in the 61st through 65th Senates Disc. Timothy Nokken, University of Houston Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Wendy Schiller, Brown University Paper The Ascendent Irresponsible Party Model:

Reconceptualizing Benchmarks for Responsible Party Politics in a Candidate-Centered Era 31-15 LEADERSHIP INFLUENCE ON Tim J. Barnett, Jacksonville State University CONGRESSIONAL VOTING Overview: The responsible party model is a benchmark for Room TBA, Sun 10:30 theorizing about political party reforms. I demonstrate the Chair Patrick Sellers, Davidson College attractions of reconceptualizing party responsibility by Paper Measuring Senate Minority Leadership: Robert Byrd, emphasizing economic elements rather than the executive- 1981-1982 legislative relationship. Michael P. Bobic, Emmanuel College Paper How Parties and Candidates Used E-mail LIsts in the 2004 Overview: This is a statistical analysis of Robert Byrd's Presidential Primary and General Elections. influence on Senate voting patterns in the first two years of the Joongsik Kim, University of Cincinnati Reagan administration. Michael Margolis, University of Cincinnati Paper Partisan Vote Gathering and the House Whip System Overview: Content analysis e-mails that presidential candidates C. Lawrence Evans, College of William and Mary and national party organizations sent to supporters during Sarah E. Brown, College of William and Mary primary and general election of 2004. Keith T. Devereaux, Department of Government, College of Paper The Role of Political Parties in Term-limited States William and Mary Matthew Michelini, Wayne State University Kristen L. Haase, College of William and Mary Overview: This paper proposal is a new initiative designed and William B. Marlow, College of William and Mary implemented to study the effects term limits have had upon the Joshua J. McHenry, College of William and Mary roles of local party organizations. It utilizes qualitative data Overview: This paper will use archival records of over 600 gathered through survey questions of local party elites in MI. whip counts conducted by party leaders in the U.S. House, Paper Political Parties and Elections: A Comparative Examination 1955-86, to address significant scholarly disputes about the role of the Republican and Democrat Party in Texas, Oklahoma, of partisan institutions in Congress. and Louisiana Paper Party Loyalty and Legislative Success: Are Loyal Members Joshua P. Stockley, Nicholls State University More Successful? Overview: A survey of 400 legislative candidates and Edward Hasecke, Cleveland State University interviews with 50 members of the state party in Oklahoma, Jason Mycoff, University of Delaware Texas, and Louisiana finds that the state Republican and Overview: We hypothesize that party leaders reward loyal party Democrat Party play a variety of complex and subtle roles in members with greater legislative success. Using data from eight state legislative elections. Congresses, we examine loyalty as demonstrated through floor Disc. Richard M. Skinner, Bowdoin College voting and financial contributions to the party's reelection efforts. 31-12 INSTITUTIONAL EVOLUTION OF Paper House Party: Party and Presidential Influence on CONGRESS Congressional Voting Alexander M. Tahk, Stanford University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Stephen A. Jessee, Stanford University Chair Timothy Nokken, University of Houston Overview: Employing a unique dataset which includes matching Paper The Growth of Committee Autonomy in the Antebellum final passage and veto override votes from the 80th through House 106th Congresses, we estimate the relative strength of party and John Baughman, Bates College presidential pressure on members' votes. Overview: This paper reevaluates our thinking about the notion Paper Measured Ideology and the Selection and Powers of of property rights in the antebellum House and argues that Congressional Leadership property rights developed more slowly than previously believed. Robert O. Yowell, Stephen F. Austin State University Paper Are Partisan Theories of Agenda Control in the Senate Overview: This paper uses DW-Nominate scores to create an Plausible? ideological continuum the helps explain how the homogeneity Michael H. Crespin, Michigan State University and mean position of the majority party creates a contextual role Nathan W. Monroe, Michigan State University of member ideology that affects choices of leadership personnel Overview: Partisan theories typically pay less attention to the and powers. Senate because of the individual rights that exist. This paper Disc. Stephen A. Borrelli, University of Alabama suggests that the majority possesses tools to exercise agenda Patrick Sellers, Davidson College control in the Senate.

Paper Party Loyalty and Privileged Committees in the U.S. House of Representatives 33-16 DISSENT AND CONSENSUS ON THE Chris Den Hartog, University of California, San Diego SUPREME COURT Craig Goodman, Kennesaw State University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: Some committees in the House are privileged Chair Saul Brenner, University of North Carolina, Charlotte meaning that they can report directly to the floor. This paper

