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(Volume 8) Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna Special Issue On
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2010 (Volume 8) Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna Special issue on “Education and demography” Guest editors: Bilal Barakat and Hans-Peter Blossfeld Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2010 (Volume 8) All articles in this publication, except the Introduction and Demographic Debate contributions, were subject to international peer review Internet address: www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/yearbook/ Editorial board Guest Editors for this issue: Bilal Barakat and Hans-Peter Blossfeld Editor: Wolfgang Lutz Managing editor: Tomáš Sobotka Associate editors: Thomas Fent, Richard Gisser, Dimiter Philipov, Alexia Prskawetz and Sergei Scherbov Vienna Institute of Demography Austrian Academy of Sciences Wohllebengasse 12-14 1040 Vienna, Austria Fax: (+43 1) 515 81-7730 e-mail: [email protected] Website: www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/yearbook/ Publisher Verlag der Österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften Postfach 471, Postgasse 7 1011 Vienna, Austria Tel. (+43 1) 515 81-3401-3406 Fax (+43 1) 515 81-400 e-mail: [email protected] Website: verlag.oeaw.ac.at Cover design: Christian Högl Copy editing: Werner Richter, Heike Barakat and Margaret Hutchings Editorial assistants: Binita K.C. and Ani Minassian ISSN 1728-4414 ISBN 978-3-7001-6967-3 Authors for this volume Christos Bagavos, Department of Social Policy, Panteion University, Athens, Greece. Bilal Barakat, Vienna Institute of Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna, and World Population Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria. Alaka Malwade Basu, Department of Development Sociology, Cornell University, Ithaca, United States. Hans-Peter Blossfeld, Institute of Longitudinal Studies in Education (INBIL), University of Bamberg, Bamberg, Germany. -
Variations on the Themes of Wolfgang Lutz
05-07 DECEMBER 2016 CAMPUS WU VIENNA UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS BUILDING LC, CEREMONIAL HALL 1 WWW.OEAW.AC.AT WELTHANDELSPLATZ 1, 1020 VIENNA WEDNESDAY, 07 DECEMBER 2016 THE WITTGENSTEIN CENTRE 09:00–10:30 Session: (Probabilistic) Projections The Centre is a collaboration among the World Population Program of the Inter- Chair: Dalkhat Ediev, Wittgenstein Centre national Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences (VID/ÖAW), the Demography University of Oslo (UiO) Group and the Research Institute on Human Capital and Development of the Nico Keilman | Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU). In late 2010, a letter of under- Probabilistic demographic projections standing was signed by these three pillar institutions defining the terms for this collaboration under a common roof. Alexander Hanika | Statistics Austria Cooperations between Statistics Austria and VID in the field of The Centre combines the partners’ strengths in the fields of demography, human demographic projections capital formation and analysis of the returns to education. It builds on a highly successful collaboration that has already generated significant scientific advances. Frans Willekens | Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic “Human capital” refers to the human resource base in terms of the number of peo- Institute (NIDI) ple and their changing structure by age, gender, location, education, health status, Reflections on international migration forecasting cognitive skills -
Depopulation As a Policy Challenge in the Context of Global Demographic Trends Authors Wolfgang Lutz and Nicholas Gailey
Human Development Series Wolfgang Lutz and Nicholas Gailey Depopulation as a Policy Challenge in the Context of Global Demographic Trends Authors Wolfgang Lutz and Nicholas Gailey Depopulation as a Policy Human Development Series Challenge in the Context of Global Demographic Trends Publisher UNDP Serbia Editor Megan Niedermeyer Design and layout MaxNova Creative ISBN 978-86-7728-292-9 Statements made in this report are the statements of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the United Nations Development Programme. Authors: Wolfgang Lutz and Nicholas Gailey Depopulation as a Policy Challenge in the Context of Global Demographic Trends October 01, 2020 Contents 1 4 7 Introduction: Population Human Capital and Economic and Geopolitical Decline from a Historical Labor Force Participation 17 Consequences of Population Perspective 7 Decline 28 Depopulation is a recurring A population’s composition is A smaller population does not theme, but its contemporary more consequential than simply have to be the defining factor causes tell a new story. its size. of a country in economic or geopolitical considerations. 2 5 8 The Final Phase of the Serbia Amid Comprehensive Policy Demographic Transition 10 High Out-Migration 20 Responses: Strengthening the National Human Resource Base 31 Population decline today is Economic hardship, a culture The alignment of education and the partial result of a natural of leaving, and destination the economy is a chance to help development process. country policy facilitates high- people more smoothly transition outmigration that is undermining into their working lives, which is human capital. part of a larger responsibility of countries to maintain their human 3 6 capital base. -
