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PROTOTYPE GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT REPORT Design by | 2015 United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs Division for Sustainable Development PROTOTYPE GLOBAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT REPORT New York, 2014 Disclaimer: The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the United Nations or its senior management. The terms ‘country’ and ’economy’ as used in this Report also refer, as appropriate, to territories or areas; the designations employed and the presentation of the material do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. In addition, the designations of country groups are intended solely for statistical or analytical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgement about the stage of development reached by a particular country or area in the development process. The major country groupings used in this report follow the classification of the United Nations Statistics Division. Reference to companies and their activities should not be construed as an endorsement by the United Nations of those companies or their activities. The boundaries and names shown and designations used on the maps presented in this publication do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. Suggested citation: United Nations (2014). Prototype Global Sustainable Development Report. New York: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Division for Sustainable Development, July 2014. http://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/globalsdreport/ Foreword Sustainability science emerged as a new interdisciplinary endeavour around the year 2000. In 2012 alone, more than 40,000 authors from 2,200 cities around the world published some 150,000 articles on sustainable development - six times more than in the 10 previous years. However, to date there exists no global sustainable development report that comprehensively looks at global progress and the future outlook in a truly integrated way, taking into account the range of perspectives in different scientific communities across the world. The Global Sustainable Development Report, requested by Governments at Rio+20, is the first and only comprehensive global report on sustainable development. The present prototype global sustainable development report is the result of a collaborative effort of more than 2,000 scientists and 50 staff from 20 United Nations entities from all world regions. This prototype report illustrates a range of potential content and discusses potential overall directions for the eventual Global Sustainable Development Report. The report maps sustainable development assessments and related processes, and identifies key remaining challenges: to eliminate poverty and hunger; to feed, nurture, house, educate and employ the global population; to ensure peace, security and freedom; and to preserve the Earth’s basic life-support systems. The report sketches an alternative sustainable development pathway for the future. It shows that, if we significantly adjust our current patterns of consumption and production, we can help build a more sustainable world by 2050. The report also identifies a range of estimates of total global investment needs to achieve global goals and commitments. The report identifies lessons learned from national, regional and global case studies of the climate-land-energy-water-development nexus. It takes an integrated approach that looks at clusters of issues and their interlinkages rather than specific sectors or topics. I hope, in the future, that the Global Sustainable Development Report will provide invaluable concise scientific inputs for the deliberations of the High-level Political Forum on sustainable development (HLPF). It could report on global progress towards the achievement of the sustainable development goals (SDGs), once they are established in 2015. It could also provide scientific evidence for linking global goals with the necessary means of achieving them. Ultimately, it will help improving the science-policy interface for sustainable development, as called for by United Nations Member States at Rio+20. Wu Hongbo Under-Secretary-General for Economic and Social Affairs 4 | Prototype Global Sustainable Development Report Contributors and acknowledgements: This report was drafted by (UNESCO); Didier Babin and David Coates (CBD); Raul Cabral a team of UN staff led by Richard A. Roehrl, Policy Analysis Branch, (OHRLLS); Devin Bartley, Jonathan Reeves, and Pasquale Steduto Division for Sustainable Development, United Nations Department (FAO); Robert Hamwey and Bonapas Onguglo (UNCTAD); Roula for Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA). Inputs were provided by Majdalani and Riccardo Mesiano (ESCWA); Joselius Samaniego, the United Nations Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), United Marcia Tavares, Diane Quarless, and Charmaine Gomes (ECLAC); Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Marina Plutakhina, Edward Clarence-Smith, and Adegboyega (ECLAC), United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Ajani (UNIDO); Hughes Rierson (WFP); Magali Outters (Stockholm Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), United Nations Economic and Social Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants). Commission for Western Asia (ESCWA), United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (ECE), Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), International Labour Organization (ILO), International Maritime Organization (IMO), International Atomic Energy Academic and non-governmental organization contributors: Agency (IAEA), Office of the High-Representative for the Least Bob Kates (University of Maine, USA), Kelly Sims Gallagher (Tufts Developed Countries, Landlocked Developing and Small Island University, USA), Juergen Friedrich Hake (Systemforschung und Developing States (OHRLLS), United Nations Convention to Combat Technologische Entwicklung IEK-STE, Germany), Manuel Flores Desertification (UNCCD), United Nations Environment Programme Montes (The South Centre), Huepe Minoletti (Universidad Diego (UNEP), United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Portales, Chile), Michael Zhao (IISD, China), Michele Biasutti Organization (UNESCO), United Nations Conference on Trade and (University of Padua, Italy), Ana-Maria Boromisa (Institute for Development (UNCTAD), United Nations Industrial Development Development and International Relations, Croatia), Magdalena A. Organization (UNIDO), United Nations Framework Convention K. Muir (Columbia University), Wenhan Xie (Chinese Academy of on Climate Change (UNFCCC), United Nations Population Fund Surveying & Mapping), Fanghong Ye (Chinese Academy of Surveying (UNFPA), United Nations Human Settlements Programme (UN- & Mapping), Chen Shaofeng (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China), Habitat), World Food Programme (WFP), and World Bank (WB). The Chen Ying (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, China), Cui International Monetary Fund (IMF) participated as an observer. We Dapeng (Chinese Society for Sustainable Development (CSSD), are especially grateful for the contributions of many scientists and China), Song Zheng (CSSD, China), Jiang Yi (CSSD, China), Gan economists. Many experts have contributed to the report and/or Shijun (CSSD, China), Lucien Chabason (Institut du développement reviewed it, including from the following 46 countries and regions: durable et des relations internationals, France), Maria Cortes-Puch Austria, Australia, Albania, Brazil, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Canada, (Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN), Spain), Chile, China, Cyprus, Egypt, France, Finland, Germany, Ghana, Emilio D’Alessio (Associazione Agende 21 Locali Italiane, Italy), Greece, Guinea-Bissau, India, Italy, Israel, Japan, Kenya, Lao Alessandro Galli (Global Footprint Network, Switzerland), He People’s Democratic Republic, Lebanon, Lithuania, Malta, Mauritius, Jianqing (China National Engineering Research Centre for Human Montenegro, Norway, the Netherlands, the Philippines, Republic of Settlements), China Architecture Design & Research Group (CAG), Croatia, Russian Federation, Slovenia, Spain, Romania, Sweden, China), Huang Maoxing (School of Economics in Fujian Normal Switzerland, South Africa, Tanzania, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, University, China), Liu Hua (United Nations Association of China), Turkey, The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, Liu Xuemin (Beijing Normal University), Liu Yi (Chinese Academy United Arab Emirates, United States of America and Qatar. of Science), Pan Jiahua (Chinese Academy of Social Sciences), Qi Ye (Climate Policy Institute at Tsinghua, China), Markus Hametner Contributions have been in the form of text, data, ideas, review, (Vienna University of Economics and Business, Austria), Hachim articles and/or participation in expert group meetings convened in Kennou (Mediterranean Water Institute, France), Albin Keuc (Gaja support of the report. In addition, several thousand inputs were Sustainable Development Association, Slovenia), Raymond Saner made anonymously through the crowdsourcing website - important (Basel University, Switzerland), Nenad Smodlaka (Institute ‘Rudjer contributions that are greatly appreciated. Bošković’, Croatia), Natalija Koprivanac (University of Zagreb, Croatia), Tarik Kupusović (Hydro Engineering Institute, Bosnia and Herzegovina), Tuncay Neyisci (Akdeniz University,