Updated 03-01-05 159 Paper The Dissent Becomes the Majority: Using Federalism to Overview: This study compares the influence of select Transform Coalitions in the U.S. Supreme Court Women’s PACs and health professions PACs on the passage of Vanessa A. Baird, University of Colorado women’s health policies in the states. Tonja Jacobi, Northwestern University Paper Analyzing the Impact of State Level Anti-Abortion Overview: When U.S. Supreme Court dissenting opinions signal Legislation in the Post-Casey Era. an interest in federalism in certain policy areas, the Court later Michael J. New, University of Alabama hands down more cases in those policy areas based on Overview: This paper will make extensive use of time series federalism. Moreover, the minority becomes the majority in cross sectional data to analyze the impact of various types of those future cases. state level anti-abortion legislation on abortion rates and ratios Paper What Explains Dissensus? A Test of the Legal and Paper The Problem With Uninsurance: Explaining the Differing Attitudinal Models Levels of Health Coverage in the American States Sara C. Benesh, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee Nathan Meyers, University of Illinois, Springfield Harold J. Spaeth, Michigan State University Ethan M. Bernick, University of Illinois, Springfield Overview: This paper seeks to explain dissensus on the U.S. Overview: In this paper we look at both the political Supreme Court (from Warren to Rehnquist) as a function of motivations as well as the health market characteristics as legal and attitudinal variables in order to gain insight on the indicators of health coverage in the states. relative explanatory value of each model for judicial decision Paper Against All Odds: Managed Care Regulation in the States making. Virginia Gray, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Paper A Critical Test of the Attitudinal Model of Judicial Behavior David Lowery, Universiteit Leiden Dona Roy, University of South Carolina Erik Godwin, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill Donald R. Songer, University of South Carolina Overview: While patient protection legislation has failed to Michael Selby, University of South Carolina emerge from Congress, the fifty states have passed over 900 Overview: This paper tests Schubert's and Segal and Spaeth's laws regulating managed care. Why has this reform occurred in contention that attitudes completely explain the votes of the the states? Why have some states been innovators while others Supreme Court justices in the United states of America. have not? Disc. Saul Brenner, University of North Carolina, Charlotte Paper The Politics of Making Midwifery Legal: A Study of Stephen S. Meinhold, University of North Carolina, Legalization Battles in Wisconsin and Minnesota Wilmington Lawrence M. Anderson, University of Wisconsin, Whitewater Jennifer J. Draeger, University of Wisconsin, Madison 34-5 WAR AND CONSTITUTIONALISM Overview: This paper examines the forces at play in the fight to Room TBA, Sun 10:30 make midwifery legal in Wisconsin and Minnesota. Its focus is Chair Anna O. Law, DePaul University on the activities of local doctors’ guilds and local midwives’ Paper Classical and Common Law Roots of American guilds and their activities in the legislative process. Constitutionalism Disc. Marissa Martino Golden, Bryn Mawr College Matthew A. Pauley, Manhattanville College Overview: This paper explores some of the similarities and 38-5 SOCIAL CITIZENSHIP AND SOCIAL differences between our American constitutional system and the POLICY constitutional systems and ideas of ancient Athens, ancient Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Rome, and England. Chair Merike Blofield, Grand Valley State University Paper The Future of Warfare: The US Constitution and Its Impace Paper Constructing Social Citizenship: What’s Working, What’s on Library Research Fair? Frank Leveness, St. John's University Holona L. Ochs, University of Kansas Overview: TBA Overview: This paper examines social citizenship in the distinct Paper A Constitution to Die For? Congressional Authority to Raise welfare systems of Denmark and the U.S., 1990-1999. The an Army results demonstrate that both inefficient outcomes and strict Stanley C. Brubaker, Colgate University emphasis on efficiency in implementation are detrimental. Overview: In its leading case, The Selective Draft Law Cases Paper Whose Citizenship is this Anyway? (1918), the Supreme Court combines bad logic and half-baked Gal Levy, The Open University history with a result that is ultimately correct. This paper seeks Overview: The Debate over the Citizenship Rights of Labour the philosophic/interpretive foundation necessary for that result. Migrant Children and its implications for Education Paper Modern Interactionist Formulations of Political Paper Gendered Citizenship: Women and Abortion Transformation in American Legal Thought Rosemary Nossiff, Maymount Manhattan College Alyce J. Thomas, TBA Overview: This paper examines how gender assumptions about Overview: In my presentation, I will critique jurisprudential women continue to slow their progress in achieving citizenship and socio-political explanations of revolutions, political crises by analyzing the continuing controversy over abortion policy as and civil rebellions in American legal thought. expressed in the major court decisions on abortion between Paper A Post-9/11 View From the Hinterlands: Reconciling State 1965-1995 Constitutionalism with National Security Disc. Merike Blofield, Grand Valley State University Peter J. Longo, University of Nebraska, Kearney Overview: A post-9/11 view from the hinterlands: reconciling 40-3 RACE, STATE AND WELFARE IN state constitutionalism with national security. Disc. Daniel N. Hoffman, Massachusetts Institute of Technology HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE Christopher B. Budzisz, Loras College Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Chair Stephen Pimpare, Yeshiva University 35-9 HEALTH CARE POLITICS AND Paper Reagan, Race and Welfare: The Racial Structure of Welfare Politics in the 1980s POLICYMAKING IN THE U.S. STATES Scott J. Spitzer, Chapman University Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Overview: This paper examines the racial politics of the Reagan Chair Carol Weissert, Florida State University administration’s retrenchment of welfare, linking their efforts to Paper Women’s Political Action Committees: Friends or Foes in the politics of race and welfare in the 1960s and early 70s. Advancing Women’s Health Policies in the State Paper Race, Labor & the State: Fair Employment Policy in Legislatures Postwar North America Pamela J. Walsh, Wayne State University Margaret Rung, Roosevelt University