Geburtenbarometer Vienna: Analysing Fertility Convergence Between Vienna and Austria
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Zeman, Krytof; Sobotka, Tomá; Gisser, Richard; Winkler-Dworak, Maria; Lutz, Wolfgang Working Paper Geburtenbarometer Vienna: Analysing fertility convergence between Vienna and Austria Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers, No. 7/2011e Provided in Cooperation with: Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Austrian Academy of Sciences Suggested Citation: Zeman, Krytof; Sobotka, Tomá; Gisser, Richard; Winkler-Dworak, Maria; Lutz, Wolfgang (2011) : Geburtenbarometer Vienna: Analysing fertility convergence between Vienna and Austria, Vienna Institute of Demography Working Papers, No. 7/2011e, Austrian Academy of Sciences (ÖAW), Vienna Institute of Demography (VID), Vienna This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/96992 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. -
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna Special issue on Broadening demographic horizons Guest editors: Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 2018 (Volume 16) All Research Articles in this publication were subject to international peer review Editorial board Editor: Wolfgang Lutz Guest editors for this issue: Alexia Prskawetz, Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov Managing editor: Maria Winkler-Dworak Email: [email protected] Associate editors: Thomas Fent, Richard Gisser, Dimiter Philipov, Alexia Prskawetz, Sergei Scherbov and Toma´sˇ Sobotka Vienna Institute of Demography Austrian Academy of Sciences Welthandelsplatz 2/Level 2 1020 Vienna, Austria Fax: (+43 1) 313 36 90 7702 Website: www.viennayearbook.org Publisher Austrian Academy of Sciences Press Postgasse 7 1011 Vienna, Austria Tel: (+43 1) 515 81-3401-3406 Fax: (+43 1) 515 81-3400 Email: [email protected] Website: verlag.oeaw.ac.at Copy editing: Miriam Hils ISSN 1728-4414 ISBN 978-3-7001-8364-8 Cover: Word cloud from title words used in Wittgenstein Center publications (2011–2018) Made in Europe Authors for this volume Mohammad Jalal ABBASI-SHAVAZI, Department of Demography, Faculty of Social Sciences, Jalal Al Ahmad Avenue, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran and Professorial Fellow, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Australia Nicholas BIDDLE, Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research and ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian National University, Australia Helge BRUNBORG, Previously with Statistics Norway William P. BUTZ, Senior Research Scholar, World Population Program, IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria Graziella CASELLI, Sapienza University of Rome, Department of Statistical Sciences, Viale Regina Elena 295, 00161, Rome, Italy Joel E. -
Improving Education As Key to Enhancing Adaptive Capacity in Developing Countries
NOTA DI LAVORO 83.2010 Improving Education as Key to Enhancing Adaptive Capacity in Developing Countries By Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, and Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), Vienna, Austria SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Series Editor: Carlo Carraro Improving Education as Key to Enhancing Adaptive Capacity in Developing Countries By Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, and Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU), Vienna, Austria Summary This paper summarizes new scientific evidence supporting the hypothesis that among the many factors contributing to international development, the combination of education and health stands out as a root cause on which other dimensions of development depend. Much of this recent analysis is based on new reconstructions and projections of populations by age, sex and four levels of educational attainment for more than 120 countries using the demographic method of multi-state population dynamics. It also refers to a series of systems analytical population–development–environment case studies that comprehensively assess the role of population and education factors relative to other factors in the struggle for sustainable development. The paper also claims that most concerns about the consequences of population trends -
Modeling Alternative Projections of International Migration
KNOMAD WORKING PAPER 30 Modeling Alternative Projections of International Migration Thomas Buettner Rainer Muenz January 2018 i The KNOMAD Working Paper Series disseminates work in progress under the Global Knowledge Partnership on Migration and Development (KNOMAD). A global hub of knowledge and policy expertise on migration and development, KNOMAD aims to create and synthesize multidisciplinary knowledge and evidence; generate a menu of policy options for migration policy makers; and provide technical assistance and capacity building for pilot projects, evaluation of policies, and data collection. KNOMAD is supported by a multi-donor trust fund established by the World Bank. Germany’s Federal Ministry of Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ), Sweden’s Ministry of Justice, Migration and Asylum Policy, and the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC) are the contributors to the trust fund. The views expressed in this paper do not represent the views of the World Bank or the sponsoring organizations. Please cite the work as follows: Buettner, Thomas, and Rainer Muenz, 2017, Modeling Alternative Projections of International Migration, KNOMAD Working Paper No.30, World Bank, Washington, DC. All queries should be addressed to [email protected]. KNOMAD working papers and a host of other resources on migration are available at www.KNOMAD.org. ii Modeling Alternative Projections of International Migration* Thomas Buettner Rainer Muenz† Abstract This paper explores alternative approaches to the projection of international migration. Instead of relying on the residual concept of net migration or a migrant pool model of migration flows, an approach is suggested that uses estimates of international migration flows in an extended multiregional projection model. -
UNDERSTANDING POWER the INDISPENSABLE CHOMSKY Edited by Peter R
THE FOOTNOTES FOR: UNDERSTANDING POWER THE INDISPENSABLE CHOMSKY Edited by Peter R. Mitchell and John Schoeffel. Preface 1. For George Bush's statement, see "Bush's Remarks to the Nation on the Terrorist Attacks," New York Times, September 12, 2001, p. A4. For the quoted analysis from the New York Times's first "Week in Review" section following the September 11th attacks, see Serge Schmemann, "War Zone: What Would ‘Victory’ Mean?," New York Times, September 16, 2001, section 4, p. 1. Understanding Power: Preface Footnote Chapter One Weekend Teach-In: Opening Session 1. On Kennedy's fraudulent "missile gap" and major escalation of the arms race, see for example, Fred Kaplan, Wizards of Armageddon, New York: Simon & Schuster, 1983, chs. 16, 19 and 20; Desmond Ball, Politics and Force Levels: The Strategic Missile Program of the Kennedy Administration, Berkeley: University of California Press, 1980, ch. 2. On Reagan's fraudulent "window of vulnerability" and "military spending gap" and the massive military buildup during his first administration, see for example, Jeff McMahan, Reagan and the World: Imperial Policy in the New Cold War, New York: Monthly Review, 1985, chs. 2 and 3; Franklyn Holzman, "Politics and Guesswork: C.I.A. and D.I.A. estimates of Soviet Military Spending," International Security, Fall 1989, pp. 101-131; Franklyn Holzman, "The C.I.A.'s Military Spending Estimates: Deceit and Its Costs," Challenge, May/June 1992, pp. 28-39; Report of the President's Commission on Strategic Forces, Washington: U.S. Government Printing Office, April 1983, especially pp. 7-8, 17, and Brent Scowcroft, "Final Report of the President's Commission on Strategic Forces," Atlantic Community Quarterly, Vol. -
“Global Terrorism Index: 2015.” Institute for Economics and Peace
MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM Quantifying Peace and its Benefits The Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank dedicated to shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. IEP achieves its goals by developing new conceptual frameworks to define peacefulness; providing metrics for measuring peace; and uncovering the relationships between business, peace and prosperity as well as promoting a better understanding of the cultural, economic and political factors that create peace. IEP has offices in Sydney, New York and Mexico City. It works with a wide range of partners internationally and collaborates with intergovernmental organizations on measuring and communicating the economic value of peace. For more information visit www.economicsandpeace.org SPECIAL THANKS to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) headquartered at the University of Maryland for their cooperation on this study and for providing the Institute for Economics and Peace with their Global Terrorism Database (GTD) datasets on terrorism. CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 ABOUT THE GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX 6 1 RESULTS 9 Global Terrorism Index map 10 Terrorist incidents map 12 Ten countries most impacted by terrorism 20 Terrorism compared to other forms of violence 30 2 TRENDS 33 Changes in the patterns and characteristics of terrorist activity 34 Terrorist group trends 38 Foreign fighters in Iraq -
2015 Global Terrorism Index Report