160 Updated 03-01-05 Overview: Using a comparative framework, this paper explores Wooyeal Paik, University of California, Los Angeles the parallel rights revolutions in Canada and the United States, Overview: This paper explains a much less pursued subject: particularly as they relate to the implementation of federal fair cultural (religion/colonial experience) and social influence employment policies during the 1940s and 1950s. (corruption/education) on Political & Civil Human Rights, a Paper Purposes + Unintended Consequences = Unforeseen Future: fundament and proxy of democratization, with statistical cross- The 1965 Hart-Cellar Act, the 2000 Census, and the Possible national method. Disruption of the US Racial Order Paper Religion and Political Tolerance in South Korea Jennifer L. Hochschild, Harvard University Junghyoun Kim, University of Tennessee Traci Burch, Harvard University Dokyung Kim, University of Tennessee Overview: We examine justifications for the 1965 Hart-Cellar Overview: The main research question in this paper is how Act and the 2000 census multiracial policy in order to see if individuals' religiosity relates to their political attitude, political actors intended to disrupt or anticipated disruption of especially political tolerance in South Korea. the American racial order; in combination, these policies may Disc. Douglas Strand, University of California at Berkeley do so. Paper Sectors and Social Protest: Explaining Business Responses 45-4 CIVIC ENGAGEMENT to Civil Rights Mobilization Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Joseph Luders, Yeshiva University Chair Brian D. Posler, Millikin University Overview: This paper uses a sectoral analysis to explain Paper The Role of Civic Education in Closing: The Political variation in southern business responses to civil rights Knowledge Gender Gap mobilization. Historical petitions and secondary sources are Jeffrey L. Bernstein, Eastern Michigan University used to demonstrate the central theoretical propositions. Emily M. Bonneau, Texas A & M University Disc. Stephen Pimpare, Yeshiva University Overview: Scholars concerned with citizen participation in government need be concerned with increasing citizens’ 42-3 THE POLITICS OF POPULAR CULTURE political knowledge. We examine the impact of political science Room TBA, Sun 10:30 classes in closing a gender-based knowledge gap. Paper PurgePolitik: The Political FUnctions of Decadence in Paper Community Engagement and Classroom Education: Fascism Infusing Civic Education and Engagement in Student Alex Schulman, University of California, Las Angeles Learning Overview: An examination of the interface of conceptions of Allyson M. Lowe, Chatham College societal decadence with fascist ideology, incorporating both Overview: This paper asks to what degree our pedagogical history and theory practices and theoretical discussions of civic engagement are Paper Harry Potter and the Crisis of Democracy distinctly separate activities and how might we use curricular Margaret M. Young, Albion College and co-curricular strategies to better link theory and practice. Murray Young, Lambton Kent District School Board Paper Civic Engagement through Service Learning: Assessing Overview: This paper examines the first four Harry Potter Present Efforts and Encouraging Future Success books, looking in detail at the instances of conflict and Rebecca E. Deen, University of Texas, Arlington examples of conflict resolution and finds that the dominant Victoria A. Farrar-Myers, University of Texas at Arlington method of conflict resolution is coercion. Overview: This paper explores the contemporary landscape of Paper The Politics of the Beat Generation efforts to improve civic engagement among college students and Judith R. Halasz, The Graduate Center, CUNY offers preliminary data from honors students in Introduction to Overview: This analysis of the Beat Generation’s literary US Government courses. innovations, unconventional everyday life practices, and direct Disc. Scott R. Furlong, University of Wisconsin, Green Bay political activism establishes their political import and legacy.

44-3 COMPARATIVE STUDIES OF RELIGION AND POLITICS Room TBA, Sun 10:30 Chair Maurice Eisenstein, Purdue University, Calumet

Paper Politicized Religious Cultures: Understanding the Relationship Between Religious Beliefs and Costly Religious Actions Across Nations John D. Huber, Columbia University Overview: The paper examines how political factors (such as the level of civil rights, or state regulation of religion) and sociological ones (such as inequality and development) influence the interaction between religious beliefs and religious practice. Paper Debunking the Doctrine Myth: Religious Values and Support for Democracy Ani Sarkissian, University of California, Las Angeles Overview: I test arguments that assert the importance of religious values in creating and sustaining democracy. Using cross-national, individual level survey data, I find little support for theories about the compatibility of religions with democracy. Paper Separation of Religion and State in Democracies: Myth or Misconception? Jonathan Fox, Bar Ilan University Overview: This study utilizes the Religion and State (RAS) dataset which includes 62 different measures of separation of religion and state (SRAS) for 175 countries to evaluate the extent to which SRAS really exists in democracies. Paper Cultural and Social Determinants of Political and Civil Human Rights Status (A Cross-National Study)

Updated 03-01-05 161