MEASURING AND UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF TERRORISM Quantifying Peace and its Benefits The Institute for Economics and Peace (IEP) is an independent, non-partisan, non-profit think tank dedicated to shifting the world’s focus to peace as a positive, achievable, and tangible measure of human well-being and progress. IEP achieves its goals by developing new conceptual frameworks to define peacefulness; providing metrics for measuring peace; and uncovering the relationships between business, peace and prosperity as well as promoting a better understanding of the cultural, economic and political factors that create peace. IEP has offices in Sydney, New York and Mexico City. It works with a wide range of partners internationally and collaborates with intergovernmental organizations on measuring and communicating the economic value of peace. For more information visit www.economicsandpeace.org SPECIAL THANKS to the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START), a Department of Homeland Security Center of Excellence led by the University of Maryland, for their cooperation on this study and for providing the Institute for Economics and Peace with their Global Terrorism Database (GTD) datasets on terrorism. CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2 ABOUT THE GLOBAL TERRORISM INDEX 6 1 RESULTS 9 Global Terrorism Index map 10 Terrorist incidents map 12 Ten countries most impacted by terrorism 20 Terrorism compared to other forms of violence 30 2 TRENDS 33 Changes in the patterns and characteristics of terrorist activity 34 -
MESTSKY URAD Zisar NAD SAZAVOU
MATERIAL BEZ OSOBNiCH UDAJU - MESTSKY URAD ZiSAR NAD SAZAVOU MATERIAL PRO ZASTUPITELSTVO MESTA c. 11 ONE: 28. 1. 2016 JEDNACi CiSLO: 11/2016/Star/4 NAZEV: Schvalenf Stanov dobrovolneho svazku obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizaci Zd'arsko ANOTACE: Dobrovolny svazek obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizacf Zd'arsko zpracoval dodatek Stanov a stanovy se zaclenenfm dodatku budou schvalovany zastupitelstvem vsech obcf, ktere jsou cleny svazku. NAVRH USNESENi: Zastupitelstvo mesta po projednanf schvaluje Stanovy dobrovolneho svazku obcf Svaz vodovodu a kanalizacf Zd'arsko, v predlozenem znenf Starosta mesta: Mistostarosta mesta: Tajemnik MeU: Odbor majetkopravni: Odbor ST a vniti'nich veci: Odbor financni: Odbor komunal. sluzeb + TSBM: Odbor rozvoje a uzemniho Odbor stavebni: planovani: Odbor skolstvi, kultury a sportu: Odbor socialni: Odbor zivnostensky: Odbor dopravy: Odbor zivotniho prosti'edi: Odd. spravy mest. lesu a ryb.: Oddeleni informatiky: Odd. fin. kontroly a inter. auditu Mestska policie Projektovy koordinator: Krizove i'izeni: Zpracoval: Predklada: Starosta mesta Rada mesta Nazev materialu: Schvaleni Stanov dobrovolneho svazku obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizaci Zd'arsko Pocet stran: 1 Pocet priloh : 2 Popis Na 1. radne valne hromade dobrovolneho svazku obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizaci Zd'arsko, konane v roce 2016, bude schvalovano nove, doplnene zneni Stanov svazku. U jiz pi'ijatych a schvalenych Stanov neni nova ratifikace zakonnou podminkou. Presto SVK doporucuje vsem clenskym obcim, mestysum a mestum schvaleni noveho zneni Stanov. Dobrovolny svazek obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizaci Zd'arsko pi'edlozil seznam spolecneho infrastrukturniho majetku, ktery je nedelitelny a zustava majetkem svazku i po vystoupeni obce nebo po zaniku svazku (cl. 7.1. Stanov). Geneze piipadu Stanovy dobrovolneho svazku obci Svaz vodovodu a kanalizaci Zd'arsko byly schvaleny valnou hromadou, konanou dne 26.3.2014. -
Movies, Only Orkers Crack Their Union Local’S Safe and Oct
The Accountant 556 Suspense A 13 6:15p; 18 9:25p; 19 7:30p; 24 8:55p; Treasury agent closes in on a brilliant 25 4:05p; 30 8:55p; 31 7:15p, PARMT freelance accountant who works for 241 Oct. 1 10:30p; 2 8p; 10 4p, 8:30p dangerous criminal organizations. Ben Adopt a Highway Drama When an daughter are held captive for 53 days by Affleck, Anna Kendrick, J.K. Simmons, ex-convict finds an abandoned baby in a A a former student. Corina Akeson, Reese Jon Bernthal. (2:30) ’16 TNT 138 Oct. 3 dumpster, he gains a new lease on life, 8p; 4 5:15p Abducted Action A war hero Alexander, Caroline Chan, Paralee Cook. deciding to dedicate himself to making 555 takes matters into his own hands (TV14, 2:00) ’19 LMN 109 Oct. 29 12p The Accused Drama Raped in a sure the child has a good life. Ethan A 56 bar, a woman hires a prosecutor who Hawke, Chris Sullivan, Christopher Hey- when a kidnapper snatches his Abduction Action A young man must young daughter during a home run for his life soon after learning that the goes after the patrons who encouraged erdahl, Elaine Hendrix. (NR, 1:21) ’19 invasion. Scout Taylor-Compton, Daniel folks who raised him are not his real par- her attackers. Kelly McGillis, Jodie Foster, STRZED 352 Oct. 8 8:11a; 20 4p Joseph, Michael Urie, Najarra Townsend. ents. Taylor Lautner, Lily Collins, Alfred Bernie Coulson, Leo Rossi. (2:00) ’88 Adopted in Danger Suspense A DNA (NR, 1:50) ’20 SHOS-E 323 Oct.